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    Student loan borrowers at risk of scams as payments restart, says FTC

    Federal student loan borrowers are at risk of scams when payments restart in October, the Federal Trade Commission said.
    Student loan payments have been paused for more than three years during the Covid-19 pandemic. The pause has been extended eight times.
    The Federal Student Aid website studentaid.gov is the best source of information about loans, the FTC said.

    Juan Algar | Moment | Getty Images

    Student loan payments are restarting in October after a pause of more than three years — and scammers are trying to take advantage, the Federal Trade Commission warned.
    Fraudsters may try mislead borrowers by offering assistance and asking them to pay for it, Ari Lazarus, consumer education specialist at the FTC, wrote in a consumer alert Thursday. Those fake offers might include lowering borrowers’ monthly payments, avoiding repayment or getting their loans forgiven.

    “Worried about repaying your loans? The calls and texts that offer ‘help’ might be tempting,” the alert said. “But before you act, know how to spot the scams.”
    More from Personal Finance:Some student loan holders may be able to tap 529 plansFirst Frisco school savings account holders head to collegeThe biggest downside to 529 plans is about to go away
    The suspension of federal student loan payments began in March 2020, one of many tranches of government aid meant to alleviate financial pressures on households at the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic.
    The pause has since been extended eight times, twice by the Trump administration and six times by the Biden administration. Interest on federal student debt was also suspended during this period but started accruing again on Sept. 1.
    The “best source” of information on federal student loans is the Federal Student Aid website, studentaid.gov, the FTC said.

    The agency offered two tips to avoid falling victim to a scam:

    Don’t give away your FSA ID login information. Only scammers will ask for this. They can cut off contact between borrowers and their loan servicer, and perhaps even steal their identity.

    Don’t trust people who promise debt relief or loan forgiveness, even if they claim to be from the U.S. Department of Education. Special access to repayment plans or forgiveness options doesn’t exist. Instead, log into your student loan account to review your options. More

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    Why Stellantis could face a longer strike than Ford or GM

    Stellantis has a problem that its local rivals Ford and General Motors don’t.
    The company has signaled that it intends to close or sell 18 of its U.S. facilities.
    In turn, Stellantis may be gearing up for a longer UAW strike.

    Supporters cheer as United Auto Workers members go on strike at the Ford Michigan Assembly Plant on September 15, 2023 in Wayne, Michigan. 
    Bill Pugliano | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    The United Auto Workers labor union launched targeted strikes against the three Detroit automakers early Friday morning. The stoppages affect three plants that make popular models such as the Ford Bronco, Chevrolet Colorado and Jeep Wrangler.
    It’s the first time in history that the UAW has struck all three of the Detroit automakers at once. But while the strikes began at the same time, they may play out very differently in the days to come – with Stellantis potentially facing a tougher road to a deal than its crosstown rivals Ford Motor and General Motors.

    Stellantis has a problem that its local rivals don’t. The company, formed in early 2021 from a merger between Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and French automaker Peugeot, has more production capacity than it needs around the world. Stellantis has signaled that it intends to close or sell 18 of its U.S. facilities, including factories and parts depots. The company has a total of about 35 factories and parts distribution centers in the U.S. now.
    That’s a plan that the union is unlikely to accept willingly.
    It’s possible that Stellantis has been preparing for a lengthy strike with that in mind: The company had more vehicles in its U.S. dealer inventories at the beginning of September than either of its crosstown rivals.
    The auto industry measures inventory in terms of “days’ supply,” based on the rate of sales of each model over the previous 30 days. According to data from Cox Automotive, all four of Stellantis’ U.S. brands had more than 100 days’ worth of vehicles on dealer lots or in transit to dealers as of the beginning of September. GM’s Cadillac and Chevrolet brands had just 46 days’ and 51 days’ worth of vehicles, respectively; the Ford brand had 77 days’ worth.
    The industry-wide average was 58 days’ supply as of the beginning of the month. Historically, the Detroit automakers have tended to have somewhat larger supplies on hand because their full-size pickups are offered in many different configurations.

