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    Argentina posts fourth month of fiscal surplus under Milei, but margin narrows

    The primary fiscal surplus stood at 264.9 billion pesos ($299.0 million) in April, down from the 625.0 billion pesos seen in March, but marking the fourth straight month in positive territory after years of regular deficits. The government of President Milei, a libertarian economist, also achieved a first-quarter primary fiscal surplus of 275 billion pesos, the first of its kind in 16 years.The country’s financial surplus, a figure that includes interest payments, reached 17.4 billion pesos ($19.6 million) in April, a drop from the 276.6 billion pesos of March.Milei took office in December, after riding a wave of voter frustration over an extended economic crisis that has hit Argentine wallets with a steadily growing inflation rate that currently stands at nearly 290%. Milei says decades of government overspending is the main culprit for the country’s triple-digit inflation. He has pledged to achieve a budget balance this year and a primary surplus. The president has pushed austerity, despite a steep cost to economic activity, and looked to curb liquidity in the market, a campaign that has been well received by investors and major backer, the International Monetary Fund (IMF). ($1 = 886.0000 Argentine pesos) More

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    FirstFT: China trade experts urge Xi Jinping to respond with caution to US tariffs

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $85 per monthBilled Quarterly at $199. Complete digital access plus the FT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Putin and Xi vow to co-operate against ‘destructive and hostile’ US

    Standard DigitalWeekend Print + Standard Digitalwasnow $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Bostic sees ongoing disinflation leading to possible cut, but nothing locked in

    While acknowledging that the Fed isn’t yet there on its goal to bring inflation down to 2%, Bostic said that his current outlook is for an ongoing fall in inflation, which would make appropriate to cut rates later in the year, but cautioned that nothing is locked in.The remarks arrive a day after a the consumer price index data for April, showed that inflation slowed more than expected, with the Atlanta Fed president flagging slowing shelter inflation as a major development. Bostic did caution, however, that that one data point is not a trend, and said there were “a number of different scenarios” that could yet play out on the inflation front. Bostic has been one of the most vocal Fed members expressing doubt on the need for multiple rate cuts in the wake of inflation still running above the central bank’s target. Recent market consensus have finally caught up with his view as bets on multiple rate cuts seen earlier this year have been pared back to just two — with September now expected to be the start of the cutting cycle.  That is still fewer than than the three cuts for 2024 that Fed members had projected at the March meeting. A fresh set of FOMC economic projections are expected next month.   More

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    Adecoagro EPS Beats Estimates, Revenue Up YoY

    The company attributed its revenue growth to a higher volume of sugarcane crushed, leading to increased sugar production and sales at robust prices, along with a rise in average selling prices in the Rice segment. Despite the positive revenue trend, adjusted net income for the first quarter was $23.3 million, marking a 40.1% decline from the previous year. This decrease was partly due to a loss in the mark-to-market of biological assets influenced by lower sugar prices.Adecoagro’s adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $90.1 million, a slight 1.1% improvement from the first quarter of the previous year. This was primarily driven by the strong performance of all three segments of the company’s Farming business, which offset a 32% decline in the Sugar, Ethanol & Energy business’s adjusted EBITDA due to lower sugar prices and higher freight costs.The company’s net debt saw a significant reduction, down 23.0% YoY, with the net debt to LTM adjusted EBITDA ratio reaching 1.3x, a reduction from the 1.9x reported in the first quarter of the previous year.In their remarks, Adecoagro’s management highlighted the shareholder distribution approved at the Annual Shareholder Meeting held on April 17th, with a cash dividend distribution of $35 million to be paid in two installments. Additionally, the company has invested $26.6 million in repurchasing shares under its existing buyback program.A recent transaction in April 2024 saw the sale of La Pecuaria farm in Uruguay, which generated an adjusted EBITDA of $15.3 million, to be recorded in the second quarter.CFO Emilio Gnecco commented on the results, “Our first-quarter performance reflects the strength of our diversified portfolio and the resilience of our business model. Despite market challenges, we remain committed to delivering value to our shareholders and investing in sustainable growth.”This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. More

