More stories

  • in

    Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Dollar General, Salesforce, C3.ai, Chewy and more

    A sign is posted in front of a Dollar General store in Vallejo, California, March 17, 2022.
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making the biggest moves midday.
    Dollar General — Shares sank nearly 20% after the company reported an earnings and revenue miss for the first quarter. The company also slashed its full-year outlook, citing a macroeconomic environment that is more challenged than it had expected.

    related investing news

    NetApp — Shares popped 9.5% following the company’s earnings and revenue beat after the close Wednesday. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.54 for its fiscal fourth quarter, versus the $1.25 expected from analysts polled by StreetAccount. Revenue was $1.58 billion, versus the $1.54 billion anticipated.
    Chewy — The pet retailer’s stock surged about 25% after the company posted earnings per share of 5 cents, topping the 4-cent loss expected from analysts polled by Refinitiv. Chewy also beat on revenue. Its second-quarter revenue guidance also beat expectations, per StreetAccount.
    Hormel Foods — The food producer’s stock gained 5.1% after the company reported fiscal second-quarter earnings per share of 40 cents, slightly above the 39 cents expected, per StreetAccount. However, revenue came in lighter than anticipated. Hormel also said it made progress on inventory levels and saw “meaningful improvement in fill rates.”
    Pure Storage — The stock soared 21% on better-than-expected quarterly earnings and revenue. Pure Storage’s revenue guidance for the second quarter also topped estimates, per StreetAccount.
    PVH — Shares tumbled 10% despite the company’s earnings and revenue beat after Wednesday’s close. Its full-year outlook was in line with consensus, but its second-quarter GAAP earnings-per-share guidance of $1.70 was below the $2.26 expected, per StreetAccount.

    CrowdStrike — The cybersecurity stock lost 2% after the company reported quarterly results that showed slowing revenue growth.
    Victoria’s Secret — Shares tumbled 8% after the lingerie retailer reported an earnings and revenue miss. The company also reduced its full-year revenue guidance in the low single-digits range from the prior midsingle-digit range estimates.
    C3.ai — The artificial intelligence company dove 14% as a weaker-than-expected outlook eclipsed stronger-than-expected earnings for the previous quarter. The stock is still up sharply this year as investors bet on AI.
    Salesforce — Salesforce shares lost about 4%. The drop in shares came as cost concerns and dwindling demand for consulting deals overshadowed better-than-expected results and an improved full-year earnings outlook.
    Okta — The stock sank more than 18%. While the cloud software company lifted guidance for the 2024 fiscal year, management said “macroeconomic pressures are increasing.” JPMorgan Chase downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight Thursday.
    Veeva Systems — The computer application company’s shares surged more than 18% after Veeva posted better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter late Wednesday. The company also raised its full-year earnings per share guidance.
    Lucid Group — The luxury electric vehicle maker saw its shares drop 14% after it said Wednesday it’s raising about $3 billion through a new stock offering, and some $1.8 billion of the raise will come from a private placement with Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, which owns about 60% of the company.
    bluebird bio — The biotech stock rose 4.9% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight by Barclays. The firm said the company has several positive clinical trials on the horizon.
    — CNBC’s Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Alex Harring and Tanaya Macheel contributed reporting. More

  • in

    Many Walmart shoppers will soon see new packaging as retailer tries to cut waste

    Walmart is trying to reduce waste by using paper mailers and technology that makes custom-fit cardboard boxes.
    The nation’s largest retailer will also allow customers to skip plastic bags when retrieving curbside pickup orders.
    Target and Amazon have also looked for ways to reduce packaging and cater to customers who care more about sustainability.

    Walmart is swapping out plastic mailers for paper mailers that customers can recycle.

    BENTONVILLE, Ark. —‎‏ Shoppers who click the “buy” button on Walmart’s website and pick up items curbside will soon spot a difference: new packaging.
    The nation’s largest retailer will roll out changes to eliminate waste across its business, it said Thursday. Walmart will swap plastic mailers for paper ones that can be recycled curbside.

