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    Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Union Pacific, Fisker, Tesla, Zillow and more

    A Union Pacific locomotive crosses Highway 118 in Somis, California.
    Stephen Osman | Los Angeles Times | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.
    Union Pacific – Union Pacific’s stock gained more than 10% after the company announced that its current CEO would step down in 2023. Bank of America upgraded the railroad operator to a buy from neutral rating, citing the leadership change.

    Fisker – Shares of the electric vehicle startup surged more than 30% after Fisker maintained its 2023 vehicle production target and said it spent less than anticipated in 2022. To be sure, the company posted a larger-than-expected loss and revenue miss for the fourth quarter, according to StreetAccount.
    Tesla – Shares of Tesla rose nearly 5.5% following a Reuters report that the company’s Brandenburg, Germany plant of the electric vehicle maker hit a production rate of 4,000 vehicles per week ahead of schedule.
    Albemarle — Albemarle shares popped 3% after Wells Fargo named it a signature pick, noting: “ALB remains our preferred growth name in chemicals, given its position as one of the world’s largest low-cost lithium suppliers.”
    Freyr Battery — The battery maker’s stock soared 13.2% after posted fourth-quarter results. “We expect 2023 to be a truly exciting and transformative year for FREYR and our 24M licensing partners as we move into live battery production,” CEO Tom Jensen said in a statement.
    Seagen — Shares jumped 10.4% after The Wall Street Journal reported that Pfizer is in early talks to acquire the cancer drugmaker, which has a market value of about $30 billion. There is no guarantee there will be a deal, according to the report.

    Nomad Foods — The frozen food company added 8.3% following an upgrade to buy from neutral by Goldman Sachs, which called the stock an “attractive investment opportunity.”
    Frontier Communications — Shares rose nearly 5% after Raymond James upgraded the telecom stock to strong buy from outperform. The upgrade comes after Frontier posted on Friday better-than-expected results for the fourth quarter. The company also gave strong full-year EBITDA guidance.
    Viatris — The health care stock lost 2.7% after Viatris reported earnings and announcing former Celgene COO Scott Smith would take over as CEO starting April 1. Shares were last down 0.1%, however.
    Alphabet — Google’s parent company gained 0.8% after Bank of America reiterated its overweight rating, citing the technology giant’s opportunities within artificial intelligence.
    Zillow — The online real estate platform gained 2.1% after JPMorgan initiated coverage of the stock with an overweight rating. The Wall Street firm said Zillow’s core demand generation-based business model, solid margins and active share repurchase program will help the firm navigate the near-term industry challenges. JPMorgan’s price target of $48 per share represents an upside of nearly 20%.
    Pulmonx — Shares jumped nearly 6% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight by Wells Fargo. The firm said the medical technology company’s stock has an attractive valuation.
    Krispy Kreme — The donut maker ticked up but closed unchanged following an announcement that McDonald’s will begin selling Krispy Kreme donuts at 150 locations in Kentucky for a limited time starting next month. The fast-food chain first tested the donuts at its locations in October. McDonald’s ended the session up 0.4%
    — CNBC’s Samantha Subin, Pia Singh, Yun Li and Tanaya Macheel contributed reporting

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    McDonald’s expands Krispy Kreme test to more Kentucky locations

    McDonald’s is expanding its test with Krispy Kreme to approximately 160 restaurants in Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky.
    Last October, nine McDonald’s restaurants started selling Krispy Kreme doughnuts to test how the menu experiment affected their operations.
    The burger chain has also been leaning into coffee — a common pairing with doughnuts — to encourage diners to visit more frequently.

    In this photo illustration, a Krispy Kreme glazed doughnut is shown on May 12, 2022 in Daly City, California. 
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

    McDonald’s will sell Krispy Kreme doughnuts at approximately 160 Kentucky locations starting next month, for a limited time.
    It’s an expansion of the fast-food giant’s initial test with the sweet treats. In October, nine McDonald’s restaurants in Louisville started selling Krispy Kreme doughnuts. The larger test is meant to assess customer demand and to understand how a larger-scale launch would affect restaurant operations.

