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    Ethereum (ETH) Makes Comeback, Finally

    The recent downtrend in ETHUSD had led many investors to consider Ethereum an underbought asset, slapping the label “beta play” on it, suggesting it was a less volatile, less rewarding investment compared to its peers. This perception is now being challenged as Ethereum demonstrates strength and growth potential, with its price incrementally rising against both USD and other cryptocurrencies. While Ethereum gains momentum, its competitor, Solana, is observed to be relinquishing much of its previously accumulated value, highlighting the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets.The shifting focus towards may be partly attributed to the increasing interest in Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum and Optimism. These platforms promise to address Ethereum’s scalability and high transaction fee issues, which have been significant concerns for users and developers. As the Ethereum network continues to be the primary choice for decentralized applications, the enhancement of its scalability and efficiency through Layer 2 solutions could significantly support its attractiveness and utility, driving further adoption and investment.Layer 2 solutions have become increasingly critical as they allow Ethereum to scale effectively by handling transactions off the main chain (Layer 1), thus alleviating congestion and reducing fees. The successful implementation and adoption of these solutions are crucial for Ethereum’s long-term viability as a smart contract platform, especially as it faces stiff competition from rivals that offer cheaper user experience.As Ethereum’s price shows a positive trajectory, there is a cautious optimism among investors that this could be the beginning of a bullish trend. However, the overall market sentiment remains subject to various external factors, including macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and technological advancements within the blockchain space.Venture Capitals (VCs), renowned for their strategic investments and market influence, have played a pivotal role in the pricing volatility observed in Solana. Initially, VCs were significant proponents of the Solana ecosystem, recognizing its potential for high throughput and efficient transaction capabilities. This support resulted in a substantial influx of capital which, combined with speculative interest from retail investors, propelled Solana to new heights.However, the very nature of venture capital investments involves calculated entry and exit strategies. As Solana’s prices soared, VCs began to capitalize on their investments, introducing considerable selling pressure in the market. This is not a development unique to Solana; it’s a prevalent cycle seen across various cryptocurrency platforms where after substantial appreciation, investors seek to realize profits.Retail investors, on the other hand, often find themselves riding the wave of enthusiasm. The proliferation of memecoins within the ecosystem, which delivered exponential returns in a short span, is a testament to this fervor. However, the staggering returns were also accompanied by heightened risks, including projects with inadequate security measures, leading to ‘rug pulls’ and market manipulations.As the market begins to assimilate these risks, a natural retreat occurs. Retail investors, learning from the market’s punitive lessons, start to engage in profit-taking. This behavior is partly defensive, a safeguard against the anticipated surge in selling pressure from VCs and a measure to secure gains from the speculative frenzy that had become all too common.Moreover, the cooling off of Solana’s ecosystem is reflected in its capitalization metrics. The excessive heat, characterized by the meteoric rise of memecoins and the influx of speculative capital, has diminished. The market has started to recalibrate, aligning more closely with fundamental valuations rather than the speculative momentum that previously drove demand.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    G7 leaders to discuss legal theory on seizing Russian assets – sources

    CHRISTIANSTED, St. Croix (Reuters) -G7 leaders will discuss a new legal theory that would enable the seizure of $300 billion in frozen Russian assets when they meet in February, two sources familiar with the plans and a British official said on Thursday.U.S. and UK officials have worked in recent months to jumpstart efforts to confiscate Russian assets immobilized in Belgium and other European cities, and hope Group of Seven leaders agree to issue a stronger statement when they meet in late February, around the second anniversary of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, the three sources said.The discussion takes place as U.S. President Joe Biden faces Republican opposition to his request for another $61 billion in aid to Ukraine, with U.S. officials warning of dire consequences for the Ukraine war effort.The United States, backed by the UK, Japan and Canada, has proposed that G7 working groups develop options for G7 leaders, the sources said, but cautioned against expecting “an actual announcement” about asset seizures at the late February meeting.The new legal theory would allow asset seizures in “very specific circumstances” involving an aggressor country, one of the sources said.”The U.S. has been able to develop a legal theory for how Russia could be held accountable that we think will be held up internationally in the courts and will be widely recognized as legitimate,” the source said.No decisions had been made, and several countries – including the United States and Britain – would require legislative changes to establish the needed authorities to carry out such seizures, two of the sources said.The Financial Times reported earlier Thursday that Washington had proposed setting up three working groups to examine the legal issues around confiscation; the method of applying such a policy and mitigating risks; and options for how to best channel the support to Ukraine.G7 leaders have long argued that Russia is obligated under international law to end its war and pay for the damage it has caused, which already exceeds $400 billion dollars, according to the World Bank.In a Dec. 6 statement, G7 leaders said they would “explore all possible avenues to aid Ukraine in obtaining compensation from Russia, consistent with our respective legal systems and international law” and directed their relevant ministers to continue working on the issue.One of the sources said there was still more work to be done, including convincing other countries to join in.”This is something that the international community would need to collectively do in order to ensure it can be done effectively,” the source said, adding that some countries would only proceed if all European countries signed on.The Financial Times noted that some European countries, including Italy – which takes over the G7 presidency in 2024 – were wary, fearing the possible implications for financial stability as well as retaliatory action from Russia.Moscow has already threatened to take retaliatory action against countries that seize its assets. More

