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    United Airlines raises bet on electric air taxis with 200 aircraft from upstart Eve

    United agreed to purchase 200 four-seat electric aircraft from Eve Air Mobility.
    The carrier has options for 200 additional aircraft, and said it will invest $15 million.
    The investment follows a deposit of $10 million on Archer’s electric aircraft.

    United Airlines ordered 200 Eve Evtol aircraft.
    Source: United Airlines

    United Airlines is pouring more money into the future of electric air taxis, which the carrier says could help reduce carbon emissions once the aircraft come to market and replace car trips.
    The carrier said Thursday that it agreed to buy 200 electric air taxis from Eve Air Mobility, an Embraer-backed startup, and that it has options to purchase 200 more. Chicago-based United is also investing $15 million in Eve, which listed on the New York Stock Exchange in May.

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    United said it expects the first deliveries of the aircraft as early as 2026.
    The announcement follows an agreement to purchase 100 electric aircraft from Archer Aviation along with a $10 million deposit.
    Other airlines including American have also invested in or committed to purchasing electrical vertical-take-off-and-landing aircraft, or Evtol for short, arguing that the new technology could reduce emissions, particularly on short routes such as commutes to the airport.
    Michael Leskinen, president of United Airlines Ventures, projected the one-way cost to the airport would be about $100 to $150.
    Evtol startups still need certification from aviation regulators and questions remain about infrastructure for the aircraft, Leskinen said on a call with reporters. The aircraft would require infrastructure for takeoff and landing.
    “But we feel good about the industry accelerating later this decade,” he said.

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    Dr. Oz owns shares of companies that supply hydroxychloroquine, a drug he has backed as a Covid treatment

    Dr. Mehmet Oz, the Republican candidate for Pennsylvania’s open Senate seat, owns stock in Thermo Fisher Scientific, a supplier of the drug hydroxychloroquine, and McKesson, a distributor of the anti-malaria medicine.
    Oz backed the use of the drug as a Covid-19 treatment early in the pandemic, and has downplayed warnings about its efficacy as a candidate.
    He also pushed the White House to back a study on hydroxychloroquine that he aimed to fund in 2020, according to emails released by a House committee.
    Oz’s nonprofit received donations from Sanofi, which previously made the drug.

    Mehmet Oz, US Republican Senate candidate for Pennsylvania, during a news conference with Senator Pat Toomey, a Republican from Pennsylvania, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, on Tuesday, Sept. 6, 2022.
    Hannah Beier | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Republican Pennsylvania Senate candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz has financial ties to at least two pharmaceutical companies that supply hydroxychloroquine, an anti-malaria drug that he has floated as a possible Covid-19 treatment.
    Oz, a physician and veteran television show host who is facing Democrat John Fetterman in the race for Pennsylvania’s open Senate seat, owns along with his wife at least $615,000 in shares of Thermo Fisher Scientific, according to his financial disclosure. Thermo Fisher Scientific’s website lists hydroxychloroquine sulfate as one of its available products. It is unclear when Oz and his wife bought the stock, or whether they owned it as Oz promoted hydroxychloroquine as a Covid treatment early in the pandemic.

    Oz and his wife also own between $15,001 and $50,000 in McKesson Corporation stock, according to the disclosure. The company labels and distributes hydroxychloroquine sulfate, according to the FDA. It is also unclear when they bought McKesson stock.
    Hydroxychloroquine sulfate is the anti-malaria drug commonly known as hydroxychloroquine, according to the Food and Drug Administration. Doctors around the country, in part boosted by endorsements from former President Donald Trump and conservative media figures, have offered the medication to patients as a Covid treatment despite its questionable efficacy against the virus.
    Oz’s financial ties to a producer and distributor of the drug, and his promotion of it as a potential Covid treatment, raise questions about what he stood to gain from its wider use during the pandemic. If he wins the Senate election, he could also face conflicts of interest as Congress grapples with a still evolving coronavirus pandemic.

    In a statement responding to CNBC questions about Oz’s relationships with companies that make or distribute hydroxychloroquine, including when he and his wife bought the Thermo Fisher Scientific stock, Oz campaign spokeswoman Brittany Yanick did not address the candidate’s financial holdings.
    “At the outset of the pandemic, Dr. Mehmet Oz spoke with health experts worldwide who were seeing hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin as viable treatment options for desperately ill COVID patients. He offered to fund the clinical trial at Columbia University,” she said.

