More stories

  • in

    Investors should wait longer before buying the latest Boeing dip, Jim Cramer says

    In this articleBACNBC’s Jim Cramer on Monday advised investors to wait for Boeing shares to pull back more before buying the dip on the airplane maker’s latest regulatory issue.Boeing shares dropped more than 3% to start the week following reports that the Federal Aviation Administration told the company that approval of its 777X jet could take at least another year, calling attention to multiple technical mishaps with the long-range aircraft. But while Monday’s decline was Boeing’s biggest one-day drop since May, Cramer thinks the stock can be bought at lower levels. “It looks like the Federal Aviation Administration is taking a very hard line with Boeing’s new planes,” Cramer said on “Mad Money.” “If you like Boeing, please keep your powder dry. I think you can get a better chance to buy it at lower levels.”With CFO Greg Smith set to retire, Cramer suggested that Boeing could feel the need to issue additional shares in the company, which could hit the stock price.”The company is adamant that there’s no need to worry about the pushed back timeline … but I’ve got to tell you I think this is more about the tenor. The FAA must really despise these guys,” he said. “After all the recent safety issues, can you blame them?The delay adds a new problem to Boeing’s plate as it jockeys to get the popular selling 737 Max approved to fly again in China, Cramer noted.China, a key market, was the first country to ground the jets in 2019 after they were involved in two deadly crashes within five months. The Biden White House is working with Boeing to help gain approval from Chinese regulators six months after Western nations cleared the Max jets to return to the skies.–Reuters contributed to this report.Disclosure: Cramer’s charitable trust owns shares of Boeing.DisclaimerQuestions for Cramer? Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBCWant to take a deep dive into Cramer’s world? Hit him up! Mad Money Twitter – Jim Cramer Twitter – Facebook – InstagramQuestions, comments, suggestions for the “Mad Money” website? [email protected] More

  • in

    This under-the-radar trend may provide investors with relief from runaway inflation fears

    A longtime market bull sees an under-the-radar trend that should calm runaway inflation fears, and it has nothing to do with Federal Reserve policy.According to The Leuthold Group’s Jim Paulsen, private money coming from individuals and companies has been acting as a “very encouraging” market mechanism to help curb inflation.”We make decisions about whether we save or spend. We make decisions on whether we borrow money or not. And, those all affect the rate of growth of the money supply,” the firm’s chief investment strategist told CNBC’s “Trading Nation” on Monday. “While we’re still debating when the Fed may start tapering … the reality is the money supply in this country has been tapering now for the last four months.”Paulsen, who oversees about $1 billion in assets, highlights the trend in a special chart. It shows the relationship between consumer price inflation and money supply since 1990.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwards”The real M2 money supply [total amount of dollars held by the public] peaked at the end of February year-on-year at 26% rate of growth,” Paulsen said. “As of the end of May, it’s down to about 8.5%, and it’s probably lower than that when the June numbers come out.”Paulsen estimates it dropped the rate of growth and real liquidity by about a third.”When you overlay that real money supply chart on top of the inflation rate, it’s not a perfect relationship,” he noted. “But there is certainly a strong relationship where periods of significant declines in the money supply often lead into the future to slower rates of inflation.”What a difference two months makes.On “Trading Nation” in April, Paulsen ranked runaway inflation as his biggest risk to the market and put the probability of runaway inflation at around 40%. ‘Yields are about done going down’Despite his current optimism regarding mitigating inflation risks, Paulsen still expects the benchmark 10-year Treasury Note yield to climb higher. Yields closed at 1.48% on Monday, down more than 11% over the past three months.”Yields are about done going down. We’re going to continue to get really strong growth reports,” he added. “We’ve got another fiscal package coming, and I think that’s going to rejuvenate inflation fears and strong real GDP growth that’s going to push yields back up towards 2% by the end of the year.”His expectation: Higher yields will create headwinds for stocks, particularly for growth names, in the year’s second half.”People worry about monetary tightening, and the market goes through kind of a pausal period, and I think we’re in that right now,” said Paulsen. “Oftentimes during these periods we have corrections, and I think we may get one of those later this year as well.”He predicts the S&P 500 will hit 4,500 before slumping to 4,100 by year-end. On Monday, it closed at 4,290.61 — an all-time high. It’s up 14% so far this year.”[If] the market ends flattish or a little down from where we are now, we’re going to go into 2022 with a stock market, with a trailing P/E multiple, that’s undervalued relative to its history back to 1990,” Paulsen said. “It sets up the next leg of the bull.”Disclaimer More

