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    India isn't the only one. Covid cases are rising at record levels in these places too

    A patient receives oxygen while she waits outside a hospital in Kathmandu, Nepal on May 13, 2021. Government hospitals in the country lack beds for Covid-19 patients.Sunil Pradhan | Anadolu Agency | Getty ImagesIndia is currently at the epicenter of the global coronavirus pandemic — but it is not the only country with a worsening Covid-19 outbreak.From Argentina in Latin America to Nepal in Asia, many other countries have also reported record increases in Covid cases in the last few weeks, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of the World Health Organization, has expressed concerns over the raging health crisis around the world.”India remains hugely concerning … but it’s not only India that has emergency needs,” he said at a news briefing this month.The increase in infections has come as progress of vaccinations remains uneven across the world. Generally, developed countries such as the U.S. and the U.K. are ahead in vaccinating their populations while poorer nations in Africa and parts of Asia are lagging due to limited supply of shots.Here’s a look at some places where Covid cases are surging.ArgentinaCumulative cases: More than 3.5 million as of May 23, according to Hopkins data.Cumulative deaths: More than 74,000 as of May 23, Hopkins data showed.Vaccination: Around 19.25% of population received at least one dose, according to Our World in Data.Argentina has in the last few weeks reported record-breaking numbers of daily cases and deaths, leading authorities to impose fresh lockdown measures that will last until end-May.The measures, which came into force over the weekend, include closing schools and non-essential businesses, as well as banning social, religious and sporting events, reported Reuters.  Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsReported cases rapidly rose from below 5,000 a day in early-March to a record-high of more than 39,000 last Wednesday, Hopkins data showed. The number of deaths also surged from 112 on March 1 to a record 744 last Tuesday, according to the data.The worsening outbreak has swamped Argentina’s health-care system, and President Alberto Fernandez was quoted as saying last Thursday that “we are living the worst moment since the pandemic began.”Vaccination is progressing slowly in the country, with around 19% of the roughly 45 million population having received at least one dose, according to statistics site Our World in Data.NepalCumulative cases: More than 513,000 as of May 23, according to Hopkins data.Cumulative deaths: More than 6,300 as of May 23, Hopkins data showed.Vaccination: Around 7.3% of population received at least one dose, according to Our World in Data.In Asia, surging Covid cases are overloading Nepal’s fragile health-care system.  “Our medical infrastructure is in crisis. The oxygen supply-demand gap is huge. We also have no more vaccines,” Dr. Samir Kumar Adhikari, the health ministry’s chief spokesperson, reportedly said.Nepal, a landlocked country with a population of roughly 29 million, shares a border with India which has been experiencing a devastating second wave. India is now the world’s second worst affected country by cases reported.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsMany people in Nepal blamed returning migrant workers from India for the rapid rise in Covid-19 cases, reported NBC News. Many of the returning Nepalese had lost their jobs and income when parts of India went into lockdown to curb the second wave of infections there, the report said.  