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    Chinese companies seek assurances from Malaysia on avoiding US tariffs

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Global tax truce frays over fears of US Senate deadlock

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $85 per monthBilled Quarterly at $199. Complete digital access plus the FT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Lula’s spending plans turn heat on Brazilian markets

    Unlock the Editor’s Digest for freeRoula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.Brazil’s financial markets have sold off sharply this year as investors grow increasingly anxious about the spending plans of leftwing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government.The Brazilian real is the third-worst performing emerging market currency against the US dollar so far this year, its near-10 per cent decline ranking behind only the Turkish lira and the peso of perennially troubled neighbour Argentina. Meanwhile, the local Bovespa equity index has dropped 8.6 per cent over the same period. While emerging markets in general have been hit as investors dramatically scale back their expectations for US interest rate cuts this year, money managers and economists also cite growing concerns over the viability of Brasília’s plan to balance the public finances through extra tax collection, while also increasing spending. “Today, fiscal risk is what weighs most on the Brazilian economy and the markets,” said Ricardo Lacerda, chief executive of local investment bank BR Partners and former head of Goldman Sachs in Brazil. “We are not yet in an out-of-control zone. But the government has bet on an unsustainable model of fiscal adjustment without cost-cutting.” Lula returned to power last year on pledges to boost welfare spending and expand the state, hoping to emulate the political success of his previous spell in government between 2003 and 2011. His administration sought to reassure investors by promising to eliminate the so-called primary budget deficit, which does not include debt interest payments.But it has already watered down its own targets for achieving a surplus from next year onwards, and has committed to increasing expenditure in real terms annually. Some investors and analysts fear it will fail to eliminate the deficit this year as planned.Public debt levels — already relatively high for an emerging market at 76 per cent of gross domestic product — are now not forecast to fall until 2028, according to official estimates. Market volatility has intensified after the government earlier this month failed to win parliamentary backing for its proposal to curtail corporate tax credits following an outcry from business, piling pressure on finance minister Fernando Haddad, whom Lula was later forced to defend.“This showed that we’re hitting the limit of the model of fiscal adjustment proposed by Haddad,” said Helder Soares, chief investment officer at asset manager Principal Claritas in São Paulo. “The structural fiscal position is not hopeless, but it is delicate.” Brazil has a history of running budget deficits, often with negative knock-on effects for inflation, interest rates and economic activity. Critics argue the loose fiscal stance limits the ability of the central bank to lower its base rate, which at 10.5 per cent has been attacked by Lula as harmful to growth.Economists predict GDP growth will come down to 2 per cent this year from 2.9 per cent last year. While consumer price rises have slowed, forecasts for full-year inflation have crept up to 4 per cent, above the official target of 3 per cent. “The primary deficit is unlikely to be zeroed in 2024 and could be even greater in 2025,” said Rafaela Vitoria, chief economist at Banco Inter, who said fiscal policy was starting to feed through to inflation.She calculates that public spending has grown by about 6 per cent above inflation per year since Lula took office at the start of 2023, and added: “There are no containment mechanisms for 2025.”Analysts and market participants say concerns about the budget deficit and fears of political interference in central bank decisions have led investors to demand higher yields for holding the country’s debt, pushing up its borrowing costs. In defiance of Lula, the bank on Wednesday paused its easing cycle. The monetary policy committee’s unanimous decision helped soothe a potential credibility crisis for the institution, after members appointed by the leftwinger pushed for a bigger rate cut in May. Despite the Bovespa edging up slightly the following day, the real touched R$5.46 to the dollar — its weakest level since Lula’s inauguration. The currency pared some of its losses to close at R$5.39 on Monday.“Any bounce in asset prices will be shortlived unless the government finds a more sustainable solution to address the imbalances in the budget,” said John Stavliotis, portfolio manager at Antipodes Partners.Bulls argue that Brazilian stocks — trading at seven times forward earnings — are historically cheap. This year to the end of May, the FTSE Brazil All Cap index is ranked 49th out of 50 country indices tracked by the data provider. In the wake of investor disquiet and the failure to gain backing for the corporate tax credit plan, Haddad has raised the possibility of spending cuts in certain areas. However, he faces resistance from within his ruling Workers’ party, while Lula has said ministers must convince him of the necessity. Supporters of the government and some investors argue that Brazil’s primary deficit — forecast by the IMF to be 0.6 per cent of GDP this year — is relatively small compared with countries such as Mexico, where the budget shortfall is expected to reach nearly 6 per cent.Even so, commentators see little appetite in government for significant cutbacks ahead of municipal elections in October. “[Lula] had a honeymoon in his first year and that’s coming to an end,” said Jean Van de Walle, chief investment officer at family office Sycamore Capital. “There will be a growing clash [between] monetary orthodoxy and the government’s ambitions.”Additional reporting by Mary McDougall in London More