    In contrast to Stellantis, the UAW’s strike against Ford could be relatively brief. From comments made by Fain and Ford executives in recent days, it appeared that Ford was the closest of the three automakers to a deal with the union. The UAW may have recognized that when it chose to strike only part of Ford’s Michigan Assembly Plant, the areas where vehicles are painted and where final assembly happens. All of the UAW-represented workers at GM’s Wentzville, Missouri assembly plant and Stellantis’s Jeep Wrangler factory in Toledo walked out last night.
    General Motors may also be spared a protracted strike. Details made public from GM’s final offer before the strike, on Thursday, suggested that its offer was similar to Ford’s, with a 20% wage increase over the four-year term of the contract, more vacation days and two weeks of parental leave, among other concessions.
    If Ford reaches agreement with the UAW soon, GM could follow soon after by using Ford’s deal as a template.
    But as of Friday morning, Stellantis seemed to be buckling down for a long battle.
    “We are extremely disappointed by the UAW leadership’s refusal to engage in a responsible manner to reach a fair agreement in the best interest of our employees, their families and our customers,” the company said in a statement following the walkouts. “We immediately put the Company in contingency mode and will take all the appropriate structural decisions to protect our North American operations and the Company.”
    In line with past practice following a strike, the UAW and the automakers will take a break from negotiations on Friday. Meetings are expected to resume this weekend. More

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    A fight between fast food chains and unions in California is over, for now – what to know

    The California minimum wage for fast-food workers is on track to rise to $20 an hour next April.
    The pay hike is part of deal between the restaurant industry and labor groups over controversial legislation in California.
    From 2025 through 2029, a nine-person council will have the authority to raise the hourly minimum wage annually for affected businesses.

    Flags are flown at a car caravan and rally of fast food workers and supporters for passage of AB 257, a fast-food worker health and safety bill, on April 16, 2021 in the Boyle Heights neighborhood of Los Angeles, California.
    Mario Tama | Getty Images

    Fast-food workers in California are set to receive pay hikes next year after the restaurant industry and unions reached a compromise over a controversial bill.
    The deal, brokered with the help of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s office, also creates a nine-person council that will decide on future wage hikes for the fast-food industry in California through 2029. The agreement ends a fight between the two sides that threatened to stretch out for years. The restaurant industry was gearing up to spend more than $100 million on the battle.

    The deal will mean a wage floor of $20 for California workers of fast-food chains with at least 60 locations nationwide, starting April 1. And from 2025 through 2029, the appointed council will have the authority to raise the hourly minimum wage annually by whichever is lower: 3.5% or the annual change in the consumer price index.
    The council will include four representatives from the fast-food industry, four from the workers’ side and one neutral party who will serve as chair.
    While fast-food operators will have to cope with paying higher wages, the agreement thwarts more dire consequences, according to industry analysts.
    “I certainly wouldn’t say it’s catastrophic, and certainly not as bad as it could have played out over the next year or two,” said Mark Kalinowski, CEO of Kalinowski Equity Research.
    Now California lawmakers are rushing to conclude the matter before the legislative session ends midnight Friday. Newsom has already pledged to sign the bill into law.

    California’s fast food fight

    Newsom signed AB 257, also known as the FAST Act, into law in January. The legislation would have created a 10-person council that would govern fast-food chains with more than 60 locations, including setting guidelines for working conditions and wages. The initial wage hike could have been as high as $22 an hour.
    But the fast-food industry was attacking the bill before it even made its way to Newsom’s desk. State records show that Chipotle Mexican Grill, Chick-fil-A, Yum Brands and Restaurant Brands International were among the chains that spent money to lobby California lawmakers to oppose the legislation.
    McDonald’s U.S. President Joe Erlinger wrote a letter posted on the company’s website, making a rare public statement on a political issue. Erlinger called the bill “lopsided” and “ill-considered,” attacking lawmakers for not targeting all restaurants. As of 2022, just under 10% of McDonald’s U.S. restaurants were located in California, according to Citi Research. Most are run by franchisees.

    A ‘Join Our Team’ sign is displayed outside a Chipotle location, listing employee benefits, on June 2, 2023 in Los Angeles, California.
    Mario Tama | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    The restaurant industry retaliated, gathering enough signatures to create a referendum that would make California’s voters decide on the matter. The Service Employees International Union, which backed the FAST Act, alleged in a lawsuit that the industry misled signatories, but a judge ruled against the union. The referendum was supposed to be on November 2024 ballots.
    In response to the referendum, the SEIU backed another bill, AB 1228. The bill would impose joint-employer liability on franchised businesses — including the very restaurant chains that loudly decried AB 257.
    Under the bill, franchisors like McDonald’s would be held liable for infractions committed by their franchisees. Opponents said that the bill attacked the very nature of the franchising model. AB 1228’s provisions were originally included in AB 257 but removed before Newsom signed it into law.
    The California State Assembly passed AB 1228 in early June. But the state’s senate never had the chance to vote on that version.
    Instead, the restaurant industry and the unions struck a deal, replacing the joint-employer provisions with the terms of their agreement, which also includes repealing the FAST Act and withdrawing the referendum by Jan. 1.