That caused Nepal’s daily cases to accelerate from below 200 at the start of April to a record-high of more than 9,300 in mid-May, Hopkins data showed.Nepal is scrambling to secure Covid vaccines. The country started vaccinating its people in January with the AstraZeneca vaccine provided by India and Covax, a global alliance aimed at fairly distributing vaccines, reported Reuters. However, the South Asian nation has run out of shots with the Serum Institute of India yet to deliver the doses that Nepal ordered, the report said.India has halted exports of Covid vaccines as it prioritizes its domestic needs.BahrainCumulative cases: More than 218,000 as of May 23, according to Hopkins data.Cumulative deaths: At least 820 as of May 23, Hopkins data showed.Vaccination: Around 51.8% of population received at least one dose, according to Our World in Data.Among countries with surging coronavirus cases, Bahrain stood out as one of the few that have vaccinated a relatively large proportion of its population.Reported cases in Bahrain jumped from around 600 a day in early-March to above 2,000 a day last week, according to Hopkins data.Bahrain has approved several Covid vaccines for use, including Pfizer-BioNTech, China National Pharmaceutical Group or Sinopharm, and Russia’s Sputnik vaccine.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsThe country’s latest outbreak has contributed to concerns about the effectiveness of vaccines from Sinopharm and Sputnik. That’s especially so as other highly vaccinated countries — such as Israel and the U.K. — which rely mostly on western-developed shots, are reporting a decline in cases.China, on its part, appeared to suggest last month that Chinese vaccines “don’t have very high protection rates.” The official who made the remark later tried to walk back on those comments, and said he was misunderstood.But within Bahrain, the number of deaths reported daily — while increasing — has largely remained low even as infections are rising rapidly.TaiwanCumulative cases: More than 4,300 as of May 23, according to Hopkins data.Cumulative deaths: At least 23 as of May 23, Hopkins data showed.Vaccination: Around 0.14% of population received at least one dose, according to Our World in Data.Before the latest resurgence, Taiwan was widely applauded for its success in containing the spread of Covid-19 without a full lockdown.The island with a population of roughly 24 million recorded just 1,128 cases — of which a large majority were imported — and 12 deaths by end-April, Hopkins data showed. But the number of daily cases surged past 200 in the last week, the data showed.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsSuch numbers remain a lot smaller compared to most countries and territories around the world, but are a milestone for Taiwan where daily life had largely continued as normal before the latest spike.Some media reports blamed Taiwan’s complacency for the renewed outbreak.Taiwanese authorities had relaxed quarantine requirements for airline crew members in mid-April; and a hotel near Taoyuan International Airport was found housing flight crews on quarantine with other visitors — which led to a cluster of infections in the latest outbreak.Authorities have since imposed new social-distancing rules that limited social gatherings, closed some businesses and tightened border restrictions.Taiwan, which has one of the lowest vaccination rates globally, is also trying to ramp up efforts to vaccinate its population. More

