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    Bernstein digital asset portfolio outperforming Bitcoin for first time

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    Updated Bitcoin prices outlook for 2024

    Bitcoin prices After sizeable gains over the last few weeks, Bitcoin has continued to push higher this week, topping $57,000 on Tuesday. The latest move saw it reach its highest level since November 2021.For the year-to-date, the premier cryptocurrency has risen 35%, while Tuesday’s more than 4% gains (so far) add to its over 142% climb in the last 12 months. Research firm Compass Point said in a recent note that BTC and ETH both have both outperformed, and are up significantly since their last report. The move has also driven “strong crypto stock returns,” notes the firm. For example, Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) has climbed over 13% so far this year, while Microstrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) is up 24.9% in 2024. Compass Point picked out COIN as a stock they continue to like, maintaining a Buy rating and $235 price target on the name. The firm believes it “will benefit from increased trading volumes as BTC dominance declines and stronger retail mix, higher staking revenue driven by higher ETH/SOL prices, and increased interest income from USDC beginning to take share from Tether while short-term rates remain elevated.”Bitcoin prices forecastLooking ahead, Compass Point said they continue to like the set-up for BTC/Crypto and “expect considerable upside in CY24 with BTC exiting the year at ~$85K+ levels driven by ETF inflows outpacing available supply on exchanges.”The firm highlighted that the prior BTC cycle low occurred in late November 2022 at ~$16.5K levels.“Since then, we’ve seen BTC price 3.3x to current ~$55K levels,” added Compass Point. “Overlapping prior 3-year cycles returns off the lows shows a strong relationship, which would suggest considerable continued upside if these trends were to continue before peaking out sometime 2H25 or early CY26.”Analysts at Compass Point acknowledged that interest rates haven’t been this elevated in prior cycles. As a result, they believe “absolute returns likely won’t be as high.”However, they state that “so far, cycles have rhymed.” Until they see trends indicating otherwise, the firm continues to “expect strong BTC price growth post-halving, which have historically been strongest in the first year post-halving before starting to taper off.”Elsewhere, analysts at Bernstein said in a recent memo that the crypto bull market is getting wider, with the Bitcoin bull market led by constant ETF inflows. The firm said Bitcoin halving is scheduled around April 20, 2024 and the price of the cryptocurrency historically breaks out post the event.This time, Bitcoin price action looks stronger pre-halving, and in our view will likely sustain momentum for rest of the year,” they wrote. The institutional narrative led by Bitcoin ETFs is driving demand, and Bitcoin being the reflexive asset, we expect higher price will bring higher ETF inflows, leading to new highs in 2024.” More

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    Microstrategy initiated with buy rating at Benchmark on $125k Bitcoin forecast

    Analysts stated the stock is a timely play for the upcoming Bitcoin halving. The firm’s price target for the stock is based on its assumption that the price of bitcoin will reach $125,000 at the end of 2025, up from yesterday’s price of $54,578.The rating and price target are “based on a sum-of-the-parts analysis that combines (1) our estimate of the year-end 2025 value of the company’s bitcoin holdings and (2) our estimate of the year-end 2025 value of its business intelligence software business,” explained Benchmark.”Notably, the first three halvings were associated with bull runs in the price of bitcoin,” they added. “During the year following the first halving in November 2012, the price of bitcoin rose from around $12 to nearly $1,000. After the July 2016 halving, bitcoin rallied from $650 to $2,550 in 12 months.” In addition, the firm feels the boost in demand for Bitcoin resulting from the launch of multiple spot Bitcoin ETFs, combined with the reduced pace of supply of coins resulting from the halving, “has the potential to drive the price of the cryptocurrency meaningfully higher during the next couple of years.””While some observers have suggested that the introduction of spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. would weigh on MSTR’s share price, since equity investors who bought the stock as a bitcoin proxy have a new array of such proxies to choose from, the stock continues to offer investors a unique value proposition, in our view,” Benchmark explained. More

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    Riot Platforms boosts mining capacity with $97.4 million hardware purchase

    The new miners, featuring an efficiency of 18.5 J/TH, are expected to increase the facility’s hash rate capacity from 12.4 EH/s to 15.1 EH/s by the end of July 2024. Riot’s CEO, Jason Les, stated that the upgrade aims to replace underperforming machines and boost operational efficiency with the latest generation of miners.Approximately 14,500 units from this order will expand Riot’s self-mining capacity, while the remaining 17,000 will replace older, less efficient miners. The company anticipates that the full deployment of the new hardware will contribute to its goal of achieving a 31 EH/s hash rate capacity by year-end 2024.MicroBT’s COO, Jordan Chen, expressed enthusiasm for the continued partnership with Riot, noting the significance of this order for Riot’s long-term goal of constructing a mining fleet with a capacity exceeding 100 EH/s.This information is based on a press release statement from Riot Platforms, Inc.As Riot Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ: RIOT) embarks on expanding its Bitcoin mining operations with a significant hardware acquisition, investors are closely monitoring the company’s financial health and market performance. According to InvestingPro data, Riot holds a market capitalization of approximately $4.4 billion, reflecting its standing in the industry. Despite a challenging P/E ratio currently standing at -60.78, analysts are optimistic about the company’s sales growth in the current year, which aligns with Riot’s strategic investments to bolster its mining capabilities.InvestingPro Tips suggest that Riot’s decision to hold more cash than debt on its balance sheet could offer the company a stable foundation to navigate the volatile cryptocurrency market. Additionally, the company’s significant return over the last week, month, and three months indicates strong investor confidence following recent strategic moves. These metrics could be pivotal as Riot aims to achieve a 31 EH/s hash rate capacity by the end of 2024, signaling potential for long-term growth.For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, there are 16 additional InvestingPro Tips available for Riot Platforms, Inc., which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/RIOT. Utilize the coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, and gain deeper insights into Riot’s financial trajectory and market position.This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. More

