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    Tron’s Justin Sun Announces ‘Most Decentralized Stablecoin’ with $10 Billion of Crypto Collateral

    Decentralized USD (USDD): The Most Decentralized StablecoinThe open letter from Sun explains that the USDD will be “a fully decentralized stablecoin underpinned by mathematics and algorithms.”In the Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) thread where he shared the details of the project, Sun explained that in the history of blockchain, stablecoins have gone through the 1.0 and 2.0 eras, represented by Omni-based and TRON-based #USDTs.According to Sun, the stablecoin named Decentralized USD (USDD) will mark the beginning of the “Stablecoin 3.0 era.” He opines that the USDD will decentralize “the blockchain world’s most centralized territory.”He also explains that the TRON DAO reserve will provide custody service for $10 billion in highly liquid assets for the USDD. The fund will be “raised from initiators of the blockchain industry” and act as a reserve to the USDD stable.In addition, the TRON DAO will offer a risk-free interest rate of 30% per annum.On The FlipsideWhy You Should CareThe USDD could be the next phase for stablecoin, as it will allow people to mint and burn with TRX and hold billions in crypto reserves.Continue reading on DailyCoin More

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    ‘Adopting Crypto in A Big Way,’ Binance Receives Bahrain License

    Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, has been granted the license to operate in Bahrain by the country’s Central Bank, giving the crypto exchange its first license from a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member state.Changpeng Zhao, CEO of Binance, was thrilled to break the news on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), sharing a photo of his meeting with Bahrain’s Crown Prince and Prime Minister Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa.For Binance, this new partnership with Bahrain is a milestone in the world of cryptocurrency. This will further contribute to the company’s goal of “being fully licensed and regulated around the world.”Zhao further expressed his gratitude to the prince, saying:Central Bank Governor Rashid Al-Maraj was also present at the meeting, joining Sheikh Mohammed bin Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa. The prince emphasized that Bahrain’s financial services and digital technology sectors are expanding and creating great jobs for the locals.Prince Salman said that Bahrain’s excellent business environment strengthens the country’s competitive position and overall growth.He praised multinational enterprises for their work in managing digital assets and recognized their importance in advancing the world’s digital transformation, particularly in financial services and digital technology.During the meeting, Zhao emphasized the Kingdom of Bahrain’s significant potential for economic development and investment and wished the Kingdom ongoing progress and prosperity.In other news, Binance is also expanding its presence in the United Arab Emirates. Zhao announced collaborating with the Dubai World Trade Centre (DWTC) to help establish an international virtual asset ecosystem and assist with the creation of virtual asset legislation.Continue reading on CoinQuora More

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    Surging US inflation expectations defy Fed’s efforts to tame price growth

    Investors’ expectations for US inflation have shot to their highest level in decades even as the Federal Reserve signals an aggressive tightening of monetary policy is imminent, underscoring the challenge central banks face in convincing markets they can tame runaway price growth.A historic bond rout has intensified this week as officials from both the Fed and the European Central Bank stepped up their inflation-fighting rhetoric. But the hawkish message has done little to arrest a rise in long-term inflation expectations, which are watched closely by central bankers concerned that they can become self-fulfilling.The US 10-year break-even — a closely watched gauge of market inflation expectations over the next decade — climbed to 3.08 per cent on Friday, the highest level in at least two decades.The move came after Fed chair Jay Powell said at an IMF panel that “it is appropriate in my view to be moving a little more quickly” to combat inflation, which is currently running at the fastest pace in 40 years.“Central bankers seem to be at this point of maximum pressure on inflation,” said Mark Dowding, chief investment officer at BlueBay Asset Management. “The market is giving the message that you were complacent on inflation for too long, it’s time to get on with it.”Markets are now pricing in extra-large 0.5 percentage point rate rises at each of the Fed’s next three meetings.Even so, Powell has also pushed back against the idea that the Fed will need to provoke a recession in order to bring inflation back to its 2 per cent target, saying on Thursday that a “soft landing” for the economy remains the central bank’s goal. That message has left some investors wondering whether the Fed will allow inflation to remain elevated for longer, according to analysts at Barclays.Very high inflation expectations in markets are in part a reflection of the current rate of consumer price rises in the US, which reached 8.5 per cent in March following a surge in the cost of energy and food. But even five-year five-year inflation swaps, a different measure favoured by central bankers which strips out current inflation levels and looks at the second half of the next 10 years, have hit their highest since 2014 at 2.84 per cent.The picture is similar in the eurozone where five-year five-year inflation trades at 2.45 per cent, the highest since 2013. ECB president Christine Lagarde suggested on Thursday that the bloc’s bank will be less aggressive than the Fed in acting to tame inflation as she appeared alongside Powell at the IMF panel.Still, recent comments from some the ECB president’s colleagues have alerted markets to the possibility of earlier tightening than previously thought. Vice-president Luis de Guindos said earlier this week that a rate increase — the ECB’s first since 2011 — could come as early as July.German two-year bond yields, which are highly sensitive to ECB rate expectations, climbed to their highest level since 2013 on Friday. More