    The FDA has approved hydroxychloroquine to fight malaria, but warned it has “not been shown to be safe and effective for treating or preventing COVID-19.”
    Oz took bold steps early in the pandemic to promote its usage as a treatment. He urged Trump administration officials in 2020 to back a study he aimed to fund at the Columbia University Medical Center about the effect of hydroxychloroquine on Covid-19 patients, according to emails obtained and released by the House select subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis.
    Oz also has ties to third company that says it divested hydroxychloroquine from their U.S. portfolio.
    Sanofi, which is headquartered in France and previously made hydroxychloroquine, for years supported Oz’s nonprofit, HealthCorps, according to the group’s annual disclosure reports. Between 2009 and 2018, Sanofi was listed as either a sponsor or in-kind supporter of the Oz-funded group, which promotes itself as aiming to help teens with their health and wellness. In 2013, Sanofi is listed as one of the group’s “school sponsors.” HealthCorps’ website says a school sponsor must donate $100,000 to qualify.
    Sanofi announced in April 2020 that it would donate 100 million doses of hydroxychloroquine to 50 countries around the world as studies assessed the drug’s efficacy in treating Covid-19.
    A spokesman for Sanofi told CNBC that the company has no involvement with Oz’s comments about Covid-19 or hydroxychloroquine. He explained that Sanofi divested hydroxychloroquine from its U.S. portfolio in 2013 and investigated the use of the drug at the start of the Covid pandemic as a possible way to fight the virus. Once it was deemed ineffective against Covid-19, the company’s work on it ceased.
    The spokesman also explained that the company’s last financial contribution to HealthCorps came in 2011. The company representative later corrected himself in a follow up email to CNBC after publication of this story and said that 2013, was, in fact, the last year Sanofi gave a financial donation to HealthCorps.
    Oz’s ties to companies that would benefit from wider use of hydroxychloroquine could pose issues for the Republican if he wins the Senate seat. Kedric Payne, an ethics attorney at the Campaign Legal Center, told CNBC in an email that Oz could choose to divest from the companies if he were to defeat Fetterman in November.
    “He may be in for a rude awakening if elected because ethics rules could bar him from this activity.  Senators cannot use their positions to promote any goods or services that financially benefit them,” Payne said. “Oz could voluntarily divest the stock if elected or stop promoting anything tied to his stock.”
    A spokesman for Thermo Fisher Scientific declined to comment. A representative for McKesson did not return a request for comment before publication.
    Since he launched his campaign late last year, Oz has downplayed warnings by the FDA and other experts against using hydroxychloroquine as a Covid treatment. He suggested political animus against Trump, who endorsed the drug as a treatment and Oz in the Senate election, motivated criticism of the drug as a means to fight Covid.
    “Now, let me just say this real quick, I really don’t know if it works or not, we still to this day had not been able to prove if it [hydroxychloroquine] works or not, which is a shame, because we should have known by now if a cheap 70-year-old drug used by a billion people works or not,” Oz said at a campaign rally earlier this year. “But we don’t, which is a problem by itself. However, I mentioned it and then President Trump mentioned it in a press conference, and all of a sudden the entire world hated hydroxychloroquine without testing it, without knowing about it.”
    Before he launched his campaign, Oz more explicitly championed hydroxychloroquine. During a Fox News interview in March 2020 at the height of the pandemic, Oz said that “hydroxychloroquine plays a role” in fighting the virus. A graphic on screen while Oz was being interviewed called the anti-malaria drug “promising” as a Covid-19 treatment option.
    Oz also sought the White House’s help in kickstarting the hydroxychloroquine study he hoped to fund at Columbia, where he was once vice chair of the surgery department. He has since said the study never got off the ground.
    The Pennsylvania candidate’s communications with White House officials were released by the House select subcommittee on the coronavirus crisis last month. In a March 2020 email to former Trump White House coronavirus response coordinator Deborah Birx, Oz said he would recruit patients and pay for the hydroxychloroquine trial himself.
    Also in March 2020, Oz emailed Trump’s son in law and advisor Jared Kushner that “we must make completion of this study a national priority and insist on immediate enrollment,” according to the correspondence obtained and made public by the House committee. Kushner responded to Oz on the same day, “What do u recommend to speed it up?”
    The New York Post reports that Oz spent $8,800 at that time on hydroxychloroquine tablets for the study and offered to spend $250,000.
    Oz, while campaigning for Pennsylvania’s Senate seat, blamed then-New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo for halting the study after he effectively banned the anti-malaria drug as a Covid treatment.
    Oz’s financial ties could become a bigger issue for him if he wins the Pennsylvania race, one of a handful of contests that will decide which party controls the Senate next year. A Real Clear Politics polling average shows Fetterman leading Oz by almost 7 percentage points.
    Stock ownership in Congress is facing increased scrutiny. Some lawmakers have proposed a ban on individual stock trades in Congress, which would require lawmakers to put assets in a blind trust or divest entirely.
    Business Insider has identified at least 71 lawmakers who have violated the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act, or STOCK Act. The law aims to stop members of Congress from trading stocks off of insider information gained from their work as lawmakers.
    However, members of Congress have broadly faced few repercussions for lucrative stock trades.

