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    FirstFT: Joe Biden fights to close inflation ‘credibility gap’

    With high inflation souring Americans’ views of the economy and his presidency, Joe Biden has decided to act. This week, the president has embarked on a new effort to burnish his inflation-fighting credentials.On Tuesday Biden invited Jay Powell, chair of the Federal Reserve, to the White House to offer his backing for the central bank to do what it takes to blunt inflation. Meanwhile, in an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, Biden said he realised Americans were “anxious” about inflation, stressing that the country was battling high prices from a position of “strength” compared with the rest of the world. Top officials from his administration — including Janet Yellen, the Treasury secretary, who said she had been “wrong” on the issue — are also increasing their public appearances.“I’m sure that [Biden] is disturbed by his 40 per cent approval rating when the economy has recovered so strongly,” said Don Beyer, a Democratic member of the House of Representatives from Virginia, who chairs the joint economic committee in Congress.The inflation picture worsened further in the wake of the war in Ukraine and supply chain disruptions triggered by new coronavirus lockdowns in China. Now there are concerns that the fiscal and monetary tightening needed to bring down inflation will result in a sharp slowdown in the economy. Yesterday Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, warned of an economic “hurricane” bearing down on the country.Thanks for reading FirstFT Americas. Share your feedback with us at [email protected]. The latest from the war in Ukraine:Saudi Arabia ready to pump more oil: The kingdom has indicated to western allies that it is prepared to raise oil production should Russia’s output fall substantially under the weight of sanctions, according to five people familiar with the discussions.US military aid: As mentioned in yesterday’s newsletter, Washington has now said it will send Kyiv longer-range rocket systems and precision ammunition. What exactly are the systems, and how are they likely to affect Ukraine’s strategy in the war?Russian debt: Moscow’s failure to pay interest on a bond will trigger an estimated $2.5bn of payouts for holders of credit default swaps, insurance-like contracts used to protect against defaults. Five more stories in the news1. Stakeholder capitalism is ‘not woke’, says JPMorgan’s Dimon Jamie Dimon has dismissed claims that stakeholder capitalism is “woke”, pushing back against conservative criticism of the environmental and social agenda that much of corporate America has embraced in recent years. The JPMorgan Chase chief executive described himself as “a red-blooded free-market capitalist” and said people had misinterpreted his push for stakeholder capitalism as chair of the Business Roundtable.2. Sheryl Sandberg to step down from Facebook parent Meta Sheryl Sandberg is stepping down as the chief operating officer of Facebook’s parent company after 14 years, a major shake-up in which chief executive Mark Zuckerberg will lose one of his closest lieutenants.

    Sheryl Sandberg will remain on Meta’s board after she leaves her executive post in the fall © Jose Luis Magana/AP

    3. US and Taiwan launch initiative to deepen economic engagement The Biden administration said the “US-Taiwan Initiative on 21st-century Trade” would “develop an ambitious road map” for negotiations in areas from agriculture and digital trade to climate. But the new “Road map” falls short of Taipei’s hopes for a full deal and Taiwan was not included in the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, which Biden launched last week.4. Musk demands 40 hours a week in the office Elon Musk has told his Tesla workers to show up for at least 40 hours a week in the office — clarifying that he does not mean “some remote pseudo office” — or said the employees should leave. The chief executive of the electric carmaker sent two emails to staff declaring that “remote work is no longer acceptable” and that manufacturing great products “will not happen by phoning it in”. 5. Pemex plans to repay $2bn to suppliers by offering new debt Mexico’s national oil company Pemex will offer to pay back about $2bn it owes big-ticket suppliers with new debt, potentially easing conditions for some of its biggest contractors. The company did not name which suppliers would benefit from the offer.The day aheadTrooping the Colour military parade UK celebrations, as well as public holidays today and tomorrow, are marking the Queen’s platinum jubilee — 70 years on the throne. Opec+ meeting The oil producers’ group meets today and is widely expected to stick with its plan of raising production by about 400,000 barrels a month, a target that has been in place since last year.Economic data EU producer price index figures and US factory orders data for April are published.Corporate earnings Canadian athleisure brand Lululemon Athletica publishes first-quarter results while US food processing company Hormel Food reports second-quarter results.What else we’re reading and listening to The global nursing crisis In 2020, the World Health Organization estimated there was a global shortage of 5.9mn nurses — almost one-quarter of the current workforce of almost 28mn. Covid-19 has made things worse, with many suffering burnout and mental health challenges as they struggled to deal with the chaos of successive waves of the virus.Fine dining faces its dark truths in Copenhagen In restaurants, two stories are being told. The first is in the dining room, a perfectly choreographed show of luxury. And then there is the story that you are never supposed to hear, of what happens on the other side. “We found out that we have actually been victims of kidnapping from life, because the life we had been offered is not a life” — a chef from UkraineRecord fundraising gives start-ups breathing space Investment in tech companies is stalling as valuations fall, with tech stocks dragging markets lower. However, start-ups still have reason to be hopeful, with forecasters believing demand for the tech products and services they provide will increase this year. Analytics, cloud computing and security groups should benefit most.Tether’s path to the spotlight This episode of the Behind the Money podcast starts with a real-life fire that sends a business up in smoke. With the help of Financial Times reporters, we dig into the professional histories of the executives who sit atop two of crypto’s most important businesses: stablecoin issuer Tether and exchange Bitfinex.How the Queen built her reign on principles of duty and detachment While recent opinion polls have suggested that younger Britons are more ambivalent about the role of the royal family, the overall majority in favour of the institution has remained relatively steady throughout Queen Elizabeth II’s reign and was still buoyant on the eve of her jubilee celebrations. “She has been the one constant in a rapidly changing world,” said royal commentator Penny Junor. You can also snoop around the Queen’s kitchen with Tom Parker Bowles, stepson of Prince Charles.

