“With inflation running above target, labor markets tight and demand showing considerable momentum, my own view is that there is no need to preemptively adjust the stance of policy,” Schmid said in his first extensive public remarks since he began the job last August. “Instead, I believe that the best course of action is to be patient, continue to watch how the economy responds to the policy tightening that has occurred, and wait for convincing evidence that the inflation fight has been won.”
Schmid’s cautious approach suggests a hawkish outlook in sync with recent Kansas City Fed presidents.
But it is also one that resonates with the message of other Fed policymakers in recent weeks signaling they want to keep the policy rate in its current 5.25%-5.5% range until they have greater confidence that inflation is headed to the Fed’s 2% goal.
Shipping disruptions in the Red Sea could put renewed upward pressure on goods prices, Schmid said, and hotter-than-expected consumer price inflation in January, especially for services, argues for “caution” on expectations for further disinflation.
Schmid also signaled hawkishness with regards to the Fed’s balance sheet. While he said he is in “no hurry” to halt the ongoing reduction in the size of the balance sheet, Schmid said he does not favor an “overly cautious approach.”
Some Fed policymakers have argued that the time may soon come to slow those reductions to give time for the Fed to assess how far it can shrink its portfolio without roiling markets.
“Some interest-rate volatility should be tolerated as we continue to shrink our balance sheet,” he said.
Source: Economy - investing.com
