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    GM, Honda begin U.S. fuel cell production in step toward replacing diesel

    GM and Honda have begun commercial production of hydrogen fuel cell systems in a step toward offering alternative zero-emissions solutions beyond battery-electric vehicles.
    The fuel cell systems are produced through a 50-50 joint venture between the automakers at an $85 million facility in suburban Detroit.
    Many in the automotive industry view fuel cells as a replacement for use cases for diesel fuel in things such as generators, heavy-duty trucks, semitrucks and construction equipment, among others.

    An employee assembles a fuel cell system in the module final assembly at Fuel Cell System Manufacturing LLC, GM and Honda’s fuel cell joint venture in Brownstown, Michigan.
    Courtesy image

    BROWNSTOWN, Mich. – General Motors and Honda Motor have begun commercial production of hydrogen fuel cell systems in a step toward offering alternative zero-emissions solutions beyond battery-electric vehicles.
    The fuel cell systems are produced through a 50-50 joint venture between the automakers at an $85 million facility in suburban Detroit. The companies, which are marketing and selling products separately, are calling the “large-scale” production at the joint venture the first of its kind in the U.S.

    Many in the automotive industry view fuel cells as a replacement for use cases for diesel fuel in things such as generators, heavy-duty trucks, semitrucks and construction equipment, among others.
    Executives for both automakers and the Fuel Cell System Manufacturing LLC joint venture, as it’s called, said the start of commercial production marked a historical moment for the technology, which has been under development for decades.
    And it comes at a key time for fuel cells.
    Tightening emissions regulations, technological improvements, and heightened attention on environmental, social and corporate-governance, or ESG, efforts have created a clear opportunity, officials said.
    “We’re getting some scale capability; we’re bringing costs down. And now we can start to move it into these segments where before it wasn’t really feasible,” Charlie Freese, executive director of GM’s “Hydrotec” fuel cell products, told CNBC during an event at the plant.

    Jay Joseph, vice president of sustainability and business development at American Honda Motor Co., on Jan. 24 discusses the company’s upcoming fuel cell vehicle that will be based off the CR-V crossover.
    Michael Wayland/CNBC

    “If we don’t plant the seeds of future use for hydrogen today, it’ll just be delayed even further,” said Jay Joseph, vice president of sustainability and business development at American Honda Motor Co.
    Honda and GM began working together on the current fuel cell system in 2013. The highly automated process of producing the systems is complex and involves expensive materials such as platinum and carbon fiber, combined to produce flat “cells.” Each fuel cell system has 307 cells in it that are vertically stacked.
    Honda’s system is expected to be introduced into vehicles this year with a crossover based on the popular CR-V. GM’s first applications are expected to be for backup power stations and large trucks in Autocar’s fleet.
    Honda’s forthcoming fuel cell vehicle is expected to be sold primarily in California, where some retail refueling stations for hydrogen vehicles have already been installed. The Japanese automaker previously sold a fuel cell vehicle called the Clarity, which ended production in 2021.

    Production and challenges

    Honda expects to sell roughly 2,000 of the fuel cell systems annually by 2025, followed by 60,000 units in 2030 and a few hundred thousand units per year by the second half of the 2030s.
    That production volume compares with millions of traditional vehicles and EVs that GM and Honda are expected to produce in the years head.
    GM declined to release production or sales expectations for its fuel cell system, but Freese said the factory is capable of scaling as needed and that both automakers are “looking at the same market and seeing the same kinds of opportunities.”