    It will add made-to-fit technology in about half of its fulfillment centers, so each shipped box uses less material and more boxes can fit on each truckload. And by the end of the year, customers at all of its stores will be able to choose to skip plastic bags when retrieving curbside pickup orders.
    “It’s about making sustainability the everyday choice for our customers,” said Jane Ewing, Walmart’s senior vice president of sustainability. “And it’s about making sure the path of least resistance is the most sustainable one.”
    She said the company aims to offer products that are better for the planet, but without the higher price tag.
    Walmart wants to reduce packaging as online sales become a bigger part of its business. Digital transactions now make up about 13% of total annual sales for Walmart in the U.S. The moves can also appeal to customers who care about the environment, or have grown tired of discarded boxes and plastic bags piling up at their homes.
    For a retailer with a reach as staggering as Walmart’s, a change can quickly add up. The company’s switch to paper mailers is expected to eliminate more than 2,000 tons of plastic from circulation in the U.S. by the end of January.

    Other retailers are trying to cut down on packaging and cater to customers who care about sustainability, too. Amazon has also used more made-to-fit packaging after investing two years ago in CMC, a company that makes the e-commerce giant’s packaging machine.
    It is also working with vendors to ship more packages in their own containers rather than putting them in an additional box. More than 10% of its parcels last year were shipped without Amazon packaging, and the company said it plans to increase that share.
    Amazon allows customers to save a dollar or two by consolidating purchases into a single package. Walmart began offering shoppers a similar option in March, but without a financial incentive.
    Meanwhile, Target has replaced bubble wrap with recyclable paper cushioning. Last year, it launched products for its household essentials brand Everspring that cut back on waste with reusable glass cleaning spray bottles. At three stores, it’s piloting returnable bags to reduce single-use bags.
    Along with appealing to shoppers, the sustainability push can come with cost benefits. With made-to-fit packaging, for example, each box requires less material and plastic air pillows that cushion an item — making truckloads more efficient. The box changes also reduce labor for workers who previously made and taped the containers by hand.
    Correction: Last year, Target launched products for its household essentials brand Everspring that cut back on waste with reusable glass cleaning spray bottles. An earlier version misstated the move. More

  • in

    Macy’s slashes its full-year outlook even as earnings beat

    Macy’s slashed its full-year earnings and sales outlook.
    The department store operator beat fiscal first-quarter earnings estimates but missed on revenue.
    Shares of Macy’s dropped as much as 10% in premarket trading.

    The Macy’s company signage is seen at the Herald Square store on March 02, 2023 in New York City. 
    Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

    Macy’s shares fell Thursday, as the retailer slashed its full-year outlook and said it saw sales significantly weaken in late March.
    The company’s stock dropped as much as 10% in premarket trading even as it beat fiscal first-quarter earnings expectations.

    related investing news

    The department store operator said it now expects sales of $22.8 billion to $23.2 billion for the year, down from a previous range of $23.7 billion to $24.2 billion. Macy’s anticipates comparable owned-plus-licensed sales will fall 6% to 7.5% during the period, worse than its previous outlook of a 2% to 4% decline.
    For the year, it expects adjusted earnings per share of $2.70 to $3.20 — a major reduction from the previous $3.67 to $4.11 a share guidance.
    In an interview with CNBC, CEO Jeff Gennette said the retailer took a conservative stance for the rest of the year after seeing a spring pullback. He said the company anticipates more markdowns of seasonal products and plans to reduce merchandise orders as it prepares for the coming quarters.
    Weaker sales cut across Macy’s brands, including higher-end Bloomingdale’s and beauty chain Bluemercury, he said.
    Here’s how Macy’s did for the three-month period that ended April 29 compared with what Wall Street was anticipating, based on a survey of analysts by Refinitiv:

    Earnings per share: 56 cents adjusted vs. 45 cents expected
    Revenue: $4.98 billion vs. $5.04 billion expected