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    Indians turn to social media for help as Covid crisis overwhelms the health-care system

    A healthcare worker wearing a personal protective equipment (PPE) attends to Covid-19 patient inside a Covid-19 care center set up at shehnai banquet hall attached with Lok Nayak Jai Prakash Narayan Hospital (LNJP) one of the largest COVID-19 facilities.Naveen Sharma | SOPA Images | LightRocket | Getty ImagesAs India’s devastating second wave of coronavirus outbreak overwhelmed the health-care system, desperate users turned to social media to seek help from the public as hospital beds and oxygen supplies ran out.People in need of assistance, either for themselves or their relatives, posted requests on sites such as Twitter, Facebook, WhatsApp and Instagram. Others collated information on the availability of beds in hospitals as well as contact details of vendors with oxygen cylinders and other resources in short supply. In many instances, the efforts helped save lives.”We quite often hear only a very dystopian narrative for social media in which, it is increasing political polarization and causing a deep degree of social damage,” Apar Gupta, executive director at the Internet Freedom Foundation, a digital liberties organization in India, told CNBC.”But, social media also has the potential of bringing people together,” he said and explained that is why it’s important to fight for the right kind of incentives-based system design and algorithmic accountability around social media.”I think this Covid disaster that is continuing in India is showing the promise of social media to be used as a tool for organizing relief and also demanding greater amounts of political accountability at all levels — from our health-care officials to decision-makers who set budgets,” Gupta said.Social media can’t replace the core responsibility of the state to help the citizens in the time of crisis.Ankur BisenTechnopak Advisors#CovidSOSTwitter hashtags like #CovidSOS and #CovidEmergency became popular among users searching for hospital beds, ventilators and oxygen cylinders. The retweet function helped amplify their requests.Strangers banded together to help one another weather the unprecedented crisis.Volunteers collated up-to-date information on Google spreadsheets that have been shared widely on social platforms.Some set up websites to track vaccine availability while others created apps that generated links to Twitter search that help users find Covid-19 resources in their cities. Many people also volunteered to make home-cooked meals for patients quarantining at home while others offered assistance with tasks like grocery shopping.For its part, Twitter added a Covid-19 resources page to broaden the visibility of information.Social media influencers, celebrities and politicians also got involved in the crowdsourcing effort, with some of them helping to arrange for beds and oxygen cylinders as India’s daily case count spiked in April and early May.Though Twitter became the most visible social media platform in India’s crowdsourcing efforts because of its ability to amplify requests and tag influencers and politicians, Gupta said other platforms were also used to a large extent.He said volunteers also came together in WhatsApp groups to focus on more granular communities such as housing societies and alumni groups. Gen-Z — or those born between 1996 and the early 2010s — and younger millennials turned to Instagram, he said.Daily cases in India have come off a peak of more than 414,000 new daily infections that was reached on May 7. Still, experts say the virus is spreading in rural India, where the health infrastructure is not equipped to handle unexpected surges.On Twitter, which has greater influence in India’s urban centers compared to rural areas, users have already started collating resources and initiatives to respond to the outbreak in India’s countryside.Shortcomings of India’s health-care systemUsers turning to social media for help was also a reflection of how ill-prepared India’s health-care system was in responding to a sudden surge in cases. Mounting case counts and an increasing death toll laid bare the deep-rooted problems that exist in India’s public health system after decades of neglect and underinvestment.”Social media can’t replace the core responsibility of the state to help the citizens in the time of crisis,” Ankur Bisen, a senior vice president at Indian management consulting firm Technopak Advisors, told CNBC. It can only act as a complementary channel and cannot replace the core functions of the state such as disaster management and health-care delivery, he said.Bisen added that in this case, social media is becoming the only option for many because the other mediums are lacking — it is a poor reflection of how the central and state governments have struggled to address the Covid-19 crisis, he said.”The state often has to address disaster and make sure it communicates and gives comfort to the citizens that the state is watching their back, which has not been the case here,” Bisen said. He added that social media is “always a complementary medium, it can never become the principal driver to address disasters.”Gupta from Internet Freedom Foundation said some of the volunteers have been threatened by authorities for their efforts, both informally and through legal means.Local media reported last month that some Covid-19 relief groups providing information on hospital beds and oxygen via messaging apps like WhatsApp, Discord and Telegram disbanded, while some online trackers for resources were deleted.India’s Covid crisisRead CNBC’s latest coverage of India’s battle with the coronavirus pandemic:WHO labels a Covid strain in India as a ‘variant of concern’ — here’s what we knowIndia’s worsening Covid crisis could spiral into a problem for the worldIndia is the home of the world’s biggest producer of Covid vaccines. But it’s facing a major internal shortageIndia’s economy will likely contract this quarter as Covid cases soar, economists warnVolunteers complained of threats from police that demanded they shut down — but the police have denied making such demands. In Uttar Pradesh, the BBC reported police charged a man who used Twitter to try and find oxygen for his dying grandfather.India’s supreme court reportedly said there should be no clampdown if people aired their grievances around issues like oxygen shortage and others on social platforms. It came after the federal government, under new regulations, ordered social platforms to take down posts that were critical of how it was handling the pandemic, according to the New York Times.Social media scamsAnother unfortunate outcome has been the prevalence of a black market for resources, where bad faith actors on social media have swindled vulnerable people, according to Gupta.”While on the whole, social media — especially Twitter — has come and mitigated the harmful impact of the present wave, I would say even led to saving lives, it has also demonstrated that there is a very low tolerance for freedom of speech and expression,” he said.In addition to that, “there are law and order issues, which always emerge due to social interaction … and certain participants may use it in bad faith,” he added.Gupta added that while efforts are still continuing today among volunteer groups, state services have also caught up to an extent. More

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    Manufacturing could return to China, as Covid cases spike in India and Vietnam

