More stories

  • in

    Herman Daly, 84, Who Challenged the Economic Gospel of Growth, Dies

    Perhaps the best-known ecological economist, he faulted his mainstream peers for failing to account for the environmental harm growth can bring.Herman Daly, who for more than 50 years argued that the economic gospel of growth as synonymous with prosperity and progress was fundamentally, and dangerously, flawed because it ignored its associated costs, especially the depletion of natural resources and the pollution it engenders, died on Oct. 28 in Richmond, Va. He was 84.The death, at a hospital, was caused by a brain hemorrhage, his daughter Karen Daly Junker said.Dr. Daly, an ecological economist, was almost surely his field’s chief popularizer through his more than a dozen books and many journal articles, his faculty positions at the University of Maryland and, earlier, Louisiana State University, and his somewhat incongruous six-year stint at the World Bank.Although he was branded a heretic for his theories — or, worse, ignored — among traditional economists, he had plenty of adherents, who saw him as prophetic for anticipating climate change’s increasingly harmful impact and the vast sums of money needed to address it.“His ideas are really relevant now, unlike most other economists, whose ideas tend to lose relevance as time passes and circumstances change,” Peter A. Victor, an ecological economist and the author of the 2021 biography “Herman Daly’s Economics for a Full Word,” said in a phone interview.One of Dr. Daly’s key principles was that growth is “uneconomic” when its costs outweigh its benefits. That idea was tied to another: Earth, once empty, is now full — of people and what they produce — and charting a more sustainable path requires the use of fewer natural resources and the making of less waste.“That’s not really hard to understand,” Dr. Daly said in a 2011 video interview with WWF Sweden. “I can explain that to my grandchildren.”Yet another foundational concept was that the economy does not exist apart from the Earth’s biosphere but within it, and that its scale is limited by its reliance on finite natural resources.Such propositions might seem simple, but arguing against economic growth, Dr. Daly wrote in a foreword to Mr. Victor’s book, was like poking “a big hornets’ nest with a short stick.”“It rudely upsets a very large and comfortable consensus,” he added.He urged politicians, governments and other economists to abandon the relentless pursuit of growth in favor of a so-called steady-state economy, which would achieve a stable balance between supporting human life and preserving the environment. He employed an aircraft metaphor to explain his preferred approach.“The failure of a growth economy to grow is a disaster,” he told The New York Times Magazine in a profile of him this year. “The success of a steady-state economy not to grow is not a disaster. It’s like the difference between an airplane and a helicopter. An airplane is designed for forward motion. If an airplane has to stand still, it’ll crash. A helicopter is designed to stand still, like a hummingbird.”He proposed replacing gross domestic product with metrics like an “index of sustainable economic welfare,” which would tally not just the value of goods and services produced but also the ecological harm done in the process. To him, “sustainable growth” was nonsensical; “sustainable development” was the goal.In an interview, Joshua Farley, an economist and co-author with Dr. Daly of “Ecological Economics: Principles and Applications” (2004), boiled his colleague’s animating philosophy down concisely: “More isn’t always better.”Dr. Daly’s economic beliefs were grounded in hard sciences like the laws of thermodynamics, but also in ethical ideals, like the fair distribution of wealth, and in his faith as a Methodist who saw the Earth as the handiwork of an almighty creator.Even as his theories gained currency in recent years, they remained outside economic thinking’s mainstream. He did not seem to mind.