    First-quarter net income for Macy’s was $155 million, or 56 cents per share, compared with $286 million, or 98 cents per share, a year earlier.
    Revenue fell about 7% to $4.98 billion from $5.35 billion in the year-ago period. Sales missed analysts’ forecast.
    Comparable sales on an owned-plus-licensed basis dropped 7.2% for the quarter, worse than the 4.7% drop expected by analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.
    The Macy’s brand saw the steepest year-over-year declines. Its comparable sales fell 7.9% on an owned-plus-licensed basis. At Bloomingdale’s, comparable sales on an owned-plus-licensed basis fell 4.3%. Bluemercury’s comparable sales grew 4.3% year over year, but growth was slower than the double-digit or high single-digit increases it has put up in other quarters.
    Gennette said Macy’s sales have gotten hit as customers’ budgets are squeezed. About half of customers for Macy’s namesake brand have a household income of $75,000 or less.
    “They clearly are under pressure, and particularly in our discretionary categories,” he said.
    At Bloomingdale’s, he said, the “aspirational customer” who shopped more luxury brands during the Covid pandemic when they had stimulus money has dropped off, too.
    Cooler weather also hurt sales, as shoppers held off on buying seasonal items, he added.
    But Gennette said the company did see “signs of life in the month of May” as the weather turned warmer. He said spring apparel sales saw an uptick, especially at Bloomingdale’s. The higher-end department store’s sales are ahead of last May, he said.
    Beauty has been among the company’s strongest categories. Some of the popular pandemic items, such as textiles and housewares, are starting to bounce back, too.
    As Macy’s braces for a potentially tougher year, Gennette said it has a new reason for customers to visit in the fall and over the holidays. Starting in October, Nike will return to its stores and website. Macy’s got its last delivery from Nike in December 2021, as the athletic footwear company cut back on wholesale orders and emphasized direct-to-consumer sales.
    Macy’s has carried some Nike footwear through a licensing partnership with Finish Line, but it will start to get a fuller assortment, including apparel for women, men and kids.
    “We took a pause in our partnership, and we’re now back in it,” he said.
    Shares of Macy’s closed Wednesday at $13.59, bringing the company’s market value to $3.69 billion. So far this year, the company’s stock is down 34%. That lags behind the nearly 9% gains of the S&P 500 and approximately 6% loss of the retail-focused XRT during the same period. More

  • in

    Most Americans say companies should publicly support LGBTQ+ community, new GLAAD survey finds

    A clear majority of Americans who don’t identify as LGBTQ+ believe companies should publicly support the community, according to a new survey from gay rights organization GLAAD.
    Three out of 4 survey respondents said they feel comfortable seeing LGBTQ people in advertisements.
    The study comes as retailers like Target, Kohl’s and PetSmart have come under attack for their annual LGBTQ Pride merchandise displays and ad campaigns.

    10’000 Hours | DigitalVision | Getty Images

    A clear majority of Americans who don’t identify as LGBTQ+ believe companies should publicly support the community, according to a new survey from gay rights organization GLAAD.
    About 70% of more than 2,500 adults who don’t identify as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, queer or an otherwise member of the community said support from companies should come through hiring practices, advertising and sponsorships, according to online responses to GLAAD’s annual “Accelerating Acceptance study,” conducted in February.

    “When people are exposed to LGBTQ people and experiences in media it changes hearts and minds and shifts culture and sentiment,” GLAAD said in its release. “Measuring comfortability in media is a pathway to 100% acceptance for LGBTQ people.”
    Three out of 4 survey respondents said they feel comfortable seeing LGBTQ people in advertisements, and almost 70% reported feeling comfortable seeing an LGBTQ family with children included in ads.
    The study comes as retailers like Target, Kohl’s and PetSmart have come under attack for their annual LGBTQ Pride merchandise displays and ad campaigns.
    Mega retailer Target went as far as to pull some of its merchandise from the retail floor last week. A spokesperson for the company said threats to employees were “impacting our team members’ sense of safety and wellbeing while at work.”
    Critics continue to incite anti-LGBTQ attacks in stores and on social media, with some calling for boycotts.

