More stories

  • in

    Citigroup posts better-than-expected earnings and revenue, shares rise

    Citigroup shares rose in premarket trading after the bank reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped expectations.
    Despite the beat, Citi’s revenue fell 1% from a year ago as the decline in markets and investment banking businesses weighed on its results.
    “Amid a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we continued to see the benefits of our diversified business model and strong balance sheet,” CEO Jane Fraser said in a statement.

    Citigroup shares rose in premarket trading on Friday after the bank reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped expectations.
    Despite the beat, Citi’s revenue fell 1% from a year ago as the decline in markets and investment banking businesses weighed on its results. Citi said the uncertain macroenvironment and low volatility impacted client activity and market performance.

    “Amid a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, we continued to see the benefits of our diversified business model and strong balance sheet,” CEO Jane Fraser said in a statement.
    Here’s how the company fared in the quarter compared with what analysts polled by Refinitiv expected from the banking giant.

    Earnings per share: $1.33 vs. $1.30
    Revenue: $19.44 billion vs. $19.29 billion

    Citigroup’s net income fell 36% to $2.9 billion, or $1.33 per share, from $4.5 billion, or $2.19 per share, last year, pressured by higher expenses, high cost of credit and lower revenue.
    “Markets revenues were down from a strong second quarter last year, as clients stood on the sidelines starting in April while the U.S. debt limit played out,” Fraser said. “In Banking, the long-awaited rebound in Investment Banking has yet to materialize, making for a disappointing quarter.”
    On the bright side, revenue from personal banking and wealth management increased 6% in the quarter to $6.4 billion driven by strong loan growth.

    Citi returned a total $2 billion to shareholders through common dividends and share buybacks in the second quarter.
    Shares of Citigroup climbed more than 1% in premarket trading. The stock is up 5.4% year to date, outperforming the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE), which is down 14.8%.
    Read the earnings release here.
    Correction: Citigroup’s net income fell 36% year over year. A previous version misstated the percentage. More

  • in

    JPMorgan Chase beats analysts’ estimates on higher rates, better-than-expected bond trading

    JPMorgan Chase reported better-than-expected second quarter results Friday.
    The bank posted strong results even excluding the impact of its First Republic acquisition, which boosted per share earnings by 38 cents.
    Revenue rose 34% as JPMorgan took advantage of higher rates and solid loan growth.

    JPMorgan Chase reported second-quarter earnings Friday that topped analysts’ expectations as the company benefited from higher interest rates and better-than-expected bond trading.
    Here’s what the company reported:

    Earnings: $4.37 per share adjusted vs. $4 per share Refinitiv estimate
    Revenue: $42.4 billion vs. $38.96 billion estimate

    related investing news

    22 hours ago

    Net income surged 67% to $14.5 billion, or $4.75 per share. When excluding the impact of its First Republic acquisition in early May — a $2.7 billion “bargain purchase gain” from the government-brokered takeover, as well as loan reserve builds and securities losses tied to the purchase — earnings were $4.37 per share.
    Revenue rose 34% to $42.4 billion as JPMorgan took advantage of higher rates and solid loan growth. Revenue gains were fueled by a 44% jump in net interest income to $21.9 billion, which topped the StreetAccount estimate by roughly $700 million. Average loans climbed 13%, while deposits fell 6%.
    “The U.S. economy continues to be resilient,” CEO Jamie Dimon said in the release. “Consumer balance sheets remain healthy, and consumers are spending, albeit a little more slowly. Labor markets have softened somewhat, but job growth remains strong.”

    Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., speaks during the Bloomberg Global Business Forum in New York, on Wednesday, Sept. 25, 2019.
    Tiffany Hagler-Geard | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Dimon added that there were “salient risks in the immediate view” including dwindling consumer balances, the risk that interest rates would be higher for longer than expected, and geopolitical tension including the Ukraine war.
    JPMorgan increased its guidance for 2023 net interest income to $87 billion, which is $3 billion higher than its guidance from May and the bank’s third increase to its NII forecast this year.

