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    Choice Hotel Franchise Owners Push Back on Merger With Wyndham

    Franchisees are fighting Choice Hotels’ attempted takeover of its biggest rival, which would create a dominant player in the budget hotel sector.When Patrick Pacious, the chief executive of a large portfolio of hotel brands, promoted a blockbuster attempt to acquire a competitor in October, he said the proposed merger would lower costs and attract more customers for the families and small businesses that own most of the company’s locations.“Our franchisees instantly grasped the strategic benefit this would bring to their hotels,” Mr. Pacious, who leads Choice Hotels, said on CNBC.As the weeks have passed, however, the reaction has not been positive. Wyndham Hotels and Resorts, the target of the proposed deal, rejected the offer from Choice, which is now pursuing a hostile takeover. And in early December, an association representing the majority of hoteliers who own Choice and Wyndham-branded properties came out strongly against it.“We all don’t know what’s driving this merger. Many of us feel it’s not needed,” said Bharat Patel, the chairman of the organization, the Asian American Hotel Owners Association. The group surveyed its 20,000 members and found that about 77 percent of respondents who own hotels under either brand or both thought a merger would hurt their business.“I’m not against Choice or Wyndham,” said Mr. Patel, who owns two Choice hotels. “We just need robust competition in the markets.”That opposition illustrates a growing resistance to consolidation in industries that have grown more concentrated in recent years. Even some Wall Street analysts have expressed skepticism that Choice’s proposal is a good idea.The views of hotel owners could become a hurdle for Choice as it seeks approval for a merger from the Federal Trade Commission, which has taken an interest in franchising as evidence has mounted that the economic and legal relationship has increasingly tilted in favor of brand owners and away from franchisees.To understand why franchisees are worried, it’s helpful to understand how hotels are structured.About 70 percent of the nation’s 5.7 million hotel rooms operate under one of the several big national brands like Marriott or Hilton, according to the real estate data firm CoStar. The rest are independent.Over the past few decades, franchise chains have bought one another and merged to the point where the top six companies by number of rooms — Marriott, Hilton, InterContinental, Best Western, Choice and Wyndham — account for about 80 percent of all branded hotels.How a Choice/Wyndham merger would stack upCombining the two companies would create America’s largest branded hotel chain