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    Holcim shares surge after guidance upgrade and earnings beat

    ZURICH (Reuters) -Holcim raised its full-year sales outlook on Friday after posting forecast-beating first quarter results, helped by price hikes to offset surging energy costs and new acquisitions in its roofing business.The Swiss company’s shares rose 6% in early trade after it exceeded analysts’ expectations for sales and earnings, a performance that also reassured investors about its ability to pass on cost inflation to customers.”We had a fantastic quarter,” Holcim (SIX:HOLN) CEO Jan Jenisch told reporters, after sales rose 20% to 6.44 billion Swiss francs ($6.74 billion), topping forecasts for 6.1 billion francs in a company-gathered consensus of analysts.”I would say pricing and acquisitions both had the same effect, both around 10%, and then we had a slight volume increase especially in aggregates and ready mix concrete and also roofing systems,” he said.The company, which is quitting Russia following Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine, is the latest to hike its prices to offset rising energy, transport and labour costs.Food companies Nestle and Danone as well as engineering company ABB said earlier this week they have taken similar action to prevent profits being squeezed.”We believe we are in a good situation for the challenging cost inflation and when you look at the volumes we are very confident,” Jenisch said.DEMAND SEEN STRONGDemand would also continue to be strong, Jenisch said, citing increasing populations and the need to repair and refurbish crumbling infrastructure. Holcim posted earnings before interest and tax of 614 million Swiss francs ($644.21 million), 16% up from a year earlier and well ahead of the 443 million francs forecast.It said it now expects to increase sales this year by at least 8% on a like-for-like basis, which cuts out the impact of acquisitions and divestments and currency swings. Previously Holcim said it expected a 6% increase.The upgrade pushed Holcim to be the top performer on the Stoxx Europe 600 Construction Index, and also boosted shares in peers including Germany’s HeidelbergCement (ETR:HEIG) and France’s Saint-Gobain.”Solid volume growth, price increases, and lower depreciation charges offset cost inflation, resulting in positive EBIT growth also on a like for like basis,” said Vontobel analyst Bernd Pomrehn, cheering the Holcim results. Holcim last year bought Firestone Building Products for $3.4 billion and Malarkey Roofing Products in a $1.35 billion deal as it seeks to reduce its reliance on cement and expand into building systems and products.($1 = 0.9553 Swiss francs) More

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    Special Report-How crypto giant Binance built ties to a Russian FSB-linked agency