“My duty is to do the best I can and put out some ideas,” he said in The Times Magazine interview. “Whether the seed that I plant is going to grow is not up to me. It’s just up to me to plant it and water it.”Dr. Daly received the Right Livelihood Award, which is sometimes called an alternative Nobel Prize, in 1996.Eric Roxfelt/Associated PressHerman Edward Daly was born on July 2l, l938, in Houston to Edward Joseph Daly, who owned a service station in Beaumont, Texas, where the family lived at the time, and Mildred (Herrmann) Daly, a homemaker who had worked as a bookkeeper before marrying. The family later moved to Houston, where Ed Daly opened a hardware store.Shortly before Herman turned 8, he contracted polio, which rendered his left arm useless. After unsuccessful efforts to repair it over several years, he opted for amputation when he was about to enter high school.“As traumatic as this was, it stopped me from wasting my time hoping I would recover and saved me from using lots of energy going through treatment that would be of little or no benefit,” he wrote in a 2014 personal history. “This painful experience taught me to concentrate on what I am able to do and not waste energy on things that I can’t do.”After graduating from high school in 1956, he entered what was then known as the Rice Institute (now Rice University) in Houston. When the time came to declare a major, he chose economics because, he said, he felt it merged science and the humanities.“As he later discovered,” Dr. Victor wrote in his biography, “that turned out not to be true.”Dr. Daly earned his bachelor’s degree in 1960 and then enrolled in a doctorate program at Vanderbilt University with a focus on development in Latin America.Two people he met while at Vanderbilt would play major roles in his life.One, his original thesis adviser, the Romanian mathematician and economist Nicolas Georgescu-Roegen, helped lay the groundwork for what became ecological economics with his 1971 book “The Entropy Law and the Economic Process,” which argued that all natural resources are permanently degraded when used for economic activity.The other was Marcia Damasceno, a Brazilian college student whom he married in 1963. Along with his daughter Karen, she survives him, as do another daughter, Terri Daly Stewart; his sister, Denis Lynn (Daly) Heyck, professor emeritus of Spanish language and literature at Loyola University Chicago; and three grandchildren.By the time Dr. Daly received his doctorate from Vanderbilt in 1967, he was teaching at L.S.U. There, he began to focus more closely on the interconnections between the economy, the environment and ethics, with an emphasis on the steady-state principles articulated by the 19th-century British economist John Stuart Mill. Dr. Daly published his first book, “Toward a Steady-State Economy,” in 1973. Dr. Daly’s 1996 book “Beyond Growth: The Economics of Sustainable Development,” one of some 20 he wrote detailing his theories.He remained at L.S.U. until 1988, when, in an unlikely move, he joined the World Bank in Washington as a senior economist in the environment department. “It was a big surprise for me that the World Bank, whose basic policy was economic growth, offered me a job,” he wrote.While there, he developed his “three rules for sustainable development” and worked with others to try to change the bank’s system for measuring G.D.P. to reflect environmental costs. The efforts, he wrote, were “to little or no avail.” He moved to the University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy in 1994, taking emeritus status in 2010.Dr. Daly’s other notable books include “For the Common Good: Redirecting the Economy Toward Community, the Environment, and a Sustainable Future” (1989), written with the theologian John B. Cobb Jr.John Fullerton, a former commercial banker who now leads the Capital Institute, a research organization based in Stonington, Conn., whose work is aligned with the book’s prescriptions, is among those who have been influenced by “For the Common Good.”In an interview, Mr. Fullerton said one of Dr. Daly’s most important contributions was his focus on “a pursuit of development that was not physical to achieve prosperity.” Another, he said, was to argue that traditional approaches to finance and economics “lead us off a cliff.”Kirsten Noyes contributed research. More

