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    US and Taiwan set for talks to end double taxation for companies

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    Vista’s Robert Smith: How to prevent AI from further widening the racial wealth gap

    Human resources and technology concept for AI augmenting team work.
    Leowolfert | Istock | Getty Images

    The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has been stunning in both its speed and impact. According to data from Goldman Sachs, investment in AI is expected to reach $100 billion in the U.S. and $200 billion globally by next year. Last year, in private equity alone, generative AI (GenAI) investments reached $2.18 billion – double from the year before.
    Yet, while we often hear about the boundless promise of AI – as we should – we also need to pay more attention to the careers, lives and communities it will disrupt, including those who have so far been left out. For example, according to a recent McKinsey study, Black Americans are 10% more likely to be working jobs slated for AI automation. In addition, the same study anticipates that AI will disrupt 4.5 million jobs for Black workers. This disruption has the potential to impact billions of dollars in Black economic potential and growth. If current trends hold, the new wealth created by GenAI alone will increase the racial wealth gap by $43 billion annually, according to McKinsey.

    We have already seen firsthand how the rapid adoption of technology can exacerbate gaps and create new divides. One only needs to look at the creation and adoption of computers and the internet. In 1987, economist Robert Solow famously claimed that “you can see the computer age everywhere but in the productivity statistics.” Today, we almost take for granted how much productivity the digital age has brought. But, that digital age has also created a digital divide, which exacerbates racial economic gaps. And, one of the legacies of failing to address this digital divide and ensure broadband access to Black and other communities without access to resources and opportunities has been limited engagement with these tools.

    How to prevent another wealth gap

    As we stand at the beginning of this next revolution in AI and its early waves of value creation, our urgent task is to prevent another gap. We can do that by empowering all people to take part and be leaders in this evolving field, allowing our economy to reap greater benefits. That begins with infrastructure that supports AI enablement for all, including education on AI tools, access to the internet and power to compute.
    One model for this is the work being done by Student Freedom Initiative (SFI). As a first step, we must commit to eliminating the existing digital broadband divide. SFI has been working hard to close the digital divide in Black communities, including Historically Black Colleges and Universities (HBCUs), 82% of which reside in broadband deserts. This is a critical gap that must be closed to provide the next generation of diverse leaders with the resources, education and technical access needed to master this evolving tech.
    We must also double our efforts to provide education around these tools. A combination of critical thinking and technical skills is increasingly becoming a prerequisite for effectively interacting with GenAI. Our education system, particularly secondary and higher education institutions, must play a key role in equipping students with these essential skills.
    In partnership with Stats Perform, a global leader in AI solutions for the sports industry and a portfolio company of my global investment firm, Vista Equity Partners, SFI launched an “AI in Basketball” course at Morehouse College last year. This course provided hands-on instruction in AI-use cases, which helped prepare those students to be leaders in this field. It also offered students internship opportunities to use what they learned in a real-world setting, allowing them to build experience and competitive resumes for AI careers. Soon, we will be expanding these courses to other HBCUs, creating on-ramps to this growing industry. 

    Another notable example of this is the work being done at internXL, which offers opportunities like free training and certifications in artificial intelligence, data science, and machine learning, including access to over 500 AI training courses. The internXL initiative also connects highly-qualified HBCU students with AI experts and employers for internships, enabling them to gain practical experience in the field. And internships are critical – studies show that an internship at a hiring organization, or in the same field, are among the highest differentiators used in choosing between qualified candidates. This work is bridging access gaps and ensuring that underrepresented talent thrives in the rapidly growing and in-demand field of AI.
    Finally, we must also ensure widespread access to compute, or processing power, to run these new tools and their applications. If we use the example of smartphones, compute was made possible thanks to telecommunication organizations updating their infrastructure to handle 4G, 5G and LTE – all of which have been underinvested in across Black communities. If we want to fully harness the potential impact of AI on our economy, all communities need to have access to these tools and the infrastructure that underpins the technology. This includes computing power, requisite energy sources, and large language models and other machine learning and reasoning tools.

