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    Jim Cramer’s Investing Club meeting Thursday: Meta, Eli Lilly, Estee Lauder

    Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a “Morning Meeting” livestream at 10:20 a.m. ET. Here’s a recap of Thursday’s key moments. Don’t sell Meta Look past Eli Lilly’s tough quarter Chance to buy Estee Lauder 1. Don’t sell Meta Shares of Meta Platforms (META) soared more than 25% Thursday morning, to $192.50 apiece, after the tech giant reported a fourth-quarter earnings beat Wednesday evening and announced a $40 billion stock buyback plan. The quarter was exactly what we had been waiting for, as the company demonstrated it’s serious about controlling costs. CEO Mark Zuckerberg on Wednesday called 2023 “the year of efficiency,” while lowering Meta’s 2023 expenses outlook by $5 billion. We’re holding onto our shares of Meta and expect the stock to move even higher, if Zuckerberg follows through on his promise to rein in spending. 2. Look past Eli Lilly’s tough quarter Eli Lilly (LLY) stock was down nearly 6% Thursday morning, at roughly $322 a share, after the company missed on sales estimates for diabetes drug Mounjaro when reporting fourth-quarter results. But that was driven by shortages due to high demand, and the company plans to ramp up manufacturing capacity this year. Moreover, Mounjaro hasn’t yet been greenlighted for obesity treatment , which should turbo charge the stock. Eli Lilly remains a strong multi-year story, and we advise investors to look past the current decline. 3. Chance to buy Estee Lauder Estee Lauder (EL) on Thursday said it expects a larger drop in full-year profit than it had initially anticipated amid uncertainty around China’s ongoing economic reopening. The cosmetics firm relies on China for more than a third of its total revenue and had been weighed down by Beijing’s strict zero-Covid policy over the past three years. But we expect Covid-related headwinds to clear up by the end of the next quarter, allowing the stock to soar. Shares were down roughly 3.6% Thursday, at $270.80 apiece. We would be buyers here rather than profit-takers. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long EL, LLY, META. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED. More

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    Charlie Munger says the U.S. should follow in China’s footsteps and ban cryptocurrencies

    Charlie Munger at the Berkshire Hathaway press conference, April 30, 2022.

    Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger urged the U.S. government to ban cryptocurrencies like China, saying a lack of regulation enabled wretched excess and a gambling mentality.
    “A cryptocurrency is not a currency, not a commodity, and not a security,” the 99-year-old Munger said in an op-ed published in The Wall Street Journal on Wednesday evening.

    “Instead, it’s a gambling contract with a nearly 100% edge for the house, entered into in a country where gambling contracts are traditionally regulated only by states that compete in laxity,” Munger said. “Obviously the U.S. should now enact a new federal law that prevents this from happening.”
    Munger, along with his business partner, Warren Buffett, have been longtime cryptocurrency skeptics, contending they are not tangible or productive assets. Munger’s latest comments came as the crypto industry was plagued with problems from failed projects to a liquidity crunch, exacerbated by the fall of FTX, once one of the world’s largest exchanges.
    The cryptocurrency market lost more than $2 trillion in value last year. The price of bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, plunged 65% in 2022 and it has rebounded about 40% to trade around $23,824, according to Coin Metrics.
    The renowned investor said in recent years privately owned companies have issued thousands of new cryptocurrencies, and they have become publicly traded without any governmental preapproval of disclosures. Some have been sold to a promoter for almost nothing, after which the public buys in at much higher prices without fully understanding the “pre-dilution in favor of the promoter,” Munger said.
    He listed two “interesting precedents” that may guide the U.S. into sound action. First, China has strictly prohibited services offering trading, order matching, token issuance and derivatives for virtual currencies. Second, from the early 1700s, the English Parliament banned all public trading in new common stocks and kept this ban in place for about 100 years, Munger said.

    “What should the U.S. do after a ban of cryptocurrencies is in place? Well, one more action might make sense: Thank the Chinese communist leader for his splendid example of uncommon sense,” Munger said.
    (Read the full piece in the WSJ here.)

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    Venture capital for Black entrepreneurs plummeted 45% in 2022, data shows

    Black entrepreneurs have historically faced disparities in securing VC funding and typically receive less than 2% of overall dollars each year.
    In the aftermath of the George Floyd racial justice reckoning, firms pledged to make diversity a top priority, and Black founders saw historic year-over-year gains in securing VC funding.
    By the end of 2022, adverse market conditions led to a 36% drop in overall VC dollars, but Black entrepreneurs saw a 45% decrease in financing.