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    Ukraine government donor letter no grounds for panic, says Ukrinform

    The country’s economy depends heavily on financial support from partners and Kyiv has been concerned whether it will continue as new aid packages have been recently blocked both in the European Union and in the United States.Bloomberg reported earlier on Thursday that Shmyhal had sent a letter this month to an international group coordinating funds for Ukraine saying it was “imperative that we receive sufficient, prompt, and predictable external financing, beginning January 2024.” The letter also asked donors to meet in January ahead of a scheduled meeting the following month, the report said.”We explain: You should not panic. This is part of systemic work with partners,” Ukrinform said in a post on Telegram linking to its coverage of Bloomberg’s report. “This was reported to Ukrinform by a high-ranking source familiar with the situation, commenting on the report by Bloomberg,” Ukrinform’s Telegram post added.On its website, Ukrinform quoted the unnamed source as saying the letter was sent to participants in the Multi-agency Donor Coordination Platform, which coordinates funds for Ukraine, after it met on Dec. 19 and “determined that budget support was to be the main direction” of its work in 2024.”This is part of systemic work with partners,” Ukrinform quoted the source as saying. The platform’s steering committee is made up of senior officials from Ukraine, G7 countries and the EU.Shmyhal said on Dec. 21 that Ukraine had received the last 1.5 billion euro ($1.65 billion) tranche from the 18 billion package expected from the European Union for 2023.For 2024, Ukraine hopes to receive 18.5 billion euros from the EU and more than $8 billion from a U.S. package that also contains vital military assistance. Voting on both packages was moved to the beginning of the next year. More

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    Brazil’s Haddad unveils set of tax tweaks to ensure balanced public accounts

    The package aims to completely replace the text of an approved bill that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva vetoed, just to have it overturned by Congress two weeks ago.Speaking at a press conference, Haddad said that all measures would constitute an executive order to be released this year. Once signed by Lula, the measures would be immediately effective for four months, but would require Congress approval to go past that period.The changes erase rules approved by lawmakers for small towns and scale back tax benefits to companies, and they are likely to face political scrutiny, said Senator Efraim Filho, the author of the bill targeted by the replacement proposal.”The issuance of the executive order contradicts a decision made by a broad majority in Congress. It will face resistance right from the start,” he wrote on social media.Haddad, who reiterated the government’s intention to pursue balanced public accounts in 2024, had previously indicated that the government would present a substitute proposal for the bill.It originally extended payroll tax exemptions for 17 labor sectors until 2027, and its impact had not yet been incorporated into the 2024 budget.The minister clarified on Thursday that the majority revenue loss, around 15 billion reais ($3.09 billion), was expected to arise from a change contained in the text that reduced the contribution rate on payroll for smaller municipalities from 20% to 8%.According to Haddad, the executive order is now set to remove this whole part, which will be subject to further negotiation.The remaining impact of the bill, amounting to 12 billion reais, will be compensated in the new measure with tax adjustments on three fronts, said the secretary of the revenue service, Robinson Barreirinhas. The government will propose a phased end to payroll tax exemptions for the benefited sectors, suggesting that, in exchange for the standard 20% rate on the payroll, companies pay 10% or 15%, depending on their category, on the equivalent of one minimum wage for each of their formal workers.According to Haddad, this alternative has an annual cost of 6 billion reais, which will be offset by changes aiming to reduce post-pandemic tax benefits granted to the event industry through the “PERSE” program, eventually eliminating it by 2025.A third measure will restrict the ability of taxpayers to offset taxes annually, added the minister. Barreirinhas stressed that the annual ceiling for tax compensation is not yet established and will be further regulated, but 30% is a parameter that could be adopted.”The idea is to implement a scaling, the higher the value, the longer the period of use (of the tax credit), but limited to five years,” he said, adding that the limitation will only apply to tax credits received in judicial cases above 10 million reais.In a note to clients, analysts’ at XP (NASDAQ:XP) positively assessed the proposal, mentioning a “good probability of achieving fiscal gains” with the measures, which may mitigate current distortions. “For now, we maintain our primary deficit projection of 91.6 billion reais (0.8% of GDP), but the risks are tilted to the upside.”($1 = 4.8584 reais) More