    Shares of the bank climbed more than 2% in premarket trading.

    Signs of strength

    JPMorgan’s retailing banking division was its main source of strength this quarter. Profit surged 71% in the business to $5.3 billion on a 37% jump in revenue.
    The bank’s results also benefited from better-than-expected trading and investment banking activity. In May, the bank said revenue from the Wall Street activities was headed for a 15% decline from a year earlier.
    But fixed income trading revenue only dipped 3% to $4.6 billion, topping the StreetAccount estimate by nearly $500 million. Equity trading revenue of $2.5 billion edged out the $2.41 billion estimate. And investment banking revenue of $1.5 billion topped the $1.42 billion estimate.
    “The results were outstanding and really showed strength across the board,” said Octavio Marenzi, CEO of consultancy Opimas. “Consumer banking was particularly strong, but even investment banking, which has been a problem child over the past year or so, is starting to show signs of life.”
    JPMorgan has been a standout recently on several fronts. Whether it’s about deposits, funding costs or net interest income — all hot-button topics since the regional banking crisis began in March — the bank has outperformed smaller peers.
    That’s helped shares of the bank climb 11% so far this year as of Thursday, compared with the 16% decline of the KBW Bank Index. When JPMorgan last reported results in April, its shares had their biggest earnings-day increase in two decades.

    First Republic impact

    This time around, JPMorgan had the benefit of owning First Republic for most of the quarter.
    The acquisition, which added roughly $203 billion in loans and securities and $92 billion in deposits, helped cushion JPMorgan against some of the headwinds faced by the industry. Banks are losing low-cost deposits as customers find higher-yielding places to park their cash, causing the industry’s funding costs to rise.
    That’s pressuring the industry’s profit margins. Last month, several regional banks disclosed lower-than-expected interest revenue, and analysts expect more banks to do the same in coming weeks. On top of that, banks are expected to disclose a slowdown in loan growth and rising costs related to commercial real estate debt, all of which squeeze banks’ bottom lines.
    Analysts will want to hear what Dimon has to say about the health of the economy and his expectations for banking regulation and consolidation.
    Wells Fargo also reported earnings Friday, and Citigroup results are on deck. Bank of America and Morgan Stanley report Tuesday. Goldman Sachs discloses results Wednesday.
    This story is developing. Please check back for updates. More

  • in

    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: AT&T, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Citi and more

    A pedestrian passes an AT&T store in New York, U.S.
    Scott Mlyn | CNBC

    Check out the companies making headlines in premarket trading.
    JPMorgan Chase — The bank stock climbed 2.7% after reporting better-than-expected earnings due to higher interest rates and strong bond trading from the investment bank side. The company reported an adjusted $4.37 per share and $42.4 billion in revenue, while analysts polled by Refinitiv estimated $4 a share and $38.96 billion.

    related investing news

    Wells Fargo — Shares climbed nearly 4% after an earnings beat due to a 29% increase in interest income. Wells reported an adjusted $1.25 per share and $20.53 billion in revenue, while analysts polled by Refinitiv forecasted $1.16 per share and $20.12 billion.
    Citi — Citi stock added nearly 2% in premarket trading after beating on earnings. The firm reported an adjusted $1.33 per share and $19.44 billion in revenue. Analysts polled by Refinitiv forecasted $1.30 per share and $19.29 billion.
    BlackRock — Shares slipped roughly 1% after quarterly results. The investment firm reported an adjusted $9.28 per share and $4.46 billion in revenue while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv expected $8.45 per share and $4.45 billion.
    Coinbase — Stock in the cryptocurrency exchange pulled back 1.2% in premarket trading. Shares of Coinbase are coming off of a strong rally a day earlier thanks to a ruling in a case concerning the cryptocurrency XRP. A judge in New York’s Southern District said that the token may not classify as a security.
    Plug Power — The battery stock added nearly 6% after an upgrade to outperform from Northland Capital Markets.

