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    SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket suffers rare inflight failure, is grounded during investigation

    A launch of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket carrying Starlink satellites suffered a rare midflight failure Thursday evening.
    The rocket’s upper second stage failed to reignite its engine as planned and was destroyed, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk confirmed.
    Falcon 9 is grounded until the Federal Aviation Administration signs off on SpaceX’s investigation of the incident, the federal regulator confirmed to CNBC.

    SpaceX’s Falcon 9 is pictured launching satellites to orbit in space after it lifted off from the Vandenberg Space Force Base in California, U.S., in this screenshot obtained from a handout video released on July 12, 2024. 
    Spacex | Via Reuters

    SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket is grounded, pending an incident investigation, after an inflight failure — a rare misfire for the company’s workhorse vehicle.
    The mission, known as “Starlink Group 9-3,” launched from California’s Vandenberg Space Force Base on Thursday evening and was carrying 20 satellites bound for low Earth orbit.

    The rocket’s lower first stage, or booster, operated as expected before returning to land. But the rocket’s upper second stage failed to reignite its engine as planned and was destroyed, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk confirmed.
    “Upper stage restart to raise perigee resulted in an engine RUD for reasons currently unknown,” Musk wrote in a post on social media. RUD, or “rapid unscheduled disassembly,” is a term SpaceX uses to refer to an explosive or destructive event. The company said in a later update that the engine failure came after a leak of liquid oxygen in the second stage.
    Falcon 9 is grounded until the Federal Aviation Administration signs off on SpaceX’s investigation of the incident, the federal regulator confirmed.
    “The FAA will be involved in every step of the investigation process and must approve SpaceX’s final report, including any corrective actions,” the agency said in a statement to CNBC.

    A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket flies carrying a payload of 22 Starlink internet satellites into space after launching from Vandenberg Space Force Base, as seen from Los Angeles, on March 18, 2024.
    Mario Tama | Getty Images

    The Starlink mission was the 69th Falcon 9 launch of the year — with the company averaging a blistering pace of a launch every two to three days in 2024 — but the investigation will likely delay launches planned in the weeks ahead, including two crewed missions: The private Polaris Dawn and NASA’s Crew-9.

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    SpaceX still deployed the 20 Starlink satellites but noted that the second stage engine failure means the satellites were in “a lower than intended orbit.” In an update Friday afternoon, the company said it made contact with 10 of the satellites in an effort to use the satellites onboard thrusters to climb higher in orbit.
    Despite the attempted recovery, SpaceX confirmed that the “enormously high-drag environment” from being in the wrong, lower orbit means the satellites will not be recovered. The 20 satellites will re-enter the Earth’s atmosphere and burn up.
    “They do not pose a threat to other satellites in orbit or to public safety,” the company wrote in a statement on its website.

    A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket lifts off on the USSF-124 mission for the U.S. Space Force and Missile Defense Agency in Cape Canaveral, Florida, on Feb. 14, 2024.
    Joe Skipper | Reuters

    Falcon 9 has been on an unrivaled run of success for nearly a decade, chocking up more than 300 consecutive successful orbital launches since its previous inflight failure in June 2015, during the NASA cargo mission CRS-7.
    In total, SpaceX’s Falcon 9 has launched 354 missions to orbit, with more than 300 of those featuring successful landings and resulting in the reuse of rocket boosters more than 280 times.

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    Citigroup tops expectations for profit and revenue on strong Wall Street results

    Citigroup on Friday posted second-quarter results that topped expectations for profit and revenue on a rebound in Wall Street activity.
    Investment banking revenue surged 60% to $853 million, driven by strong issuance of investment grade bonds and a rebound in IPO and merger activity from low levels in 2023.
    Citigroup was just this week rebuked for failing to address its regulatory shortfalls, so analysts will be keen to ask Fraser about her long-running efforts to address the issue.