    The official Platinum Jubilee portrait of Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II photographed at Windsor Castle © Royal Household/Ranald Mackechnie/via REUTERS

    Imposter ‘syndrome’Don’t miss Jemima Kelly’s explanation of why we need to rethink imposterism. Should we start to think of it as a strength? More

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    Factbox-Sri Lanka is running out of time to secure an IMF bailout

    COLOMBO (Reuters) – Sri Lanka is seeking help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for its 17th program in seven decades, needing a bailout in place before its economy disintegrates and shortages worsen.WHY DOES SRI LANKA NEED THE IMF’S HELP?The country of 22 million people, located off India’s southern tip, is struggling to manage its worst economic crisis since independence in 1948.It has a long history of rising foreign obligations, driven partly by incessant government deficits, and this has been worsened by a loss of tourism revenue in the pandemic and, this year, by surging fuel costs.The resulting severe shortage of foreign exchange has stalled imports, including essentials such as fuel and medicines, and the country is also facing an impending food crisis.To find a way out of the turmoil, Sri Lanka is in talks with the IMF to borrow at least $3 billion via the lender’s extended fund facility (EFF).An IMF programme would not only give the country’s embattled government access to much-needed funds; it would also provide a pathway for Sri Lanka to eventually access international financial markets.The country was officially declared in default for the first time ever last month after it halted debt payments. HOW ARE THE NEGOTIATIONS GOING?Sri Lanka’s former finance minister Ali Sabry and new central bank governor P. Nandalal Weerasinghe started talks with the IMF on April 18.On May 9, an IMF team began technical discussions with Sri Lankan authorities, just as a wave of violence swept through the country and the prime minister stepped down, leading to the dissolution of the entire cabinet of ministers.Sri Lanka was without a finance minister for the second time in as many months, while IMF talks led by officials concluded on April 24.Meanwhile, the country picked Lazard (NYSE:LAZ) and Clifford Chance as financial and legal advisers to help restructure more than $12 billion of overseas debt.Another round of talks with the IMF is expected in early June, with a staff-level agreement possible at the end of the month. However, an agreement that has IMF board approval will likely take at least until August, as it would require progress on a debt sustainability analysis, a structured examination of the country’s debt.Sri Lanka’s new prime minister, Ranil Wickremesinghe, who is also serving as finance minister, would likely be part of discussions.WHAT DOES THE IMF WANT?An EFF programme typically requires countries to make structural economic reforms to correct deep-rooted weaknesses.The IMF said last week it was in talks with Sri Lanka for a comprehensive reform package but did not specify what type of programme was being negotiated.Wickremesinghe’s government already appears to be making some moves in that direction.On Tuesday, it announced a taxation overhaul to boost revenue, lifting value-added taxes and corporate income tax and slashing the relief given to individual taxpayers.Wickremesinghe is also working on an interim budget, to be presented within weeks, that he says will cut government expenditure “to the bone” and provide a relief package for the most economically vulnerable.WHY THE URGENCY?Millions of Sri Lankans have been battling shortages of essentials for weeks, including cooking gas, fuel and medicines, sometimes queuing for days to procure minimal supplies.The dire situation has stoked public anger against President Gotabaya Rajapaksa and his family, who are accused of mishandling the economy and delaying negotiations with the IMF.Nationwide protests morphed into violence last month, leaving nine people dead and over 300 injured.The government has also warned of an impending food crisis, with the country’s farmers running short of fertilisers. Experts estimate food production could drop by 50%, and the shortage of foreign exchange is a threat to importation of staples.Further unrest could lead to more political turmoil, and also potentially affect negotiations with the IMF. More

