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    The Fed could lose $100B — Does this spell catastrophe for Bitcoin?

    This discrepancy underscores the challenges posed by inflation, real estate prices and the consequences of the Fed’s policies. Pechman concludes that the Fed is now paying the price for its loose monetary approach during the pandemic, prompting a grim outlook for the U.S. Treasury Department’s finances.Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More

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    Texas provides Riot $31.7m to halt Bitcoin mining amidst energy crisis

    Amid an escalating power crisis driven by extreme weather conditions, Texas has turned to an unlikely ally for energy conservation: Riot Platforms, a major Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm.The state’s power grid operator has awarded Riot Platforms $31.7 million in energy credits for reducing electricity consumption during the ongoing heat wave. The sum eclipses the $9.7 million worth of Bitcoin the company mined in the same period.The credits are commissioned by the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT), and it will alleviate immediate stress on the grid while simultaneously lowering Riot’s operational costs. Despite reporting a loss of over $500 million in 2022, Riot Platforms has found a silver lining in these energy credits. In its most recent quarter, the Bitcoin mining company posted a loss of around $27 million on revenue of $76.7 million. The energy credits, therefore, offer a much-needed financial cushion.The state’s power infrastructure has been under increasing strain, worsened by climate change and surging demand. Last year, a snowstorm led to widespread blackouts, affecting both residential and commercial consumers. ERCOT’s recent emergency declaration, urging Texans to conserve energy between 5 p.m. and 9 p.m., underscores the ongoing challenges.During this crisis, allocating taxpayer-funded energy credits to Bitcoin miners has ignited public debate. A petition from Navarro County residents garnered nearly 1,200 signatures, opposing a local Bitcoin mining facility and citing concerns over the “enormous burden on our already fragile infrastructure.”State lawmakers are also taking note. Earlier this year, the Texas Senate passed legislation restricting incentives for cryptocurrency miners participating in ERCOT’s load-reduction programs.The Bitcoin mining industry has been at the center of controversy, particularly in Texas, where the state’s energy woes have been exacerbated by the sector’s high electricity consumption. Riot Platforms and other large-scale miners like Marathon Digital Holdings have been forced to halt operations during past emergencies, affecting their profitability and sparking debates over their role in the state’s energy landscape.This article was originally published on Crypto.news More

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    Barclays drawing up plans for hundreds of job cuts -sources

    LONDON (Reuters) -Barclays is drawing up plans to cut hundreds of jobs, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters, as the bank trims its costs while embarking on a wider strategy review.The British bank could cut as many as 400 jobs in its domestic retail business, one of the sources said, but added that the numbers were not final.The second source said the bank was planning investment bank cuts that were part of annual assessments of banker performance and that the two rounds of cuts were not related, adding that some retail staff could be redeployed or take voluntary redundancy. A Barclays spokesperson said: “We do not comment on speculation. We regularly review our operations to ensure we meet the evolving needs of our customers and clients in an efficient and effective way.”Bloomberg reported earlier on Friday that the bank was weighing hundreds of job losses.Barclays CEO C.S. Venkatakrishnan is separately embarking on a wider strategy review, amid some investor dissatisfaction at the bank’s underperformance relative to Wall Street investment banks. Barclays’ Wall Street rivals have also cut jobs this year, as investment banking revenues are taking a long time to recover. Morgan Stanley cut 3,000 jobs in the second quarter and Goldman Sachs this year reinstated performance ratings that usually result in firing of the worst performers. Citigroup (NYSE:C) announced it had cut 1,600 jobs in the second quarter. More

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    Inflation can still shake markets out of their peak Goldilocks vibe

    Over the summer, a certain familiar fairy tale kept cropping up in financial markets: Goldilocks. Key economic data releases were neither too hot nor too cold, but just right, like the porridge sampled in the story by the plucky young eponymous hero. Jobs and inflation figures were bright enough to suggest the US economy, in particular, was successfully withstanding the Federal Reserve’s scorching campaign of interest rate rises, and dull enough to suggest the central bank might not need to do too much more before inflation gets back in its box. Now, summer is over, the tans are fading, and investors have remembered that at the end of the Goldilocks story, a small child is scared out of her wits by hostile animals chasing her into the forest. Sure, the kid nicks a bit of porridge, breaks a chair and briefly exercises her squatter’s rights in a woodland cottage, but ultimately, the winners in this tale are the bears. So it is too in markets. August delivered the first monthly drop in the benchmark S&P 500 index since February, and the opening days of September have been weak on both sides of the Atlantic. We have reached, wrote strategist Bhanu Baweja and colleagues at UBS, “Peak Goldilocks”.The oil price is helping to fan nerves. Brent crude cracked above $90 a barrel this week for the first time since November, after Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would extend supply cuts. That benchmark has now climbed by a quarter since June, rekindling concerns that the inflation bogeyman is down but not out. Suddenly the story investors are telling themselves to help understand what fickle markets are up to has shifted. Should this matter? Arguably not. But when everyone is trying to spot how and when growth and perky inflation will give way to an elusive US economic downturn, it does. “It’s a narrative-driven market,” said Salman Ahmed, global head of macro and strategic asset allocation at Fidelity International. 