    Bea Dixon, the CEO and co-founder of The Honey Pot Company
    Courtesy: Honey Pot Company

    In 2016, Beatrice Dixon had finally secured a deal with Target to carry her line of feminine care products. But she had one problem: She was still making them in the kitchen of her Atlanta home, and she needed to scale up — fast. 
    The CEO and co-founder of The Honey Pot Company, a vaginal-wellness brand, was faced with the “impossible” task of launching in 1,100 stores and needed funding to bring on manufacturers so she could deliver on the retailer’s orders. 

    She managed to secure that crucial round of financing from a fund devoted to supporting women entrepreneurs of color and was able to quit her job, move operations out of her kitchen and launch in Target stores nationwide by 2017. 
    Some six years later, Dixon’s products are a staple in retailers across the country. 
    “It was really hard, man, we weren’t having any luck,” Dixon told CNBC in a recent interview about the struggles she faced securing investors. “I don’t know what would have happened if we didn’t get that money.”
    Dixon is one of many Black entrepreneurs who struggled to secure funding for their businesses and relied on venture capital financing earmarked for diverse founders. While Dixon and many others have ultimately succeeded, Black-led businesses and Black founders have historically faced disparities in securing VC funding. 
    Overall, Black entrepreneurs typically receive less than 2% of all VC dollars each year while companies led by Black women receive less than 1%, according to data from Crunchbase. 

    In the wake of the police murder of George Floyd and the racial justice reckoning that followed, Black founders and Black-led startups saw historic gains in securing VC funding in 2021. However, as momentum around the movement fizzled and market conditions worsened, a lot of those gains were lost by the end of 2022. 
    While overall VC funding dropped by 36% in 2022 as inflation and interest rates surged, financing for Black businesses saw a steeper drop of 45%, according to the Crunchbase data. That drop is the largest year-over-year decrease Black entrepreneurs have seen over the past decade. 
    “There were a lot of political and cultural strife problems in 2020 and early 2021 that created a higher focus on Black and diverse founders,” said Kyle Stanford, a senior analyst at Pitchbook. “No one wants that to be the reason why they focus on investing in any group, but that did put a lot of focus on the problems that VC has had investing in anyone outside of a straight white male.”
    Marlon Nichols, the co-founder and managing general partner of MaC Venture Capital, said diverse businesses tend to take the brunt of VC slowdowns because firms typically resort to the status quo in times of economic uncertainty. 
    “We’ve always invested in white men and that’s what we’re going to do right now. That’s where we’re comfortable. That’s where we know and believe that we’re going to get the return,” is how Nichols, who is Black, described the decisions made by some firms. “This diversity thing is cool, we’ll pick it back up maybe, you know, once we’ve weathered this storm.”

    So-called ‘risky bets’

    In 2014, Dixon was working at Whole Foods and suffering from an ongoing case of bacterial vaginosis that she wasn’t able to shake. Then, she said, her late grandmother came to her with a solution — in a dream.  
    “She just told me that she had been walking with me and seeing me struggle and she knew how to fix it, and she basically hands me a piece of paper that has a list of ingredients on it and she tells me to memorize what’s on the paper,” Dixon said, recalling the dream of her grandmother. “I made it within a couple of days, and, basically, this formula actually healed me.”
    The mixture, which included ingredients such as lavender, apple cider vinegar, grapefruit seed extract and rose, worked for family and friends, too, Dixon said. Using a $21,000 loan from her brother, she began selling the product and displaying it at trade shows and expositions.

