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    Warren Buffett says he doesn’t understand A.I. but he asked ChatGPT to write a song in Spanish

    Bill Gates and Warren Buffett speaking at Columbia University.
    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Legendary value investor Warren Buffett said he has no expertise in artificial intelligence whatsoever, but thanks to Bill Gates, he took a crack at the buzzy chatbot ChatGPT.
    “I think it’s something I don’t understand at all, but Bill did come by about four or five months ago at least. [He said] ‘I’m going to show you the latest thing and what can be done with that.’ I actually said take the song ‘My Way’ and write it in Spanish,” Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick on “Squawk Box” Wednesday from Tokyo. “Two seconds later, you know, it comes out and it comes out that rhymes and does all these wonderful things.”

    The Berkshire Hathaway chairman and CEO has spent decades telling shareholders that technology was outside of his circle of competence. After avoiding tech stocks for years, the “Oracle of Omaha” bought into Apple under the influence of his investing lieutenants and the tech giant has now become his one of biggest and most successful bets in his career.
    ChatGPT is an AI chatbot developed by San Francisco-based startup OpenAI, which Microsoft is betting billions on. The tool is capable of taking written inputs from users and producing a human-like response.
    Buffett recalled Gates saying one of the limitations of ChatGPT is that it can’t tell jokes.
    “It just doesn’t know how to tell jokes, but it can tell you that it’s read every book, every legal opinion. I mean, the amount of time it could save you, if you were doing all kinds of things, is unbelievable,” Buffett said.
    Ultimately, the 92-year-old investor said he’s unsure if the advanced technology is beneficial to the human race.

    “I think it’s an incredible technological advance in terms of showing what we can do,” Buffet said. “I think this is extraordinary but I don’t know if it’s beneficial.”
    The technology has sparked concerns over potential abuses. For example, students have used ChatGPT to generate entire essays, while hackers have begun testing it to write malicious code.
    Gates and Buffett have been friends for more than three decades. The pair co-founded The Giving Pledge, which encourages the world’s wealthiest people to donate at least half of their wealth to charitable causes. More

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    Warren Buffett says we’re not through with bank failures

    Investing legend Warren Buffett believes there could be more bank failures down the road, but depositors should not ever be worried.
    “We’re not over bank failures, but depositors haven’t had a crisis,” the Berkshire Hathaway chairman and CEO told CNBC’s Becky Quick on “Squawk Box” Wednesday from Tokyo. “Banks go bust. But depositors aren’t going to be hurt.”

    The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank last month — the second- and third-largest bank failures in U.S. history — prompted extraordinary rescue action from regulators, who backstopped all deposits in the failed lenders and provided an additional funding facility for troubled banks.
    The “Oracle of Omaha” said some of the “dumb” things that banks do periodically became uncovered during this period, including having mismatched assets and liabilities as well as questionable accounting.
    “Bankers have been tempted to do that forever,” Buffett said. “Accounting procedures have driven some bankers to do some things that have helped their current earnings a little bit and caused the recurring temptation to do get a little bit bigger spread on record, a little more than earnings.”

    Warren Buffett at a press conference during the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting on April 30, 2022.

    Buffett said some bankers will continue this behavior and that will put the shareholders in some of the stocks at risk.
    But the 92-year-old investor said there was unnecessary fear and panic about depositors losing their money, when the system is set up to protect the entire nation’s deposits.

    “The costs of the FDIC are borne by the banks. Banks have never cost the Federal Government a dime. The public doesn’t understand that,” said Buffett. “Nobody is going to lose money on a deposit in a U.S. bank. It’s not going to happen… you don’t need to turn a dumb decision by managers into a panicking the whole citizenry of the United States about something they don’t need to be panicked about.”
    He stressed that it’s crucial that banks retain the confidence of the public and they can lose that confidence in seconds, as highlighted in the recent blowup.
    Buffett has been a white knight for troubled banks in the past. Buffett famously came to Goldman Sachs’ rescue with a $5 billion cash infusion after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. In 2011, Buffett injected $5 billion into beleaguered Bank of America in a major show of faith. More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Shopify, Global Payments, MongoDB and more

    Harley Finkelstein, Shopify
    Scott Mlyn | CNBC

    Check out the companies making headlines before the bell Wednesday.
    Shopify — Shares of the e-commerce company gained 2.4% after JMP upgraded Shopify to market outperform from market perform. The firm assigned the company a price target of $65 per share, implying a 45.1% upside from Tuesday’s close. 

