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    Fed’s Kashkari: Strong economy means Fed has time to study data before rate cuts

    Inflation is making “rapid progress” towards the Fed’s 2% target due to improvements in the supply of labor, goods and services, Kashkari said. While there may be some signs of economic weakness, he added, the overall story right now is one of continued growth and low unemployment — not of an economy stressed by the impact of a high Fed policy rate.”These data lead me to question how much downward pressure monetary policy is currently placing,” on the economy, even though high interest rates are helping keep inflation expectations in check, he said. “The current stance of monetary policy may not be as tight” as suspected.”The implication of this is that…it gives the (Federal Open Market Committee) time to assess upcoming economic data before starting to lower the federal funds rate, with less risk that too-tight policy is going to derail the economic recovery,” he said. The Fed at its policy meeting last week held interest rates steady at the current 5.25% to 5.5% range adopted in July. However, U.S. central bankers signaled they’d be ready to lower the benchmark rate after gaining more confidence inflation will continue to slow.Debate in coming weeks will center around whether incoming data help build more certainty about the path of inflation, and how the sorts of risk calculations Kashkari mentioned figure into the discussion. More

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    Important Bitcoin Statement Made by Crypto Capital Venture CEO Ahead of Halving

    He suggested the cryptocurrency community should prepare themselves for Bitcoin going parabolic.However, the crypto trader tweeted that the Bitcoin supply shock pressure is already starting to build up. The effect of the upcoming Bitcoin halving is also being strengthened by spot Bitcoin ETF issuers grabbing Bitcoin from cryptocurrency exchanges – BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), Fidelity, Ark Invest, VanEck and others (while Grayscale continues to sell Bitcoin).As reported earlier, prominent Bitcoin maximalist Samson Mow also tweeted several times that he expects a Bitcoin supply shock and Bitcoin demand shock to meet at some point after the halvening takes place.The approval of the Ethereum ETF will potentially cause the ETH price to skyrocket as ETF issuers will also begin to scoop up the second-largest cryptocurrency in large amounts. Crypto YouTuber Lark Davis believes Ethereum is likely to surge to the $4,000 level (a prediction first made by Standard Chartered) on that wave of financial institutions purchasing Ethereum.Besides, Davis suggested that exchange-traded products based on altcoins other than Ethereum are likely to start emerging. He named Dogecoin, Solana, Chainlink and Avalanche coins as the basis for them in particular. These ETFs may be launched by the end of the year, Davis reckons.He mentioned the Franklin Templeton fund, which has been tweeting about Solana recently, and in an interview with Bloomberg, the fund’s rep stated that the cryptocurrency market may see more ETFs coming from them soon. In January, they launched a spot Bitcoin ETF, EZBC.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Job worries sour mood for Chinese heading home for holidays

    SHANGHAI (Reuters) – Chinese workers packed into trains on Monday, heading home for the Lunar New Year holidays with worries about their jobs and a stuttering economy overshadowing the build-up to the long-awaited family reunions.People are expected to make a record 9 billion journeys before and after the Feb. 10-17 break – usually a time for celebration and relaxation.But this year, many said they were worried what they might find when, or even if, their employers call them back.”Business was not very good,” said Wang Jinzhu, looking back at the past year at the electric toothbrush maker where he works. Sales were down 30% at the business that exports most of its products to the U.S. and Europe.”I feel my days were tougher than in previous years… I think 2024 could be even harder,” the 42-year-old said before boarding a train in Shanghai to the central Henan province.Many factories in China have been locked in a relentless price war for shrinking business as higher interest rates and rising protectionism abroad squeeze demand for their goods.Producer prices have fallen for 15 straight months, crushing profit margins and endangering workers’ incomes and jobs, adding another major headache for the world’s second-largest economy, already reeling from a property crisis and a debt crunch.China’s economy grew 5.2% last year. But for many – including unemployed graduates, property owners who feel poorer as their flats lost value and the workers earning less that a year ago – it felt like it was shrinking. Nie Yating, who has worked in a Shanghai pet hospital for the past six months, said many of her colleagues saw their monthly pay drop by at least 1,000 yuan ($139) as the business continued to struggle to get back on its feet after the COVID lockdowns.”The company had expanded quickly and then came the pandemic: they closed branches, fired staff and it’s affecting wages as well,” the 24-year-old said before her trip to her hometown of Anqing in the southwest.In recent months, Chinese authorities have ramped up efforts to project confidence in the economy and calm nervy financial markets, with stocks lingering around five-year lows. On Friday, a headline in the official Communist Party newspaper People’s Daily proclaimed: “The entire country is filled with optimism.” But Wu Kan, who runs a small dredging business with six boats and a dozen workers, had little reason to feel confident about the rest of 2024.Instead of travelling back home, he was heading to the eastern province of Shandong to try to collect overdue payments from clients. He has been paying his workers’ wages from his own pocket.”Money is tight and the economy, post-COVID, feels in a bad shape. People are generally short of money,” Wu said.    “If I can’t collect the money I’m won’t be able to make any investments in the new year.” One option, he said, was to shut the business down.($1 = 7.1984 Chinese yuan renminbi) More