    What’s next for workers?

    Fast-food workers employed by affected restaurants will see pay increases of as much as 25% hit their paychecks starting in April. The current California minimum wage is $15.50 an hour, with a bump to $16 set for January.
    Employees of smaller fast-food joints and other restaurants could also reap some benefits from the legislation.
    “When you look at the $20 minimum wage, that’s a bar that’s being set,” Joe Pawlak, managing principal of restaurant consulting firm Technomic, told CNBC. “That’s gonna make the restaurant industry a lot more competitive for employees, so other industries are going to have to also step up.”
    In recent years, Amazon warehouses and retailers like Walmart and Target have lured workers away with higher hourly pay. Now they’ll be forced to compete with fast-food chains, which have traditionally been slower to raise wages due to operators’ razor-thin margins.

    When you look at the $20 minimum wage, that’s a bar that’s being set.

    Joe Pawlak
    Technomic managing principal

    Other states, like Minnesota or New York, could also follow California’s lead and craft similar councils to govern restaurants or other industries, Pawlak said.
    “[The deal] puts a model in place with a structure that everybody is able to digest,” he said.
    Still, labor’s side had to make some tradeoffs to make the deal in California. One key concession is that the council won’t have the power to set working conditions. Instead, the Fast Food Council will only be able to recommend proposed standards to state agencies.
    But that doesn’t mean that unions won’t keep trying to push for better conditions.
    “Fast-food workers’ fight in California isn’t close to over — it has only just begun as they prepare to take their seat at the table and help transform their industry for the better,” SEIU President Mary Kay Henry said in a statement to CNBC.

    What does it mean for restaurants?

    Faced with a mandate to pay higher wages, fast-food operators will have to decide how they plan to deal with higher labor costs. Some may raise menu prices, although customers may balk at having to foot the bill. Others may try to make do with fewer workers on hand or to invest in automation to handle more tasks.
    But it’s not all gloomy for restaurants.
    “This agreement protects local restaurant owners from significant threats that would have made it difficult to continue to operate in California. It provides a more predictable and stable future for restaurants, workers, and consumers,” Sean Kennedy, executive vice president of public affairs for the National Restaurant Association, said in a statement.

    A Delta Airlines plane lands as people gather in the parking lot of In-N-Out Burger next to Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on August 31, 2023 in Los Angeles, California.
    Mario Tama | Getty Images

    The chief uncertainty resolved by the deal is the referendum slated for November 2024 ballots. The industry had already spent more than $64 million on the referendum, according to California records, and was preparing to spend much more. But it would be difficult to predict which side voters would take.
    “[The agreement] shows just how concerned the industry was,” Kalinowski said. “The referendum would have been very challenging, to have it come out their way.”
    On top of that, restaurant chains like In-N-Out now save some cash that otherwise would have gone toward the industry’s war chest.
    The deal also avoids the change to joint-employer liability that was feared by the broader franchising industry.
    “This allows the franchise model to exist,” said Dana Kravetz, a Los Angeles-based labor attorney at Michelman & Robinson.
    Fast-food companies with heavily franchised footprints, like McDonald’s, KFC, Taco Bell and Domino’s Pizza, will largely escape the effects of bill, unless they have company-owned locations in California. Instead, their franchisees will have to grapple with how to pay higher wages.
    Restaurant companies that don’t franchise will have to foot the bill for increased labor costs themselves. That includes Chipotle Mexican Grill, which has 457 locations — or 14% of its total footprint — in its home state of California. More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Arm Holdings, GM, Ford, Adobe and more

    General Motors assembly workers picket outside the General Motors Bowling Green plant during the United Auto Workers national strike in Bowling Green, Kentucky, October 10, 2019.
    Bryan Woolston | Reuters

    Check out the companies making headlines before the bell.
    KeyCorp — The Cleveland-based regional bank rose almost 2% premarket after Piper Sandler said the shares have begun to recover and it’s growing “more comfortable” with its profit estimates. Piper upgraded KeyCorp to overweight from neutral.