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    Number of hotel rooms in the United States
    Note: Data is as of Dec. 19.Source: CoStar GroupBy The New York TimesUnlike fast food franchisees, hotel owners typically develop or buy their own buildings, representing a multimillion-dollar investment for each property. The industry has drawn thousands of immigrant entrepreneurs from South Asia. Some owners accumulate sprawling portfolios, but most end up with just a few hotels.The average member of the Asian American owners’ group owns just two hotels, most commonly with one of the economy or midscale brands. Choice and Wyndham dominate that segment, with 6,270 and 5,907 hotels in the United States, including Days Inn, Howard Johnson, Quality Inn and Econo Lodge.Being part of a franchise network provides a recognized name, a business plan and collective purchasing that is supposed to give small businesses the benefits of scale. In exchange, hotel owners pay the brands a fee to join, ongoing royalties and other payments for marketing, technology and consulting.As a result, franchisees are effectively customers of the hotel brands. Less competition between hotel chains can leave owners with fewer options and, thus, less leverage to demand better services for a lower cost.Consider the frustrations of Jayanti Patel, who owns a Comfort Inn — one of Choice’s 22 brands — in Gettysburg, Pa.He said Choice had been taking a larger cut, via charges like an $18 monthly fee for reporting his property’s energy use, discounts for rooms booked with rewards programs and penalties when guests file complaints. Mr. Patel also laments declining service, such as from revenue management consultants who are supposed to provide advice that increases his profits. Choice has outsourced this work to a service that operates partly overseas.Mr. Patel said his profit margins had become “thinner and thinner,” and he’s considering signing up with a different brand when his franchise agreement ends in a couple of years. Friends who own Wyndham-branded properties seem happy, so he might adopt one of its brands as long as Choice doesn’t acquire that chain.“When my window comes up in 2026, 99 percent I don’t want to renew my agreement,” Mr. Patel said. “And maybe If I want to go to Wyndham, they have nearly 20 brands, and I lose that opportunity, because it will be the same thing.”Choice argues that as its rivals have expanded and merged, it also needs to grow to offer hotel owners bigger savings on supplies like signage and bedsheets. The company is also promising to bargain down the commissions that hotel owners pay websites like Expedia and Booking.com, which are particularly crucial in the budget segment.“Combining with Wyndham would enable us to continue to deliver enhanced profitability for franchisees — by helping to lower their costs and grow their direct revenue while providing our best-in-class technology platform,” Choice said in a statement.However, many hotel owners say that even if Choice did negotiate lower prices, they are skeptical that they would reap those benefits. In 2020, 90 franchisees filed a lawsuit that accused the company of, among other things, not passing along rebates from contracts with vendors. A judge ruled that hotel owners would have to pursue their claims in separate arbitration cases, and several did.Rich Gandhi, a hotelier in New Jersey, supports a campaign for state legislation that would improve the rights of franchisees in the hospitality industry.Hannah Yoon for The New York TimesChoice prevailed in two of those proceedings. But in one, brought by a hotelier in North Dakota, an arbitrator found this past summer that Choice had “made virtually no efforts to leverage its size, scale and distribution to obtain volume discounts.” He ordered Choice to pay $760,008 in legal fees and compensation. Choice is contesting the award.The case is just one example, but it squares with recent economic research. A 2017 study found that while being part of a hotel franchise system helped bring in guests, it did not lower the cost of doing business compared with operating an independent hotel.But litigating on your own is expensive, which is why few franchisees do so even when they feel they’ve been mistreated.Rich Gandhi, a hotelier in New Jersey, is supporting a campaign for state legislation that would improve the rights of franchisees in the hospitality industry. He leads a three-year-old group called Reform Lodging that is also opposing the merger.Mr. Gandhi has turned four of his Choice-branded hotels into Best Westerns and Red Roof Inns, both non-Choice brands that he said offered better assistance, fewer restrictions and more reasonable fees. Choice, he argued, introduced too many competitors to his area because it makes money from selling new franchises and controlling more of the market, even if the practice squeezes existing owners.“They want the biggest pie, because to them it’s all incremental revenue,” Mr. Gandhi said. “If you keep accumulating all these buildings and provide no support, it’s like one of those old pyramid schemes that’s ready to fall apart, which is exactly what’s happening.”A representative for Choice referred The New York Times to four hoteliers who it said would speak favorably of the merger. Two of them, including the chairman of the Choice Hotels Owners Council — to which all franchisees must belong and pay dues — declined to comment on the record. A third, who owns three Radisson hotels and was happy when Choice bought the brand, said the purchase of Wyndham — a much bigger company — could pose problems.The fourth, a Florida hotelier, Azim Saju, said that despite the loss of competition, if Choice acquired Wyndham the company would still have an incentive to make sure franchisees stayed afloat.“The concern is valid, but the bottom line is that franchising doesn’t do well unless the franchisees are profitable,” Mr. Saju said. “I think Choice has become more conscientious of the importance of franchisee profitability in order to further their success.”The dissatisfaction of hotel owners could hurt Choice’s ability to absorb Wyndham, especially if more franchisees switch to other brands. That prospect has soured some Wall Street analysts on the deal.“In hotel franchising, the critical constituency, as much as consumers walking in the door, is that franchising community,” said David Katz, an analyst who covers the hospitality and gambling industries for Jefferies & Company. “They’re going to own more than 50 percent of the limited service and economy hotels in the United States, and not have the full support of the largest franchisee organization out there? I think that merits further debate.”Franchisee support isn’t important just for morale. It could also sway federal regulators, who have started to take into account the effect of corporate mergers not just on their consumers but also on suppliers like book authors, chicken farmers and Amazon sellers.“Traditionally in antitrust there’s this consumer welfare standard, which is focused on ‘Is this going to be good or bad for consumers?’” said Brett Hollenbeck, an associate professor at the Anderson School of Management of the University of California, Los Angeles. “If the F.T.C. doesn’t feel like this argument will hold sway, they could try a more novel theory, which is that it could hurt franchisees.”Choice said it anticipated that its deal would be approved and was expecting to complete the transaction within a year. Its offer to buy all outstanding Wyndham shares extends through March, when it will try to replace the directors on the company’s board with people who will approve the sale. More