    Microsoft — Microsoft gained 1.8% after UBS upgraded the tech stock to buy from neutral. The Wall Street firm said the recent weakness in the stock, which is a major artificial intelligence play, is an opportunity for investors. UBS also hiked the price target to $400, implying more than 16% upside. Microsoft is higher by 42% this year.
    AT&T — Shares of the telecommunications giant slipped 1.3% after a downgrade to neutral from JPMorgan over increased competition in both its wireless and cable segments.
    UnitedHealth Group — The healthcare stock climbed 3.4% after beating on earnings. The company reported an adjusted $6.14 per share and $92.9 billion in revenue while analysts polled by Refinitiv forecasted $5.99 and $91 billion.
    Alcoa — Stock in the aluminum supplier fell 2.3% after a downgrade to neutral from JPMorgan over weaker near-term metal prices.
    — CNBC’s Sarah Min contributed reporting More

  • in

    Uninsured Americans pay high costs for an insulin Eli Lilly vowed to price at $25, Sen. Warren says

    Uninsured Americans pay nearly $98 on average for a vial of Eli Lilly’s generic insulin.
    Eli Lilly earlier this year vowed to slash the list price of its generic insulin, Lispro, from $82.42 per vial starting May 1.
    Sen. Warren’s report surveyed more than 300 pharmacies in the U.S. between June 9 and June 28 to determine whether Eli Lilly’s announced price cut “translated into real relief for patients.”
    Warren said the report demonstrates that Congress needs to take additional steps to reduce the excessive prices of insulin from Eli Lilly, Sanofi and Novo Nordisk.

    An Eli Lilly and Company pharmaceutical manufacturing plant is pictured in Branchburg, New Jersey, March 5, 2021.
    Mike Segar | Reuters

    Uninsured Americans pay nearly $98 on average for a vial of Eli Lilly’s generic insulin, even after the company pledged to cut the product’s list price to $25 per vial, according to a report released Thursday by Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
    Eli Lilly earlier this year vowed to slash the list price of its generic insulin, Lispro, from $82.42 per vial starting May 1. The Indianapolis-based pharmaceutical company is one of the world’s largest insulin manufacturers.

    The Massachusetts senator’s report surveyed more than 300 chain and independent pharmacies in the U.S. between June 9 and June 28 to determine whether Eli Lilly’s announced price cut “translated into real relief for patients.”
    The survey found that a third of pharmacies charged uninsured patients $164 or more for a vial of Eli Lilly’s Lispro.
    Seven pharmacies charged $200 per vial or more, and two sold the product for more than $300. 
    Chain pharmacies charged uninsured customers an average of $123 per vial for the generic insulin, compared with $63 on average at independent pharmacies. 
    Eli Lilly did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment on the survey. 

    The survey findings suggest “Eli Lilly’s promises of affordable, accessible insulin have not been realized for uninsured patients across the country,” Warren said in a statement.
    She said the data also demonstrates Congress needs to take more steps to rein in excessive prices, such as capping insulin copays at $35 per month for all patients, regardless of their insurance status.
    President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act currently caps insulin copays at $35 per month for people covered by Medicare.
    “My new report confirms that far too many uninsured Americans cannot access or cannot afford to pay astronomical prices for life-saving generic insulin — lawmakers need to step up and take action,” Warren said in a press release.

    Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, speaks during a Senate Banking Committee hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., June 13, 2023.
    Michael A. Mccoy | Getty Images

    Insured Americans typically pay a fraction of the list price for insulin. But uninsured people often have to pay the full cost, which can force them to ration or stop taking the life-saving diabetes treatment.
    Nearly 30% of uninsured patients with diabetes reported skipping doses of insulin, taking less than prescribed or delaying purchases over the past year, Warren said, citing a 2022 study by researchers from Harvard and other institutions.
    “No American should ever be forced to choose between life-saving medication, like insulin, and their ability to pay for food, shelter, and their everyday needs,” Warren said.
    Earlier this year, Eli Lilly, Sanofi and Novo Nordisk committed to lowering the list prices of their most common prescribed insulins at least 70% later in 2023.
    Eli Lilly and Sanofi also capped monthly out-of-pocket insulin costs at $35 for people who have private insurance.
    Together, the three companies control 90% of the global insulin market. 
    Their commitments drew applause from lawmakers and Biden, who was pleased the companies finally answered calls to help make diabetes care more affordable in the U.S. 
    But Warren’s survey raises questions about how effective their cost-cutting efforts will be. 
    About 37 million people in the U.S., or 11.3% of the country’s population, have diabetes, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
    Approximately 8.4 million diabetes patients rely on insulin, the American Diabetes Association said. More