    related investing news

    3 hours ago

    Triton International, Brookfield Infrastructure — Triton’s shares soared by more than 28% in early morning trading on news the company will be acquired by Brookfield Infrastructure. Triton shareholders will receive consideration valued at $85 per share in cash and stock. Brookfield’s stock price gained 2.15% on the announcement. 
    MongoDB — The software company’s stock price rose 2.8% in premarket trading after Morgan Stanley upgraded MongoDB to overweight from equal weight, citing the company’s leadership in cloud optimization initiatives. The firm raised its price target to $270, which suggests shares could gain 27.6% from Tuesday’s close.
    Global Payments — Shares added about 2% before the bell after Goldman upgraded the fintech company to buy and assigned a $127 price target, implying about 20% upside from Tuesday’s close. “We believe the merchant business is poised to sustain somewhat better than feared trends as currency headwinds fade, aided by a stronger start to the year in 1Q23,” Goldman analysts wrote in a note sent to clients on Tuesday.
    Goldman Sachs — The banking giant rose slightly after UBS upgraded the stock to buy from neutral, saying the company is attractively priced with minimum risk ahead. Analyst Brennan Hawken increased his price target to $385 from $350, suggesting shares stand to gain 17.6% from Tuesday’s close price.
    MGM Resorts International — Shares rose about 1.5% after JPMorgan reaffirmed its overweight rating on the company, saying it raised its 2023-2024 Macao estimates on MGM and views its strong upcoming events calendar as a growth catalyst. The firm also lifted its price target to $55, which suggests a 27% from Tuesday’s closing price. More

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    Warren Buffett explains why he bought 5 Japanese trading houses: I was ‘confounded’ by the opportunity

    Warren Buffett said he was “confounded” by the opportunity to buy into five Japanese trading houses two years ago.
    “I was confounded by the fact that we could buy into these companies,” Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick on “Squawk Box” in an interview from Tokyo on Wednesday. They had in effect “an earnings yield maybe 14% or something like that, but dividends would grow.”

    related investing news

    20 hours ago

    The Berkshire Hathaway chairman and CEO revealed this week that he had raised his stakes in each of the five major Japanese firms to 7.4%, and added that he may consider further investments. Buffett’s trip to Japan is intended to show support for the companies.
    Earnings yield is defined as the profit per share divided by the share price and is a common measure used by value investors like Buffett. The higher the number, the more value investors are getting per share.
    “I just thought these were big companies. They were companies that I generally understood what they did. Somewhat similar to Berkshire in that they owned lots of different interests,” Buffett said. “And they were selling at what I thought was a ridiculous price, particularly the price compared to the interest rates prevailing at that time.”
    Buffett, 92, said Wednesday that Berkshire plans to hold the investments for 10 to 20 years. Berkshire previously said it could raise its stakes in each of the trading houses up to 9.9% — though not without the approval of the firms’ boards of directors.

    Deal-making?

    Berkshire’s vice chairman of non-insurance operations and Buffett’s heir apparent, Greg Abel, added in the same interview that conglomerate is also interested in any further “incremental opportunity” with each of the firms in terms of deal-making.

    “We would very much evaluate it quickly. Warren highlighted the bigger the better, and that he’ll answer the phone on the first ring. And we’ll never run out of money. They can call us anytime,” said Abel.
    The “Oracle of Omaha” first acquired stakes in these firms in August 2020 for his 90th birthday, in an initial purchase worth roughly $6 billion. The firms are Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co., Itochu Corp., Marubeni and Sumitomo.
    Known as “sogo shosha,” Japan’s trading houses are akin to conglomerates and trade in a wide range of products and materials. With the import of metals, textiles, food and other goods, they helped vaunt the Japan’s economy to the global stage.
    They have been criticized by some investors for their complex operations, as well as for their growing exposure to risks overseas as they expanded internationally. However, for Buffett, those diversified operations could be part of the draw. They also boast high dividend yields and free cash flow. More

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    Banking turmoil was not a crisis but ‘the downside risks are real,’ IIF boss warns

    The fall of Silicon Valley Bank in early March, the largest banking failure since the global financial crisis, triggered a wave of market panic that swept through the sector in Europe and the U.S.
    A flight of shareholders and depositors culminated in the downfall of Credit Suisse, with Swiss authorities brokering the emergency rescue of the 167-year-old institution by domestic rival UBS.
    Adams said the March chaos was a “period of market turmoil or turbulence,” but dismissed the notion that it was a “crisis.”