    A GM Hydrotec fuel cell power cube on display at the company’s joint venture facility with Honda in Brownstown, Michigan.
    Michael Wayland/CNBC

    In 2017, GM said it expected to produce at least one fuel cell passenger vehicle by 2023, however it ditched that plan less than three years later to focus on battery-electric vehicles for consumers.
    Freese said GM continues to view fuel cells as supplemental to GM’s plans for battery-electric vehicles, which include ending production of traditional gas-powered vehicles for consumers by 2035.
    Hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles and equipment operate much like battery-electric ones but are powered by electricity generated from hydrogen and oxygen instead of pure batteries, with water vapor as the only byproduct. They’re filled up with a nozzle almost as quickly as traditional gas and diesel vehicles.
    Fuel cell vehicles face the same challenges as battery-electric models, including consumer acceptance, fueling infrastructure and cost. Those hurdles are why many expect fuel cells to first enter commercial applications such as trucking with its set routes and destinations.
    The challenges are also why some critics doubt the potential market. Elon Musk, CEO of U.S. leader in battery-electric vehicles Tesla, has criticized fuel cells as “fool cells,” a “load of rubbish” and “mind-bogglingly stupid.” More

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    Watch: ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks after rate decision

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    European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is due to give a press conference following the bank’s latest monetary policy decision.

    The ECB on Thursday held interest rates steady for the third meeting in a row. The bank was widely expected to leave policy unchanged in light of the sharp fall in euro zone inflation.
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    Alaska Airlines says Boeing 737 Max 9 grounding will cost it $150 million

    Alaska Airlines said Thursday that the weekslong grounding of the Boeing 737 Max 9 will cost the carrier $150 million.
    The FAA grounded Boeing 737 Max 9 planes after a panel blew out during Alaska Airlines Flight 1282 on Jan. 5.
    The FAA has cleared instructions that pave the way for the 737 Max 9 planes to return to service.

    Alaska Airlines N704AL, a 737 Max 9, which made an emergency landing at Portland International Airport on January 5 is parked at a maintenance hanger in Portland, Oregon on January 23, 2024. 
    Patrick T. Fallon | AFP | Getty Images

    Alaska Airlines said Thursday that the weekslong grounding of the Boeing 737 Max 9 will cost the carrier $150 million.
    The Federal Aviation Administration grounded the planes a day after a door plug blew out during an Alaska flight on Jan. 5. Late Wednesday the agency said it approved inspection instructions that would allow that type of aircraft to return to service.

    Alaska said Wednesday the first Max 9 flights would resume as early as Friday and that it would gradually return the aircraft to service through early February.
    Both Alaska and United Airlines, the two U.S. carriers that have the Max 9s in their fleets, said they found loose bolts on several Max 9 planes during preliminary inspections shortly after the accident.
    Alaska on Thursday forecast full-year adjusted earnings per share of between $3 and $5, including the hit from the Max grounding. Analysts polled by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv, were predicting adjusted earnings of of $4.93 a share on average.
    Alaska said prior to the grounding, it expected to grow capacity from 3% to 5% this year, but, “given the grounding, and the potential for future delivery delays, the Company expects capacity growth to be at or below the lower end of this range.”
    Alaska and United CEOs have expressed frustration and anger with Boeing this week after the accident.

    “I’m more than frustrated and disappointed,” Alaska CEO Ben Minicucci told NBC News on Tuesday. “I am angry.”
    The impairment disclosure Thursday came alongside the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report.
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    Comcast tops revenue and profit estimates despite broadband subscriber losses, raises dividend by 7%

    Comcast revenue rose 2.3% to $31.25 billion in the fourth quarter.
    Net income rose 7.8% to $3.26 billion, or 81 cents a share.
    Peacock added 3 million subscribers in the quarter, bringing the streaming service to 31 million overall.
    Comcast increased its dividend by 8 cents, or 7%, to $1.24 per share

    Omar Marques | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    Comcast topped both revenue and profit estimates in the fourth quarter as it lost fewer broadband subscribers than expected, and it raised its dividend 7%, the company said Thursday.
    Here’s how Comcast performed, compared with estimates from analysts surveyed by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv.

