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    France says EU Commission to end trade deal talks with Mercosur countries

    Farmers have staged massive protests in France over the past few weeks, angry about rising costs and cheap imports, following similar action in other European countries, including Germany and Poland. French farmers have in particular objected to ongoing talks on a trade deal between the EU and Mercosur nations, which they say would allow cheap food imports that do not meet strict EU standards. “(Macron) has very firmly reiterated to the Commission the fact it was impossible to conclude talks in these conditions,” a French presidential adviser told reporters ahead of Thursday’s EU summit.The adviser added that the EU understood it was impossible to reach a deal in this context and that EU talks with Mercosur countries had been stopped.”It is our understanding it has instructed its negotiators to put an end to the negotiation session underway in Brazil and in particular cancel the visit of the Commission’s vice-president that had been envisaged in view of a conclusion,” he added.The Commission said that EU and Mercosur technical experts remained in contact, including meetings on Jan. 25-26 in Brazil, but some important questions remained open.”The EU focus remains on ensuring that the agreement delivers on the EU’s sustainability goals, while respecting the EU’s sensitivities in the agricultural sector,” a spokesperson said.France has repeatedly expressed reservations about the EU-Mercosur deal, the text of which was agreed in 2019 after 20 years of on-off negotiations. Several other EU members back the deal. Talks resumed after the EU sought assurances on climate change and deforestation from Mercosur countries, a customs union formed by Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay.In Brasilia, diplomats said Macron was under pressure to defend French agricultural issues and his views did not represent those of the European Commission, with talks expected to continue in the coming months.Brazil’s foreign ministry declined to comment on Macron’s statements, but a ministry source said that the talks “are not carried out with individual countries or presidents, but between Mercosur and the European Commission.”EU and Mercosur trade negotiators met in Brasilia for two days last week but reported “limited progress,” according to one diplomat involved in the talks, who was sceptical that the deal could be concluded before the World Trade Organization (WTO) ministerial meetings at the end of next month as some had hoped.”Negotiations are proceeding slowly in the right direction. But it will take more time,” another diplomat told Reuters. More

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    2024 set to be crucial year for global semiconductor industry