    Keysight Technologies — Shares added about 1.5% after Morgan Stanley upgraded the test and measurement equipment maker to overweight from equal weight. The investment bank said Keysight’s current valuation doesn’t reflect its double-digit earnings growth.
    Apellis Pharmaceuticals — The biopharmaceutical company climbed 3.5% before the open after Wells Fargo upgraded to overweight from equal weight. The bank aid Apellis offers a favorable risk-reward ahead of third-quarter earnings.
    General Motors, Ford, Stellantis — GM and Ford fell less than 1% and Stellantis rose less than 1% after the United Auto Workers went on strike Thursday night. About 12,700 workers at three key assembly plants walked out, according to the union.
    Unity Software — Shares in the video game developer stock added almost 3% premarket on the heels of an upgrade to buy from Bank of America. A stable advertising business, better monetized game engine, priced-in “risks and execution issues” and “potential upside” to 2024-2025 earnings estimates underpinned the upgrade.
    DoorDash — Shares of the food delivery company slid almost 3% premarket after MoffettNathanson downgraded DoorDash to market perform to outperform. The research firm said that the resumption of student loan payments could hurt food delivery demand.

    Arm Holdings — Shares of the semiconductor and software stock gained 5.4% premarket after its rally on Thursday, when the company made its Nasdaq debut through an initial public offering and jumped nearly 25%. Needham initiated coverage of the British company with a hold rating, saying Arm’s valuation looks “full” in a post-smartphone era.
    Adobe — Shares fell 3.4% on the back of the company’s fiscal third-quarter earnings report Thursday. Earnings and revenue at the PhotoShop and Acrobat maker beat analysts’ estimates and forward guidance matched Street projections. While Goldman Sachs and Bank of America reiterated buy ratings, JPMorgan remained neutral, citing macroeconomic headwinds and a high premium for Adobe’s pending acquisition of Figma for $20 billion.
    Nucor — The steelmaker fell 2.3% before the open after issuing weaker-than-expected earnings guidance for the third quarter, citing weaker pricing and volumes. Nucor forecast earnings between $4.10 and $4.20 per share, versus the $4.57 expected by analysts polled by LSEG.
    — CNBC’s Brian Evans, Michelle Fox, Alex Harring, Hakyung Kim, Tanaya Macheel, Jesse Pound and Pia Singh contributed reporting More

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    UAW members go on strike at three key auto plants after deal deadline passes

    Thousands of United Auto Workers members went on strike at three key plants, after Detroit automakers failed to reach deals with the union by a Thursday night deadline.
    The facilities are GM’s midsize truck and full-size van plant in Wentzville, Missouri; Ford’s Ranger midsize pickup and Bronco SUV plant in Wayne, Michigan; and Stellantis’ Jeep plant in Toledo, Ohio.
    About 12,700 workers will be on strike, the union said. The UAW represents about 146,000 workers at Ford, GM and Stellantis.

    DETROIT – Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike at three U.S. assembly plants of General Motors, Ford Motor and Stellantis, after the union and the automakers failed to reach a deal on a new labor contract Thursday night.
    “The UAW Stand Up Strike begins at all three of the Big Three,” the union said in a post on X, the site formerly known as Twitter, just after midnight Friday.

    The facilities are GM’s midsize truck and full-size van plant in Wentzville, Missouri; Ford’s Ranger midsize pickup and Bronco SUV plant in Wayne, Michigan; and Stellantis’ Jeep Wrangler and Gladiator plant in Toledo, Ohio. For Ford, UAW President Shawn Fain said only workers in paint and final assembly will be on strike.
    “We got to do what we got to do to get our share of economic and social justice in this strike,” Fain said outside the Ford facility in Wayne. “We’re going to be out here until we get our share of economic justice. And it doesn’t matter how long it takes.”
    The selected plants produce highly profitable vehicles for the automakers that largely continue to be in high demand. About 12,700 workers – 5,800 at Stellantis, 3,600 at GM and 3,300 at Ford – will be on strike at the plants in total, the union said. The UAW represents about 146,000 workers across Ford, GM and Stellantis.

    UAW President Shawn Fain, center, talks to reporters as union members strike outside a Ford plant in Wayne, Michigan, Sept. 15, 2023.
    CNBC | Michael Wayland

    “If they come to the pump and they take care of their workers, we’ll be back to work,” Fain said early Friday, referring to the automakers. “But if they don’t, we’ll keep amping it up.”
    The union selected the plants as part of targeted strike plans initially announced Wednesday night by Fain, who has unconventionally been negotiating with all three automakers at once and has been reluctant to compromise much on the union’s demands.