    Earnings per share: 84 cents adjusted vs. 79 cents expected
    Revenue: $31.25 billion vs. $30.51 billion expected

    For the quarter ended Dec. 31, net income rose 7.8% to $3.26 billion, or 81 cents a share, compared with $3.02 billion, or 70 cents a share, a year earlier. Revenue increased 2.3% compared with the prior-year period. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) was flat year over year at about $8 billion.
    “For the third consecutive year, we generated the highest revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS in our company’s history,” Comcast Chief Executive Officer Brian Roberts said in a statement. “We also reported the highest adjusted EBITDA on record at Theme Parks; were the #1 studio in worldwide box office for the first time since 2015; and maintained Peacock’s position as the fastest growing streamer in the U.S.”

    Comcast chairman and CEO Brian L. Roberts.
    Getty Images

    Comcast increased its dividend by 8 cents, or 7%, to $1.24 per share on an annualized basis for 2024. It’s the 16th consecutive year the company has raised its dividend. Comcast also approved a new share repurchase program authorization with no expiration date for $15 billion, effective as of Friday.
    Free cash flow in the fourth quarter was $1.7 billion and $13 billion for the year.
    Comcast lost 34,000 domestic broadband subscribers — less than the average analyst estimate of about 62,000 as compiled by StreetAccount. Despite the losses, domestic broadband revenue rose 3.7% to $6.4 billion. Average revenue per user jumped 3.9% as customers connected more devices and spent more for higher Internet speeds.

    Comcast added 310,000 wireless subscribers, trailing the average analyst forecast of about 342,000 gained. The company lost 389,000 video subscribers — a narrower loss than the average analyst estimate of nearly 458,000.
    Theme parks adjusted EBITDA rose 11.6% to $872 million, which trailed analyst estimates of roughly $897 million. The figure still broke a quarterly record for Comcast.

    NBCUniversal results

    NBCUniversal’s flagship streaming service, Peacock, added 3 million subscribers as revenue increased more than 50% to $1.03 billion, marking the first time Peacock has topped $1 billion or more in a quarter. Peacock lost an adjusted $825 million in the quarter, narrowing its loss from $978 million in the same period a year prior. Peacock ended the quarter with 31 million subscribers.
    Overall media revenue rose 3.1% to nearly $7 billion, but adjusted EBITDA fell 50% to $108 million due to increased sports programming costs and higher programming costs at Peacock. The increase in sports costs reflected higher media rights for NFL programming, the Premier League and the Big 10.
    Domestic advertising revenue decreased 6.9% year over year to $2.64 billion, although sales would have increased 2.7% in the quarter with the exclusion of last year’s World Cup advertising.
    Theatrical revenue rose 59% in the quarter based largely on the performance of four films: “Five Nights at Freddy’s,” “Trolls Band Together,” “The Exorcist: Believer” and “Migration.” Universal ranked first in global box office in 2023 for the first time since 2015 and produced three of the top five movies: “The Super Mario Bros. Movie,” “Oppenheimer” and “Fast X.”
    Disclosure: Comcast owns NBCUniversal, the parent company of CNBC. More

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    American Airlines posts narrow fourth-quarter profit

    American Airlines on Thursday posted a $19 million profit for the last three months of 2023.
    The airline beat Wall Street estimates on the top and bottom lines.
    The earnings report comes on a a busy day for the airline industry, with Southwest and Alaska also reporting fourth-quarter earnings.

    Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner, from American Airlines company, taking off from Barcelona airport, in Barcelona on 24th February 2023. 
    JanValls | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    American Airlines on Thursday posted a $19 million profit for the last three months of 2023, topping Wall Street estimates on the top and bottom lines.
    Shares of the company rose about 5% in premarket trading.

    Here’s how American performed in the last quarter of 2023 compared to Wall Street estimates compiled by LSEG, formerly known as Refinitiv:

    Earnings per share: 29 cents adjusted vs. 10 cents per share expected.
    Revenue: $13.06 billion vs. $13.02 billion expected.