    In April, Bud Light came under fire after partnering with transgender social media influencer Dylan Mulvaney. The campaign prompted violent videos of customers shooting cans of Bud Light and a right-wing boycott. In response, the marketing executive who oversaw the partnership at Bud Light parent company Anheuser-Busch Inbev took a leave of absence.
    Sales of Bud Light since then continue to suffer, according to data by Evercore ISI. In the week ended May 20, Bud Light sales volume — the number of units of beer sold — declined 29.5% compared with the same period last year.
    The company has also faced criticism from LGBTQ+ leaders who have dinged the company for not defending its ties with Mulvaney and the community more strongly.
    In a statement responding to the backlash, Anheuser Busch said it “works with hundreds of influencers across our brands as one of many ways to authentically connect with audiences across various demographics.”
    GLAAD and more than 100 leading LGBTQ advocacy organizations wrote a letter on Wednesday calling on Target to “reject and speak out against anti-LGBTQ+ extremism going into Pride Month,” which is celebrated in June.
    “Doubling down on your values is not only the right thing to do,” the group wrote in a statement. “It’s good for business.” 
    A separate survey conducted by GLAAD and the Edelman Trust Institute in December found that if a brand publicly supports and demonstrates a commitment to expanding and protecting LGBTQ+ rights, Americans are twice as likely to buy or use the brand.
    GLAAD CEO Sarah Kate Ellis emphasized in her personal call to action on Twitter last week that companies need to stand behind their products and ad campaigns instead of backing down.
    “Anti-LGBTQ violence and hate should not be winning in America,” said Ellis. “But it will continue to until corporate leaders step up as heroes for their LGBTQ employees and consumers and do not cave to fringe activists calling for censorship.” More

  • in

    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Macy’s, Salesforce, Dollar General & more

    People walk past Macy’s on January 26, 2023 in New York City. US gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 2.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022.
    Leonardo Munoz | Corbis News | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines before the bell.
    Nordstrom — Shares rose 4.7% after Nordstrom’s first-quarter results topped Wall Street’s expectations. The company posted 7 cents earnings per share and revenue of $3.18 billion. Analysts had estimated a loss per share of 10 cents and $3.12 billion in revenue, according to StreetAccount.

    related investing news

    2 hours ago

    3 hours ago

    C3.ai — The artificial intelligence company sank 21% after sharing disappointing guidance for the fiscal first quarter. That overshadowed a smaller-than-expected loss for the fiscal fourth quarter.
    Salesforce — The software giant’s shares fell 6% after the company reported higher-than-expected capital costs and lower demand for consulting deals in its fiscal first quarter.
    Okta — The cloud software company’s shares tumbled more than 20% Thursday. While Okta’s first-quarter results came above consensus analyst estimates, decelerating subscription revenue growth and smaller deal sizes from a worsening macro environment worsened investor sentiment. BMO Capital Markets downgraded shares to market perform from outperform in a Thursday note. 
    Macy’s – Shares of the retail giant slid 7% premarket after the company missed revenue estimates for its most recent quarter, according to Refinitiv. Macy’s also slashed its full-year earnings and sales guidance, after “demand trends weakened” for discretionary items in March.
    Lucid Group – The luxury EV maker saw its shares drop 12.5% after it said it’s raising about $3 billion through a new stock offering. It added that some $1.8 billion of the raise will come from a private placement with Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, which owns about 60% of the company.