    Starting March 21, McDonald’s customers at select locations in the Louisville and Lexington areas will be able to purchase Krispy Kreme’s glazed, chocolate iced with sprinkles and chocolate cream-filled doughnuts. The treats will be available all day and can be ordered in the drive-thru lane, in the restaurant, through the McDonald’s app and for delivery.
    McDonald’s has already made small tweaks from the earlier test, which didn’t allow customers to order the doughnuts for delivery and included raspberry-filled doughnuts in place of the chocolate cream-filled. But the expansion suggests the initial experiment was at least somewhat successful in driving traffic despite macroeconomic challenges.
    Consumers have been pulling back on restaurant spending as inflation puts pressure on their budgets. But both Krispy Kreme and McDonald’s have reported strong sales in recent quarters.
    McDonald’s saw its U.S. traffic increase in the second half of the year, bucking the industry trend thanks to its cheap deals. The burger chain has also been leaning into coffee — a common pairing with doughnuts —to encourage diners to visit more frequently. And Krispy Kreme has been able to raise prices without hurting its sales because consumers are willing to splurge on affordable treats, such as fresh doughnuts.
    Krispy Kreme uses a “hub and spoke” model that lets it make and distribute its treats efficiently. Production hubs, which are either stores or doughnut factories, send off freshly made doughnuts every day to retail locations such as grocery stores and gas stations.
    Krispy Kreme Chief Operating Officer Josh Charlesworth said in January at the ICR Conference that the McDonald’s test showed the doughnut chain can execute its daily fresh deliveries to restaurant locations. Beyond that, however, the company’s executives have declined to share more details on the progress of the test.

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    Why Goldman’s consumer ambitions failed, and what it means for CEO David Solomon

    Many of the decisions Goldman CEO David Solomon made regarding Marcus ultimately led to the collapse of its consumer ambitions, according to a dozen people with knowledge of the matter.
    Marcus leaders had disagreed with Solomon over products, acquisitions and branding, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about internal Goldman matters.
    The humbling episode adds to the stakes of Solomon’s second-ever investor day conference Tuesday, in which the CEO will provide details on his plan to build durable sources of revenue growth.

    When David Solomon was chosen to succeed Lloyd Blankfein as Goldman Sachs CEO in early 2018, a spasm of fear ran through the bankers working on a modest enterprise known as Marcus.
    The man who lost out to Solomon, Harvey Schwartz, was one of several original backers of the firm’s foray into consumer banking and was often seen pacing the floor in Goldman’s New York headquarters where it was being built. Would Solomon kill the nascent project?

    The executives were elated when Solomon soon embraced the business.
    Their relief was short-lived, however. That’s because many of the decisions Solomon made over the next four years — along with aspects of the firm’s hard-charging, ego-driven culture — ultimately led to the collapse of Goldman’s consumer ambitions, according to a dozen people with knowledge of the matter.
    The idea behind Marcus — the transformation of a Wall Street powerhouse into a Main Street player that could take on giants such as Jamie Dimon’s JPMorgan Chase — captivated the financial world from the start. Within three years of its 2016 launch, Marcus — a nod to the first name of Goldman’s founder — attracted $50 billion in valuable deposits, had a growing lending business and had emerged victorious from intense competition among banks to issue a credit card to Apple’s many iPhone users.

    Solomon at risk?

    But as Marcus morphed from a side project to a focal point for investors hungry for a growth story, the business rapidly expanded and ultimately buckled under the weight of Solomon’s ambitions. Late last year, Solomon capitulated to demands to rein in the business, splitting it apart in a reorganization, killing its inaugural loan product and shelving an expensive checking account.
    The episode comes at a sensitive time for Solomon. More than four years into his tenure, the CEO faces pressure from an unlikely source — disaffected partners of his own company, whose leaks to the press in the past year accelerated the bank’s strategy pivot and revealed simmering disdain for his high-profile DJ hobby.

