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    Medicare, Medicaid agency cuts jobs from minority health office, other divisions, as RFK Jr. guts U.S. health department

    The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services has slashed jobs from its minority health office and other divisions, CNBC has learned, as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. upends the U.S. health department. 
    During an all-hands meeting with employees, CMS acting Administrator Stephanie Carlton detailed some of the specific offices impacted by cuts under Kennedy’s plan to restructure the Department of Health and Human Services.
    An office responsible for managing the agency’s grants and contracts was affected by job cuts, as was a unit that serves people dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, among others.

    An aerial of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services building on March 19, 2025 in Woodlawn, Maryland. 
    Kayla Bartkowski | Getty Images

    The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services has slashed jobs from its minority health office and other divisions, CNBC has learned, as Robert F. Kennedy Jr. upends the U.S. health department. 
    During a virtual all-hands meeting with employees on Friday, CMS acting Administrator Stephanie Carlton detailed some of the specific offices at the agency impacted by cuts under Kennedy’s broader plan to restructure the Department of Health and Human Services, or HHS.

    CNBC viewed a transcript of the internal meeting, which was the first at CMS since HHS employees began to receive notifications Tuesday about whether they had lost their jobs as part of the cuts.
    Kennedy’s plan involves slashing 10,000 jobs at HHS, including just 300 at CMS but far greater numbers at other agencies. CMS oversees health insurance programs for 160 million Americans, along with other vital healthcare functions — and the Trump administration has tried to downplay the effects its cuts to government spending will have on the popular Medicare program.
    But Kennedy said Thursday that some personnel and programs at different federal agencies affected by his sweeping reductions will be reinstated “because we’ll make mistakes.”
    Carlton on Friday did not indicate whether any CMS employees will get reinstated, but said “we do think that painful part of [the cuts] that affects people we care about is finished.” 
    “I don’t want to make promises that nothing will ever happen, but these are definitely the ones I’m aware of,” she told workers, referring to the cuts at the agency. She said the layoffs were not easy, but emphasized that CMS leadership had to balance the agency’s mission with achieving efficiency across HHS. 

    She added that Dr. Mehmet Oz’s paperwork should be completed later on Friday, a day after he was confirmed by the Senate to run CMS. Oz, a celebrity TV host and former U.S. Senate candidate, would like to hold another all-hands call on Monday, Carlton said. Once called “America’s Doctor,” Oz is now more known for dubious promotion of supplements and hormones unsupported by scientific evidence.
    The job cuts across HHS are in addition to about 10,000 employees who opted to leave the department since President Donald Trump took office, through voluntary separation offers. Combined, they will lead to the federal health department shedding about a quarter of its workforce, shrinking it to 62,000 employees.
    Kennedy’s restructuring comes as the U.S. grapples with one of the worst measles outbreaks in more than two decades, and as bird flu spreads in wild birds worldwide and is causing outbreaks in poultry and U.S. dairy cows, with several recent human cases. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration is suspending efforts to improve its bird flu testing of milk, cheese and pet food due to massive staff cuts at the agency, Reuters reported on Thursday.
    CMS did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    The programs cut at CMS

    She said the office of minority health was affected by the cuts. The segment works with local and federal partners to eliminate health disparities and improve health outcomes for people from all minority populations, according to the CMS website. It conducts research and analyses to develop new solutions for lowering costs, preventing diseases and reducing the incidence and severity of chronic diseases in the U.S. 
    The office was authorized by the Affordable Care Act more than a decade ago, so shuttering it entirely may be against the law. It appears to be among the victims of the Trump administration’s ideological campaign against diversity, equity and inclusion, or DEI, initiatives.
    CMS understands that it needs to continue fulfilling the responsibilities of that office under statutory law, Carlton noted. She said CMS will appoint a new office of minority health director.
    But she did not explicitly say whether the current director of the office, Dr. Martin Mendoza, had stepped down or was impacted by the cuts.
    But “probably the biggest group that was affected” was the Office of Program Operations & Local Engagement, Carlton said. That office is responsible for implementing and overseeing Medicare and Medicaid programs and engaging with stakeholders at the local level. Carlton said the cuts there tried to target areas where there were several divisions with a “similar mission.”
    An office responsible for managing the agency’s grants and contracts was impacted, and so was the Medicare-Medicaid Coordination Office, Carlton added. The latter serves people dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid, developing models to improve the coordination of care for them.
    Some of that work will be picked up by others in CMS or from outside the agency, Carlton said. 
    She noted that CMS will retain in-house teams that handle communication, human resources and information technology. The agency’s IT team was not affected at all “because of the sensitivity of many of our data sets,” Carlton said. More

