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    A new bitcoin-linked exchange-traded fund is many things to many people

    CRYPTO SEASONS are not what they used to be. In 2017, just as bitcoin was nearing $20,000 for the first time, a regulatory crackdown triggered a crypto “winter”—a period of depressed prices—that lasted nearly three years. In May this year frost set in after China clamped down on crypto transactions, bringing bitcoin down by half from its peak of $64,900. But after just a few icy months, things are warming up again. On October 20th bitcoin touched $67,000—a new record.The latest heat reflects a much-awaited event: the listing of America’s first bitcoin-linked exchange-traded fund (ETF) on the New York Stock Exchange. Run by Pro­Shares, a maker of specialist investment products, it got a green light of sorts after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), America’s main markets watchdog, let a deadline to approve or reject it lapse without objection. The listed fund offers investors exposure not to the cryptocurrency itself but to bitcoin futures, and specifically to contracts traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Depending on who you ask, the launch is either a landmark moment, a way for regulators to retain control, or a disappointment.For crypto entrepreneurs and conventional financiers, the launch is a breakthrough. Over the past decade many sought approval for all manner of bitcoin ETFs, only to be denied or fobbed off. But in August Gary Gensler, the SEC’s boss, signalled that he would favour funds that tracked futures, which led to a wave of filings. Three could start trading later this month. Others, including ones run by giant asset managers, could follow.In expectation of all this, existing crypto investors have poured money into derivatives markets (see chart). “Open interest”—the capital tied up in futures contracts—is at an all-time high. The bet is that ETFs will lure retail investors, who are numerous, and institutions, which have big money. The former, long put off by the hassle of opening an account at crypto-exchanges, now only need a brokerage account. The latter, nervous about the custody of digital assets, no longer have to own any in order to sell products to their clients. There was certainly a lot of early enthusiasm: the price of shares in the ETF rose by 4% on their debut.Still, new investors may not come in the droves that bulls expect. For years now individuals have been able to buy bitcoin through mobile wallets, such as PayPal, or online brokers, such as Robinhood. Institutions can gain exposure through vehicles like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, a private fund that allows investors to trade shares in trusts that own bitcoin, which manages $52bn. A growing cast of firms, including Wall Street stalwarts such as BNY Mellon and State Street, are lining up to offer institutional-grade bitcoin custody.Purists, meanwhile, would have preferred an ETF that holds bitcoin directly. A futures-linked fund needs to roll forward futures contracts as existing ones expire, which is costly; so is the requirement to park hefty collateral at the CME. Both will eat into returns. A straight bitcoin ETF, however, is some way off. Permitting futures ETFs allows the SEC to direct investors to regulated exchanges like the CME, which enables the regulator to intervene to prevent wrongdoing. By contrast, bitcoin trades in a variety of venues, many of which are out of the SEC’s reach, and is notoriously volatile. Crypto spring it may be, but the weather can always turn. More

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    Younger investors are treating crypto trading like a 'competition' with their friends, UK regulator says

    Three quarters of investors under 40 are driven by competitiveness when investing in a cryptocurrency or other high-risk product, according to the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority.
    68% of younger traders compared investing in such assets to gambling, the regulator said.
    The FCA previously warned a “new, younger, more diverse group of consumers” was getting involved in higher risk investments.

    Casino chips decorated with bitcoin logos.
    Andrey Rudakov | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    LONDON — The vast majority of traders under 40 are investing in cryptocurrencies and other “high-risk” assets due to a sense of “competition” with friends and family, according to research published by the U.K. financial services watchdog on Wednesday.
    Three quarters of younger investors are driven by competitiveness when placing their money in a cryptocurrency or other high-risk products such as foreign exchange or crowdfunding, a survey from the Financial Conduct Authority found.

    Meanwhile, 68% of respondents compared investing in such assets to gambling, the FCA said. The regulator says findings were the result of surveys with 1,000 respondents aged 18-40 who invested in one or more high-risk investment products.
    More than half (58%) of respondents said they were incentivized to make a high-risk investment after hearing about it on the news or social media, according to the FCA.
    Bitcoin is currently near an all-time high after topping $60,000 last week. The world’s biggest digital currency has been known to be incredibly volatile, dropping from more than $64,000 in April to below $30,000 in July. It’s still more than doubled in price so far this year.
    Despite the description of bitcoin from its proponents as a long-term means of accumulating wealth, the FCA found that only 21% of under 40s in the U.K. said they were considering holding their most recent investment for more than a year.
    “We are seeing more people chasing high returns. But high returns can mean higher risks,” said Sarah Pritchard, executive director of markets at the FCA.