    Honey Pot Company products
    Courtesy: Honey Pot Company

    Using her connections at Whole Foods, she got the product on the shelves of the store but wasn’t able to seriously scale up and attract outside investors until she secured the deal with Target. 
    “It was hard. Us being Black-owned business founders, was it harder? Sure, it probably was,” said Dixon. “I think every time we raised money, we had trouble doing it, you know, but I think that the important context to put there is that anybody that raises money, it’s not going to be easy.” 
    While he doesn’t invest exclusively in diverse businesses, Nichols said he’s more likely than some venture capitalists because MaC Venture Capital is led by a diverse team unlike other firms that are typically run by white men.
    “The investors are primarily white and male and usually come from affluent communities, which means that they have very specific experiences and have been exposed to very specific things and are comfortable with very specific things,” said Nichols, whose latest firm opened in 2019. 
    To many firms, investing in founders from diverse backgrounds is considered a riskier bet because the entrepreneurs differ from the norm they’ve become accustomed to, said Ladi Greenstreet, the CEO of Diversity VC, which works to tackle systemic bias within venture capital.
    In the aftermath of Floyd’s murder in May 2020, many major banks, corporations and investment firms pledged to change that — and make diversity a top priority moving forward. 
    However, the steep funding drop-off Black founders saw in 2022 indicates some of those promises may have been short-lived charity plays rather than investments that firms actually believed would bring in strong returns.
    “When you take venture capital financing, the expectation is that, you know, you have a partner now, if you perform, your partner is going to continue to back you, they’re going to help you to raise that next round of funding, right?” said Nichols. 
    For white-led teams, there’s no expectation that recipients have to be “extraordinary” in their first two years of operations in order to get follow-on funding, but the bar is far higher for Black entrepreneurs, said Nichols, whose firm manages about $450 million in assets.
    “For most of these Black founders, that’s exactly like the expectation, you’ve got to be extraordinarily exceptional in order to get additional capital,” he said. “And if you’re truly treating this like all investments that you make then that shouldn’t be the case.” 

    ‘Huge blue ocean’

    Pocket Sun is the co-founder and managing partner of SoGal Ventures, a VC firm devoted to supporting women and diverse entrepreneurs. Since the firm opened in 2016, it has seeded multiple unicorns, or startups that grew to have valuations over $1 billion. The businesses include Function of Beauty and Everly Health.
    “From a financial investment perspective, this remains a huge blue ocean for people to dive in,” said Sun. 
    “Venture capital is a very privileged and exclusive industry, and has always been that way. And it has such disproportionate decision-making power on the future of technology, the future of innovation, the future of quality of life in many ways,” said Sun.
    While investing in diverse teams can often be seen as a moral imperative and something that’s done because it’s the right thing to do, studies have shown it can lead to higher returns for investors, said John Roussel, the executive director of Colorwave. 

    Honey Pot Company products
    Courtesy: Honey Pot Company

    “And somehow, we’re still stuck in this situation where we’re trying to convince people of that,” said Roussel, whose organization connects early stage founders to mentors and capital. “It really takes, you know, strong players taking a lead and showing people that there is opportunity here and there is generally the same success rates regardless of someone’s skin color.” 
    Dixon, the founder of The Honey Pot, pointed to her own success as an example. “Clearly, it’s safe to bet on Black businesses,” she said.
    Products from the company are now in 4.6 million homes, nearly double the number from two years ago. They are also sold nationally in retailers such as Walmart, CVS, Walgreens and more. The Honey Pot didn’t share its current valuation or how much it makes in annual sales. 
    Dixon called on investors to put their biases aside and see companies for their basics: balance sheets, innovation strategies and business goals, not the skin color of its teams.
    “My skin color shouldn’t be a part of the conversation, period,” she said. “And yet, it still is, right?”

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    Ferrari’s profits jump 13% in 2022, supercar maker expects an even better year in 2023

    Ferrari on Thursday reported full-year profits up 13% year over year.
    It guided to an even stronger year in 2023, boosted by its high-priced sports cars like the Daytona SP3 and the upcoming Purosangue SUV.
    Ferrari shipped 13,221 vehicles in 2022, notching a new record, though its profit margin slipped slightly in the fourth quarter.

    Ferrari CEO Benedetto Vigna poses for a photograph as Ferrari unveils a new long term strategy, in Maranello, Italy, June 15, 2022.
    Flavio Lo Scalzo | Reuters

    Ferrari on Thursday reported full-year profits up 13% year over year and guided to an even stronger year in 2023 on what its CEO called “persistently high demand” for the company’s high-priced sports cars.
    Here are the key numbers from the fourth-quarter earnings report:

    Earnings per share: 1.21 euros, versus 1.16 euros in the fourth quarter of 2021.
    Revenue: 1.368 billion euros, versus 1.172 billion euros in the year-ago quarter.

