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    64% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck — here’s how to keep your budget in check

    As the cost of living surged in 2022, the number of Americans living paycheck to paycheck jumped to 64% as of December, according to a recent report.
    Compared to 2021, 9.3 million more Americans said they are stretched too thin.
    A few key money moves can keep your budget in check going forward.

    Shoppers in San Francisco on Dec. 21, 2022.
    David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Months of high inflation have weighed heavily on households.
    As of December, 64% of Americans were living paycheck to paycheck, according to a recent LendingClub report — up from 61% a year earlier and in line with the historic high first hit in March 2020.

    For the first time, more than half of all six-figure earners also said they were stretched too thin, a jump from 42% a year ago. 
    “The effects of inflation are eating into every American’s wallet and as the Fed’s efforts to curb inflation drive up the cost of debt, we are seeing near record numbers of Americans living paycheck to paycheck,” said Anuj Nayar, LendingClub’s financial health officer.
    More from Personal Finance:What is a ‘rolling recession’ and how does it impact you?Almost half of Americans think we’re already in a recessionIf you want higher pay, your chances may be better now
    For its part, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce its eighth consecutive rate hike at this week’s policy meeting. 
    Even though wage growth is high by historical standards, it isn’t keeping up with the increased cost of living, which in December was up 6.5% from the prior year.

    That leaves many Americans in a bind as inflation and higher prices force more people to dip into their cash reserves or lean on credit just when interest rates rise at the fastest pace in decades.
    Other reports also show financial well-being is deteriorating overall.

    How to get your budget back on track

    Certified financial planner Ted Jenkin, CEO and founder of oXYGen Financial in Atlanta and a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council, offers his best advice for spending less and finding a better return on your savings.

    1. Cut spending

    Jenkin said some simple financial hacks can help, such as going to the grocery store less and cutting back on online shopping.
    “Grocery stores are just like Las Vegas; they are there to separate you from your wallet.” Meal planning is one way to edit down your shopping list to weekly essentials and save money.

    Disabling one-click ordering or deleting stored credit card information can also help. “Anyone that shops on Amazon and has a stored credit card, you are basically pouring lighter fluid on your budget,” Jenkin said.
    Jenkin recommends waiting 24 hours before making an online purchase and then using a price-tracking browser extension such as CamelCamelCamel or Keepa to find the best price.
    Finally, tap a savings tool like Cently, which automatically applies a coupon code to your online order, and pay with a cash-back card such as the Citi Double Cash Card, which will earn you 2%.
    “You really have to get disciplined or you’re going to outspend your income,” he said.

    2. Boost savings

    The money you put away should also work to your advantage, he said.
    Although deposit rates are climbing, even a high-yield savings account won’t pay enough to keep up with the rising cost of living.
    Jenkin recommends buying short-term, relatively risk-free Treasury bonds and laddering them to ensure you earn the best rates, a strategy that entails holding bonds to the end of their term.
    “It’s not a huge return but you are not going to lose your money,” he said.

    Another option is to purchase federal I bonds, which are inflation-protected and nearly risk-free assets.
    I bonds are currently paying 6.89% annual interest on new purchases through April, down from the 9.62% yearly rate offered from May through October 2022.
    Still, this will work well as a hedge against inflation for long-term savers. The downside is that you can’t redeem I bonds for one year, and you’ll pay the last three months of interest if cashed in before five years.
    LendingClub’s paycheck-to-paycheck report is based on a survey of nearly 4,000 U.S. adults in December.
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    Social Security, Medicare should be ‘off the table’ in debt ceiling talks, McCarthy says

    Now that the U.S. has hit the debt ceiling, Republicans and Democrats must negotiate to find a solution.
    Those talks should not include Social Security and Medicare, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy said in an interview on Sunday.
    Here’s why Democrats and advocates for the programs are still worried.

    Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., conducts a news conference in the U.S. Capitol’s Statuary Hall on Thursday, January 12, 2023.
    Tom Williams | CQ-Roll Call, Inc. | Getty Images

    What to watch in debt ceiling negotiations

    Earlier this month, the U.S. reached the debt ceiling, which represents the total amount of money the U.S. can borrow to fund its legal obligations, including Social Security and Medicare.
    If left unaddressed, experts say that may prompt a delay in benefits as the government scrambles to prioritize payments.
    The government will likely be able to continue to pay its obligations through “extraordinary measures” through early June, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said.
    As lawmakers negotiate an agreement to raise or eliminate the debt ceiling, some worry that may include compromises on Social Security and Medicare.

