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    Stocks stumble on inflation jitters, offsetting high Nvidia hopes

    LONDON (Reuters) -Shares fell on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected inflation in Britain offset hopes that AI-heavyweight Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) could meet sky-high expectations, with investors waiting for clues on any moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve to begin to cut interest rates.European stocks dipped 0.3% in early trading, after being poised earlier for slim gains. Britain’s FTSE 100 led losses among regional markets with a 0.4% drop.S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures pointed to little change in Wall Street shares.Inflation in Britain fell by less than expected in April and a key core measure barely dropped, sparking a jump in the pound and in British government bond yields, as well as prompting investors to cut their bets on a Bank of England interest rate cut in June.The data underscored jitters over whether central banks would move as quickly as markets hope to reduce interest rates. Still, investors awaited an earnings report from U.S. artificial intelligence-heavyweight Nvidia, which is set to report after the market close. Nvidia’s earnings are set to provide the latest test for a U.S. stock market rally that has taken indexes to record highs this year, with the firm’s influence on broader markets growing. With Nvidia’s chips the gold standard in AI, its results are widely seen as a barometer for the burgeoning AI industry, whose evolution has stoked investor enthusiasm and helped drive the bull run in U.S. stocks. Turbulence could follow, with options priced for a swing of 8.7% in either direction, worth $200 billion in market value.”This is a pivotal event,” Deutsche Bank analysts wrote. “It might seem strange that markets are hanging on the results of a single company, but over recent quarters, the release has become one of the most important events on the macro calendar.” The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, lost 0.1%.Earlier, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan firmed 0.3%, having already climbed for four straight weeks to reach a two-year top.CENTRAL BANK WATCHThe dollar edged lower ahead of minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s last meeting due later in the day. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have dropped what had been explicit guidance about the likelihood of interest rate cuts this year, instead focusing attention on broadly different near-term paths the economy might follow, and their likely reaction to each case, Reuters reported on Wednesday.The Fed minutes may provide more details on the shift in approach. They should confirm its next rate move is still likely down, but policymakers first need more confidence that inflation has resumed its downward trend.Fed fund futures imply about a 66% chance of a rate cut by September and have 43 basis points of easing priced in for this year. After the UK inflation data, the pound climbed 0.3% before giving up most of its gains. It was last at $1.2729, near two-month highs. The euro was down 0.2% at $1.0831, just off its recent top of $1.0895.Meanwhile, New Zealand’s central bank offered a sobering assessment of its inflation problems, warning that rates would have to be higher for longer to bring them to heel in a shock to local markets.That saw the kiwi dollar jump 0.9% to a one-month high of $0.6151 as bond yields spiked, while it surged to 17-year peaks on the relatively low-yielding yen.Oil prices fell for a third straight session on the expectations the Fed may keep U.S. interest rates higher for longer due to sustained inflation, potentially impacting fuel use in the world’s largest oil consumer.Brent crude futures trimmed losses and were last down 0.5% at $82.46 a barrel, as did U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) futures, which were last down 0.5% at $78.30. More

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    Canada’s TSX to extend record-setting rally as metal prices soar: Reuters poll

    TORONTO (Reuters) – Canada’s commodity-linked main stock index will take a breather for the rest of this year but is set to notch record highs as metal prices climb and expected lower borrowing costs bolster the outlook for the domestic economy, a Reuters poll found.The TSX has added 7.2% since the start of the year, moving above its previous record closing high set in March 2022 to end at 22,468.16 on Tuesday. “We anticipate the stock market to continue its upward momentum into the summer and beyond, driven by robust earnings and interest rate cuts on the horizon,” said Brandon Michael, senior investment analyst at ABC Funds.Investors have raised bets on the Bank of Canada beginning an easing cycle with its next policy announcement on June 5 after data on Tuesday showed the annual rate of inflation falling to a three-year low of 2.7%.The median prediction of 21 portfolio managers and strategists in the May 13-22 poll was for the S&P/TSX Composite Index to advance just 0.1% to 22,500 by the end of 2024, but that is higher than the 21,750 expected in February’s poll.It is then expected to soar to 24,300 by the end of 2025, a gain of 8.2%.”As we go into 2025, markets will look forward to the positive impact of falling interest rates on the Canadian economy and global economy,” said Macan Nia, co-chief investment strategist at Manulife Investment Management.A recovery in the domestic economy would help bank stocks, while a pickup in global economic activity would be a boost to resource shares, Nia added. Canada’s big six banks are expected to set aside more money for bad loans when they begin reporting quarterly earnings on Thursday.The financials sector, which includes banks, accounts for 29% of the Toronto market’s weighting, while the energy and materials sectors account for a combined 33%.The materials sector includes fertilizer and metal mining companies. Gold and copper have climbed in recent days to record highs.”General gains in the global economy have translated into base metal price gains. We see this continuing to benefit the Canadian stock market,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.Eight of 13 analysts who answered a separate question said a correction of 10% or more is unlikely or highly unlikely over the coming three months.”The data would show strong momentum follows strong momentum. While a correction is always a possibility, it is no more a possibility today than in other periods,” Petursson said.(Other stories from the Reuters global stock markets poll package:) More

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    Breakthrough for Solv Protocol: $1 Billion TVL, Now a Top 32 DeFi Player

