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    401(k) savers will see a 'wake-up call' in their next statement, says law professor. Here's what to look for

    401(k) statements provide individuals with information about investments and total savings, among other things.
    They will soon include “lifetime income illustrations,” which estimate the monthly retirement income generated by a lump sum of money.
    The data may be a rude awakening. But it helps reframe how people think about 401(k) savings. Younger savers likely have ample time to make up a shortfall.

    I think it’s very helpful for helping people start to think about outcome, and not emphasize the big pile of money.

    Philip Chao
    principal and chief investment officer at Experiential Wealth

    Blackcat | E+ | Getty Images

    The big-picture view of a lump sum may tell investors little about how their total savings will or won’t adequately fund their retirement lifestyle. A $125,000 nest egg may sound like an ample amount to some savers, but may seem less so if they realize it translates into roughly $500 or $600 a month, for example.
    “For the bulk of Americans, it’ll be a wake-up call,” Richard Kaplan, a law professor at the University of Illinois, said of the new disclosures.

    But there’s good news: Many people, especially those with decades to retirement, have ample time to fix any shortfalls.

    Lifetime income estimates provide a rough guide

    Fatcamera | E+ | Getty Images

    Many 401(k) savers will see the disclosures for the first time on their next quarterly statements, due to U.S. Department of Labor requirements. Those statements, issued by plan administrators, will arrive in the days and weeks after June 30.
    The new policy is a result of federal legislation — the Secure Act — passed in 2019.

    Workers should use the estimates as a rough guide instead of gospel or as a guarantee, Kaplan said.
    In technical terms, they show how much approximate income you’d get per month for the rest of your life if you were to buy an annuity with your 401(k) savings at age 67.

    For the bulk of Americans, it’ll be a wake-up call.

    Richard Kaplan
    law professor at the University of Illinois

    There will be two estimates on your statement: One is for a “single life” annuity, which pays income to an individual buyer for life. The other is for a “qualified joint and survivor” annuity, which pays income for an individual and a surviving spouse for life.
    The estimates are based on your current 401(k) balance. They don’t, for example, project how a 35-year-old’s savings will grow and how that future nest egg would translate into monthly income. As a result, their income may seem paltry at first glance.
    The illustrations also don’t account for Social Security or any retirement savings outside of that 401(k) plan — which means the estimate is likely to be at least a slight underrepresentation. They also assume your full balance is fully “vested,” which may not be the case, especially for newer hires.
    The estimates are likely to be most actionable for savers with many years to retirement instead of those near retirement age, since the former have more time to course-correct, Kaplan said.
    “Most of this is directed at younger people, with this being a midstream correction,” Kaplan said.

    Use estimates to rewire your thinking

    Getty Images

    Perhaps the most useful aspect of the new policy is how it helps people rewire their thinking around retirement savings, according to Philip Chao, principal and chief investment officer at Experiential Wealth, based in Cabin John, Maryland.
    The typical person saves money with each paycheck without thinking of a future income goal. Savers should instead ask themselves how much of their prior salary they want to replace in retirement, Chao said.
    Someone who earned $100,000 a year before tax may decide $70,000 or $80,000 a year in retirement would be adequate to fund their lifestyle.
    Any 401(k) savings, pension income and Social Security payments would then aim to replace that monthly or annual income amount, Chao said. That income will generally satisfy two buckets: essential expenses (such as housing and food) or discretionary expenses (such as vacation). Financial planners generally recommend that individuals fund those necessities with guaranteed income sources such as Social Security, pensions or annuities, if possible.
    “I think it’s very helpful for helping people start to think about outcome, and not emphasize the big pile of money,” Chao said of the new illustrations. “It’s really about how much money do I need to provide me a sustainable lifetime income. What is that number?”
    Without going through this rough budgeting exercise, Americans may be saving too much or too little without knowing it.
    “We should save enough for what we need, not go hog wild,” Chao said. “But what is enough? If you don’t know what is enough, how do you know you’ve saved enough?”

