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    Morning Bid: Trump-fueled records without momentum, or bonds

    A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. The Trump trade carried Wall Street to fresh records on Monday but election-week momentum faded in holiday thinned markets that don’t leave Asia much to cue off aside from disappointment in China’s stimulus proposals.Except, perhaps, in the cryptosphere, where Donald Trump’s sweeping win over Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris kept activity lively, thanks to the president-elect’s pre-election bitcoin cheerleading.The largest digital currency soared above $85,000 for the first time, carrying associated shares along with it. Treasury markets, being closed for the U.S. Veterans Day holiday, offered no signals.Fed funds futures however showed traders see a 65% chance that the Fed will follow last week’s quarter point cut with another at its Dec. 17-18 meeting, even as easing expectations for next year were dialed back.The three main U.S. indexes climbed further into uncharted territory in early trading, although the benchmark S&P 500 had difficulty holding above the 6,000 threshold that it first traded above on Friday.     The stock market loves the Trump proposals for tax cuts and deregulation, especially the Russell 2000 small cap index, which rose about 1.5% to within 1% of the record high from November 2021. Bonds have been less enamored of Trump’s promise to impose import tariffs that many economists see as likely to raise inflation and kick off retaliation from trade partners.The 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest since the end of May last week after the election, while the yield on the 10-year note rose to its highest since early July and the two-year hit its highest since late July. The dollar was still buoyed by higher yields, rising against the yuan to its highest since early August at 7.2332 yuan. Dollar/yen rose 0.7% to 153.78.Several stocks that gained following the election continued their upward trajectory. Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) jumped almost 8% after touching $1 trillion in market value on Friday for the first time since 2022. Elon Musk, Tesla’s billionaire CEO, has close ties to Trump and his companies look positioned to benefit under the new administration. U.S. listed cryptocurrency stocks surged, with crypto exchange Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN) jumping more than 20% and iShares Bitcoin Trust up more than 13%. Crypto miner Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) surged 17%, while MicroStrategy, one of bitcoin’s biggest corporate backers, gained 28%.Beijing’s proposed 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) package to shore up local government financing, announced late on Friday, did not offer a direct boost to its flagging economy. Thus investor disappointment overshadowed the record run Wall Street closed out with last week. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed down 1% on Monday after Hong Kong’s Hang Seng sank 1.45%. Chinese blue chips rose 0.66% higher after an early fall and Tokyo’s Nikkei ended 0.08% higher.Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:- India CPI (Oct)- India Industrial output (Sept)- South Korea Unemployment (Oct) More

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    Chipotle veteran Scott Boatwright named permanent CEO

    (Reuters) -Chipotle Mexican Grill on Monday named interim boss Scott Boatwright as permanent CEO of the burrito chain in a widely expected move, months after Brian Niccol exited the role to take the top job at Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX).Boatwright, who has been at Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) since 2017, takes the helm as restaurants across the United States battle weak consumer demand in the face of higher menu prices.In a surprise announcement in August, Starbucks named Niccol as its new CEO, leaving Chipotle under Boatwright, who has vowed to push the burrito chain to be a “global lifestyle brand” and expand to 7,000 restaurants in North America.A veteran in the restaurant industry, Boatwright spent 18 years with Arby’s Restaurant Group (LON:RTN) before joining Chipotle in 2017.He was named CEO following “a thorough and rigorous external search process,” Chipotle said in a statement on Monday.Boatwright worked closely with Niccol to also steer the company out of a crisis following a severe E. coli and salmonella outbreak in 2015.”Boatwright was by far the most logical choice given his instrumental role in leading Chipotle’s efforts to improve operations, integrate new technology, reduce employee turnover, and bolster customer satisfaction,” said Sharon Zackfia, analyst at William Blair.His appointment as CEO comes amid a slew of changes to the top brass at Chipotle following Niccol’s exit. In August, Chipotle also accelerated the appointment of Adam Rymer as its chief financial officer, and named Rymer’s predecessor Jack Hartung as chief strategy officer.Hartung was originally set to retire in March next year after a little over two decades as the company’s CFO. Rymer has been at Chipotle for 15 years, last serving as vice president of finance. “Boatwright as CEO should build confidence among investors in Chipotle’s management,” said Jim Sanderson, analyst at Northcoast Research. Chipotle’s stock lost $6 billion in market value immediately after Niccol’s departure. Since then, shares have risen about 14%. More

