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    Trading on major exchanges spiked following collapse of Terra, FTX: BIS report

    In a Feb. 20 bulletin on “crypto shocks and retail losses,” the BIS reports that while the price of Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and other currencies dropped in 2022, the number of daily active users at some exchanges including Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) and Binance “increased markedly” following news of the collapse of Terra and FTX. The bank suggested that “users tried to weather the storm” by moving their investments into stablecoins and other tokens likely not looking bearish at the time.Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More

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    Marketmind: It’s flash PMI time

    (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.Flash purchasing manager index reports from Japan and Australia on Tuesday will give an insight into how two of Asia’s biggest economies are performing, as trading volumes return to normal after U.S. markets were closed for Presidents Day.The U.S. market holiday on Monday allowed the spotlight to shift to geopolitics – President Joe Biden made an unannounced visit to Kyiv ahead of the one-year anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned China of consequences should it provide material support to Russia and North Korea fired more missiles. Plenty to chew on and, along with the startling upward repricing of U.S. interest rate expectations, perhaps more likely to fray investors’ nerves than soothe them. Or not – global stocks ticked higher on Monday and Chinese stocks had their best day since November on economic reopening optimism, with the blue-chip CSI300 Index surging 2.5%. The economic calendar and market trading grind back into gear on Tuesday, kicking off in Asia with the flash Aussie and Japanese PMIs for February. Graphic: Japan composite PMI vs GDP – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwpkdzgdkvm/JapanPMI.jpg Manufacturing activity in Japan has contracted for three months in a row and service-sector activity has expanded for five months, meaning overall economic activity grew in January for the first time in three months.This is an important week for Japan. Consumer price inflation figures on Friday are expected to show a rise in the annual rate to a new 41-year high above 4%, and incoming Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda testifies before parliament also on Friday. Graphic: Australia manufacturing PMI – https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zjvqjyqjapx/AUSPMI.png The pace of growth in Australian manufacturing, meanwhile, has slowed for seven straight months and the sector is on the cusp of contracting for the first time since May 2020. Services and overall business activity as measured by the PMIs have been contracting for four months. There appears to be little hope of relief on the interest rate front, however. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe last week repeated his view that further rate rises in coming months are needed and said the pain was worth bearing to bring inflation down.The monetary policy stance in Beijing is far less hawkish. The People’s Bank of China on Monday kept benchmark lending rates unchanged for a sixth month, leaving the one-year loan prime rate at 3.65% and the five-year rate at 4.30%. The economy seems to be rebounding from its zero-COVID restrictions, but there may be more monetary easing to come.China’s government will announce key growth targets for the year at the National People’s Congress which is scheduled to begin on March 5. This may be a good time to deliver growth-boosting rate cuts or ramp up liquidity injections even more.Here are three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:- Japan flash PMIs (February)- Australia flash PMIs (February)- Reserve Bank of Australia policy meeting minutes (By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie Kao) More

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    FirstFT: Joe Biden vows ‘unwavering support’ for Ukraine

    US president Joe Biden made a surprise visit to Kyiv on Monday in a show of American commitment ahead of the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.On a trip shrouded by secrecy for security reasons after months of planning, Biden announced $500mn in new military aid.“I’m here to show our unwavering support for the nation’s independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity,” Biden said, vowing to stand with Ukraine for “as long as it takes”.The stopover came at a pivotal moment in the war, as western nations discuss how far to go in arming Kyiv and as the 80-year old president gears up for a possible re-election campaign.Ukraine is calling for the speedy delivery of billions of dollars in western weapons, while Russia has increased attacks and is preparing a larger offensive, although its progress has been halting so far.President Volodymyr Zelenskyy thanked Biden for coming at “the most difficult time” for his country. “This conversation brings us closer to victory,” Zelenskyy said at a joint appearance at Mariinsky Palace, his official residence.FT subscriber event: To mark the first anniversary of Russia’s full-blown invasion of Ukraine, the FT will be holding an exclusive webinar for subscribers to discuss the future of the war, with FT correspondents and special guests. Register for free.Five more stories in the news1. Fresh tremors hit earthquake-devastated province in Turkey Two tremors measuring 6.4 and 5.8 in magnitude struck the province of Hatay yesterday, two weeks after the region was devastated by larger earthquakes that killed almost 45,000 people.Related read: Turkey’s massive cost of rebuilding shattered towns and cities Tens of billions of dollars will be required to fund the reconstruction of quake-ravaged areas.