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    Exclusive-US probing China Telecom, China Mobile over internet, cloud risks

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Biden administration is investigating China Mobile (NYSE:CHL), China Telecom (NYSE:CHA) and China Unicom (NYSE:CHU) over concerns the firms could exploit access to American data through their U.S. cloud and internet businesses by providing it to Beijing, three sources familiar with the matter said. Authorities at the Commerce Department are running the investigation, which has not been previously reported. They have subpoenaed the state-backed companies and have completed “risk-based analyses” of China Mobile and China Telecom, but are not as advanced in their probe of China Unicom, the people said, declining to be named because the probe is not public. The companies still have a small presence in the United States, for example, providing cloud services and routing wholesale U.S. internet traffic. That gives them access to Americans’ data even after telecom regulators barred them from providing telephone and retail internet services in the United States.The Chinese companies and their U.S.-based lawyers did not respond to requests for comment. The Justice Department declined to comment and the White House referred questions to Commerce, which declined to comment. The Chinese Embassy in Washington said it hopes the United States will “stop suppressing Chinese companies under false pretexts,” adding that China will continue to defend the rights and interests of Chinese companies. Reuters found no evidence the companies intentionally provided sensitive U.S. data to the Chinese government or committed any other type of wrongdoing.The investigation is the latest effort by Washington to prevent Beijing from exploiting Chinese firms’ access to U.S. data to harm companies, Americans or national security, as part of a deepening tech war between the geopolitical rivals. It shows the administration is trying to shut down all remaining avenues for Chinese companies already targeted by Washington to obtain U.S. data.Regulators have not yet made decisions about how to address the potential threat, two of the people said. But, equipped with the authority to probe internet services sold into the U.S. by companies from “foreign adversary” nations, regulators could block transactions allowing them to operate in data centers and route data for internet providers, the sources said. Blocking key transactions, in turn, could degrade the Chinese firms’ ability to offer competitive American-facing cloud and internet services to global customers, crippling their remaining U.S. businesses, experts and sources said. “They are our chief global adversary and they are very sophisticated,” said Doug Madory, an internet routing expert at internet analysis firm Kentik. “I think (U.S. regulators) would not feel like they were doing their job if they weren’t trying to shore up every risk.”ROUTING THROUGH CHINA China Telecom, China Mobile and China Unicom have long been in Washington’s crosshairs. The FCC denied China Mobile’s application to provide telephone service in 2019 and revoked China Telecom and China Unicom’s licenses to do the same in 2021 and 2022 respectively. In April, the FCC went further and barred the companies from providing broadband service. A spokesman for the FCC said the agency stands by its concerns. One factor in the FCC’s decision was a 2020 report from other U.S. government agencies that recommended revoking China Telecom’s license to provide U.S. telephone service. It cited at least nine instances where China Telecom misrouted internet traffic through China, putting it at risk of being intercepted, manipulated or blocked from reaching its intended destination.”China Telecom’s U.S. operations… provide Chinese government-sponsored actors with openings to disrupt and misroute U.S. data and communications traffic,” authorities said at the time.China Telecom has previously denied the government’s allegations and told U.S. agencies that routing problems are common and occur on all networks. The telecoms company sought to reverse the FCC decision, but a U.S. appeals court rejected its arguments, noting that the agencies presented “compelling evidence that the Chinese government may use Chinese information technology firms as vectors of espionage and sabotage.”ACCESS POINTS, CLOUD UNDER SCRUTINYThe Chinese telecoms companies’ reach extends deep inside the U.S. internet infrastructure.According to its website, China Telecom has 8 American Points of Presence (PoPs) that sit at internet exchange points, which allow large-scale networks to connect to each other and share routing information.China Telecom did not respond to requests for comment about its U.S. based PoPs.According to the FCC, there are “serious national security and law enforcement risks” posed by PoPs when operated by firms that pose a national security risk. In cases where China Telecom’s PoPs reside in internet exchange points, the company “can potentially access and/or manipulate data where it is on the preferred path for U.S. customer traffic,” the FCC said in April.Bill Woodcock, executive director of Packet Clearing House, the intergovernmental treaty organization which is responsible for the security of critical Internet infrastructure, said traffic flowing through these points would be vulnerable to metadata analysis, which can capture key information about the data’s origin, destination, size and timing of delivery. They also might allow for deep packet inspection, where parties can glimpse the data’s contents, and even decryption. Commerce investigators are also probing the companies’ U.S. cloud offerings, the focus of the 2020 referral from the Justice Department on China Mobile, China Telecom and Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) that prompted the investigations, the people said. The probe was later expanded to include PoPs and China Unicom, whose cloud business was small at the time of the referral, two of people added. Alibaba did not respond to a request for comment. Regulators fear that the companies could access personal information and intellectual property stored in their clouds and provide it to the Chinese government or disrupt Americans’ access to it, two of the sources said. Commerce department officials are particularly concerned about one data center that is part owned by China Mobile in California’s Silicon Valley, according to one of the sources. China Mobile did not respond to requests for comment about the data center.Reuters could not determine the reason for the government’s specific interest in China Mobile’s data center, but ownership of one provides greater opportunity to mishandle client data, according to Bert Hubert, a Dutch cloud computing expert and former member of a board that regulates Dutch Intelligence and security agencies. He noted that ownership would make it easier to meddle with clients’ servers at night, for example, by installing backdoors to enable remote access or bypass encryption. Those actions would be much tougher in a data center with strict security policies where the company merely leases space.  “If you have your own data center you have your own unique piece of China within the U.S.,” he said. More

