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    Prebiotic soda Olipop approaches $200 million in annual sales — and CEO says Coca-Cola and PepsiCo have already come knocking

    Olipop is on track to sell more than $200 million of its prebiotic soda this year.
    Olipop’s rise coincides with declining soda consumption in the U.S. and rising interest in “gut health.”
    Founder and CEO Ben Goodwin said PepsiCo and Coca-Cola have already come knocking.

    Olipop’s flavor lineup includes Orange Squeeze, Strawberry Vanilla, Classic Root Beer, Classic Grape, Vintage Cola, Cherry Vanilla, Ginger Lemon and Blackberry Vanilla.
    Source: Olipop

    Prebiotic soda maker Olipop is set to cross $200 million in annual sales this year, just five years after it arrived on grocery store shelves.
    Founder and CEO Ben Goodwin said beverage giants PepsiCo and Coca-Cola have already come knocking. But he’s not interested in cashing out just yet.

    “Right now, my focus is on blowing business through the roof,” Goodwin told CNBC.
    Coke and Pepsi didn’t respond to requests for comment from CNBC.
    Olipop is on target to more than double its sales this year. The startup presents itself as a healthier alternative to traditional soda but with the same familiar taste.
    Olipop had raised $55.4 million as of Jan. 2, at a reported valuation of $199.8 million, according to Pitchbook data. Investors include Gwyneth Paltrow, former PepsiCo CEO Indra Nooyi and RXBAR founder Peter Rahal.
    Goodwin estimates that roughly 10% of Olipop drinkers have replaced traditional soda entirely, but the rest swap it into their routines occasionally.

    “We really are replacing that soda experience and soda occasion,” Goodwin said.
    For roughly two decades, U.S. soda consumption has been falling. Americans have ditched the drinks for bottled water, flavored seltzer and other options that they view as healthier due to concerns about soda’s sugar — or sugar replacements, such as aspartame. Still, Coke and Pepsi aren’t in danger of discontinuing their namesake sodas.
    “Consumers are drinking less soft drinks, but they’re still drinking a lot of soft drinks,” said Michele Scott, associate director of food and drink for Mintel’s U.S. research.
    Consumers are also increasingly interested in “gut health,” one of the latest wellness trends. Matthew Barry, Euromonitor International’s insights manager for food and beverages, said the two trends — soda’s decline and gut health’s rise — have helped benefit Olipop and other similar brands, such as Poppi.
    Functional soda accounts for 14% of the digestive health category, according to SPINS data.
    Olipop’s formula includes nine grams of fiber and prebiotics, which are substances that help beneficial bacteria grow in the gut. Their health benefits haven’t been conclusively proven.
    Rival Poppi, which was founded in 2015 and has also seen its sales accelerate over the last year, infuses its soda with apple cider vinegar, which contains prebiotics. Both Olipop and Poppi have leaned into influencer marketing on TikTok, where gut health became a trending topic last year.
    In February, Olipop’s root beer overtook Keurig Dr Pepper’s A&W as the best-selling root beer at an unspecified top U.S. retailer, according to Goodwin. He takes it as another sign of Olipop’s potential, since root beer was one of the first flavors it started selling.
    “My hope is that as other [flavors] in the system mature as well and get higher distribution and customer familiarity, we may be able to repeat this type of story with a range of different flavors,” he said.
    Goodwin said he formulated the root beer himself and remains the company’s top formulator, leaning on his “super tasting” ability, thanks to taste buds that are more sensitive than the average person’s.
    He dropped out of college at age 20 to help his friends start a kombucha company.
    From there, he founded Obi probiotic soda with Olipop co-founder and Diageo alumnus David Lester. They sold Obi in 2016. They started working on Olipop’s formula the following year.
    Despite its success, Olipop is still in the early stages of growth, with a retail footprint of just 20,000 locations and only 12 flavors. After launching first in natural food grocers in the Bay Area, it’s expanded to mainstream chains such as Target and Kroger. Its expansion in the Midwest helped fuel its soaring sales last year, Goodwin said.
    Olipop’s skyrocketing sales have coincided with soaring prices across the grocery store. The price index for food at home increased 8.4% in March compared with a year earlier, according to Labor Department data.
    Coke and Pepsi have raised their prices by double-digit percentages over the last year, saying the price hikes are necessary to mitigate inflation. The duopoly has seen mixed reactions. In the first quarter, Pepsi’s North American beverage business saw its volume fall 2%, while Coke’s North American drinks unit reported flat volume.
    But even with Coke’s and Pepsi’s higher prices, Olipop is still the more expensive choice. A 12-ounce can of Olipop costs $2.49 at a Target store in New York City — the same price as a 20-ounce bottle of Pepsi.
    “The challenge for Olipop and beverages like it is the premium price point right now during a time of inflation,” Euromonitor’s Barry said. “There is certainly a group of consumers who can afford to buy high-priced sodas regularly but that’s a limited subset of the population.”
    But Olipop’s Goodwin is confident that consumers are willing to pay more for the drinks he formulates. He said that soda trails only coffee in its price inelasticity, meaning that consumers are willing to pay more. More

