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    BOJ should wait at least six months for rate hike, says opposition kingmaker

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    TOKYO (Reuters) -The Bank of Japan should wait for at least six months before hiking interest rates, until there are signs of sustainable wage gains above inflation, the head of the opposition party that the ruling LDP is courting for support said.”There should be no significant changes to monetary policy, as we need to observe the wage growth trends from next year’s spring negotiations,” Yuichiro Tamaki, head of the opposition Democratic Party for the People (DPP), said in an interview with Reuters.Following Japan’s general election on Oct. 27, Tamaki’s party has gained influence over government policy as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party seeks its support to maintain power.The LDP and its coalition partner Komeito are 18 seats short of a majority in the 465-member lower house, while the DPP, which is advocating for higher wages and cuts to both the country’s sales tax and income tax, saw its seat count rise from seven to 28.The Bank of Japan ended negative interest rates in March and raised short-term rates to 0.25% in July on the view that Japan was making progress towards durably achieving its 2% inflation target.It held short-term rates at 0.25% at Thursday’s policy meeting but said risks around the U.S. economy were somewhat subsiding, signalling that conditions are falling into place to raise interest rates again.Still, Tamaki said that it is necessary to eventually normalise monetary policy and allow the market to function properly.Tamaki said maintaining easy monetary policy may push the yen down. “But it is the strength of the U.S. economy that keeps the gap between U.S. and Japanese interest rates wide and monetary policy should not be used to manipulate currency rates,” he said.He declined to comment on current currency levels but said currency interventions have only a short-term impact, although they could act as a deterrent to speculative moves. More

  • 163 Shares169 Views

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    Charities, universities and GPs warn NI tax rise will hit jobs and services

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    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    U.S. Factory Towns Laid Low by the ‘China Shock’ Are Benefiting From New Investments

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    Communities that suffered the worst of plant closings in recent decades are now gaining an outsize share of fresh investment and new jobs.For much of the last half century, economic life in the heart of North Carolina has been dominated by factory closings, joblessness and downgraded expectations. Textile mills and furniture plants have been undercut by low-priced imports from Mexico and China. Tobacco processing jobs have disappeared.Yet over the last several years, an infusion of investment in cutting-edge industries like biotechnology, computer chips and electric vehicles has lifted the fortunes of long-struggling communities.North Carolina presents a conspicuous example of this trend, yet a similar story is playing out elsewhere. From industrial swaths of the Midwest to factory towns in the South, areas that suffered the most wrenching downsides of trade are now capturing the greatest shares of investment into forward-tilting industries, according to research from the Brookings Institution, a public policy research organization in Washington.As furniture manufacturing and textile jobs vanished, Chatham County, N.C., suffered the consequences for decades.Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesThe Plant in Pittsboro, N.C., is home to a variety of small businesses and includes outdoor event spaces and restaurants.Sebastian Siadecki for The New York TimesBrookings researchers examined pledges of private investment across the United States, using data compiled by the Biden administration as part of its campaign to subsidize domestic production of computer chips and electric vehicles. They also tapped a Massachusetts Institute of Technology database that tracks investments in clean energy. Over the last three years, $736 billion in investment has been promised for these key industries, the researchers found.When they mapped the investments, the Brookings team concluded that nearly a third of the total is flowing into communities that experienced the worst effects of the so-called China Shock — the factory closures that followed China’s entry to the global trading system in 2001.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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    Working-Class Voters Are Pivotal. Both Candidates Are Vying for Their Support.

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    Kamala Harris’s plans offer a bigger boost for the working class, but Donald Trump seems to be convincing voters.Bernadette Daywalt had yet to decide whom to vote for in the presidential election. But the 69-year-old retiree said her decision would probably come down to economics.She and her 82-year-old sister have struggled to keep up with rising grocery prices over the past few years, and they now frequent a food pantry in the Philadelphia suburb where they live.“I think we’re headed downhill right now, with the cost of food, the cost of everything,” Ms. Daywalt said as she checked on her voter registration at an outreach van parked outside the Elmwood Park Zoo on a crisp October afternoon. She voted for Mr. Trump in 2016, and she felt better economically when he was president.Ms. Daywalt’s perceptions underscore a tough reality facing Democrats, who have been trying to recapture a working-class vote that has been slipping away from them.Many economists say Vice President Kamala Harris’s economic proposals would do more to help everyday Americans than the agenda put forward by former President Donald J. Trump. One model suggests that her package would boost post-tax income for the poorest Americans by 18 percent by 2026, much more than the 1.4 percent bump Mr. Trump’s ideas would offer.Income Effects of Trump vs. Harris Economic ProposalsAfter tax and transfers, estimates from the Penn Wharton Budget Model suggest that Kamala Harris’s proposals would boost low-income groups while costing rich ones.

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    Percent Change as of 2026
    Notes: Percent changes are from the baseline expectation for income in 2026. Baseline income is about $20,000 for the bottom quintile, $81,400 for the middle quintile and $327,000 for the group in the 90-95 percent range.Source: Penn Wharton Budget ModelBy The New York TimesWe are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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    Trump’s trade remedies reflect America’s troubled reality

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    Trading lessons on US elections

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    Can we trust official statistics? The data gaps shaping our view of the economy

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    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    Fed governor divesting stock bought by spouse in violation of trading rules

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    (Reuters) – Federal Reserve Governor Adriana Kugler, the newest of the U.S. central bank’s seven board members, has run afoul of new ethics rules governing how officials and their families can trade and invest after her spouse bought stock in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and another company without her knowledge this summer. In a government filing dated Oct. 24, Kugler reported the planned divestiture of Apple and Cava Group shares purchased by her spouse. Fed ethics rules sharply limit how the central bank’s officials and senior staff can invest their personal funds and require trading to be pre-cleared by central bank ethics officials. Those rules also cover spouses and minor children of top Fed staff. The purchases “were carried out by my spouse, without my knowledge, and I affirm that my spouse did not intend to violate any rules,” Kugler said in the financial disclosure form. “Upon learning about the purchases, I immediately notified ethics officials, and at their direction, I initiated divestiture of these assets as soon as possible under (Federal Open Market Committee) ethics policies.”The four sets of stock purchases happened over the summer, and each purchase amount ranged between $1,001 and $15,000. In a statement, a Fed spokesperson said “we can confirm that (Kugler) did alert the ethics office and acted at their direction, and in accordance with our policies.”The current Fed ethics rules were put in place in early 2022 after a series of controversies over the personal investing activities of some policymakers.The first involved the investing activities of the heads of the Fed’s regional banks in Boston and Dallas, and both left their posts in the fall of 2021. In a report early this year, the Fed’s Office of Inspector General, its in-house watchdog, rapped the two regional Fed bank chiefs for creating the appearance of a conflict of interest. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and former Vice Chair Richard Clarida were cleared of wrongdoing by the watchdog. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has also faced trouble over his personal investing. In September, the Fed watchdog said Bostic had broken rules then in place and had created the appearance that he acted on confidential information and the appearance of a conflict of interest. Bostic had traded in periods that were off limits, but the watchdog also found no evidence he had used confidential Fed information to govern his investing. The finding on Bostic is widely believed to be the final report on Fed officials’ trading. The process of tightening up loose ends around the new ethics system and ensuring compliance is ongoing. At the start of this month, the OIG flagged a range of work the central bank is still engaged in, including ways to ensure the accuracy of disclosures. More