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    Powell sees tariffs raising inflation and says Fed will wait before further rate moves

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that he expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs to raise inflation and lower growth.
    Powell added the Fed faces a “highly uncertain outlook” because of the new reciprocal levies the president announced Wednesday, keeping the Fed on hold for interest rate moves.
    “We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy,” he said.

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that he expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs to raise inflation and lower growth, and indicated that the central bank won’t move on interest rates until it gets a clearer picture on the ultimate impacts.
    In a speech delivered before business journalists in Arlington, Virginia, Powell said the Fed faces a “highly uncertain outlook” because of the new reciprocal levies the president announced Wednesday.

    Though he said the economy currently looks strong, he stressed the threat that tariffs pose and indicated that the Fed will be focused on keeping inflation in check.
    “Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,” Powell said in prepared remarks. “We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.”
    The remarks came shortly after Trump called on Powell to “stop playing politics” and cut interest rates because inflation is down.
    “I make it a practice not to respond to any elected officials comments, so I don’t want to be seen to be doing that. It’s just not appropriate for me,” Powell said at the onset of a question-and-answer session following his speech.
    There’s been a torrent of selling on Wall Street following the Trump announcement of 10% across-the-board tariffs, along with a menu of reciprocal charges that are much higher for many key trading partners.

    Powell noted that the announced tariffs were “significantly larger than expected.”
    “The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth,” he said. “The size and duration of these effects remain uncertain.”

    Focused on inflation

    While Powell was circumspect about how the Fed will react to the changes, markets are pricing in an aggressive set of interest rate cuts starting in June, with a rising likelihood that the central bank will slice at least a full percentage point off its key borrowing rate by the end of the year, according to CME Group data.
    However, the Fed is charged with keeping inflation anchored with full employment.
    Powell stressed that meeting the inflation side of its mandate will require keeping inflation expectations in check, something that might not be easy to do with Trump lobbing tariffs at U.S. trading partners, some of whom already have announced retaliatory measures.

    Jerome Powell, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, during the Society For Advancing Business Editing And Writing (SABEW) annual conference in Arlington, Virginia, US, on Friday, April 4, 2025. 
    Tierney L. Cross | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    A greater focus on inflation also would be likely to deter the Fed from easing policy until it assesses what longer-term impact tariffs will have on prices. Typically, policymakers view tariffs as just a temporary rise in prices and not a fundamental inflation driver, but the broad nature of Trump’s move could change that perspective.
    “While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,” Powell said. “Avoiding that outcome would depend on keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored, on the size of the effects, and on how long it takes for them to pass through fully to prices.”
    Core inflation ran at a 2.8% annual rate in February, part of a general moderating pattern that is nonetheless still well above the Fed’s 2% target.
    In spite of the elevated anxiety over tariffs, Powell said the economy for now “is still in a good place,” with a solid labor market. However, he mentioned recent consumer surveys showing rising concerns about inflation and dimming expectations for future growth, pointing out that longer-term inflation expectations are still in line with the Fed’s objectives.
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    Buffett denies social media rumors after Trump shares wild claim that investor backs president crashing market

    Warren Buffett went on the record Friday to deny social media posts after President Donald Trump shared on Truth Social a fan video that claimed the president is tanking the stock market on purpose with the endorsement of the legendary investor.
    Trump on Friday shared an outlandish social media video that defends his recent policy decisions by arguing he is deliberately taking down the market as a strategic play to force lower interest and mortgage rates.

    “Trump is crashing the stock market by 20% this month, but he’s doing it on purpose,” alleged the video, which Trump posted on his Truth Social account.
    The video’s narrator then falsely states, “And this is why Warren Buffett just said, ‘Trump is making the best economic moves he’s seen in over 50 years.'”