  • in

    Etsy CEO bets on e-commerce growth in Brazil with $217 million Elo7 deal

    In this articleETSYEtsy, the online crafts marketplace, is banking on Latin America to be a growth catalyst for the e-commerce company with the acquisition of the Brazilian online marketplace Elo7.Etsy shares jumped 7% Monday after it announced the $217 million deal to acquire Elo7, which Etsy CEO Josh Silverman called “the Etsy of Brazil.””This is all about growth potential over the medium and over the long term,” he said in a “Mad Money” interview. “The opportunity for Brazil’s e-commerce sector to grow faster than the U.S., we think, is very meaningful over time.”The e-commerce market in Latin America has a penetration rate of less than 10%. The market could produce about $29 billion of revenue this year and is forecast to grow at a 26% clip annually, according to the market research firm Euromonitor.Similar to Etsy, Elo7 allows merchants to set up an online shop and sell items to buyers. The site, among the largest online marketplaces in Brazil, boasts of having 56,000 sellers and serving nearly 2 million shoppers.”Brazil is one of the biggest economies in the world, but its e-commerce sector is still in just the early days of penetration, so we think e-commerce is really poised for growth in Brazil,” he said. “It’s really well positioned, we think, to capitalize on it, so we think it’s a perfect marriage.”The Elo7 acquisition comes weeks after Etsy announced it would purchase London-based marketplace Depop for more than $1.6 billion to expand its presence in Europe.Depop goes after millennial and Gen Z consumers through social shopping, which leverages technology to replicate parts of the in-person shopping experience.Questions for Cramer? Call Cramer: 1-800-743-CNBCWant to take a deep dive into Cramer’s world? Hit him up! Mad Money Twitter – Jim Cramer Twitter – Facebook – InstagramQuestions, comments, suggestions for the “Mad Money” website? [email protected] More

  • in

    Stock futures are flat after S&P 500 closes at a record

    U.S. stock index futures were little changed during overnight trading on Monday, after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs.Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were flat. S&P 500 futures were also flat, while Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.1%.Stocks rose to new highs during regular trading on Monday amid strength in Big Tech. The S&P 500 advanced 0.23%, registering its third straight record close. The Nasdaq gained nearly 1%, posting its fifth positive session in the last six, and also closed at a new high. The Dow, however, dipped 151 points amid a pullback in Boeing and Chevron, among other names.”Markets are off to a strong start this year,” LPL Financial chief market strategist Ryan Detrick said. “However, most of those gains came early in the year, and many stocks have stagnated over recent months,” he added. Detrick believes investors should stay overweight stocks relative to bonds, but pointed to some concerns in the market, including elevated valuations.Growth stocks continued to outperform on Monday, with the Russell 1000 rising nearly 1% while its value counterpart finished in the red. The value trade was outperforming for much of the year, but recently investors have rotated back into growth-oriented areas of the market. These stocks are up 6% for June, while value’s down more than 1%.”The breakout to new highs in Growth was the catalyst to push the S&P 500 to new highs,” MKM Partners chief market technician JC O’Hara noted. “We see the situation where Growth may continue to outperform Value in the weeks ahead,” he said, based on technical analysis.Shares of Morgan Stanley advanced 3% during extended trading after the company said it will double its quarterly dividend. The bank also announced a $12 billion stock buy back program. The announcement follows last week’s stress tests by the Federal Reserve, which all 23 banks tested passed.Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan also announced dividend increases.With the market entering the final trading days of June and the second quarter, the S&P 500 is on track to register its fifth straight month of gains. The Nasdaq is pacing for its seventh positive month in the last eight. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month, and on track to snap a four-month winning streak.Become a smarter investor with CNBC Pro. Get stock picks, analyst calls, exclusive interviews and access to CNBC TV. Sign up to start a free trial today More