    That may include setting up a budget process or commissions as part of a compromise that could pave the way for changes later, including cuts, according to Dan Adcock, government relations and policy director at the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare.
    Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W. Va., said in an interview earlier this month that cuts to Social Security and Medicare should not be included in debt ceiling negotiations. However, he has expressed interest in including legislation to create commissions in the debt-limit increase, Adcock noted.
    Manchin also called for raising the cap on payroll taxes that are used to fund Social Security. In 2023, those taxes are applied on up to $160,200 in earnings.
    Republicans have generally opposed tax hikes. However, the House Republican Study Committee budget calls for changes interpreted as benefit cuts, such as raising the retirement age for both Social Security and Medicare, among other changes.

    The Republican plans have yet to be introduced as bills.
    Adcock said he is skeptical of McCarthy’s comments calling for strengthening Social Security and Medicare.
    “Having to go through 15 ballots to be elected speaker, he doesn’t exactly have great control over his caucus,” Adcock said.
    “Even if you were to take him at his word, his caucus may decide to go in another direction, including cuts,” he said.
    Democrats have put forward legislative proposals that call for raising payroll taxes while also making benefits more generous. President Joe Biden called for similar changes to shore up Social Security during his campaign for the White House.

    U.S. President Joe Biden looks toward House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, during a meeting with congressional leaders at the White House in Washington, U.S., November 29, 2022. 
    Kevin Lamarque | Reuters

    Biden, McCarthy set to meet this week

    McCarthy on Sunday called out Biden’s reluctance to address Social Security and Medicare amid the debt ceiling talks.
    “I know the president says he doesn’t want to look at it, but we’ve got to make sure we strengthen those,” McCarthy said.
    The White House, in turn, took issue with the House speaker’s language.
    “For years, congressional Republicans have advocated for slashing earned benefits using Washington code words like ‘strengthen,’ when their policies would privatize Medicare and Social Security, raise the retirement age or cut benefits,” White House spokesman Bates said.
    Biden is scheduled to host McCarthy at the White House on Wednesday as part of a series of meetings with leaders of the new Congress, a second White House spokesperson separately said.
    The meeting will include a discussion on a range of issues, including preventing a national default on the debt and House Republicans’ proposed changes to Social Security and Medicare.
    “He [Biden] will underscore that the economic security of all Americans cannot be held hostage to force unpopular cuts on working families,” the White House spokesperson said.

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    Medicare users still have time to change, drop 2023 Advantage Plan coverage. What to know

    Roughly 29.1 million people are enrolled in Medicare Advantage Plans.
    Each year from Jan. 1 through March 31, those beneficiaries can switch to another Advantage Plan or drop their current one altogether.
    Here’s what to be aware of if you consider making a change.

    Milan2099 | E+ | Getty Images

    For Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in an Advantage Plan, now’s the time to change your 2023 coverage if it’s not a good match.
    Each year between Jan. 1 and March 31, beneficiaries unhappy with the choice they made during Medicare’s annual open enrollment period — which ended Dec. 7 — can switch to a different Advantage Plan. Or, they can drop the one they have altogether in favor of basic Medicare (Part A hospital coverage and Part B outpatient care coverage).

    “It’s the time of year when only beneficiaries in Advantage Plans who feel they made the wrong plan selection for 2023 can change it,” said Elizabeth Gavino, founder of Lewin & Gavino and an independent broker and general agent for Medicare plans.
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    Common reasons to do so include discovering a preferred doctor or other provider is not in network — which means you pay more to see them — or finding out your prescriptions either are uncovered or cost more than anticipated.
    Of Medicare’s 64.5 million beneficiaries — the majority of whom are age 65 or older — about 29.1 million are enrolled in Advantage Plans, which deliver Parts A and B and usually Part D prescription drug coverage, along with extras such as basic dental and vision. However, they come with their own cost-sharing structures (i.e., deductibles and copays) and their lists of drugs covered (and their cost), which differ from plan to plan — and are likely to change from year to year.

    You can only make one change during this window

    In contrast to Medicare’s annual fall enrollment, when a variety of options were available for those who wanted to modify their coverage, this Advantage Plan-related window comes with restrictions.