    For the full year, Ferrari earned 939 million euros, or 5.09 euros per share, on revenue of 5.095 billion euros. Both were above expectations: Wall Street analysts polled by Refinitiv had expected full-year earnings per share of 4.94 euros on revenue of 4.977 billion euros.
    The results also beat Ferrari’s own guidance. Ferrari had raised its 2022 guidance in August and again in November, most recently telling investors to expect revenue of about 5 billion euros and adjusted earnings per share of about 5 euros for the full year.
    Despite the strong results, Ferrari’s fourth-quarter operating margin slipped to 21.8% from 22.6% in the year-ago period. That year-ago profit margin was boosted by the first of Ferrari’s seven-figure Icona models, the Monza SP1 and SP2; shipments of the Monza’s successor, the Daytona SP3, didn’t begin until the very end of 2022.

    Ferrari Purosangue
    Source: Ferrari

    Still, Ferrari shipped 13,221 vehicles in 2022, up nearly 19% from 2021, notching a new record.
    Ferrari expects more records in 2023: Its guidance calls for revenue of about 5.7 billion euros in 2023, with adjusted earnings per share between 6 euros and 6.20 euros. It also sees a boost in operating margin, to about 26%, powered by the Daytona and the upcoming Purosangue SUV.

    “Despite a complex global macroscenario, we look ahead with great confidence,” CEO Benedetto Vigna said in a statement.
    U.S.-listed shares of Ferrari were up more than 2% in premarket trading Thursday.

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    Why Amazon Marketplace didn’t survive in China

    China’s e-commerce market was valued at $2 trillion in 2022, according to GlobalData, and the country also has a rapidly growing middle class, making it an attractive market for American companies.
    Amazon entered the China market in 2004 through a $75 million acquisition of Joyo.com, an online book and media seller. The joint venture rebranded to Amazon China at the domain Amazon.cn in 2011.

    E-commerce giants Alibaba Group and JD.com, which both own and operate some of the largest and most trusted business-to-consumer e-commerce sites in the country, proved to be formidable competitors who were able to overpower Amazon in China. Among other reasons, both companies’ shopping, payment and delivery systems proved to be more attuned to the tastes of Chinese consumers.
    In its earlier years, Amazon pushed its e-reader and tablet product offerings, but China’s complex regulatory approval process delayed their debut, which also hampered growth the U.S. e-commerce giant.
    Between 2011 and 2012, Amazon’s market share hovered at approximately 15%, but it later plunged to less than 1% by 2019, according to iResearch. Amazon officially closed its China online marketplace in July 2019.

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    Bank of England hikes rates by 50 basis points, now sees ‘much shallower’ recession than feared

    The Bank of England on Thursday lifted interest rates by 50 basis points.
    “Annual CPI inflation is expected to fall to around 4% towards the end of this year, alongside a much shallower projected decline in output than in the November Report forecast,” the Bank said.

    A passageway near the Bank of England (BOE) in the City of London, U.K., on Thursday, March 18, 2021.
    Hollie Adams | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    LONDON — The Bank of England on Thursday hiked interest rates by 50 basis points and dialed back some of its previous bleak economic forecasts.
    The Monetary Policy Committee voted 7-2 in favor of a second consecutive half-point rate hike, taking the main Bank rate to 4%, but indicated in its decision statement that smaller hikes and an eventual end to the hiking cycle may be in the cards in coming meetings. The two dissenting members voted to leave rates unchanged at this meeting.

    Crucially, the Bank also dropped the word “forcefully” from its rhetoric around continuing to raise rates as necessary to rein in inflation. It sees a forthcoming easing in the annual Consumer Price Index:
    “Annual CPI inflation is expected to fall to around 4% towards the end of this year, alongside a much shallower projected decline in output than in the November Report forecast,” the Bank said.
    “In the latest modal forecast, conditioned on a market-implied path for Bank Rate that rises to around 4½% in mid-2023 and falls back to just over 3¼% in three years’ time, an increasing degree of economic slack, alongside falling external pressures, leads CPI inflation to decline to below the 2% target in the medium term.”
    However, the MPC noted that the labor market remains tight and domestic price and wage pressures have been stickier than expected, suggesting risks of “greater persistence in underlying inflation.”
    U.K. inflation came in at 10.7% in December, down slightly from the previous month’s 41-year high of 11.1% as easing fuel prices helped to ease price pressures. However, high food and energy prices continue to squeeze U.K. households and drive widespread industrial action across the country.

