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    Deficits, Donald Trump and the dollar

    Standard DigitalStandard & FT Weekend Printwasnow $29 per 3 monthsThe new FT Digital Edition: today’s FT, cover to cover on any device. This subscription does not include access to ft.com or the FT App.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts10 monthly gift articles to shareGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print editionEverything in PrintWeekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysisPlusEverything in Premium DigitalEverything in Standard DigitalGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresFirstFT newsletterVideos & PodcastsFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit app10 gift articles per monthExclusive FT analysisPremium newslettersFT Digital Edition10 additional gift articles per monthMake and share highlightsFT WorkspaceMarkets data widgetSubscription ManagerWorkflow integrationsOccasional readers go freeVolume discountFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Standard DigitalFT Weekend Print deliveryPlusEverything in Premium Digital More

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    Five frightening financial charts for Hallowe’en

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    UK’s rising fiscal burden narrows tax gap with Europe

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    Giant African rats join crackdown against illegal wildlife trade

    $1 for 4 weeksThen $75 per month. Complete digital access to quality FT journalism. Cancel anytime during your trial.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    EU presses ahead with tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles

    Unlock the Editor’s Digest for freeRoula Khalaf, Editor of the FT, selects her favourite stories in this weekly newsletter.The EU is pushing ahead with tariffs of up to 45 per cent on Chinese electric vehicles, sharply escalating the trade war between the 27-member bloc and Beijing over allegations of unfair industrial subsidies.The tariffs, which come into force on Wednesday and will be imposed for five years, come after the EU rejected China’s claims that it was introducing protectionist measures without evidence that Chinese vehicles were receiving undue state support. The new duties also come on top of an existing 10 per cent tariff on Chinese car imports in the bloc.The two sides said they would continue talks, including over the introduction of “minimum prices” for Chinese-made vehicles sold in Europe. That level would have to be high enough to compensate for the “injurious subsidisation” that Chinese manufacturers received and which allowed them to undercut European rivals, an EU official said.China’s commerce ministry said in a statement on Wednesday that Beijing would “continue to take all necessary measures to resolutely safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese companies”. It added that it hoped Brussels could work with Beijing in a “constructive manner” to resolve the dispute through dialogue.The EU’s decision to impose additional duties on Chinese-made EVs followed the conclusion of a months-long investigation launched by commission president Ursula von der Leyen last year into China’s allegedly unfair support for its EV industry.Beijing has repeatedly criticised Brussels over the investigation and tariff rises, arguing the European actions violate international trade rules and threaten global progress on fighting climate change.The EV tariffs have caused deep divisions in the bloc, with strong opposition from member states including Germany and Hungary. Diplomats have warned that EU countries that export to China are bracing for further retaliation from Beijing.A spokesman for German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said on Wednesday that Berlin was pushing for a negotiated solution because of the risk of retaliation.“Such trade conflicts are not something we should strive for and in this respect the clear expectation towards Brussels, but also towards Beijing, is that good results will be achieved in the ongoing talks so that a trade conflict can be averted,” he said.The introduction of the duties also comes at a vulnerable time for the EU car industry, which has struggled to compete with the aggressive expansion of low-priced Chinese EVs in the bloc. Except for Renault, all the major European car manufacturers have issued profit warnings this year.Volkswagen, Europe’s biggest car manufacturer, is planning to shut at least three German plants and shed tens of thousands of jobs as part of a cost-cutting drive.Along with high energy costs and challenging regulation linked to the EU’s green transition, the industry is contending with a significant increase in the number of cheaper Chinese models reaching the market. The commission has insisted it is introducing tariffs to ensure a level playing field in Europe rather than to restrict trade with China.The tariffs were first announced in June, with four companies — China’s BYD, Geely and SAIC and Tesla of the US — allocated individual duties that ranged from 7.8 per cent for Tesla to 35.3 per cent for SAIC, according to the level of subsidies they received from Beijing.All other manufacturers that co-operate with Brussels by providing requested information will be hit with a tariff of 20.7 per cent. Those that do not face a 35.3 per cent levy.“We can safely say that we basically disagreed on each and every fact, each and every legal argument that we have established in the investigation,” an EU official said.China has already said it will impose anti-dumping measures on EU brandy imports and has launched probes into EU imports of pork and dairy products since the EV tariffs were announced. Beijing also raised a complaint at the World Trade Organization after the tariffs were provisionally announced, calling the investigation “protectionist in nature” and claiming an “absence of any concrete evidence regarding alleged subsidisation in China”.The EU has said the WTO complaint is now void since the tariffs were marginally reduced after the investigation ended.The China Chamber of Commerce to the EU “expressed profound disappointment” over the commission’s decision to proceed with the tariffs, telling the Financial Times it was “disheartened by the lack of substantive progress in negotiations”.But an EU official confirmed prices were unlikely to rise immediately for consumers. “There is a big chance that if a consumer bought a car now, it would be bought from stock [already] on the EU market,” the official said.Additional reporting by Gloria Li in Hong Kong and Laura Pitel in BerlinVideo: Content creators take the fight to AI | FT Tech More

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    Benjamin Button’s clues for the US economy

    $1 for 4 weeksThen $75 per month. Complete digital access to quality FT journalism. Cancel anytime during your trial.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    Is Shiba Inu (SHIB) Uptrend Over? Solana (SOL) RSI Paints Problematic Pattern, Bitcoin’s (BTC) Next Resistance: $84,000