    Unlike the new Labor Department requirements, many plan administrators offer online resources that help 401(k) investors gauge how their current account balances will fund their future income needs, by factoring in some assumptions about investment earnings and current contribution rates.
    Other organizations, including AARP and the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, also offer free online retirement-income calculators.
    After getting a rude awakening from the new 401(k) income illustrations, savers can use an online calculator to get a better understanding of their situation and alter their contributions as needed, Chao said.
    For example, investors might be saving 3% of their paychecks while their employer offers a dollar-for-dollar 401(k) match on up to 4% — which means the worker is effectively leaving free money on the table, he said.

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    Stock futures rise after the S&P 500 closes in an official bear market

    U.S. stock futures rose on Monday night after the S&P 500 dropped back into bear market territory ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting this week.
    Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by 67 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.3% and about 0.5%, respectively.

    Those moves came after intense selling of stocks during the regular session on Wall Street. The S&P 500 slumped 3.9% to its lowest level since March 2021, and falling more than 21% from its January record.
    Meanwhile, the Dow tumbled more than 876 points, or 2.8%, which is roughly 17% off its record high. The Nasdaq Composite dropped nearly 4.7%, or more than 33% off its November record.
    Investors are bracing themselves for the possibility of a larger-than-expected interest rate hike this week after CNBC’s Steve Liesman confirmed on Monday that the Federal Reserve will “likely” consider a 75-basis-point increase, which is greater than the 50-basis-point hike many traders had come to expect. The Wall Street Journal reported the story first.
    Some investors are also expecting a more hawkish tone from the central bank after last week’s inflation reports showed prices running hotter-than-expected.

    Stock picks and investing trends from CNBC Pro:

    “I think they are going to do 75 basis points,” Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, said during CNBC’s “Closing Bell” on Monday.

    “I think that Powell on Wednesday when he does his press conference will indicate that there’ll be another one coming at the July meeting and maybe another one at the September meeting. I think it’s time for him… to show that he really is concerned about inflation,” he continued.
    Elsewhere, shares of Oracle jumped nearly 9% in extended trading after the software company reported an earnings beat boosted by a “major increase in demand” in its infrastructure cloud business.
    Wall Street is also expecting the latest reading on the May producer price index on Tuesday before the bell at 8:30 a.m.

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    Jim Cramer says to avoid buying shares of Jack Daniel’s distiller for this reason

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday warned investors against investing in Brown-Forman, the owner of whisky brand Jack Daniel’s.
    “This is a very tough market. It has incredibly high standards. Brown-Forman stock would normally be a no-brainer in a normal slowdown, but it’s impossible for me to recommend here,” he said.

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday warned investors against investing in Brown-Forman, the owner of whisky brand Jack Daniel’s.
    His comments come on the heels of the announcement that the company is partnering with Coca-Cola to produce canned Jack-and-Coke cocktails.

    “This is a very tough market. It has incredibly high standards. Brown-Forman stock would normally be a no-brainer in a normal slowdown, but it’s impossible for me to recommend here,” he said.
    The reason that he can’t recommend the stock of the company is that it’s just too expensive, according to the “Mad Money” host.
    “There are all kinds of high quality companies with incredibly cheap stocks here. Nobody wants to stick their neck out for something pricey, even if the underlying story is a good one,” he said.
    The market had an especially tough day on Monday, with the S&P 500 falling to its lowest level since March of last year and closing in bear market territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also recorded declines.
    Despite the news of the two companies’ collaboration, shares of Brown-Forman fell 3.42%.

    Cramer gave investors his blessing to buy shares of Coca-Cola, though he noted that the stock is “just doing okay.”
    “This is a textbook recession stock — people will keep drinking their beverages regardless of what happens to the economy,” he said.
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    Disclaimer

    Questions for Cramer?Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBC
    Want to take a deep dive into Cramer’s world? Hit him up!Mad Money Twitter – Jim Cramer Twitter – Facebook – Instagram
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    Cramer says investors can buy stock of this software company as a speculative pick

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday said that investors have his permission to buy shares of software company Mitek Systems as a speculative play.
    “Mitek’s genuinely cheap on an earnings basis, which is why it’s … one I’m willing to bless for speculation in what is otherwise an extremely hostile environment,” the “Mad Money” host said.

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday said that investors have his permission to buy shares of software company Mitek Systems as a speculative play.
    “Mitek’s genuinely cheap on an earnings basis, which is why it’s … one I’m willing to bless for speculation in what is otherwise an extremely hostile environment,” the “Mad Money” host said.