    Jane Fraser, CEO of Citi, speaks during the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, on May 1, 2023. 
    Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

    Citigroup on Friday posted second-quarter results that topped expectations for profit and revenue on a rebound in Wall Street activity.
    Here’s what the company reported:

    Earnings: $1.52 a share vs. $1.39 a share expected, according to LSEG
    Revenue: $20.14 billion vs. $20.07 billion expected, according to LSEG

    The bank said net income jumped 10% from a year earlier to $3.22 billion, or $1.52 a share. Revenue rose 4% to $20.14 billion.
    Equities trading revenue rose 37% to $1.5 billion, driven by strength in derivatives and a rise in hedge fund balances, roughly $300 million more than the StreetAccount estimate.
    Fixed income revenue dipped 3% to $3.6 billion, essentially matching analysts’ expectations, on lower activity in rates and currency markets.
    Investment banking revenue surged 60% to $853 million, driven by strong issuance of investment grade bonds and a rebound in IPO and merger activity from low levels in 2023.
    Shares of the bank climbed 3% in premarket trading.

    “Our results show the progress we are making in executing our strategy and the benefit of our diversified business model,” Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser said in the release. “Markets had a strong finish to the quarter leading to better performance than we had anticipated.”
    Citigroup was just this week rebuked for failing to address its regulatory shortfalls, so analysts will be keen to ask Fraser about her long-running efforts to address the issue.
    Last year, Fraser announced plans to simplify the management structure and reduce costs at the third-biggest U.S. bank by assets. But earnings will take a backseat if the bank cannot appease regulators’ concerns about its data and risk management.  
    JPMorgan Chase reported results earlier Friday, while Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report next week.
    This story is developing. Please check back for updates.
    Correction: This article has been updated to correct that Citigroup reported revenue of $20.14 billion for the second quarter. A previous version misstated the figure due to a rounding error. More

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    JPMorgan Chase tops second-quarter revenue expectations on strong investment banking

    JPMorgan Chase on Friday posted second-quarter profit and revenue that topped analysts’ expectations as investment banking fees surged 52% from a year earlier.
    Revenue rose 20% to $50.99 billion, topping the consensus estimate of analysts surveyed by LSEG.
    CEO Jamie Dimon noted in the release that his firm was wary of potential future risks, including higher-than-expected inflation and interest rates.

    JPMorgan Chase on Friday posted second-quarter profit and revenue that topped analysts’ expectations as investment banking fees surged 52% from a year earlier.
    Here’s what the company reported:

    Earnings: $4.26 per share adjusted vs. $4.19 estimate of analysts surveyed by LSEG
    Revenue: $50.99 billion vs. $49.87 billion estimate

    The bank said earnings jumped 25% from the year-earlier period to $18.15 billion, or $6.12 per share. Excluding items related to the bank’s stake in Visa, profit was $4.26 per share.
    Revenue rose 20% to $50.99 billion, topping the consensus estimate of analysts surveyed by LSEG, helped by better-than-expected investment banking fees and equities trading results.
    CEO Jamie Dimon noted in the release that his firm was wary of potential future risks, including higher-than-expected inflation and interest rates, even while stock and bond valuations currently “reflect a rather benign economic outlook.”
    “The geopolitical situation remains complex and potentially the most dangerous since World War II — though its outcome and effect on the global economy remain unknown,” Dimon said. “There has been some progress bringing inflation down, but there are still multiple inflationary forces in front of us: large fiscal deficits, infrastructure needs, restructuring of trade and remilitarization of the world.”
    Shares of JPMorgan slipped 1% in premarket trading.

    A rebound in Wall Street activity, especially on the advisory side, was expected to aid banks this quarter, and JPMorgan’s results bear that out.
    JPMorgan reaped $2.3 billion in investment banking fees, exceeding the StreetAccount estimate by roughly $300 million.
    Equities trading revenue jumped 21% to $3 billion, topping the estimate by $230 million, on strong derivatives results. Fixed income trading jumped 5% to $4.8 billion, matching the estimate.
    But the bank had a $3.05 billion provision for credit losses in the quarter, exceeding the $2.78 billion estimate, which indicated that it expects more borrowers will default in the future. A rise in charge-offs and moves to build loan loss reserves in the quarter was driven by the firm’s massive credit-card business, the bank said.
    “JPMorgan has navigated a challenging interest rate environment very well,” said Octavio Marenzi, CEO of consulting firm Opimas.
    Still, while banking and equities trading boosted results, “We see Main Street banking beginning to sputter,” Marenzi said. “Provisions for credit losses were up significantly, showing us that JPMorgan is expecting to see a rough patch in the US economy.”
    Wells Fargo and Citigroup also posted earnings Friday, while Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report next week.
    This story is developing. Please check back for updates. More