    For starters, you can only make one switch. This means that once you move to a different Advantage Plan or drop it for basic Medicare, the change is generally locked in for the year. 

    This means it’s important to be sure your new choice will work for the rest of 2023. If you are looking for a more suitable plan, you can use Medicare’s online plan finder.
    Alternatively, if you want to make sure your doctor or other key provider is in network with a plan you’re considering switching to, you can check directly with them, said certified financial planner and physician Carolyn McClanahan, founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida.
    “Call your doctor’s office and ask what their favorite Medicare Advantage Plan is,” said McClanahan, a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

    You also could check with your pharmacy if you want to confirm your prescriptions are covered. “They see a lot come through so they often do know which Advantage Plans cover your drug,” McClanahan said. 
    Be aware that the current three-month window also differs from fall enrollment in that you cannot switch from one standalone Part D plan to another. 
    If you picked a Part D plan in the fall open enrollment period based on faulty or misleading information, you can call 1-800-Medicare to see if your situation would allow you to make a change.

    Assess drug coverage if dropping an Advantage Plan

    Meanwhile, dropping an Advantage Plan in favor of basic Medicare often means losing drug coverage — which means you would have to enroll in a standalone Part D plan.
    This matters, because if you go 63 days without the coverage, you could face a lifelong late-enrollment penalty that gets tacked on to your monthly premiums. That charge is 1% of the national base premium ($32.74 for 2023) for each full month you go without drug coverage.

    Don’t assume you’ll be able to get a Medigap policy

    Also, if you want to switch to basic Medicare and pair it with a supplemental policy — so-called Medigap — be aware that you may not qualify for guaranteed coverage. These policies either fully or partially cover cost-sharing of some aspects of Parts A and B, including deductibles, copays and coinsurance.
    However, they come with their own rules for enrolling. Depending on your state, you may need to pass medical underwriting to get approved for a Medigap policy. This makes it worth knowing first that you would be able to be approved, said Danielle Roberts, co-founder of insurance firm Boomer Benefits.
    There is an exception to the medical underwriting requirement: If you are within the first year of trying out an Advantage Plan, you generally can return to a Medigap policy without facing underwriting.
    Also from Jan. 1 through March 31, separate from the Advantage Plan window: If you missed your initial Medicare enrollment period, you can sign up during this time frame. As of this year, coverage takes effect the month after you enroll; it previously was July 1.

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    The Federal Reserve is likely to hike interest rates again. What that means for you

    The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike rates by a smaller one-quarter of a percentage point at this week’s policy meeting as inflation starts to ease.
    Still, another interest rate increase will make borrowing more expensive.
    Here’s what that means for your wallet.

    The Federal Reserve is widely expected to announce its eighth consecutive rate hike at this week’s policy meeting. 
    This time, Fed officials likely will approve a 0.25 percentage point increase as inflation starts to ease, a more modest pace compared with earlier super-size moves in 2022.

    Still, any boost in the benchmark rate means borrowers will pay even more interest on credit cards, student loans and other types of debt. On the flip side, savers could benefit from higher yields.
    More from Personal Finance:What is a ‘rolling recession’ and how does it impact you?Almost half of Americans think we’re already in a recessionIf you want higher pay, your chances may be better now
    “The good news is that the worst is over,” said Yiming Ma, an assistant finance professor at Columbia University Business School.
    The U.S. central bank is now knee-deep in a rate hike cycle that has raised its benchmark rate by 4.25 percentage points in less than a year.
    Although inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% long-term target, pricing pressures have “come down substantially and the pace of rate hikes is going to slow,” Ma said.

    The good news is that the worst is over.

    assistant finance professor at Columbia University Business School

    The goal remains to tame runaway inflation by increasing the cost of borrowing and effectively pump the brakes on the economy.