    Anjali Sundaram | CNBC

    The banking sector turmoil that led to the collapse of several lenders was not a systemic crisis and has now subsided, according to Tim Adams, CEO of the Institute of International Finance.
    The fall of Silicon Valley Bank in early March — the largest banking failure since the global financial crisis — triggered a wave of market panic that swept through the sector in Europe and the U.S.

    related investing news

    16 hours ago

    A flight of shareholders and depositors culminated in the downfall of Credit Suisse, with Swiss authorities brokering the emergency rescue of the 167-year-old institution by domestic rival UBS.
    The smaller Signature Bank was closed by regulators stateside, while Wall Street giants stepped in to make $30 billion of deposits at First Republic, buying the regional lender time to establish a survival plan.
    Markets have since stabilized, leading many to conclude that the problems were unique to the stricken banks and do not pose a systemic risk. However, the ripple effect has dented the economic outlook in many advanced economies.
    Speaking to CNBC on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund Spring Meetings in Washington D.C. on Tuesday, Adams said the March chaos was a “period of market turmoil or turbulence,” but dismissed the notion that it was a “crisis.”

    “We have over 4,000 banks in the United States, we have about 10,000 banks globally that are part of SWIFT and 35,000 financial institutions around the world — 99.999% of them opened their doors over the past month and had no problems whatsoever — [it’s] really just a few isolated idiosyncratic institutions,” Adams told CNBC’s Joumanna Bercetche.

    “So I think it is not a crisis, I think it was market turbulence, it has subsided, it has stabilized, but we need to be vigilant and we need to watch for other stresses in the system.”
    The IIF is a global trade body for the financial services industry, with around 400 members in more than 60 countries. Adams said the primary concern among members was the downside risk to growth, particularly in advanced economies.
    The IMF on Tuesday lowered its five-year global growth forecast to around 3%, marking the lowest medium-term forecast in an IMF World Economic Outlook report since 1990.
    The D.C.-based institution’s Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told CNBC on Tuesday that the turmoil in the banking sector had weakened the growth outlook, especially in the face of rapid monetary policy tightening from central banks that have sharply increased lenders’ funding costs and increased vulnerabilities.

    “There are risks, there are geopolitical risks which we can talk about, but the downside risks are real and we just don’t know how deep they are,” Adams said.
    “The Fed’s going to probably tighten again, we have other central banks in Europe and the U.K. tightening, so there are risks to the downside.”
    Regulators in the U.S. and Europe took swift action to quash contagion risk in the face of the various banking collapses last month. However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen asserted on Tuesday that the banking system remains well capitalized, with ample liquidity.
    Adams suggested many of the regulators he had spoken to, including those involved in developing the Dodd Frank and Basel III frameworks in the aftermath of the financial crisis, did not believe major regulatory changes were necessary this time around.
    “It’s a very different system than [what] was prevailing in 2007, 2008. I do think we need to better understand what went wrong at certain institutions like SVB, I think we do need to ask what happened to supervision, but I don’t think we’re going to see regulatory changes,” he added. More

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    Wall Street is wrong: Former PIMCO chief economist Paul McCulley predicts rate hikes will end next month

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    Wall Street is wrong about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path, according to former PIMCO chief economist Paul McCulley.
    Barring a surprise jump in inflation, he believes mounting economic pressures will convince the Fed to stop hiking interest rates next month.

    “It would be a pause and then a pivot [later this year],” McCulley told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Tuesday.
    McCulley delivered his latest forecast less than 24 hours before the government releases the March consumer price index. According to Dow Jones estimates, Wall Street expects a 5.1% year-over-year increase versus 6% in February.
    “They’re [Fed officials] going to look at the data coming in — recognizing that what’s going on with the stress in the banking system is going to work in tandem with what they’ve already done with 500 basis points worth of tightening almost,” he said.
    McCulley’s central bank pause call is at odds with the recent CME Group estimate which shows a 73% chance of a quarter point interest rate hike in May.
    McCulley, who’s teaching a Fed watching class at Georgetown University, sees a wide — albeit temporary — disconnect between the economic community and the marketplace.