  • in

    WHO says soda sweetener aspartame may cause cancer, but it’s safe within limits

    The World Health Organization classified the soda sweetener aspartame as a possible carcinogen, but said the designation is based on limited evidence and more research is needed.
    The WHO said aspartame is safe to consume within a daily limit of 40 milligrams per kilogram of a person’s body weight.
    An adult weighing 70 kilograms or 154 pounds would have to drink more than nine to 14 cans of aspartame-containing soda daily to exceed the limit and potentially face health risks.
    Aspartame is used in Diet Coke, Pepsi Zero Sugar and other diet sodas.
    The U.S. FDA said it disagrees with the classification of aspartame as a possible carcinogen.

    A can of Diet Coke in a supermarket, as an artificial sweetener commonly used in thousands of products including diet fizzy drinks, ice cream and chewing gum is to be listed as posing a possible cancer risk to humans, according to reports.
    Yui Mok | Pa Images | Getty Images

    The World Health Organization on Thursday classified the soda sweetener aspartame as a possible carcinogen, but said it is safe for people to consume within the recommended daily limit.
    The International Agency for Research on Cancer, a WHO body, identified a possible link between aspartame and a type of liver cancer called hepatocellular carcinoma after reviewing three large human studies conducted in the U.S. and Europe that examined artificially sweetened beverages.

    Aspartame is used in Diet Coke, Pepsi Zero Sugar and other diet sodas, as well as some chewing gum and various Snapple drinks as a substitute for sugar. Artificially sweetened beverages have historically been the biggest source of exposure to aspartame, according to Lancet Oncology.
    Dr. Mary Schubauer-Berigan, a senior official at IARC, emphasized that the classification of aspartame as a possible carcinogen is based on limited evidence. The three studies could have been influenced by chance, bias or other flaws, Schubauer-Berigan noted. More research is needed to determine whether consumption of the artificial sweetener can actually lead to cancer, she said.
    “This shouldn’t really be taken as a direct statement that indicates that there is a known cancer hazard from consuming aspartame,” Schubauer-Berigan told journalists during a press conference Wednesday before the findings were released to the public.
    “In our view, this is really more a call to the research community to try to better clarify and understand the carcinogenic hazard that may or may not be posed by aspartame consumption,” Schubauer-Berigan said.
    The U.S. Food and Drug Administration disagrees with IARC’s conclusion that aspartame is a possible carcinogen in humans, an agency spokesperson said on Thursday. The FDA reviewed the the same evidence as IARC in 2021 and identified significant flaws in the studies, the spokesperson said.

    “Aspartame is one of the most studied food additives in the human food supply,” the spokesperson said. “FDA scientists do not have safety concerns when aspartame is used under the approved conditions.”

    CNBC Health & Science

    Read CNBC’s latest health coverage:

    How much is too much?