    Goldman shares have outperformed bank stock indexes during Solomon’s tenure, helped by the strong performance of its core trading and investment banking operations. But investors aren’t rewarding Solomon with a higher multiple on his earnings, while nemesis Morgan Stanley has opened up a wider lead in recent years, with a price to tangible book value ratio roughly double that of Goldman.
    That adds to the stakes for Solomon’s second-ever investor day conference Tuesday, during which the CEO will provide details on his latest plan to build durable sources of revenue growth. Investors want an explanation of what went wrong at Marcus, which was touted at Goldman’s previous investor day in 2020, and evidence that management has learned lessons from the costly episode.

    Origin story

    “We’ve made a lot of progress, been flexible when needed, and we’re looking forward to updating our investors on that progress and the path ahead,” Goldman communications chief Tony Fratto said in a statement. “It’s clear that many innovations since our last investor day are paying off across our businesses and generating returns for shareholders.”
    The architects of Marcus couldn’t have predicted its journey when the idea was birthed offsite in 2014 at the vacation home of then-Goldman president Gary Cohn. While Goldman is a leader in advising corporations, heads of state and the ultrawealthy, it didn’t have a presence in retail banking.
    They gave it a distinct brand, in part to distance it from negative perceptions of Goldman after the 2008 crisis, but also because it would allow them to spin off the business as a standalone fintech player if they wanted to, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
    “Like a lot of things that Goldman starts, it began not as some grand vision, but more like, ‘Here’s a way we can make some money,'” one of the people said.
    Ironically, Cohn himself was against the retail push and told the bank’s board that he didn’t think it would succeed, according to people with knowledge of the matter. In that way, Cohn, who left in 2017 to join the Trump administration, was emblematic of many of the company’s old guard who believed that consumer finance simply wasn’t in Goldman’s DNA.
    Cohn declined to comment.

    Paradise lost

    Once Solomon took over, in 2018, he began a series of corporate reorganizations that would influence the path of the embryonic business.
    From its early days, Marcus, run by ex-Discover executive Harit Talwar and Goldman veteran Omer Ismail, had been purposefully sheltered from the rest of the company. Talwar was fond of telling reporters that Marcus had the advantages of being a nimble startup within a 150-year-old investment bank.
    The first of Solomon’s reorganizations came early in his tenure, when he folded it into the firm’s investment management division. Ismail and others had argued against the move to Solomon, feeling that it would hinder the business.
    Solomon’s rationale was that all of Goldman’s businesses catering to individuals should be in the same division, even if most Marcus customers had only a few thousand dollars in loans or savings, while the average private wealth client had $50 million in investments.
    In the process, the Marcus leaders lost some of their ability to call their own shots on engineering, marketing and personnel matters, in part because of senior hires made by Solomon. Marcus engineering resources were pulled in different directions, including into a project to consolidate its technology stack with that of the broader firm, a step that Ismail and Talwar disagreed with.
    “Marcus became a shiny object,” said one source. “At Goldman, everyone wants to leave their mark on the new shiny thing.”

    ‘Who the f— agreed to this?’

    Besides the deposits business, which has attracted $100 billion so far and essentially prints money for the company, the biggest consumer success has been its rollout of the Apple Card.
    What is less well-known is that Goldman won the Apple account in part because it agreed to terms that other, established card issuers wouldn’t. After a veteran of the credit-card industry named Scott Young joined Goldman in 2017, he was flabbergasted at one-sided elements of the Apple deal, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
    “Who the f— agreed to this?” Young exclaimed in a meeting after learning of the details of the deal, according to a person present.
    Some of the customer servicing aspects of the deal ultimately added to Goldman’s unexpectedly high costs for the Apple partnership, the people said. Goldman executives were eager to seal the deal with the tech giant, which happened before Solomon became CEO, they added.
    Young declined to comment about the outburst.
    The rapid growth of the card, which was launched in 2019, is one reason the consumer division saw mounting financial losses. Heading into an economic downturn, Goldman had to set aside reserves for future losses, even if they don’t happen. The card ramp-up also brought regulatory scrutiny on the way it dealt with customer chargebacks, CNBC reported last year.