    What the Fed’s rate hike means for you

    The federal funds rate, which is set by the central bank, is the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Whether directly or indirectly, higher Fed rates influence borrowing costs for consumers and, to a lesser extent, the rates they earn on savings accounts.
    Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
    Credit cards
    Since most credit cards have a variable interest rate, there’s a direct connection to the Fed’s benchmark. As the federal funds rate rises, the prime rate does, too, and credit card rates follow suit. Cardholders usually see the impact within a billing cycle or two.
    After rising at the steepest annual pace ever, the average credit card rate is now 19.9%, on average — an all-time high. Along with the Fed’s commitment to keep raising its benchmark to combat inflation, credit card annual percentage rates will keep climbing, as well. 
    Households are also increasingly leaning on credit to afford basic necessities, since incomes have not kept pace with inflation. This makes it even harder for the growing number of borrowers who carry a balance from month to month.

    “Credit card balances are rising at the same time credit card rates are at record highs; that’s a bad combination,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.
    If you currently have credit card debt, tap a lower-interest personal loan or 0% balance transfer card and refrain from putting additional purchases on credit unless you can pay the balance in full at the end of the month and even set some money aside, McBride advised.
    Mortgages
    Although 15-year and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed and tied to Treasury yields and the economy, anyone shopping for a new home has lost considerable purchasing power, partly because of inflation and the Fed’s policy moves.
    “Despite what will likely be another rate hike from the Fed, mortgage rates could actually remain near where they are over the coming weeks, or even continue to trend down slightly,” said Jacob Channel, senior economist for LendingTree.
    The average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage currently sits at 6.4%, down from mid-November, when it peaked at 7.08%.

    Still, “these relatively high rates, combined with persistently high home prices, mean that buying a home is still a challenge for many,” Channel added.
    Adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, and home equity lines of credit, or HELOCs, are pegged to the prime rate. As the federal funds rate rises, the prime rate does, as well, and these rates follow suit. Most ARMs adjust once a year, but a HELOC adjusts right away. Already, the average rate for a HELOC is up to 7.65% from 4.11% a year ago.
    Auto loans
    Even though auto loans are fixed, payments are getting bigger because the price for all cars is rising along with the interest rates on new loans. So if you are planning to buy a car, you’ll shell out more in the months ahead.
    The average interest rate on a five-year new car loan is currently 6.18%, up from 3.96% at the beginning of 2022.

    Boonchai Wedmakawand | Moment | Getty Images

    “Elevated pricing coupled with repeated interest rate increases continue to inflate monthly loan payments,” Thomas King, president of the data and analytics division at J.D. Power, said in a statement.
    Car shoppers with higher credit scores may be able to secure better loan terms or look to some used car models for better pricing.
    Student loans
    Federal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won’t be affected immediately by a rate hike. The interest rate on federal student loans taken out for the 2022-23 academic year already rose to 4.99%, up from 3.73% last year and 2.75% in 2020-21. Any loans disbursed after July 1 will likely be even higher.
    Private student loans tend to have a variable rate tied to the Libor, prime or Treasury bill rates — and that means that, as the Fed raises rates, those borrowers will also pay more in interest. How much more, however, will vary with the benchmark.
    For now, anyone with existing federal education debt will benefit from rates at 0% until the payment pause ends, which the Education Department expects to happen sometime this year.
    Savings accounts
    On the upside, the interest rates on some savings accounts are higher after a run of rate hikes.
    While the Fed has no direct influence on deposit rates, the rates tend to be correlated to changes in the target federal funds rate. The savings account rates at some of the largest retail banks, which were near rock bottom during most of the Covid pandemic, are currently up to 0.33%, on average.

    Guido Mieth | DigitalVision | Getty Images

    Thanks, in part, to lower overhead expenses, top-yielding online savings account rates are as high as 4.35%, much higher than the average rate from a traditional, brick-and-mortar bank, according to Bankrate.
    “If you are shopping around, you are finding the best returns since the great financial crisis. If you are not shopping around, you are still earning next to nothing,” McBride said.
    Still, any money earning less than the rate of inflation loses purchasing power over time, and more households have less set aside, in general.
    “The best advice is pick up a side hustle to bring in some additional income, even if it’s just temporary, and pay yourself first with a direct deposit into your savings account,” McBride advised. “That’s how you are going to create the pathway to be able to save.” 
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    Op-ed: Keep an eye on medical technology and alternative energy sectors

    There is pent-up post-pandemic demand for medical technology, which bodes well for the sector’s stocks, says Andrew Graham, founder and managing partner of Jackson Square Capital.
    Investors should also watch the alternative energy field, as more governments commit funds.
    The usual go-to for investors seeking safety — consumer staples — may be in trouble soon, Graham notes.