    The Joint Expert Committee on Food Additives said Thursday the current evidence supporting a link between aspartame and cancer in humans is not convincing. JECFA is an international group of WHO and U.N. scientists that makes recommendations on how much of a product people can safely consume.
    JECFA said Thursday that aspartame is safe to consume if a person’s daily consumption of the sweetener does not exceed 40 milligrams per kilogram of body weight during the individual’s lifetime. The FDA’s recommended daily limit is slightly higher, at 50 milligrams of aspartame per kilogram of body weight.
    An adult weighing 70 kilograms or 154 pounds would have to drink more than nine to 14 cans of aspartame-containing soda such as Diet Coke daily to exceed the limit and potentially face health risks, said Dr. Francesco Branca, who heads the WHO nutrition and food safety division, during the press conference Wednesday.
    Someone who drinks a can of soda now and then or occasionally chews gum that contains aspartame does not need to worry about a health risk, Branca said. The WHO is simply recommending that people use moderation when consuming foods or beverages that contain aspartame, he said.
    Branca cautioned that children who consume soda sweetened with aspartame could exceed the daily limit by drinking just three cans. He said children who start consuming aspartame early in life may face a heightened health risk later, though more research is needed on lifelong exposure.
    “You may have families that instead of having water on the table, have a big can of sparkling drinks with sweeteners. That’s not a good practice,” he said.
    The WHO is not calling for companies to withdraw products that contain aspartame, Branca said. But the food industry should consider changing ingredients to make products without the use of sweeteners, he said.
    The American Beverage Association claimed the WHO’s findings as vindication Thursday, saying aspartame is a safe choice for people who want to reduce sugar and calories in their diet.
    Though aspartame may reduce the calorie count in some beverages, the WHO concluded in May that sugar substitutes do not help children or adults lose weight over the long term.
    Dr. William Dahut, chief scientific officer at the American Cancer Society, said consumers will have to make decisions based on personal risk assessments with the knowledge that aspartame has no health benefits and is a possible carcinogen.

    Widely used sugar substitute

    The food industry widely uses aspartame as a substitute for sugar because it is 200 times sweeter than sugar, which means it can be used in low concentrations with very few calories and achieve a similar taste.
    About 6,000 products worldwide contain aspartame, according to the Calorie Control Council, a trade group that represents the manufacturers of artificial sweeteners.
    Aspartame was discovered in 1965 by scientists at G.D. Searle & Co. and later sold under the brand name NutraSweet. The artificial sweetener has been controversial since its initial approval.
    The FDA first approved the sugar substitute as a tabletop sweetener and as an additive in certain foods in 1974. The agency put that decision on hold for years due to questions about the reliability of safety studies submitted by G.D. Searle on whether aspartame was linked to brain tumors.
    The FDA ultimately concluded there was reasonable certainty that aspartame did not cause brain tumors and authorized sales in 1981. The agency subsequently approved the use of aspartame in several other types of food and beverages and finally approved it as a general-purpose sweetener in 1996.
    The FDA says it continues to monitor the science for new information on aspartame.
    Correction: An adult weighing 70 kilograms or 154 pounds would have to drink more than nine to 14 cans of aspartame-containing soda daily to exceed the limit and potentially face health risks, according to JECFA. A previous version of this story misstated the amount. More

  • in

    Biden administration to provide free Covid vaccines to uninsured Americans this fall through end of 2024

    The Biden administration said a federal program will provide free Covid vaccines to uninsured Americans starting this fall through the end of 2024. 
    The announcement provided further details on the timing of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Bridge Access Program, which was first unveiled in April.
    The temporary program aims to fill the gaps after the federal government shifts Covid shots and treatments to the commercial market. 

    A health-care worker prepares a dose of the Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine at a vaccination clinic in the Peabody Institute Library in Peabody, Massachusetts, Jan. 26, 2022.
    Vanessa Leroy | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The Biden administration on Thursday announced a program to provide free Covid vaccines to uninsured Americans through December 2024 after the federal government’s supply of shots runs out this fall.
    Those free shots, which the government is purchasing at a discount, will be available to the uninsured at pharmacies and 64 state and local health departments.

    The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services also is hoping vaccine makers will donate shots to pharmacies as part of the program.
    There are between 25 million and 30 million uninsured adults in the United States and other Americans whose insurance will not cover free Covid products this fall, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
    Currently, the government has an inventory of vaccines purchased from three manufacturers, Pfizer, Moderna and Novavax, and those companies do not sell the shots to health-care providers.
    In the fall, the companies will begin selling shots directly to health providers and the government’s supply is expected to run out.
    The HHS in April first announced the Bridge Access Program, but had not said when the program would stop providing shots for free to the uninsured until Thursday.