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    Women are set to inherit trillions of dollars in the great ‘horizontal wealth transfer’

    Up to $9 trillion is expected to be passed along to spouses and partners in the coming years as part of what’s being called “the horizontal wealth transfer,” according to a new report.
    There are over 43 million people in the Americas over the age of 75, with over $50 trillion in combined transferrable wealth.
    Women now make up over 11% of the world’s millionaires, nearly double the share in 2016, according to Julius Baer.

    Charday Penn | E+ | Getty Images

    Up to $9 trillion is expected to be passed along to spouses and partners in the coming years as part of what’s being called “the horizontal wealth transfer,” according to a new report.
    Over the next 20 to 30 years, aging baby boomers and older generations are expected to pass down $84 trillion in wealth to charity and family members. Younger generations, including Generation X, millennials and Generation Z are expected get the bulk of the inheritances.

    Yet because surviving spouses and partners typically get the initial inheritances, and because women typically outlive men, bequests in the coming years will largely go to women, according to the UBS Global Wealth Report.
    An estimated $9 trillion will be transferred “intra-generationally,” meaning from one spouse to another, according to the report.
    “Life expectancy varies between men and women, and quite frequently couples have an age gap, therefore the inheriting spouse will typically own and hold onto this wealth for an average of four years before passing it on,” the report said.
    UBS calls it the “horizontal wealth transfer,” since the wealth is moving intra-generationally rather than intergenerationally. And while little noticed, the horizontal transfers have the potential to reshape the wealth management, investing and luxury spending landscape, which has largely been dominated by men.
    “Most people have a rather feudal idea of wealth going down through generations,” said Paul Donovan, chief economist of UBS Global Wealth Management. “But about 10% is likely to go sideways, to spouses or partners and not yet giving it to children, although it will shift over time.”

    According to the report, the largest horizontal wealth transfers will be in the Americas. There are over 43 million people in that region over the age of 75, with over $50 trillion in combined transferrable wealth. The average age of the individuals passing down wealth is over 85, the report said.

    While some families may pass fortunes directly to next generations, inheritances can often be a two-step process — first going to the surviving spouse and then handed down by that spouse to the next generation. (Estate law typically allows the surviving spouse to inherit property of unlimited value without being subject to estate tax).
    The report estimates that after $9 trillion is passed to spouses, they will pass down over $8.4 trillion to next generations, making them key decision makers in the great wealth transfer.
    Those transfers, along with other broader forces in the economy, are adding to the so-called “feminization of wealth.” With women’s incomes and wealth rising, combined with inheritances for both older and younger inheritors, analysts expect women will make up a growing share of high net-worth investors and consumers.
    Women now make up over 11% of the world’s millionaires, nearly double the share in 2016, according to Julius Baer.

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    The biggest impact will be on wealth management. Donovan said 45% of UBS’s wealth clients are now women.
    “It’s important when it comes to wealth management,” he said. Wealth management clients, he said, will likely be “different people, with different ideas and different things they want to do with their wealth.”
    A McKinsey report estimated that women are expected to control most of the $30 trillion in baby boomer wealth by 2030. While the wealth management industry has been traditionally dominated by male clients and male advisors (accounting for 85% of the latter group), McKinsey said that’s changing fast.
    “After years of playing second fiddle to men,” the report said, “women are poised to take center stage.”
    McKinsey said that compared with five years ago, 30% more married women are making financial and investment decisions, and more women than ever are the family breadwinners, “spurring growth in their investible assets.” 
    Luxury brands traditionally geared toward men are also adapting. In the luxury watch market, women’s watches are one of the fastest growing segments. Jean-Christophe Babin, the CEO of Bulgari, told me earlier this year that “the trend is toward more and more feminine and more unisex watches. Women have increasing power, in terms of independence, autonomy and purchasing power. We think that will continue.”
    Philanthropy could also benefit from the horizontal wealth transfer. Giving to groups focused on women and girls grew 9% in 2020, the latest year measured, to over $8 billion, according to the Women’s Philanthropy Institute at the Lilly Family School of Philanthropy.
    Melinda French Gates just pledged $1 billion to women’s and girls’ causes, and MacKenzie Scott has given away over $17 billion of her fortune since 2019, including large grants to Girl Scouts of the USA.
    “We will see a dramatic shift in ownership of wealth,” Donovan said. “It is going to be quite significant in looking at who controls the resources that finance the global economy.”