    Dexcom’s latest continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) system, to launch in February, will be 60% smaller and warm up 75% faster than previous versions such as this one, pictured on April 8, 2019.
    Ben Birchall – Pa Images | Pa Images | Getty Images

    Last year was tough for most investors. Nearly every sector suffered losses except for energy, while defense contractors and pharmaceutical companies were other examples of outliers.
    Fortunately, the first few weeks of 2023 have been better, thanks partly to some encouraging data showing that inflation and wage growth are beginning to decelerate. Yet, as the earnings season continues to play out and corporate layoffs pile up, questions are mounting about the strength of the U.S. economy.

    In addition, with policymakers devoted to keeping interest rates “higher for longer,” stocks could come under more pressure in the short term. Yet, at some point, the focus will shift to the future.
    More from Personal Finance:Almost half of Americans think we’re already in a recessionIt’s still a good time to get a job, career experts sayIf you want higher pay, your chances may be better now
    Indeed, while much of the above paints a bleak picture, the outlook is more favorable for select sectors. That includes medical technology and alternative energy, which are being propelled by some beneficial tailwinds.
    By contrast, one sector that traditionally holds up during challenging economic times — consumer staples — may struggle over the next few years. Let’s take a closer look.

    Pent-up demand for medical technology

    During the pandemic, large swaths of technology took off.

    Medical technology was not one of them, with hospitals putting many elective procedures and surgeries related to non-life-threatening conditions on hold. That has created a lot of pent-up demand today.
    Additionally, many firms in this space could soon benefit from new products that help treat ailments, including diabetes, sleep apnea and arrhythmia, that plague millions of people. It’s also worth noting that higher interest rates are less impactful for medical technology. Unlike other industries that borrow large sums to chase growth, medical technology generally isn’t heavily leveraged.

    Names worth considering include Insulet (PODD), whose primary offering is a wearable pod that allows diabetes patients to forgo daily insulin injections. It recently cited strong demand for its newest version of that product.
    Dexcom (DXCM) is another company addressing the needs of diabetes patients through a glucose-monitoring device. Its latest model, which is set to launch in February, is 60% smaller and warms up 75% faster than previous versions.
    In the meantime, a subsidiary of Inspire Medical Systems (INSP), Inspire Sleep, has what could be a game-changing sleep apnea treatment. It’s a small device that doctors place within the patient, a contrast to how medical professionals dealt with the issue until very recently: with a clunky, awkward and obtrusive CPAP apparatus.

    Government support for alternative energy grows

    Whether the Inflation Reduction Act will do anything to bring down costs is a matter worth debating. But less arguable is that it is the latest example of the massive amount of policy support that exists from governments around the world for green tech firms focused on producing alternative energy sources.
    The U.S. Department of the Treasury is still hammering out the details about who gets what. We’ll likely learn more sometime during the first quarter. But make no mistake, several companies that have been surprisingly resilient during the most recent downturn will have an influx of new capital at their disposal to improve their fortunes even more.
    Among those that could do well are Array (ARRY), a utility-scale solar panel producer. Also worth keeping an eye on is SolarEdge (SEDG), which is focused more on the residential market in Europe.

    Consumer staples not a best bet anymore

    Stocks of Johnson & Johnson, Kimberly-Clarke and Procter & Gamble( — which makes many consumer staple products such as Dawn dish soap — may have hit a valuation ceiling.
    Joe Raedle | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Last year, many investors flocked to defensive, income-paying consumer staples. And for the most part, that strategy paid off, with the Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF easily outpacing broad market indexes over the last 12 months, all while providing a dividend of about 2.4%.
    However, in recent months, valuations for many of these stocks have become far too rich. In fact, consumer staples are as expensive as they have ever been relative to the S&P 500 Index.
    Therefore, anyone investing for growth (versus dividends) should reconsider their defensive holdings. Indeed, the likes of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) — which makes many consumer staple products despite technically being a health-care stock — Proctor & Gamble (PG) and Kimberly-Clarke (KMB) have likely hit a valuation ceiling.

    A Warren Buffett moment?