    Improved economic outlook
    The Bank on Thursday revised its economic outlook to forecast a shorter and shallower recession than previously set out in the November projections.
    The economy is now expected to contract slightly throughout 2023 and the first quarter of 2024 as energy prices remain high and rising market interest rates restrict spending. Four-quarter GDP is expected to have fallen by 0.3% up to the first quarter of 2023, and is projected to contract by 0.7% by the first quarter of 2024, compared to the 2% forecast in November.
    The Bank previously forecast that the U.K. economy was entering its longest recession on record, but GDP unexpectedly grew by 0.1% in November after also exceeding expectations in October, suggesting that the impending recession may not be as long or as deep as previously feared.
    However, the International Monetary Fund on Monday downgraded its projection for U.K. GDP growth in 2023 to -0.6%, making it the world’s worst performing major economy, behind even Russia.

    Rates nearing a peak
    Sterling fell 0.7% against the dollar, and gilt yields tumbled, as the central bank signaled that rates were nearing a peak, while leaving the door open for further tightening if needed.
    “With the labour market softening and inflation beyond its peak, there doesn’t seem to be a good reason to tighten rate policy further, and don’t forget that quantitative tightening is still happening in the background,” said Boris Glass, senior economist at S&P Global Ratings.
    “The BoE went from virtually zero to 4% in quick succession. These much higher rates have yet to show their full effect on the economy and, specifically, inflation.”
    Glass also flagged the potential impact on the housing market, with British mortgage holders now facing the “double squeeze” of high inflation and much higher mortgage costs. S&P Global believes the Bank will now pause to monitor the knock-on effects that its tightening to date has had on inflation and on the wider economy.

    “Wage inflation has been stubbornly high, albeit well behind inflation, but it’s what makes higher inflation stick around in the future, and that’s a main concern for the BoE, so it will be closely watching the labour market and pay growth in the next few months,” Glass added.
    Hussain Mehdi, macro and investment strategist at HSBC Global Asset Management, also suggested that the main Bank rate is now “near its peak,” with the growth outlook “still soggy” despite the upward forecast revisions.
    “The big question is now the speed in which the MPC can reverse course on rates. A downside risk for markets and the economy is a long period of restrictive policy to deal with persistent underlying inflation,” Mehdi said.
    “We retain a cautious view on U.K. and European stocks in the face of downside risks to GDP and corporate earnings growth relative to consensus expectations, and believe the recent rally to be unsustainable.”

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Meta, Align Technology, FedEx, Honeywell and more

    Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer of Facebook Inc., speaks during the virtual Facebook Connect event, where the company announced its rebranding as Meta, in New York, on Thursday, Oct. 28, 2021.
    Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines in early morning trading.
    Meta — Shares of the Facebook parent surged 19% in early morning trading after the company posted better-than-expected revenue and announced a $40 billion stock buyback when it reported its quarterly results Wednesday evening. Bank of America upgraded Meta Thursday, saying the company’s new efficiency mentality positions stock for more than 40% upside. The spike in shares helped pull other mega cap tech companies Amazon and Alphabet up by 4% each.

    Align Technology — The orthodontics company saw its shares rise 14% after its quarterly earnings and revenue beat analyst expectations. Align also said it will repurchase up to $1 billion of its common stock over the next three years.
    FedEx — The shipping giant rose more than 3% after both Citi and Bank of America upgraded the stock. Citi said it sees “increasing signs of cost control following its missteps in 2022.” On Wednesday, the company announced it will lay off 10% of its officers and directors amid cooling demand.
    Merck — Shares of the pharmaceutical giant dipped more than 1% despite Merck beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for the previous quarter. The company reported $1.62 in adjusted earnings per share on $13.83 billion in revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv had penciled in $1.54 per share on $13.67 billion of revenue. Merck did project sales and adjusted earnings to decline in 2023.
    Honeywell — Shares of the industrial company fell more than 5% in premarket trading after Honeywell’s revenue for the fourth quarter came in short of expectations. The company generated $9.19 billion of revenue, while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv were looking for $9.25 billion. The safety and productivity solutions segment saw sales decline 5% year over year. Honeywell’s adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.52, 1 cent above estimates.
    Tesla — The EV maker saw a 1.8% boost in its shares following a Reuters report that the company will raise output at its Shanghai factory to almost 20,000 vehicles per week for February and March. This would be in response to higher demand after the company cut prices.

