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    Brazil’s Lula says inflation targets too ‘rigid’

    Lula’s remarks came as financial markets closely watch the National Monetary Council’s (CMN) meeting later in the day for potential changes on the targets, which are currently at 3.25% for 2023 and 3% for the next two years.”Personally, I think Brazil should not have such a rigid inflation target if it cannot meet it,” Lula said in an interview with Radio Gaucha. “But it’s not prudent for me to talk about the monetary council ahead of its meeting.”The CMN comprises the finance minister, the planning minister and the central bank governor, giving the federal government two out of three votes on one of the thorniest economic policy debates in Latin America’s largest nation.Lula previously hinted at potentially changing inflation targets to increase them and enable monetary policy easing, a move that ended up worsening expectations for consumer price changes.The CMN is expected on Thursday to maintain a 3% inflation target for 2026, but there is a growing belief it may tweak the time frame used to assess the goal’s fulfillment, ditching the calendar year for a “continuous” target proposed by Finance Minister Fernando Haddad.”I don’t want to influence on the monetary council’s decision, they know what to do,” Lula said, adding he was just voicing his opinion as a “Brazilian citizen”.The leftist leader also renewed his criticism of the central bank for keeping benchmark interest rates at 13.75%, a level he views as hindering economic growth.”We need lower interest rates, make them compatible with inflation levels,” Lula said.Annual inflation in the country is currently running around 4%, but an uptick is expected from July because of unfavorable base effects. Brazil failed to meet its inflation goals in 2021 and 2022. More

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    Germany to reject Binance’s bid for a cryptocurrency licence – source

    Binance has come under pressure from regulators around the world. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission this month sued Binance and its CEO Changpeng Zhao over what the regulator called a “web of deception” to evade U.S. laws. Binance denies the charges.The German regulator, BaFin, issued a statement declining to comment on individual companies due to confidentiality.Binance said it would not share details of conversations with regulators, but added: “We continue to work to comply with BaFin’s requirements”.It called it a “detailed and ongoing process” and said it was confident of having “the right team and measures in place to continue our discussions with regulators in Germany”.Finance Forward first reported the news of the German licence.Problems have been mounting for Binance in recent weeks.Last week, Belgium’s FSMA regulator ordered Binance to stop offering any virtual currency services in the country.France is also probing Binance, which has decided to quit the Dutch market because it was unable to meet registration requirements to operate as a virtual asset service provider.BaFin in 2021 warned Binance it risked being fined for offering certain digital tokens to clients in Germany without necessary information. More

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    Germany To Reject Binance’s Bid For A Cryptocurrency Licence – Reuters

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    Ethereum Lost 1.78%, Here’s Likely ‘Culprit’ That Pushed ETH Down

    He may still have roughly 8,000 ETH unsold that he is storing on Binance with a potential profit of $14.7 million. @lookonchain assumed that this sell-off performed by the whale likely impacted the ETH price, pushing it down nearly 1.8%.By now, however, ETH has recovered the losses and even grown more, demonstrating a rise by 2.26% overall. As of this writing, Ethereum is per coin on the Binance exchange.@lookonchain pointed out that the aforementioned whale is well-known to be a “smart whale” as he always buys crypto when it hits lows and sells as soon as the price spikes, when he has a “100% win rate in ETH trading.”This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Fed’s Bostic says rates will probably rise if inflation moves from target

    DUBLIN (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve will have to increase rates if prices growth moves away from target or inflation expectations start to move in “a difficult way”, Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said, while adding that neither was happening right now.While Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday that most Fed policymakers expect they will need to raise rates at least twice more by year’s end, Bostic is not one of them and he reiterated his view that they should hold steady for the rest of 2023.Citing what he saw as a plateauing of core inflation and measures that suggest inflation has started to “really get much more into the range of normal”, Bostic said rate-setters had time to wait and let their policy work.”I do recognise that if inflation moves away from target or seems to significantly stall out, then we’ll probably have to do more or if inflation expectations start to move in a difficult way, we might have to do more,” Bostic told reporters ahead of a speech at the Irish Association of Investment Managers.”We’re not seeing either of those right now and as a consequence, I’m comfortable waiting … If I see signs that it is moving away, I’ll be right in the front of the line to say we need to move rates higher, we need to be aggressive.”Earlier this month, the Fed refrained from boosting its federal funds target rate for the first time since it started raising rates in March 2022, leaving it at between 5% and 5.25%.Powell this week also kept open the possibility of hiking rate at successive meetings. Bostic said there are undoubtedly scenarios where that could happen, but they are unlikley.He added that there has been a decided change from employers in the last eight weeks regarding the difficulties hiring staff and that while labour markets are still tight, they are not “horrific tight” and closer to pre-pandemic levels.The U.S unemployment rate has crept up to 3.7% but is lower than the 4% rate Fed policymakers estimate is consistent with a fully employed American workforce. More