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    Bitcoin clears $57k, pushing crypto-linked stocks higher premarket

    By 07:55 ET (12:55 GMT), Bitcoin had surged by 11.7% to $57,232.0, putting the world’s largest cryptocurrency on pace for its best two-day rally so far this year. World no.2 cryptocurrency Ethereum had also risen by 6.6% to $3,265.04.The increases boosted crypto-linked stocks on Tuesday, pointing to an extension in gains made in the prior session. Top U.S. crypto exchange Coinbase Global (NASDAQ:COIN), as well as crypto miners Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA), Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) and CleanSpark (NASDAQ:CLSK), all gained prior to the opening bell in New York.Gains in Bitcoin, along with the broader digital coin market, came as a report from digital asset manager Coinshares showed crypto investment products saw a fourth straight week of capital inflows.Digital asset investment products were bolstered by inflows of $598 million in the week to Feb. 23, according to the report.Bitcoin exchange-traded funds commanded the lion’s share of the inflows. Bitcoin products registered $570 million of inflows, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust notching $543.5 million of inflows. This largely offset sharp outflows from Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, as it grappled with a slew of new entrants to the Bitcoin ETF space.Coinshares also noted that short interest in Bitcoin was building in the wake of recent price increases. The token is trading up about 24% so far in 2024, after more than doubling in price through 2023.Bitcoin was also supported by MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ:MSTR), the biggest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency, announcing that it had recently purchased 3,000 tokens for about $155 million.Bitcoin’s stellar performance this year has been spurred on in part by the recent U.S. approval of ETFs that directly track the price of the cryptocurrency.The approvals have drawn a slew of institutional capital into the token. However, retail trading volumes have remained relatively muted, in an indication that faith in the crypto industry has potentially been dented by a string of high-profile scandals and bankruptcies.Ambar Warrick contributed to this report. More

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    Bitcoin scorches past $57,000 as big buyers flock in

    LONDON/SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Bitcoin hit a two-year high on Tuesday, on track for its biggest two-day rally this year, on signs large players were buying the cryptocurrency, while smaller rival ether topped $3,200 for the first time since 2022.Bitcoin has rallied more than 10% in two sessions, helped by Monday’s disclosure from crypto investor and software firm MicroStrategy that it had recently purchased about 3,000 bitcoins for an outlay of $155 million. The original and largest cryptocurrency by market value has also been buoyed recently by the approval of bitcoin-owning exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States. On Monday, trading volumes in several of the funds spiked and crypto-linked firms rallied too, in contrast to nervous broader markets.Bitcoin rose by as much 4.3% to $57,036, its highest since late 2021. It was last up 3.6% at $56,636, while ether rose by as much as 2.7% to $3,273, its highest since April 2022.”There’s only so much supply … but the demand unleashed by the U.S. spot ETFs seems to be relentless,” said Justin d’Anethan, head of partnerships in Asia at Keyrock, a digital asset market maker.A major incentive right now is the bitcoin halving event in April. This process is designed to slow the release of bitcoin, whose supply is capped at 21 million – of which 19 million have already been mined – by cutting the reward for producing the tokens in half. Bitcoin has gained 32% in value so far in February, heading for its largest one-month gain since January 2023, and momentum is building beyond the investment community.Social media platform Reddit, which on Feb. 22 filed to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange, said it had invested a small portion of its excess cash reserves in bitcoin, ether and matic, the native token of the Polygon network, as a form of payment for sales of certain virtual goods.Ether has risen at an even faster pace this month, heading for a 41% gain.Anticipation is growing among market participants over the possible regulatory approval of spot ether ETFs, which has helped this latest rise in price.”The prospect of a spot ethereum ETF is a further development for traders and investors alike after the recent launch of a variety of bitcoin ETFs,” DailyFX senior strategist Nick Crawley said in a note.”It represents a further maturation of the cryptocurrency market and a recognition of ethereum’s role in the future of cryptocurrencies within the financial system.”Shares of crypto exchange Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) rose 5.2% in U.S. premarket trading, while bitcoin miners Marathon Digital (NASDAQ:MARA) and Riot Platforms (NASDAQ:RIOT) climbed 8.3% and 4.5%, respectively.The largest bitcoin ETF Grayscale Bitcoin Trust rose 4.3%. More

