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    Peter Thiel: Most of Bitcoin (BTC) Value Has Been Extracted

    According to Thiel, there will not be any significant price increases for Bitcoin from where it is at the moment. He said he does not think Bitcoin would go up dramatically from here, expressing his opinion that the significant price increases for Bitcoin might be over.Thiel expressed his regret for not having purchased more Bitcoin sooner and his skepticism regarding the cryptocurrency’s future, especially in light of the emergence of decentralized computing. In addition, he brought up the FBI’s preference for criminals to use Bitcoin instead of fiat money like $100 bills, underscoring the ability to trace the digital gold.Thiel claims that this makes it even harder for Bitcoin to gain traction as a mainstream financial asset. Thiel made an important observation when he said he thought big financial firms like BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) and its CEO Larry Fink had appropriated Bitcoin.While the institutional involvement gave Bitcoin legitimacy, it is possible that it diverged from its original cypherpunk ideals of financial autonomy and decentralization. According to Thiel, the revolutionary decentralized nature of Bitcoin may be losing its initial appeal.Remarking that traditional financial institutions have undermined Bitcoin’s potential as a revolutionary financial technology, he expressed less faith in the cryptocurrency’s ability to play a significant role in a decentralized future.Thiel acknowledged the volatility of Bitcoin and its possibility for some upward movement in spite of this. While there may still be opportunities for gains, they come with significant risks. It can still go up some, but it will be a volatile bumpy ride, he said.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    BIS sends government debt warning before important elections

    LONDON (Reuters) – The Bank for International Settlements warned on Sunday that rising government debt levels amid a number of major elections this year could roil global financial markets.Dubbed the central bankers’ central bank, the BIS said the world economy was now on course for the “smooth landing” that many economists doubted when interest rates shot up, but said policymakers, especially politicians, needed to be careful.Global government debt is already at record levels and elections ranging from the U.S. presidential vote in November, through recent ones in Mexico and South Africa, to votes in France and Britain in the coming week, all carry risks.BIS general manager Agustin Carstens said with interest rates not about to go back to ultra-low levels and cost pressures from aging populations, climate change and rebuilding defence capabilities, economic stimulus plans and a general rise in protectionism could unsettle sensitive markets.”They can surprise you with not much notice,” Carstens said, pointing to the turbulence in Britain’s markets following then Prime Minister Liz Truss’ budget plans which put some pension funds at risk of collapse. “You really want to avoid that.”As well as persistent concerns over U.S. debt levels, the French debt risk premium has surged this month to its highest level since the euro zone crisis in 2022, after French President Emmanuel Macron called a snap parliamentary election being held on Sunday that could bring in a far right government.Carstens said the BIS was not calling out any “one or two” governments but that the message was clear. “They (governments) must cut short the rise in public debt and accept that interest rates may not return to the pre-pandemic ultra low levels,” he said. “We need a solid foundation to build upon”. INFLATION FIGHT The positive, however, is that central banks are successfully reining in inflation that had hit decades-long highs after the COVID-19 pandemic and then Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, which riled commodity markets.”Compared to last year, I have to say we are in a much better place,” the former Mexican central bank governor told reporters as the BIS published its annual report.Although Carstens said central banks deserved praise for navigating a difficult path that could have resulted in a wave of recessions, he added they needed to persevere, likening the inflation fight to a course of antibiotics to tackle an illness. He described an “extreme” scenario where inflation races up again and central banks need to raise rates further. But that is not what the BIS expects.The BIS report did though say central banks should not rush into rate cuts.”A premature easing could reignite inflationary pressures and force a costly policy reversal,” it said. More

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    US Supreme Court’s conservatives flex muscles to curb regulatory agencies