    Read more: General Motors sweetens its offer to include 20% wage increase
    Targeted strikes typically focus on key plants that can then cause other plants to cease production due to a lack of parts. They are not unprecedented, but the way Fain plans to conduct the work stoppages is not typical. They include initiating targeted strikes at select plants and then potentially increasing the number of strikes based on the status of the negotiations. Selecting assembly plants for such strikes is also unique.
    “For the first time in our history, we will strike all three of the ‘Big Three’ at once,” Fain said just after 10 p.m. ET Thursday in live remarks streamed on Facebook and YouTube. “We are using a new strategy, the ‘stand-up’ strike. We will call on select facilities, locals or units to stand up and go on strike.”
    Fain has referred to the union’s plans as a “stand-up strike,” a nod to historic “sit-down” strikes by the UAW in the 1930s.
    Key proposals from the union have included 40% hourly pay increases, a reduced 32-hour workweek, a shift back to traditional pensions, the elimination of compensation tiers and a restoration of cost-of-living adjustments (COLA), among other items on the table including enhanced retiree benefits and enhanced vacation and family leave benefits.
    By late Thursday, it was clear there wouldn’t be a deal, even as President Joe Biden got involved. The White House said Biden, who boasts of his blue-collar background and support for organized labor, talked with Fain and the leaders of the Detroit automakers. The president was set to make public remarks on the strike Friday.
    Ford, in a statement Thursday night, said the UAW presented its “first substantive counterproposal” to four of the company’s offers, but it “showed little movement from the union’s initial demands.”
    “If implemented, the proposal would more than double Ford’s current UAW-related labor costs, which are already significantly higher than the labor costs of Tesla, Toyota and other foreign-owned automakers in the United States that utilize non-union-represented labor,” Ford said. “The union made clear that unless we agreed to its unsustainable terms, it plans a work stoppage at 11:59 p.m. eastern.”
    General Motors CEO Mary Barra said Friday morning that she was “extremely frustrated and disappointed” about the strike.
    The automakers have made record proposals that address some of the UAW’s ambitious demands but not all of them. Specifically, the companies have offered wage increases of roughly 20%, COLA, altered profit-sharing bonuses, and enhanced vacation and family leave enhancements that the union has found inadequate.
    “We didn’t need to be here,” Barra told CNBC’s Phil LeBeau. More

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    Covid, RSV and flu vaccines are now available — here’s how to decide whether to get them together

    For the first time ever, vaccines for Covid, the flu and respiratory syncytial virus are now available in the U.S. 
    Most people only need to consider whether they should get the newly approved updated Covid shot and flu vaccine at the same time, which is perfectly safe and effective.
    Meanwhile, only adults 60 and older are eligible for a new RSV vaccine, which means they have to juggle all three shots this fall.

    Pharmacist Ani Martirosyan administers an immunization to a patient at a CVS on Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023 in Glendale, CA. 
    Brian Van Der Brug | Los Angeles Times | Getty Images

    For the first time ever, vaccines for Covid, the flu and respiratory syncytial virus are available in the U.S. 
    Public health officials are urging eligible Americans to take all three shots so the nation can avoid another “tripledemic” of Covid, flu and RSV, which inundated hospitals last fall and winter. But the fact that some people can now receive three shots has raised questions about whether they should take the jabs all at once or space them out.

    Most people only need to consider whether they should get an updated Pfizer or Moderna Covid shot and a flu vaccine at the same time, since both are broadly available to all Americans. Public health officials, physicians and recent research show that taking them during the same visit to the doctor or pharmacy is perfectly safe and effective. 
    Meanwhile, the roughly 76.5 million adults ages 60 and older are eligible for a new RSV vaccine from Pfizer or GSK, which means they have to juggle all three shots this fall. A maternal vaccine from Pfizer protects infants against RSV, but that shot isn’t available just yet.
    Health experts told CNBC that they don’t expect any issues with taking all three shots at once.
    Still, other experts note that there is little research on administering an RSV shot with another vaccine, or on giving all three shots together. People can choose to take the RSV jab if they’re more comfortable with that, and do the other two at another time.  
    The choice is ultimately up to the individual and what they believe is most ideal for them, and they should feel free to consult their doctors if they’re unsure, health experts said. 