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    Why China is betting on local governments to spur the economy

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    Bitcoin price today: hits fresh record high of $86k

    Broader crypto prices also surged, with meme token Dogecoin rallying to a three-year high.Improved appetite for crypto sparked a sharp increase in capital inflows into crypto investment vehicles over the past week, factoring into Bitcoin’s strong gains.The world’s largest cryptocurrency hit a record high traded around $86,117.0 by 14:59 ET (19:59 GMT). Gains in Bitcoin and other cryptos were driven chiefly by bets that Trump will enact more crypto-friendly policies in the next four years.Trump had campaigned on a pro-crypto platform, and had even vowed to make America the crypto capital of the world. This notion was the biggest driver of recent crypto gains, as traders bet that the Securities and Exchange Commission will have to soften its stance against the industry. Markets also bet that the industry will gain more legitimacy as an investment vehicle. Optimism over a Trump presidency saw crypto exchange-traded funds clock steep gains in the past few sessions.Bitcoin ETFs saw a record $1.38 billion inflows last Thursday, Coindesk reported, with Blockrock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ:IBIT) commanding a bulk of these inflows. The IBIT also surpassed Blackrock’s gold ETF in total assets, reaching $34.1 billion, compared to the $33 billion of gold. Increased institutional interest in crypto, after the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in U.S. markets earlier this year, has been a major driver of recent gains in crypto markets. Bitcoin’s recent gains saw it trading up about 91% so far in 2024. Trump’s victory marks the start of a new crypto bull market, Bernstein analysts said, urging investors to “buy everything you can.”“We expect a crypto-friendly regulatory environment under Trump, starting with a pro-crypto SEC,” wrote analysts led by Gautam Chhugani. The report added that several members of Trump’s transition team are “explicitly pro-crypto,” reinforcing expectations for favorable policies.Bitcoin surged above $80,000 over the weekend, driven mainly by expectations of crypto-friendly policies under Trump. Among the most significant proposals during his campaign was a national Bitcoin reserve, which would see the US government building a strategic Bitcoin stockpile. While this plan would require legislative approval and might only be realized by 2025, Bernstein sees it as a strong indicator of Bitcoin’s potential role within national treasuries.Bernstein remains “confident” in its 2025 Bitcoin price target of $200,000, noting, “Even at $81K/Bitcoin, we believe risk-reward is favorable over next 12 months.”Bitcoin’s rally also boosts the outlook for publicly traded Bitcoin miners, who are now seeing profits surge as prices remain well above their average production costs, as well as for AI-driven mining companies.Broader crypto markets somewhat cooled after a recent rally, with most major altcoins logging a mixed performance on Monday.Dogecoin was an exception, surging around 29% to a three-year peak of $0.2912. DOGE was boosted chiefly by increased speculation over Elon Musk, who has been a proponent of the token, potentially clinching a position in the Trump administration. Other altcoins retreated. World no.2 crypto Ether fell 1% to $3,170.31, although it remained close to a three-month high. XRP, ADA and MATIC fell between 2% an 4.6%, while SOL jumped more than 5%. Ambar Warrick and Senad Karaahmetovic contributed to this report.  More

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    Dampening corporate mood, rising bankruptcies cloud BOJ’s rate hike path