    Pushing back against the boss

    Beneath the smooth veneer of the bank’s fintech products, which were gaining traction at the time, there were growing tensions: disagreements with Solomon over products, acquisitions and branding, said the people, who declined to be identified speaking about internal Goldman matters.
    Ismail, who was well-regarded internally and had the ability to push back against Solomon, lost some battles and held the line on others. For instance, Marcus officials had to entertain potential sponsorships with Rihanna, Reese Witherspoon and other celebrities, as well as study whether the Goldman brand should replace that of Marcus.
    The CEO was said to be enamored of the rise of fast-growing digital players such as Chime and believed that Goldman needed to offer a checking account, while Marcus leaders didn’t think the bank had advantages there and should continue as a more focused player.
    One of the final straws for Ismail came when Solomon, in his second reorganization, made his strategy chief, Stephanie Cohen, co-head of the consumer and wealth division in September 2020. Cohen, who is known as a tireless executive, would be even more hands-on than her predecessor, Eric Lane, and Ismail felt that he deserved the promotion.
    Within months, Ismail left Goldman, sending shock waves through the consumer division and deeply angering Solomon. Ismail and Talwar declined to comment for this article.

    Boom and bust

    Ismail’s exit ushered in a new, ultimately disastrous era for Marcus, a dysfunctional period that included a steep ramp-up in hiring and expenses, blown product deadlines and waves of talent departures.
    Now run by two former tech executives with scant retail experience, ex-Uber executive Peeyush Nahar and Swati Bhatia, formerly of Stripe, Marcus was cursed by Goldman’s success on Wall Street in 2021.
    The pandemic-fueled boom in public listings, mergers and other deals meant that Goldman was en route to a banner year for investment banking, its most profitable ever. Goldman should plow some of those volatile earnings into more durable consumer banking revenues, the thinking went.
    “People at the firm including David Solomon were like, ‘Go, go, go!'” said a person with knowledge of the period. “We have all these excess profits, you go create recurring revenues.”

    ‘Only the beginning’

    In April 2022, the bank widened testing of its checking account to employees, telling staff that it was “only the beginning of what we hope will soon become the primary checking account for tens of millions of customers.”
    But as 2022 ground on, it became clear that Goldman was facing a very different environment. The Federal Reserve ended a decade-plus era of cheap money by raising interest rates, casting a pall over capital markets. Among the six biggest American banks, Goldman Sachs was most hurt by the declines, and suddenly Solomon was pushing to cut expenses at Marcus and elsewhere.
    Amid leaks that Marcus was hemorrhaging money, Solomon finally decided to pull back sharply on the effort that he had once championed to investors and the media. His checking account would be repurposed for wealth management clients, which would save money on marketing costs.
    Now it is Ismail, who joined a Walmart-backed fintech called One in early 2021, who will be taking on the banking world with a direct-to-consumer digital startup. His former employer Goldman would largely content itself with being a behind-the-scenes player, providing its technology and balance sheet to established brands.
    For a company with as much self-regard as Goldman, it would mark a sharp comedown from the vision held by Solomon only months earlier.
    “David would say, ‘We’re building the business for the next 50 years, not for today,'” said one former Goldman insider. “He should’ve listened to his own sound bite.”