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    What’s next for SpaceX’s Starship after a dramatic first launch

    Elon Musk’s SpaceX launched its fully-stacked Starship for the first time a little over a week ago.
    The company hopes to launch another Starship rocket as soon as June or July, but that timeline depends on a variety of factors.
    The highest hurdle to a second launch attempt may be the daunting cleanup. 

    Starship launches for the first time on its Super Heavy booster from Texas on April 20, 2023.

    The dust has settled in Texas, but the work to clean up after the world’s most powerful rocket and get the next one flying in a matter of months is already underway.
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX launched its fully-stacked Starship for the first time a little over a week ago. While the nearly 400-foot-tall vehicle flew for more than three minutes — achieving several milestones for a rocket of unprecedented scale — Starship also lost multiple engines during the launch, caused severe damage to the ground infrastructure and ultimately failed to reach space after the rocket began to tumble and was intentionally destroyed in the air.

    Sign up here to receive weekly editions of CNBC’s Investing in Space newsletter.

    As NASA Administrator Bill Nelson told the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology on Thursday that SpaceX “blew a hole in that launchpad.”
    The company hopes to launch another Starship rocket as soon as June or July, but that timeline depends on a variety of factors, including repair work, regulatory signoff and the readiness of its next prototype.

    Launch site damage

    Debris litters the ground on April 22, 2023, after the SpaceX Starship liftedoff on April 20 for a flight test from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.
    Patrick T. Fallon | Afp | Getty Images

    The highest hurdle to a second launch attempt may be the daunting cleanup. 
    Soon after the launch, SpaceX began the process of cleaning up the launchpad and assessing the damage to its infrastructure. Photos taken by onlookers have shown the violent result of the Super Heavy booster’s engines, which carved a crater into the ground and smashed debris into the launch tower, nearby tanks and other ground equipment.
    “I have asked, so I can report to you, that as of today SpaceX is still saying that they think it will take at least two months to rebuild the launchpad and concurrently about two months to have their second vehicle ready to launch,” NASA chief Nelson told lawmakers Thursday, providing the most recent update on the company’s timeline for returning to flight.

    The space agency has a vested interest in the success of Starship, as NASA gave SpaceX a nearly $3 billion contract in 2021 to use the rocket to land astronauts on the moon as part of the Artemis program.

    A member of the public walk through a debris field at the launch pad on April 22, 2023, after the SpaceX Starship lifted off on April 20 for a flight test from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.
    Patrick T. Fallon | Afp | Getty Images

    SpaceX leadership repeatedly said before the launch that not blowing up the launchpad would be considered a success for the first launch. But the infrastructure still took a hit. In a series of tweets after the launch, Musk described significant damage to the concrete launchpad the company had built and said he hoped that the rocket hadn’t too heavily damaged the mount that supports it before launch.
    “All that’s left of the concrete lateral support beam is the rebar!” Musk said.

    Debris litters the launch pad and dmaged tanks (R rear) on April 22, 2023, after the SpaceX Starship lifted off on April 20 for a flight test from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.
    Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

    The company CEO added that it was “still early” in SpaceX’s analysis, but surmised that “the force of the engines when they throttled up may have shattered the concrete, rather than simply eroding it.” When SpaceX briefly tested the booster’s 33 Raptor engines ahead of the launch, Musk said “the engines were only at half thrust,” which avoided tearing a hole in the ground previously.
    One potential solution: Musk said SpaceX is “building a massive water-cooled, steel plate to go under the launch mount.” He said the plate was not “ready in time” for the first attempt and admitted that the company “wrongly thought” that the concrete would withstand the launch.