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    Biden fights to close ‘credibility gap’ on inflation

    Joe Biden has been fretting about high inflation for months, knowing that rising prices are undermining the strong US recovery and souring Americans’ views of the economy and his presidency. This week, the president has embarked on a new effort to burnish his inflation-fighting credentials, even though his ability to quickly reverse the pernicious economic and political dynamic resulting from higher prices is limited.On Tuesday, Biden called Jay Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, to the White House to offer his backing for the central bank to do what it takes to blunt inflation, as it presses ahead with tighter monetary policy and rising interest rates. In an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, Biden said he realised Americans were “anxious” about inflation, stressing that the country was battling high prices from a position of “strength” compared to the rest of the world and laid out his own efforts to blunt the cost of living increases for middle-class households. Top officials from his administration — including Janet Yellen, the Treasury secretary, and Kamala Harris, vice-president — are also increasing their public appearances to talk about the state of the economy. “I’m sure that [Biden] is disturbed by his 40 per cent approval rating when the economy has recovered so strongly,” said Don Beyer, a Democratic member of the House of Representatives from Virginia, who chairs the joint economic committee in Congress. “The number one thing, if you talk to consumers, is they’re concerned about gas prices and food prices. The president can’t ignore that: he needs to say very clearly that he understands it and he’s doing whatever he can.” As early as November, Biden said inflation was more stubborn than expected and causing hardship for American families, as hopes that high prices would prove transitory were dashed. But the inflation picture worsened further in the wake of the war in Ukraine and supply chain disruptions triggered by new coronavirus lockdowns in China. That made the problem even more acute at the start of the year. John Leer, chief economist at Morning Consult, said that concerns about inflation have “risen dramatically” among Americans — even younger adults who “were very slow to start acknowledging” inflation fears had now come around. “They were the last ones to voice their concerns, and that has subsequently changed.”

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    “[Consumer] confidence has continued to fall, even as the Federal Reserve and the White House come out and make these policy announcements — and inflation expectations continue to rise despite these policy changes,” he added. “So I think there’s a real credibility gap right now”. Meanwhile, concerns are emerging that the fiscal and monetary tightening needed to bring down inflation will result in a sharp slowdown in the economy, which would reverse some of the progress the labour market registered over the past year and potentially tip the US into a recession. Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, on Wednesday warned of an economic “hurricane” bearing down on the country. While White House officials believe the US can avoid such a scenario, they also stress that the economy is going through a delicate transition period between a period of high inflation and a booming jobs market to more stable growth. “We’ve run this first leg of the race at a very rapid clip. That has put us in this strong position, relative to our peers,” Brian Deese, the director of the National Economic Council, said this week. “But this is a marathon and we have to move and shift to stable, resilient growth.” Biden has taken a series of unilateral steps to bring down inflation, including efforts to reduce supply chain crunches in ports and in the trucking industry, bolster competition in the meatpacking business and persuade Opec countries to increase oil production. He has also argued that his legislative plans — including measures to lower prescription drug prices, raise taxes on the wealthy and corporate America, and subsidise child care expenses — would together help reduce the deficit and bring down costs for average households. But Biden has still not decided whether to scrap tariffs on billions of dollars of Chinese goods, which would potentially be deflationary, and some economists and policy experts say his fiscal policies are still too expansionary. “The next step is to stop doing the policies that are boosting demand,” says Marc Goldwein, head of policy at the Center for a Responsible Federal Budget, a non-partisan think-tank in Washington. “In some ways, we still have our foot on the gas.”