    VILNIUS (Reuters) – In April 2021, Russia’s financial intelligence unit met in Moscow with the regional head of Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange. The Russians wanted Binance to agree to hand over client data, including names and addresses, to help them fight crime, according to text messages the company official sent to a business associate.At the time, the agency, known as Rosfinmonitoring or Rosfin, was seeking to trace millions of dollars in bitcoin raised by jailed Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, a person familiar with the matter said. Navalny, whose network Rosfinmonitoring added that month to a list of terrorist organisations, said the donations were used to finance efforts to expose corruption inside President Vladimir Putin’s government.Binance’s head of Eastern Europe and Russia, Gleb Kostarev, consented to Rosfin’s request to agree to share client data, the messages showed. He told the business associate that he didn’t have “much of a choice” in the matter. Kostarev didn’t comment for this article. Binance told Reuters it had never been contacted by Russian authorities regarding Navalny. It said that before the war it was “actively seeking compliance in Russia,” which would have required it to respond to “appropriate requests from regulators and law enforcement agencies.”The encounter, which has not been previously reported, was part of behind-the-scenes efforts by Binance to build ties with Russian government agencies as it sought to boost its growing business in the country, Reuters reporting shows. This account of those efforts is based on interviews with over 10 people familiar with Binance’s operations in Russia, including former employees, ex-business partners and crypto industry executives, and a review of text messages that Kostarev sent to people outside the company.Binance has continued to operate in Russia since Putin ordered his troops into Ukraine on Feb. 24, despite requests from the government in Kyiv to Binance and other exchanges to ban Russian users. Other major payment and fintech companies, such as PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) and American Express (NYSE:AXP), have halted services in Russia since the Kremlin launched what it calls a “special operation” to demilitarise and “denazify” Ukraine. One of Binance’s main rivals in Russia, EXMO.com, said on Monday it would no longer serve Russian and Belarusian clients and was selling its Russia business. Some smaller crypto exchanges remain.CEO Changpeng Zhao, widely known by his initials CZ, has said he is against the war and “politicians, dictators that start the wars” but not against “the people on both sides of Ukraine and Russia that are suffering.” Zhao didn’t comment for this article. Binance referred Reuters to Zhao’s previous statements on the matter.Legal representatives for Binance told Reuters that “active engagement with the Russian government has now stopped due to the conflict.” On Thursday Binance told users it was limiting services for major clients in Russia because of the latest European Union sanctions on Moscow.Binance’s trading volumes in Russia have boomed since the war began, data from a top industry research firm shows, as Russians turned to crypto to protect their assets from Western sanctions and a devaluing rouble. In one recent message to an industry contact, Kostarev said Binance’s priority was to ensure the market stayed open, so the exchange wasn’t “making a fuss.” He didn’t elaborate.Asked by Reuters to clarify Kostarev’s message, Binance said the war and economic crisis could accelerate crypto’s adoption among working-class Russian citizens looking for alternative payment means. Binance added that it is aggressively applying sanctions imposed by Western governments, but would not unilaterally “freeze millions of innocent users’ accounts.” GRAPHIC: Binance in Russia’s war – https://graphics.reuters.com/FINTECH-CRYPTO/mopanbbnava/chart.png THE FREEDOM OF MONEYSince its launch five years ago in Shanghai, Binance has grown to dominate the unregulated Russian crypto sector with an estimated four-fifths of all trading volumes, market data shows. Binance said it doesn’t comment on “external data projections” and, as a private company, doesn’t share such information publicly.Zhao, in 2019, told Russians that Binance’s mission there was to increase the “freedom of money” and “protect users.” Russians flocked to the platform, seeing it as an alternative to a banking system closely monitored by a state they distrusted.In line with a draft law to regulate crypto companies, Binance agreed with Rosfinmonitoring to set up a local unit in Russia through which authorities can request client data, the Kostarev messages reviewed by Reuters show. Asked whether it had proceeded to set up this local unit, Binance responded, “Should we consider establishing a local entity in Russia in the future, Binance will never share data without a legitimate law enforcement request.”Navalny’s chief of staff, Leonid Volkov, told Reuters that Russia’s proposed regulatory framework could let the Kremlin identify the opposition group’s crypto donors. Since Navalny’s arrest in January 2021, his anti-corruption foundation has publicly encouraged backers to donate via Binance, telling them this was the safest way to do so because, unlike with bank transfers, authorities would not know donors’ identities.”These people will be in danger,” said Volkov, who runs the foundation from Lithuania. If Binance wants to protect its customers, Volkov went on, it should “never do anything with the Russian government.” The Kremlin declined to comment on Navalny’s crypto fundraising or Binance’s operations.In response to Reuters’ questions, Binance said that before the war it was supportive of legislation that would bring clarity to regulation. But the Ukraine conflict and Western sanctions on many Russian banks had made it “virtually impossible for any platform to initiate or consider future plans in the region.”People close to Binance said it supported the draft law because, once passed, crypto exchanges would be required to partner with Russian banks, allowing customers to deposit and trade significantly more funds.The finance ministry said in early April it had finished drafting its “bill on the regulation of digital currencies.” People involved in the discussions say the government wants