    This article is an on-site version of our Disrupted Times newsletter. Sign up here to get the newsletter sent straight to your inbox three times a weekToday’s top storiesFor up-to-the-minute news updates, visit our live blogGood evening.News that a low-cost chipmaking machine from Canon could start shipping as early as this year cannot come too soon for a $600bn semiconductor industry that finds itself at the centre of geopolitical tensions between the US and China, which in turn is ramping up production capacity.Canon hopes the new machine — which stamps chip designs on to silicon wafers rather than etching them using light — can undercut longtime industry leader ASML in providing the tools to make leading-edge semiconductors. It will also be a shot in the arm for Japanese manufacturers, which have lost ground to rivals in South Korea, Taiwan and, increasingly, China over the past three decades.As Chris Miller, the academic and author of Chip War, argues in the FT today, the west needs a plan to cope with the forthcoming leap in chip production capacity from China — helped by generous subsidies — which is expected to double over the next five years. Since western restrictions on the exports of chipmaking equipment to China mean that it can’t make the most advanced processor chips, much of this production will be of the more basic type used in cars, household goods and consumer devices. The resulting supply glut, he argues, is likely to drive down prices — and western companies’ profits.Back in Canon’s home market, Japan is taking direct action through a $6.4bn investment in a semiconductor materials supplier via a government-backed fund. Tokyo says it will strengthen the country’s global competitiveness in the production and development of cutting-edge chips, but, as our Big Read details, for some it rekindles memories of heavy state intervention of the past.Japan’s move follows the introduction of subsidies for domestic manufacturers in the US through the Chips and Science Act, in the EU with its European Chips Act; and in the UK through its National Semiconductor Strategy. Supply chain foul-ups during the pandemic had exposed how Europe in particular had become over-reliant on chip imports from abroad.Analysts will also be closely monitoring earnings announcements this week from the likes of Qualcomm and AMD, which should give broad clues on the health of the industry. Some argue the rally in US chip stocks — Nvidia and AMD have doubled in value over the past year — masks a more muted outlook in other parts of the tech sector. Disappointing forecasts from industry bellwethers Intel and Texas Instruments last week have added to doubts about a broader recovery.Still, the Semiconductor Industry Association, which represents most global chipmakers, is confident that the market can bounce back from its 2023 downturn, driven by rising demand for high-priced processors designed for artificial intelligence. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world’s biggest contract chipmaker, is similarly bullish, forecasting a return to strong growth this year as the global market recovers. Need to know: UK and European economyThe food industry warned of higher prices and shortages when new post-Brexit border measures come into effect on Wednesday. Complex paperwork and a shortage of vets to sign export health certificates on the continent could hit supply chains for several products.The Bank of England makes its decision on interest rates on Thursday. Despite encouraging news on inflation, economists are expecting rates to stay on hold at 5.25 per cent.German rightwing populists suffered an unexpected defeat in a widely watched regional election after a fortnight of nationwide protests. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party had looked likely to secure its second-ever local government mandate amid growing support for anti-immigration policies.  EU climate chief Wopke Hoekstra told the FT that climate action and business success were not incompatible as Brussels fends off a backlash against its ambitious environmental plans. Need to know: global economyThe US Federal Reserve makes its interest rate decision on Wednesday. Recent strong economic data have boosted convictions that it can take its time before making its first cut, with rates likely to stay unchanged at a 23-year high of 5.25 to 5.5 per cent.Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger, all ruled by military juntas, have quit the Economic Community of West African States, marking a significant deterioration of relations in the region. Ecowas had already suspended the three nations from the union, which promotes economic integration and freedom of movement.Sergio Moro, the former Brazilian judge and anti-corruption crusader who sent current president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to jail in 2017, faces the loss of his Senate seat and a Supreme Court investigation.Need to know: businessBP is under pressure from activist investors to ditch its clean energy plans, including the only hard target in the sector to cut oil and gas output. Bluebell, a London-based hedge fund that previously took on Danone and Glencore, said the “irrational strategy” was destroying shareholder value by moving away from hydrocarbons faster than society. Ryanair offered to take up Boeing’s surplus 737 Max planes if US airlines pulled their orders following the recent fuselage blowout. As our Big Read explains, the incident has the potential to reshape the world aviation market to the benefit of Boeing’s rival Airbus.Philips stopped sales of its sleep apnoea device in the US after reaching a deal with regulators to set aside €363mn to fix long-running problems with the breathing machines involving the disintegration of noise-dampening foam inside them.KaDeWe, Germany’s most famous department store, filed for insolvency. The 117-year-old institution said it could not afford to pay rent on its store in Berlin, one of Europe’s biggest luxury retail outlets.The creation of a new company to run England’s top women’s football leagues has sparked new hope that clubs can capitalise on the rising popularity of the game. Elon Musk’s X blocked searches for Taylor Swift after sexually explicit images of the pop star created using artificial intelligence spread across the platform. The incident is the latest example of how social media groups are scrambling to tackle “deepfakes”.The world of workConsultancy EY has started monitoring UK employees’ office attendance, with swipe card entry data being circulated at senior levels of the firm. At least 50 per cent of some teams are failing to meet its policy of being in the office at least two days a week.More than a quarter of UK employees are subject to non-compete clauses that make it harder to switch jobs, according to the competition regulator, strengthening the case for legislation restricting their use. Data matters to business but must be presented in a way that engages employees, writes Michael Skapinker. Managers need to learn how to present facts honestly while empathising with people’s difficulties, he says.What to do when staff are exasperated by red tape, worn down by petty rules and procedures, and held back by nitpicking managers and indecisive leaders? Stanford professors Huggy Rao and Bob Sutton share tips on removing bad “friction” in companies. Some good newsSome good news ahead of World Cancer Day next week. The introduction of a vaccine for young women against human papillomavirus in Scotland appears to have been successful in preventing cases of cervical cancer, with women from more deprived areas benefiting the most.Recommended newslettersWorking it — Discover the big ideas shaping today’s workplaces with a weekly newsletter from Work & Careers editor Isabel Berwick. Sign up hereThe Climate Graphic: Explained — Understanding the most important climate data of the week. Sign up hereThanks for reading Disrupted Times. If this newsletter has been forwarded to you, please sign up here to receive future issues. And please share your feedback with us at [email protected]. Thank you More

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    Ethereum (ETH) Becomes Target of Massive $1 Billion Sell-Off: Who’s Responsible?

    The distribution of this sell-off was as follows: 297,454 ETH ($656.5 million) moved to Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) Prime, 146,507 ETH to Paxos Treasury and smaller amounts of 7,800 ETH each, totaling $17.2 million, were transferred to FalconX and Coinbase. Despite this massive transfer, Celsius reportedly retains a reserve of 62,468 ETH, worth around $139 million.Such a colossal sale exerts immense pressure on Ethereum’s price and could significantly sway market sentiment. The immediate concern for investors and traders is whether Ethereum’s liquidity and market capitalization can absorb such a hit without triggering a broad market downturn.From a technical analysis standpoint, the massive outflow from Celsius is a bearish signal, likely to test Ethereum’s local support levels. A crucial support to watch is around the $2,000 price range, a psychological and technical support level, which, if breached, could see the price tumble to the next significant support at $1,800. This level has historically acted as a strong buy zone and may serve as a robust defense against further declines.Conversely, resistance levels have become more formidable due to the sell-off. Any potential recovery will have to confront the resistance at $2,200, which previously acted as a support level. A break above this could see Ethereum attempt to reclaim higher price levels, possibly testing the $2,400 resistance.The substantial sell-off initiated by Celsius has placed Ethereum in a problematic position. Although the Ethereum network’s fundamentals remain robust, the asset’s price resilience in the face of such a significant sell-off shows the actual state of the market.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Signa Holding faces claims of $9 billion – insolvency manager