  • in

    EasyJet CEO urges U.K. to further ease European travel restrictions in 'a safe way'

    In this articleEZJ-GBJohan Lundgren, CEO of British airline EasyJet, is urging the U.K. government to further ease restrictions on European travel due to progress on vaccination rates.”We never anticipated it was going to be, you know, a straightforward recovery. We always knew there was going to be bumps along the way,” Lundgren said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street.” “But clearly with the successful rollout for the vaccination, we believe that much of European travel could be opening up in a safe way.”While the U.K.’s high rate of vaccination has significantly weakened the link between recorded infections and people becoming severely sick from the disease, the country is seeing a spike in Covid cases largely attributed to the delta variant, which originated in India. That prompted Prime Minister Boris Johnson to push back England’s next reopening phase to July 19 from the planned June 21.In response to that delay, the U.K.’s travel industry held a “day of action” Wednesday calling on the U.K. government to relax certain restrictions, especially for fully vaccinated people, in time for the summer months. Leading U.K. travel association ABTA estimates that 195,000 travel jobs have been lost or are at risk due to the pandemic.”This is not about approaching this from zero-Covid perspective. This is about managing a risk, not zero risk,” Lundgren told CNBC. The day of action, he added, was an effort to urge the government to be transparent with decision-making on what constitutes “safe travel,” and what, for example, are the number of infections per 100,000 people deemed “to be okay to live with.”There are no restrictions on traveling abroad from England, but the U.K. government says residents “should not travel” to places classified as red or amber in its three-color classification system. France, Germany and the U.S., for example, are considered amber for now.Various restrictions are in place for travelers entering England, with the strictness of testing and quarantine requirements depending on which countries or territories the person has been in 10 days prior to arrival. Citizenship and residency also play a role, as travelers from places on the red list are currently barred except for British and Irish nationals and permanent residents.Britain has already indicated it plans to ease quarantine rules later this summer for fully vaccinated people who are arriving from “amber” countries, a move Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said was rendered possible by the progress of Covid vaccinations.EasyJet, a low-cost European airline operating in more than 150 airports across 35 countries, is one of many airlines facing a bleak financial outlook amid the pandemic. While EasyJet’s shares are up since November, sparked by an upbeat vaccine outlook, they still remain below where they traded before the pandemic began to unsettle financial markets.”We’re frustrated about this because it’s not justified when you look at it from a medical data, scientific approach. They are opening up the U.K. economy domestically with a different lens than they’re looking at it from an international travel point of view,” the CEO said.Given that its experience with the alpha and delta Covid variants occurred at an earlier stage than in many other countries, the U.K. is being watched for any indications on what could happen in the U.S. The U.S., like the U.K., is seeking to ramp up vaccinations for younger people.The U.K.’s Department of Health and Social Care did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment regarding Lundgren’s remarks. More

  • in

    Airport restaurants, TSA offer $1,000 bonuses in hiring scramble as travelers face long lines