    “We want to give consumers greater confidence to invest and help them to do so safely, understanding the level of risk involved.”
    The regulator says it’s enlisted the help of Olympic BMX gold medalist Charlotte Worthington for a campaign warning about the dangers of investing in high-risk assets.
    It comes after the FCA warned earlier this year that a “new, younger, more diverse group of consumers” was getting involved in higher risk investments, citing the rise of online trading apps as one potential cause.
    Amateur investors piled into the stock market this year, using platforms like Robinhood and Reddit, leading to volatile trading in so-called “meme stocks” like GameStop and AMC.
    On Monday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said Robinhood and other online brokerage firms had gamified investing to encourage activity from users.
    Cryptocurrencies are not regulated in the U.K., meaning people are not protected by consumer protection laws if their funds are lost for any reason — for example in a hack on an exchange.
    At the start of this year, the FCA warned crypto investors should be prepared to lose all their money, echoing a similar warning from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey.
    Last week, BOE Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe likened the growth of the crypto market to the rise of subprime mortgages which contributed to the 2008 global financial crisis.

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    Biden's climate agenda at risk as Democrats negotiate budget bill

    Democratic lawmakers are scrambling to negotiate alternative climate proposals for the president’s massive budget plan, following West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin’s opposition to a core climate change strategy.
    Manchin, a moderate Democrat who can sink the bill on his own in the 50-50 split Senate, has told the White House he’s opposed to a clean electricity plan, a key part of Biden’s climate agenda.
    The plan is critical for Biden’s commitment to cut emissions in half by 2030 and put the U.S. on track to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.

    Senator Joe Manchin, a Democrat from West Virginia, gets into a vehicle following a vote at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Monday, Oct. 4, 2021.
    Stefani Reynolds | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Democratic lawmakers are scrambling to negotiate alternative climate change proposals for President Joe Biden’s massive budget plan, following West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin’s strong opposition to the plan’s core climate change strategy.
    Manchin, a moderate Democrat who can sink the bill in the 50-50 split Senate, said he will not vote for more than $1.5 trillion in spending and told the White House he’s opposed to a clean electricity plan, a key part of the president’s climate agenda.

    The clean electricity program would require some of the country’s electricity to come from zero-carbon sources like wind and solar power and impose financial penalties on utilities that don’t meet clean energy standards. The $150 billion plan is critical for Biden’s commitment to cut emissions in half by 2030 and put the U.S. on track to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.
    The president, in an attempt to salvage what had once been his $3.5 trillion budget plan, is meeting with members of the two warring factions of Democratic lawmakers on Tuesday. The outcome of this week’s negotiations could determine whether the budget bill gets through Congress and whether the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill already passed by the Senate receives a majority in the House.

    U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a conference call on climate change with the Major Economies Forum on Energy and Climate in the South Court Auditorium in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building on September 17, 2021 in Washington, DC.
    Al Drago | Getty Images

    White House staffers are now rewriting the bill without the clean electricity provision, according to a recent New York Times report, and considering other proposals such a tax on carbon and methane emissions. Manchin told reporters on Tuesday that a carbon tax “is not on the board at all right now.” Manchin’s office declined to comment.
    Fighting climate change has been a main component of the president’s “Build Back Better” agenda. Other climate provisions in the budget plan include tax incentives for electric vehicle buyers and renewable energy producers; funding to install EV charging stations across the country; funding to update the country’s electric grid; and spending to drive down emissions from federal buildings and operations.
    Democrats previously vowed they would not take the clean electricity program out of the legislation, arguing it’s by far the most feasible way for the U.S. to rapidly reduce emissions. Democrats aim to pass both plans before the end of the month and have not agreed to a final price tag for the budget, though it could amount to roughly $2 trillion.