    “I think these guys have made a ton of smart decisions and the business is good,” he said about the firm, which offers digital identity verification and mobile check deposit services.
    To illustrate his point about the financial technology industry, Cramer noted that other companies in the space such as Affirm and Block have been crushed by the market, well below their highs.
    He also mentioned that Mitek is involved in a lawsuit seeking a legal decision that its technology does not infringe on the United Services Automobile Association’s mobile banking patents. The tiff regarding the latter’s patents has been going on for several years, according to Reuters.
    Yet Cramer said that the company has had strong performances in its recent quarters and has made acquisitions in the last couple of years that separate it from other fumbling pandemic winners. 
    Shares of Mitek are down 52% year-to-date and hit a new 52-week low on Monday.

    “Just leave room to buy more into weakness, because we have no idea when it will stop going down, just like we have no idea about the rest of the market, though,” Cramer said. ‘It’s not worse or better.”
    Sign up now for the CNBC Investing Club to follow Jim Cramer’s every move in the market.
    Disclaimer

    Questions for Cramer?Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBC
    Want to take a deep dive into Cramer’s world? Hit him up!Mad Money Twitter – Jim Cramer Twitter – Facebook – Instagram
    Questions, comments, suggestions for the “Mad Money” website? [email protected]

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    Cramer's lightning round: Matterport is not a buy

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    It’s that time again! “Mad Money” host Jim Cramer rings the lightning round bell, which means he’s giving his answers to callers’ stock questions at rapid speed.

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    Matterport Inc: “The stock loses money, and we’re not recommending any stocks … that are losing money.”

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    Veru Inc: “We caught a big move. How about we just leave it at that.”

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    Cintas Corp: “I think [the Biden Administration] wants to be pro-business but doesn’t know how. So I can not be behind Cintas at 31 times earnings.”

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    HanesBrands Inc: “It sells at five times earnings, it’s got a 5% yield, I’ve got to do work on this. That seems too strange to me.”

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    ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd: “I just think that ZIM, [which] looks to be a beneficiary of a lot of more commerce, is getting less commerce. So, therefore I don’t want to recommend the stock.”

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    BorgWarner Inc: “It isn’t as cheap as it looks, and so therefore I’m going to have to say buy Ford. That would be a better buy.”
    Disclosure: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Ford.

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    1980s-era rate hikes designed to fight inflation will create more market turmoil, Canaccord's Tony Dwyer predicts

    Monday – Friday, 5:00 – 6:00 PM ET

    Fast Money Podcast
    Full Episodes

    Stocks may go into a deeper tailspin.
    Canaccord Genuity’s Tony Dwyer predicts 1980s-era interest rate hikes will exacerbate the turmoil and make a recession seem increasingly more likely.

    “Typically, I’ve been bullish over the years. But there’s a money availability problem,” the firm’s chief market strategist told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Monday. “Ultimately, you have to have money to buy stuff, to do stuff and to invest in stuff. And, the avenues for money availability have largely closed down since the beginning of the year.”
    In a note out this week, Dwyer warns the Federal Reserve is “under significant pressure” to cut inflation by clamping down on demand. He contends the economy is on the cusp of rate spikes reminiscent of Paul Volcker’s tenure as Fed chair.
    “Debt-to-GDP in the Volcker era was at a generational low,” said Dwyer. “So, debt to GDP wasn’t anywhere near the issue it is today. We’re at generational high at 138% debt to-GDP. So, if you’re going to take a levered economy and shut it down, that’s not good.”
    On Monday, the S&P 500 lost 4% and closed in bear market territory. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 5% and the Dow dropped 876 points, its first time ever closing own 600-plus points three days in a row.

    Arrows pointing outwards

    The pain on Wall Street coincided with a jump in the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield. The move comes a day ahead of the Fed’s policy meeting on interest rates.