    People caught in fresh tremors in Antakya in Turkey’s Hatay province © Clodagh Kilcoyne/Reuters

    2. China’s top diplomat to discuss Ukraine war during Moscow visit Wang Yi, China’s most senior foreign policy official, will discuss the war in Ukraine with senior Russian officials this week and may meet Russian president Vladimir Putin, the Kremlin said yesterday. The announcement comes a day after the US warned that Beijing was “strongly considering” supporting Russia’s sputtering war effort with arms supplies.3. Hong Kong proposes letting retail investors trade cryptocurrencies Under plans launched yesterday by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, the industry’s two largest crypto tokens — bitcoin and ether — would be opened up to retail customers. Licensed exchanges would be required to ensure clients have “sufficient knowledge of virtual assets” before they are allowed to trade.4. World Bank members split on reforms Developing nations have warned against reforms at the World Bank that would imperil its triple-A credit rating and increase funding costs after Trump appointee David Malpass’s early departure. Shareholders and economists have argued the bank could provide more climate finance by expanding its balance sheet and taking on more risk.5. South Korea’s ruling party leader hints at need for nuclear weapons Chung Jin-suk, the leader of South Korea’s ruling People Power party, has warned that the country may have to “seriously consider” developing its own nuclear weapons as a deterrent to its northern neighbour. North Korea today fired two short-range ballistic missiles, following the launch on Saturday of what Pyongyang claimed was a Hwasong-15 intercontinental ballistic missile, which experts believe is capable of striking the mainland US.The day aheadPutin speaks on war Today, Russia’s president Vladimir Putin will address the war in Ukraine and its impact on Russian society in a delayed state-of-the-nation address, the Kremlin said.Economic data Gross domestic product is the main US data point today and minutes from the last Federal Reserve’s meeting land tomorrow.Related read: What is the level of dissent within the Federal Reserve? Evidence of widespread dissent could persuade the market that the Fed might be open to raising rates higher and for longer.Public sector finance UK public-sector borrowing figures for January are out today. Increases in debt interest and spending on energy support schemes made last month’s release the highest monthly total since records began in January 1993.Companies Last week NatWest announced an almost tripling of profits driven by higher interest rates. These should also boost profits for HSBC and Lloyds Banking Group when they report today and tomorrow.What else we’re reading America’s struggle to contain the deadly drug Fentanyl US parents are mourning the deaths of their children amid an unprecedented drugs crisis, which claimed 107,000 lives in the year to August 2022. About two-thirds of those deaths were caused by fentanyl, a synthetic opioid that is 50 times more potent than heroin and used to treat severe cancer pain. But it is increasingly being cut into illegal street drugs via a well-honed supply chain built by Chinese and Mexican crime syndicates.

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    Britain can learn from Singapore on savings The UK invests too little. Naturally, this has led to a discussion of how to induce more investment. Yet how would the extra investment be funded by a country that is even more strikingly short of savings than it is of investment? Singapore’s model could be the answer, writes Martin Wolf.Missing Chinese dealmaker casts chill across tech sector The disappearance of Bao Fan, founder of investment bank China Renaissance, has set on edge the country’s vast tech industry that the dealmaker helped build. Bao’s fate is a pivotal test of Beijing’s stance on the sector — a two-year crackdown has already sidelined Alibaba chief Jack Ma, decimated the vast for-profit education industry and hit investments globally.China’s ChatGPT catch-up: Tech giants such as Baidu and Alibaba are racing to match the west’s recent developments in artificial intelligence.CEO whisperers: who does the boss turn to in their hour of need? Some leaders use trusted insiders, others rely on “professional critics” to tell them uncomfortable truths. Oliver Balch spoke to a range of chief executives to hear their stories. “CEOs often lack candid challenge . . . and instead end up in a little echo chamber, which is when companies are in danger of getting things horribly wrong,” said one CEO.Take a break from the newsAfter years spent as a “bottle brunette”, Grace Cook decided to reclaim her identity as a blonde and love her natural hair.

    Reese Witherspoon as a lawyer whose courtroom skills are underestimated in the 2001 movie ‘Legally Blonde’ © Alamy More

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    The fate of dollar-pegged stablecoins in question: Law Decoded, Feb. 13–20

    With no other choice, Paxos announced that from Feb. 21, it would end its relationship with Binance for the branded U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoin BUSD. All existing BUSD tokens will remain fully backed and redeemable through Paxos Trust Company until “at least February 2024.” Customers can redeem their funds in U.S. dollars and convert their BUSD tokens to another Paxos-issued stablecoin, Pax Dollar (USDP). At the same time, the company “categorically disagreed” with the SEC’s opinion that BUSD is a security. Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More

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    Cryptocurrency miners are leading the next stage of AI

    Training a model like ChatGPT costs more than $5 million, and running the early ChatGPT demo, even before usage increased to its current level, costs OpenAI around $100,000 per day. And AI is more than just text generation; applying AI to practical problems across multiple industries requires similar large neural models trained on a diversity of data types — medical, financial, customer information, geospatial and so forth. Moving beyond the limitations of current neural net AI toward systems with higher levels of artificial general intelligence will almost surely be even more compute intensive.Continue Reading on Coin Telegraph More