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    Wells Fargo shares tumble after net interest income falls short of estimates

    In the second quarter, Wells Fargo recorded $11.92 billion in net interest income, a key measure of what a bank makes on lending, marking a 9% year-over-year decline.
    That was below the $12.12 billion expected by analysts, according to FactSet. The bank said the drop was due to the impact of higher interest rates on funding costs.
    Wells Fargo’s second-quarter earnings and revenue exceeded Wall Street expectations.

    Wells Fargo on Friday reported a 9% decline in net interest income, even though its second-quarter earnings and revenue exceeded Wall Street expectations.
    Here’s what the bank did compared with Wall Street estimates, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

    Earnings per share: $1.33 versus $1.29 cents expected
    Revenue: $20.69 billion versus $20.29 billion expected

    The San Francisco-based lender recorded $11.92 billion in net interest income, a key measure of what a bank makes on lending, marking a 9% year-over-year decline. That was below the $12.12 billion expected by analysts, according to FactSet. The bank said the drop was due to the impact of higher interest rates on funding costs.
    Shares of Wells Fargo fell more than 5% in premarket trading.
    “We continued to see growth in our fee-based revenue offsetting an expected decline in net interest income,” CEO Charlie Scharf said in a statement. “The investments we have been making allowed us to take advantage of the market activity in the quarter with strong performance in investment advisory, trading, and investment banking fees.”
    Wells Fargo saw net income dip to $4.91 billion in the second quarter, from $4.94 billion during the same quarter a year ago. The bank set aside $1.24 billion as provision for credit losses, which included a modest decrease in the allowance for those losses. Revenue rose to $20.69 billion in the quarter.
    The bank repurchased more than $12 billion of common stock during the first half of 2024 and it expects to increase the third-quarter dividend by 14%.
    The stock is up more than 22% this year, outperforming the S&P 500.

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    Inside a $60 million beachfront mansion with subterranean secrets and Italian flair

    The owner of a beachfront mansion in Delray Beach, Florida, is looking to shatter a local price record with a home that delivers old-school Italian flair above ground and hidden personality below.
    The upper levels are adorned with 300 stone-carved columns, vaulted ceilings and even a fresco painted in Florence, Italy.
    Meanwhile, the home’s subterranean space is packed with modern luxuries including a super car gallery, glowing tequila bar and a steel vault packed with piles of cash.
    CNBC takes a tour of the mansion, currently listed for $60 million.

    The Mar Pietra compound in Delray Beach, Florida, is being offered at $60 million.
    Daniel Petroni

    The owner of a beachfront mansion in Delray Beach, Florida, is looking to shatter a local price record with a home that delivers old-school Italian flair above ground and hidden personality below.
    While the upper levels are adorned with 300 stone-carved columns, vaulted ceilings and even a fresco painted in Florence, Italy, the home’s subterranean space is packed with modern luxuries including a super car gallery, glowing tequila bar and a steel vault packed with piles of cash.

    The two distinct design themes are wrapped in a limestone-clad residence located on the town’s ultra-high-end South Ocean Boulevard. The 23,000-plus square-foot home is called Mar Pietra, Italian for “sea stone.”
    “So much stone went into this house, I thought it was appropriate,” owner Massimo Musa told CNBC.

    Musa founded and sold several companies in the eye-care industry. He also develops real estate and built Mar Pietra with this now ex-wife.
    The passion project took five years to complete and employed dozens of craftsmen, painters and sculptors, many of them from Italy. Tons of limestone were shipped here from Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula; hand-carved marble made the journey from Verona, Italy; and massive panels of cedar arrived from Colombia.