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    Trump SPAC deal at risk as merger deadline approaches

    It’s coming down to the wire for Digital World Acquisition Corp., the company aiming to take former President Donald Trump’s media company public.
    DWAC, a special purpose acquisition company, has until Thursday to extend the deadline to merge with Trump Media and Technology Group.
    DWAC, Trump himself and TMTG are all facing various federal probes.

    Former US president Donald Trump announced plans on October 20 to launch his own social networking platform called “TRUTH Social,” which is expected to begin its beta launch for “invited guests” next month.
    Chris Delmas | AFP | Getty Images

    The fate of the planned merger between former President Donald Trump’s media company and the shell company aiming to take it public – and give it an infusion of cash – has grown murkier as a crucial deadline approaches. 
    Digital World Acquisition Corp. has a Thursday deadline to merge with Trump Media and Technology Group, the owner of Truth Social. DWAC, a special purpose acquisition company, has spent the past week scrambling to drum up enough shareholder votes to extend the deadline for the deal. The companies have failed to complete the merger, and federal investigations surrounding the deal and Trump have piled up.

    The result of the shareholder vote will be announced at noon ET Thursday.
    DWAC had been scheduled to publicly announce the result in a special meeting on Tuesday, but CEO Patrick Orlando adjourned the meeting within two minutes to provide additional time for voting. Earlier in the day, Reuters reported that the vote had failed, citing sources familiar with the matter.

    DWAC has previously warned that a failure to approve the extension could result in its liquidation, which would pay out around the stock’s original price of $10 per share. DWAC on Wednesday traded around $22; the stock was at around $97 in March.
    Trump Media and Technology Group is facing obstacles as well. Its Truth Social app, which was created by the former president after he was banned from Twitter following the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection, has been barred from the Google Play store.
    The firm signaled that it’s still working on the deal.

    “TMTG will continue cooperating with all stakeholders in connection with its planned merger, and hopes the SEC staff will expeditiously conclude its review free from political interference,” the company told CNBC Tuesday.
    But Trump, in a Truth Social post on Saturday, indicated that the issue is being resolved and that he doesn’t need DWAC or the infusion of cash from the deal to keep the platform going.
    “Google is coming along nicely (I think?). SEC trying to hurt company doing financing (SPAC),” the former president wrote to his 4 million Truth Social followers on Saturday. “Who knows? In any event, I don’t need financing, ‘I’m really rich!’ Private company anyone???”
    The failure of the DWAC merger could burn retail investors who tried their hand in SPAC investing because of the president.
    Orlando may be able to hold off DWAC’s liquidation, according to a Wednesday SEC filing. Orlando’s company and SPAC sponsor, ARC Global Investments II, plans to contribute $2.8 million of its own money to initiate a three-month extension. 
    DWAC, however, may not be out of the woods. The company is facing federal probes into possible securities violations by DWAC and Trump Media and Technology Group. Trump is also facing multiple investigations relating to the removal of sensitive documents from the White House and his role in the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. 
    DWAC has also warned in an SEC filing that Trump’s dwindling popularity could be a risk to the deal.
    Representatives from DWAC and Trump Media did not immediately respond to requests for comment Wednesday.