    Solv Protocol, a unified yield and liquidity layer for major digital assets, has surpassed $1 billion in Total Value Locked (TVL), cementing its position as the 32nd largest decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol according to DeFiLlama rankings.Solv has launched SolvBTC on Arbitrum, BNB Chain, and Merlin Chain. The protocol is building an ecosystem where users can bridge SolvBTC to farm points in new chains’ points programs, such as a 1.5x multiplier in zkLinkNova’s Aggregation Parade. Additionally, Solv has also introduced the Solv Point System, where users can exchange points for SOLV token airdrops to incentivize engagement.About SolvSolv Protocol is backed by strong investors, including Binance Labs, Blockchain Capital, Laser Digital, and other renowned firms. The protocol has also undergone extensive security audits by leading firms such as Quanstamp, Certik, SlowMist, Salus, and Secbit.For more information about Solv Protocol and its products, please visit the official website at solv.finance.Website | dApp | X | Telegram | Discord | LinkedIn | GitHub ContactEthean [email protected] article was originally published on Chainwire More

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    Several Chinese cities slash down payments, mortgage rates to boost property demand

    The down payment for first-time homebuyers in Hefei city and Wuhan city have been lowered from 20% to 15% – the lowest ratio allowed that the central bank announced last week, Shanghai Securities News reported on Wednesday.The ratio for second-time homebuyers was cut from 30% to 25%, the report said.Additionally, some banks in Wuhan have cut mortgage loan interest rates for first-time homebuyers by 30 basis points (bps) to 3.25%, after China abolished the floor level of the interest rates last week. Some lenders in Changsha city cut the rate by 10 bps to 3.65%, local media said.Lenders in cities across the nation, including Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, have announced lowering interest rates of housing provident funds by 25 bps.China announced “historic” steps on Friday to stabilise its crisis-hit property sector, including further lowering mortgage interest rates and down payment requirements.Since the property market began its steep downturn in 2021, a string of developers have defaulted, leaving scores of idle construction sites, and sapping confidence in what had for decades been the preferred savings instrument for the Chinese population.The measures are encouraging for homebuyers and investors, Jeff Zhang, an equity analyst at Morningstar, said in a research note. Still, “we caution that potential buyers may remain on the sidelines amid falling home prices, and policy tailwinds will likely require a longer time to translate into a pickup in home sales,” said Zhang.The central bank also announced it would set up a relending facility for affordable housing that it says would result in 500 billion yuan ($69.06 billion) worth of bank financing.But the funds will help Chinese developers on a very selective basis, said S&P Global Ratings credit analyst Ricky Tsang.”Only completed projects may be acquired–this means distressed developers, whose projects are most likely uncompleted, cannot benefit,” said Tsang.($1 = 7.2396 Chinese yuan renminbi) More

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    UBS anticipates ECB rate cut to 3.75% in June, future cuts unclear

    The anticipated cut would bring rates down by 25 basis points to 3.75%. However, the trajectory of policy rates beyond June remains uncertain, with the ECB underscoring its reliance on economic data to guide future decisions.According to UBS’s baseline scenario, after the initial cut in June, the ECB may embark on a prolonged and incremental sequence of rate reductions. These would consist of 25 basis point cuts each quarter, leading to a total decrease of 75 basis points in 2024 and an additional 100 basis points in 2025. This gradual approach would result in the deposit facility rate reaching 3.25% by the end of 2024 and 2.25% by the end of 2025.The ECB’s cautious stance reflects a commitment to data-dependent policymaking, suggesting that any subsequent rate cuts will be closely tied to incoming economic indicators. The central bank’s approach indicates an effort to balance the need for economic stimulus with the risks of inflation and other financial stability concerns.This forecast from UBS comes amid a broader context of global central banks grappling with the challenges of inflation and economic growth. The ECB’s potential rate cut in June would align with efforts to support economic activity in the Eurozone while being mindful of the evolving economic landscape.This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. More

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    US retailers trim prices as shoppers show signs of inflation fatigue

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $85 per monthBilled Quarterly at $199. Complete digital access plus the FT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    UK rental price growth pulls back from peak

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Citi discusses Ethereum ETF: Buy the rumor, sell the fact?

    Nevertheless, the chances of a major “buy the rumor, sell the fact” reaction for ETH seem lower compared to Bitcoin, according to a recent Citi report.Bitcoin dropped 17% after ETF approval due to the hype and leveraged bets. In contrast, the potential approval of an ETH ETF has been less expected, leading to less extreme pre-positioning, the report says.Upon the release of these reports, ETH futures open interest (OI) and funding rates were subdued compared to previous months. However, OI has started to increase, indicating rising anticipation of a potential ETF approval. Net flows into Bitcoin ETFs have been a major driver of returns since their launch in January, explaining much of the cryptocurrency’s performance. This trend is likely to continue with the introduction of ETH ETFs, indicating that overall crypto ETF flows will remain important for returns.Reports indicate that robust conversations are ongoing behind the scenes between regulators and ETF providers, which include nine fund providers with applications pending at various stages. Past approvals for Bitcoin ETFs suggest that simultaneous launches for ETH ETFs are likely.Historical data from Citi shows that net flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs materially influence cryptocurrency returns. For instance, net BTC ETF inflows totaled $12.9 billion through May 20, translating to a roughly 6% rally in Bitcoin per $1 billion of flow. Assuming similar market-cap-adjusted flows for ETH, estimated inflows could range between $3.8 billion to $4.5 billion, potentially driving ETH prices up by 23-28%.Several factors could impact these estimates, including differing demand for ETH compared to BTC, rotation from BTC to ETH among existing ETF holders, outflows from existing ETH funds upon conversion, and rapid positioning build-up ahead of SEC approval.In the long term, Citi analysts said that Bitcoin and Ethereum are expected to remain highly correlated, driven by macroeconomic factors. Despite differing on-chain activity and potential use-cases, such as Bitcoin’s role as “digital gold” and Ethereum’s smart contract functionality, sentiment, adoption, and further use-case development remain crucial for both cryptocurrencies.”We expect the major tokens to remain highly correlated and continue to be driven by macro forces over the longer term,” Citi memo concludes. More