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    US, Mexico agree to strengthen efforts to curb record migration

    Following a visit to Mexico by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, the countries said they would seek to strengthen a sponsorship initiative for Venezuelan, Cuban, Nicaraguan and Haitian migrants and look to tackle the root causes of migration.The delegations, who are set to meet again in Washington next month, also discussed regularizing the situation of beneficiaries of the U.S. Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program – the so-called Dreamers who were brought into the country illegally as children – and long-time undocumented Hispanic migrants living in the United States.The talks came after the U.S. temporarily shuttered some border crossings to redeploy agents toward enforcement, sparking a trade slowdown and criticism by Republicans of the Biden administration’s border policies. Immigration and the border are expected to be top issues in the U.S. 2024 elections, where President Joe Biden, a Democrat, is running for a second term.Earlier Thursday, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador said the two parties had agreed to keep border crossings open after the temporary closures.”This agreement has been reached, the rail crossings and the border bridges are already being opened to normalize the situation,” Lopez Obrador told a morning press conference.Lopez Obrador said Wednesday’s meetings with the U.S. delegation were “direct,” and he praised the Biden administration’s relationship with Mexico.’FAITH IN GOD’More than half a million migrants this year crossed the dangerous Darien Gap jungle connecting South America with Central America – double last year’s record – with many fleeing crime, poverty and conflict to seek better prospects in the United States.The latest of a series of caravans of migrants and asylum seekers, many with small children, is slowly walking across southern Mexico, heading towards the U.S border. Lopez Obrador estimated that the caravan counts some 1,500 people but some activists and local media have put the figure at 7,000.”We have to have faith in God,” Honduran migrant Marvin Mejias said as he traveled with his son, who has had foot surgery. Mejias said he hoped the governments had reached a deal which would help him enter the U.S. and be able to work there.Lopez Obrador said the issue of fentanyl, a powerful and deadly opioid that Mexican cartels have been trafficking into the U.S., was “hardly discussed” in Wednesday’s meeting. The United States has been pressing Mexico to do more to combat fentanyl trafficking, while Mexico has been pushing for stronger U.S. controls to prevent U.S. firearms from reaching the powerful cartels. More

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    Contracts to buy US existing homes flat as mortgage payments soften

    NEW YORK (Reuters) -Pending U.S. home sales were unchanged in November, data released Thursday showed, signaling traffic from prospective buyers is slow to recover despite interest rates easing on the most common type of home loan.An index gauging contracts to buy existing homes measured at 71.6 in November, level with October’s revised reading, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) said. Economists polled by Reuters expected an increase of 1%.On a yearly basis, pending home sales have declined 5.2%.”Although declining mortgage rates did not induce more homebuyers to submit formal contracts in November, it has sparked a surge in interest, as evidenced by a higher number of lockbox openings,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the NAR. “With mortgage rates falling further in December – leading to savings of around $300 per month from the recent cyclical peak in rates – home sales will improve in 2024.”Mortgage interest rates climbed to nearly 8% in October, coinciding with the lowest reading of pending home sales since the index was created in 2001. After the Federal Reserve left its benchmark policy rate unchanged again in November, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 6.61%, the lowest since May, for the week ended Dec. 28, Freddie Mac said. Existing home sales fell precipitously this year from 2022 as high mortgage rates encouraged homeowners locked into cheaper rates to keep their homes, shortening inventory and eroding buyer traffic.The West and Northeast regions experienced the biggest gain in contracts signed, by 4.2% and 0.8% respectively. Pending home sales in the South fell by 2.3%. More