  • in

    Argentina plans $9.4 billion local debt swap to ease year-end payment crunch

    The country’s economy ministry said in a statement it would swap out some 700 billion pesos of debt due in November and 800 billion pesos due in December, in exchange for bonds maturing over June, July and September of 2023.”This conversion operation seeks to extend the maturities of the Treasury’s peso debt profile,” the ministry said in the statement.Market analysts had expected the announcement given the severe economic slump hitting the South American country, fueled by sky-high inflation estimated to hit 100% this year.Argentina had in August performed another voluntary debt swap for some 2 trillion pesos ($15 billion) for bonds maturing before November. The economy ministry said the new offer would be open on Nov. 10 between 10 a.m. and 3 p.m. local time (1300-1800 GMT) and be settled on Nov. 15.Ledes, Lecer and dollar-linked Boncer bonds are eligible for the swap, it said, adding it would issue three dual-currency bond options with varying maturities in 2023.($1 = 159.7100 Argentine pesos) More

  • in

    Argentina’s reserves under pressure again after soy export bonanza ends

    BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – The Argentine central bank’s already depleted reserves are coming under renewed pressure, as grains exports from the South American nation have stalled following a soybean sales bonanza and a drought that is hitting wheat and corn.The country’s central bank sold some $150 million on Monday, the largest daily fall in reserves since early August, traders told Reuters, adding to drops of some $368 million last week and $72 million the week before. It sold $145 million on Tuesday.A government-spurred soybean export push in September helped bring in some $5 billion in hard currency reserves for the country, which sorely needs dollars to make future payments to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and private creditors.Amid a slowdown in grains sales for the world’s top exporter of processed soy and No. 3 corn exporter and continued demand for dollars among importers, the central bank has already given up around one-fifth of those gains, data collated by Reuters show, despite tighter measures to defend reserves. Argentina: building reserves? https://graphics.reuters.com/ARGENTINA-ECONOMY/egpbkoralvq/chart.png “The picture is getting more complicated as supply (of dollars) falls and demand does not give up, despite greater exchange restrictions and differential exchange rates,” local clearing agent Cohen said in a note.”The exchange rate tension returned earlier than expected.”Argentina is facing a major and protracted drought, and recent frosts hammered wheat harvest forecasts and forced farmers to delay planting of soy in the country’s core farm belt region, risking billions of dollars in potential losses.Inflation is also heading towards 100% this year, while pressure has also been rising on the local peso currency, with increasing numbers of parallel exchange rates far removed from the official spot rate raising expectations of a devaluation.”At some point the devaluation jump will take place, but the political context must be taken into account,” said economist Juan Carlos De Pablo, referring to general elections next year. More

  • in

    Factbox-How Wall St and billionaires have donated to U.S. elections

    NEW YORK (Reuters) – Wall Street and investment firm leaders have been prominent in the list of top individual donors ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, with influential megadonors growing as a percentage of overall contributions, according to OpenSecrets.Most of top donors this cycle are the same people who have topped political contribution lists in past years, with a few exceptions, including cryptocurrency billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried, who has emerged as a major Democrat supporter, and his FTX co-CEO, Ryan Salame, who backs Republicans, the data show.Bankman-Fried on Tuesday announced he would sell FTX’s non-U.S. unit to crypto giant Binance, which said it would help cover a “liquidity crunch” at the rival exchange, marking an abrupt change in fortune for Bankman-Fried.     Billionaires made up 15% of all federal political itemized donations from Jan. 1, 2021 to Sept. 30, up from 11% in the 2020 election cycle, said Sarah Bryner, director of research and strategy at OpenSecrets, a non-profit organization that tracks campaign finance.     Prior to the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2010 Citizens United ruling, which struck down limits on political contributions by corporations or unions, political contributions of billionaires made up around 3% of overall political contributions, she said. Here are some of the Wall Street and investment billionaires who make up the top 25-largest political donors this election cycle:     * Financier George Soros was the top individual donor, spending more than $128 million to support Democratic campaigns according to OpenSecrets. A spokesperson for Soros said $125 million went to a super PAC set up as a contributions vehicle meant to last over several cycles. Between that and other giving he has contributed around $35 million to campaigns and candidates this cycle, meaning 2021 to the present.    * Citadel LLC founder Ken Griffin was the third-biggest donor as of Sept. 30, spending more than $68 million to help Republican efforts, according to OpenSecrets. Griffin said in a statement: “I hope that my political engagement will help to protect the American Dream. I proudly support the men and women willing to run for elected office who are committed to improving K-12 and college education, focused on protecting individual rights, and prioritizing public safety and national defense. Tragically, we have all seen majestic cities such as Chicago and San Francisco devastated by progressive leftist policies. On Halloween, three children – and at least 11 adults – were senselessly shot in Chicago. In a few days, I believe American voters will say we’ve suffered enough from these misguided policies.”     * Susquehanna International Group founder Jeffrey Yass, and Janine Yass, were the fourth spot on the list, spending more than $44 million on Republican causes, according to OpenSecrets. A representative declined comment.     * Crypto-billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried of FTX was the sixth-largest donor, at $39.8 million with the vast majority going to help Democrats. FTX did not respond to a request for comment. * Blackstone Group (NYSE:BX) founder Stephen Schwarzman sat at No. 8 on the list, spending $35.5 million to support Republicans. Blackstone did not immediately respond to a request for comment.     * FTX co-CEO Ryan Salame was 14th, spending $23.6 million with the majority to help Republicans. FTX did not respond to a request for comment on the donation.    * Elliott Management founder Paul Singer spent $19.7 million to support Republicans, making him the 15th-largest donor. Elliot did not immediately respond to a request for comment.     * Hedge fund manager Stephen Mandel, of Lone Pine Capital, along with his wife Susan Mandel, were 17th, spending $17.7 million, mostly on supporting Democrats. Lone Pine declined comment.     * Renaissance Technologies founder Jim Simons, together with Marilyn Simons, were the 20th-largest donors, spending nearly $16 million to help Democrats. Simons declined to comment via a representative. More