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    Bitcoin Price Alert: Key Indicator Issues Signal Amid Market Uncertainty

    On Bitcoin’s four-hour chart, the TD Sequential indicator has flashed a sell signal, suggesting that the current uptrend may be running out of steam and that a short-term correction could be imminent. While the TD Sequential is not a guarantee of future price movements, its historical accuracy might present it as a watchful indicator for traders who are eyeing short-term price movements.Despite the sell signal, it is important to consider the broader context of the Bitcoin price action. At the time of writing, BTC was up 1.80% in the last 24 hours to $65,736 after reaching highs of $66,772 in today’s trading session.BTC surged to over $66,000 on Wednesday as U.S. inflation data heightened the prospects of the Fed cutting interest rates in the coming months. BTC, like other risk assets, is susceptible to predicted changes in major central banks’ monetary policy.The latest data releases suggest that U.S. weekly jobless claims remain elevated, while April import and export prices both rose sharply on the month. Import prices rose 1.1% in April. As it stands, eyes are on BTC’s daily 50-day SMA at $65,111 to act as an intermediate support to halt BTC’s current price declines. Bulls might need to defend this key support level to prevent declines near $60,000. On the other hand, if buyers sustain the BTC price above the 50-day simple moving average, this might trigger a possible rally to the resistance at $73,777, where bears are expected to put up a fight. Galaxy Digital founder and CEO Mike Novogratz predicted during the firm’s first-quarter earnings call that Bitcoin might consolidate between $55,000 and $75,000 before moving higher. Traders should pay attention to these key Bitcoin price levels.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Dow tops 40,000, Biden trolls Trump in split-screen video

    The state of the U.S. economy looms as one of the larger factors weighing on the Democratic president’s bid for reelection. Persistently high prices have hindered Biden’s efforts to win credit from voters for his handling of the economy, although inflation in recent months has been easing.”Good one, Donald,” Biden said in a post on X hours after the blue-chip index made its gains. In an accompanying video, a split screen shows Donald Trump campaigning in the 2020 presidential election he lost to the Democrat. “If Biden wins, you’re going to have a stock market collapse the likes of which you’ve never had,” Trump says in the video clip. The top half of the screen shows the year 2024 and images of Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, with commentary from an array of business television newscasters on the 40,000 breach.”The Dow 30 broke 40,000 for the first time in history,” one broadcaster says.”Look at that market!” exclaims a second.”We see earnings increasing for the second quarter. We see record earnings estimates for the third and fourth quarter and that’s what really impresses me,” another intones. The video ends with Fox Business Network’s Stuart Varney saying, “I’ve been doing this a long time. I never expected the Dow to hit 40,000.” The Trump campaign did not immediately respond to a request for comment.Biden has struggled to convince voters of the efficacy of his economic policies despite a backdrop of low unemployment and above-trend economic growth. A Reuters/Ipsos poll last month showed Trump had a 7 percentage-point edge over Biden on the economy. More

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    BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Surpasses Rivals as This Crucial Metric Hits New Record

    The analyst’s post reveals that a surprising 414 reported holders in the fund’s first 13F season have been reported. This is a “mind boggling” figure for this metric, the analyst admitted, adding that it “blows away [the] record.”Balchunas then clarified that even if a newly born ETF gets 20 holders, that is already a big deal very rare.The analyst provided an infographic to show how far behind some of the other largest spot Bitcoin ETFs stand behind BlackRock (NYSE:BLK). Bitwise’s BITB boasts around 100 reported holders, Fidelity’s FBTC has slightly under 250 and Ark Invest has less than 100.In the meantime, BlackRock’s ETF keeps seeing zero inflows for the third consecutive day. The other nine spot ETFs have seen positive inflows over the past three days, scooping up $303 million worth of Bitcoin on May 15, according to data shared by the @spotonchain analytics account.This article was originally published on U.Today More