    Expect indexes to give back some of this year’s early gains in the weeks ahead and perhaps test 2022 lows. In general, though, we won’t see a Warren Buffett-type buying moment on the horizon. That’s because sentiment is already bearish and positioning is light, which should limit the downside overall.
    Still, a couple of sectors have the potential for outsize returns once the challenges associated with higher interest rates and a challenging economic landscape begin to fade. 
    – By Andrew Graham, founder and managing partner of Jackson Square Capital

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    After a tough year for crypto, here’s how to handle losses on your tax return

    Smart Tax Planning

    The digital currency industry lost nearly $1.4 trillion in 2022 after a slew of bankruptcies and liquidity issues.
    Experts cover what to know about claiming crypto losses on your 2022 tax return.

    A worsening macroeconomic climate and the collapse of industry giants like FTX and Terra have weighed on bitcoin’s price this year.
    STR | Nurphoto via Getty Images

    Crypto losses can offset investment gains

    One of the silver linings of plummeting assets is the chance to leverage tax-loss harvesting, or using losses to offset gains.
    If you sold crypto at a loss, you can subtract that from other portfolio profits, and once losses exceed gains, you can trim up to $3,000 from regular income, explained Lisa Greene-Lewis, a certified public accountant and tax expert with TurboTax.
    Plus, there’s currently no “wash sale rule” for crypto. The rule blocks the tax break if you buy a “substantially identical” asset 30 days before or after the sale.

    Loading chart…

    You calculate your loss by subtracting your sales price from the original purchase price, known as “basis,” and report the loss on Schedule D and Form 8949 on your tax return. 
    If your crypto losses exceed other investment gains and $3,000 of regular income, you can use the rest in subsequent years, Greene-Lewis said. But it’s easy to lose track of carryover losses and miss future opportunities to lower taxes, she warned.

    ‘Wait and see’ before claiming bankruptcy losses

    With several crypto exchange and platform collapses in 2022, you may have lingering questions about reporting losses on your taxes this season.
    CPA and tax attorney Andrew Gordon, president of Gordon Law Group, said there are typically two concerns: possibly claiming a loss for missing deposits and reporting income from rewards or interest.

    It may make sense to file an extension if you had significant holdings on any of these platforms to see if there’s further clarity.

    Andrew Gordon
    President of Gordon Law Group

    In some cases, you may be able to claim a capital loss, or bad debt deduction, and write off what you spent on the asset. But it must be a “complete loss” to claim it, Gordon said. If you wind up getting, say, 10% back after claiming a bad debt deduction, that 10% becomes regular income. 
    While there are several options for 2022, he’s generally telling clients to “wait and see” what happens. “It may make sense to file an extension if you had significant holdings on any of these platforms to see if there’s further clarity,” he said.

    You must report crypto — even if you don’t get tax forms

    Since 2019, the IRS has included a yes-or-no question about crypto on the front page of the tax return. The agency has also pursued customer records by sending court orders to several exchanges.
    “The IRS has over five years of information on taxpayers,” Losi said, so if they find out you have crypto and you haven’t been reporting, you may be targeted, he said. More

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    What happens if the Supreme Court strikes down student loan forgiveness? Here are 3 predictions

    Political consequences for Democrats. A historic rise in delinquencies.
    Here’s what experts predict will happen if the Supreme Court rules against Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan and the relief never materializes.

    Bloomberg Creative | Bloomberg Creative Photos | Getty Images

    ‘Historically large’ hike in delinquencies and defaults

    U.S. Department of Education Undersecretary James Kvaal said in a recent court filing that if the government isn’t allowed to provide debt relief, there could be a “historically large increase in the amount of federal student loan delinquency and defaults as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.”
    Despite student loan borrowers being offered forbearances during previous natural disasters, Kvaal wrote, default rates still skyrocketed when payments resumed.

    The pandemic-era relief policy pausing federal student loan payments has been in effect since March 2020, and payments aren’t scheduled to resume until after the litigation over the president’s plan is resolved or at the end of August — whichever comes sooner.
    ″[T]he one-time student loan debt relief program was intended to avoid” skyrocketing default rates, Kvaal added.

    The borrowers most in jeopardy of defaulting are those for whom Biden’s student loan forgiveness plan would have wiped out their balance entirely, Kvaal said.
    The administration estimated its policy would do so for around 18 million people.
    “These student loan borrowers had the reasonable expectation and belief that they would not have to make additional payments on their federal student loans,” Kvaal said. “This belief may well stop them from making payments even if the Department is prevented from effectuating debt relief.”