    Economic toll

    We know that the racial wealth gap will cost the U.S. economy $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion between 2019 and 2028. Imagine what it would mean for the economy if we took steps to prevent AI from becoming a new economic wedge, and it, instead, became a prolific source of generational wealth. What if we were able to ensure access to these tools for communities around the globe? So long as we take appropriate steps to prevent these tools from mimicking and reinforcing racial biases, the innovation and economic growth this would spur has the potential to close many gaps, generating prosperity for all.
    With AI’s current trajectory, there will be three distinct waves of opportunity through which value will be captured. We are already seeing the first wave of value creation benefiting hardware vendors. The second wave will go to super scalers like Microsoft, Google, Oracle and other large companies that have the ability to broadly offer connectivity to compute. The third wave will benefit enterprise software vendors who provide AI and GenAI solution sets on top of their existing products. These are three distinct verticals where we must focus our equity efforts to impact the long-term growth of AI and GenAI.
    The good news is that, unlike the digital revolution, we have the luxury of foresight. As AI evolves and established companies and new start-ups scale products, develop features and capture value at each stage, we must commit ourselves to ensuring that everyone has access to the incredible benefits of AI. If we fall short, we will not be equipped, nor able, to fully harness and unlock its potential. As we stand at these crossroads, we must think expansively and act decisively to ensure we build the infrastructure to support AI and GenAI enablement.
    Robert F. Smith is the founder, chairman and CEO of Vista Equity Partners. He serves as chairman of Student Freedom Initiative (SFI) and Carnegie Hall, founding director and president of the Fund II Foundation and co-lead of Southern Communities Initiative (SCI). In 2019, Smith eliminated the student debt of approximately 400 Morehouse College graduates and was named one of TIME 100’s Most Influential People in 2020. More

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    Suriname to hold off on new IMF program until next year’s election

    The small South American nation is hoping that an upcoming $10.5 billion oil and gas project operated by France’s TotalEnergies (EPA:TTEF) and U.S. APA Corp will help boost an economy still recovering from a heavy debt burden.Finance Minister Stanley Raghoebarsing urged caution, saying the government would not apply for another IMF program immediately after the current $688 million program expires in March. Suriname last week did, however, join a World Bank agreement unlocking $22 million to improve living conditions.In a separate statement, Raghoebarsing also ruled out taking out new loans using future oil revenues as collateral.”In no way do we want to sell the oil we have yet to produce and use it as collateral for easy money, which would burden the next generation,” he said. He also ruled out debt-for-nature swaps to repay existing debt early. The TotalEnergies-APA project is expected to begin output in 2028. State oil company Staatsolie has predicted the project could generate as much as $26 billion, benefiting Suriname’s economy and population of 650,000 through government royalties.The government is also studying an amendment to a law on oil revenues that seeks to balance their use between current and future generations. More

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    Alphabet’s AI investments boost cloud sales, lifts maturing ad business