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    Futures rise after stocks retreat, Micron’s upbeat outlook – what’s moving markets

    1. Futures higher after stocks slipU.S. stock futures were higher on Thursday, pointing to a rebound in equities following a day of losses on Wall Street in the previous session.By 04:57 ET (09:57 GMT), the Dow futures contract had added 192 points or 0.5%, S&P 500 futures had risen by 27 points or 0.6%, and Nasdaq 100 futures had gained 124 points or 0.7%.The main averages retreated in an afternoon sell-off on Wednesday, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite snapping a nine-day winning streak and the benchmark S&P 500 slipping to its biggest one-day fall in three months. Analysts said a recent rally in stocks, which had been charged by investor hopes for Federal Reserve interest rate reductions early next year, hit resistance levels.”This could be due to an overbought market as rate cuts optimism ran out of steam,” said Tina Teng, market analysts at CMC Markets, in a note.Adding to the downbeat sentiment was a disappointing annual forecast from logistics group FedEx (NYSE:FDX). Shares in the parcel deliverer, which is often seen as a bellwether for the state of the U.S. economy, slumped by more than 12%.2. U.S. Treasury yields fallThe nose-dive on Wall Street came despite a drop in U.S. Treasury yields, which touched five-month lows on Wednesday on enthusiasm for Fed rate cuts.Bets that the Fed will move to slash rates from over two-decade highs in the spring have grown since last week, when the central bank hinted that it may soon embark on a dovish policy pivot. According to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool, there is a more than 68% chance that the Fed will lower borrowing costs by 25 basis points as early as March.These expectations were bolstered by Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, who told a local radio station that officials “don’t need to raise rates anymore.” Harker added that the outlook for inflation was improving after a post-pandemic period of red-hot price growth.His statements suggested that loosening in policy may be coming in 2024, although some members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee have attempted to temper such predictions in recent days.3. Micron’s upbeat forecastShares in Micron climbed in premarket trading in New York on Thursday after the memory chipmaker unveiled a better-than-expected second-quarter revenue forecast.Idaho-based Micron said that now sees revenue at $5.3 billion, plus or minus $200 million, during the period, topping Bloomberg consensus estimates of $4.99B.In prepared remarks, Chief Executive Sanjay Mehrotra said the outlook was boosted by “a strong inflection in industry pricing” that will allow the company “to benefit from higher prices” next year and into 2025.Aiding Micron has been soaring hype around generative artificial intelligence. The trend has boosted corporate demand for the firm’s high-bandwidth memory chips that help power the large language models underpinning AI technology.”We are in the very early stages of a multi-year growth phase catalyzed and driven by generative AI, and this disruptive technology will eventually transform every aspect of business and society,” Mehrotra noted.4. Paramount, Warner Bros Discovery in early merger talks – reportsWarner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) and Paramount Global have discussed a potential tie-up that would bring two of the world’s largest media companies, according to multiple media reports.Citing people familiar with the matter, reports said that Warner Chief Executive David Zaslav and his counterpart Bob Bakish at Paramount held talks at a lunch in New York this week. The sources warned news outlets that these were early stage discussions and may never materialize.Axios, which first reported on the talks, said that the companies were considering a deal that would see Warner Bros buy either Paramount Global or its parent National Amusements Inc.A possible merger was widely viewed as a move by Warner and Paramount to shore up profitability and lower costs during a time of fierce competition from streaming rival Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX).5. Oil rises amid trade disruption fearsOil prices edged up on Thursday as concerns remained over global trade disruptions due to tensions in the Middle East.By 04:58 ET, the U.S. crude futures traded 0.4% higher at $74.50 a barrel, while the Brent contract climbed 0.4% to $79.97 per barrel.Gains were limited, however, after the Energy Information Administration announced on Wednesday that U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.9 million barrels last week, compared with expectations for a 2.3 million barrel drop. The figures served to exacerbate worries over demand in the world’s largest consumer.The EIA also said U.S. crude output increased to a record 13.3 million barrels per day last week, up from the prior all-time high of 13.2 million barrels.Crude prices have surged this week after shipping operators announced plans to avoid the Suez Canal following attacks by the Iran-backed Houthi group on vessels in the Red Sea, potentially impacting oil supplies to the important Asian market. More