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    China’s local state is on the verge of a debt crisis

    From several kilometres away China 117 Tower, the world’s sixth-tallest skyscraper, is an extraordinary sight—rivalling anything Dubai, Hong Kong or New York has to offer. On closer inspection, however, the building in Tianjin is revealed to be an eyesore of epic proportions. Construction on “117”, as locals call it, was never completed. Large sections remain unfinished; patches of the tower’s concrete skeleton are exposed to the outside world. Instead of becoming a magnet for business and wealth, it has been repelling prosperity for years. Other derelict towers surround the building, forming a graveyard of a central business district. Local officials would hide the entire area if they could.Tales of extravagantly wasteful spending have circulated in China for years, as cities and provinces accumulated debts to build infrastructure and boost the country’s gdp. These debts have reached extraordinary levels—and the bill is now arriving. Borrowing often sits in local-government-financing vehicles (lgfvs), firms set up by officials to dodge rules which restrict their ability to borrow. These entities’ outstanding bonds reached 13.6trn yuan ($2trn), or about 40% of China’s corporate-bond market, at the end of last year. Lending through opaque, unofficial channels means, in reality, debts are much higher. An estimate in 2020 suggested a figure of nearly 50trn yuan.Borrowing on this scale appeared unsustainable even during China’s era of rapid growth. But disastrous policymaking has pushed local governments to the brink, and after the rush of reopening the long-term outlook for Chinese growth is lower. The country’s zero-covid policy hurt consumption, cut factory output and forced cities and provinces to spend hundreds of billions of yuan on testing and quarantine facilities. Meanwhile, a property crisis last year led to a 50% fall in land sales, on which local governments rely for revenue. Although both problems are now easing—with zero-covid abandoned and property rules loosened—a disastrous chain of events may have been set in motion. About a third of local authorities are struggling to make payments on debts, according to a recent survey. The distress threatens government services, and is already provoking protests. Defaults could bring chaos to China’s bond markets.To make ends meet, local governments have entered costlier and murkier corners of the market. More than half of outstanding lgfv bonds are now unrated, the highest share since 2013, according to Michael Chang of cgs-cimb, a broker. Many lgfvs can no longer issue bonds in China’s domestic market or refinance maturing ones. Payouts on bonds exceeded money brought in from new issuances in the final three months of 2022, for the first time in four years. To avoid defaults many are now looking to informal channels of borrowing—often referred to as “hidden debt” because it is difficult for auditors to work out just how much is owed. Interest on these debts is much higher and repayment terms shorter than those in the bond market. Other officials have gone offshore. lgfvs last year issued a record $39.5bn in dollar-denominated bonds, on which many are now paying coupons of more than 7%. These higher rates have the makings of a crisis. A report by Allen Feng and Logan Wright of Rhodium, a research firm, estimates that 109 local governments out of 319 surveyed are struggling to pay interest on debts, let alone pay down principals. For this group of local authorities, interest accounts for at least 10% of spending, a dangerously high level. In Tianjin, the figure is 30%. The city, home to almost 14m people and on China’s prosperous east coast, is a leading candidate to be the default that kicks off a market panic. Although Tianjin neighbours Beijing, its financial situation is akin to places in far-flung western and south-western provinces. At least 1.7m people have left the city since 2019, a scale of outflows that resembles those from rust-belt provinces. Dismal income from land sales can only cover about 20% of the city’s short-term lgfv liabilities.Across China, pressure on local budgets is starting to be felt. On February 23rd a private bus company in the city of Shangqiu, in Henan province, said it would suspend services owing to a lack of government financial support. Several others elsewhere have said the same. Cuts to health-care benefits have prompted protests in cities including Dalian and Wuhan, where they were met with a heavy police presence. Local governments have struggled to pay private firms for covid-related bills such as testing equipment. In places, they are also failing to pay migrant workers, which has led to more protests.Some local governments have started to sell assets to try to avoid defaults. A recent loosening of rules on stock exchanges could help localities raise capital from the public through listings. Governments could also start hocking assets in private transactions. It is unclear, though, how far officials are willing to go, or who will buy the assets on offer. A new business district in Tianjin appears to have many of the hallmarks of success, for instance—not least several rows of sparkling new towers and a Porsche dealership across the street. But most of the shops on the ground floor of the project, which is jointly owned by a local-government company and a private firm, are empty. Local officials have started to auction off individual floors. One such sale recently ended without a buyer.The central government is transferring funds to localities on a grander scale than ever before. More than 30trn yuan was made available between 2020 and 2022, according to Messrs Feng and Wright. An lgfv in the city of Zunyi, in the indebted south-western province of Guizhou, recently agreed with local banks to lower interest rates, defer principal payments for ten years and extend the maturity of its debt to 20 years. Such arrangements could become more common in future. Proponents argue that they indicate a genuine willingness on the part of local officials to pay their debts, and are an acknowledgement that it will simply take more time than expected. But ever-growing debt over the past decade suggests that many projects will never become truly profitable, says Jack Yuan of Moody’s, a ratings agency. The troubled lgfv in Zunyi, for instance, has had negative cash flows since 2016, and seems to have little hope of a turnaround. As Rhodium’s analysts ask, if these governments could not make payments when local gdp growth was high, often over 7%, how will they manage in the forthcoming decade, with growth of perhaps 3%? ■ More