    (Reuters) – Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) said on Tuesday its AI investments were “paying off” as it reported a 35% surge in its cloud business and U.S. election-related spending lifted YouTube ad sales in the third quarter.Alphabet shares rose nearly 6% in after-market trading on Tuesday. Shares of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), the top cloud companies, were up about 1% after hours.Alphabet topped third-quarter revenue and earnings expectations. Its mainstay Search business jumped 12% and as did revenue from YouTube ads.”Alphabet is the first major tech name to report earnings, and it hasn’t disappointed,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. “Cloud growth was strong … which continues to support the argument that the major cloud providers are well-placed to benefit from the AI revolution.”Perceived as slow to catch up with Big Tech rival Microsoft in the AI race, Google has been beefing up its Gemini AI chatbot and improving its AI-powered Search. The company is continuing to spend big on AI.Its new chief financial officer, Anat Ashkenazi, fielding her first analyst call, said Alphabet’s capital expenditures in 2025 would be higher than this year.In the third quarter, Alphabet’s capex rose 62% to $13 billion. The fourth quarter is expected to be similar, she said.Some analysts said Alphabet’s quarter looked impressive compared with low expectations, and that its small but growing cloud business could slowly fill in for its slowing ad business.Google’s long-established dominance of the digital ad market is under threat from Amazon and TikTok, which have become popular with advertisers looking to tap a ready pool of buyers. Its Search business is also facing scrutiny from regulators seeking to break up the company.But its cloud business grew at the fastest pace in eight quarters – to $11.35 billion – thanks to enterprises doubling down on cloud spending, which is essential to power artificial-intelligence technologies. Analysts estimated $10.86 billion.”I do think it was an impressive quarter because the fact that Google Cloud could more than offset Search decline speaks both to the growing importance of cloud revenues and the fact that the company continues to diversify its revenue base,” said Bob O’Donnell, president of TECHnalysis Research.Google has rolled out ads in AI Overviews, which use generative AI to summarize content from a range of sources and display concise results for search queries. Analysts said users think the company’s new AI tools are more effective than previously – a significant improvement from earlier this year when the feature drew harsh criticism for displaying inaccurate answers, including a pizza recipe that listed glue as an ingredient.Alphabet also beat profit expectations with earnings of $2.12 per share, compared with an average market estimate of $1.85, according to LSEG.LOSING SHARE”We had a slight tailwind from election-related ad spend in the third quarter, which was a little bit more pronounced in YouTube ads,” Google’s chief business officer, Philipp Schindler, said on a post-earnings call.Social media company Snap, which also depends on advertising, posted good news for shareholders, topping Wall Street targets for quarterly revenue and user growth, sending shares up 6% in after-hours trading.Alphabet’s digital advertising sales – the biggest chunk of its total revenue – rose 10% to $65.85 billion in the third quarter. But that pace of growth slowed from the second quarter.”I completely expect Google to start losing share in the ad market over the next two to three years,” said Angelo Zino, senior equity analyst at CFRA Research. “Clearly, as we kind of move towards more of an AI-driven market, there’s going to be increasing competitive pressures out there as a result.”According to data from eMarketer, Google’s share of U.S. search advertising revenue is projected to fall below 50% next year, for the first time in at least 18 years. Meanwhile, Amazon’s share is expected to grow to 24% from 22% this year.Alphabet’s total revenue increased 15% to $88.27 billion in the July-September period, while analysts on average expected $86.30 billion, according to LSEG data. Pulling forward the company’s smartphone launch this year helped boost revenue. More

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    UK’s new finance minister Reeves lines up tax hikes and borrowing in first budget

