The Fed has “some time” to assess whether this is an economy that’s “gently moving into a normalizing state … or one where you really do have to lean into it,” Barkin said Thursday at a virtual event put on by the National Association for Business Economics.
The Richmond fed president also poured cold water on recent fears the labor market is signalling economic doom ahead, noting that the slowing wage growth points to normalizing in the labor market.
The Fed, however, would be worried if job growth started to disappear, but that doesn’t appear to be an immediate concern.
“What I hear from folks on the ground in the labor market is that people are cutting back on hiring, but not firing,” Barkin added.
On the inflation front, Barkin said he was “pretty optimistic” that incoming data over the next few months would show good readings.
In a sign that the market concerns about an impending recession is cooling, Barkin flagged the recent dip in bets on a 50 basis points cut in September suggests that the market is returning to the Fed’s view that the economic growth is slowing rather than at risk of falling off a cliff.
Bets on a 50bps cut in September fell to 56% from 72% a day earlier, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.
Source: Economy - investing.com