    Chewy — Shares jumped 17% after the pet products e-commerce company reported an earnings and revenue beat for the first quarter. The company also raised its full-year guidance and announced plans for expansion to Canada in the third quarter. 
    Dollar General — Shares tumbled 9% after the company reported an earnings and revenue miss for the first quarter. The company said the macroeconomic environment is more challenged than it had previously anticipated and reduced its number of expected new store openings. 
    CrowdStrike — Shares of the cybersecurity company fell 10% despite CrowdStrike’s first-quarter results beating analyst expectations. Sales reported 57 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $693 million of revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv were expecting 51 cents per share and $676 million per share. Several Wall Street analysts highlighted a slowdown in annual recurring revenue growth as a negative for the quarter.
    Target — Shares traded down 1.4% after JPMorgan downgraded them to neutral from overweight. The bank cited several factors, including a weakening consumer spending environment, ongoing share losses from recent controversies and grocery inflation headwinds. 
    Victoria’s Secret — The stock fell 13.6% after the company reported a quarterly earnings and revenue miss. The lingerie retailer reduced its full-year revenue guidance in the low-single digits range from the prior mid-single digit range estimates. 
    CSX — Shares added 1.5% in premarket trading following an upgrade by UBS to buy from neutral. The Wall Street firm cited CSX’s strong network operation, which it believes will provide leverage to the next volume upturn. UBS also raised its price target to $37 from $33, suggesting nearly 21% upside from Wednesday’s close.
    Veeva Systems – The computer application company got a 9% boost in its stock price after it posted better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the first quarter. Veeva also raised its full-year earnings per share guidance by 26 cents.
    Pure Storage — Shares rallied 5% following a better-than-expected first quarter earnings report. The company’s full-year revenue guidance also topped analysts’ estimates.
    — CNBC’s Tanaya Macheel, Samantha Subin, Jesse Pound and Michelle Fox contributed reporting More

  • in

    UAW union outlines lofty demands ahead of critical negotiations with Detroit automakers

    The United Auto Workers union President Shawn Fain drew a hard line ahead of contract negotiations with Ford, GM and Stellantis later this year.
    UAW leaders publicly laid out their top bargaining issues Wednesday night including reinstatement of a cost-of-living-adjustment, stronger job security and the end of a grow-in, or tiered, pay system.
    Union officers, led by Fain, are largely newly elected leaders that ran on platforms of standing up to companies and reforming the organization following a years-long federal corruption scandal.

    United Auto Workers members on strike picket outside General Motors’ Detroit-Hamtramck Assembly plant on Sept. 25, 2019 with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (far left) in Detroit.
    Michael Wayland | CNBC

    DETROIT – The United Auto Workers union appears ready to take a hard line when it comes to national negotiations this year with the Detroit automakers, warning of strikes or work stoppages, if needed.
    UAW leaders publicly laid out their top bargaining issues Wednesday night, including reinstatement of a cost-of-living-adjustment that was eliminated during the Great Recession; stronger job security; and the end of a grow-in, or tiered, pay system that has members earning different wages and benefits.

    UAW President Shawn Fain said the “union will not accept any concessions” from General Motors, Ford Motor and Stellantis – a lofty mission in such negotiations.
    Contract talks between the union and automakers usually begin in earnest in July ahead of mid-September expirations of the previous four-year agreements. Typically, one of the three automakers is the lead, or target, company that the union selects to negotiate with first and the others extend their deadlines. However, Fain has said this year may be different, without going into specific details.
    Union leaders, led by Fain, are largely newly elected officers that ran on platforms of standing up to companies and reforming the organization following a years-long federal corruption scandal that partially involved prior negotiations.
    UAW leaders also discussed the record profits of the Detroit automakers, collectively known as the Big Three, in recent years, while laying out the possibility of a strike if their demands are not met.
    GM and Stellantis declined to comment on the town hall. Ford did not immediately respond.

    UAW President Shawn Fain chairs the 2023 Special Elections Collective Bargaining Convention in Detroit, March 27, 2023.
    Rebecca Cook | Reuters