    Sunrise over the pool. Under the archways on the left is a loggia that includes an outdoor kitchen, dining area and lounge.
    Daniel Petroni

    According to the listing, the mega home sits on 100 feet of beachfront. There is a main residence and guest house and all together nine bedrooms, 12 full baths and seven half baths. The climate-controlled subterranean garage adds 4,000 more square feet, with even more space added via covered areas such as a luxurious loggia that houses another kitchen, bar, lounge and dining area.

    The massive estate is five times the size of the average Delray Beach home sold during the first quarter, and its eight-figure price tag is more than 18 times the area’s almost $3.3 million average sales price for a luxury home, according to the Elliman Report. The report defines luxury homes as the top 10% of sales.
    The highest sale price ever achieved in Delray Beach was $34 million for a listing also located on South Ocean Boulevard that sold in 2021. According to public records, the top sale price per square foot was also recorded in 2021, at just under $2,600 per square foot. Mar Pietra’s list price would put it right in line with that value metric.

    The grand salon’s ornately carved ceiling was inspired by a palazzo in Rome. The room overlooks the pool and ocean.
    Daniel Petroni

    The trophy home’s massive footprint and its giant oceanfront lawn are a rare sight on this strip of beach in Palm Beach County. According to Musa, that is because of the lot’s unique zoning history.
    Public records show he bought the lot, along with the lot across the street on the Intracoastal Waterway, for $9 million back in in 2002. At the time, the oceanfront parcel had a hotel on it, which means the land was under hotel zoning regulations. Musa, who immigrated to the U.S. from Italy, tore down the old building so he could build a beachfront family home that paid homage to his home country.

    A pair of stone staircases leads from the oceanfront lawn up to Mar Pietra’s limestone-clad sundeck and pool area.
    Daniel Petroni

    Even after the hotel’s demolition, Musa says, the land’s hotel zoning remained intact. That allowed him to build a home with a larger footprint and smaller setbacks. Plus, the residence could extend closer to the shoreline than current residential zoning typically allows. 
    Also grandfathered in was a portion of beachfront lot that was cleared decades ago by the hotel’s owners, something Musa told CNBC current regulation would never allow. That clearing is now a lush evergreen lawn, made of artificial grass, that rolls across the back of his one-acre property where it meets the natural vegetation on the sandy shoreline.

    A balcony on the home’s second level overlooks the pool, ocean and large artificial lawn that borders the beach.
    Daniel Petroni

    The home’s position 21 feet above sea level and its sheer size is impressive, but like many listings at this price point, it is not always easy to find a buyer. While the estate has been on and off the market since December 2021, its $60 million price tag holds steady. It is currently offered by South Florida listing agent Senada Adzem of Douglas Elliman.
    “This trophy estate stands as one of South Florida’s finest bespoke luxury properties, designed to evoke timeless elegance,” Adzem told CNBC.

    The main hall features vaulted ceilings and a few of the home’s 300 stone columns.
    Daniel Petroni

    The kitchen features Italian white marble and reclaimed beams that span the ceiling.
    Daniel Petroni

    According to the Elliman Report, luxury single-family home inventory in the first quarter rose more than 12% over the previous year, and the average sales price of a luxury single-family home in Delray Beach dropped more than 33%.
    Despite data that suggests the market may be experiencing some headwinds, Adzem remains confident in the list price and South Florida’s high-end real estate market.
    “The ultra-luxury real estate market will continue to prosper,” she said. “Wealthy clients love Palm Beach County, valuing oceanfront locations, privacy and uniqueness above all else.”
    To support that claim, Adzem points just 400 meters down the street to a sale in Highland Beach, where just this May an oceanfront home traded for $50 million, or more than $2,800 per square foot. On this coastline, Mar Pietra could actually be considered a relative bargain. A nearby smaller home, also on South Ocean Boulevard, recently listed for $74 million, or about $5,100 a square foot.

    The home’s family room, overlooking the pool and ocean.
    Daniel Petroni

    According to Adzem, Mar Pietra commands a premium in part for its quality of construction and the property’s rare zoning allowances, which she called priceless.
    “These generous zoning allowances enabled our client to create a truly unique property that would otherwise be impossible,” she said.

