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    Cramer's lightning round: I prefer McDonald's over KFC parent Yum Brands

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    It’s that time again! “Mad Money” host Jim Cramer rings the lightning round bell, which means he’s giving his answers to callers’ stock questions at rapid speed.

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    Verizon: “I’m not crazy about it. It does yield 5.85%. They have the ability to raise the dividend, but I think over time it’s a wasting asset. If it does jump to like $45 or $46, I think you’re going to have to let it go. I’m very sorry.”

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    Marvell Technology: “They did a good job, not a great job. The stock is trading down a little bit. Why is it trading down a little bit? Demand is very good, they can’t meet all of it. They’ve got some supply issues. It’s not a perfect quarter, but we will have a full piece out later for the Investing Club later on if you want to make a decision.”

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    Star Bulk Carriers: “Another one of these companies with a high yield. It is a red flag. … I do not trust companies with that big a yield.”

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    Tellurian: “I think Tellurian is terrific. It’s Charif Souki. It is obviously a speculative situation, but I would do it. You know why I would it? Because Charif turned us on to all of this. He was the godfather of the industry.”

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    Yum Brands: “I think Yum is OK. I think McDonald’s is better. I would rather be in that. I think McDonald’s is going to $300. Domino’s I think is as good as Yum Brands, though.”

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    Antero Resources: “Take out your $3, and then you’re going to let the rest run because, I’ve got to tell you, I think Antero is an excellent company.”
    Disclosure: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Marvell Technology.

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    Cramer says there's a bull market in these 4 industries. Here are his favorite stocks in them

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    “I think we’ve got just a plethora of bull markets,” including agriculture and auto parts, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Thursday.
    “Another Fed-mandated meltdown could create some tremendous opportunities, but only if you know where to look,” the “Mad Money” host added.

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Thursday he sees a bull market in a couple of industries including agriculture, even as Wall Street remains concerned about signs of a slowing economy.
    “I think we’ve got just a plethora of bull markets,” the “Mad Money” host said. He added that investors should “be ready to buy into the weakness” standout stocks within them if Wall Street on Friday is spooked by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is delivering highly anticipated speech at 10 a.m. ET.

    “Another Fed-mandated meltdown could create some tremendous opportunities, but only if you know where to look,” Cramer said.

    Agriculture

    “A bull market of insane proportions” is taking place in the agriculture sector, Cramer contended Thursday, noting Deere & Co. saw a number of price-target hikes from analysts after the company reported earning last week.
    “I have total faith that next year is going to be super for them,” Cramer said. “I’ve always liked the ag space because people have to eat, but there are times when farmers are over-planting and the group does poorly. This is not one of those times, which is why Deere could rally on its so-called poor quarter, and why it got more price-target boosts in response than any other company I can remember this earnings season.”
    Cramer also pointed to fertilizer companies such as Mosaic, CF Industries and Nutrien. He noted all three companies still trade at single-digit forward price-to-earnings ratios, even after impressive year-to-date gains. Seed company Corteva commands “tremendous’ pricing power, he added.

    Auto parts

    Cramer said auto parts is one of his long-term favorite areas. AutoZone, in particular, is the company he likes best in the industry.

    “This company had 30 million shares in 2016. Now it has less than 20 million shares. During this period, its market capizalation has grown from $21 billion to $43 billion. Now, there’s also Advance Auto Parts, but it missed last time out. I want to get in the Zone,” Cramer said.

    Aerospace and defense

    “It’s hard to tell because of the endless series of mishaps from Boeing, but there’s a bull market in aerospace and defense, too,” Cramer said, while pointing to Raytheon Technologies as one company to consider.
    “Here’s a stock that seems almost chronically undervalued,” he said. “It’s up 12% for the year — pretty good versus the averages, but not so hot compared to the strength of its end markets.”

    Alternative energy

    Cramer said the recently passed Inflation Reduction Act — specifically, it’s clean energy provisions — should provide a meaningful lift to the businesses of companies such as Generac.
    “Generac-produced products can store solar power and help you sell your energy back to the grid while also charging your electric vehicle,” Cramer said.
    “I know that the bill favors Plug Power for hydrogen vehicles, and it lowers the price so the company’s truly viable here,” he added. “And I’m intrigued about what the law may mean for Darling Ingredients, the ultimate recycler of all sorts of waste. After speaking with them, I believe they have a bright future, too.”