    “There hasn’t been any evidence that there is any risk of getting all three at the same time,” Dr. Ali Alhassani, a physician at Boston Children’s Hospital, told CNBC. He noted that administering multiple vaccines isn’t unusual since children often receive up to five routine immunizations at once. 
    Similarly, Dr. Andrew Pekosz, a professor at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, said he doesn’t “want people to think there will be any problems with taking them together because there probably isn’t.”
    But he also noted that “without data, I don’t want to go completely over the top and give a really firm recommendation that everyone should get all three at the same time.”

    The benefits of taking Covid, flu, RSV shots together

    Taking all three shots simultaneously could be ideal for people who may not have the time to make the multiple trips. “By far the biggest benefit of getting all three together is convenience,” Alhassani said. 
    Some research even shows that many people don’t come back when they have to take a second shot, according to Johns Hopkins’ Pekosz. 
    For example, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends two to three doses of an HPV vaccine for certain Americans. But studies have shown that uptake of HPV shots declines between the first and subsequent doses.
    The U.S. encountered a similar issue during the first Covid vaccine rollout in 2020 and 2021. Many Americans missed their second primary series dose. 
    “It’s clear that if people have to go back to the pharmacy on two different occasions, there’s always an attrition rate,” Pekosz told CNBC. “So, it’s better to get them in your arm during the same visit rather than not getting the second one because you get too busy to go back.”
    Pharmacies allow Americans to schedule multiple vaccine appointments in one visit. For instance, Kroger’s online scheduling tool allows eligible people to select up to three vaccines to take at once.
    People who use that tool and help from Kroger’s clinicians, pharmacists and physician assistants to determine which vaccines are appropriate for them and whether they should take them at the same time, Dr. Marc Watkins, Kroger Health’s chief medical officer, told CNBC. 

    What to do if you want to space vaccines out 

    Some people may prefer to wait for data to come out before they take all three shots together. Others may also choose to take the vaccines separately for their physical comfort, according to Alhassani from Boston Children’s Hospital. 
    One of the most common side effects of getting a vaccine is inflammation or soreness at the injection site, he noted. That’s why people who need to take two shots during the same doctor’s visit usually get one in each arm. 
    But Alhassani said some people may not want to feel the discomfort of getting three shots at the same time, either in one arm or two. That’s especially the case for people who usually engage in activities that require them to move their arms a lot. 
    “If you play sports and have a big game coming up or you’re a teacher who writes a lot on the chalkboard or white board, you use your shoulders and arms a lot,” he said. “So for practical reasons, you might want to say, ‘OK, I only want my left shoulder to be sore today and again next week rather than having it very sore today.'” 
    If people do choose to take the three shots separately, they should get their updated Covid vaccine as soon as possible, their RSV shot soon after and their flu jab last, according to Pekosz.
    He specifically recommended taking them one week apart from each other, saying that with “more space between them, the more likely people aren’t going back.” 
    Pekosz based the order of the vaccines on how widely those respiratory viruses are currently spreading in the U.S. 
    The updated Covid shot should be the No. 1 priority because the virus is already spreading at higher levels. Covid hospitalizations increased for the seventh straight week in the U.S., hitting 17,418 as of the week ended Aug. 26, according to the latest data from the CDC. 
    RSV cases also are starting to inch up. Last week, the CDC alerted doctors about an increase in RSV activity across some parts of the Southeast. Regional increases have usually predicted the beginning of RSV season nationally, the CDC wrote in an advisory notice. 
    Meanwhile, Pekosz said “we still aren’t really seeing any influenza yet.” 
    He noted that people can also take their Covid and flu shots at the same time and get their RSV vaccine a week later.  “That way, we’re following all the science that’s out there supporting co-administration,” he told CNBC.  More

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    Yum China says tech investments let it open more stores without needing more staff

    Yum China operates KFC and Pizza Hut stores in China.
    CEO Joey Wat told CNBC in an interview Friday the company is spending more on tech, an investment that’s allowed it to open more stores without having to hire more staff.
    Yum China is also considering the use of generative AI to help store managers understand and analyze store data better, Wat said, emphasizing it’s still at a “very, very early stage.”

    Pedestrians walk past a Pizza Hut restaurant and a KFC restaurant, both operated by Yum China, in Beijing, China, on Sept. 5, 2020.
    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    BEIJING — Yum China is spending more on tech, an investment that’s allowed it to open more stores without having to hire more staff, CEO Joey Wat told CNBC in an interview Friday.
    Yum China operates KFC and Pizza Hut stores in China, among other brands. Its U.S.-listed shares rose by 5.45% Thursday after the company increased its net new stores target for the year by 300 — and plans to return $3 billion to shareholders over the next three years.