    Regulatory review

    A dust cloud grows underneath Starship as the rocket launches on its Super Heavy booster from Texas on April 20, 2023.

    SpaceX’s launch license from the Federal Aviation Administration was a long-awaited final step to getting Starship off the ground, which makes the regulator’s investigation into this first flight a key overhang to the second one.
    The Starship test flight triggered reviews from the FAA, which is effectively the lead federal regulator on the SpaceX rocket program. As is standard with a launch “anomaly,” such as this midair explosion, the FAA began an investigation into the flight and its fallout. The move grounds future Starship launches until it closes the investigation and clears SpaceX to move forward under the license the regulator gave the company earlier this month.
    “A return to flight of the Starship/Super Heavy vehicle is based on the FAA determining that any system, process, or procedure related to the mishap does not affect public safety,” the agency said in a statement on April 20, the day of Starship’s launch and subsequent explosion. 

    Members of the public walk through a debris field at the launch pad on April 22, 2023, after the SpaceX Starship lifted off on April 20 for a flight test from Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas.
    Patrick T. Fallon | Afp | Getty Images

    Additionally, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service disclosed this week that the Starship launch started a 3.5-acre fire on land owned by Texas’ Boca Chica State Park. FWS did not find dead wildlife on the local refuge lands, which are a habitat for endangered species, but found that the rocket’s destructive force flung concrete and metal “thousands of feet away” and created a cloud of dust and pulverized concrete that fell as far as 6.5 miles from the launch site.

    ‘Hardware rich’

    A SpaceX Starship prototype stands in a bay at the SpaceX Starbase in Boca Chica, Texas on April 18, 2023.
    Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

    One piece of SpaceX’s second attempt is already largely in place: the production pipeline for another Starship prototype. 
    The company had planned to launch the first Starship and Super Heavy booster flight as early as summer 2021, but president and chief operating officer Gwynne Shotwell said recently that the inaugural flight was delayed in part because the company was focused on developing “the production systems that will build the ship.” The company has expanded its “Starbase” facility steadily over the past few years. 
    Thanks to the many enthusiasts who livestream every minute of SpaceX’s work in South Texas, it’s apparent the company has as many as 10 further Starship prototypes in various stages of assembly, as well as up to seven more Super Heavy boosters.
    Nelson touted as much before members of Congress, explaining how the company approaches rocket development differently than the space agency.
    “Now understand that the explosion, that’s not a big downer in the way SpaceX does things. They are hardware rich, meaning they’ve got a lot of those rockets ready to go, and that’s their modus operandi — they launch, if something goes wrong they figure out what it is, they go back and they launch it again,” Nelson said. 
    As with any rocket-development program, and especially the largest ever assembled, SpaceX’s timeline for the next Starship flight is likely to evolve and change. More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves midday: First Republic, Snap, Amazon, Intel and more

    POLAND – 2023/03/21: In this photo illustration, a First Republic Bank logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market percentages in the background. (Photo Illustration by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
    Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.
    First Republic — Shares of the regional bank fell by 43.3% after sources told CNBC’s David Faber that the most likely outcome for First Republic is to be taken into receivership by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporate. However, there is still hope for a rescue deal to occur before the regulator would step in, the sources said.

    Snap — The Snapchat parent company cratered about 17% after missing revenue expectations for the recent quarter. Snap’s revenue fell 6% from a year ago.
    Amazon — The company fell 4% as investors contend with concerns over the future of Amazon’s cloud business. The company beat expectations on both adjusted earnings per share and revenue on Thursday.
    Intel — Intel shares rose 4% even after the company reported its largest quarterly loss on record and a 133% reduction year over year. Even so, Intel reported a smaller-than-expected loss per share and better-than-expected revenue. Benchmark upgraded the chipmaker, saying the worst is priced into shares.
    Pinterest — Pinterest’s stock plunged 15.7% after sharing disappointing second-quarter guidance. The move in shares came despite the image-sharing company’s beat on the top and bottom lines.
    Charter Communications – Shares popped 7.6% after Charter Communications topped revenue expectations for the previous quarter, boosted by solid gains within its internet segment.