    “I think as we move out in the next week or two that the Street will move in that direction from the standpoint of pricing the odds,” he said.
    What will it take? McCulley noted just more of the same deteriorating economic data paired with troubling activity in the Treasury market.
    “I cannot overestimate the importance of the starting point being a severe inverted yield curve which is going to give you a continual bleed of deposits out of the banking system,” he said.
    He added a pivot could come even without a recession, and set up a healthier market.
    “When the short end of the yield curve comes down and we re-slope the yield curve, then I think your garden variety, Main Street stocks will catch a bid,” McCulley said. “This will not be a stock market that is so led by such a few mega growth stocks.”
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    Walmart chases higher profits powered by warehouse robots and automated claws

    Walmart is accelerating its use of automation across its supply chain as it chases higher profits.
    The company showed off an automated distribution center in Florida at an investor day.
    CEO Doug McMillon said he anticipates the retailer’s workforce will stay about the same size, but said its composition will change.

    BROOKSVILLE, Fla. — At first glance, this warehouse looks like many: Forklifts unload pallets from the back of dozens of tractor-trailers. Canned soup, soda and cleaning supplies whiz by on conveyer belts. Store-bound merchandise gets sorted by department and store aisle before getting stacked high like an elaborate game of Tetris.
    The difference? Tasks are powered by giant automated claws and rolling robots, instead of people. The driver’s seats on the forklifts are empty.

    Welcome to the future of Walmart.
    The big-box retailer at an investor event last week previewed how it plans to use automation to more quickly and cost-effectively manage inventory, stock shelves and keep up with online orders. The company took investors on a tour of an approximately 1.4 million-square-foot facility in Brooksville, Florida — the first automated distribution center for packaged foods and other shelf-stable household items.
    Walmart plans to add that same automation from Symbotic — a warehouse technology company that Walmart took a majority stake in last year — to all of its 42 regional distribution centers, though it didn’t share a timetable for doing so. By the end of January, roughly a third of stores will get distribution from the automated facilities, the company said.
    Walmart’s automation is a piece of a broader plan to drive profits higher. CEO Doug McMillon said in the coming years the retailer’s revenue will grow about 4% year over year — a slower growth rate than the approximately 8% it saw in the past three Covid pandemic-fueled years, but still faster than growth of 3.1% and 3.6% the retailer posted in the three years prior to the pandemic.
    McMillon added that he expects profits to grow at a quicker pace than sales over the next five years as Walmart adds automation and grows its higher-margin businesses like advertising, last-mile delivery and fulfillment services.

    He said Walmart has given customers more ways to shop online and get those purchases faster. It offers more general merchandise, including exclusive brands in categories like apparel. And it has more sellers that have joined its third-party marketplace, too.
    “We’re now in a phase that is less about scaling store pickup and delivery, e-commerce assortment, and e-commerce FC [fulfillment center] square footage and more about execution and operating margin improvement,” he said.
    In three years, Walmart anticipates that about two-thirds of its stores will be serviced by some kind of automation, about 55% of fulfillment center volume will move through automated facilities and that unit cost averages could improve by about 20%.

    Workforce shifts

    For Walmart, the country’s largest employer, the automation push means rendering obsolete some of its 1.6 million roles.
    At the Brooksville facility during the investor tour, few people appeared to be on the distribution center’s floor, though Walmart said its overall head count at the facility hasn’t changed.
    David Guggina, executive vice president of Walmart U.S.’ supply chain operations, said automation is about increasing capacity, not cutting jobs. He said retention has significantly improved, since work is not as physically demanding. He declined to share specific turnover numbers, but said the first year after the Brooksville facility became automated, no employees left the job.
    In an interview with CNBC, McMillon said he anticipates the retailer’s workforce will stay about the same size. But he said its composition will change. For example, he said, Walmart may need fewer people to unload pallets at warehouses, but more people to deliver online orders to customers’ doors.

    Walmart Symbotic
    Courtesy: Walmart

    Walmart recently laid off hundreds of workers at e-commerce facilities across the country. McMillon said those layoffs came after a surge in online sales during the early years of the pandemic, as the company tried to understand what its sales trends would look like beyond the holidays.
    Walmart has not shared how much it will spend on the automation projects. At last week’s investor event, Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey said the company expects its capital expenditures will be slightly higher than last year, at roughly 2.5% to 3% of sales.
    He said about 90% of the company’s capex will be in “high-return areas” like e-commerce, supply chain and store investments.
    As Walmart plans for the bigger rollout, some employees have already had a change in their routines. Jose Molina, who shared his experience as part of the organized tour, began working at the Brooksville distribution center in 1995. For years, he said, he kept track of inventory with a pen and paper. He grew tired from lifting heavy boxes with a pallet jack or operating a forklift.
    With the automation, Molina watches the robots unload the truck and intervenes if they run into a problem, he said. Scanners keep count of each item, so he can skip the pen and paper or mental math. He leaves work without feeling exhausted and coaches high school soccer at the end of his day.
    “I even kick the ball sometimes,” he said.