    A Starbucks location that was closed midday at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.Leslie Josephs | CNBCA worker shortage at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport became so severe last month that one of its top executives sent a message to shops and restaurants: Don’t steal each other’s employees.”As you know, we are experiencing one of the greatest hiring challenges in the history of DFW Airport,” Ken Buchanan, executive vice president of revenue management and customer experience, wrote to concessionaires in a May 27 letter reviewed by CNBC. “As we prepare for a busy summer, please continue to practice DFW Airport’s high standards of hiring operations and refrain from soliciting employees from other DFW operations.””Poaching,” he added, to be clear.After more than a year of coronavirus pandemic lockdowns, travelers busting out of their homes for vacation have been met with long security lines, hourslong hold times with airlines and fewer options at the airport for everything from coffee to fried chicken sandwiches because of understaffing.$1,000 hiring bonusesThe Transportation Security Administration is offering $1,000 hiring bonuses as part of its push to add 6,000 screeners by the end of September. So far it has hired about 4,000, a TSA spokeswoman said. Airports serving Austin, Texas; Myrtle Beach, South Carolina; and Charlotte, North Carolina, have told travelers to arrive as much as three hours early in recent weeks because of long security lines.Some airlines, which received $54 billion in federal payroll aid to keep them from laying off workers, are now racing to hire people to staff reservation phone lines and other parts of the business. Carriers urged employees to take temporary leaves or buyouts during the pandemic to cut costs. American recently trimmed its schedule by 1% for the first half of July, citing a staffing shortage.U.S. leisure and hospitality jobs increased by 292,000 last month, accounting for more than half of May’s employment gains, according to the Labor Department’s monthly report. Almost two-thirds of the sectors’ employment gains came from food service and drinking establishments.The national trend that has challenged managers trying to fill these types of jobs is even more acute at many airports.Potential workers who are willing to undergo a federal security check, which can take more than two weeks, and trek out to the airport to flip burgers or sell magazines are coming at a premium — if they can be found at all.Sudden recovery”Airports, even in normal times, have tremendous difficulty getting people to want to come to the airport to work,” said Earl Heffintrayer, senior airport analyst at Moody’s Investors Service.Some concessionaires have said child-care needs or enhanced unemployment benefits might have deterred some potential workers from taking jobs.The strong recovery after spending a year of grappling with a plunge in demand has created a scramble for workers.Employers “cut a lot [of jobs last year] and all of a sudden they want to hire a lot. A lot of employers are trying to hire at the same time,” said Ioana Marinescu, an assistant professor of public policy at the University of Pennsylvania who has studied the impact of stimulus checks during the pandemic. “The pool of workers is roughly constant, while the number of employers trying to hire is going up and up and up.”She said unemployment benefits make candidates more discerning about job opportunities.Federal aidThe travel industry’s recovery has accelerated since Covid-19 vaccines rolled out broadly this spring. TSA airport screenings have rebounded to about 80% of 2019 levels.Twenty billion dollars in federal aid for U.S. airports across three national coronavirus relief packages since March 2020 are softening the blow of worker shortages, Moody’s Heffintrayer said. That includes $8 billion in airport grants the Federal Aviation Administration announced last week — $800 million of which was set aside for rent relief for airport retailers and food and beverage operators.Airports Council International estimates U.S. airports’ lost revenue will total $40 billion through March 2022 because of the pandemic.”There’s definitely money being left on the table,” Heffintrayer said.Terminal food and beverage concessions and retail stores contributed about 7% of U.S. commercial airports’ nearly $25 billion in 2019 pre-pandemic operating revenue.In early June, 187 of 227 active concessions have reopened at the Dallas airport, said