    More from CNBC Climate:

    The opposition from Manchin, whose biggest single source of income last year was a coal consulting business he founded, could give Biden a weaker position at the upcoming United Nations climate change summit in Glasgow, Scotland.
    The summit is an opportunity for the U.S., the world’s second-biggest carbon emitter, to prove it’s rejoining global efforts to fight climate change after Former President Donald Trump pulled the country from the Paris climate accord, mocked the science of climate change and dismantled more than 100 environmental regulations.
    The clean electricity provision would be the most significant climate policy ever passed by the U.S. and a chance for Biden to show the rest of the world that the U.S. is a leading force on battling climate change. Before the president’s infrastructure proposal, the last major push to pass climate legislation through the Senate was in 2009, when congressional Democrats failed to pass a carbon-pricing system.
    White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki on Tuesday said the president will push ahead on future bills focusing on provisions omitted from the budget bill. Therefore, Democrats might need to implement the clean electricity program through a future stand-alone bill if its cut from the president’s agenda at the end of the month.  
    “Whatever we cannot tackle now, we will be able to tackle in future bills,” Psaki said during a brief briefing.
    — CNBC’s Jacob Pramuk and Christina Wilkie contributed reporting

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    WNBA Finals viewership was up from last year – here's how many people watched the Chicago Sky's first championship 

    ESPN said the 2021 WNBA Finals between the Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury attracted an average of 548,000 viewers throughout four games.

    Candace Parker #3 of the Chicago Sky celebrates with her teammates after winning Game Four of the 2021 WNBA Finals against the Phoenix Mercury on October 17, 2021 at the Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois.
    Kena Krutsinger | National Basketball Association | Getty Images

    The Women’s National Basketball Association concluded its 25th anniversary season with another positive sign for viewership for its championship series.
    ESPN said the WNBA league attracted 417,000 total viewers for Game 4 of the WNBA Finals on Sunday between the Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury. The Sky won their first WNBA championship after beating the Mercury 80-74. Sky guard Kahleah Copper won the 2021 Finals MVP after averaging 17 points and 5.5 rebounds in the series. Sky forward Candace Parker finished the game with 16 points and team-high 13 rebounds.

    The four-game series averaged 548,000 viewers, according to ESPN. The network said Game 3 was the most-watched, with an average of 524,000 viewers. In comparison, last October’s three-game WNBA Finals series featuring the Seattle Storm and Las Vegas Aces averaged 440,000 viewers. The final game for that series averaged 570,000 viewers. And the 2019 finals featuring the Connecticut Sun and Washington Mystics averaged 386,000 viewers and lasted five games.

    The 2003 championship featuring the Los Angeles Sparks and Detroit Shock remains the league’s most-watch finals. The three-game series averaged 848,000 viewers. And Game 2 of that series averaged 1.2 million viewers on ABC.
    For the 2021 season, the WNBA’s combined viewership averaged 306,000 viewers across Disney networks (ABC, ESPN) and CBS Television Network. The highest-rated game in the WNBA’s 25th anniversary season: an Aug. 15 contest between the Sky and Storm. That game averaged 755,000 viewers on ABC.
    The WNBA noted its viewership is up 51% when compared to the 2020 regular season. The league added it’s also the most-viewed WNBA season since 2008. In that year, the WNBA averaged 413,000 viewers.

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    Goldman adds Walmart to conviction buy list, drops Target. Two traders weigh in

    Goldman Sachs is swapping out one big-box retailer for another.
    The firm on Tuesday added Walmart to its conviction buy list, pointing to improved profitability and increased share of the U.S. grocery market.

    At the same time, analysts removed Target from that list. The firm remains bullish on the stock but expects slower growth from the company next year more in line with its historical norms.
    Goldman made the right call, according to Gina Sanchez, CEO of Chantico Global and chief market strategist at Lido Advisors.
    “Lido Advisors has made a similar trade,” Sanchez told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Tuesday. “We owned Target, now we own Walmart, and one of the reasons is actually similar to the Goldman Sachs explanation.”
    Like Goldman, Sanchez says that Walmart’s investments in the e-commerce space and its strength in grocery are two reasons to be bullish on Walmart. That one-two punch — a beefed-up e-commerce presence and the necessity of brick-and-mortar locations for grocery shopping — is “important to the future of Walmart,” she said.
    Inside Edge Capital Management founder Todd Gordon is more cautious, at least until Walmart’s technical set-up improves. Walmart has underperformed Target and the broader market in 2021.

    “Since August of last year — which is when the two diverged; they were tracking on top of each other —Target is up 64% [and] Walmart’s only up 9%, compared to the S&P benchmark at 30%. So, it’s kind of a tough call to make,” Gordon said during the same interview.