    TOKYO (Reuters) – Japan’s service-sector sentiment worsened and bankruptcy cases rose in October, data showed on Monday, casting doubt on the central bank’s view the country was on track to meet its 2% inflation target driven by robust domestic demand.The findings align with concerns voiced by some Bank of Japan (BOJ) board members at last month’s policy meeting that intensifying labour shortages could constrain growth, rather than lead to higher wages.”There’s a risk Japan’s economic growth will slow if labour supply constraints force firms to shrink operations by withdrawing from low-profit businesses,” one member was quoted as saying in a summary of opinions released on Monday.An index measuring sentiment among service-sector firms like taxi drivers and restaurants stood at 47.5 in October, down 0.3 point from the previous month to mark the second straight month of declines, the government’s “economy watchers” showed.A gauge of firms’ sentiment on the economic outlook also fell 1.4 points to 48.3, worsening for the second month and highlighting the fragility of Japan’s recovery.”Corporate sentiment remained strong for quite a long time but seems to be worsening somewhat, which is a concern,” said Nobuyasu Atago, chief economist at Rakuten Securities Economic Research Institute.”It raises some questions as to whether rising wages will boost consumption and lift service-sector sentiment, as the BOJ predicts,” he said.The “economy watchers” survey is closely watched by markets as a leading indicator of household spending and the broader economy, due to the polled firms’ proximity to consumers.Corporate bankruptcy cases are also creeping up as rising raw material costs and labour shortages squeeze profits particularly for small and medium-sized firms.The number of companies that went bankrupt hit 925 in October, the second largest this year following 1,016 cases in May and up 17.1% from year-before levels, a survey by private think tank Teikoku Databank showed on Monday.Of the total, a record 287 cases were caused by trouble hiring staff, the survey showed, a sign some firms were struggling to earn enough profits to pay higher wages.The BOJ exited a radical stimulus programme in March and raised its short-term policy rate to 0.25% in July.BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda has said the central bank will continue to raise rates if robust domestic demand, backed by higher wages, keep inflation sustainably around its 2% target. More

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    Stunning $3.28 Billion in Bitcoin in Past 7 Days – Something’s Cooking?

    Martinez summarized this data by saying that over the past week, large whales have withdrawn a total of 40,000 BTC, which is equal to a whopping $3.28 billion.Last week, the world’s flagship cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, surpassed the $75,000, then soaring to the $77,252 price mark. Today, BTC skyrocketed to $82,490. Over the weekend, BTC soared by 6.2%, jumping from $77,320 to a new historic peak above $82,000. At the time of this writing, the pioneer cryptocurrency is changing hands at $82,355.The Bitcoin rally has recently been fueled by the radical change in the U.S. government, as well as by the 25-basis-points interest rate cut initiated by the Fed Reserve.CZ warned the crypto community that they should “control their greed.” There will be many highs and dips for Bitcoin in the future, he tweeted, stressing the necessity to “apply proper risk management.” The influencer also recommended not putting all of one’s eggs in one basket.The legal team of the current FTX management seeks to retrieve $1.8 billion, which was allegedly transferred to Binance by Sam Bankman-Fried, the former FTX boss who is now serving a 25-year prison sentence. The money was transferred as part of a July 2021 share repurchase deal.This article was originally published on U.Today More

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    Peter Schiff Reacts to Bitcoin’s Historic Rise Above $82,000

    In his characteristic manner, Schiff expressed his skepticism about Bitcoin’s surge, claiming that it had little to do with its fundamentals.In his tweet, Schiff stated that Bitcoin’s rise “has nothing to do with its supposed fundamentals.”Schiff questioned Bitcoin’s recent price movement as the U.S. dollar is rising while gold falls. According to Schiff, the recent gain is unrelated to fundamentals – particularly the performance of the U.S. dollar and traditional assets such as gold. Schiff claimed that the U.S. economy is on the verge of a boom, with debt-to-GDP ratios falling, lowering the demand for U.S. dollar alternatives.BTC surged 4%, extending its seven-day gains to nearly 20%, following a week that saw the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points — which traders considered bullish. At the time of writing, BTC was up 3.29% in the last 24 hours to $82,329 after reaching all-time highs of $82,544.In the last 24 hours, crypto liquidations totaled $620 million. Bearish cryptocurrency bets lost $255 million, while longs were liquidated for $365.69 million, according to CoinGlass data.Futures premiums have risen, with open interest in Bitcoin’s price above $90,000, approaching $2.8 billion on the renowned Deribit derivatives exchange, one of the few crypto native platforms that supports futures trading.If today closes in green, Bitcoin will mark its seventh consecutive day of gains. This article was originally published on U.Today More