JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) predicted Turkey’s annual inflation would hover in the 65-70% range until the very end of the year when it could fall to 44% due to strong base effects.
“The CBRT (Turkey central bank) has put all its emphasis on the FX-protected deposit scheme and is unlikely react to the CPI data no matter how strong it is,” said Yarkin Cebeci at JPMorgan in a note to clients.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) forecast inflation to peak around 67% in May-June and remain above 65% for most of 2022 though end the year at 45%.
“We also see upside risks from commodity prices and the monetary policy stance which is not geared to fighting inflation,” Murat Unur at Goldman Sachs wrote in a note to clients. “Real rates in Turkey are now deeply in negative territory and are likely to fuel inflation further in the coming months.”