    A seating area in Mar Pietra’s loggia overlooking the sunrise.
    Daniel Petroni

    It is hard to imagine a potential buyer taking issue with the estate for being too small, but Adzem said in this part of Florida, it is not out of the question. So, the real estate broker and her client are ready to offer a solution.
    “What’s really unique about the home is the fact that my client is willing to sell it with the Intracoastal Waterway lot that would create the only ocean-to-intracoastal compound in Delray Beach, Florida.”
    The two-lot deal, Adzem said, would deliver enough land to develop another waterfront house that could include a rare spot on the Intracoastal Waterway to dock a mega yacht. As for the price tag to buy the full package deal, Adzem said she would only discuss that number with prospective buyers.

    Here is a closer look at Mar Pietra and what you would get for $60 million:

    Vehicles entering the estate pass through a porte-cochere that doubles as a guesthouse.
    Daniel Petroni

    The home’s driveway passes through a grand archway called a porte-cochere that leads to a circular motor court. Inside the limestone structure is a two-story guesthouse spanning more than 2,700 square feet with three bedrooms, three full baths and two half baths.

    At the center of the motor court is a fountain flanked by mature palms and framed by a driving surface that combines mosaics, marble and faux grass.
    Daniel Petroni

    Beyond the circular motor court is a giant stone staircase that ascends to the main residence.

    Mar Pietra’s grand staircase arrival.

    Through the arches at the top of the stairway is a central open-air courtyard. Musa says the design was inspired by Vizcaya Museum and Gardens in Miami.

    Dramatic archways surround the home’s open-air central courtyard.
    Daniel Petroni

    The courtyard leads to the home’s main entrance, where a butterfly staircase reigns over a double-height foyer.

    The foyer’s ceiling rises over 30 feet, with limestone archways, and a grand marble staircase.
    Daniel Petroni

    The two-story library is clad in stained cedar from Colombia, with a large marble fireplace carved in Verona, Italy.
    Daniel Petroni

    The home’s library spans two levels with a spiral staircase that rises up to the second floor — and the room delivers much more than books.

    The upper level of the wood-paneled library offers a closer look at the Italian fresco overhead.
    Daniel Petroni

    Musa says the cedar-wrapped room’s design was inspired by the Vanderbilt estate, while the fresco on the ceiling takes inspiration from the Sistine Chapel. The mural, Adzem told CNBC, was painted in Florence, Italy, shipped to Florida and affixed to the ceiling, where the artist made the final finishing touches.

    The library’s onyx bar with book-matched cedar panel walls and flooring designed with intricate inlays.
    Daniel Petroni

    The lower level of the library includes an onyx bar and a lounge area. On the upper level, windows around the home office are filled with views of the pool and ocean.

    The home office on the library’s upper level.
    Daniel Petroni

    The primary suite is also on the second floor, with views from every window.

    A seating area and double-sided fireplace at the entry of the primary suite’s sleeping quarters.
    Daniel Petroni

    Mar Pietra’s primary suite.
    Daniel Petroni

    The suite’s two baths feature contemporary designs, imported marbles and walk-in closets. The white marble bath flows seamlessly into a boutique-style, walk-in wardrobe with a cabinet island, jewelry showcase and separate shoe closet.

    A marble-clad bath in the primary suite.
    Daniel Petroni

    One of the primary suites’ two walk-in closets.
    Daniel Petroni

    Deep below the dune that Mar Pietra is perched upon is a subterranean lair with a very different design story. It is more modern down there and packed with contemporary luxuries.

    Mar Pietra’s subterranean garage is air-conditioned and spans more than 4,100 square feet.
    Daniel Petroni

    The home’s so-called auto lounge is an underground garage adorned with giant crystal chandeliers, ornate ceilings and parking for seven cars. During CNBC’s visit, it was staged bumper to bumper with $5 million worth of rare Lamborghinis. 

    The lower level’s lounge offers a view of the car salon through a floor-to-ceiling wall of curved glass.
    Daniel Petroni

    The parking area leads to a lounge designed for people who like to admire their rides. A wall of curved glass separates the lounge from the garage and delivers a great view of the parked supercars. The steel vault on the side wall is an art piece with a functioning door and stacks of money inside.