    Arrows pointing outwards

    Truth Social

    The president shared a link to an X post from the account @AmericaPapaBear, a self-described “Trumper to the end.” The X post itself appears to be a repost of a weeks-old TikTok video from user @wnnsa11. The video has been shared more than 2,000 times on Truth Social and nearly 10,000 times on X.
    Buffett, 94, didn’t single out any specific posts, but his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway outright rejected all comments claimed to be made by him.
    “There are reports currently circulating on social media (including Twitter, Facebook and Tik Tok) regarding comments allegedly made by Warren E. Buffett. All such reports are false,” the company said in a statement Friday.

    CNBC’s Becky Quick spoke to Buffett Friday about this statement and he said he wanted to knock down misinformation in an age where false rumors can be blasted around instantaneously. Buffett told Quick that he won’t make any commentary related to the markets, the economy or tariffs between now and Berkshire’s annual meeting on May 3.
    ‘A tax on goods’
    While Buffett hasn’t spoken about this week’s imposition of sweeping tariffs from the Trump administration, his view on such things has pretty much always been negative. Just in March, the Berkshire CEO and chairman called tariffs “an act of war, to some degree.”
    “Over time, they are a tax on goods. I mean, the tooth fairy doesn’t pay ’em!” Buffett said in the news interview with a laugh. “And then what? You always have to ask that question in economics. You always say, ‘And then what?'”
    During Trump’s first term, Buffett opined at length in 2018 and 2019 about the trade conflicts that erupted, warning that the Republican’s aggressive moves could cause negative consequences globally.
    “If we actually have a trade war, it will be bad for the whole world … everything intersects in the world,” Buffett said in a CNBC interview in 2019. “A world that adjusts to something very close to free trade … more people will live better than in a world with significant tariffs and shifting tariffs over time.”
    Buffett has been in a defensive mode over the past year as he rapidly dumped stocks and raised a record amount of cash exceeding $300 billion. His conglomerate has a big U.S. focus and has large businesses in insurance, railroads, manufacturing, energy and retail. More

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    China’s retaliation against Trump’s tariffs is an act of self-harm

    NEVER INTERRUPT your enemy when he is making a mistake. That sounds like Sun Tzu, a renowned Chinese strategist, but the adage, attributable to Napoleon Bonaparte, originated on the other side of the world. Perhaps that explains why China’s leader, Xi Jinping, seems oblivious to the advice. More

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    How worrying is the weakening dollar?

    A few months ago everyone on Wall Street was discussing the “Trump trade”. The consensus was that Donald Trump’s presidency would boost the outperformance of American stocks, raise Treasury yields and strengthen the dollar. So far this year, all three bets are deep in the red. American stock prices have plunged, while those listed elsewhere have held up far better. Treasury yields have fallen, with investors worried about faltering growth. Both trends accelerated after Mr Trump, on April 2nd, slapped swingeing new tariffs on virtually all of America’s trading partners. More

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    Traders betting Fed will cut rates at least 4 times this year to bail out economy

    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on April 03, 2025 in New York City. 
    Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

    Traders are now betting the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least four times this year, amid fears President Donald Trump’s tariffs could tip the U.S. into a recession.
    Odds of five quarter-point reductions coming this year jumped to 37.9%, up from 18.3% one day prior, according to data from the CME Group on Friday morning. That would put the federal funds rate at 3.00% to 3.25%, down from 4.25% to 4.50% where it has been since December.

    Markets are also pricing in a roughly 32% chance the federal funds rate will fall to 3.25% to 3.50%, which would mean four quarter-point cuts from the Fed.
    At the same time, the likelihood of a half-percentage point trim coming in June also jumped, to 43.8% from 15.9% previously.
    The implied odds the Federal Reserve will cut aggressively rose after Trump’s tariffs raised fears of a global trade war, and hurt economists’ forecasts for both growth and inflation. Investors are expecting that a slowdown in economic growth could spur the Fed to lower rates in a bid to avoid a recession.
    However, many worry the Fed has a tough road ahead of it, as the central bank would have to cut rates in an environment where inflation has yet to go down to its 2% target. If implemented, the tariffs are expected to drive core inflation north of 3%, possibly even as high as 5% according to some forecasts.
    On Friday, Roger W. Ferguson, economist and former Fed vice chair, told CNBC the central bank may not cut at all this year, saying the Fed has to worry about the inflation part of its mandate.

    — CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.
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    Toy prices could jump 50% following Trump’s tariffs on China, Vietnam

    Toy prices could spike exponentially after President Donald Trump levied massive tariffs against China and Vietnam.
    The two nations are biggest manufacturers of toys imported into the United States.
    These price hikes are expected to coincide with this year’s back-to-school season.

    A customer pushes a shopping cart containing stuffed toys at a Target Corp. store in the Queens borough of New York, U.S, on Thursday, Nov. 28, 2019.
    Bess Adler | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The toy aisle is about to get more expensive.
    President Donald Trump expanded his trade war this week, placing a 10% baseline tariff on almost every country and much steeper levies on dozens of others. Among those hit with higher tariffs were China and Vietnam — two nations that are vital to the domestic toy industry.

    For decades, U.S. toy companies have worked with Chinese manufacturers to bring the hottest action figures, dolls and games to retail shelves. Vietnam became a solid secondary market for companies looking to diversify their factory locations amid growing trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.
    Trump slapped China with an additional 34% duty Wednesday, bringing the total tax on goods from the nation to 54%, and hit Vietnam with a 46% tariff. The levy is far higher than what toy companies expected and could lead to massive price hikes on toys, industry experts said.
    “Everyone is really in scramble mode,” Greg Ahearn, president and CEO of The Toy Association, told CNBC. “This is going to have massive negative repercussions for the consumer and for our industry.”
    Adding to the tensions, China is set to impose a retaliatory 34% levy on all U.S. products, its commerce ministry announced Friday.
    “I think the Vietnam situation will be a little bit easier to negotiate, as far as I think we will see the Vietnamese country and government come to the table quicker than China trying to resolve any trade disputes,” said Curtis McGill, co-founder of Hey Buddy Hey Pal, which makes the Eggmazing Egg Decorator, a crafting tool that spins eggs so kids can use markers to color them. “They’re just not in a place where they can stand losing much of the business.”

    Around 77% of toys imported into the United States come from China, according to data from The Toy Association. Vietnam is third, just behind Mexico. Trump previously placed a 25% tariff on goods from Mexico that aren’t compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
    Hasbro and Mattel, leaders in the toy space, both incorporated a 20% tariff impact from China in their guidance projections for 2025 and had strategies in place to shift production to other countries, like Vietnam, Indonesia and India, all three of which were also hit with tariffs — 46%, 32% and 26%, respectively.
    “As a result, relocating production may not be financially viable,” wrote Eric Handler, analyst at Roth, in a research note to investors published Thursday. “The consumer should soon see price increases to partially offset the tariff impact.”
    Hasbro and Mattel report first-quarter earnings this month, and Handler said investors will likely see guidance cuts from both companies.
    Toy companies have already been slammed on Wall Street in the wake of the tariff announcement. Mattel shares fell more than 16.5% in Thursday trading, Hasbro lost more than 12% and Funko, which also has manufacturing in China and Vietnam, saw its stock plummet 18%. 
    While Handler expects companies to try and lower costs through contract renegotiations with manufacturers and, perhaps, even altering packaging to improve margins, he said there is little doubt that consumers will bear the brunt of Trump’s duties.
    “You could have anywhere from 35% to potentially even a point-for-point price increase on products depending upon what margin those products run at,” The Toy Association’s Ahearn said. “It may actually just be a 50% price increase, given it’s a 54% tariff.”
    Most toy margins are in the high single digits, he noted. So, there is very little wiggle room for companies to absorb these fees.
    “There’s no place for it to go, but to the consumer,” Ahearn said, noting that The Toy Association expects price hikes to coincide with this year’s back-to-school season.
    “The greatest budgetary impact on are the folks, unfortunately, who can afford it the least,” he said. More