to move quickly to write the bill into law. One lawmaker told parliament’s official newspaper last month the crypto legislation would help mitigate damage to the Russian economy from sanctions.Among the agencies helping develop the law is Rosfinmonitoring, responsible for combating money laundering and terrorist financing. Though nominally independent, it acts as an arm of the Federal Security Service (FSB), the main successor to the Soviet-era KGB, five people who have interacted with Rosfin said. Rosfin’s director, Yury Chikhanchin, is a security services veteran, according to his official biography.Marshall Billingslea, a former head of the Financial Action Task Force, a global watchdog which sets standards for authorities combating financial crime, told a conference last year that Rosfin was “firmly under control of the FSB” to ensure that only state-sanctioned transactions were made into and out of Russia. Billingslea said it was “no surprise” to see Rosfin declare Navalny’s network a terrorist organisation after his arrest.Rosfin, in a written response to Reuters’ questions, said it fully complies with international standards of operational independence in areas including regulating the activities of virtual asset service providers. Chikhanchin didn’t comment.At least one other crypto exchange did not agree to provide client data to Rosfin due to concerns about how the information could be used and the FSB’s influence on the unit, according to a person familiar with the discussions. Others in Russia’s crypto sector said they were also sceptical about the draft law.”No one knows if the proposed local office system will be used for good or bad,” said Mike Bystroff, a partner at the Moscow-based Digital Rights Center law firm, who represented Binance when it successfully challenged a ban on its website in January 2021.Binance’s willingness to engage with Rosfin through 2021 contrasted with its approach elsewhere. Some national regulators have accused the company of withholding information. Britain’s regulator said in August last year a Binance UK unit was “not capable of being effectively supervised” after it refused to answer questions about Binance’s global business. Liechtenstein’s regulator, in a 2020 report, said Binance’s dealings with the body were “non-transparent” as it declined to provide financial information on request. In an article published in January, Reuters reported that Binance cancelled plans to seek a licence in Malta in 2019 due to Zhao’s concerns about the level of financial disclosure required.Lawyers for Binance said it was “false equivalency” to conflate “distinct issues of our client’s responsiveness to law enforcement disclosure requests, with licensing applications for its own business that would involve wholly different types of disclosures.” Binance said it was “the most active participant in the industry” working with law enforcement to “develop best practices, mitigate/thwart new methods of criminality and prevent illicit proceeds from entering the marketplace.”Binance said any suggestion that it refuses to share data with authorities making legitimate requests is “absolutely false.” It said it has strict policies and procedures to assess such requests and reserves the right to decline “when there is no legal purpose.””DON’T BE AFRAID”Zhao first travelled to Russia as Binance CEO in October 2019. At a tech forum in Moscow, he told an audience to stop being “a slave” to traditional finance. His slideshow cited the 18th century philosopher Jean-Jacques Rousseau: “A man is born free, but everywhere he is in chains.”Binance targeted Russia for expansion, noting in a 2018 blog post the country’s “hyperactive” crypto community. The exchange partnered with Belize-based payment company Advcash to enable users to deposit and withdraw roubles using bank cards. Advcash said the partnership is still active.Binance gradually took a commanding share of the Russian crypto market. By mid-2021, Binance’s trading volumes in Russia had made it the exchange’s second-largest market globally after China, including among “VIP” clients who trade large amounts of crypto, a person with direct knowledge of the company’s data said. In March this year, Binance processed almost 80% of all rouble-to-crypto trades, according to data from researcher CryptoCompare, worth some 85 billion roubles ($1.1 billion).”People just trusted it. It was always a step ahead of competitors,” said Maksim Sukhonosik, a Russian crypto trader and co-founder of blockchain consulting firm Colibri Group.However, in 2020, Binance began drawing the attention of Russian authorities, who were at the time hostile to cryptocurrencies. Russia’s communications watchdog banned its website for allegedly carrying prohibited material about buying crypto. Binance challenged the decision in court and the ban was withdrawn in January 2021, according to statements Binance posted in its Telegram group for Russian users.Binance told Reuters the lawsuit was dismissed on procedural grounds because the firm wasn’t properly notified. The regulator did not respond to requests to comment.Navalny was arrested that month on his return to Russia, after recovering from poisoning with the nerve agent Novichok. He, along with the U.S. and British governments, blamed the FSB for the attack, an accusation Russia rejects. The FSB did not respond to questions for this article.A core part of Russian prosecutors’ case against Navalny was the financing of his foundation. At his trial, they accused him of stealing over 350 million roubles, then worth some $4.8 million, that the foundation received as donations. Navalny denied the charge. Volkov told Reuters that security forces interrogated thousands of supporters who donated through Russian banks. None of these donors had used digital currencies, he said.Navalny’s crypto fundraising surged after his arrest. The more than 670 bitcoin that supporters have donated via Binance and other exchanges would now be worth almost $28 million, according to blockchain data, though Volkov said the real amount raised is less because the bitcoins were sold upon receipt at a lower price.When a Russian court outlawed Navalny’s foundation in June 2021, ruling it to be an “extremist organisation,” the network told supporters on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) to “learn how to use cryptocurrencies” and recommended