    “From 2016 to now we increased our number of stores by about 80%. However, our number of staff almost stayed flat [around] 430,000 people,” Wat said via video conference.
    With technology, she said staff can be promoted to manage multiple stores and support the opening of new locations.
    Yum China said Thursday it plans to invest $3.5 billion to $5 billion over the next three years to grow its store network, improve its supply chain and boost digital capabilities. This year alone, the company plans to spend about $700 million to $900 million.

    Wat said the company began to invest in technology during the Covid-19 pandemic to improve visibility into its supply chain and inventory levels in a period when certain stores might need to close due to lockdown controls.
    Companies from Alibaba to Walmart’s Sam’s Club have been using software to manage warehouses and supermarket inventory in China — to sell services such as one-hour grocery delivery.

    Yum China is building more of its own logistics centers where it can integrate more technology into its supply chain and reduce carbon emissions, Wat said, noting the company ultimately aims to own 30% of its logistics centers rather than having to rent them.

    AI at work

    As a result, store managers don’t have to order inventory anymore — ingredients are automatically pushed to the store with the help of artificial intelligence-based forecasting, Wat said.
    That tech reduces labor and operating costs, as well as food waste, she said. Wat added that current logistics center coverage also has the capacity to serve Yum China’s planned store openings in the near term.
    The company has 33 logistics centers, and plans to increase that number to at least 45 in the next three to five years.
    Yum China is also considering the use of generative AI to help store managers understand and analyze store data better, Wat said, emphasizing it’s still at a “very, very early stage.”
    She said the company is still assessing what can be done in-house, and what requires external help.
    Generative AI uses large models to create content that can resemble what a human being might produce — but in a far shorter time frame.

    Consumer trends

    To meet such tech investment and company growth goals, Wat did not specify whether Yum China would hire more staff. “We will hire whoever we need to hire,” she said.
    She claimed the company didn’t lay any people off, not even during the three years of the pandemic.
    China’s broader economic recovery from Covid lockdowns has slowed in recent months. The latest available data for young people ages 16 to 24 showed a jobless rate of around 20% this summer, while the overall unemployment rate in cities has been far lower near 5.2%.
    Overall uncertainty about future income has weighed on consumer spending.
    Despite business expansion, Yum China said it expects same-store sales this year to reach 90% of 2019 levels.
    Wat noted that Yum China opened more than half of its stores after 2019, and that its stores are roughly split between the country’s larger cities and less developed areas.
    She described summer business as a peak time for the company, especially with local tourism, and said transactions remained “solid” in September after the start of the school year.
    Yum China also has a local joint venture with Italian coffee brand Lavazza, which now has more than 100 stores in China.
    Wat said that in addition to coffee, the company is exploring how to introduce more food products for the brand in China. More

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    China’s retail sales surprise with faster growth in August, but real estate drag worsens

    Retail sales grew by 4.6% in August from a year ago, beating expectations for 3% growth forecast by a Reuters poll. The increase was also faster than the 2.5% year-on-year pace in July.
    The National Bureau of Statistics last month stopped reporting the unemployment rate for young people ages 16 to 24.
    Late Thursday, the People’s Bank of China said that it was cutting the amount of cash that banks need to have on hand by 25 basis points, effective Friday. It was the second reserve requirement ratio cut this year since one in March.

    BEIJING — China’s retail sales and industrial production picked up pace in August with better-than-expected growth, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Friday.
    Retail sales grew by 4.6% in August from a year ago, beating expectations for 3% growth forecast by a Reuters poll. The increase was also faster than the 2.5% year-on-year pace in July.

    Industrial production grew by 4.5% in August from a year ago, better than the 3.9% forecast and faster than the 3.7% increase reported for July.
    Within that category, the value added of equipment manufacturing rose by 5.4% from a year ago. The output of solar cells and service robots surged by more than 70% from a year ago.
    The latest industrial production and services output figures indicate Oxford Economics’ third-quarter GDP forecast is intact, and steady activity would mean the economy can reach 5.1% growth this year, said its lead economist Louise Loo in a report Friday.