    For the last three months of 2023, American Airlines reported net income of $19 million, down nearly 98% from $803 million the year prior. Earnings per share decreased to 3 cents from $1.14 in the fourth quarter of 2022.
    Adjusting for one-time items, including the impact of a new labor agreement with the airline’s pilots, American earned 29 cents per share.
    In its third-quarter earnings report, the airline had estimated it would break even for the December period.
    “We’re really pleased with the results, we closed out the year strong,” CEO Robert Isom told CNBC’s Phil LeBeau Thursday. “At American, we’re focused on reliability, profitability and really strengthening our balance sheet. We’ve done all of those… I think that we’re going to have a really busy first and second quarter, and I think the time to buy is right now for travel. It’s going to be a busy year.”

    Looking ahead, American said it expects a net loss per share of between 15 cents and 35 cents, adjusted, for the first quarter of 2024. Costs, excluding fuel are expected to rise between 2% and 4% for the period, with flying capacity up between 6.5% and 8.5%.
    For the full year 2024, American expects adjusted earnings per share of $2.25 to $3.25 with flying capacity up mid-single digits over 2023.
    In a letter to American team members, Isom said the strength of the business meant all U.S. and Canada-based employees will receive a profit-sharing payment in March.
    The earnings report comes on a a busy day for the airline industry, with Southwest and Alaska also reporting fourth-quarter earnings Thursday. United Airlines on Monday posted higher-than-expected earnings and revenue and a sunny forecast for 2024.
    Carriers have been navigating tricky winter weather in the early weeks of January, but American said it achieved its best-ever on-time departures over the December holidays.
    Industry eyes have been on the Boeing 737 Max 9 plane of late after that aircraft model was grounded by the Federal Aviation Administration earlier this month following an Alaska Airlines midflight incident.
    American doesn’t have any of the planes in its fleet, but it does have the more common 737 Max 8, with 20 more planned for this year, according to Isom. However, late Wednesday, the FAA said it would halt Boeing’s ability to increase 737 Max production, which could hit future deliveries of aircraft.
    “We have a safety management system that we worked on with the FAA, and in that, we try to identify anything that may be an issue or cause for further investigation – and that even holds true when it comes to taking aircraft deliveries,” Isom told CNBC on “Squawk Box.” “We need all of our partners… to do their job, and that’s producing a quality product.” More

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    Southwest Airlines takes Boeing Max 7 out of 2024 plans because of certification delays

    Southwest said it removed the Boeing 737 Max 7 from its capacity plans in 2024.
    The smallest model in the 737 Max family hasn’t yet been certified by the FAA.
    Southwest is the latest airline to rethink its fleet plans because of certification delays.

    Southwest Airlines ranked as the second-best domestic airline, according to Bounce’s 2023 Airline Index.
    Aaronp/bauer-griffin | Gc Images | Getty Images

    Southwest Airlines has taken the Boeing 737 Max 7 out of its fleet plans as regulators haven’t yet certified the smallest model of the manufacturer’s best-selling plane.
    Southwest became the latest of the major airlines this week to rethink its fleet plans because of certification delays at Boeing.

    Earlier this week, United Airlines said it was removing the the 737 Max 10, the largest model of the Max family, from its internal fleet plans after delays with certification.
    Scrutiny on Boeing has mounted in recent weeks after a door panel blew out midflight from a 737 Max 9 that was operated by Alaska Airlines on Jan. 5, prompting the FAA to ground that model. The FAA on Wednesday cleared inspection instructions to allow the planes to return to service as early as this week.
    Southwest said in a quarterly earnings and outlook report on Thursday that it expects to receive 79 aircraft this year and that it was removing the Max 7 from its plans “due to Boeing’s continued supply chain challenges and the current status of the -7 certification” down from a contracted 85 aircraft.
    FAA Administrator Mike Whitaker told CNBC earlier this week that even before the Alaska Airlines incident, the agency had concluded it needed a more “hands-on approach” with the certification of the Max 7 and Max 10 aircraft. He said the agency has no timelines for those aircraft certifications.
    “As I prepared for this job and went through the nomination and confirmation and really did a deep dive into what happened with the Max originally, I think the message was extra vigilance,” said Whitaker, who is about three months into the agency’s top job. “So we had already teed up greater visibility in our front office on what these certification programs are, just to have a better understanding of what’s coming. I think that higher level of vigilance is going to remain.” More

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    Hamptons mansion once listed for $150 million sells at auction for less than $90 million

    A Hamptons estate that once listed for $150 million before falling into bankruptcy was sold at auction Wednesday for $88.5 million.
    The property, once the most expensive listing the Hamptons and famed for an appearance in the Woody Allen film “Interiors,” had been on and off the market since 2016.
    The compound includes 23 bedrooms, two pools, a sunken tennis court, a home theater, spa, sauna and two gyms.