    First Solar — The solar energy company’s stock plunged 9.1% after its first quarter results fell short of expectations. First Solar posted 40 cents earnings per share on revenues of $548 million. Analysts had estimated $1.02 earnings per share on revenues of $718 million, according to Refinitiv data.
    Chevron — The energy stock rose 1% after the company beat expectations for first-quarter earnings and revenue. The strong results were boosted by its refining business, which helped offset a decline in oil and gas production amid a slide in oil prices.
    Exxon Mobil — The stock gained 1.3% after the oil giant posted a record first-quarter profit before the bell, despite the pullback in oil prices.  Exxon Mobil’s adjusted earnings per share was $2.83, beating the $2.59 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Its revenue of $86.56 billion also came in above the $85.41 billion expected. 
    Colgate-Palmolive — The consumer giant saw its stock rally 2.4% after the company reported quarterly earnings and revenue that topped expectations. Colgate also raised annual organic sales forecast, seeing consistent price increases and solid demand for its pet nutrition products.
    T-Mobile — The telecommunications stock slid 4% after first-quarter revenue disappointed expectations, according to Refinitiv. T-Mobile US reported revenue of $19.63 billion, lower than the $19.82 billion estimate.
    Bloomin’ Brands — The Outback parent added 5.1% after its earnings report came in ahead of analyst expectations. The company reported 98 cents in earnings per share, above the 89 cents expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Revenue came in at $1.24 billion, slightly ahead of the $1.22 billion anticipated.
    Alteryx – Shares of the data analytics firm tumbled about 19.4% after the company posted revenue for the first quarter that came in just below analysts’ expectations, according to FactSet, and projected a wider-than-expected loss for the second quarter. Alteryx also announced an 11% cut in its headcount.
    Newell Brands — Shares gained 2.3% even after the consumer goods company reported a wider-than-expected loss. Revenue topped Wall Street’s expectations.
    — CNBC’s Yun Li, Alex Harring, Brian Evans, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim, Sarah Min, Tanaya Macheel and Michelle Fox contributed reporting More

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    Fed report on SVB collapse faults bank’s managers — and central bank regulators

    Mismanagement and supervisory failures, compounded by a dose of social media frenzy, combined to bring down Silicon Valley Bank, the Fed said in a report Friday.
    Michael Barr, the Fed’s top bank supervisor, called for changes in the way regulators approach the nation’s complex and interwoven financial system.
    Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he welcomed the Barr probe and its internal criticism of Fed actions during the crisis.

    Silicon Valley Bank’s dramatic failure in early March was the product of mismanagement and supervisory missteps, compounded by a dose of social media frenzy, the Federal Reserve concluded in a highly anticipated report released Friday.
    Michael Barr, the Fed’s vice chair for supervision appointed by President Joe Biden, said in the exhaustive probe of the March 10 collapse of SVB that myriad factors coalesced to bring down what had been the nation’s 17th-largest bank.

    Among them were bank executives who committed “textbook” failures in managing interest rate risk, Fed regulators who failed to understand the depth of SVB’s problems and then were too slow to react, and a social media frenzy that may have accelerated the institution’s demise.
    Barr called for broad changes in the way regulators approach the nation’s complex and interwoven financial system.
    “Following Silicon Valley Bank’s failure, we must strengthen the Federal Reserve’s supervision and regulation based on what we have learned,” he said.
    “As risks in the financial system continue to evolve, we need to continuously evaluate our supervisory and regulatory framework and be humble about our ability to assess and identify new and emerging risks,” Barr added.

    A security guard at Silicon Valley Bank monitors a line of people outside the office on March 13, 2023 in Santa Clara, California.
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

    A senior Fed official said increased capital and liquidity might have helped SVB survive. Central bank officials likely will turn their attention to cultural changes, noting that risks at SVB were not thoroughly examined. Future changes could see standardized liquidity requirements to a broader range of banks, and tighter supervision of compensation for bank managers.