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    Over the past couple of months, the main narrative has centred on a soft landing, where central banks succeed in taming inflation without burning jobs or sparking a serious economic pullback. Certainly, the pessimists this year got it wrong. The US has dodged recession, comfortably, and stock markets have swept higher, defying consensus expectations for a decline. Ahmed is happy to admit he made the same mistake, having given up on his call for a 2023 recession in June. But he remains convinced the damage from the Fed’s aggressive series of interest rate rises will come. Up until now, growth-focused equities and risky bits of the corporate bond markets — still supported by excess liquidity in the financial system and enthusiasm around artificial intelligence — have been performing as if the rate rises we have seen so far do not really matter. It is hard to imagine that can last for ever, particularly when all those shakier companies that feasted on cheap money after the Covid pandemic come to refinance that debt at higher rates in the next year or two. Ominously, the pain is already evident in Europe, where stocks have stagnated and the euro has been dribbling lower against the all-conquering dollar for weeks. “Europe is in an interesting moment and a complicated situation,” said Gustavo Madeiros, head of research at Ashmore. “The impact of the hikes is felt much earlier in Europe, where the vast majority of lending is short-term bank loans.” Poland’s bumper rate cut this week could end up as a cautionary tale for what lies ahead in more developed markets. Suddenly, market participants are finding it easier to rattle off reasons for caution. The oil price is one of them. A spike in European gas prices this week also brings a sense of déjà vu. China’s economy is very clearly under strain and is piling additional stress on the crucial industrial sector in Germany. Even Apple — considered something of a haven stock over recent years — dropped by 7 per cent this week after Chinese authorities pressed state employees to stop using iPhones. That’s a cool $200bn hit and a big challenge to US markets that rely heavily on a tiny clutch of tech stocks.Even good news is bad news now. Data on Wednesday showing that the US services sector is in surprisingly rude health knocked stocks because investors are worried that the Fed has not done enough yet to hold inflation durably lower. Instead it will probably have to keep the pressure up, for longer.It is all sounding rather reminiscent of 2022 — a dreadful year for investors who had to deal with sinking stocks and a decline in bond prices. This time is different, in the sense that the 13 per cent climb in global stocks so far this year offers a cushion, as do the bumper yields on even the safest government debt.If you are willing to hold those bonds to maturity, you have nothing to worry about. But the Bank of America pointed out this week that we’re well on track for the third down year in a row for the US 10-year Treasury bond — a losing streak previously unmatched in the entire 250-year history of the US republic.Unless stocks can pull off a fairy tale ending to this year, 2023 could shape up to be drab yet [email protected] More

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    10 years later, still no Bitcoin ETF — but who cares?

    The ETF saga’s latest iteration saw Bitcoin (BTC) jump more than 6% as industry advocates celebrated a court ruling that affirmed what we already knew — that the SEC’s rejection of Grayscale’s ETF application was “arbitrary and capricious.” This was, of course, followed by the SEC delaying its decision on all seven pending Bitcoin ETFs, and a subsequent price drop.Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More

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    Human vs. AI: Who is better at crypto investing?

    The goal of the experiment was to find out whether artificial intelligence can beat a human in crypto trading and to find human strengths and weaknesses relative to AI’s investment approach. Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More

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    Ukraine’s Zelenskiy: Our partners have eased up on sanctions on Russia

    “At this time, we see too long a pause by our partners in terms of sanctions,” he said in his nightly video address. “And very active Russian attempts to evade sanctions.”Zelenskiy said keeping the pressure on Moscow should focus on Russia’s energy sector, its access to microelectronics and its financial sector.”There are three priorities: further sanctions against Russia’s energy sector, real restrictions on the supplies going to the terrorists of chips and microelectronics in general and continued blocking of Russia’s financial sector,” he said.”The world’s sanctions offensive must resume.”Foreign Ministry spokesperson Oleg Nikolenko had earlier said Ukraine rejected any suggestion of easing sanctions against Russia as part of efforts to restore the U.N.-backed agreement to ship grain through the Black Sea (NYSE:SE).”Easing part of the sanctions regime against Russia in exchange for the resumption of the grain agreement would be a victory for Russian food blackmail and an invitation to Moscow for new waves of blackmail,” Nikolenko wrote on Facebook (NASDAQ:META). More