    A worker works on a production line to produce electrical products for domestic and Southeast Asian markets in Hai ‘an city, east China’s Jiangsu province, March 29, 2021.Costfoto | Barcroft Media | Getty ImagesThe Covid-19 resurgence in some parts of Asia could lead to a change in fortunes for China, according to an economist.Previously, the U.S.-China trade war caused companies to move their supply chains out of China, shifting their production and distribution networks for products and services. As a result, countries like Vietnam and India benefited as companies moved to set up shop in their countries.But the situation appears to be changing, and supply chains could pivot back to China as cases spike in India and Vietnam, according to Zhang Zhiwei, chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management.Read more about China from CNBC ProMorgan Stanley picks China stocks for the second half of the yearGoldman Sachs picks the Chinese cloud stocks to buy as internet users soarForget high-flying tech stocks. Here’s a ‘safer way’ to play China’s fintech boom, fund manager says”Before the pandemic, we saw factories moving out of China — Samsung, Foxconn these big name companies — setting up factories in Vietnam, India,” he told CNBC’s “Street Signs Asia” on Monday.The spike in cases in those two countries has forced factories owned by Taiwanese contract manufacturer Foxconn, a major Apple supplier, to shut down facilities in India and Vietnam, he said.”This could put the relocation of supply chains on hold for quite some time. The key issue here is that international travel is suspended, so multinational companies can’t send their staff to India and Vietnam to set up new factories,” Zhang added.Cases in India surged to record-breaking highs in April and shows little signs of abating significantly —economists have predicted the South Asian economy will likely contract this quarter.In Vietnam, the northern province of Bac Giang on Tuesday ordered four industrial parks — including three that house production facilities of Taiwan’s Foxconn — to temporarily shut down due to an outbreak of Covid-19.The situation could benefit China, Zhang suggested. However, he pointed out that the extent of how much China could stand to gain will depend on how long the situation in India and Vietnam continues for.Right now, export growth in China is between 20% to 40% a month, he said. If the factories in India and Vietnam return to production very soon, China’s exports would be expected to slow down in the second half of the year as companies move their manufacturing to those two countries.”But if supply chain (in India and Vietnam) is disrupted for a long time, we could see this kind of 20%, 30% export growth (in China) to continue into next year,” Zhang said. More

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    U.S. should dig deeper into theory that Covid originated in a Wuhan lab, ex-Clinton official says

    The U.S. should be playing a larger role in getting to the bottom of the theory that Covid-19 first leaked from a virology lab in Wuhan, China, Atlantic Council senior fellow Jamie Metzl told CNBC on Monday.”Right now, the World Health Assembly is meeting, and the United States should be doing everything possible with our allies to demand a comprehensive investigation into Covid origins with full access to all the records, samples, and personnel in China and beyond,” Metzl, a former national security official in the Clinton administration, said on “The News with Shepard Smith.”  “If China wants to thumb its nose at the rest of the world, in spite of more than 3 million people dead, let them make that statement,” he said.White House press secretary Jen Psaki said Monday that determining the origins of Covid-19 is up to an international investigation led by the World Health Organization, and that the U.S. cannot lead a probe on its own.Metzl organized last year a group of scientists and academics to call for a deeper investigation into Covid’s origins. He told host Shepard Smith that it’s “critically important” to find answers about the pandemic’s origins because if we don’t, it puts everyone “unnecessarily at risk.” The White House did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment. A previously undisclosed U.S. intelligence report found that researchers at the Wuhan Institute of Virology sought hospital care after falling ill “with symptoms consistent with both Covid-19 and common seasonal illness,” The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday, quoting from the report.The World Health Organization has repeatedly said the virus most likely jumped from bats to humans through another animal. It has described the theory that the virus leaked from a lab as “extremely unlikely,” but has not ruled it out. Metzl said he thinks the theory is a “likely hypothesis.” “Why would you have a bat coronavirus outbreak in Wuhan and not in southern China, where the horseshoe bats are located? And what we know that they do have in Wuhan, is China’s only level 4 virology institute, with the world’s largest collection of bat coronaviruses, that was doing aggressive research designed to make those pathogens more dangerous,” Metzl said. More

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    Bitcoin's trading action lately is wild even by crypto's standards and the drama is not over yet