    Bank stocks were higher following the report’s release, with the SPDR S&P Bank ETF up about 1.3%.
    The report “sets the stage for far-reaching re-regulation and tougher supervision of mid-sized banks,” Krishna Guha, head of global policy and central bank strategy for Evercore ISI, said in a client note. “However, outside a reference to possible tightening of executive compensation rules that may or may not be acted on, there are few big surprises here.”
    In a stunning move that continues to reverberate across the banking system and through financial markets, regulators shuttered SVB following a run on deposits triggered by liquidity concerns. To meet capital requirements, the bank was forced to sell long-dated Treasury notes at a loss incurred as rising interest rates ate into principal value.
    Barr noted that SVB’s deposit run was exacerbated by fear spread on social media outlets that the bank was in trouble, combined with the ease of withdrawing deposits in the digital age. The phenomenon is something that regulators need to note for the future, he said.
    “[T]he combination of social media, a highly networked and concentrated depositor base, and technology may have fundamentally changed the speed of bank runs,” Barr said in the report. “Social media enabled depositors to instantly spread concerns about a bank run, and technology enabled immediate withdrawals of funding.”
    He used a broad brush in discussing the Fed’s failures, not mentioning San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly, under whose jurisdiction SVB sat. Senior Fed officials, speaking on condition of anonymity in order to speak frankly, said regional presidents aren’t generally responsible for direct supervision of the banks in their districts.
    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he welcomed the Barr probe and its internal criticism of Fed actions during the crisis.
    “I agree with and support his recommendations to address our rules and supervisory practices, and I am confident they will lead to a stronger and more resilient banking system,” Powell said in a statement.
    SVB was a darling of the tech industry as a place to turn to for high-flying companies in need of growth financing. In turn, the bank used billions in uninsured deposits as a base for lending.
    The collapse, which happened over the matter of just a few days, sparked fears that depositors would lose their money as many of the accounts were above the $250,000 threshold for Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. insurance. Signature Bank, which used a similar business model, also failed.
    As the crisis unfolded, the Fed rolled out emergency lending measures while guaranteeing that depositors wouldn’t lose their money. While the moves have largely stemmed the panic, they spurred comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis and have led to calls for reversing some of the deregulatory measures taking in recent years.
    Senior Fed officials said changes to the Dodd-Frank reforms helped spur the crisis, though they also acknowledge that the SVB case also was a failure of supervision. A change approved in 2018 reduced the stringency of stress testing for banks with less than $250 billion, a category in which SVB fell.
    “We need to develop a culture that empowers supervisors to act in the face of uncertainty,” Barr wrote. “In the case of SVB, supervisors delayed action to gather more evidence even as weaknesses were clear and growing. This meant that supervisors did not force SVB to fix its problems, even as those problems worsened.”
    Areas the Fed is likely to focus on include the types of uninsured deposits that raised concerns during the SVB drama, as well as a general focus on capital requirements and the risk of unrealized losses that the bank had on its balance sheet.
    Barr noted that supervisory and regulatory changes likely won’t take effect for years.
    The General Accountability Office also released a report Friday on the bank failures that noted “risky business strategies along with weak liquidity and risk management” that contributed to the collapse of SVB and Signature.
    Correction: The General Accountability Office also released a report Friday. An earlier version misstated the name of the agency. More

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    Actively managed funds come with unique risks and rewards. Here’s how investors can pick a winner

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    Actively managed funds have historically underperformed passive strategies, but 2022 was a better year than most for stock pickers.
    Investors will have to do their due diligence, starting with an evaluation of fees and a fund’s track record.
    “It’s more about looking for the right manager and the right strategy,” said Jennifer Bellis, private wealth advisor at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.

    The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Tuesday, March 28, 2023.
    Victor J. Blue | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    As investors navigate another uncertain year in markets, actively managed funds could add differentiated performance to their portfolios – if traders choose carefully. 
    Actively managed funds have historically underperformed passive strategies, but 2022 was a better year than most for stock pickers. Only a slight majority of large-cap equity fund managers lagged their benchmarks last year, according to S&P Global’s SPIVA U.S. Scorecard. The firm noted that it was the lowest underperformance rate for the category since 2009. 

    To be sure, that’s hardly a ringing endorsement. Investors can easily rack up high fees, as well as capital gains taxes, that make many actively managed funds a poor alternative to passively managed strategies that can mimic a benchmark at a lower cost. 
    Still, actively managed funds can have a better chance of outperforming during periods of volatility. Plus, they beat passive strategies in some lesser-ventured categories for investors besides U.S. large caps, according to S&P’s research. 
    One actively managed exchange traded fund called JPMorgan Premium Equity ETF (JEPI) has a 9.59% yield, driving investor interest in the ETF. It currently has more than $7 billion in inflows this year, according to FactSet data.