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    Hard-pressed UK households withdraw record amount from banks

    UK households withdrew a record amount from banks and building societies last month, suggesting more consumers are looking for higher interests elsewhere and tapping their savings to maintain living standards amid high inflation. Data published by the Bank of England on Thursday showed households took out a net £4.6bn from banks and building societies in May, the highest level of withdrawals since monthly records began in 1997.The record number was driven by a jump to £11.4bn net withdrawals from accounts offering interest, which can be accessed without penalty and typically have a variable rate. Meanwhile, net withdrawals from accounts offering no interest were £3.3bn, marking the seventh consecutive month of customers pulling out more than they deposited. The data comes as households contend with the stubbornly high rate of price rises, which stood at 8.7 per cent in May, and banks fall under greater pressure to pass on rising interest rates to savers.BoE figures showed the effective rate on instant-access accounts dropped 8 basis points to 1.33 per cent in May. That lags considerably both the central bank’s benchmark rate, now at a 15-year high of 5 per cent, and rates for two-year fixed mortgage deals, which are above 6 per cent. In its latest report, the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee noted that “the pass-through [of higher interest rates]” to these accounts had “been unusually weak” since it began raising bank rate in December 2021.

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    Ashley Webb, UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics, attributed some of the fall to “people moving money into other investments outside of the banking sector, such as UK gilts”. But he added: “It’s possible that households’ pandemic savings are being depleted to support spending.”Yields on UK 10-year gilts stand at about 4.3 per cent, up from 3.3 per cent in March, while two-year government bonds have a yield of 5.2 per cent, up from 3.2 per cent in March, reflecting the changing outlook for interest rates.Daniel Mahoney, UK economist at Handelsbanken, said the record £4.6bn figure provided “strong evidence” that people were “dipping into excess savings built up during the pandemic to sustain living standards” amid the cost of living squeeze. The data for May showed withdrawals from instant-access accounts were only partially offset by net flow into fixed-term accounts, which require advance notice for withdrawals, and individual savings accounts. The latter — known as Isas — allow people to hold a limited amount cash, shares and unit trusts free of tax on dividends, interest and capital gains.

    Charlotte Nixon, mortgage and financial planning expert at Quilter, said bank executives had been under pressure to raise interest rates for savers as they have done for borrowers. But she said they had argued that “mortgage rates would need to get pushed even higher for them to still achieve their margins”. The BoE figures also showed that net mortgage approvals for house purchases rose to 50,000 in May from 48,690 in the previous month. The number was higher than the 49,700 forecast by economists polled by Reuters but well below the average of 66,000 between 2015 and 2019, as higher mortgage payments hit prospective buyers. The figures, however, do not fully capture the sharp rise in mortgage rates since the end of May, after official data showing stronger than expected wage growth and inflation pushed up interest rate expectations. Thomas Pugh, economist at the consulting firm RSM UK, said the rise in approvals in May was “likely to be reversed” this month “as the recent surge in mortgage interest rates depresses demand”. He forecast a peak-to-trough decline in house prices of about 10 per cent, “with the risk of bigger falls if interest rates continue to rise”. More

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    Junk-rated borrowers’ interest bill hits 13-year high- S&P

    LONDON (Reuters) – Debt interest rates paid by the world’s riskiest corporate borrowers have reached the highest since 2010, at 6.1% on average, S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI) Ratings said in a report on Thursday.Such companies, whose weaker financial profiles give them a speculative or “junk” credit rating, also face major refinancing risks in coming years, the credit ratings agency said.With the global economy expected to decelerate while major central banks keep monetary policy tight to combat above-target inflation, “the full impact of sharply higher interest rates is yet to unfold,” S&P said in its quarterly assessment of credit conditions.This, the ratings agency said, would “continue to erode,” the ability of the lowest quality companies to pay interest on their debts.In the United States alone, companies with a speculative rating have almost $750 billion of debt maturing by end-2025, S&P said.These businesses also tend to pay interest rates that move in lockstep with central bank base rates, instead of arranging lower-risk fixed deals with their lenders.”Reliance on floating rate debt means the temperature is rising rapidly,” at the same time as banks in the U.S. and Europe have turned cautious on new lending, S&P said.”Speculative-grade issuers are more immediately vulnerable to surging interest and refinancing costs given a reliance on floating-rate debt and debt maturities they will need to address.”S&P in mid-May said it forecast that slightly more than one in 25 U.S. companies would default in 2024, forecasting that U.S. default rates would rise to 4.25% by March 2024 from 2.5% in March 2023. In Europe, it forecast a 3.6% default rate by March 2024, up from a rate of 2.8% in March 2023.S&P also warned that the outlook for real estate borrowers was darkening due to higher rates and the post-pandemic trend of lower office occupancy and increased home working. More