    The insolvency manager, Christof Stapf, said that it had recognized only a fraction of the claims so far – just 80.3 million euros – and that many of the claims arrived without necessary supporting materials or late.Signa is the biggest casualty so far of Europe’s property crisis. It announced debts of around 5 billion euros when it announced its insolvency last year. Talks are still ongoing over the sale of Signa’s stakes in the Chrysler Building and its media holdings, Stapf said.($1 = 0.9248 euros)($1 = 0.9240 euros) More

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    Jim Cramer Might Be Behind Bitcoin’s Latest Correction, Here’s How

    With all eyes on Bitcoin, the latest correction might be a result of the Jim Cramer effect. Based on precedent, crypto proponents on X have identified a pattern that sees Bitcoin move in the opposite direction from what Jim Cramer identifies. As the CNBC Mad Money Host noted on X on Jan. 24, he pointed out that Bitcoin was off to a strong start in defiance of his earlier call that the coin’s floor might still be far away.When this statement was made, Bitcoin was trading at about the $40,000 price mark, and its correction at the time of writing suggests the Jim Cramer theory might be accurate after all. The launched spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) product has not produced enough impact, as projected by top market veterans like Samson Mow. While there is enough time to hit the $1 million price projection from Mow, Bitcoin’s outlook since the product started trading has been relatively gloomy.With the Bitcoin halving event now ahead, the market is choosing to lean on another network fundamental to anticipate a massive bullish resurgence in the price of the digital currency. According to top analysts like Benjamin Cowen, BTC is poised to enter the bull market ahead of the forthcoming halving.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    $1 Million Bitcoin Advocate Samson Mow Names Key BTC Price Indicators

    Samson Mow’s core projection for the BTC price to touch $1 million someday hinges on the capital inflow into spot Bitcoin ETF products. Beyond this, he noted that the network hashrate is also worth watching. With this metric cruising to a new high in recent times, higher growth is expected ahead of the next halving event.Next on his list is the Finex whale accumulation metric and the 200 WMA trend. Surprisingly, he listed the Tether (USDT) Asset Under Management (AUM) as an essential indicator to watch as the stablecoin forms the key liquidity base for the coin.Besides these on-chain indicators, Samson Mow also named the government’s interest payments on debt, the Debt GDP ratios, nation state Bitcoin adoption, real inflation and M3 Money. All of these indicators have a convergence point to influence the BTC price outlook in the long term.At the current price level, Bitcoin is now down 38.9% from its all-time high (ATH) of $68,789.63. To proponents like Samson Mow, the forthcoming halving event will complement the spot BTC ETF products to help revive the price of Bitcoin in the most dramatic way ever.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Ghana central bank cuts policy rate as inflation eases

    ACCRA (Reuters) -Ghana’s central bank lowered its main interest rate by 100 basis points to 29% on Monday, its first rate cut since 2021, after inflation fell for the fifth consecutive month in December.The West African cocoa, gold and oil producer has been restructuring its debts as it tries to emerge from its worst economic crisis in a generation that saw inflation rocket beyond 50% in annual terms in late 2022.But price pressures eased considerably over the second half of 2023, falling to 23.2% year-on-year in December from 26.4% in November and 35.2% in October.Bank of Ghana Governor Ernest Addison told a news conference that bank officials now forecast inflation would drop to 13%-17% by the end of the year and to 6%-10% by 2025.The central bank targets inflation of 8% with a margin of error of 2 percentage points either side.”Several factors have supported the disinflation process, namely, the tightening monetary policy stance throughout 2023, favourable international crude oil prices which led to stable ex-pump prices and transportation costs, and relative stability in the exchange rate,” Addison said on Monday.He said there was still a need to maintain a strong policy stance.Ghana’s government earlier this month reached a milestone in its quest for debt relief when it agreed a deal to restructure $5.4 billion of loans with its official creditors.Following the agreement, the International Monetary Fund allowed an immediate disbursement of about $600 million under its $3 billion bailout programme and the World Bank approved $300 million in financing.Ghana, which defaulted on most external debt in December 2022 after servicing costs soared, also wants to reach a relief deal with holders of about $13 billion in international bonds. More