    Fixed asset investment, however, grew by 3.2% year-on-year in August on a year-to-date basis. That missed expectations for a 3.3% increase and was slower than the 3.4% pace reported as of July.
    The figure was dragged down by a steeper drop in real estate investment, and a slowdown in infrastructure investment. Only manufacturing saw the pace of investment pick up.

    Statistics bureau spokesperson Fu Linghui said the real estate market was still in a period of “adjustment” and noted declines in sales and investment. He said the property sector would recover as recent policy took effect.

    The key is to maintain the shape and pace of the economic recovery so that companies are willing to continue investing and residents are willing to continue consuming.

    Bruce Pang
    chief economist and head of research for Greater China, JLL

    In the first 10 days of September, average daily new home sales fell by 19.3% from a year ago, better than the 24% decline in August, according to a Nomura report, citing a Wind Information survey of 21 major cities in China.
    “It’s too early to conclude that property easing hasn’t been effective — the most meaningful property easing measures had been implemented end-Aug/early-Sep after all, including nationwide mortgage loosening initiatives and measures across all four Tier-1 cities,” Oxford Economics’ Loo said.

    Private sector investment drops

    Within fixed asset investment, private, non-state investment fell by 0.7% in the first eight months of the year from a year ago — worse than the 0.5% decline in the first seven months of the year.
    That decline reflects weak sentiment about the future, said Bruce Pang, chief economist and head of research for Greater China at JLL.
    He said it will take time for recent policy and measures to take effect.
    “The key is to maintain the shape and pace of the economic recovery so that companies are willing to continue investing and residents are willing to continue consuming, forming a virtuous cycle and a balanced recovery,” Pang said in Chinese, translated by CNBC.
    The urban unemployment rate for cities was little changed at 5.2%. The statistics bureau again did not report the jobless rate for young people.

    It said last month it will stop reporting the unemployment rate for young people ages 16 to 24. The bureau said it was reassessing its methodology, and would resume releases at an unspecified date.
    While spokesperson Fu said the bureau didn’t yet have a figure to share, he added that data from some departments showed more young people were able to get jobs in August.
    He noted that pressure on employment remains, and more effort is needed to expand the number and quality of jobs.
    China’s economic rebound from the pandemic has slowed since the second quarter, dragged down by a real estate slump. Exports, another key driver of China’s economy, have also dropped as global demand for Chinese goods wanes.
    The statistics bureau release described August data as showing “marginal improvement.”
    “The national economy showed good momentum of recovery with high-quality development making solid progress and positive factors accumulated,” the statistics bureau release said. “However, we should be aware that many unstable and uncertain factors in the external environment still exist.”

    Workers make pods for e-cigarettes on the production line at Kanger Tech, one of China’s leading manufacturers of vaping products, on September 24, 2019 in Shenzhen, China.
    Kevin Frayer | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Within retail sales, online sales of physical goods rose by 7.6% in August from a year ago, according to CNBC calculations of official data accessed via Wind.
    Autos saw sales rise by 1.1%. Among the categories with faster growth were cosmetics, up by 9.7% and communication equipment, up by 8.5% in August from a year ago. Catering sales grew by 12.4% during that time.
    Services sector retail sales grew by 19.4% in the January to August period from a year ago, slower than the 20.3% pace recorded for the period through July.

    More rate cuts

    Late Thursday, the People’s Bank of China said that it was cutting the amount of cash that banks need to have on hand by 25 basis points, effective Friday. It was the second reserve requirement ratio cut this year since one in March.
    In the last several weeks, Beijing has announced a slew of measures to support the real estate market and consumption.

    Monetary policy has remained relatively loose compared with aggressive rate hikes in the U.S. and Europe.
    Also effective Friday is a reduction in the foreign exchange reserve requirement ratio for financial institutions to 4%, from 6%. The planned cut was announced two weeks ago.
    The central bank has also trimmed other benchmark rates, such as the one-year loan prime rate.

    China’s slowing economic growth

    Moody’s on Thursday downgraded its outlook on China’s property sector to negative from stable. The firm expects sales to fall by around 5% over the next six to 12 months.
    “While the Chinese government has recently strengthened policy support for the property sector, we expect the impact on property sales to be short-lived and differentiated between tiers of cities,” Cedric Lai, vice president and senior analyst at Moody’s, said in a release.
    Uncertainty about future income has kept consumer spending relatively muted.
    China’s consumer price index rose by 0.1% year-on-year in August, reversing a decline in July. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, increased by the same 0.8% year-on-year pace during both months. More