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    Moviegoing won't return to pre-pandemic levels, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger

    The pandemic fundamentally changed how audiences consume media, leading to smaller foot traffic at movie theaters, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger.
    “I don’t think movies ever return, in terms of moviegoing, to the level that they were at pre-pandemic,” the veteran media executive said during a panel at Vox Media’s Code Conference in Beverly Hills, California, Wednesday.
    He noted that consumers became more comfortable with streaming services while in lockdown and grew to enjoy the content on these platforms and the flexibility of being able to choose what to watch and when.

    Robert Iger attends the Stella McCartney “Get Back” Capsule Collection and documentary release of Peter Jackson’s “Get Back” at The Jim Henson Company on November 18, 2021 in Los Angeles, California.
    Rich Fury | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

    The coronavirus pandemic has left a “permanent scar” on the movie theater business, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger.
    “I don’t think movies ever return, in terms of moviegoing, to the level that they were at pre-pandemic,” the veteran media executive said during a panel at Vox Media’s Code Conference in Beverly Hills, California, Wednesday.

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    Iger, who stepped down from his post as CEO of the Walt Disney Company in February 2020, handing the reins to then-head of theme parks Bob Chapek, said “choice” is the main reason moviegoers have not returned to cinemas at the same pace as before.
    He noted that consumers became more comfortable with streaming services while in lockdown and grew to enjoy the content on these platforms and the flexibility of being able to choose what to watch and when. Iger was quick to add that he doesn’t think the movie theater industry is a “dead business,” but that the pandemic exacerbated and hastened a change in consumer habits.
    Between January and the end of August, the domestic box office generated around $5.3 billion, down around 31% compared to 2019. It remains on pace to deliver around $7.5 billion in total ticket sales by the end of the year. For comparison, in 2019 the box office tallied $11.4 billion for the full year.
    There are other factors leading to this decline in box office, including a significantly smaller number of film releases. Only 46 films have been widely released domestically during the first eight months of the year. During the same period in 2019, 75 films had been released widely.
    On the plus side, moviegoers are now spending more when they go to cinemas, opting for higher priced tickets to see films on premium screens and buying more concessions.

    Iger noted that cinemas aren’t the only place for audiences to see the birth of major franchises.
    “I think the movie industry used to argue that you could not create cultural impact without having everybody go to a movie theater on the weekend in every country in the world,” he said. “And then just couldn’t create franchises. I don’t agree anymore.”
    Iger pointed to HBO’s “Game of Thrones” and Disney’s own “The Mandalorian” as series that have made significant impacts on the cultural zeitgeist without assistance from cinemas.
    “It doesn’t mean moviegoing goes away,” Iger said. “I’m a big believer in movies. I love big movies … but it doesn’t come back to where it was.”

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    U.S. monkeypox outbreak is slowing as vaccines become more accessible, health officials say

    Demetre Daskalakis, a White House health official, said the monkeypox outbreak has slowed significantly since July as vaccination efforts have ramped up.
    The U.S. is still battling the largest monkeypox outbreak in the world with nearly 21,000 cases reported across all 50 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, according to CDC.
    The U.S. has administered more than 460,000 monkeypox vaccine doses so far, according to data from 35 states.

    Dr. Demetre Daskalakis, the White House National Monkeypox Response Deputy Coordinator, answers questions at the daily White House press briefing in Washington, September 7, 2022.
    Evelyn Hockstein | Reuters

    The U.S. monkeypox outbreak is slowing as vaccines have become more available and there’s broader public awareness about what actions individuals can take to lower their risk of infection, according to White House health officials.
    Demetre Daskalakis, deputy head of the White House monkeypox response team, said it took 25 days for cases to double in August, down from eight days in July. California, New York, Illinois and Texas have all seen significant declines in new cases over the past month, Daskalakis said.