    Bitcoin is still in a stretch of double-digit intraday moves after briefly halving its value last week, and Wall Street strategists say this crazy run won’t be over anytime soon.It’s been a rude awakening for bitcoin investors who thought they could handle the crypto volatility. The world’s largest digital currency suffered a 30% one-day drop last Wednesday, falling to about $30,000 apiece. Just in mid-April, bitcoin hit a record high of $64,829. The turbulence was dramatic even by crypto’s standards. The last time bitcoin saw a decline of this magnitude was March 2020 at the height of the Covid pandemic. And even then, the trading wasn’t as jarring.Bitcoin has experienced 14 down days in May alone, according to Coin Metrics. So far this year, there have been 39 days with daily swings of 5% or more in either direction, based on bitcoin’s closing prices. There were 42 such days in all of 2020.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsWhile the digital token bounced back rapidly with the price up 20% above $39,000 on Monday, heightened regulatory pressure as well as its technical picture are pointing to more wild trading ahead, strategists said.”The drubbing that cryptocurrencies have received over the past two weeks is just a taste of things to come,” Peter Berezin, chief global strategist at BCA Research, said in a note. “Crypto markets will continue to face tighter regulation. … In the near term, the pain in crypto markets could drag down other speculative assets such as tech stocks.”Read more about cryptocurrencies from CNBC ProCramer sees ‘one more cathartic decline’ in bitcoin as a buy sign to those who missed crypto crazeMohamed El-Erian says volatility in the price of cryptocurrency is here to stayDeutsche Bank says bitcoin’s gone from ‘trendy to tacky.’ Here’s what it expects to happen nextThe recent fluctuations came amid elevated regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and abroad. The U.S. Federal Reserve will soon release a paper outlining its own research into the central bank digital currency area. Meanwhile, Chinese authorities have vowed to crack down on mining and trading of the cryptocurrency.Elon Musk, a proponent of cryptocurrency, also did a sort of 180 on bitcoin when he announced the electric car maker had suspended vehicle purchases using the asset, citing environmental concerns over the so-called computational mining process.”Bitcoin remains comically volatile,” said Adam Crisafulli, founder of Vital Knowledge. “The economic utility of nothing shifts this rapidly.”Bitcoin’s 31.1% intraday decline was the fourth-largest drop on record for the cryptocurrency, according to data from Cornerstone Macro.Zoom In IconArrows pointing outwardsMomentum signals remain ‘problematic’Looking at bitcoin futures positioning, analysts at JPMorgan believe the worst of the correction is not in the rearview mirror yet.Momentum traders have pared back their bitcoin futures bets after its failure to break above $60,000 turned sentiment bearish and induced further position unwinds, according to the Wall Street firm.”Despite the recovery in prices to around $40k, the momentum signals, and in particular the longer lookback period one, remain problematic as a signal,” Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, a managing director at JPMorgan, said in a note. “It is too early to call the end of the recent bitcoin downtrend.”Carter Worth, chief market technician at Cornerstone Macro, said there are interested sellers waiting at the $42,000 level and this heavy overhead supply will make it hard for bitcoin to go up and breach that level. Meanwhile, buyers who picked up at its recent lows will sell if the price moves up too much, he said.”It sold off to its trend line,” Worth said. “Every move it’s made has been technical in nature.”Retest of last week’s lows possibleMany believe investors shouldn’t be surprised if bitcoin soon sells off again to retest the low from last week.”A potential retest or even modest undercut of last week’s lows in the near term are entirely possible on China’s Digital Assets crackdown and U.S. regulatory overhang,” said Julian Emanuel, chief equity and derivatives strategist at BTIG.Still, Emanuel believes any further downside volatility would present a buying opportunity. He set his bitcoin year-end target at $50,000.— CNBC’s Nate Rattner and Michael Bloom contributed to this story.Enjoyed this article?For exclusive stock picks, investment ideas and CNBC global livestreamSign up for CNBC ProStart your free trial now More

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    Fed's Lael Brainard pushes digital dollar as central bank currency race heats up