they open Binance accounts. In a later how-to guide, the foundation advised donors to upload identity cards to Binance to verify their accounts, noting there were no instances yet of any crypto exchange providing information to Russian authorities. “You don’t need to be afraid,” the guide said.After the explosion in Navalny’s bitcoin donations, the FSB started exploring how to identify his crypto donors, according to the person familiar with the matter. The FSB, the person said, instructed Rosfin to find a way to achieve that goal. Responding to questions from Reuters, Rosfin said it is prohibited from disclosing measures to combat terrorist financing. It said Navalny was involved in “terrorist activity.”GRAPHIC: Rouble riches – https://graphics.reuters.com/FINTECH-CRYPTO/zjpqkddkdpx/chart.png “OUT OF THE SHADOWS”In April 2021, a Russian non-profit organisation called the Digital Economy Development Fund invited Binance to a private meeting with Rosfin at a government building in Moscow, according to the invitation seen by Reuters. The organisation is headed by a former top advisor to Putin on internet policy, German Klimenko, and was set up in 2019 to develop Russian technologies. The fund’s website says one of its partners is the Russian trade and industry ministry. Kostarev, the Binance director, chairs the fund’s committee on digital currencies.Neither the Digital Economy Development Fund nor Klimenko responded to emails seeking comment.Another exchange, OKX, originally Chinese but now based in the Seychelles, was also invited, a person familiar with the meeting said. An OKX spokesperson said the company declined the invitation, without giving a reason.At the meeting, according to Kostarev’s messages, Rosfin said it wanted exchanges to register with the agency so they could receive its requests for client information. Kostarev wrote to the business associate to say he didn’t view the demand as a problem. He told the associate the FSB was interested in crypto, too. He didn’t elaborate.Asked about Kostarev’s meeting with Rosfin, Binance said, “We did not work with, collaborate, nor partner with that organization.” Five months later, Rosfin sent Binance a questionnaire, reviewed by Reuters, seeking more information on the exchange’s background checks on clients and its “preferred channel of communication” with authorities for requests on crypto transactions. Asked about this communication, the firm said, “Binance takes its compliance obligations seriously and welcomes opportunities to consult with regulators.”Kostarev told the business associate in a message around the time of the questionnaire that Binance was stepping up efforts to engage with the government on crypto regulation. Rosfin was prepared to support Binance in this, Kostarev wrote.But the Russian central bank was opposed to Moscow regulating cryptocurrencies and allowing the market to flourish out of concern that it would encourage criminal activity. Many of the world’s central banks, whose mission includes controlling money supply, have similar qualms about the wild world of crypto. Governor Elvira Nabiullina told Russia’s parliament in November “a responsible state should not stimulate their distribution.” A spokeswoman for the central bank declined to comment.In January of this year, Binance announced it had hired a senior central bank official, Olga Goncharova, as a director for the Greater Russia region. Goncharova would build “systematic interaction” with authorities in Russia, Binance said. After Nabiullina proposed a ban on crypto use on Russian territory later that month, Kostarev told the business associate in a message that Binance was “in a war” with the central bank. All other Russian government agencies wanted to legalise digital currencies, Kostarev said. Support for crypto was indeed building in Moscow. Following Nabiullina’s call for a ban, a top official at the finance ministry publicly backed the law that would require crypto exchanges to turn over names of their customers, saying it was necessary to ensure “transparency.”Putin then intervened. In a televised meeting with ministers on Jan. 26, he asked the government and central bank to reach a “unanimous opinion” on crypto regulation. He noted Russia had “certain competitive advantages” in the sector, such as surplus electricity, the most crucial input for the power-hungry creation of cryptocurrency.Two weeks later, the government approved a plan for crypto regulation, drawn up by agencies including Rosfin and the FSB, that would bring the “industry out of the shadows.”Kostarev tweeted in response to an article on the announcement, “Finally some good news.”In a document describing the proposed regulatory framework, the government said that without such a system law enforcement “will not be able to respond effectively to offences and crimes.” The government would create a database of cryptocurrency wallets related to terrorism financing, the government said, and exchanges would have to disclose information about their customers to Rosfin. The finance ministry submitted an early version of the draft law on Feb. 18.Six days later, Russian forces invaded Ukraine. Binance’s rouble trading exploded as Western nations imposed sanctions on Russia and the Kremlin limited foreign currency withdrawals. CryptoCompare’s data shows Binance’s average daily volume for rouble transactions for the initial three weeks of the war was almost four times higher than during the month before.On Binance’s Russian Telegram group, some volunteer customer representatives, known as Binance Angels, endorsed traders’ posts thanking Binance for not blocking accounts, including one message asking Binance not to “fall for this war crap.” Binance has enlisted hundreds of Angels around the world to promote the exchange to local crypto traders.”Binance does not interfere in politics,” one Angel wrote. Binance told Reuters that Angels are not spokespeople for the company.Binance also drew praise from Putin’s United Russia party. One lawmaker, Alexander Yakubovsky, speaking to the official parliament newspaper on March 14, called Binance the “leading experts in our country” advising politicians on crypto regulation. The company “is under strong pressure from countries unfriendly to Russia,” he said. Binance said they had never met or communicated with Yakubovsky and his opinions were his own.($1 = 78.2830 roubles)( More