    “I want to be clear on this, and I know this might sound crazy, but the choice of whether or not we go on strike is up to the Big Three,” said UAW Secretary-Treasurer Margaret Mock during a virtual union town hall that was broadcast online. “We are clear about what we want.”
    Labor strikes can be costly and deplete vehicle inventories. A 40-day strike against GM during the last round of negotiations four years ago cost GM about $3.6 billion in 2019, including $2.6 billion in earnings before interest and taxes during the fourth quarter of that year.
    Strikes could take several forms: a national strike, where all workers under the contract cease working, or targeted work stoppages at certain plants over local contract issues.
    The firm demands, strike rhetoric and town hall – titled “Back in the fight: Our generation’s defining moment at the Big Three” – buck historical union practices. Past union leaders have delivered similar messaging but not typically as confrontationally or publicly ahead of the talks.
    “Here’s what you can expect from us: No more bargaining in total secrecy behind closed doors,” Fain said Wednesday. “We’re going to be organizing national days of action in plants all around the country … showing the companies that we’re not playing around, that we mean business.”
    Wall Street analysts have noted the possibility of a strike as well as increased labor costs as headwinds this year for the Detroit automakers.

    The transition to EVs was another main point of discussion Wednesday night, specifically around job security (the vehicles are expected to require less labor) and around organizing critical U.S. battery plants that are in early production or under construction.
    Fain also called out the White House without specifically naming President Joe Biden. The union last month said it would withhold a reendorsement of Biden until the UAW’s concerns about the auto industry’s transition to EVs are addressed.
    “We need to let everyone know – from the White House to the statehouse to our local labor council – that if you stand with us, we will stand with you,” Fain said Wednesday. “Our fight is everyone’s fight.”

    Speaking in front of a backdrop of American-made vehicles and a UAW sign, President Joe Biden speaks about new proposals to protect U.S. jobs during a campaign stop in Warren, Michigan, September 9, 2020.
    Leah Millis | Reuters More

  • in

    Why China’s government might struggle to revive its economy

    China’s post-covid recovery was supposed to be world-shaking. Instead, it looks merely shaky. After the initial release of pent-up demand, economic data for April fell short of expectations. In response China’s stocks faltered, yields on government bonds fell and the currency declined. The country’s trade-weighted exchange rate is now as weak as it was in November, when officials were locking down cities. Will the data for May look better? On the last day of the month the National Bureau of Statistics reported its purchasing-managers indices (pmis). They showed that services output grew more slowly than in April and manufacturing activity shrank for the second month in a row. Another manufacturing index by Caixin, a business publication, was more encouraging, perhaps because it gives smaller weight to inland heavy industry, which may benefit less from a consumption-led recovery. Both sets of pmis also suggest the prices manufacturers pay for inputs and charge for outputs have declined. Some economists now think producer prices—those charged at the “factory gate”—may have fallen by more than 4% in May, compared with a year ago. Such price cuts are hurting industrial profits, which is in turn hampering manufacturing investment. This has raised fears of a deflationary spiral.As a result, China’s economy faces the growing risk of a “double dip”, says Ting Lu of Nomura, a bank. Growth from one quarter to the next may fall close to zero, even if headline growth, which compares gdp with a year earlier, remains respectable.Elsewhere in the world, weak growth is accompanied by uncomfortable inflation. This makes it harder for policymakers to know what to do. But China’s problems of faltering growth and falling inflation point in the same direction: towards easier monetary policy and a looser fiscal stance. Some investors worry that China’s government is not worried enough. The central bank seems unconcerned about deflation. Even without much stimulus, the government is likely to meet its modest growth target of 5% this year, simply because the economy last year was so weak. That stance will change soon, predicts Robin Xing of Morgan Stanley, a bank. In 2015 and 2019, he points out, policymakers were quick to respond when the manufacturing pmi fell below 50 for a few months. He is confident China’s central bank will cut reserve requirements for banks in July, if not before. He also thinks China’s policy banks, which lend in support of development objectives, will increase credit for infrastructure investment. That should be enough to make the slowdown a “hiccup”.Others are less optimistic. The government will act, argues Mr Lu, but small tweaks will not lift the gloom for long. A bigger response faces other obstacles. Officials could cut interest rates, but that would squeeze the profitability of banks which must already worry about losses on property loans. They could transfer more money to local governments, but many have misspent funds on ill-conceived infrastructure in the past. They could hand out cash directly to households, but creating the apparatus to do so would take time. In the past, the government could quickly stimulate the economy through property and infrastructure investment. Since then, notes Mr Lu, its “toolbox has become smaller and smaller”. ■For more expert analysis of the biggest stories in economics, finance and markets, sign up to Money Talks, our weekly subscriber-only newsletter. More