    Arrows pointing outwards

    The fundamental picture looks solid for Walmart, adds Gordon, with investments in e-commerce possibly ready to bear fruit. He says it could make sense for investors to put on a partial position on fundamental strength and add to it once the technicals strengthen.
    “If we get through $155, you might see a breakout of trendline resistance, which is what happened in early 2019,” Gordon said.

    Arrows pointing outwards

    The stock would need to add 7% to reach that level. Walmart closed Tuesday just under $145.
    Disclosure: Lido Advisors holds shares of Walmart.
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    Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Netflix, United Airlines, Interactive Brokers & more

    Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines after the bell: 
    United Airlines — Shares of United added about 2% in after-hours trading following the airline’s better-than-expected financial results as travel rebounded in the third quarter. United posted a loss of $1.02 per share, narrower than the $1.67 loss per share expected, according to Refinitiv. The company’s revenue also came in higher than estimated.

    Netflix — Netflix shares whipsawed in extended trading after the streaming giant beat Wall Street estimates on earnings and subscriber growth. The company reported profit of $3.19 per share versus the Refinitiv consensus of $2.56 per share. Netflix also saw 4.4 million global paid net subscriber additions in the third quarter, solidly beating the StreetAccount estimate of 3.84 million.
    Interactive Brokers — Shares of Interactive Brokers fell about 1% after hours despite an earnings beat. The financial services company reported profit of 78 cents per share versus 76 cents expected, according to Refinitiv.
    Omnicom Group — Omnicom Group shares slipped more than 3% during extended trading following the media company’s third-quarter results. The company earned $1.65 per share compared to the $1.37 analysts surveyed by StreetAccount were expecting. Revenue came in at $3.44 billion, slightly short of the expected $3.46 billion.
    Brinker International — Shares of Brinker International declined 10% after the company issued preliminary financial results for its fiscal first quarter. “The covid surge starting in August exacerbated the industry-wide labor and commodity challenges and impacted our margins and bottom line more than we anticipated,” CEO Wyman Roberts said in a statement. The Chili’s parent now expects adjusted earnings of 34 cents, compared to the 69 cents Wall Street was expecting. Brinker International will post results on November 3.
    —CNBC’s Pippa Stevens contributed to this report.

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    Stock futures are flat after S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite see fifth straight day of gains

    U.S. stock index futures were flat during overnight trading on Tuesday, after the S&P 500 posted its fifth straight winning session as strong earnings numbers lift sentiment.
    Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 19 points. S&P 500 futures were up 0.07%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were flat.

    The Dow advanced nearly 200 points, or 0.56%, on Tuesday for its third positive session in the last four days. Johnson & Johnson had the most positive impact on the 30-stock benchmark, while Procter & Gamble was the largest drag.
    The S&P 500 added 0.74%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.71%. Both saw their fifth straight day of gains, the longest daily winning streak since late August.
    Netflix posted its hotly-anticipated third-quarter earnings report on Tuesday after the market closed, with the streaming giant adding 4.4 million subscribers during the period. Wall Street analysts were expecting 3.84 additions, according to estimates from StreetAccount. The stock initially ticked higher on the results, before giving back those gains and dipping into the red during extended trading.
    United Airlines also posted quarterly results after the bell on Tuesday, with the company beating analyst expectations on the top and bottom line amid an ongoing rebound in travel demand.
    So far investors have largely cheered results from the batch of third-quarter earnings that have hit the market since the banks kicked things off last week. Of the S&P 500 components that have reported thus far, 82% have topped expectations, according to FactSet.

    However, Jeff Buchbinder, equity strategist for LPL Financial, said investors shouldn’t expect the beats that companies posted as they emerged from the depths of the pandemic.
    “We have used most of the superlatives we know to describe corporate America’s stunning performances over the past two earnings seasons,” he said. “We expect solid earnings gains during the upcoming third-quarter earnings season, but upside surprises will be smaller. Unfortunately, we won’t need as many superlatives.”
    More than 70 S&P 500 components report earnings this week. On Wednesday Verizon, Biogen and Canadian Pacific Railway are on deck before the opening bell. IBM, Tesla, CSX and Las Vegas Sands are among the names set to report after the market closes.
    Elsewhere in the market, bitcoin was in focus on Tuesday as the cryptocurrency inched closer to its all-time high. The first bitcoin-linked ETF — the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF — began trading on Tuesday, pushing the cryptocurrency to a session high of $64,350, according to date from Coin Metrics, just shy of its April 14 record of $64,899.
    With stocks’ Tuesday advance, the major averages are approaching their all-time highs. The Dow is 0.49% below its record, while the S&P and Nasdaq Composite sit 0.58% and 1.78% below their highwater marks.