    US Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard attends a “Fed Listens” event at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, DC, on October 4, 2019.Eric Baradat | AFP | Getty ImagesFederal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard pressed the case for a digital dollar, saying Monday that a cryptocurrency backed by the central bank could provide a variety of benefits.Providing financial services to the nearly 1 in 5 Americans considered “underbanked” is one of the advantages Brainard cited in a speech to a conference presented by Coindesk.She also cited the safety of a Fed-backed system, as well as improvements in efficiency and cross-border payments, or transactions between people in different countries.While stressing the importance of moving forward carefully, Brainard said the Covid-19 pandemic strengthened the need for a system in which a broad swath of the public has access to well-regulated digital money.”The Federal Reserve remains committed to ensuring that the public has access to safe, reliable, and secure means of payment, including cash,” she said. “As part of this commitment, we must explore — and try to anticipate — the extent to which households’ and businesses’ needs and preferences may migrate further to digital payments over time.”Those comments come days after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the central bank this summer would be releasing a working paper that addresses multiple issues involving Central Bank Digital Currencies.The Boston Fed and MIT have launched a joint project in which they will set up a hypothetical model, and several other Fed districts also are involved with research of their own.Essentially, the development of the CBDC would give consumers broader access to electronic currency, the likes of which have been popularized with the use of bitcoin and its myriad peers. China’s central bank has been moving forward with its own project as have various others around the world.Brainard said the pandemic presented an example of how important developing a Fed-backed currency could be.When Congress began sending relief payments at the outset, some individuals didn’t get theirs for weeks because they either did not have accounts or their information was not updated with the IRS. A CBDC would help get money more quickly to those people, she said.”In the United States, the pandemic led to an acceleration of the migration to digital payments as well as increased demand for cash,” Brainard said in prepared remarks. “While the use of cash spiked at certain times, there was a pronounced shift by consumers and businesses to contactless transactions facilitated by electronic payments.”Read more about cryptocurrencies from CNBC ProCramer sees ‘one more cathartic decline’ in bitcoin as a buy sign to those who missed crypto crazeMohamed El-Erian says volatility in the price of cryptocurrency is here to stayDeutsche Bank says bitcoin’s gone from ‘trendy to tacky.’ Here’s what it expects to happen nextBrainard noted, without naming specific cryptocurrencies, that alternate payment systems present multiple problems, including potential fraud.”In contrast, a digital dollar would be a new type of central bank money issued in digital form for use by the general public,” she said. “By introducing safe central bank money that is accessible to households and businesses in digital payments systems, a CBDC would reduce counterparty risk and the associated consumer protection and financial stability risks.”The Fed has not set a timetable for its currency. The FedNow Service, which would be a payments system that in some ways would resemble a digital dollar, is expected to come on line in two years.Become a smarter investor with CNBC Pro.Get stock picks, analyst calls, exclusive interviews and access to CNBC TV.Sign up to start a free trial today. More

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    An investment bonanza is coming