    “The positive trends that we’re seeing in this data also speak to the actions of individuals taken across the country to protect themselves against the virus that includes changing their behaviors and seeking out testing and vaccines,” Daskalakis said.
    The U.S. is still battling the largest monkeypox outbreak in the world with nearly 21,000 cases reported across all 50 states, Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
    Monkeypox is primarily spreading during sex among gay and bisexual men, though anyone can catch the virus through close physical contact with someone who is infected or contaminated materials such as towels and bedsheets. The disease is rarely fatal, but causes painful lesions resembling pimples or blisters.
    The Biden administration faced criticism over the summer for not moving quickly enough to ramp up vaccine supply to meet the tremendous demand for the shots. Health Secretary Xavier Becerra declared a public health emergency last month, and the Food and Drug Administration authorized a different method to administer the vaccines that allows providers to extract more doses from each vaccine vial.
    The Jynneos vaccine, manufactured by Danish biotech company Bavarian Nordic, is the only approved monkeypox vaccine in the U.S. It is administered in two doses 28 days apart, with the peak immune response coming two weeks after the second dose.

    The CDC does not yet have real-world efficacy data on the Jynneos vaccine, though public health officials expect it to provide protection against monkeypox.
    Vaccine supply has expanded significantly since early August. The U.S. has administered more than 460,000 monkeypox vaccines doses so far, according to data from 35 states provided to the CDC. About 1.6 million gay and bisexual men face the highest risk from monkeypox and have been the primary focus of vaccination efforts.
    The Black and Hispanic communities are particularly hard hit by the virus. Nearly 38% of patients are Black, 29% are Hispanic, and 27% are White, according to CDC data. The overall U.S. population is 12% Black, 19% Hispanic, and 61% White, according to data from the 2020 Census.
    Daskalakis said the CDC and the White House have been working with organizations in Black and Brown communities to improve vaccine access. Vaccinations were offered on site at Atlanta Black Pride over the Labor Day weekend with 4,000 doses administered, according to Robert Fenton, head of the White House monkeypox response team.
    The U.S. is offering vaccinations on site at Pride and other events with high attendance by gay and bisexual men to make the shots more available. More than 3,000 doses were administered at Southern Decadence in New Orleans, according to Fenton. The U.S. is providing 820 doses to Boise Pride and 10,000 doses for California ahead of the Folsom Street Fair and the Castro Street Fair, Fenton said.
    Daskalakis said federal health officials are also working with colleges and universities as school gets back into session to inform them about the resources and tools available to address monkeypox in the event that there are infections on campus, though the risk is low.
    “The risk in colleges is extremely low,” Daskalakis said. “Realistically, given the way that this virus is spreading through the population, the risk in those settings is low. Awareness is more important than anxiety,” he said.
    People who have monkeypox should stay at home until the rash has healed and a new layer of skin has formed, stay away from other people, and do not share any objects or materials with other people, according to CDC guidance.
    People who have a new or unexplained rash should avoid sex and social gatherings, particularly those where there’s close skin-to-skin contact, according to CDC. People can also reduce their risk of infection by temporarily limiting sexual partners until two weeks after receiving the second dose of the monkeypox vaccine.

    CNBC Health & Science

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    GameStop reports wider loss, announces partnership with crypto exchange FTX

    GameStop said quarterly sales declined and losses widened, as its cash pile shrank and inventory swelled.
    The company also disclosed a new partnership with crypto exchange FTX.
    As sales declined overall, GameStop, which launched an NFT marketplace in July, pointed to growth of some newer businesses.

    SAN RAFAEL, CALIFORNIA – DECEMBER 08: Customers enter a GameStop store on December 08, 2021 in San Rafael, California. Video game retailer GameStop will report third quarter earnings today after the closing bell. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    GameStop said Wednesday that quarterly sales declined and losses widened, as it burned through cash and inventory swelled.
    The video game retailer also disclosed a new partnership with crypto exchange FTX.

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    Shares of the company rose about 10% in after hours trading.
    In the second fiscal quarter ended July 30, the company’s total sales dropped to $1.14 billion from $1.18 billion in the year-ago period. Its losses widened to $108.7 million, or 36 cents per share, compared with a loss of $61.6 million, or 21 cents, a year prior.
    GameStop’s results cannot be compared with estimates because too few analysts cover the company. It did not provide a financial outlook and hasn’t provided one since the start of the pandemic.
    The brick-and-mortar retailer is trying to adapt its business to a digital world. It’s gotten new leadership, including board chair Ryan Cohen, the founder of Chewy and former activist investor for Bed Bath & Beyond, and CEO Matt Furlong, an Amazon veteran. It’s also looked to new ways to make money, including nonfungible tokens.
    But the company has struggled to drive profits, leading it to trim costs and shake up leadership. Last month, it fired chief financial officer Mike Recupero and laid off employees across departments. Accounting chief Diana Jajeh stepped in as the company’s new CFO.