    A Hamptons estate that once listed for $150 million before falling into bankruptcy was sold at auction Wednesday for $88.5 million.
    The four-acre estate in Southampton, New York, known as La Dune, was sold by Concierge Auctions at a starting bid of $66 million. The property was sold in two parts — one house sold for $40.5 million and the other for $38.5 million. The buyer premium brings the total sale to $88.5 million.

    The property, once the most expensive listing the Hamptons and famed for an appearance in the Woody Allen film “Interiors,” had been on and off the market since 2016. It was most recently listed in 2022 at $150 million.
    Last year, the two properties on the compound were put into Chapter 11 bankruptcy after a foreclosure judgement.

    The Atlantic Ocean offers a stunning backdrop for a pair of mansions for sale on Gin Lane in Southampton.
    Liam Gifkins

    The previous owner, Louise Blouin, purchased the property in the 1990s for $13.5 million. She spent millions building a second mansion on the property in 2001, adding to the existing mansion, which was built in the 1890s.
    The compound includes 23 bedrooms, two pools, a sunken tennis court, a home theater, spa, sauna and two gyms. Located on coveted Gin Lane, the property has 400 feet of oceanfront and lush landscaping.
    Blouin, a Canadian art magazine publisher, owned Art+Auction, Gallery Guide, Modern Painters and other publications before the business started to falter. The loans on the La Dune property reached $40 million, according to media reports, and the estate was placed into Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year to avoid a foreclosure auction.

    The pair of beachfront homes with two pools and a tennis court in the foreground of the photo are the La Dune estate.
    Liam Gifkins

    Real estate sales slowed in the Hamptons last year, largely due to a lack of inventory, according to industry analysts. Yet prices and demand at the high end of the market remain strong.
    Two properties sold in the Hamptons last year for over $50 million each, including a 6.7-acre compound in East Hampton that went for $91.5 million, more than double its sale price three years earlier.
    La Dune is among the most expensive homes sold at auction. In 2022, Concierge sold an estate in the Los Angeles area at auction for $141 million.
    Concierge auctioned La Dune in partnership with Harald Grant of Sotheby’s International Realty, Tim Davis of The Corcoran Group, and Cody Vichinsky, president and founding partner of Bespoke Real Estate. More

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    The false promise of friendshoring