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The U.S. Supreme Court’s conservative majority trained its legal firepower this term on curbing federal regulatory authority, cementing its critical role in a longstanding effort by business interests and others to defang the “administrative state.”The court’s sweeping rulings have limited the federal government’s power to regulate everything from stock trading to pollution, even as the justices opted not to further curtail abortion rights or expand gun rights under the U.S. Constitution’s Second Amendment ahead of the Nov. 5 presidential election.The court’s nine-month term comes to an end on Monday. It issued a major ruling on Friday, with its six conservative justices in the majority and three liberals in dissent, that overturned a 1984 precedent that established an important principle in administrative law known as ” Chevron (NYSE:CVX) deference.” The doctrine had called on courts to give deference to government agency interpretations of federal law. The outcome – eagerly sought by business and conservative groups – will make it easier for judges to second-guess actions by U.S. agencies, empowering legal challenges to regulations in the federal sphere such as air and water quality, food and drug safety, employment standards and investor protection. On Thursday, the conservative majority ruled that enforcement actions seeking penalties for fraud that are handled in-house by the Securities and Exchange Commission instead of in federal courts violate the Constitution’s Seventh Amendment right to a jury trial. The ruling could reverberate through other agencies, frustrating their enforcement of regulations as well. “I would say that this area of the law is the clearest one today where there is a 6-3 divide among the justices of the court,” said attorney Misha Tseytlin, who has argued cases at the court. Friday’s Chevron deference ruling “is the most significant administrative law decision in decades from the U.S. Supreme Court,” Tseytlin added. “That decision will fundamentally change not only litigation over agency rules, but also the manner in which agencies approach their rulemaking processes.” The court has pared back agency power in other cases in recent years, including curbing the authority of the Environmental Protection Agency to reduce carbon emissions from power plants in 2022. In that one, the court embraced the so-called “major questions” doctrine favored by conservatives, giving judges broad discretion to invalidate executive branch actions unless Congress clearly authorized them.The conservative majority has “continued to make limiting the power of administrative agencies one of its highest priorities,” said Nicole Saharsky, also a Supreme Court litigator. “From the major questions doctrine, to limits on agencies’ power to adjudicate, to the elimination of Chevron deference, the court has made it much easier for regulated parties to challenge agency actions,” Saharsky added. Legal scholars debated how far the rulings undermined the power of regulatory agencies. Abner Greene, a Fordham University School of Law expert in regulatory law, said the court has taken “another step toward dismantling the federal regulatory state” by limiting the ability of Congress to use agencies to “develop federal policy over time and in response to complex circumstances.”  George Mason University law professor Ilya Somin, however, said that while it is clear the justices have “suspicion of regulatory bureaucracies” they are “very far from destroying the administrative state or even ending all judicial deference to it.”The court upheld in May the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s funding mechanism in a challenge brought by the payday loan industry that represented an existential threat to the agency. The justices are expected on Monday to decide one more case involving a North Dakota convenience store’s challenge to debit card “swipe fee” regulation issued by the U.S. Federal Reserve. GUNS AND ABORTIONTwo major cases on their docket gave the court’s conservatives the chance to further curtail access to abortion. The justices declined to do so – but also did not resolve the underlying legal questions, leaving the door open for those issues to return to the Supreme Court in the future. One case involved a bid by anti-abortion groups and doctors to restrict access to the abortion pill. The justices decided that these particular challengers lacked the necessary legal standing to pursue the case. The court also declined to decide another matter involving the enforcement of Idaho’s strict abortion ban in medical emergencies, instead dismissing the case. The court’s conservative majority in 2022 overturned the 1973 Roe v. Wade landmark that had recognized a constitutional right to abortion and legalized the procedure nationwide. The justices also this term declined to further expand gun rights under the Constitution’s Second Amendment right to “keep and bear arms” in a case involving a challenge to a federal law that bans domestic abusers from having guns. The ruling suggested limits to the new test the court had announced in a 2022 ruling that made it easier to challenge gun control measures, requiring them to be consistent with the nation’s “historical tradition of firearm regulation.”Somin said the term’s abortion cases show that for many of the conservative justices “it’s clear it’s not necessarily their view that they want to restrict abortion at all costs.”He also noted that in the domestic abuse gun case, the challenger was not a sympathetic figure. “The conservative justices were reluctant to say the right goes as far as to even cover this case, but that doesn’t tell us much about what they would do in less extreme cases,” Somin said.In another gun-related case that did not involve the Second Amendment, the court declared unlawful a federal regulation banning “bump stock” devices that enable semiautomatic weapons to fire rapidly like machine guns, suggesting instead that Congress step in. The court already has another firearms-related case set for review during its next term, which begins in October, involving a challenge to a federal regulation targeting homemade “ghost guns.” It could take up, as early as Monday, other Second Amendment challenges to bans on gun possession by non-violent felons and users of illegal drugs, and on assault-type rifles. In another major case set for next term, the justices are set to decide the legality of Republican-backed state bans on gender-affirming medical care for transgender minors in a case involving a state law in Tennessee. More

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    Central banks should set a ‘high bar’ for interest rate cuts, BIS warns

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $85 per monthBilled Quarterly at $199. Complete digital access plus the FT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    What are Labour’s options for boosting trade with Europe?

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $85 per monthBilled Quarterly at $199. Complete digital access plus the FT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    France to vote in election that could put far right in government