    “We’ve taken limited money availability, bloated inventories because of the supply chain constraints, cratered CEO and consumer confidence into a lower demand environment in a levered system,” said Dwyer.” “Upside in the market, upside in the economy or upside in anything has to come with more money.”
    According to Dwyer, the market won’t reach “the” bottom until the central bank abandons its tightening policies.
    “The Fed has to signal a turn,” he said.
    Disclaimer

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    Stick to ‘really boring’ stocks to ride out the cratering market, Jim Cramer says

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday said investors should be in stable, boring stocks to keep their portfolios strong as concerns over inflation roil the market.
    “If you took your cue from me and bought common stocks of companies that make real things and do real things that return capital and trade at a reasonable valuation, you’re relatively fine,” the “Mad Money” host said.

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday said investors should be in stable, boring stocks to keep their portfolios strong as concerns over inflation roil the market.
    “If you took your cue from me and bought common stocks of companies that make real things and do real things that return capital and trade at a reasonable valuation, you’re relatively fine,” the “Mad Money” host said.

    “The problem is those stocks that go down less … they’re really boring,” he added.
    Cramer’s comments come after a horrible day in the market, which was dragged down by recession fears ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The S&P 500 fell to its lowest level since March of last year and closed in bear market territory. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also fell, worsening this year’s sell-offs.
    “Even though it goes against every instinct, when the market craters like this, you should be thinking not what to sell, but what to buy,” Cramer said.
    He reminded investors that this is a market in which investors need to focus on not losing money. Unfortunately, the most investable stocks to fulfill this goal are the boring ones, Cramer said.
    “I’m willing to make an exception for a couple of growth stocks that get beaten down to ridiculously cheap levels on a price-to-earnings basis … but there aren’t that many of those,” he cautioned, adding that the Dow has many recession stocks while the Nasdaq has very few.

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    Jack-and-Coke in a can: Coca-Cola and Brown-Forman team up for new drink

    Coca-Cola is teaming up with Jack Daniel’s distiller Brown-Forman to make canned Jack-and-Coke cocktails.
    It marks the fourth new alcoholic drink in Coke’s portfolio in less than two years.
    The canned cocktail will launch in Mexico later this year before expanding to other markets.

    Brown-Forman and The Coca-Cola Company announce plans to debut Jack Daniel’s® Tennessee Whiskey and Coca-Cola®™ Ready-to-Drink Cocktail
    Courtesy: Coca-Cola Company

    Coca-Cola is teaming up with Jack Daniel’s distiller Brown-Forman to make a Jack-and-Coke cocktail in a can.
    It marks the fourth new alcoholic drink in Coke’s portfolio in less than two years, but the first pairing for its namesake soda. The Atlanta-based beverage giant has already partnered with Molson Coors Beverage on Topo Chico Hard Seltzer and Simply Spiked Lemonade, which launched this month, and Constellation Brands on Fresca Mixed Cocktails.

    As soda consumption declines, Coke isn’t the only beverage maker pushing its soft drink brands into alcohol through partnerships. Rival PepsiCo launched Hard Mtn Dew earlier this year through a partnership with Sam Adams brewer Boston Beer.

    Brewers also benefit from the partnerships with Coke and Pepsi by diversifying their portfolios away from beer, while spirits companies can use well-known brands to market more canned cocktails. Brown-Forman has already been selling canned cocktails for more than three decades, including a Jack-and-Coke drink made with generic cola. But the category has gotten a boost in recent years as alcohol consumers look for convenient options.
    Ready-to-drink beverages have been the fastest-growing alcohol segment since 2018, stealing market share from beer, according to IWSR Drinks Market Analysis. Hard seltzers are the largest part of the category, but spirits-based canned cocktails have been gaining ground.
    The Jack Daniel’s and Coca-Cola canned cocktail will launch in Mexico later this year before expanding to other markets.
    A zero-sugar version of the canned cocktail will also be available. Coke CEO James Quincey predicted in early 2021 that Zero Sugar Coke would be the biggest source of growth for the company over the next few years.

    Packaging for the new drink will show both the logos for both Coke and Jack Daniel, as well as symbols showing it’s only for people of legal drinking age. As soda brands push into the alcohol category, the National Beer Wholesalers Association and other industry players have expressed concerns about underage drinking.
    As Coke broadens its alcohol portfolio, the company said that it developed a policy around marketing and selling its alcoholic drinks responsibly. The approach includes only targeting consumers above the legal purchasing age in its advertising and refraining from implying that consumers receive any health benefits from those products.

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