  • in

    Petroecuador advancing in tender to appoint auditor

    QUITO (Reuters) – Petroecuador, Ecuador’s state-owned oil company, on Tuesday said it is looking to appoint an international auditing firm to put its accounts in order, and that the tendering process is supported by the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). The audit of the oil company’s accounts forms part of a $6.5 billion financing deal between the Andean country and the International Monetary Fund which finishes towards the end of this year, according to Energy Minister Fernando Santos. Talking to a local media outlet on Monday, Santos acknowledged Petroecuador is not audited by an international firm and its financial reporting does not comply with international standards. Petroecuador began a tendering process to appoint an auditor in August, it said. “As the process is financed with international cooperation funds, the hiring must follow the guidelines established by the international organization,” the company added.The auditing companies have until Nov. 10 to submit their tenders. The attorney general’s office last week arrested seven people – including former public officials from Petroecuador and the Ministry of Economy – as part of an investigation into alleged corruption at the oil company.Former Energy Minister Xavier Vera resigned at the end of October over a separate investigation into allegations that he took bribes in exchange for jobs at Petroecuador. Vera denies any wrongdoing. More

  • in

    FirstFT: FTX on brink of collapse

    The digital assets industry has been shaken by the near-collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried’s FTX, one of the largest crypto exchanges, which clinched a rescue deal with arch-rival Binance after a surge in customer withdrawals sparked a liquidity crisis. Binance chief executive Changpeng “CZ” Zhao wrote on Twitter that FTX had “asked for our help”, adding: “There is a significant liquidity crunch.” Binance has signed a letter of intent to buy FTX, but said it had “the discretion to pull out from the deal at any time”. The bailout of one of the biggest and most prominent companies in the global cryptocurrency industry by its chief competitor reverberated across the market. Bitcoin, the most actively traded token, fell as much as 17 per cent while smaller coins faced steeper falls. US-listed crypto exchange Coinbase dropped about 14 per cent. In an industry that has been called the “wild west” by Wall Street’s top regulator, FTX was widely considered to be one of the better-managed players, with its founder Bankman-Fried regularly lobbying lawmakers in Washington. The deal with Binance ends an explosive and very public row between Bankman-Fried and Zhao and will combine two of the world’s biggest crypto exchanges. FTX’s troubles accelerated over the weekend when Binance said it intended to offload its holdings of FTX’s token FTT, citing concerns over the exchange’s financial stability and sending the token plunging in price.For more on the latest ructions in the crypto world, premium subscribers can sign up for our Cryptofinance newsletter here. Thanks for reading FirstFT Asia. — EmilyFive more stories in the news1. Trump predicts ‘great night’ for Republicans Donald Trump predicted a “great night” for Republicans, as Joe Biden warned Democrats are facing a “tough” battle in closely watched US midterm elections set to reshape Washington and fire the starting gun on the 2024 presidential election cycle. Follow along with the latest on our live blog. More on the US midterm elections: In today’s Swamp Notes newsletter, Rana Foroohar explores Democrats’ biggest messaging problem.2. TikTok overhauls US business TikTok’s US operations are undergoing a big restructuring as the social platform responds to a slowing economy and a depressed environment for digital advertising. The reorganisation has resulted in sweeping leadership changes to the US business, the largest market for TikTok, owned by China-based parent company ByteDance.3. Russia becomes India’s top oil supplier Russia has surpassed Iraq and Saudi Arabia as India’s largest supplier of oil, according to independent research companies, as Asia’s third-largest economy cashes in on steep price discounts caused by sanctions