    Each year the 193 member states of the United Nations General Assembly vote on dozens of resolutions, earnestly setting the world to rights. Last month, for example, they voted in favour of reducing space threats, eradicating rural poverty and combating dust storms, among other things. The votes count for little. The assembly’s resolutions are not legally binding. Its budgetary powers are small. And it has as many military divisions as the pope.But for scholars of international relations, these votes have long provided a handy, quantitative measure of the geopolitical alignments between countries. More recently, economists have also turned to them. Owing to the trade war between America and China, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the conflict in Gaza and recent blockades in the Red Sea, geopolitics has become impossible for dismal scientists to ignore. Although their models of trade and investment typically give pride of place to the economic size of countries and the geographic distance between them, they are now considering “geopolitical distance” as well.image: The EconomistThe latest such study was published this month by the McKinsey Global Institute, a think-tank attached to the consultancy of the same name. By analysing countries’ votes on 201 of the higher-profile resolutions between 2005 and 2022, McKinsey was able to plot countries’ geopolitical stances on a scale from zero to ten. America stands at one end of the spectrum, labelled zero. At the other end is Iran at ten. In between are countries like Britain at 0.3, Brazil at 5 and China at 9.6.The authors use this measure to provide a new perspective on each country’s trade. As well as measuring the average geographical distance that a country’s trade must travel, they also calculate the geopolitical distance it must traverse. In a hypothetical world in which half of Iran’s trade was with America and half with Brazil, its trade would cover a geopolitical distance of 7.5.Their results are illuminating. European countries trade mostly with one another. As a consequence, their trade for the most part flows to their friends and neighbours. Things are rather less comfortable for Australia, however. It must trade with countries that are both geopolitically and geographically remote.America is somewhere in between. Thanks in part to its continental size, it has few prosperous neighbours. Less than 5% of global GDP is generated by countries within 5,000km of America, as McKinsey points out. Its trade travels almost 7,200km on average, compared with 6,600km for China’s trade and a global average of less than 5,200km. Yet in the diplomatic realm, the world is not so far away. The geopolitical distance America’s trade must cover is only a little above the global average. It is far shorter than the diplomatic distances bridged by China. Indeed, China’s trade covers a greater geopolitical gap than that of any of the other 150 countries in McKinsey’s data, bar Nicaragua, which resents America, but is doomed to do business with it.The study finds some early evidence of “friendshoring”. Since 2017, America has managed to shorten the geopolitical distance covered by its trade by 10%, on McKinsey’s scale. It has, for example, sharply curtailed imports from China, although some of the goods it now buys from other countries, such as Vietnam, are full of Chinese parts and components. China has also reduced the geopolitical distance of its trade by 4%, although that has required it to trade with countries farther afield geographically.Yet the report identifies several limits to this trend. Much of the trade countries carry out with ideological rivals is trade of necessity: alternative suppliers are not easy to find. McKinsey looks at what it calls “concentrated” products, where three or fewer countries account for the lion’s share of global exports. This kind of product accounts for a disproportionate share of the trade that spans long geopolitical distances. Australia, for example, dominates exports of iron ore to China. Likewise China dominates exports of batteries made from neodymium, a “rare-earth” metal.The attempt to reduce geopolitical dangers may also increase other supply-chain risks. Friendshoring will give countries a narrower range of trading partners, obliging them to put their eggs in fewer baskets. McKinsey calculates that if tariffs and other barriers cut the geopolitical distance of global trade by about a quarter, the concentration of imports would increase by 13% on average.For countries in the middle of the geopolitical spectrum, friendshoring has little appeal. They cannot afford to limit their trade to other fence-sitters, because their combined economic clout is still too small. Countries that score between 2.5 and 7.5 on McKinsey’s scale—a list that includes rising economies such as Brazil, India and Mexico—account for just one-fifth of global trade. To avoid falling between two stools, they must seek to trade across the geopolitical spectrum, just as they do now.Friendshoring has limits for China as well. There are simply not enough big economies in its geopolitical orbit to compensate for reduced trade with unfriendly Western trading partners. For China, then, friendshoring is more about replacing rivals and antagonists with more neutral parties among the non-aligned world, such as in Central Asia and the Middle East.Check mateIn studying how trade might contort itself along geopolitical lines, the McKinsey study assumes that the lines themselves remain fixed. But as the report freely admits, that might not be the case. The invasion of Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Gaza is already causing new divisions and allegiances. It is conceivable that non-aligned countries might move closer to China politically, as China embraces them economically. Certainly, by spurning Chinese trade and investment, the West would give China added incentive to ingratiate itself with the rest of the world. After all, there are two ways to shorten the geopolitical distance of trade: trade more with friends or make more friends to trade with. ■Read more from Free exchange, our column on economics:What economists have learnt from the post-pandemic business cycle (Jan 17th)Has Team Transitory really won America’s inflation debate? (Jan 10th)Robert Solow was an intellectual giant (Jan 4th)For more expert analysis of the biggest stories in economics, finance and markets, sign up to Money Talks, our weekly subscriber-only newsletter More