    Furlong urged patience on an investor call on Wednesday, saying GameStop must go through a significant transformation to keep up with customers.
    “Our path to becoming a more diversified and tech-centric business is one that obviously carries risk and will take time,” he said. “This said, we believe GameStop is a much stronger business than it was 18 months ago.”
    GameStop’s new initiatives have come at a high cost. It had $908.9 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter — a little more than half of what it had at the end of the year-ago period.
    Inventory ballooned to $734.8 million at the close of the quarter. That’s up from $596.4 million at the close of the prior year’s second quarter. The company said in a release that it intentionally bulked up on merchandise to keep up with customer demand and cope with supply chain challenges.
    Furlong said on the call that the company had to spend money to modernize its business after years of underinvestment. Among its moves, it hired more than 600 people with talent in areas such as blockchain while it reduced shipping times, so customers get purchases in one to three days.

    Changing it up

    Now, he said, the company is focused on new priorities: becoming profitable, launching proprietary products and investing in its stores. He said it is lowering costs, too. Expenses decreased by 14% from the first quarter of the year, including some reductions that came from the layoffs.
    “We’re going to retain a strong focus on cost containment and continue promoting an ownership mentality across the organization,” he said.
    As overall sales fell, he pointed to growth of newer businesses. GameStop launched an NFT marketplace in July, which is open to the public for beta testing. It allows users to connect their own digital asset wallets, including the recently launched GameStop Wallet, so they can buy, sell and trade NFTs for virtual goods.
    Sales attributable to collectibles rose from $177.2 million in the prior year’s second quarter to $223.2 million in the most recent one.
    NFTs trade on FTX, the retailer’s new partner. “In addition to collaborating with FTX on new ecommerce and online marketing initiatives, GameStop will begin carrying FTX gift cards in select stores,” GameStop said in a release.
    FTX was founded by billionaire former Wall Street trader Sam Bankman-Fried, 30. He has become a lender of last resort for crypto firms that have struggled as the assets have declined sharply since late last year.
    The agreement with FTX appears to play into GameStop’s status as a meme stock.
    The company’s shares have seen sharp fluctuations in value. Over the past year, shares have swung from $19.39 to $63.92. The company’s stock is down about 36% so far this year, bringing the company’s value to $7.31 billion.
    Even as the company pivots more to e-commerce, Furlong said that stores remain an important way to connect with customers and to fulfill online orders.
    GameStop rolled out a new compensation model for U.S. store leaders, he said. Each store leader can get $21,000 in stock, which vests over three years. They can also get additional pay through company stock on a quarterly basis, depending on their performance.
    It is also raising hourly pay for some store employees, but he did not share the specific wage.
    Read GameStop’s earnings release here.

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    Homeowners lose wealth as rising interest rates weigh on home values

    Some homeowners are losing wealth as high mortgage rates weigh on home values, at least on paper, as the once red-hot housing market cools.
    Sales have been slowing down for several months, with mortgage rates now double what they were at the start of this year.
    Data suggests so-called tappable home equity may have peaked in May

    A “For Sale” sign outside a house in Albany, California, on Tuesday, May 31, 2022.
    David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Some homeowners are losing wealth as high mortgage rates weigh on home values, at least on paper, as the once red-hot housing market cools quickly.
    Sales have been slowing down for several months, with mortgage rates now double what they were at the start of this year.

    Home prices, likewise, dropped 0.77% from June to July, according to a recent report from Black Knight, a software, data and analytics company. While that may not sound like a lot, it was the largest monthly decline since January 2011 and the first monthly drop of any size in 32 months.

    “Annual home price appreciation still came in at over 14%, but in a market characterized by as much volatility and rapid change as today’s, such backward-looking metrics can be misleading as they can mask more current, pressing realities,” wrote Ben Graboske, president of Black Knight Data & Analytics.