against Moscow.4. Germany set to block Chinese chip deal The German government is expected to formally bar the sale of Dortmund-based Elmos’s semiconductor plant to China-owned Silex Microsystems following a cabinet meeting later today. The blocking of the sale comes just days after Olaf Scholz made his first visit as chancellor to Beijing.5. Khan supporters step up protests in Pakistan Supporters of Imran Khan have blockaded motorways around Pakistan’s capital as they step up their efforts to topple the government following an assassination attempt on the former prime minister. Hundreds of supporters of Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party blocked traffic on one of the main arteries into Islamabad and temporarily cut off access to the airport.The day aheadChina inflation data October consumer price index and producer price index inflation rate data are set to be released today. See how your country compares on prices with our global inflation tracker. Finance ministers convene at COP27 Global leaders will meet to reflect their commitment to climate action at the UN climate summit in Sharm el-Sheikh. US climate envoy John Kerry is also expected to announce his proposal for a power-sector credits system today. EU budget rules overhaul Under the blueprint to be set out today, member states would be able to agree more realistic debt-reduction paths with the commission, while creating extra space for public investment.Earnings Adidas, Bank of Ireland, Commerzbank, Honda, ITV, Kirin Holdings, National Australia Bank, Nissan Motor Corp and Tata Motors will report results Wednesday. Join leaders including Singapore’s Minister of Trade and Industry, the Deputy Chairperson, CEO & Executive Director of Mewah International Inc. and more on November 23 in Singapore at The Westin and online to speak about the future of the commodities industry. Register here for your in person or digital pass today.What else we’re readingDelay only makes climate action more urgent We have a global challenge that can only be solved with huge investments, notably in new energy systems. But our capital markets are fragmented by country risk, writes Martin Wolf. The only solution is for rich countries to underwrite a substantial part of that risk.India: The nation’s path to net zero is complicated by its economic ambition. China: Xi Jinping’s absence from COP27 is undermining the climate negotiations.What US Republicans may do with a House majority If the polls are correct, Republicans are on course to take back control of at least one chamber of the US Congress. Kevin McCarthy, who is widely expected to become the next Speaker of the House if Republicans win the lower chamber, has hinted in recent weeks about what might be in store.Apple’s bargain with Beijing Apple’s record profits in greater China are the result of corporate diplomacy led by chief executive Tim Cook — allowing the Silicon Valley company to sail through President Xi Jinping’s crackdown. But critics argue Apple’s reliance on Chinese manufacturing has made it acquiesce too readily to authoritarian demands.

    You are seeing a snapshot of an interactive graphic. This is most likely due to being offline or JavaScript being disabled in your browser.

    PoWs recall desperate fight for Mariupol In September, 215 prisoners in Russian captivity were released in the largest exchange since Vladimir Putin launched his full-blown invasion of Ukraine. Now they have shared their insights into a critical early battle of the war with the Financial Times. “It felt like one long day in hell”, said Major Oleksandr Voronenko.Hong Kong takes on Singapore for Asia’s crypto crown Hong Kong trails Singapore in terms of the value of crypto assets received but a sudden shift by regulators last week towards clearer rules to allow retail investors to trade digital assets after years of ambiguity has led executives to warn that Singapore may be squandering its lead.Fashion Like Arsenal’s standing in the Premier League or Matt Hancock’s career in television, the Mary Jane shoe is rebounding in the fashion world, surprising everyone who’d written off dainty footwear for chunky boots and orthopaedic-looking trainers. Sign up for our new Fashion Matters newsletter launching later this month. More