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    Analysis – US SEC expected to drag its feet on new wave of crypto ETFs

    (Reuters) – Buoyed by the successful launch of U.S. bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), asset managers are lining up to list a second wave of more complex crypto products, setting the stage for another tussle with the U.S. securities regulator. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rejected spot bitcoin ETFs for more than a decade, hoping to protect investors from market manipulation. But the SEC was forced to approve them last month after Grayscale Investments won a court challenge. A federal appeals court ruled that the SEC had not sufficiently detailed its reasoning for rejecting the products.That decision encouraged 12 asset managers, including Grayscale, ProShares, VanEck, Invesco, Fidelity and Ark Investments to file applications to launch 25 next-generation cryptocurrency ETFs.Many are complex products that would use options to amplify bitcoin’s volatility. Others would track the price of ether, the No. 2 cryptocurrency after bitcoin. Investors hope the new products will help drive crypto further into the mainstream. Bitcoin hit $50,000 on Feb. 12 for the first time in over two years and ether has climbed more than 12% this year on hopes the SEC will approve the spot products.Yet the SEC remains uncomfortable with cryptocurrencies and complex exchange-traded products, and lawyers and industry sources said they expect the agency to move cautiously. The legal status of ether is also ambiguous, they noted. “It doesn’t seem like there’s a rush to approve a second wave of products,” said Yesha Yadav, a professor focusing on digital asset regulation at Vanderbilt University, adding the SEC would have to “grapple with” how much risk it can stomach. SEC Chair Gary Gensler remains a crypto critic, and when approving the bitcoin ETFs, he warned they were highly risky and said the decision did not signal the SEC was willing to approve listing standards for crypto assets more broadly. An executive at one issuer said it was unclear whether SEC approval of the bitcoin ETFs would pave the way for other products. Some applications before the SEC are for products designed for day traders: Leveraged exchange-traded bitcoin products would seek to juice returns by further amplifying the cryptocurrency’s significant volatility. Other applications are for inverse products that allow speculators to bet on a decline in the price.The SEC has approved many inverse and leveraged ETFs, but has been cautious after a volatility-tracking exchange-traded note went bust in 2018, costing investors $2 billion in losses. In 2020, it capped ETF leverage at 200%, and the agency is due to review its rules on ETF risks this year, according to its regulatory agenda. Gensler and Democratic SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw have also warned about risks of inverse and leveraged ETFs. The SEC would only formally stop these products from launching if it found their disclosures to be materially misleading, people familiar with the matter said, but they added it could delay the effective date of a filing or suggest an issuer withdraw it if staff have concerns. James Angel, associate professor of finance at Georgetown University, said the SEC would likely avoid outright rejection of applications, which could invite a legal challenge. “I think they will look for every possible detail or excuse they can to delay the process,” he added. There is no clear process for SEC approval of options on the bitcoin ETFs, which have usually been approved days after an ETF launch, so approval could take months going forward, Reuters reported this month. ProShares, Invesco, Fidelity and Ark Investments declined to comment or did not respond to requests for comment. ETHER CLASH?Because the spot ether ETFs would be a new product and require a rule change, the SEC must approve or deny them by a set deadline. VanEck’s filing is first in line for a decision on May 23, while the deadline for Grayscale’s ether application is June 18. The SEC has yet to engage substantively with issuers on the applications, but is expected to begin meetings next month, said two other people familiar with the matter. The agency has not yet disclosed meetings on the products in its public log. Asked about the spot ether ETF filings this month, Gensler told CNBC the SEC’s five commissioners would review them. Both Democrat commissioners voted against the bitcoin ETFs, while the two Republicans voted for them. That means Gensler would likely have the deciding vote. The arguments Grayscale used to defeat the SEC in its bitcoin ETF suit could apply to the ether products because the circumstances are similar. But some regulatory experts and issuers said Gensler could argue ether is a different type of asset. The SEC has said bitcoin is a commodity, but has not made a determination on ether. Unlike bitcoin, ether is traded on a so-called “proof-of-stake” blockchain that allows users to earn yield in exchange for locking up tokens for a period of time. Gensler has questioned whether this setup resembles a traditional security. “There are different circumstances the SEC will consider. The biggest circumstance is that they consider bitcoin to be a commodity and not a security,” said Frank Borger Gilligan, a securities attorney at Dickinson Wright who said the SEC would want assurances that any new products had investor safeguards.Asked by CNBC last week if it will take another lawsuit to force the SEC to approve ether ETFs, Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein said it was “too early to say.” More

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    MicroStrategy buys 3,000 Bitcoin for $155 million

    The company’s shares rose more than 1.8% in premarket trading.As of February 25, 2024, MicroStrategy now possesses 193,000 Bitcoins, obtained for around $6.09 billion, with an average price of $31,544 per Bitcoin.Based on current prices, MSTR’s Bitcoin holdings are valued at slightly under $10 billion, resulting in a return of nearly 63%. More