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    Indonesia central bank sits tight, sees room for easing in second half 2024

    JAKARTA (Reuters) -Indonesia’s central bank held policy rates steady on Thursday to support the rupiah and keep inflation at bay, but indicated there was room for monetary easing in the second half of 2024.Bank Indonesia (BI) kept the benchmark 7-day reverse repurchase rate unchanged at 6.00%, as widely expected by economists in a Reuters poll. Its two other policy rates were also kept steady.While inflation in Southeast Asia’s largest economy has cooled faster than the central bank expected, growth has weakened this year amid shrinking exports driven by falling commodity prices and sluggish global trade.BI has kept monetary policy tight due to volatility in the rupiah exchange rate, which has been hit by capital outflows as the Federal Reserve aggressively hiked interest rates. BI raised Indonesian rates by a total of 250 basis points rate between August 2022 to October.The current level of its policy rate was consistent with BI’s focus on rupiah stability to ward off imported inflation and keep the inflation rate within target in the next two years, Governor Perry Warjiyo told a press conference.Global market uncertainty has begun to ease, with policy rates in many central banks already at their peak, Warjiyo said, predicting the Fed would start cutting rates in the second half of 2024 by as much as 50 bps.However, when asked if BI would follow the Fed’s footsteps, Warjiyo said: “No. We take (federal funds rate) into consideration but we will not follow. What we aim for is inflation within a 1.5% to 3.5% target range in 2024 and 2025.” “We can better measure FX risks in the second semester of next year,” he added. “If the rupiah strengthens earlier and inflation can stay low, the room (for easing) may be open, but we will not rush.”The central bank said it expects upward bias in volatile food inflation next year due to supply issues, and policymakers will continue to monitor the situation.BI maintained its outlook for GDP, forecasting 4.5%-5.3% for this year and 4.7%-5.5% in 2024.Myrdal Gunarto, economist with Maybank Indonesia, said the earliest BI could trim policy rates was in May or June, as prices would peak during the Eid al-Fitr holidays in April. The magnitude of cuts will likely match the Fed’s easing, he added. Capital Economics predicted BI would move before the second half of next year.”…with economic growth set to struggle and inflation likely to remain subdued, we think easing will come sooner than that. We have cuts pencilled in for the central bank’s April meeting,” Ankita Amajuri, its economist said in a note.All economists polled by Reuters before Thursday’s decision had expected BI would start loosening monetary policy in the third quarter of 2024.The rupiah has strengthened in the past week as dovish comments by Fed policymakers boosted emerging market assets. The rupiah was largely unchanged after Thursday’s announcement. More

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    Taiwan accuses China of economic coercion after tariff cut removals