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    Dollar flirts with key 160 yen level as intervention risk looms

    SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The battered yen languished near the 160 per dollar level on Tuesday and kept traders on high alert for any intervention from Japanese authorities to prop up the currency, while the greenback edged a touch higher in the broader market.Bitcoin was nursing losses after clocking its worst day in over two months at the start of the week, in part due to flows out of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), analysts said.The dollar was last 0.04% higher at 159.64 yen, just a whisker away from the 160 level that prompted a 9.79 trillion yen ($61.33 billion) currency intervention from Tokyo in late April and early May.The threat of another intervention kept traders leery of testing the key resistance level, leaving the yen trading in a tight range.”The market is showing…that they are nervous, and they are very much on edge about this situation,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.”There are inherent risks to being short the Japanese yen now as a carry trade, which is of course what (authorities) want to see.”The first port of call is to tell currency speculators and people holding for carry that you’re on notice, if you hold those positions now, you run the risk of a 400, 500-pip drop in dollar/yen.”The latest decline in the yen has come on the back of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) June policy meeting, where policymakers disappointed investors who were betting on an immediate reduction of the BOJ’s massive bond purchases.Minutes of the meeting out on Monday showed the central bank debated the chance of a near-term interest rate hike with one policymaker calling for an increase “without too much delay”.In the broader market, the dollar was on the front foot ahead of Friday’s release of the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index – the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation.Sterling edged 0.01% lower to $1.2683, while the Australian dollar fell 0.02% to $0.6655.The New Zealand dollar similarly slipped 0.04% to $0.6120, standing not too far from an over two-week low hit last week.Politics were also at the forefront of investors’ minds, with the first U.S. presidential debate between President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump set for Thursday and French elections due to kick off this weekend.The euro, which has come under pressure amid political turmoil in France in the wake of President Emmanuel Macron’s shock snap election call earlier this month, last ticked up 0.01% to $1.0734.Still, the common currency was headed for a monthly loss of about 1%, owing to the political turmoil.Against a basket of currencies, the dollar steadied at 105.49.”France’s election will commence on June 30, hence EUR will be affected by political concerns,” said analysts at Sumitomo Mitsui (NYSE:SMFG) Banking Corporation in a note. “If the unstable political situation continues, EUR will weaken further against USD.”In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was last up roughly 1.5% to $60,349, recovering some of its sharp 6.65% fall in the previous session and having hit an over one-month low. [FTX/]”We’ve seen drawdown, we’ve seen six days in a row of funds coming out of the bitcoin cash ETFs,” said Pepperstone’s Weston.”Bitcoin, for me, is…a momentum vehicle, and momentum works both ways. If it’s going in one direction and the rate of change is picking up, for me, you stand aside and let the selling happen until it can form a base. And right now, the momentum’s to the downside.”($1 = 159.6300 yen) More

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    US judges block parts of key Biden student debt plan