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    Bitcoin to $2.3 Million? ARK Invest Doesn’t Exclude This

    The report posits that allocating just 1% of the $250 trillion global investable asset base to Bitcoin could potentially drive its price to $120,000. However, the more noteworthy projection arises with a 19.4% allocation, forecasting a potential price of $2.3 million. While these figures may raise eyebrows, they underscore the evolving perception of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class.Highlighting key catalysts for Bitcoin in 2024, the report places a spotlight on the upcoming halving, expected in April. This event, occurring approximately every four years, historically coincides with the initiation of a bull market. The forthcoming halving will reduce Bitcoin’s inflation rate from ~1.8% to ~0.9%, potentially influencing its value.Institutional acceptance also emerges as a crucial factor, with ARK anticipating a shift in perception from viewing BTC as a speculative instrument to recognizing it as a strategic investment in diversified portfolios. Notably, influential figures such as Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), have signaled a change in stance toward Bitcoin’s potential as a “flight to quality.”This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Raoul Pal Makes Epic Bitcoin (BTC) Comparison With Legacy Assets

    The top analyst also showcased the annual returns on the Nasdaq, pegged at about 21% from doing nothing as well. While he initially noted rhetorically that achieving the goal was not easy, he went on to acknowledge how easy hitting the massive Bitcoin surge is when placed side by side with the GMI Total Global Liquidity Index (the global fiat debasement).With major currencies sliding in value over time, the attractiveness of Bitcoin has come to light. Raoul Pal threw a direct jab at Bitcoin critics, who believe a bet on the coin will “end in tears.” He noted that the same narrative has been ongoing for almost a decade now as critics argue that “correlation doesn’t equal causation.”Raoul Pal is confident in the ability of Bitcoin to continually defy the norm as he believes the digital currency will continually see exponential growth while mainstream legacy assets print financial repression.While it maintains some forms of correlation with the Nasdaq 100 at a time, there has been a decoupling over the past few months, with Bitcoin now acting on internal factors like the emergence of spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) products.Top investors like Samson Mow see the price of Bitcoin surpassing the $1 million benchmark sometime soon, and other veterans like Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood and SkyBridge Capital’s Anthony Scaramucci are confident in the ability of the coin to keep growing as well.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Canada’s plan to cap top lending rates could spur criminal activity, study shows

    TORONTO (Reuters) – Canada’s plan to cut the maximum lending rate for regulated institutions could give illicit financiers an opportunity to step in and serve distressed customers, leading to a rise in criminal activity, a study released on Monday showed.Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland in the 2023 Federal budget laid out plans to amend the Criminal Code to cap the top annual consumer lending rate for all regulated financial institutions at 35% from 47% to combat predatory lending practices. This marks the first time in over 40 years that Canada has targeted the peak lending rates, also called the criminal rate of interest.But the move would lead to a rise in illicit financial activities, endangering Canadians already struggling with increasing costs of living, the Ontario Association of Chiefs of Police (OACP) and Canadian Lenders Association (CLA) said in a statement.”The legislation has the potential to create a vacuum for criminals to fill,” said Barry Horrobin, Co-Chair of the OACP’s Community Safety and Crime Prevention Committee.Horrobin argued that illegal predatory lenders could take advantage of Canadians by operating online from outside the bounds of Canadian jurisdiction.The proposal would restrict access to credit for about 4.7 million Canadians, about 16% of the nation’s population with active credit files, forcing them to rely on payday or illegal lending to meet their credit needs, the study, based on case studies from Quebec, California and Britain, showed.About 8.5 million Canadians rely on non-prime lenders, according to the CLA, which represents over 300 lenders. Given the “notable profit margins” of many of these lenders, suggestions that lenders might deny credit to some of the most vulnerable Canadians is “entirely irresponsible,” Katherine Cuplinskas, a spokesperson for the Finance Department said.The Bank of Canada has raised its benchmark interest rate to a 22-year high of 5% to fight inflation. The prime lending rates for the country’s top six lenders hover around 7%, but sub-prime borrowers have to pay significantly more.The study said a significant number of regulated lenders would need to exit the market due to their inability to serve the higher-risk non-prime segment, potentially leading to an increase in criminal activities, including illegal lending and loan sharking.At the same time, several consumer advocacy groups have cheered the government’s move saying it is the first step to tackling predatory lending. More