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    Ulta Beauty touts plans to invest in faster delivery, but shares dive on disappointing outlook

    Ulta Beauty is speeding up curbside pickup and adding same-day delivery, as it adapts to a more digitally savvy customer.
    Shares of the company fell Tuesday, after its outlook fell short of investors’ expectations.
    The pandemic has disrupted the high-touch beauty industry and forced retailers, including Ulta Beauty, to come up with new ways to engage customers.

    Florida, Port St Lucie, The Landing at Tradition, outdoor mall, Ulta, beauty cosmetics store.
    Jeff Greenberg | Universal Images Group | Getty Images

    Ulta Beauty said Tuesday that it will roll out same-day delivery in select markets and speed up curbside pickup orders, as the company chases consumers who have gotten used to buying lip gloss without leaving home.
    At a virtual investor day, the specialty beauty retailer shared its financial outlook for the next three years. For fiscal 2022 through 2024, Ulta Beauty said it anticipates that diluted earnings per share will grow in the low double-digits and that capital expenditures will be between 4% and 5% of sales, roughly translating to between $1.1 billion and $1.4 billion.

    Ulta said its net sales growth is expected to outpace the rest of the beauty and personal care industry, with a growth target of 5% to 7% versus 2% to 4% for the rest of the industry. Meanwhile, same-store sales will rise between 3% and 5% annually. Each year, it expects to open 50 stores.
    Shares dove more than 10% on Tuesday on the disappointing forecast. Investors had high expectations for an explosion in demand as shoppers refreshed makeup bags and made plans to go out again. As of Monday’s close, Ulta shares have risen 42% this year.
    Ulta Beauty — and the beauty industry at large — has scrambled to adapt during the pandemic. The global health crisis disrupted the high-touch retail category, which has historically used testers, perfume spritzes and advice from beauty consultants to drive sales. Consumers pulled back on beauty purchases as they wore masks, worked from home and largely skipped social events.
    Ulta, for instance, added curbside pickup to its stores in April 2020, shortly after the pandemic began.
    Sales online and at stores open for at least 14 months fell 17.9% in the fiscal year ended Jan. 30. Transactions also dropped by 24.5% last fiscal year as shoppers made fewer trips to Ulta’s stores and its website.

    Pandemic habits are sticking

    In the most recent quarter, Ulta’s sales rebounded and surpassed pre-pandemic levels. The retailer’s second-quarter same-store sales rose 56.3% compared with the year-ago period. Transactions jumped by 52.5% from the year-ago period. On a two-year basis, comparable sales grew 13.1%.
    With its outlook, Ulta Beauty anticipates skincare sales will remain elevated, makeup sales will return to growth, and hair care product sales will accelerate. It also pointed to growth opportunities, such as launching a new advertising business and attracting more Black and Hispanic customers with an expanded assortment of textured-hair products and more.
    Ulta executives said some pandemic-related habits will be sticky. Consumers have embraced self-care items, such as face masks, deep conditioners and home scents. They have a heightened interest in wellness-related beauty products. And they are more digitally savvy.
    Chief Operating Officer Kecia Steelman said the line between in-person and online shopping has blurred. For instance, she said, a customer may toss items into her virtual cart based on a TikTok video. Days later, she may visit a store and take cues from both the eye-catching display and reviews that she reads on her smartphone while browsing aisles.

    Ulta’s most valuable customers

    Chief Digital Officer Prama Bhatt said those customers are the retailer’s most valuable because they shop more frequently and spend more. A customer who shops in both channels typically spends three times more than a customer who shops only online and makes four times as many purchases per year.
    That finding has inspired Ulta’s efforts. Ahead of the holidays, it will roll out same-day delivery in some markets. Ulta declined to disclose the fee and markets where the service will be available, saying more details are coming soon.
    It is also promising customers that it will have curbside pickup orders ready in two hours or less after they hit the “buy” button.
    Its competitor, LVMH-owned Sephora, launched a same-day delivery option last week in most major cities and suburbs. It is charging a flat fee of $6.95 for the delivery. Items must be ordered before 4 p.m. local time to be delivered same day.
    Ulta’s Bhatt said shoppers increasingly expect fast service and respond well to it.
    “We think that’s going to be an important differentiator as we go forward,” she said.

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