  • in

    Investors go back into battle with rising interest rates

    The past three months have afforded investors little pause for thought. Since a run on Silicon Valley Bank (svb) in March, markets have had to judge first whether one American lender would collapse (yes), then others (yes, though mercifully few), then whether the contagion would spread overseas (just to Credit Suisse). With the takeover of First Republic, another regional lender, on May 1st, bank failures seemed to have petered out. But by then it was time to worry about whether America’s politicians would throw global markets into chaos by defaulting on their sovereign debt. As this column was published, they at last appeared to have decided not to, provided a deal between President Joe Biden and Kevin McCarthy, the Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, makes it through Congress.All this drama has given markets a holiday of sorts: it offered a break from obsessing about how high interest rates will need to rise to quash inflation. Since the Federal Reserve started hoisting borrowing costs in March last year, little has mattered more to investors. But after svb’s fall, the question was not how much the Fed was prepared to do to fight inflation; it was how much it might need to do to stabilise the financial system.Now attention is turning back to interest rates. Once again, they are on the rise. In early May the yield on two-year Treasuries, which is especially sensitive to expectations of the Fed’s policy rate, fell to 3.75%. It has since increased to 4.4% as officials briefed journalists they were contemplating raising rates further than their present level of 5-5.25%. Traders in futures linked to interest rates, who were until recently anticipating rate cuts within months, have also switched to betting on another rise.The new mood music can be heard outside America as well. In Britain former rate-setters have warned that the Bank of England’s benchmark rate may rise to 6% from its current 4.5%. Yields on government bonds have climbed to within touching distance of levels last September, which at the time were only reached amid fire sales and a market meltdown.For Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chairman, this may come as a relief. In early March he appeared to have convinced investors that the central bank was serious about lifting interest rates and keeping them high. He and his colleagues had spent months saying so; traders had spent months trying to call their bluff. But then something in the market’s psyche snapped, and investors at last priced in the same path for rates as the Fed. Days later banking turmoil broke out and they abandoned the bets as fast as depositors fled svb. That the market has now realigned itself with the Fed’s view of the world counts as a win for monetary guardians.The return of rising rates feels more ominous for investors. True, part of the story is that the economy has held up better than expected at the start of the year, and certainly better than feared once banks began to buckle. Yet the bigger part of the story is that inflation has proved unexpectedly stubborn. As of April “core” American prices, which exclude food and energy, were 5.5% higher than a year ago. Although recession has been avoided or delayed, few are predicting stellar growth. In these circumstances, rising rates are bad for stocks and bonds. They hurt share prices by raising firms’ borrowing costs and marking down the present value of future earnings. Meanwhile, bond prices are forced down to align their yields with those prevailing in the market.Does this mean another 2022-style crash? Certainly not in the bond market. Last year the Fed lifted rates by more than four percentage points. An extra quarter-point rise or two this year would have nothing like the same effect.Shares, though, look vulnerable on two counts. One is that most of the stockmarket ran out of momentum some time ago. The s&p 500 index of large American firms has risen by 10% this year, but the entire increase is down to its biggest seven tech stocks, all of which seem gripped by ai euphoria. Such a narrowly led, sentiment-based climb could easily be reversed. The second source of market vulnerability is the earnings yield, which offers a quick-and-dirty guide to potential returns. The s&p 500’s is 5.3%. This means stockholders are taking the risk of owning equities for an expected return that the Fed may shortly be offering risk-free. Stay tuned for more drama.■Read more from Buttonwood, our columnist on financial markets:The American credit cycle is at a dangerous point (May 24th)How to invest in artificial intelligence (May 17th)Investors brace for a painful crash into America’s debt ceiling (May 10th)Also: How the Buttonwood column got its name More