DFW spokesman Bill Begley, including 83% of food and beverage locations, 82% of retail and 81% of services. Bonuses and higher wagesGilbert Aranza, CEO of Star Concessions, which operates or jointly runs more than 50 food, beverage and retail businesses at DFW and Dallas Love Field, said he wants the airport to add rules against employee poaching in leases. He said the idea was inspired by the NFL’s anti-tampering rules, which prohibit rival teams from courting a player who is under contract with another club.Star Concessions is operating several eateries and concessions at a new string of four gates at DFW but said it has been unable to staff sufficiently. One senior manager said he was bringing food from the kitchen to customers. A cook at one of his other restaurants, who declined to give her name, said she was approached by a manager at another eatery asking if she would join for $1 an hour more, or $16. Aranza’s restaurant matched the proposed increase.In late May, Star Concessions held a job fair at a nearby airport hotel, staffed by four of its employees. Nine candidates showed up. The company is offering $400 referral bonuses to current employees and $200 bonuses to staff who work 35 hours or more a week, said Mollie Standridge, Star Concessions vice president.Companies will often turn to bonuses over wage increases. Once “you raise wages it’s harder to bring them back down,” said Marinescu. But some employers are raising wages to attract workers.Star Concessions has raised hourly wages for nontipped employees in its concessions to $14 to $17 an hour from $12 to $14, Standridge said.Cooks in high demandOTG Management, which operates airport terminal restaurants in Newark, New Jersey, Houston and other major hubs, is offering $750 signing bonuses, said CEO Rick Blatstein. Cooks are in the greatest demand and get $1,000 signing bonuses, while new managers get $3,000 bonuses.The company, which like other concessionaires laid workers off early in the pandemic, was still short about 1,000 employees earlier this month. It’s not stopping locations from opening but OTG is forced to limit menu items, Blatstein said.A job fair for airport concession workers near DFW International.Leslie Josephs | CNBCStar Concessions contracted 75 people, who were badged by the airport; 34 showed up on their first day, said Standridge.She said every morning she prays that enough employees show up to open their stores.”I call it the staffing prayer,” she said.A shortfall of workers can mean longer waits for food, time passengers often don’t have.Customers generally take “15 minutes from butt-in-seat to butt up” in airport bars and up to about 22 minutes in restaurants, she said. Travelers aren’t coming to the airport “to eat at Maggiano’s,” referring to the Italian American restaurant chain, Standridge said.The problem isn’t limited to DFW.’Treading water'”We’re treading water,” said Les Gunderson, chief operating officer and more than two-decade employee of the Montana Gift Corral, which operates 11 gift shops and four restaurants in Bozeman, Montana, and Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport, selling everything from paintings to thermos holders to bear claw-shaped salad servers.Gunderson said the company started sending out flyers to nearby towns, advertising $2,000 bonuses for workers. It’s short employees after many college students left town during the pandemic.”We’re hiring more high school students than we ever did,” she said.Gunderson said she has struggled to get to 160 employees but needs to be at 200. Before the coronavirus, she said she had 165.Bozeman has been a tourist hotspot during the pandemic as travelers flocked to outdoor destinations where physical distancing has been possible.A concession stand at Dallas-Fort Worth International AirportLeslie Josephs | CNBCThe airport had 130,942 revenue passengers last month, up almost 18% from May 2019. Bozeman airport spokesman Brian Sprenger said airport officials expect this month’s passenger totals to be up 35% to 40% from two years ago.In Orlando, Florida, Yovannie Rodriguez, chief administrative officer of the Greater Orlando Aviation Authority, said the airport is holding job fairs to ensure concessions are open as tourists return to the popular destination after theme parks reopened.”We would like there to be a peak time we would like to make sure passengers have something available,” she said. “They’re here to enjoy themselves, and the expectation of the passengers, we want to meet that.” More