    Persistent inflation has placed the Biden administration and many Democrats on the defensive about the impact of its $1.9tn stimulus plan enacted in March last year. While the White House believes it saved the US from a lacklustre recovery, critics contend that it overheated the economy. Steve Rattner, a former Obama administration official and Wall Street executive, told MSNBC on Wednesday that the US “put too much money in people’s pockets” and “we’re all paying the price”. In response, Gene Sperling, a White House adviser, wrote on Twitter that “some have a curious obsession with exaggerating the impact” of the stimulus, when high inflation was global. Indeed, as well as showing his responsiveness to inflation, many Democrats also want Biden not to be excessively downbeat about economic factors he cannot fully control. “I think we will also continue to try to remind people that it’s totally fair and OK to be upset with inflation, but please, let’s not forget that that’s not the only thing going on in our lives and in our country today,” said Beyer, the Democratic congressman from Virginia. “Let’s fight our way through it but let’s not be discouraged.” More

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    Emerging market FX rallies seen short-lived due to high inflation: Reuters poll

    JOHANNESBURG/BENGALURU (Reuters) – Battered emerging market currencies will struggle to hold on to recent gains towards year-end as U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and inflation concerns keep the dollar in the forefront, a Reuters poll found.Barely recovering from a nearly two-year bear run, positive sentiment in emerging market currencies has already been soured by higher U.S. Treasury yields.Last month, safe-haven dollar inflows pushed the emerging markets currency index to its weakest level since end-2020. But it recovered after markets scaled back somewhat on aggressive Fed hike bets, weakening the greenback.A majority of FX strategists in the May 30-June 1 poll said the dollar’s recent weakness would be short-lived and it would strengthen against most emerging market currencies by end-August.”It has been a perfect storm for EM local markets in 2022 – a hawkish Fed, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the Russian debt sell-off and a China slowdown,” said Min Dai, FX strategist at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS).”While we … hoped at the start of the year that EM could recover in 2022 after a painful 2021, the reality is the opposite.”Almost all past emerging market crises were linked to dollar strength. As the dollar rises, developing countries must tighten monetary policy to head off falls in their own currencies. Not doing so would exacerbate inflation and raise the cost of servicing dollar-denominated debt.”The EM story won’t turn constructive unless U.S. inflation starts to turn. Valuations are cheap and positioning is clean, but this is not sufficient for investors to turn constructive,” Dai said.The dollar index strengthened on Wednesday as Treasury yields climbed and worries over a further acceleration in global inflation kept investors’ risk appetite at bay.Societe Generale (OTC:SCGLY)’s Phoenix Kalen said the spectre of high and sticky inflation amid a choppy global growth outlook is likely to haunt markets during the near term.That will offer limited opportunities for emerging market assets to decisively break out of recent ranges.STABLE OUTLOOK “The fate of a broad range of EM currencies will be tied to CNY’s (Chinese yuan) behavior in the coming period. Asia FX and EM commodity currencies such as Latam FX and ZAR (South African rand) remain susceptible to near-term weakness, due to their linkages with CNY,” Kalen added.South Africa’s rand has taken on a somewhat stable outlook in comparison to other EM currencies. The high-yielding rand was expected to erase most of its gains made so far this year in the next three months, falling more than 2.0% to 15.65/$.Turkey’s lira is down nearly 20% this year, in addition to the 44% it lost last year, as Turkey’s central bank slashed interest rates even as inflation was soaring. Inflation is expected to reach 76.55% in May.The lira, the worst-performing emerging market currency this year, is set to fall about 9% to 18.00/$ in the next 12 months.Russia’s rouble, which was propped up by capital controls and had artificially risen to become the world’s best-performing currency so far this year, is expected to weaken more than 20% to 76.67/$ in a year.Not all is well in Asia, either. China’s tightly-controlled yuan was predicted to depreciate 1.0% to 6.71 per dollar in a year as analysts warned a shrinking yield gap between Chinese and U.S. 10-year government bonds could trigger capital outflows.The Indian rupee, which hit a record low of 77.73 versus the dollar last month, was expected to hit a fresh low of 78/$ in the next six months. More

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    Firms in India's ancient shoe capital squeezed by costs, fading demand