    AS LOCKDOWNS LIFT across the rich world, people are going out and spending. Australia’s restaurants have been rammed for months. America’s shopping malls are filled with people splurging stimulus cheques. Cinemas in Britain, which were allowed to reopen in mid-May, are packed once again. Yet behind the scenes another, potentially more significant, spending bonanza is just beginning.Businesses are starting to invest in huge numbers. In America capital spending (or capex) by companies is rising at an annual rate of 15%, both on the hard stuff (machines and factories) and intangibles (software). Firms in other parts of the world are also ramping up spending. Forecasts for global business investment have never looked so rosy. Analysts at Morgan Stanley, a bank, predict a “red-hot capex cycle”. Overall global investment, they reckon, will soar to 121% of pre-recession levels by the end of next year (see chart 1). Oxford Economics, a consultancy, argues “the time looks right for a boom in capex”, while IHS Markit, a research firm, forecasts that global real fixed investment will rise by more than 6% this year.Today’s optimism marks quite a change from the pre-pandemic norm. In America gross domestic business investment, as a share of GDP, had been sluggish since the early 1980s. After the financial crisis of 2007-09 it took more than two years for global investment, in real terms, to regain its previous peak. By contrast, although investment fell more steeply at the start of the pandemic, it has been quicker to bounce back this time. The prospect of surging capex holds out promise that the global economy will not face a repeat of the 2010s, when growth in productivity and GDP stayed stubbornly below pre-crisis trends. Investment in new products, technologies and business practices is, after all, the foundation for higher incomes and a better quality of life. What is behind the capex cheer—and could it last?To understand why analysts are so upbeat, consider the firms included in the S&P 500, America’s main stockmarket index. Together they account for about one dollar in seven of total rich-world corporate capital formation. In a recent report Bank of America analyses these companies’ earning calls since 2006, and concludes that executives are at their most bullish about capex. The Economist has looked at the biggest 25 non-financial firms in the S&P 500 and found that analysts’ expectations for capex in 2021 have risen by 10% in the past year.For now the investment recovery is concentrated in a few industries. We find that global tech firms are expected to boost capex by 42% this year, relative to 2019. Apple will invest $430bn in America over a five-year period, an upgrade of 20% on previous plans. Taiwan’s TSMC, the world’s largest semiconductor-maker, recently announced that it would invest $100bn over the next three years in manufacturing. Analysts reckon that Samsung’s capex will rise by 13% this year, having gone up by 45% in 2020.Tech companies are spending so freely in part because the pandemic has created new demands. More shopping happens online. Remote work is on the rise. New equipment and software is needed for that to run smoothly. Recent research by Nicholas Bloom of Stanford University and Steven Davis and Yulia Zhestkova of the University of Chicago finds a big rise in the share of patent filings for work-from-home technologies. UBS, another bank, reckons that shipments of computers for commercial use will rise by nearly 10% this year, an acceleration even over the last.Tech firms are not the only enthusiastic spenders. Firms in the S&P 500 that focus on discretionary consumer spending boosted capex by 36% year on year in the first quarter. Companies such as Target and Walmart, two retailers, are trying to keep up with the online giants that are eating their lunch. Marks & Spencer, an august British retailer, recently announced that it had launched 46 new websites in overseas markets from Iceland to Uzbekistan.Other retailers are spending frantically to expand capacity, having been caught out by the surge in household spending. Everything from sofas to hot tubs is in short supply. Earlier this year Peloton announced “substantial incremental investments” in expediting the transport of its exercise bikes from Taiwan. Maersk, a shipping firm, recently said it would buy more containers to ease bottlenecks. The global order-book for enormous container ships has risen from 9% of the current fleet, in October, to over 15% in April.The big question is whether the emerging capex boom augurs a broad and lasting shift away from the weakness of the 2010s, or is simply an enthusiastic but temporary response to reopening. Not all firms are boosting capex: our analysis suggests that about half of the firms in the S&P 500 are not expected to invest more in 2021 than they did in 2019. Global oil-and-gas firms are cutting back by a tenth relative to pre-pandemic levels, possibly in response to lower expected demand for their planet-warming fare. Airlines and cruise-ship operators are also dialling down spending perhaps in expectation that it will take time before people can travel freely again. Many executives, say from raw-materials or industrial-goods firms, continue to preach capital discipline. It may be quite a leap for them to go from a decade of austerity to boom time.Another worry is the trend towards greater consolidation in industries from hotels to mining, which seems unlikely to have been reversed by covid-19. Research by the IMF suggests that companies with market power may be less keen on investing. In the five years before the pandemic, for instance, American business investment in hotels was lower than it was in the five years before the financial crisis, even though demand was far higher.Set against that, though, economic conditions today could convince reluctant companies to loosen the purse strings. In contrast to the post-financial-crisis period, households have a lot of savings to spend. A more decisive fiscal and monetary response this time has also allowed firms to load up on cash (see chart 2). Bond issuance by investment-grade-rated American companies jumped to a record $1.7trn in 2020, up from $1.1trn in 2019, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence, a research outfit.Moreover, the economic reallocation provoked by covid-19, and its investment implications, will be felt for some time. Managers in some industries, especially semiconductors, already accept that they went into the pandemic with too little spare capacity, and are promising multi-year projects to make up for it. Perhaps most important, the pandemic is leading to an era of greater technological optimism. The rapid deployment of entirely new business models when covid-19 struck, not to mention vaccine discovery, may have reminded bosses of the payoff to innovation. All of that might explain why the expectations for capex by S&P 500 firms in 2022 are even more ambitious than those for this year. The investment boom may only be getting started. More

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    That $100 million New Jersey deli sold just $5,305 worth of food in first quarter of 2021