    PARIS (Reuters) – French voters cast their ballots on Sunday in the first round of a snap parliamentary election that could usher in the country’s first far-right government since World War Two, a potential sea change at the heart of the European Union.President Emmanuel Macron stunned the country when he called the vote after his centrist alliance was crushed in European elections this month by Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN). Her eurosceptic, anti-immigrant party was a longtime pariah but is now closer to power than it has ever been.Polls open at 0600 GMT, closing at 1600 GMT in small towns and cities, and at 1800 GMT in the bigger cities, when the first exit polls for the night and seat projections for the decisive second round a week later are expected. However the electoral system can make it hard to estimate the precise distribution of seats in the 577-seat National Assembly, and the final outcome will not be known until the end of voting on July 7.”We are going to win an absolute majority,” said Le Pen in a newspaper interview on Wednesday, predicting that her protégé, 28-year-old Jordan Bardella would be prime minister. Her party has a high-spending economic programme and seeks to reduce immigration.If the RN does win an absolute majority, French diplomacy could be headed for an unprecedented period of turbulence: with Macron – who has said he will continue his presidency until the end of his term in 2027 – and Bardella jostling for the right to speak for France.France has had three periods of “cohabitation” – when the president and government are from opposite political camps – in its post-war history, but none with such radically divergent world views competing at the top of the state.Bardella has already indicated he would challenge Macron on global issues. France could lurch from being a pillar of the EU to a thorn in its side, demanding a rebate of the French contribution to the EU budget, clashing with Brussels over European Commission jobs and reversing Macron’s calls for greater EU unity and assertiveness on defence. A clear RN victory would also bring uncertainty as to where France stands on the Russia-Ukraine war. Le Pen has a history of pro-Russian sentiment and while the party now says it would help Ukraine defend itself against Russian invaders, it has also set out red lines, such as refusing to provide long-range missiles.’SPLIT VOTE FAVOURS RN’Opinion polls have suggested the RN has a comfortable lead of 33-36% of the popular vote, with a hastily assembled left-wing coalition, the New Popular Front, in second place on 28-31% and Macron’s centrist alliance in third on 20-23%.The New Popular Front includes a wide range of parties, from the moderate centre-left to the hard-left, eurosceptic, anti-NATO party France Unbowed, led by one of Macron’s most vitriolic opponents, Jean-Luc Melenchon.How the poll numbers will translate into seats in the National Assembly is hard to predict because of how the election works, said Vincent Martigny, professor of political science at the University of Nice and the Ecole Polytechnique.Candidates can be elected in the first round if they win an absolute majority of votes in their constituency, but that is rare. Most constituencies will need a second round involving all candidates who received votes from at least 12.5% of registered voters in the first round. The top scorer wins.”If you have a very high level of participation you might have a third or fourth party that is getting into the struggle. So then of course there’s a risk of split voting and we know that the split vote favours the National Rally,” said Martigny.For decades, as the far right steadily gained popularity, voters and parties who did not support it would unite against it whenever it edged closer to national power, but that may not hold true this time.Martigny said no one knew whether candidates from Macron’s camp would consider dropping out of the second round to give rivals from the left a chance of beating the RN, or the reverse.Le Pen and Bardella have sought to make their party’s image more acceptable to the mainstream, for example by denouncing antisemitism. Le Pen’s father Jean-Marie Le Pen, founder and long-term leader of the RN’s forerunner, had a history of overtly antisemitic comments.But critics say the RN’s courting of Jews is just a cover allowing it to deny accusations of racism while constantly stigmatising Muslims and foreigners. More

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    Bitcoin Price Reversal: Key Indicators and What Else to Look For

    When the crowd becomes overwhelmingly pessimistic, it could set the stage for a price recovery as it suggests that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion.Another key indicator to watch is Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI). Currently sitting at a low of just 36, the RSI suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory.The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. An RSI below 30 is typically considered oversold, indicating a potential buying opportunity. Although Bitcoin has not reached this threshold yet, its proximity to it could mean a bounce is close.In the short-to-mid term, it might also be essential to keep an eye on macro factors impacting broader market trends. Economic data, regulatory news and global events might influence Bitcoin’s price. At the time of writing, BTC was up 0.18% in the last 24 hours to $60.877.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    $1.23 Billion in Bitcoin Moved in One Day: What Happened?

    Ali, a crypto analyst, reported this massive influx of Bitcoin into accumulation addresses, which are typically associated with investors who hold their assets for long-term value appreciation, rather than engaging in frequent trading.The timing of this move is particularly noteworthy. It comes at a time when the market is facing a downturn, with prices dropping across the board. Bitcoin’s price fell to $58,414 at the start of the week, the lowest since May 3.This “drop” in value prompted short-term selling as traders and investors sought to reduce their losses. However, in this instance, a contrarian approach was taken, with a significant investment made into Bitcoin, signaling a belief that the market might rebound.According to the chart presented by Ali, on June 27, over 20,200 BTC, worth $1.23 billion were funneled into accumulation addresses. This type of behavior is commonly interpreted as a bullish signal, and the market’s reaction in the aftermath is being carefully watched.Bitcoin has lost roughly 10% of its value in June. It temporarily touched $71,000 at the beginning of June but has since declined steadily. Since March, the flagship cryptocurrency has been trapped in the $60,000 to $70,000 level.At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 0.26% to $60,916 and has been trading in a tight range since recovering from Monday’s lows of $58,414.This article was originally published on U.Today More