    (Reuters) -Two federal judges in Kansas and Missouri on Monday at the urging of several Republican-led states blocked President Joe Biden’s administration from further implementing a new student debt relief plan that lowers payments. U.S. District Judge Daniel Crabtree in Wichita, Kansas, blocked the U.S. Department of Education from implementing parts of a student loan repayment plan not already in effect that cuts borrowers’ monthly payments and provides a faster path to have debts forgiven.He ruled shortly before U.S. District Judge John Ross in St. Louis, Missouri, issued a preliminary injunction barring the department from granting further loan forgiveness under the administration’s Saving on a Valuable Education (SAVE) Plan.The SAVE plan provides more generous terms than past income-based repayment plans, lowering monthly payments for eligible borrowers and allowing those whose original principal balances were $12,000 or less to have their debt forgiven after 10 years.Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey, a Republican who helped lead the litigation, hailed Ross’ decision. “Congress never gave Biden the authority to saddle working Americans with half-a-trillion dollars in other people’s debt,” he wrote on social media platform X.The Education Department and the White House had no immediate comment.Biden, a Democrat, announced the SAVE Plan in 2022, alongside a broader $430 billion program that would have fulfilled a campaign promise by cancelling up to $20,000 in debt for up to 43 million Americans. It was ultimately blocked by the conservative- majority U.S. Supreme Court in June 2023.The SAVE Plan was slated to fully take effect on July 1, though parts of it already been implemented, with 414,000 borrowers by mid-May having been granted $5.5 billion in debt relief, according to the Education Department.The White House has said that over 20 million borrowers could benefit from the SAVE Plan. The administration in May said that 8 million are already enrolled, including 4.6 million whose monthly payments have been reduced to $0.Eleven states challenged the plan in a lawsuit in Kansas. Crabtree had recently dismissed eight of the states’ claims, but allowed South Carolina, Texas and Alaska to push forward. Seven other states sued in Missouri.Neither judge on Monday ordered any debt relief already granted unwound. Crabtree said the Republican-led states waited too long to sue to claim they were being irreparably harmed by the in-effect aspects of the SAVE Plan.But Crabtree, who like Ross was appointed by Democratic former President Barack Obama, said the Higher Education Act of 1965 did not clearly authorize the type of “unprecedented and dramatic expansion” of income-based repayment plans envisioned.He cited an estimate by lawyers for the Republican-led states of South Carolina, Texas and Alaska that the SAVE Plan would carry a price tag of $475 billion over 10 years.Ross, ruling in favor of seven states led by Missouri, reached a similar conclusion in finding the department “overstepped its authority by promulgating a loan forgiveness provision as part of the SAVE program.” More

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    Australia consumers balance budget relief against rate risks

    The Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer sentiment rose 1.7% in June from May, when it dipped 0.3%. The index reading of 83.6 showed pessimists still outnumbered optimists, much as it has for months now.News of more cost-of-living aid from state governments likely helped sentiment ahead of a major cut to income taxes due from July 1.However, the survey also bracketed a meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) which warned there were upside risks to inflation and another rise in interest rates could not be ruled out.The survey found a sharp decline in sentiment to 80.1 after the RBA’s decision, from 90.0 before the announcement. The proportion of respondents expecting higher mortgage rates in the next 12 months also rose to 48.3%, from 43.5% in May.”The survey detail suggests positives from fiscal support measures are being negated by increased concerns about inflation and the outlook for interest rates,” said Westpac senior economist Matthew Hassan.The budget relief did see a bounce in the survey’s measures of family finances, though the outlook for the economy remained deeply pessimistic.The index measuring whether it was a good time to buy major household items firmed 4.2%, but at 79.7 remains far below its long-run average of 124. More

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    ‘Great Resignation’ enters third year as workers embrace AI, upskilling, PwC says

    MUMBAI (Reuters) – The proportion of workers who expect to switch employers in the next 12 months is higher than that from the “Great Resignation” period of 2022, a PwC survey of the global workforce found.Around 28% of more than 56,000 workers surveyed by PwC said they were “very or extremely likely” to move from their current companies, compared to 19% in 2022, and 26% in 2023.PwC’s 2024 “Hopes and Fears” survey also showed workers are embracing emerging technologies such as generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) and prioritising upskilling amid rising workloads and heightened workplace uncertainty.Pete Brown, global workforce leader at PwC UK, said employees are placing an “increased premium” on organisations that invest in their skills growth, and so, businesses must prioritise upskilling and employee experience.About 45% of the workers surveyed said they have experienced rising workloads and an accelerating pace of workplace change in the last 12 months, with 62% saying they have seen more change at work in the past year than the previous 12 months.Among employees who use GenAI daily, 82% said they expect it to increase their efficiency in the next 12 months.Reflecting confidence that GenAI opportunities would support their career growth, nearly half of those surveyed by PwC expected GenAI to generate higher salaries, with almost two-thirds hoping these emerging tools will improve the quality of their work.Carol Stubbings, global markets and tax and legal services leader at PwC UK, said employers must invest in staff and tech platforms to mitigate pressures and retain talent.”The findings suggest that job satisfaction is no longer enough,” she said.(Join the Reuters Global Markets Forum, a chat room hosted on LSEG Messenger, for live interviews: ) More