    TAIPEI/BEIJING (Reuters) -Taiwan on Thursday accused China of economic coercion and election interference after Beijing announced the end of tariff cuts on some chemical imports from the island, saying Taipei violated a trade agreement, just ahead of Taiwanese elections.Taiwan’s Jan. 13 presidential and parliamentary elections are taking place as China, which views the island as its own territory, has sought to force Taiwan to accept Chinese sovereignty claims.Taiwan’s government and the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) have repeatedly said China is trying to interfere in the vote, whether by military means or co-opting Taiwanese politicians, to ensure an outcome favourable to Beijing.China’s Finance Ministry said that starting Jan. 1, tariff cuts will be suspended for 12 products, including acrylic and p-xylene, citing “discriminatory prohibitions and restrictions” Taiwan imposed on Chinese exports in violation of a 2010 trade deal.”It is hoped that Taiwan will take effective measures to lift trade restrictions on the mainland,” it said.China last week said it had determined Taiwan had put up trade barriers in contravention of both World Trade Organization (WTO) rules and the 2010 trade deal.Taiwan’s Office of Trade Negotiations, in a statement after a weekly Cabinet meeting on Thursday, said China was carrying out “typical economic coercion” and that it should stop its “one-sided political manipulation” and have talks under the World Trade Organization, of which both are members. China’s investigation process has been unfair, opaque and not in line with international norms, it said.”Our government was deliberately skipped over during the investigation process, showing that (the probe’s) political aims were greater than their economic ones.”Taiwan’s China-policy making Mainland Affairs Council said that China had many different ways to interfere in the election, and the trade probe was one of them.”The election is the Chinese communists’ short-term political goal, but its economic coercion against Taiwan will not end with the election, and will continue for a long time,” spokesperson Jan Jyh-horng told reporters.However, National Development Council Minister Kung Ming-hsin said the tariff move would not affect Taiwan’s economic outlook.”We won’t change next year’s economic growth (forecast) because of this. It will still exceed 3%,” Kung said. China’s Taiwan Affairs Office laid the blame on Taiwan’s government, saying the ruling Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) “stubborn adherence to Taiwan independence” had made it hard to properly resolve problems.China detests the DPP and its presidential candidate, current Vice President Lai Ching-te, who is leading in the polls, believing they are separatists.Lai says only Taiwan’s people can decide their future and has repeatedly offered talks with China but been rebuffed. More

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    United States weighs hike in tariffs on Chinese EVs -WSJ

    China’s vehicle exports have grown in recent years, fuelled by overcapacity and slowing domestic demand in the world’s biggest auto market, and are expected to rise 25% next year to 5.3 million units, China Merchants Bank International says.The Journal report follows a request to the administration by a bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers last month to hike tariffs on Chinese-made vehicles and investigate ways to prevent Chinese firms from exporting to the United States from Mexico.Chinese automobiles currently face a 25% levy introduced during the administration of former President Donald Trump and extended by his successor.The U.S. government is debating Trump-era duties on roughly $300 billion of Chinese goods, aiming for early next year to wrap up a long-running review of the tariffs, the paper added. The Biden administration is also considering lowering tariffs on some Chinese consumer products that officials do not see as strategically important, in addition to the potential increases on clean-energy products, the paper said. Foreign automakers including Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) also use China as a major export hub.Lawmakers have said earlier that U.S. automakers are exporting Chinese-made vehicles to the United States, a sign that current import tariffs are insufficient.China will follow developments closely and take necessary measures to safeguard its legitimate interests, a spokesperson of its foreign ministry told a daily briefing on Thursday. The office of the U.S. Trade Representative and the National Security Council did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. More

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    South Korea’s parliament approves 2024 budget

    The increase is the smallest in two decades as authorities prioritise fiscal discipline in a U-turn from expansionary expenditure made during the coronavirus pandemic, according to the nation’s finance ministry.By restraining spending, President Yoon Suk Yeol’s administration plans to bring the ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP back below 3% from 2025. The 656.6 trillion won of fiscal expenditure penciled in for next year will widen the deficit-to-GDP to 3.9% from an estimated 2.6% this year. ($1 = 1,304.0700 won) More

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    Social media platform X back up after global outage

    Users in Canada, Britain, France and other countries reported issues with accessing both X and X Pro, earlier known as TweetDeck.Over 7,000 users in Canada and Britain experienced issues with the platform, according to Downdetector data. Downdetector tracks outages by collating status reports from several sources including users.The cause of the outage, which began a little after 12 am ET(0500 GMT), is not yet known, and emails to X’s communications and support teams bounced back. Users on X, owned by billionaire Elon Musk, experienced an inability to view posts, receiving a “Welcome to X!” message. X Pro users encountered a message that said “Waiting for posts.” The social media platform faced upheaval and uncertainty following Musk’s $44 billion acquisition, leading to layoffs, including numerous engineers responsible for fixing and preventing service outages, sources have previously told Reuters.Users took to rival Meta (NASDAQ:META)’s app, Threads, to discuss the outage, citing difficulties in accessing posts, replies and profiles on X. More