    AGRA, India (Reuters) – In his small shoe factory in the Indian city of Agra, Rajesh Kumar, his two brothers and three workers have been sitting idle for a week, faced with a dearth of new orders and increasing pressure from surging materials costs.”The cost of synthetic leather, chemicals and other raw material, mostly imported from China, has gone up by over 20% in last three months, while the price of the final product remains same,” the 60-year-old said in his poorly lit two-room factory in the congested back lanes of the Taj Mahal.”We are now unable to earn even a 10 rupee ($0.1) margin on 200 rupee shoes due to the rise in costs,” Kumar said. Before the pandemic, he could earn 20-25 rupees on a pair of shoes.Agra has been India’s biggest shoe making centre since the Mughals ruled from the city centuries ago but Kumar’s small businesses and thousands like it across the country now work on shrinking margins, squeezed by rising commodity prices and weak consumer demand. India’s economy grew at its slowest pace in a year in the first three months of 2022, data showed this week, hit by a fall in manufacturing and weaker consumer spending. Manufacturing contracted 0.2% year-on-year, after a 0.3% expansion in the previous quarter.Small firms, which employ about 110 million Indians and account for 45% of manufacturing, were hit the hardest, casting a cloud over the economic recovery.”Life has become miserable for small businesses,” said K.E. Raghunathan, convenor of the Consortium of Indian Associations, which represents nearly half a million businesses. He is concerned about a 30% rise in costs for the auto-parts, textiles, footwear, food processing, engineering and packaging industries.”Unlike big companies, small businesses – who have little bargaining power and depend on middlemen – are unable to pass on rising costs,” he said.Over 72,000 small businesses in the southern state of Tamil Nadu have shut up shop in the past few months and many others face closure, he said.In western India’s industrial hub of Ahmedabad, Nirav Trivedi’s metalworks business has struggled with a 60% rise in steel and gas costs over six months, forcing him to cut his production and workforce by a third.”Though we have more work compared to the pandemic, profits have slipped to below 8% compared to 20-22% margins earlier,” he said, adding some projects had become economically unviable.Following the GDP data, economists downgraded their growth forecasts for the fiscal year starting April to around 7% from 8.5% to 9% previously.To tame inflation, which hit an eight-year high in April, the central bank last month raised interest rates. It expects the tightening to curb cost pressures and improve prospects for businesses.While India’s factory activity expanded in May, according to a purchasing managers’ index, surging prices remain a major concern.’TOO LITTLE RELIEF’To ease the burden for households, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has offered pandemic relief through free food grain and easy bank credit.However, manufacturers say the state relief was “too little” as prices of energy and raw materials soar along with taxes.Tek Chand Chibrani, secretary of Agra Shoe Factories Association, said the local industry, which employs 400,000 workers, faces falling rural demand and rising costs, though a pick-up in overseas sales partly helped bigger manufacturers.The rupee’s more than 4% decline against the dollar this year has also made imports more expensive, he said, adding to the burdens from rising interest rates.According to market researcher NielsenIQ, rural consumption fell 5.3% in January-March, the largest decline in last three quarters, which has hurt small factories.”There is an increase in the exit of small manufacturers in January-March period due to high input cost pressures, and not being able to pass on the costs to the consumers,” NielsenIQ said.India is the world’s second-largest producer of footwear after China and according to industry estimates, Agra meets nearly 65% of domestic shoe demand and accounts for more than 25% of the country’s $2 billion shoe exports.Ashok Kumar, 45, a worker at another small factory in Agra, said they were now working longer hours to earn about 12,000 rupees ($155) a month while cutting down spending on food, children’s education and other expenses.”I am unable to feed my five children despite working for 12 hours a day,” he said.($1 = 77.5780 Indian rupees) More

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    U.S. to cancel all remaining student loans used for bankrupt Corinthian Colleges