    Bearing fruit

    Brad Thomas, a retail analyst at KeyBanc Capital Markets, took a tour of the Tampa-area facility during the investor event. He said he was sold on the investments after seeing real-world results in the back of a nearby store.
    Thomas referred to two trailers, packed with pallets and ready to unload from the distribution center. One was packed manually by employees and included a bunch of items from numerous departments piled in a haphazard stack. A box of Pop-Tarts precariously propped up other items at the bottom of the towering pallet.
    The other trailer was packed by a robot, organized with the help of automation for fast and easy unloading for workers. Like items together, heaviest at the bottom.
    The contrast, Thomas said, helps highlight what he views as a significant transformation for Walmart — the company’s “most exciting setup that it’s had in the past 10 years.”
    “Ten years ago, Walmart was still playing catch-up in areas like e-commerce, and I think that many of the investments they have made are bearing fruit,” he said. “We’re actually seeing areas like automation where arguably Walmart is more of a leader than a follower.”
    Other retailers are pushing into automation, too. Grocery giant Kroger is opening huge, robot-powered sheds with U.K.-based Ocado to expand its online grocery business, including one that allowed it to break into the Florida market without building a single store.
    Amazon has increasingly automated the picking and sorting of packages in its warehouses. Its $775 million acquisition of Kiva Systems in 2012 was a pivotal moment in that transition, giving Amazon access to robots that can carry shelves of goods from worker to worker, speeding up the fulfillment process.
    Walmart is banking on automation to help get more online orders to customers next day or with two-day shipping. The retailer currently picks, packs and ships orders at 31 fulfillment centers across the country, and it has plans to build four automated fulfillment centers, including one that’s already opened in Joliet, Illinois, 45 miles southeast of Chicago.
    The retailer has an additional 46 distribution centers to support the fresh side of its grocery business and has an automated grocery distribution center in Shafter, California. It has plans to open another in Lancaster, Texas, later this year and one in Spartanburg, South Carolina, next year.
    It’s also testing mini fulfillment centers in the back of stores where employees work side by side with automation to get online grocery orders ready.
    — CNBC’s Annie Palmer contributed to this report. More

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    Walmart to close four underperforming Chicago stores

    Walmart announced Tuesday it will abruptly close four underperforming Chicago stores, citing millions in annual losses.
    The company said its eight Chicago stores collectively have not been profitable since the first opened 17 years ago.
    The locations are in the Kenwood, Lakeview, Little Village and Chatham neighborhoods of Chicago.

    Customers shop at a Walmart store on May 19, 2020 in Chicago, Illinois.
    Scott Olson | Getty Images

    Walmart announced Tuesday it will abruptly close four underperforming Chicago stores, citing millions in annual losses.
    The company said its eight Chicago stores collectively have not been profitable since the first opened 17 years ago. This has amounted to a loss of “tens of millions of dollars a year,” according to a press release, losses that have nearly doubled over the last five years.

    The four stores will close on April 16, though their pharmacies will remain open for up to 30 days. The locations are in the Kenwood, Lakeview, Little Village and Chatham neighborhoods of Chicago.
    “Over the years, we have tried many different strategies to improve the business performance of these locations, including building smaller stores, localizing product assortment and offering services beyond traditional retail,” the company said in a release. “As we looked for solutions, it became even more clear that for these stores, there was nothing leaders could do to help get us to the point where they would be profitable.”
    Walmart said all employees at these four stores are eligible to transfer to other Walmart locations and will be paid through Aug. 11. The company will keep its other four Chicago stores open, it said.
    Walmart said in March it will close a dozen or so stores, according to media reports. Walmart also announced in March it would lay off hundreds of employees at e-commerce fulfillment centers across the country.
    As of Jan. 31, the company operated more than 5,300 retail locations, including Supercenters, discount stores, Sam’s Clubs and small-format stores. More