    As part of its National Financial Literacy Month efforts, CNBC will be featuring stories throughout the month dedicated to helping people manage, grow and protect their money so they can truly live ambitiously.

    For Jennifer Bellis, private wealth advisor at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, it depends on what the investor is trying to accomplish. Actively managed funds can help diversify portfolios, but investors will have to do their due diligence, she said.
    “It’s more about looking for the right manager and the right strategy,” Bellis said. 
    Here’s how investors should go about deciding whether they should include actively managed funds in their portfolio – and what they should look for when deciding.  
    A good track record is key
    For investors evaluating actively managed strategies, a manager’s track record is the first place to start. A strong record of performance going back three, five and 10 years can show you how the funds and their methodologies have performed across different market cycles – especially when different investing styles have fallen in and out of favor. 
    “Everyone can have an up year,” Bellis said. “So what you want to do is research the fund, the manager, and look for a track record. Ideally, a 10-year history look back is what you’re looking for.” 
    Investors can also review managers and their teams, as well as their tenures at the fund. They can also give the fund’s holdings a careful review to assess how the choices stack up against their benchmarks. A fund that mirrors an index too closely may not generate any differentiated alpha, and may look like passive investments. 
    Also, even successful managers can have a down year, as past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future success. 
    Look for lower fees
    Of course, investors will have to evaluate whether an actively traded fund is right for them. 
    For newer, lesser capitalized investors, passive instruments could give them the opportunity to build wealth at a far lower threshold to entry – instead of the typically higher fees and capital gains taxes, as well as the research, that come with active managers. 
    Actively managed funds typically charge an expense ratio between 0.5% and 1%, but the cost can climb even higher than 1.5%, according to Investopedia. Meanwhile, passive index funds average about 0.2%. Other charges that could be tacked on include 12b-1 fees that are marketing costs. 
    “Those fees aren’t necessary,” Bellis said. “So, you want to make sure that you’re reviewing the prospectus to make sure that you don’t have those front- and back-load fees because there’s plenty of funds that don’t have them. There’s no reason to pay for them.”
    Check for diversification
    Investors will also have to evaluate where they want to apply active strategies in their portfolio, such as emerging markets or small caps. 
    “Those markets are so broad, and there’s so many ideas within them that I think an active manager who is following those markets and looking through fundamentals can exploit some of the inefficiencies or find interesting ideas,” said Kathy Carey, director of asset manager research at Baird. 
    Of note, small caps had the lowest underperformance rate last year among U.S. equities, according to S&P Global’s scorecard. Just 40% of active funds in domestic small caps underperformed.
    Carey also said investors seeking exposure to more specific emerging markets ideas outside of China might have better luck with an actively traded strategy, Baird’s Carey said. 
    Other interesting strategies within actively managed funds include long-short and total return strategies, according to Bellis. A long-short strategy is favored among hedge funds that seek to take bets on favored stocks, while betting against stocks that could fall. A total return strategy focuses on generating income for investors. 
    Baird’s Carey said investors can evaluate where active strategies could add differentiation to their portfolios. 
    “Active managers, again, have the opportunity to try to figure out where the market is going.” Carey said.  More

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    31% of new crypto buyers influenced by friends. Here’s why that can be ‘a horrible idea,’ advisor says

    Ask an Advisor

    About a third of new crypto investors in 2022 used a friend’s suggestion as their primary reason for buying, according to the FINRA Investor Education Foundation and NORC at the University of Chicago.
    Buying bitcoin, ethereum and other digital assets just on the basis of a friend’s recommendation may lead to trouble, experts say.
    Investors may not understand the risk and volatility of cryptocurrency, or how it fits in a well-diversified investment portfolio.

    Francesco Carta Fotografo | Moment | Getty Images

    When it comes to cryptocurrency like bitcoin, new investors are often motivated by friends to take the plunge, according to a new study.
    But that might hold traps for the unwary, experts warn.

    “I don’t imagine friends are talking about when they lost money,” said Lee Baker, a certified financial planner and founder of Apex Financial Services in Atlanta.  
    “The sexy sells,” added Baker, a member of CNBC’s Advisor Council. “The upside sells.
    “But folks don’t talk about the downside,” he added.