    The lower level’s tequilla bar is clad in white quartzite.
    Daniel Petroni

    The lower level also includes a tequila-only bar wrapped in quartzite. After dark, lights embedded in the stone can ignite the surfaces with a milky-white glow. 

    Mar Pietra’s subterranean home theater.
    Daniel Petroni

    There is also a state-of-the-art theater, with a floor-to-ceiling and wall-to-wall electronic screen, and it is one of the home’s two cinemas. More

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    JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon warns inflation and interest rates may stay higher

    Jamie Dimon, President & CEO,Chairman & CEO JPMorgan Chase, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 17th, 2024.
    Adam Galici | CNBC

    JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon on Friday issued another warning about inflation despite recent signs of easing in price pressures.
    “There has been some progress bringing inflation down, but there are still multiple inflationary forces in front of us: large fiscal deficits, infrastructure needs, restructuring of trade and remilitarization of the world,” Dimon said in a statement along with the bank’s second-quarter results. “Therefore, inflation and interest rates may stay higher than the market expects.”

    His comments came after this week’s data showed the monthly inflation rate dipped in June for the first time in more than four years, which fueled bets that the Federal Reserve could cut rates soon.
    The consumer price index, a broad measure of costs for goods and services across the U.S. economy, declined 0.1% in June from May, putting the 12-month rate at 3%, around its lowest level in more than three years.
    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell earlier this week expressed concern that holding interest rates too high for too long could jeopardize economic growth, teasing that rate reductions could be on the horizon as long as inflation continues to show progress.
    Dimon joined many economists in sounding the alarm on the U.S.’ burgeoning debt and deficits. The federal government has so far spent $855 billion more than it has collected in the 2024 fiscal year. For fiscal 2023, the government’s deficit spending came in at $1.7 trillion.

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    China gears up for next week’s Third Plenum meeting. Here’s why real estate isn’t likely the main focus

    The much-anticipated policy meeting, scheduled for Monday to Thursday, is a major gathering of the top members of the ruling Communist Party of China that typically happens only once every five years.
    This plenum was widely expected to be held last fall but has been delayed.
    “The key challenge faced by Beijing is to find an alternative fiscal system, as the current one, which relies heavily on land sales, is under severe pressure due to the plunging land market,” Larry Hu, chief China economist at Macquarie, said in an email to CNBC.

    High-rise buildings are being seen in the West Coast New Area of Qingdao, Shandong province, China, on July 6, 2024.
    Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    BEIJING — China’s real estate problems may be massive, but analysts expect the upcoming Third Plenum to focus on other areas — such as high local government debt levels and a push for advanced manufacturing.
    The much-anticipated policy meeting, scheduled for Monday to Thursday, is a major gathering of the top members of the ruling Communist Party of China that typically happens only once every five years. This plenum was widely expected to be held last fall but has been delayed.

    “The key challenge faced by Beijing is to find an alternative fiscal system, as the current one, which relies heavily on land sales, is under severe pressure due to the plunging land market,” Larry Hu, chief China economist at Macquarie, said in an email to CNBC.

    He expects next week’s meeting to focus on fiscal reform and other structural policies. Hu pointed out that cyclical policies — which can include property — are usually discussed at more regular meetings such as that of China’s Politburo, expected in late July.
    “Other than that, policymakers are also likely to reiterate [their] commitment to innovation, i.e. the so-called new productive forces,” Hu said, referring to Beijing’s push to support advanced manufacturing and high-tech.
    The Central Committee of the ruling Chinese Communist Party, made up of more than 300 people including full and alternate members, typically holds seven plenary meetings during each five-year term.
    The Politburo is a group of about 24 people within that committee. 

    The Standing Committee of the Politburo, made up of seven key members, is the highest circle of power in China which is headed by Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Party and President of China.