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    Bundesbank warns Russian gas embargo would cost Germany €180bn

    An immediate EU ban on Russian gas imports would cost Germany €180bn in lost output this year, the country’s powerful central bank has warned. The Bundesbank said in its latest monthly bulletin, published on Friday, that an embargo on Russian gas would dent gross domestic product by 5 per cent in 2022, triggering a surge in energy prices and one of the deepest recessions of recent decades. The central bank’s estimate is far gloomier than those of academic economists and is likely to revive a fierce debate over how equipped the eurozone’s economic powerhouse is to manage without Russian gas. Ukraine’s government, European policymakers and academics have argued that sales of gas, oil and coal to the west have stabilised the Russian economy and helped finance President Vladimir Putin’s war machine. The EU will ban Russian coal imports from August, but gas deliveries are set to continue. Last month, a group of nine university economists termed the fallout of a full energy embargo “manageable”, saying it would dent Germany’s GDP by just 0.3 to 3 per cent. However, industry executives have warned the impact would be more severe. BASF chief executive Martin Brudermüller said a sudden stop of Russian gas deliveries could destroy Germany’s “entire economy” and could trigger the worst economic crisis since 1945. Politicians have also rejected the claims the economic hit would be minor, with German chancellor Olaf Scholz labelling the estimates “wrong” and “irresponsible”. Economics minister Robert Habeck said Germany will wean itself off Russian gas by 2024. At the IMF and World Bank meetings in Washington on Thursday, US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen called for the EU to be “careful” about banning Russian energy imports, warning of the harm such a move could inflict on the global economy.Chancellor Olaf Scholz is among those who have rejected the claims the economic hit would be minor © Clemens Bilan/EPA/ShutterstockBefore the war in Ukraine, Russia accounted for 55 per cent of all German gas imports, according to figures from the German government. More than a third of that gas is consumed by the manufacturing sector. In the chemical industry, gas is needed not just to generate electricity and heat, but also to make chemicals derived from hydrocarbons.Under German law, industrial users would be cut off from gas deliveries first should supply fall short of demand, with households who use it for heating and warm water generation getting preferential treatment. The German government last month took the first formal steps towards the rationing of gas.In its simulation, the Bundesbank assumed that industrial consumers could not replace Russian gas with alternative energy sources for three quarters in a row. In such a scenario, inflation — which, at 7.3 per cent, is already at a post-reunification high — would shoot up by another 1.5 percentage points this year, exacerbating the threat of stagflation, where strong price pressures are coupled with weak growth.The 5 per cent hit to growth would push the German economy into one of the biggest post-financial crisis recessions, as overall GDP would shrink by 2 per cent. The European Central Bank’s latest forecasts, made in March, estimated growth of 3 per cent. Germany’s economy shrank by 5.7 per cent in 2009, and by 4.6 per cent in 2020. The Bundesbank cautioned that its estimates were subject to a very high degree of uncertainty, because it was unclear if standard macro models were able to catch all the knock-on effects that might be triggered by such an unprecedented disruption in energy supplies. More