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    China’s cities are on the verge of a debt crisis

    From several kilometres away China 117 Tower, the world’s sixth-tallest skyscraper, is an extraordinary sight—rivalling anything Dubai, Hong Kong or New York has to offer. On closer inspection, however, the building in Tianjin is revealed to be an eyesore of epic proportions. Construction on “117”, as locals call it, was never completed. Large sections remain unfinished; patches of the tower’s concrete skeleton are exposed to the outside world. Instead of becoming a magnet for business and wealth, it has been repelling prosperity for years. Other derelict towers surround the building, forming a graveyard of a central business district. Local officials would hide the entire area if they could.Tales of extravagantly wasteful spending have circulated in China for years, as cities and provinces accumulated debts to build infrastructure and boost the country’s gdp. These debts have reached extraordinary levels—and the bill is now arriving. Borrowing often sits in local-government-financing vehicles (lgfvs), firms set up by officials to dodge rules which restrict their ability to borrow. These entities’ outstanding bonds reached 13.6trn yuan ($2trn), or about 40% of China’s corporate-bond market, at the end of last year. Lending through opaque, unofficial channels means, in reality, debts are much higher. An estimate in 2020 suggested a figure of nearly 50trn yuan.Borrowing on this scale appeared unsustainable even during China’s era of rapid growth. But disastrous policymaking has pushed local governments to the brink, and after the rush of reopening the long-term outlook for Chinese growth is lower. The country’s zero-covid policy hurt consumption, cut factory output and forced cities and provinces to spend hundreds of billions of yuan on testing and quarantine facilities. Meanwhile, a property crisis last year led to a 50% fall in land sales, on which local governments rely for revenue. Although both problems are now easing—with zero-covid abandoned and property rules loosened—a disastrous chain of events may have been set in motion. About a third of local authorities are struggling to make payments on debts, according to a recent survey. The distress threatens government services, and is already provoking protests. Defaults could bring chaos to China’s bond markets.To make ends meet, local governments have entered costlier and murkier corners of the market. More than half of outstanding lgfv bonds are now unrated, the highest share since 2013, according to Michael Chang of cgs-cimb, a broker. Many lgfvs can no longer issue bonds in China’s domestic market or refinance maturing ones. Payouts on bonds exceeded money brought in from new issuances in the final three months of 2022, for the first time in four years. To avoid defaults many are now looking to informal channels of borrowing—often referred to as “hidden debt” because it is difficult for auditors to work out just how much is owed. Interest on these debts is much higher and repayment terms shorter than those in the bond market. Other officials have gone offshore. lgfvs last year issued a record $39.5bn in dollar-denominated bonds, on which many are now paying coupons of more than 7%. These higher rates have the makings of a crisis. A report by Allen Feng and Logan Wright of Rhodium, a research firm, estimates that 109 local governments out of 319 surveyed are struggling to pay interest on debts, let alone pay down principals. For this group of local authorities, interest accounts for at least 10% of spending, a dangerously high level. In Tianjin, the figure is 30%. The city, home to almost 14m people and on China’s prosperous east coast, is a leading candidate to be the default that kicks off a market panic. Although Tianjin neighbours Beijing, its financial situation is akin to places in far-flung western and south-western provinces. At least 1.7m people have left the city since 2019, a scale of outflows that resembles those from rust-belt provinces. Dismal income from land sales can only cover about 20% of the city’s short-term lgfv liabilities.Across China, pressure on local budgets is starting to be felt. On February 23rd a private bus company in the city of Shangqiu, in Henan province, said it would suspend services owing to a lack of government financial support. Several others elsewhere have said the same. Cuts to health-care benefits have prompted protests in cities including Dalian and Wuhan, where they were met with a heavy police presence. Local governments have struggled to pay private firms for covid-related bills such as testing equipment. In places, they are also failing to pay migrant workers, which has led to more protests.Some local governments have started to sell assets to try to avoid defaults. A recent loosening of rules on stock exchanges could help localities raise capital from the public through listings. Governments could also start hocking assets in private transactions. It is unclear, though, how far officials are willing to go, or who will buy the assets on offer. A new business district in Tianjin appears to have many of the hallmarks of success, for instance—not least several rows of sparkling new towers and a Porsche dealership across the street. But most of the shops on the ground floor of the project, which is jointly owned by a local-government company and a private firm, are empty. Local officials have started to auction off individual floors. One such sale recently ended without a buyer.The central government is transferring funds to localities on a grander scale than ever before. More than 30trn yuan was made available between 2020 and 2022, according to Messrs Feng and Wright. An lgfv in the city of Zunyi, in the indebted south-western province of Guizhou, recently agreed with local banks to lower interest rates, defer principal payments for ten years and extend the maturity of its debt to 20 years. Such arrangements could become more common in future. Proponents argue that they indicate a genuine willingness on the part of local officials to pay their debts, and are an acknowledgement that it will simply take more time than expected. But ever-growing debt over the past decade suggests that many projects will never become truly profitable, says Jack Yuan of Moody’s, a ratings agency. The troubled lgfv in Zunyi, for instance, has had negative cash flows since 2016, and seems to have little hope of a turnaround. As Rhodium’s analysts ask, if these governments could not make payments when local gdp growth was high, often over 7%, how will they manage in the forthcoming decade, with growth of perhaps 3%? ■ More