  • in

    Bolsonaro’s party gears up to be Lula’s opposition, will back him again in 2026

    The right-wing Liberal Party (PL) emerged from elections last month as the largest party in the Brazilian Congress, riding the unexpected rise in support for Bolsonaro, who narrowly lost his re-election bid to Lula.Bolsonaro will be the party’s candidate for president in the next elections in 2026, and will be named the party’s honorary president, Costa Neto said. “Bolsonarismo (his conservative movement) is growing a lot. It’s getting bigger than Bolsonaro,” he told a news conference.Costa Neto said his party is not planning to contest the election result that marks the return of former leftist president Lula to office. That could change, he said, if a military report to be published on Wednesday points to any irregularities.Bolsonaro repeatedly criticized Brazil’s electronic voting system, claiming it is vulnerable to fraud. He did not concede defeat, but authorized his chief of staff to begin negotiating a transition, which was taken as recognition of the result.Bolsonaro has said his supporters were justified in protesting his defeat, though he asked them to clear their roadblocks on highways.Costa Neto said his party agreed with their right to protest in front of military bases as long as they remained legal and did not block people’s movements. The PL leader also told reporters that his party will vote for a constitutional amendment proposed by Lula to allow a budget waiver that can cover social welfare costs from the extension of higher monthly payments to poor families, a promise both candidates made during the election campaign.”I discussed this at length with President Bolsonaro and he said that, if it is in the public interest and the interest of the country, we will vote in favor of the constitutional amendment, but everything has to be well discussed beforehand,” he said. More

  • in

    Bank of England’s stance on QE may have added to high inflation, says Pill

    The Bank of England’s chief economist has admitted that the central bank’s decisions to prolong quantitative easing in the coronavirus pandemic may have contributed to the past year’s surge in inflation.Giving evidence to the House of Lords’ economic affairs committee on Tuesday, Huw Pill said the UK’s double-digit inflation largely resulted from the increase in wholesale gas prices in Europe, although there was a risk of high inflation becoming more persistent. But he added that decisions taken by the BoE before he joined its Monetary Policy Committee — including repeated rounds of quantitative easing over the course of the pandemic — could have worsened the central bank’s overshoot of its 2 per cent target. The stock of assets held by the BoE — mostly government bonds — stood at £445bn at the start of the pandemic and had doubled to £895bn by the end of 2021 following three successive rounds of QE announced in 2020. Global factors — including US fiscal support to households that boosted international goods prices — also played a part, Pill argued.He said it was “an open question” whether some of those choices would have been made with hindsight, adding: “One could say the destruction of demand was overemphasised relative to the destruction of supply . . . That probably meant support for demand was stronger than it should have been.”Pill’s comments, made in response to a question from the former BoE governor Mervyn King, are the first admission from an official at the central bank that its choices have contributed to the current squeeze on living standards. Critics have accused the bank of fuelling inflation by pumping money into the economy and being too slow to raise interest rates in the first upswing after lockdowns were lifted.But Pill pushed back against King’s suggestion that the BoE’s decision last week to raise interest rates by 0.75 percentage points to 3 per cent was still nowhere near sufficient to control inflation. Price rises reached 10.1 per cent in September, far above the bank’s 2 per cent target.He said the BoE’s latest forecasts showed clearly that policymakers were likely to continue raising interest rates at future meetings, while also signalling that recent market expectations for the benchmark rate to reach 5.25 per cent next year had been overdone. “I would say and my colleagues would say there is more to do . . . There is more to come,” he told the committee, reiterating the message he delivered on Tuesday morning at a conference held by the bank UBS.At the conference, Pill did not say how much further interest rates had to rise but insisted another tightening of monetary policy would be needed to ensure that companies did not continue raising prices and that workers moderated wage demands. These are known as second-round effects in an inflationary period.

    “I think we cannot declare victory against second-round effects, but we are entering a recession. That’s a difficult trade-off environment for monetary policy,” Pill said.“What we’re most concerned about is whether this self-sustaining inflation will persist,” he added.Pill moderated these hawkish remarks by noting that the BoE would still have to digest the effects of the chancellor’s Autumn Statement on November 17, which is likely to raise taxes and cut public spending. More