    Read more real estate coverage

    Roughly 85% of major markets have seen prices come off peaks through July, with one-third coming down more than 1% and about 1 in 10 falling by 4% or more. As a result, after gaining trillions of dollars in home equity collectively during the first two years of the Covid pandemic, some homeowners are now losing equity.
    So-called tappable equity, which Black Knight defines as the amount a homeowner can borrow against while keeping a 20% equity stake in the property, hit its 10th consecutive quarterly record high in the second quarter of this year at $11.5 trillion. But data suggests it may have peaked in May.
    Declining home values in June and July brought the total amount of tappable equity down 5%, and given the weakening in the housing market since then, the third quarter of this year will show a more sizeable decline.
    “Some of the nation’s most equity-rich markets have seen significant pullbacks, most notably among key West Coast metros,” noted Graboske.
    From April through July, San Jose, California, lost 20% of its tappable equity, followed by Seattle (-18%), San Diego (-14%), San Francisco (-14%) and Los Angeles (-10%).
    Homeowners are still far more flush than they were the last time the housing market went through a major correction. During the subprime mortgage crash, which began in 2007, and the subsequent Great Recession, home values plummeted by nearly half in some major markets. Millions of borrowers went underwater on their mortgages, owing more than their homes were worth.
    That is not the case today. Current borrowers, on average, owe just 42% of their home’s value on both first and second mortgages. It is the lowest leverage on record. Losing some value on paper shouldn’t affect those owners at all.
    There are, however, about 275,000 borrowers who would fall underwater if their homes were to lose 5% of their current value. More than 80% of those borrowers purchased their homes in the first six months of this year, which was the top of the market.
    Even with a universal 15% decline in prices, negative equity rates would still be nowhere near the levels seen during the financial crisis, according to the report.

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    Why economists are flocking to Silicon Valley

    For more than a decade Facebook, now known as Meta, has awarded fellowships to promising graduate students working on cutting-edge research. The prize, which this year comes with up to two years’ worth of university tuition and a $42,000 stipend, has gone to computer scientists, engineers, physicists and statisticians. Now it has gone to an economist. “I was not expecting it,” says Jaume Vives i Bastida, the lucky recipient working on a phd at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (mit).Silicon Valley is increasingly turning to economics for insights into how to solve business problems—from pricing and product development to strategy. Job-placement data from ten leading graduate programmes in economics shows that tech firms hired one in seven newly minted phds in 2022, up from less than one in 20 in 2018 (see chart). Amazon is the keenest recruiter. The e-commerce giant now has some 400 full-time economists on staff, several times as many as a typical research university. Uber is another big employer—last year the ride-hailing firm hired a fifth of Harvard University’s graduating class.For the dismal scientists pay is a factor, says John List, a professor at the University of Chicago who has worked at Uber and Lyft. But tech companies also offer many of the benefits of a university career without the “publish or perish” culture. In the past, heading to the private sector often meant forgoing research completely. Now, explains Mr Vives, “Research can still be a big component of your job.” Access to the companies’ ample data is another selling point, says Steve Tadelis of the University of California, Berkeley, who spent two years at eBay, an online marketplace. For big tech, meanwhile, economists offer skills that computer scientists and engineers often lack. They tend to have a good grasp of statistics, as well as a knack for understanding how incentives affect human behaviour. Most important, economists are adept at designing experiments to identify causal relationships between variables. Machine-learning engineers usually think in terms of prediction problems, notes one Ivy League grad who recently started a job in tech. Economists can nail down the causal parameters, he says.An e-commerce firm may want to estimate the effect of next-day shipping on sales. A ride-hailing firm may wish to know which sets of incentives lure drivers back to the city centre after they are hailed by customers attending a big concert or sporting event. In two periods between 2015 and 2017 Mr List and colleagues at Lyft, Arizona State University and Boston University manipulated the prices and wait times for Lyft rides across 13 American cities to estimate the value of time. The study, which found that Lyft users value their time at about $19 per hour, yielded a paper. It also led to a new feature on the Lyft app called “Wait & Save”, which lets riders opt for a longer wait time in exchange for a lower fare. For all its recent recruitment success, Silicon Valley may have a harder time attracting the finest economists. In contrast to fields like artificial intelligence, “our best minds still stay in the academy,” observes Mr List. Maybe not for long. “I would like to be a professor, I would like to do research for a living,” says Mr Vives. “I can also do that at a tech company.” ■ More