    In this articleHWINYour Hometown Deli in Paulsboro, N.J.Google EarthSales jumped nearly a whopping 50% in the first quarter of 2021 at that mystery $100 million New Jersey deli company — but that amounted to only a measly $5,305 worth of sandwiches, sodas and chips, a new financial filing revealed Monday.Losses also jumped big-time at deli owner Hometown International, rising to $173,658 for the first three months of this year. That’s about $97,000 more in losses than in the same period last year.Hometown International’s latest filing also shows a series of previously unreported developments at that odd corporation.The moves, like other recent ones, seem designed to clean house and make the company an attractive takeover candidate by a private company. That seems to be the real reason that investors in Hong Kong and Macao have taken big stakes in Hometown International, as opposed to a love of selling cheesesteaks.Those developments include the decision not to renew a $25,000-per-month consulting agreement with a Macao-based entity that is a major investor in Hometown International, the company’s 10-Q quarterly filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission revealed.They also include the full repayment to the deli owner of two curious $150,000 loans it made to shell companies closely linked to the father of Hometown International’s chairman and new president, Peter Coker Jr., the 10-Q shows.Hometown International began drawing public attention in mid-April when hedge-fund manager David Einhorn noted in a client letter that the company had recently had a stock market capitalization of more than $100 million despite having combined sales of less than $37,000 in 2019 and 2020 combined at its Paulsboro eatery.CNBC since then has detailed the criminal histories and regulatory sanctions of a number of individuals linked to the company and other curious details about the deli owner.On the heels of those articles, Hometown International’s controlling shareholders terminated a $15,000-per-month consulting deal the company had with Tryon Capital, a North Carolina firm controlled by Peter Coker Sr., who is a major investor in the deli owner.Hometown International then fired its president, Paul Morina, who by day is principal and head wrestling coach at nearby Paulsboro High School. The company also canned its only other executive officer, Christine Lindenmuth, who is an administrator at that same high school.Both Hometown International and a related shell company, E-Waste, have disavowed their sky-high market capitalizations, saying their share prices on the over-the-counter market are unjustified by any financial rationale.The 10-Q, whose filing was delayed for about a week, like other filings by the deli owner, contains details that are incongruous for most companies that have almost 8 million common shares outstanding.The company’s stock closed at $12.10 per share on Monday, down 40 cents per share, with just 423 shares changing hands. On paper, at least, Hometown International’s market capitalization based on common shares alone is more than $97 million, while its intrinsic value when factoring in tens of millions of shares available through share warrants is a whopping $1.8 billion.Among the odd details in the new filing is the fact the deli had labor costs of $126 for the first quarter.During the same period a year ago, it reported no labor costs at all.Sales, which were just $3,577 for the first quarter in 2020, skyrocketed to $5,305.”The increase in revenue is mainly attributed to an increase in customer’s [sic] visits following the re-opening of our delicatessen as a result of the easing of restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic,” the 10-Q filing states.That filing also shows that on April 30, Hometown International’s consulting agreement with VCH Limited, an investor in the company, expired and was “not renewed.”That deal had been paying VCH Limited $25,000 per month.VCH Limited is one of four entities that are among Hometown International’s biggest shareholders, whose mailing addresses are in Macao, a special administrative region of China.The 10-Q filing notes that $120,000 of the $178,963 in operating expenses for the first quarter were chewed up by the consulting agreements Hometown International had with VCH Limited and Tryon Capital.The filing reveals that as of April 14, Hometown International had received the full principal payments and more than $1,000 in accrued interest for a $150,000 loan to the shell company E-Waste, which is closely linked to Coker Sr. The loan was only issued in November.In a move that mirrored the firing of Molina, E-Waste’s president, John Rollo, recently resigned from the company on the heels of CNBC articles about E-Waste, which has no operating business but does have a market capitalization that tops $112 million.Hometown International in February lent $150,000 to another company connected to Coker Sr. — Med Spa Vacations Inc. — of which Rollo remains the head.The deli owner’s 10-Q filing shows that on May 12 “the full principal of the note receivable and $2,250 of related accrued interest receivable were fully paid by the noteholder,” Med Spa Vacations.Both loans had an interest rate of 6%. 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