    The Third Plenum, set for July 15-18, is one of the most important political meetings of the Chinese Communist Party.
    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The Third Plenum has traditionally focused on economic policy. Under Deng Xiaoping’s leadership in 1978,  the meeting officially heralded significant changes for the communist state, such as China’s “reform and opening.”
    At next week’s plenary meeting, “the number one thing I’m looking out for is the so-called financial reform,” Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank (China), told CNBC.
    She’ll also be watching for details around consolidation in the banking sector, as well as signals on policy around local government finances and taxes.
    “For real estate markets, I don’t think it should be a focus of the plenum, because it’s already [in a] state that everyone has a consensus [on],” Wang said. “It’s in a downturn. It hasn’t reached the bottom yet.”

    Links to local government finances

    While pertinent to the wealth of most households in China, the property sector’s troubles are also intertwined with local government finances and their piles of hidden debt.
    Local governments once relied heavily on land sales for revenue.
    “In the medium and longer term, the importance of cultivating sustainable revenue sources for local governments will increase,” HSBC analysts said in a June 28 report previewing the Third Plenum.
    “Broadening the imposition of direct taxes on, for example, consumption, personal income, property, etc., is often considered as a solution. Among these possibilities, a consumption tax might be the most effective,” the analysts said, noting it could incentivize local authorities to boost consumption.

    We believe transitions need to be carefully designed and carried out at this juncture, considering the low confidence level in the private sector…

    It’s not necessarily that straightforward to boost sentiment, however. In the weeks ahead of the plenum, Chinese stocks slipped closer to correction territory — or more than 10% from a recent high.
    “We believe transitions need to be carefully designed and carried out at this juncture, considering the low confidence level in the private sector, or it may work in the opposite direction to a supportive fiscal stance,” the HSBC analysts said.
    Attempts to tackle broad financial risk have prompted more restrictions on the broader banking and finance industry. Since the latest Central Committee was installed in October 2022, the Chinese Communist Party has increased its oversight of finance and tech with new commissions.
    “The scale of real estate has become so large, it’s absorbed all of China’s resources,” Yao Yang, professor and director of the China Center for Economic Research at Peking University, said last month, according to a CNBC translation of his speech in Mandarin.

    In his view, excessive growth of the financial sector was behind the hollowing out of the U.S. industrial sector.
    “For China to compete with the U.S., we need to develop manufacturing and tech,” Yao said. “Consequently we must constrain the financial industry, including real estate. That’s the underlying reason for tightened regulations on both real estate and finance.”
    Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report last month that average wages at brokerages, affecting about 0.1% of China’s urban population, fell by almost 20% in 2022 and ticked lower last year.
    Together with the far larger impact of constrained local government finances, the analysts found that finance and public sector pay cuts dragged down urban wage growth by about 0.5 percentage points each year in 2022 and 2023.
    Separately, China reportedly plans to limit the financial industry to an annual salary of around 3 million yuan (about $413,350) — a cap that would apply retroactively and require workers to return excess earnings to their companies, the South China Morning Post said last week, citing people familiar with the matter.
    China’s National Financial Regulatory Administration did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment.

    Long-term goals, existing challenges

    Beijing’s official announcement of the Third Plenum said leaders will discuss “comprehensively deepening reform and advancing Chinese modernization.” The readout noted China’s goals to build a “high-standard socialist market economy by 2035.”
    Beijing said in 2020 such “socialist modernization” would include per capita GDP of “moderately developed countries,” an expanded middle-income group and reduced disparities in living standards.
    It won’t be an easy task, especially following the shock of the Covid-19 pandemic and rising geopolitical tensions. China’s per capita GDP last year in constant U.S. dollars was $12,174 — less than one-fifth of the United States at $65,020, according to the World Bank.

    It may be that a slowing economy means fewer opportunities and raises more concerns about inequality and fairness than before.

    Big Data China

    While income inequality is a global issue, new research indicates that people in China have become significantly discouraged by perceived “unequal opportunity.” That’s according to surveys since 2004 by teams led by Martin King Whyte of Harvard University and Scott Rozelle of Stanford University.
    The latest survey found that regardless of income bracket, more respondents thought their families’ economic situation had declined in 2023 compared to prior years.
    “It may be that a slowing economy means fewer opportunities and raises more concerns about inequality and fairness than before,” a summary of the survey by Big Data China said. “In other words, inequality may be more acceptable when the pie is growing very quickly, but it becomes less so when the economy falters.” More