    LONDON (Reuters) – Britain’s new finance minister Rachel Reeves will announce what may be the biggest tax hikes in three decades on Wednesday in a bid to fix the country’s sagging public services, alongside billions of pounds of extra borrowing to overhaul the economy.The Labour government is betting that its first budget after 14 years of Conservative rule can fund its election pledges without triggering the kind of bond market chaos that brought down former prime minister Liz Truss in 2022.Labour promised voters it would cut long waiting lists in the state-run health service, build more housing and improve schools.”It falls to this Labour Party, this Labour government, to rebuild Britain once again,” Reeves said in an excerpt of her budget speech shared with media on Tuesday.Four months on from the election, Prime Minister Keir Starmer has said “those with the broadest shoulders” will have to pay more tax under the budget plan that Reeves will announce to parliament at around 1230 GMT.Britain’s previous Conservative government left an undisclosed 22 billion pound hole in the public finances, Reeves has argued – a claim rejected by her predecessor Jeremy Hunt.Companies face higher social security costs which, combined with planned new protections for workers and an increased minimum wage, could undermine Labour’s promises to turn Britain into the fastest-growing Group of Seven economy.Polling firm Savanta said its measure of business optimism – like recent consumer confidence surveys – hit its lowest in October since Labour won power in July.”Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves will likely be concerned how quickly years of goodwill among businesses appears to have dissipated,” said Matt McGinn, a consultant at Savanta.The richest Britons are also likely to face higher tax bills on capital gains, dividends, inheritances and wealth held abroad, pushing up further the country’s tax burden which is already the highest since shortly after World War Two.Government sources have said Reeves plans around 40 billion pounds’ ($52 billion) worth of fiscal measures, mostly from tax increases, to meet her pledge to cover day-to-day spending.According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, a think-tank, tax hikes of 40 billion pounds would be equivalent to 1.25% of economic output, surpassed in recent history only in 1993 by Conservative budget plans which raised taxes to shore up the public finances after a recession and currency crisis.BILLIONS IN BORROWING As well as raising taxes to cover day-to-day spending, Reeves will try to reassure investors that an expected 20 billion-pound increase in borrowing for public investment will be positive for the world’s sixth-biggest economy.”The only way to drive economic growth is to invest, invest, invest,” Reeves said in the speech excerpts. “There are no shortcuts. To deliver that investment we must restore economic stability.”Reeves has said she plans to relax the government’s self-imposed fiscal rules to allow the kind of infrastructure investment needed to speed up growth.A reported change in the rules could free up an extra 53 billion pounds ($69 billion) to borrow, prompting mild jitters in the debt market this month.Bond dealers polled by Reuters expect government borrowing this financial year to rise to 105 billion pounds from a March estimate by the Office for Budget Responsibility of 87 billion pounds, requiring bond issuance to increase to 294 billion pounds, its second highest on record.But bond strategists and fund managers say they are confident that Reeves – a former Bank of England economist – will not blow a Truss-style hole in the public finances. Unlike in 2022, when Truss shocked already nervous financial markets with her tax cut plans, interest rates are coming down in the world’s rich economies, offering a bit more leeway for Reeves.”While the new debt target may allow for more spending in the future, possibly in a second term, the government is likely to proceed cautiously, loosening policy only after establishing credibility or if market conditions change,” said Peder Beck-Friis, an economist with global bond investors PIMCO.($1 = 0.7691 pounds) More

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    Morning Bid: China ‘bazooka’ fizzles, dollar on the march

    (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Markets in Asia appear to lack clear direction at the open on Wednesday, with investors still digesting the news of a potential 10 trillion yuan fiscal boost from China, while weighing the impact of a firm U.S. dollar and buoyant Treasury yields.Political paralysis in Japan following Sunday’s inconclusive general election still hangs over markets there, although stocks could benefit from the weak yen and view that political gridlock clips the wings of the Bank of Japan’s more hawkish officials. The main events in the Asia and Pacific region’s economic calendar on Wednesday include Australian inflation and a monetary policy forum held by the Bank of Thailand, while the BOJ begins its two-day policy meeting.The flow of Asian company earnings picks up pace, with Mitsubishi and Hitachi (OTC:HTHIY) in Japan, and China’s BYD (SZ:002594), Standard Chartered (OTC:SCBFF) and ICBC among the big names reporting on Wednesday.If there is a catalyst for early Asian trading on Wednesday it could come from U.S. corporate news on Tuesday, namely Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)’s third-quarter results after the closing bell, which sent its shares up as much as 5% in after-hours trade. The Nasdaq hit a record high on Tuesday, and megacaps Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) report later this week too. Investors in Asia will still be weighing up the exclusive Reuters report on Tuesday that China is considering approving the issuance of over 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) in extra debt in the coming years to revive its fragile economy, a fiscal package that would be further bolstered if Donald Trump wins the U.S. election.The news failed to prevent Chinese stocks from falling 1% on Tuesday, however, as weakness in the energy and property sectors dragged the market lower. Perhaps the yuan’s latest slip to a two-month low could put a temporary floor under stocks. Many analysts believe China needs a weaker exchange rate to boost exports and growth, and steer the economy away from the clutches of deflation. But policymakers must balance that against the possibility that the weaker currency triggers waves of capital flight out of China.However, any positive sentiment may be tempered by another rise in U.S. bond yields and the dollar. The 10-year Treasury yield rose above 4.30% for the first time since July, while the dollar climbed to a three-month high on an index basis.The dollar is on course for its biggest monthly rise in two and a half years, and second biggest in over a decade. Many investors will be feeling the pain – a month ago hedge funds’ short dollar position was worth $14.5 billion, according to U.S. futures market data, and that has now been flipped to a net long position worth almost $10 billion.Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:- Australia inflation (September, Q3)- Bank of Thailand monetary policy forum- Japan, China corporate earnings More