    More from Ask an Advisor

    Here are more FA Council perspectives on how to navigate this economy while building wealth.

    Nearly a third — 31% — of new cryptocurrency investors in 2022 used a friend’s suggestion as their primary reason for buying in, according to a recent joint study published by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority Investor Education Foundation and NORC at the University of Chicago. Friends’ recommendations were the No. 1 motivating factor for new crypto buyers.
    That share compares with 8% of new investors in more traditional assets like stocks and bonds.

    The disparity indicates there is “a social element to cryptocurrency investing not evident in equities or bond investing,” according to the study.
    This isn’t to say a friend’s recommendation is necessarily a poor reason to buy into the digital assets.

    But it can be a “double-edged sword,” said Gary Mottola, research director at the FINRA Investor Education Foundation and a co-author of the report.
    On one hand, crypto can be an on-ramp to more traditional investing — which is generally a good outcome, Mottola said. There’s some evidence of this happening: 36% of new crypto investors said their purchase made them more interested in investing in the stock market, the study found.
    However, “the friends recommending [crypto], the sources of information on social media, may not be reliable,” Mottola said.

    Trust but verify

    The fear of missing out can be a powerful driver of investment decisions.
    Bitcoin and other crypto assets rallied through 2021, a record year for the digital assets. Bitcoin jumped from roughly $10,000 in the summer of 2020 to a peak above $68,000 by November 2021.
    But the tide turned quickly during a so-called “crypto winter,” when investors lost more than $2 trillion in the year following the market peak.

    The sexy sells. The upside sells. But folks don’t talk about the downside.

    CFP and founder of Apex Financial Services

    Celebrities, like actress Lindsay Lohan and the rapper Soulja Boy, were recently fined by the Securities and Exchange Commission for undisclosed endorsements of various cryptocurrencies.
    “Unless they’re some legitimately knowledgeable financial person, trust but verify,” Baker said of information you may hear from friends or from “pseudo experts” on social media.
    One of the dangers of following a friend’s advice: Investors may not understand the risks and volatility associated with crypto (or other investments), or how it fits within a broader, well-diversified investment portfolio, he said.

    Another potential trap: You may be getting a friend’s recommendation when the market is nearing its top, when much of the growth potential has already been realized.
    Bitcoin’s current value around $30,000 is nearly double what it was at the beginning of 2023. Baker expects he may soon be fielding more phone calls about crypto if the trend continues.
    “If you’re doing some investigation [about crypto], I think it’s great,” Baker said. “If you’re just taking information blindly without doing any investigation, that’s a horrible idea.” More

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    United Airlines’ plan to revamp narrow-body cabins faces supply chain delays

    United Airlines’ plan to retrofit dozens of its older narrow-body planes is running behind schedule.
    The upgrades include seat-back screens, Bluetooth capabilities and other amenities.
    Supply chain strains have pushed back the timeline.

    United Airlines Seatbacks
    Courtesy: United Airlines

    United Airlines’ plan to revamp the cabins on its older narrow-body planes is running behind schedule because of supply chain strains, the carrier told CNBC this week. The upgrades include bigger premium cabins, seat-back entertainment screens throughout the planes, Bluetooth capabilities and other amenities.
    The Chicago-based airline previously expected to have 100 of its narrow-body planes retrofitted with the new interiors by the end of the year but now expects 60 will be complete by then, a spokeswoman said.

    “The reality is the supply challenges across the board whether it be [inflight entertainment] systems, chips, seats and many other things are just more challenging than they’ve ever been in our business,” United’s chief commercial officer, Andrew Nocella, said on an earnings call last week.
    United unveiled the overhauled cabins in June 2021 on the heels of an order for 270 new Boeing and Airbus narrow-body planes, an effort to refresh its brand as airlines compete for passengers in the travel rebound, particularly big spenders.
    United has also said it expects to have more premium seats for sale for each departure than any other airline in North America by 2026 as travelers compete for what can be elusive upgrades and the ranks of elite travelers with piles of frequent flyer points swell.
    United’s Nocella said last week that the carrier will have multiple production lines revamping the interiors of the narrow-body planes this summer, helping to pick up the pace.
    The carrier expects about one in three aircraft in its narrow-body fleet, including new aircraft, will have the upgraded interior by the end of the year.

