1. Powell starts congressional testimony
Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell starts his two-day congressional testimony later Wednesday, addressing the House Financial Services Committee just a week after the U.S. central bank paused rate increases but signaled it could raise rates again this year.
The Fed projected that the benchmark rate could reach 5.6% by the end of the year, which would imply at least two increases of 25 basis points.
With this in mind, investors will be looking to see how strongly Powell stresses the need to resume rate hikes and whether they will restart as quickly as next month.
“The focus is on whether the July meeting is truly ‘live’ and if the Fed dot plot of two more hikes is a true base case depending on the data, or doom-mongering on inflation in an effort to ensure no premature easing in financial conditions,” said Tapas Strickland, head of market economics at NAB.
2. U.K. inflation remains elevated
U.K. inflation surprised on the upside earlier Wednesday, as headline CPI rose 8.7% in May, the same as the month before, and above the expected 8.4%.
Additionally, core inflation, which excludes food and energy, accelerated unexpectedly to 7.1% from 6.8%, heaping pressure on the Bank of England to ratchet up its interest rate hikes when it meets on Thursday.
The BOE is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points to 4.75%, though this inflation data increases the risk of a half-point increase as the central bank continues its quickest tightening cycle in 40 years.
Adding to the country’s woes, a separate report showed that U.K. government debt climbed above 100% of GDP for the first time since 1961 after the government borrowed a greater-than-forecast £20 billion (£1 = $1.2708) in May.
3. Futures flat; FedEx stock weakens
U.S. futures traded largely unchanged Wednesday, with investors awaiting testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell [see above] for some insights on what lies ahead for interest rates.
At 05:00 ET (09:00 GMT), the Dow futures contract had dropped just 3 points or less than 0.1%, S&P 500 futures traded flat, and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 6 points or 0.1%.
The main indices closed lower Tuesday as investors took money off the table in the wake of last week’s strong gains after the Fed paused its prolonged rate-hiking cycle.
The broad-based S&P 500 last week hit its highest level since April 2022 and posted its fifth consecutive positive week.
In corporate news, quarterly earnings are due from the likes of home builder KB Home (NYSE:KBH) and recreational vehicle maker Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO), while delivery giant FedEx (NYSE:FDX) stock fell premarket after ongoing “demand challenges” prompted its plans to ground 29 more aircraft in the fiscal year that started on June 1.
4. Tesla looks toward India
Elon Musk is turning his eyes once more towards India, the world’s most populous country, after the Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO met with Narendra Modi during the Indian Prime Minister’s visit to the U.S.
“I’m confident that Tesla will be in India and we’ll do so as soon as humanly possible,” Musk told reporters after the meeting. “We don’t want to jump the gun on an announcement, but I think it’s quite likely that there will be a significant investment.”
Tesla and India have had discussions about investment into Asia’s third-largest economy before, but they were shelved last year after the Indian government insisted Tesla make cars locally, while the EV manufacturer said it wanted to export to India first so that it could test demand.
5. Oil edges higher ahead of U.S. inventories
Crude prices edged higher Wednesday, bouncing after two straight losing sessions, ahead of the latest weekly U.S. inventory data.
By 05:00 ET, U.S. crude futures were 0.3% higher at $71.39 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 0.2% to $76.03 per barrel.
U.S. oil inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute industry group will be released later on Wednesday, delayed by a day following Monday’s public holiday, and a drawdown is possible after last week’s hefty one million barrel build.
That said, the oil market is struggling to find support, even after Saudi Arabia decided to limit its supply, amid growing concerns over an economic recovery in China, the world’s largest crude importer, as well as tightening monetary policy through much of the west limiting economic activity.
“OPEC+ action from several weeks ago has done little to propel prices higher and demand concerns continue to put a cap on the market,” analysts at ING said, in a note.
Source: Economy - investing.com