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    A rush of homes go under contract in January, but it’s unlikely to last

    A sharp drop in mortgage interest rates brought homebuyers out in force in January.
    Signed contracts on existing homes jumped 8.1% last month compared with December, according to the National Association of Realtors.
    It’s the second straight month of gains, but growth may be short-lived.

    Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

    A sharp drop in mortgage interest rates brought homebuyers out in force in January, but rates have bounced back higher again, so the gains may be short-lived.
    Signed contracts on existing homes jumped 8.1% last month compared with December, according to the National Association of Realtors. That’s the second straight month of gains. Sales, however, were still 24% lower compared with January 2022.

    The so-called “pending sales” are the most current indicator of housing demand, as it can take up to two months to close on a signed sale. Closed sales in January were lower because they were based on contracts signed in November and December, when mortgage rates were higher.
    And January’s jump is all about mortgage rates. After hitting a high of just over 7.3% in October, which caused sales to plummet, the average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage dropped back close to 6% in January, according to Mortgage News Daily.
    “Buyers responded to better affordability from falling mortgage rates in December and January,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.
    But mortgage rates moved higher again in February, and the average rate stood at 6.88% as of Friday. Sales activity is likely already slowing. Mortgage applications to buy a home, which are a weekly indicator of buyer demand, have been falling for much of February.
    The mortgage rate effect was also seen in sales of newly built homes in January, as those numbers from the U.S. Census Bureau are based on signed contracts as well, not closings. Builder sales jumped just over 7% compared with January. Some of that was due to incentives offered by big builders, but lower rates improved affordability, especially for buyers of entry-level homes.