  • in

    Fed Vice Chair Quarles casts significant doubt on establishing a digital dollar

    Randal QuarlesHailey Lee | CNBCWith the Federal Reserve set to release a much-anticipated report this summer on the potential creation of a digital dollar, the central bank’s vice chair for supervision said Monday that he has significant doubts about the idea.Fed Governor Randal Quarles expressed skepticism about most arguments made in favor of a central bank digital currency.”The potential benefits of a Federal Reserve CBDC are unclear,” Quarles said in prepared remarks to the Utah Bankers Association. “Conversely, a Federal Reserve CBDC could pose significant and concrete risks.”Among the downsides he cited are the challenges if the public could bypass traditional banks and go straight to the Fed for digital money. Along the same lines, he said the benefits that consumers get through bank competition might be diminished if the Fed stepped further into the space.Also, he worried about the potential for cyberattacks on a system whose security would be difficult to design.Proponents of a Fed-issued digital dollar say it could speed up payments systems, particularly internationally. They also cite the benefits for the unbanked or underbanked who don’t have access to the existing digital payments system.Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin also expressed doubt about the digital dollar. “We already have a digital currency in this country, it’s called the dollar,” Barkin said in Atlanta. “So if you’re gonna enhance the digital currency, you have to decide for what reason … I still haven’t heard a good story about what we’re trying to accomplish.””Essentially, a Fed digital currency would act the same as the digital dollars that are exchanged every day, except instead of being guaranteed by banks they would be backed by the Fed. Those who don’t have bank accounts could use the Fed system to transfer money back and forth. Advocates say, for example, that getting stimulus checks out to people during crises like the Covid-19 pandemic would be made easier through a central bank digital currency system.But Quarles said the system could be difficult and expensive to design, likely would require an act of Congress and would be redundant for the systems already in place.”First, the U.S. dollar payment system is very good, and it is getting better. Second, the potential benefits of a Federal Reserve CBDC are unclear. Third, developing a CBDC could, I believe, pose considerable risks,” he said. “So, our work is cut out for us as we proceed to rigorously evaluate the case for developing a Federal Reserve CBDC.”His remarks come with the Fed set to release a research paper this summer to explore the issue further. Some other Fed officials, such as Governor Lael Brainard, have expressed support for the CBDC.In announcing the study, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in May that the “focus is on ensuring a safe and efficient payment system that provides broad benefits to American households and businesses while also embracing innovation.”CBDC advocates worry that the Fed could lose its place in the global financial system if it doesn’t keep up in the space, with the hegemony of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency ultimately coming under threat.But Quarles said that it “seems unlikely” that any real threat to the American currency could emerge thanks to its relatively stable value, continued importance in global financial markets, and the depth and systemic importance of Treasurys and the greenback.”None of these are likely to be threatened by a foreign currency, and certainly not because that foreign currency is a CBDC,” he said.Quarles also said he sees little threat from cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, which have been likened to gold in terms of safe havens against instability and inflation.”Gold will always glitter, but novelty, by definition, fades,” he said. “Bitcoin and its ilk will, accordingly, almost certainly remain a risky and speculative investment rather than a revolutionary means of payment, and they are therefore highly unlikely to affect the role of the U.S. dollar or require a response with a CBDC.”Quarles said he sees the process involved with the Fed research as “genuinely open” and “without a foregone conclusion,” though in his view the “bar to establishing a U.S. CBDC is a high one.””As we begin our Fed analysis of these issues, I will have to be convinced that a CBDC is a particularly good tool to address either of these issues, about which I am skeptical, and I will especially have to be convinced that the potential benefits of developing a Federal Reserve CBDC outweigh the potential risks,” he said.Become a smarter investor with CNBC Pro.Get stock picks, analyst calls, exclusive interviews and access to CNBC TV.Sign up to start a free trial today. More

  • in

    Perella Weinberg shares popped and later cooled after going public last week via a SPAC

    In this articlePWPPerella Weinberg shares saw a sharp rise early Monday after going public last week via a SPAC. The stock opened 12% higher Monday, before bouncing between positive and negative territory later in the day. It closed down 0.7% at $12.91 per share. The global investment bank — headquartered in New York City — started trading Friday after announcing the day before that it completed its merger with special purpose acquisition company FinTech Acquisition Corp. IV.”We’re going public because we think there’s a very significant growth opportunity for the firm going forward,” co-founder and CEO Peter Weinberg said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.””The reason that we picked a SPAC is because it’s a transaction as opposed to a process” like an initial public offering, said Weinberg, who prior to starting his own firm was CEO of Goldman Sachs International in London. “Given all the constituencies that we have, our founding investors, our retired partners — very important constituencies for us — it was easier and better to have a SPAC,” which earlier this year was a red-hot asset class.However, the craze, coupled with a recent slump of SPAC shares, may lead to riskier deals in upcoming months and years, according to observers.”Any option you pick, you’re going to end up as a public company,” Weinberg said. “A lot of the issues surrounding SPACs have been less about the structure and more about the companies sometimes that were unprepared to be public.”Weinberg said he’s not worried about how the decision to go public will affect his firm, which he started with fellow dealmaker Joe Perella in 2006. Prior to that, Perella, now chairman emeritus at their firm, held several senior positions at Morgan Stanley.The merger environment right now is “extremely active,” Weinberg said, anticipating an enormous amount of change to occur within many different industry groups from consumer health care to energy. He added that while the confidence levels are very high, chief executives are feeling an enormous pressure to create value and to outperform their competitors.”I think what’s going to happen in the SPAC space is that there should be a level playing field when you look at an IPO and when you look at a SPAC, particularly as it relates to projections. We’re still in the early stages of this round two of SPACs, and so I think that’ll happen,” Weinberg said. “But the important thing really is that two years after the event, you’re probably going to have the identical shareholders. It’s just a different route to the same destination.” More