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UK public inflation expectations fall to lowest since January -Citi/YouGov

U.S. bank Citi and pollsters YouGov said the expectations for inflation in five to 10 years fell to 4.0% in June from 4.2% in May, a move Citi described as encouraging.

Inflation expectations for 12 months time were steady at 6.1%, the survey showed.

BoE rate-setters are watching surveys for signs that high inflation – which hit a 40-year record of 9.1% last month – is becoming entrenched in the psychology of the British public, which would make it harder to bring inflation back to the BoE’s 2% target.

Citi economist Benjamin Nabarro said inflation expectations were still elevated.

“However, we see little in today’s data that should provide a further impetus for an outsized 50 basis point move (in interest rates) in August,” Nabarro added.

Financial markets show a roughly 73% chance that the BoE will raise its Bank Rate to 1.75% from 1.25% at its next policy decision on Aug. 4.


Source: Economy - investing.com

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