    e.l.f. Beauty — Shares for the cosmetics company jumped 1.67% after its fiscal third quarter revenue topped analysts’ estimates. The company announced adjusted earnings of 48 cents per share on revenue of $146.5 million. Refinitiv analysts had previously called for per-share earnings of 23 cents on revenue of $121.8 million. The beauty brand also raised its full-year outlook.
    C.H. Robinson — The freight company dipped 1.7% after its earnings and revenue fell short of expectations, according to analysts polled by Refinitiv. C.H. Robinson earned $1.03 per share on revenue of $5.07 billion. Analysts expected earnings of $1.38 per share on revenue of $5.68 billion.
    Qorvo — The semiconductor company tumbled approximately 3% following its disappointing earnings report. Qorvo reported a fiscal third quarter loss of $15.9 million and earnings of 16 cents per share. Analysts polled by StreetAccount had anticipated per-share earnings of 62 cents on revenue of $725.9 million.
    Corteva — Shares of the agricultural chemical company dipped 1.8% following a mixed earnings report. Corteva topped operating earnings expectations for the most recent quarter, according to StreetAccount, but fell short of revenue estimates. Guidance for operating earnings and revenue was weaker than expected.
    — CNBC’s Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim and Alex Harring contributed reporting

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    Sandwich chain Subway’s sales climb as turnaround takes hold ahead of potential sale

    Subway’s same-store sales rose 9.2% in 2022, a sign that its turnaround is taking hold.
    The trend reverses years of sales declines for the once-ubiquitous sandwich chain.
    The privately owned company has reportedly hired advisors to explore a potential sale and is revamping restaurants.

    An employee halves a Subway sandwich at a Subway restaurant on January 12, 2023 in Austin, Texas.
    Brandon Bell | Getty Images

    Subway said its same-store sales climbed 9.2% in 2022, signaling the sandwich chain’s turnaround is taking hold as it reportedly explores a sale.
    The company is not required to disclose its financial results because it’s privately owned. However, Subway has recently shared periodic sales updates as it has undertaken a turnaround. Those announcements could entice potential buyers to step forward.

    The Wall Street Journal reported in January that Subway hired advisors to explore a sale that could value the chain at more than $10 billion. In a statement to CNBC, Subway said it doesn’t comment on ownership structure and business plans because it’s a privately held company.
    CEO John Chidsey said in a statement Thursday that the chain has set two years of record sales and is “getting its swagger back.” Subway has seen eight consecutive quarters of sales growth, and digital sales have more than tripled since 2019, the company said in a release. Its North American locations’ same-store sales jumped 7.8% in 2022, breaking decade-old average weekly sales records, according to Subway.
    The trend reverses years of sales declines for the once-ubiquitous sandwich chain, which was at one time the largest U.S. restaurant company by number of locations. Its U.S. footprint fell to 21,147 outlets in 2021, down 22% from its peak of 27,103 in 2015, according to franchise disclosure documents.

    Submarining sales

    Even before the death of co-founder Fred DeLuca and the high-profile trial of former spokesman Jared Fogle, both in 2015, Subway struggled to keep up with new fast-casual competitors like Chipotle and cannibalized its own sales by opening too many locations. As sales slid, ugly fights with franchisees played out in courts and splashed across headlines.
    Chidsey took the reins in late 2019, becoming the first permanent leader of Subway who wasn’t related to a founder. In the summer of 2021, the chain announced it was overhauling its menu, upgrading its ingredients and boosting ad spending to lure back customers.

    Its attempted comeback coincides with a tough environment for the broader restaurant industry. After the lifting of pandemic lockdowns, eateries have had to cope with a shortage of willing workers, supply chain snarls and climbing ingredient costs. Many have raised prices in response.
    Subway didn’t disclose Thursday how much price hikes have contributed to its recent sales growth but told CNBC that its price increases are “in line with” those by other fast-food chains.
    Looking ahead to 2023, Subway plans to improve franchisee profitability and remodel 3,600 North American locations. Outside of its home market, the company has commitments from master franchisees to open 5,300 new locations.
    The company will also soon be half-owned by a charity — on Tuesday, Subway co-founder Peter Buck’s foundation announced that he left his 50% ownership of the sandwich chain to the organization. Buck died in November 2021.
    It’s unclear whether that will have an impact on a potential sale.

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