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    Bybit Incorporates Debit/Credit Cards for Crypto Purchase

    Bybit, one of the fastest-growing crypto exchanges in the world has launched credit and debit card payments for buying cryptocurrencies. This new venture will allow users to buy crypto directly with their credit or debit cards using fiat currencies.CEO and Co-founder of Bybit Ben Zhou remarked:In detail, Bybit’s new service intends to make buying crypto as simple as purchasing books and clothes online. Also, the process for using a credit card is simple, in a way that users have to just enter their details, agree to a quoted price, and pay via the Mastercard (NYSE:MA) or Visa (NYSE:V) system. To note, Bybit supports a range of fiat currencies, including the euro, U.S dollar, and pound sterling. The service will be available for any eligible user with a Bybit account.Additionally, Bybit has dropped fees on credit or debit card purchases to celebrate this new integration. To specify, customers from the European Economic Area and the UK are devoid of this fee until May 17, 2022. However, after this period, customers who purchase crypto on Bybit via the credit/debit card mode will enjoy some of the lowest fees for the service. This fee would start at 1.1% for purchases made from the European Union.Bybit is a cryptocurrency exchange established in March 2018. The platform offers crypto traders in finding an ultra-fast matching engine, excellent customer service, and multilingual community support. It provides innovative online spot and derivatives trading services, mining and staking products, an NFT marketplace, and API support.Continue reading on CoinQuora More

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    Take Five: April showers earnings and elections