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The U.S. Department of Education on Wednesday said it will cancel all remaining federal student loans used to attend any campus of for-profit Corinthian Colleges Inc, which shut down in 2015 amid multiple federal and state investigations into whether it misled investors and students.The decision, which Vice President Kamala Harris will discuss publicly on Thursday, will result in $5.8 billion in loan forgiveness for 560,000 borrowers, the largest single such move ever made by the department, department officials said.The department was investigating problems at other institutions, and this could lead to loan discharges for more students cheated by their colleges, a senior official told reporters. “The reality is that far too many students have been left worse off than if they had never gone to college at all,” a second official said, citing “troubling racial disparities.”Harris sued Corinthian when she was California attorney general, alleging the Santa Ana, California-based company intentionally misled students about job placement rates and engaged in deceptive advertising and recruitment.Corinthian, which operated the Heald College, Everest and WyoTech schools and offered degrees in healthcare and trades, filed for bankruptcy in May 2015, 20 years after its founding. At its peak in 2010, Corinthian enrolled more than 110,000 students at 105 campuses.The department’s move will cancel outstanding loans. Borrowers who have not paid off their debt will receive refunds of past loan payments, officials said. But borrowers who fully paid off their loans will not receive refunds, they said.Borrowers would not have to take any action to receive the money, they added.Officials said they continued to study broader student debt relief options. To date, the department has approved $25 billion in loan relief for 1.3 million borrowers since January 2021 for a variety of reasons. More

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    Dimon says brace for U.S. economic 'hurricane' due to inflation

    (Reuters) – Jamie Dimon, Chairman and Chief Executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM) described the challenges facing the U.S. economy akin to an “hurricane” down the road and urged the Federal Reserve to take forceful measures to avoid tipping the world’s biggest economy into a recession.Dimon’s comments come a day after President Joe Biden met with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to discuss inflation, which is hovering at 40-year highs.”It’s a hurricane,” Dimon told a banking conference, adding that the current situation is unprecedented. “Right now, it’s kind of sunny, things are doing fine. Everyone thinks the Fed can handle this. That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way. We just don’t know if it’s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy,” he added.The Fed is under pressure to decisively make a dent in an inflation rate that is running at more than three times its 2% goal and has caused a jump in the cost of living for Americans. It faces a difficult task in dampening demand enough to curb inflation while not causing a recession.”The Fed has to meet this now with raising rates and QT (quantitative tightening). In my view, they have to do QT. They do not have a choice because there’s so much liquidity in the system,” Dimon said.Major central banks, already plotting interest rate hikes in a fight against inflation, are also preparing a common pullback from key financial markets in a first-ever round of global quantitative tightening expected to restrict credit and add stress to an already-slowing world economy.The inflation battle has become the focal point of Biden’s June agenda amidst his sagging opinion polls and before November’s congressional election.Uncertainty about the U.S. central bank’s policy move, the war in Ukraine, prolonged supply-chain snarls due to COVID-19 and higher Treasury yields have rocked global stock markets, with the benchmark S&P 500 index falling 13.3% year-to-date.”You gotta brace yourself. JPMorgan is bracing ourselves, and we’re going to be very conservative in our balance sheet,” Dimon added.SOFT LANDING? Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) & Co’s CEO warned that the Federal Reserve would find it “extremely difficult” to manage a soft landing of the economy as the central bank seeks to douse the inflation fire with interest rate hikes.The CEO of the fourth-largest U.S. lender also said that Wells Fargo is seeing a direct impact from inflation on consumers’ spending, particularly on fuel and food.”The scenario of a soft landing is … extremely difficult to achieve in the environment that we’re in today,” Wells Fargo Chief Executive Officer Charlie Scharf said at the conference.”If there is a short recession, that’s not all that deep… there will be some pain as you go through it, overall, everyone will be just fine coming out of it,” he added.Scharf said while the overall consumer spending is strong, growth is slowing.”Corporations are still spending, where they can they’re increasing inventories … we do expect the consumer and ultimately businesses to weaken, which is part of what the Fed is trying to engineer but hopefully in a constructive way,” he added.Recent Fed reports and surveys reported households on average in a strong financial position, with working families doing well, and unemployment at levels more akin to the boom years of the 1950s and 1960s. Wages for many lower-skilled occupations are rising, and bank accounts, on average, are still flush with cash from coronavirus support programs.But confidence has waned, and in a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll the economy topped respondents’ list of concerns. “I don’t think our crystal ball relative to the macro later this year, 2023, 2024 is necessarily any better than others. Clearly, we’re going to see with the Fed actions different impacts in different businesses,” GE CEO Larry Culp, told the conference.Still, not everyone in corporate America is seeing slowdown.”Of the vast majority of the markets we serve are still quite strong,” Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) CEO Jim Umplebly said. “And our challenge at the moment, quite frankly, is supply chain, our ability to supply enough equipment to meet all the demand that’s out there,” he added. More