    ‘Severe’ political consequences

    Astra Taylor
    Source: Isabella De Maddalena

    Restarting federal student loan payments without delivering forgiveness would lead to “severe” political consequences for Democrats, said Astra Taylor, co-founder of the Debt Collective, a union for debtors.
    “[Biden] will be launching his 2024 reelection campaign as America’s debt collector,” she said.
    If the “ultra-conservative U.S. Supreme Court” blocks the president’s plan, Taylor said, Biden must explore other legal ways to deliver relief to borrowers.
    She pointed to the possibility of the president using a different law to justify his plan, such as the Higher Education Act of 1965, which states that the Education Department can “enforce, pay, compromise, waive, or release any right, title, claim, lien” related to federal student loans.

    Currently, the Biden administration is using the Heroes Act of 2003 to argue that it has the authority to cancel student debt.
    That law allows the Education Department to make modifications to federal student loan programs during national emergencies. Critics accuse the administration of using the coronavirus pandemic to fulfill a campaign promise and say the relief is not targeted to those who have suffered financially because of Covid.
    Another path the president could take would be to try to indefinitely extend the pandemic-era pause on federal student loan payments, said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.
    That move, Kantrowitz said, is “more likely to survive legal challenge.”

    ‘A disastrous blow to Black Americans’

    The country’s $1.7 trillion student loan crisis has hit Black Americans especially hard.

    Black student loan borrowers owe $7,400 more, on average, at graduation than their white peers, a Brookings Institution report found.
    That inequity only gets worse with time: Black college students owe, on average, more than $52,000 four years after graduation, compared with around $28,000 for the average white graduate.
    If Biden’s student loan forgiveness fell through, it would be a “disastrous blow to Black Americans,” said Wisdom Cole, national director of the youth and college division at the NAACP.
    “The racial wealth gap will widen, and the vicious cycle of economic inequality will continue,” Cole said. “If our leaders truly believe that Black lives matter, they should understand that failure is not an option.”

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    Top Wall Street analysts like these stocks for maximum returns

    A logo of Meta Platforms Inc. is seen at its booth, at the Viva Technology conference dedicated to innovation and startups, at Porte de Versailles exhibition center in Paris, France June 17, 2022.
    Benoit Tessier | Reuters

    As the earnings season rolls on, many companies are hinting at a challenging year ahead.
    Meanwhile, it can be intimidating to invest in such a stressful environment. To ease the process, here are five stocks chosen by Wall Street’s top analysts, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performances. 

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    Alphabet 

    After languishing in the stock market last year due to numerous factors affecting the tech sector, Alphabet (GOOGL) will report its seasonally weakest quarter of the year on Thursday. From relatively low digital ad spending and regulatory crackdowns on digital ads to increasing costs and interest rates, Google endured it all. Needless to say, the company expects sequential growth deceleration in the fourth quarter. 
    Nonetheless, Monness, Crespi, Hardt, & Co. analyst Brian White expects the results to be in line with his expectations. The analyst anticipates a 10% sequential sales increase, implying a quarter-over-quarter deceleration in growth. This is notably lower growth than what is usually expected of a typical Alphabet fourth-quarter report (17% on average in the past four December quarters).  
    However, although Google Advertising revenue growth was significantly hurt by the slowdown in digital ad spending, White notes that “Alphabet proved more resilient than Meta and Snap that were   disproportionately impacted by Apple’s privacy initiatives, most notably App Tracking Transparency, along with other factors.” 
    The analyst expects year-over-year digital ad spending comps to improve in the second half of the year. Also, White’s estimates suggest that Google Ad revenues should return to growth in the second quarter of 2023. (See Alphabet Blogger Opinions & Sentiment on TipRanks) 
    White reiterated a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $135. The analyst holds the 66th position among almost 8,300 analysts followed on TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 64% of the time, and each rating has generated an 18% average return.

    Meta Platforms 

    Another technology name in Brian White’s list is Meta Platforms (META), which is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday “after taking a savage beating in 2022,” according to the analyst’s words. 
    The headwinds that the company faced last year, including Apple’s privacy initiatives with App Tracking Transparency, the slowdown in advertisement spending, exorbitant investments in the metaverse, and regulatory scrutiny, are not expected to entirely dissipate in 2023. (See Meta Platforms Website Traffic on TipRanks) 

    Over the past 52-weeks, Meta shares were cut nearly in half. Gains in early 2023, are helping to trim last year’s losses.