    The program reflects a broad shift on the Covid-19 pandemic’s effects worldwide. As Covid cases and deaths have dropped to new lows, governments have rolled back stringent health mandates such as masking and social distancing, and the rate at which people get Covid vaccines has slowed to a crawl over the past year.
    Earlier this year, the World Health Organization declared an end to the global Covid public health emergency. In May, the HHS declared an end to the emergency in the United States. More

  • in

    Biden administration asks Pfizer, Moderna and Novavax for ‘reasonable’ prices on updated Covid vaccines

    The Biden administration urged Pfizer, Moderna and Novavax to price their updated Covid vaccines at a “reasonable” rate when they roll them out in the U.S. this fall.
    None of the three manufacturers have disclosed the exact pricing of their single-strain vaccines, which are being designed to target the circulating omicron subvariant XBB.1.5. 
    The price points for the shots will be crucial in the fall, as the federal government is expected to shift Covid vaccine distribution to the commercial market.

    A nurse prepares doses of the Pfizer vaccine during a COVID-19 vaccination event at Josephine’s Southern Cooking in Chatham, Illinois, Dec. 30, 2021.
    Brian Cassella | Tribune News Service | Getty Images

    The Biden administration on Thursday urged Pfizer, Moderna and Novavax to price their updated Covid vaccines at a “reasonable” rate when they roll them out in the U.S. this fall.
    In a letter addressed to the shot manufacturers, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services said price gouging the new jabs would take advantage “of the trust the American people have placed in you through the COVID-19 response.”

    related investing news

    7 hours ago

    None of the three manufacturers have disclosed the exact pricing of their upcoming single-strain vaccines, which they are designing to target the circulating omicron subvariant XBB.1.5.
    Pfizer and Moderna earlier this year said they expect to price their shots between $110 and $130 per dose, a nearly fivefold increase over current prices for existing vaccines.
    That estimate has drawn criticism from lawmakers, who note the two companies and their executives have made significant profits from the shots during the Covid-19 pandemic. 
    The price points for the shots will be crucial in the fall, as the federal government is expected to shift Covid vaccine distribution to the commercial market. That means the manufacturers will sell their updated jabs directly to health-care providers rather than to the government.
    A Moderna spokesperson reiterated the company’s previous remarks about being ready in time for the fall with ample vaccine supply.

    A spokesperson for Pfizer, meanwhile, referred CNBC to a release from last month, which says the company expects to be ready to ship its new shots immediately in the fall, pending regulatory review and approval.
    A Novavax spokesperson said the company appreciates its “continued collaboration and partnership” with the U.S. government and intends to make its new vaccine available by late September.
    “As we approach this transition, we expect that companies will look to the example that the U.S. government has set in eliminating access hurdles for the American public,” the HHS said in a statement.
    The HHS said it expects the manufacturers to work with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and other payors to ensure they have the required information to cover the updated shots in the fall. The department also advised the manufacturers to plan their regulatory applications to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for their respective shots.
    The HHS said preparing those submissions early would allow the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to make recommendations for the shots by September.
    Federal and corporate programs are planning to help shoulder the out-of-pocket costs of updated shots this fall for uninsured Americans. 
    That includes the Biden administration’s HHS Bridge Access Program, a temporary effort that will provide free Covid shots and treatments to uninsured Americans once those products move to the commercial market. 
    Pfizer and Moderna also intend to launch patient assistance programs for their Covid shots. But there are still outstanding questions about what those efforts will look like. More

  • in

    WHO decision on aspartame could hurt diet soda sales or lead to new drink formulas

    The World Health Organization classified soda sweetener aspartame as a possible carcinogen, which could hurt sales for diet sodas.
    Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper may decide to change their formulas and swap out aspartame for another sweetener.
    PepsiCo removed aspartame from Diet Pepsi in 2020.