    It is encouraging for SHIB that trading volume has increased, especially among whale-tier wallets. A resurgence of whale transactions usually indicates that major holders see potential in the asset’s current price level. Whale activity is frequently a key indicator of higher market sentiment. The continuation of these high-volume transactions may give SHIB the purchasing power required to sustain a bullish trend. Using the 50 EMA, SHIB is trying to maintain its position above important moving averages on the chart. If SHIB is able to sustain these levels, this positioning may indicate that it is preparing for a more robust upward push. The probability of a bullish reversal would increase with a sustained position above these averages, with possible upside targets close to recent resistance levels. But it is important to keep in mind that speculative trading and general market conditions continue to have a significant impact on SHIB’s price movement. Although the rise in whale activity provides a positive outlook for the time being, SHIB will require steady backing from both large and retail investors to ensure a steady upward trajectory.This price-RSI divergence is frequently interpreted as a warning indication that the current upward trend may be waning. It is susceptible to a possible pullback because the RSI divergence indicates that buying momentum might not be as strong as the price movement suggests. When traders and investors take profits and new buyers hesitate because of overextended conditions, price retracement becomes more likely. There are two crucial support levels that might be involved if SOL does decline. Around $161 is the first support level to keep an eye on. Recent consolidation zones where SOL gained traction prior to the most recent rally correspond with this level. Initial support may be provided by this level if selling pressure increases. The 200-day moving average, which has historically been a dependable floor for SOL’s price movements, is at about $144, the next important level below this. Although the strength of SOL’s bullish trend was demonstrated by its recent rally, the RSI divergence is a technical warning that momentum may be waning. A deeper correction may be indicated if the price is unable to stay above these support levels. To determine whether this divergence turns into a more substantial trend shift, traders should monitor RSI and volume dynamics in the days ahead.First of all, it is a crucial psychological level that inspires trust in institutional and retail investors. The rise of Bitcoin above $71,000, following months of consolidation, indicates a noticeable change in momentum that might spur additional gains. Additionally, the chart indicates that Bitcoin has clearly exited its prior downward trend channel, a technical indication that bulls are in firm control. Since Bitcoin has reached this significant milestone, there are a few price points to keep an eye on over the next few days and weeks. The $75,000 mark is a short-term target that presents immediate resistance and, if exceeded, could propel Bitcoin into previously unheard-of levels.After that, the all-time high of $69,000 might be tested soon, and if bullish momentum continues, Bitcoin has a good chance of reaching $80,000 and higher. Although it is still within reasonable bounds, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising, suggesting that Bitcoin may have more room to run before reaching overbought conditions. This implies that there is no immediate risk of a significant decline in Bitcoin’s value, allowing it to continue growing.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    US dollar rally pauses before jobs data, Aussie droops on RBA outlook

    TOKYO (Reuters) – The dollar hovered close to a three-month peak on Wednesday in a big week for macroeconomic data that could reveal the path for U.S. monetary policy.The Australian dollar edged closer to a three-month trough after some stickiness in inflation suggested a Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate cut is unlikely this year.Mixed U.S. indicators overnight, showing a loosening U.S. jobs market but a confident consumer, provided little clarity on the outlook for Federal Reserve easing, allowing the greenback to drift lower with Treasury yields on Tuesday following a strong seven-year note auction. Recently though, economic readings have pointed to a resilient economy, particularly for employment, spurring a paring back of bets on the pace of rate reductions. The ADP employment report is due later in the day, ahead of the potentially crucial monthly payrolls report on Friday.”The U.S. dollar continues to garner strong support as markets adjust their rate path expectations,” said James Kniveton, senior corporate FX dealer at Convera.”The American economy is currently firing on all cylinders.”Meanwhile in Australia, “the increased inflation number in services is likely to mean rate reductions this year are a very distant prospect,” Kniveton said.The Reserve Bank of Australia’s preferred inflation gauge, the trimmed mean measure, slowed to 3.5% from 4.0% in the third quarter, but service-sector inflation remained elevated. On a quarterly basis, the gauge increased by 0.8%, topping forecasts for a 0.7% rise.The Aussie was little changed at $0.6562 as of 0101 GMT, not far from Tuesday’s low of $0.6545, a level that had last been seen on Aug. 8.The U.S. dollar index, which measures the currency against six major rivals including the yen and euro, was little changed at 104.24, after reaching the highest since July 30 at 104.63 on Tuesday before finishing the day almost flat.The 10-year Treasury yield slid to 4.2461% on Wednesday, after reaching the highest since July 5 at 4.3390% in the prior session.Both the dollar and U.S. bond yields have also been buoyed in recent days by rising speculation in markets and on some betting sites on a victory on Nov. 5 for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, whose tariff and immigration policies are seen as inflationary. That also helped leading cryptocurrency bitcoin surge to near its all-time high from March at $73,803.25. The token last changed hands at about $72,082, after pushing as high as $73,609.88 in the previous session.Opinion polls still indicate the race is too close to call.The dollar-yen pair, which tends to track U.S. yields closely, slipped 0.06% to 153.27, after retreating from a three-month peak of 153.87 on Tuesday.The yen has also been weighed down by political uncertainty since a disastrous weekend election for Japan’s ruling coalition saw it lose its majority in parliament, ushering in a period of horse trading that is likely to result in expanded fiscal spending and could potentially delay rate hikes.The euro edged up 0.06% to $1.0824 ahead of the release of readings on gross domestic product across Europe later in the day, that could shed light on whether the European Central Bank will opt to cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points at its next meeting in December.Sterling traded flat at $1.3016 ahead of the Labour government’s first budget on Wednesday.Finance minister Rachel Reeves, along with Prime Minister Keir Starmer, has reiterated the need for tough fiscal measures to help close a hole in British public finances. They are seeking to retain the confidence of investors, two years after then-Prime Minister Liz Truss’ tax-cutting plans sparked a crisis in the bond market.Key for sterling will be estimates from the UK’s Office for Budget Responsibility, which makes the forecasts that underpin the government’s spending and tax plans. More