    However, a leaner cost structure, thanks to its significantly downsized business and other initiatives, as well as softening challenges, will be a relief this year. Additionally, in the long run, White expects Meta to benefit from the secular digital ad trend and innovations in the metaverse.  
    “With sales up 34% per annum over the past five years, EPS turning in a 32% CAGR and generating an   attractive operating margin, we believe Meta Platforms should trade at a premium to the market and tech sector in the long run; however, we expect the current macroeconomic and geopolitical environment will weigh on advertising spending in the coming quarters,” observed White, who reiterated a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $150. 

    WNS 

    India-based business process management company WNS (WNS) is next on our list. The company’s solid sales pipeline reflects a healthy demand environment that overshadows economic headwinds. This gives Barrington analyst Vincent Colicchio the “confidence in its ability to generate solid revenue and adjusted EPS growth in fiscal 2023 and beyond.” 
    The company recently reported its quarterly earnings, where it beat Street estimates, thanks to the strong demand for its services and products. “As of the close of fiscal Q3/23, the company’s sales pipeline was strong and at record levels and sales cycles declined sequentially, reflecting strong demand. Sales cycles have declined in recent quarters as clients accelerated decisions to improve efficiency ahead of a potential recession,” observed Colicchio. (See WNS Stock Chart on TipRanks) 
    The analyst was encouraged by the fact that WNS did not realize any meaningful pressures from the economic headwinds that have hung heavily on peers. Challenges like volume pressures, productivity issues, delays and cancelations, etc., did not deter the business from its growth path. 
    Colicchio reiterated a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $97 and even raised his fiscal 2023 and fiscal 2024 earnings-per-share forecasts to $3.86 and $4.14 from $3.78 and $4.12, respectively. 
    The analyst currently stands at #282 among almost 8,300 analysts tracked by TipRanks. Moreover, 62% of his ratings have been profitable, each generating a 13.1% average return. 

    BRC 

    BRC (BRCC) is a unique company. The operator of the Black Rifle Coffee Company is founded and led by military veterans. The company was built to serve premium coffee, content and merchandise to active military, veterans and first responders. 
    BRC has been on Tigress Financial Partners analyst Ivan Feinseth’s buy list in recent weeks. The analyst has a $19 price target on the company. (See BRC Insider Trading Activity on TipRanks) 
    Feinseth is confident that the company is a solid emerging high-growth lifestyle investment opportunity, serving a loyal and niche customer base and offering meaningful growth opportunities through product innovation and a digitally native omnichannel distribution strategy. 
    BRCC recently announced that it will “shift focus from the near-term buildout of restaurants (Outpost) and DTC (Direct-to-consumer) sales to a faster growth and higher return opportunity in the expansion of the sales of its RTD (Ready-to-drink) beverages packaged and premeasured (k-cup) coffee through an increasing FDM (food drug and mass-market) focus,” explained the TipRanks-rated 5-star analyst. 
    Feinseth’s convictions can be trusted, given his 185th position among nearly 8,300 analysts in the TipRanks database. This apart, his track of 63% profitable ratings, each rating delivering 12.1% average returns, is also worth considering. 

    Starbucks 

    The world’s largest specialty coffee chain retailer Starbucks (SBUX) is also one of Ivan Feinseth’s favorite stocks for this year. The company continues to put its numerous growth drivers into action. This includes new product development, a global coffee alliance and ongoing store growth. Starbucks also enjoys strong brand equity and a committed customer base, which will help drive its new reinvention plan for long-term growth, according to the analyst’s observations. 
    “SBUX continues to improve operating efficiencies and customer experience by leveraging ongoing   innovation, new technologies, and new store formats,” said Feinseth, reiterating a buy rating on Starbucks with a price target of $136.  
    Moreover, the company’s focus on expanding its product portfolio to include new health and wellness beverages, teas, and core food offerings can boost customer traffic during later hours. (See Starbucks’ Dividend Date & History on TipRanks) 
    Staying up to date with the changing industry trends, Feinseth noted that Starbucks is investing in new   digital initiatives to improve customer service, supply-chain management, its loyalty program, and mobile ordering and e-commerce capabilities.  

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