    In France, a Marine Le Pen presidency looks unlikely. Then again, what seemed impossible in January may come to pass soon — a Russian sovereign debt default.Here’s a look at the week ahead in markets from Kevin Buckland in Tokyo, Saqib Ahmed in New York, Danilo Masoni in Milan, and Dhara Ranasinghe and Karin Strohecker in London.1/ VIVE LA FRANCEUnlike in 2017, investors haven’t had to fret this year that French presidential elections would result in “Frexit”. If opinion polls are right, they don’t need to worry either that far-right candidate Marine Le Pen may win Sunday’s runoff vote. Incumbent Emmanuel Macron, who has led the euro area’s second-biggest economy for five years, enjoys a 12-point lead over Le Pen, and emerged the stronger candidate after a key TV debate. French bond yield premia over top-rated Germany are stable as is the euro, unlike in 2017 when Le Pen espoused ditching the single currency.Still, a Le Pen presidency, which would trigger a constitutional crisis, has never been closer. And even if Macron wins, he cannot count on a majority in June’s parliament election. So, the real test for markets may be yet to come. And history shows opinion polls can get election outcomes wrong. GRAPHIC: French bond spreads tighter compared to 2017 election (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xmpjoykeovr/FRANCE2104.PNG) 2/ TRUE DOVEAhead of Thursday’s policy meeting, the Bank of Japan has left no doubt about its commitment to supercharged stimulus, leaping into markets to defend its 0% bond yield target — even at the expense of a plunging currency.The contrast between the BOJ and the hawkish Federal Reserve is at the heart of the yen’s tumble to a two-decade trough near 130 per dollar.The yen’s 11% fall in the course of a month has prompted warnings from finance minister Shunichi Suzuki against rapid depreciation, putting markets on alert for an intervention. But BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has stuck to the view that yen weakness overall is a positive for Japan.The IMF seems to agree. A senior official said yen moves were down to fundamentals and there was no need to change policy, including the BOJ’s ultra-low rate stance. GRAPHIC: Dollar-yen chases U.S. yields higher (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lbpgnygjxvq/Pasted%20image%201650521218750.png)     3/ TECH TROUBLEIt’s been a gloomy year so far for U.S. stocks and for tech firms, and the ongoing results season could make it worse. Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)’s share rout after reporting falling subscriber numbers has sparked trepidation about upcoming earnings from Facebook-parent Meta, Google-parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL). Apple and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).This so-called FAANG grouping benefited hugely from the low-rate, work-from-home environment. But with interest rates on the rise, their shares have cumulatively lost some $2.5 trillion in market value this year.Overall S&P 500 earnings are projected to expand 6.3%. But Apple quarterly adjusted earnings-per-share are seen growing by just 2% versus the year-ago period, while a 0.7% dip is expected at Alphabet. And EPS declines at Amazon and Meta could be as much as 49% and 24% respectively, Refinitiv data shows. GRAPHIC: All FAANG, no bite (https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-STOCKS/gdvzyayaepw/chart.png) 4/ EUROPE INC: EARNINGS AND INFLATIONAs the Ukraine war rages, European companies’ full-year earnings revisions — the number of upgrades minus downgrades — have turned negative the first time since October 2020. Q1 earnings growth will still be 25%, Refinitiv projects, possibly enough to lift a bearishly positioned market. Yet, with more than 140 companies unveiling earnings during the April 25-29 week, there are questions over cost pressures and whether these can be passed to consumers.Giants such as Nestle and Danone managed to grow Q1 earnings while raising prices, but smaller peers may struggle to do so.Leading banks, including UBS, Deutsche, HSBC and Barclays (LON:BARC) also report; after a disappointing Q1 share performance, the prospect of higher rates is now lifting the sector. GRAPHIC: European earnings (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lbvgnynyqpq/European%20earnings.PNG) 5/ OLD JOB, NEW PROBLEMS Russian central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina starts her new five-year term in charge of monetary policy with a big to-do list: dealing with a full-scale crisis caused by unprecedented and ever widening Western sanctions.The economy is expected to suffer its steepest contraction since the years following the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union, Russia is on the cusp of debt default and annual inflation has soared past 20%.Still, Nabiullina may cut interest rates on Friday, possibly by 200 basis points, from the current 17%. That will partly reverse the emergency rate hike the central bank was forced into after the Kremlin’s February 24 invasion of Ukraine.Rate-setters are also expected to discuss lifting capital controls, and the need to recapitalise some banks. GRAPHIC: Russia inflation (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgvomlbqnvd/Pasted%20image%201650568920953.png) More