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    Safran in major engine repair capacity expansion as demand soars

    BRUSSELS (Reuters) -French jet engine maker Safran (EPA:SAF) set out plans on Tuesday to invest more than 1 billion euros ($1.1 billion) and hire 4,000 people worldwide to “radically scale up” its maintenance network as the aviation industry tackles congested repair shops.The plan follows strong demand for LEAP jet engines that Safran co-produces for Airbus and Boeing (NYSE:BA) with GE Aerospace and is expected to boost Safran’s share of the aftermarket, where engine makers make much of their income.Safran and GE Aerospace produce the engines through co-owned venture CFM International, the world’s largest engine maker by number of units sold, which is celebrating its 50th anniversary.Engine maintenance has become a major industry headache as efforts to boost fuel efficiency increased the wear and tear on engines in certain climates and engine makers struggled to bring on new capacity fast enough to keep pace with a boom in demand.Analysts say that has meant longer waiting times at repair shops, exacerbating aircraft shortages and putting pressure on engine makers to accelerate their capacity expansion plans.Jean-Paul Alary, president of Safran Aircraft Engines, said Safran aimed to quadruple its in-house capacity to 1,200 shop visits per year by 2028. “It’s a sprint,” he told reporters.Safran unveiled its strategy at a recently inaugurated engine service centre outside Brussels, the first of six new or expanded sites due to add capacity by 2026.As part of the expansion, French President Emmanuel Macron signed an agreement expanding Safran’s presence in Casablanca during a visit to Morocco late on Monday, one of a number of business deals boosting ties following diplomatic tensions.CFM’s LEAP engines exclusively power the Boeing 737 series and are available as a choice on the Airbus A320neo in competition with Pratt & Whitney’s Geared Turbofan.’QUICK TURN’ Jet engines are typically sold for little or no profit at the outset, or even at a loss, with manufacturers making most of their profit in services spread over the life of the engine. The LEAP engine, introduced in 2016, has only just started to generate major overhauls that take place every 6-8 years. But Safran’s Brussels plant is busy handling “quick turn” visits to address the harsh climate issues, ahead of the upgrade of a key engine component designed to improve durability.CFM competes for maintenance contracts with airlines and a network of 14 independent repair shops including five key players.It aims over time to supply about half the market for LEAP repair services, expected to reach a total of 5,000 engine visits a year by 2040, Safran said. Services made up 65% of Safran’s core propulsion revenues in the third quarter.The latest maintenance expansion in repair shops comes as CFM and other engine makers are struggling to keep up with demand for new engines amid kinks in the global supply chain.Airbus earlier this month singled out CFM as a “bottleneck” delaying jet deliveries, but Safran insists its services growth will not distract attention from ramp-up plans for new engines.”There is no (services) investment that would jump ahead of the investments we make for new engine production,” Alary said, adding Safran would continue to invest heavily in its factories.While Airbus is clamouring for engines, Boeing is having to balance its intake with the crippling effects of a strike.Alary said Boeing continued to take LEAP engines for its 737 assembly line to help keep a cornerstone of its supply chain in fit condition, but was doing so at a “relatively reduced rate”.($1 = 0.9242 euros) More