    “It will just take a little bit longer than we had originally intended,” he said. A United Airbus A319 was recently modified and should be flying soon, he added.
    The airline had targeted 2025 to complete the narrow-body upgrades, but it’s unclear if United will make that goal.
    Separately, United said that all of its wide-body aircraft will be outfitted with premium economy seats and its Polaris seats, the carrier’s top-tier class on international and other long-haul flights, by August.
    Other airlines like JetBlue and Delta Air Lines have also added amenities on their planes in recent years, upgrading their top-tier classes, installing new seats and adding some services, including free Wi-Fi.
    Delta executives have said that revenue growth for premium seats like business class or premium economy has outpaced sales from standard coach.
    “We see high stickiness to those products,” Glen Hauenstein, Delta’s president, said on the company’s quarterly call earlier this month. “So once you start flying in those cabins, you tend not to go back.” More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Snap, Intel, First Solar, Exxon Mobil & more

    The Amazon logo on a locker in Annapolis, Maryland, on February 2, 2023, ahead of earnings report.
    Jim Watson | AFP | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines in premarket trading.
    Capital One — Shares were down 3.3% after disappointing quarterly earnings. The company earned an adjusted $2.31 per share, well below a StreetAccount forecast of $3.75 per share. Capital One executives cited difficulty with lending throughout the quarter.

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    Snap — Shares tumbled 18.2% after the company’s first-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street’s expectations. Snap’s revenue fell 6% from the prior year to $989 million, whereas analysts had expected $1.01 billion, according to Refinitiv data.
    Amazon — Amazon dipped 2.4% Friday morning after the e-commerce giant cited concerns over its cloud business going forward. That overshadowed a revenue beat for the first quarter.
    T-Mobile — The telecommunications company were down about 2% Friday morning after reporting quarterly results. The company beat on adjusted earnings per share with $1.58 against a StreetAccount estimated $1.52. However, T-Mobile missed estimates on revenue and monthly subscriber additions.
    Exxon Mobil — Shares added 1% in the premarket after the oil giant reported a record first-quarter profit. Exxon Mobil’s adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.83, topping analysts’ estimates of $2.59, per Refinitiv. Its revenue of $86.56 billion also beat the $85.41 billion expected.
    Chevron — Shares of Chevron dipped slightly in the premarket despite a first-quarter earnings beat. The oil major’s adjusted earnings per share was $3.55 versus the $3.41 expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. Revenue also beat, but net profit in Chevron’s oil and gas division dropped 25% on the drop in oil prices.

    Intel — Shares of the chipmaker rose 6% in premarket trading despite Intel reporting a net loss of $2.8 billion in the first quarter. The company did beat Wall Street estimates for the quarter, with Intel reporting an adjusted loss of 4 cents per share on $11.72 billion of revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv were looking for a loss of 15 cents per share on $11.04 billion of revenue.
    First Solar — The solar panel manufacturer declined more than 8% in early trading after an earnings miss. The company reported 40 cents per share adjusted on $548.29 million in revenue, while a StreetAccount estimate called for 99 cents per share.
    Alteryx — Software company Alteryx fell 18% in premarket trading. The company reported an adjusted loss of 19 cents per share while analysts polled by StreetAccount estimated a loss of 26 cents. Management told investors that the company planned to layoff 11% of staff as part of a cost reduction plan.
    L3 Harris Technologies — The tech and defense company gained 2.5% after narrowly beating earnings estimates, with an adjusted $2.86 per share against a StreetAccount estimate of $2.85 per share.
    First Republic — The beleaguered bank added 5.3% on Friday on news that U.S. officials were in the process of assembling a rescue plan. The lift comes after the bank said deposits fell a staggering 41% throughout the latest quarter on Monday.
    Pinterest — Shares of the image sharing platform tumbled 14% in premarket after the company issued disappointing guidance for the quarter ahead. Pinterest said second-quarter revenue growth will be lower than expected amid higher operating expenses. Pinterest’s first-quarter earnings and revenue did beat expectations, however.
    — CNBC’s Hakyung Kim, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound, Yun Li and Michelle Fox contributed reporting More