    The World Health Organization’s cancer research arm, the International Agency for Research on Cancer, has conducted a safety review of aspartame.
    Steve Russell | Toronto Star | Getty Images

    The World Health Organization reaffirmed its recommended intake of aspartame Thursday, but the agency’s classification of the sweetener as a possible carcinogen could still scare away diet soda drinkers and lead to new beverage formulas.
    Soda consumption has fallen over the past two decades as consumers have switched to drinking more water or picking beverages with less sugar. However, diet sodas have been a bright spot for the category in recent years.

    related investing news

    7 hours ago

    Although full-calorie options still dominate the soda segment, diet sodas now represent more than a quarter of sales. Coca-Cola’s and PepsiCo’s bets on zero-sugar versions of their namesake sodas have been paying off for both companies. Diet Coke, Coke Zero, Pepsi Zero Sugar and Diet Mountain Dew all contain aspartame.
    On Thursday, the International Agency for Research on Cancer, a WHO agency, identified a possible link between aspartame and a type of liver cancer called hepatocellular carcinoma. WHO officials said more research on the potential connection is needed.
    A separate body, the Joint Expert Committee on Food Additives, said in its own report that the acceptable daily intake of the sweetener is under 40 milligrams per kilogram of body weight, reaffirming prior recommendations. For most adults, that means drinking less than nine to 14 cans of diet soda every day.
    While the findings on possible links to cancer may not deter consumers who drink smaller amounts of diet soda, the announcement could at least temporarily hurt sales.
    Diet sodas are at least 50% more popular with higher-income consumers than with lower-income people, according to TD Cowen data. Those consumers could be concerned by the WHO’s report, TD Cowen analyst Vivien Azer wrote in a research note last week.

    The biggest risk for soda makers is how much attention the announcement garners. CFRA analyst Garrett Nelson wrote in a June 29 note that the news could hurt sales volumes of low-calorie sodas if enough consumers see the headlines.
    Likewise, Wedbush analyst Gerald Pascarelli told CNBC he thinks the report could hit sales in the category. But the dip might not last long.
    “These companies are quick to pivot and to do what’s necessary to maintain momentum for their brands, and we suspect they’ll do the same thing,” he said.
    Dr. Francesco Branca, head of the WHO’s nutrition and food safety division, said manufacturers who use aspartame in their food and drinks should consider making their products without the sweetener.
    But PepsiCo Chief Financial Officer Hugh Johnston told Reuters on Thursday that the company has no plans to change its use of aspartame. He added that the company doesn’t include the sweetener in much of its portfolio.
    Aspartame was used in Diet Pepsi until 2015, when the company tweaked the formula. After backlash from customers, PepsiCo brought it back a year later. But the change didn’t last long — the beverage giant got rid of aspartame in Diet Pepsi in 2020. It still uses it in Pepsi Zero Sugar.
    Coke faces more risk of losing out on sales over aspartame concerns, according to CFRA’s Nelson. The beverage giant currently uses the sweetener in both its Diet Coke and Coke Zero, but could swap it out for another, such as stevia, in the future.
    Even so, Edward Jones analyst Brittany Quatrochi said she isn’t expecting a big hit to diet soda sales.
    “Consumers may trade into a different sugar-free offering, but this isn’t the first kind of food or beverage product to be labeled a carcinogen,” she said.
    For example, the IARC classified red meat as a probable carcinogen in 2018.
    Makers of diet sodas aren’t fretting over lost sales yet. The American Beverage Association, which lobbies on behalf of Coke, PepsiCo and Keurig Dr Pepper, took the WHO announcement as further confirmation of the sweetener’s safety.
    “With more than 40 years of science and this definitive conclusion from the WHO, consumers can move forward with confidence that aspartame is a safe choice, especially for people looking to reduce sugar and calories in their diets,” ABA interim CEO Kevin Keane said in a statement.
    Besides diet sodas, aspartame can also be found in a variety of foods, including breakfast cereals, chewing gum and ice cream. It’s widely used as a sugar substitute because it is 200 times sweeter, meaning it can be used in much lower concentrations. More