    Going forward, with rates higher and the supply of homes for sale still historically low, sales may not be able to continue this type of growth.
    “Home sales activity looks to be bottoming out in the first quarter of this year, before incremental improvements will occur,” Yun said. “But an annual gain in home sales will not occur until 2024. Meanwhile, home prices will be steady in most parts of the country with a minor change in the national median home price.”

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Best Buy, Seagen, Union Pacific and more

    Customers shop at a Best Buy store on August 24, 2021 in Chicago, Illinois.
    Scott Olson | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines before the bell.
    Union Pacific — Shares rose 9.5% after the company said CEO Lance Fritz would have a successor named this year. Bank of America upgraded the stock to buy from neutral following the news.

    Seagen — Shares soared by 14.9% after The Wall Street Journal reported that Pfizer is in talks to acquire the cancer drugmaker, which has a market value of about $30 billion. 
    Best Buy — The retailer slipped 1.5% in the premarket after being downgraded to market perform from outperform by Telsey Advisory Group. The Wall Street firm said it expects high inflation and rising interest rates to weigh on Best Buy’s 2023 sales and profits.
    Berkshire Hathaway — Shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate could be active in premarket after the company reported Saturday that its operating profits fell during the fourth quarter amid inflationary pressures. Berkshire’s operating earnings totaled $6.7 billion last quarter, down 7.9% from a year ago. The Omaha-based company used $2.855 billion to buy back shares in the quarter.
    Viatris — The health care company fell 1.5% after reporting fourth-quarter results. Adjusted net income for the period came in at $823 million, below a StreetAccount forecast of $850.4 million. Viatris also said former Celgene COO Scott Smith would take over as CEO, effective April 1.
    Alliant Energy — Shares dropped more than 3% after the company reported that it intends to offer $500 million of its convertible senior notes due 2026. Net proceeds from the offering may be used for general purposes such as repayment or refinancing of debt, working capital and investments and repurchases, Alliant said.

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    China Renaissance says its missing founder Bao Fan is cooperating with a government probe

    Chinese investment bank China Renaissance said earlier this month it was unable to reach its founder and controlling shareholder Bao Fan.
    The company said Sunday it’s learned that Bao is cooperating with a government investigation.
    Business operations remain normal, the firm said.

    China Renaissance said this month it was unable to contact its founder and CEO Bao Fan. This picture is from 2016.
    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    BEIJING — Missing Chinese investment banker Bao Fan is cooperating with a government investigation, his firm China Renaissance said in a filing Sunday.
    The company’s Hong Kong-listed shares have plunged 29% since the firm said on Feb. 16 it was unable to reach Bao. He is China Renaissance’s controlling shareholder, chief executive officer and founder, among other roles.

    “The Board has become aware that Mr. Bao is currently cooperating in an investigation being carried out by certain authorities in the People’s Republic of China,” China Renaissance said in a filing with the Hong Kong stock exchange Sunday.
    In both filings this month, China Renaissance said its business continued to operate normally.
    Its shares hit a record low of 5 Hong Kong dollars (64 cents) on Feb. 17 but have since recovered slightly.

    Stock chart icon

    China Renaissance shares 12-month performance.

    Earlier this month, Chinese financial news outlet Caixin pointed out that Bao’s disappearance followed the investigation of another China Renaissance executive, Cong Lin.
    Cong was also the chairman of the firm’s subsidiary Huajing Securities.

    The China Securities Regulatory Commission Shanghai bureau said in September that Huajing violated securities law requirements regarding corporate governance, and asked Cong to comply with an investigation.
    China Renaissance’s filings about Bao did not mention that probe, and a representative did not share additional information when contacted.

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