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    Gap withdraws 2022 financial outlook as Old Navy sales fall in second quarter

    Gap Inc. withdrew its financial outlook for the year after it swung to a net loss in its fiscal second quarter.
    The retailer’s Old Navy chain continued to struggle with the wrong mix of sizes and styles.
    Gap is also still in the midst of finding a new CEO.

    An employee hands a customer a shopping bag at an Old Navy store in San Francisco.
    David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Gap Inc. on Thursday withdrew its financial outlook for the year after it swung to a net loss in the fiscal second quarter and its Old Navy chain continued to struggle with the wrong mix of sizes and styles.
    The San Francisco-based company, which is in the midst of finding a new CEO, cited its recent execution challenges and uncertain macroeconomic trends for withdrawing its guidance for 2022. Decades-high inflation is hurting lower-income consumers who are among the core customers for some of the company’s brands.

    “In the near-term, we are taking actions to sequentially reduce inventory, rebalance our assortments to better meet changing consumer needs, aggressively manage and reevaluate investments, and fortifying our balance sheet,” Chief Financial Officer Katrina O’Connell said in a news release.
    For the three-month period ended July 30, the retailer reported a net loss of $49 million, or 13 cents per share. A year earlier, it reported a net income of $258 million, or 67 cents a share.
    Excluding one-time items, the company earned 8 cents a share.
    Gap’s revenue for the period fell 8% to $3.86 billion from $4.2 billion a year earlier. That topped estimates for $3.82 billion, according to a Refinitiv survey. Shares of Gap were up 7% in extended trading.
    Online sales dropped 6%, representing 34% of total sales.

    Comparable sales, which track revenue online and at stores open for at least 12 months, were down 10% from a year ago. That included a 15% decline at Old Navy, which the company said was hit by inventory delays, “product acceptance issues” in key categories and slowing demand among lower-income shoppers.
    At the company’s namesake Gap banner, global comparable sales fell 7%, in part due to ongoing and planned store closures.
    Comparable sales at Athleta were down 8%, with the company noting a shift in consumer preference from athleisure to work-based categories. At Banana Republic, comparable sales rose 8%, which the retailer chalked up to its investments in quality and shifting consumer trends.
    Gap said in prepared remarks that it started to see an improvement in sales trends in July and into August coinciding with a drop in gas prices. However, the company is not offering a forecast for its full fiscal year due to ongoing uncertainty around consumer behavior and promotions at other retailers.
    The company ended the latest quarter with inventory of $3.1 billion, up 37% from the prior year. Some of this was intentionally packed away to be sold in another season, and some of it is still in transit, Gap said.
    As part of its cost-cutting efforts, the company said it reduced the number of new Old Navy stores it planned to open in the back half of the year.
    “While our elevated inventory and pressured margins are current realities against unsettled market conditions, they do not define our ability to capitalize on Gap Inc.’s strengths to win,” said Gap’s interim CEO Bob Martin, who is also executive chair.
    Gap’s former CEO Sonia Syngal stepped down from her role abruptly in July. The company also recently named a new leader for its Old Navy division.

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    Bed Bath & Beyond says it will share its comeback strategy next week

    Bed Bath and Beyond said it will share its new strategy with investors on Wednesday.
    The troubled home goods retailer is coping with slowing sales and dwindling cash as it prepares for the holiday season.
    The company is reportedly in talks with a lender to shore up its finances and give confidence to suppliers that help stock its shelves.

    Signage is displayed outside of a Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. store in Los Angeles, California, U.S., on Monday, Sept. 19, 2016.
    Patrick T. Fallon | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Bed Bath & Beyond said Thursday that it will soon share its turnaround strategy, as it burns through cash and tries to win back customers ahead of the holiday season.
    The home goods retailer will have an investor update Wednesday morning, it said in a news release. Shares rose more than 5% in after-hours trading Thursday.

    Interim CEO Sue Gove said in the release that the company’s call will include “a preview of strategies and changes being implemented across the enterprise to deliver results for all stakeholders.”
    She added: “We recognize the strong interest in our company and our plans to better serve customers, recapture market share, drive growth and profitability, ensure our vendors are supported, and strengthen our balance sheet.”
    Bed Bath & Beyond is on the clock to grow sales and convince investors that it has a path forward. It is looking for a new CEO after its board pushed out Mark Tritton earlier this summer. It has lost market share to competitors, as it trimmed back its 20% coupons and introduced unfamiliar private brands. And its shares have plummeted, especially after activist investor Ryan Cohen sold off his entire stake in the company last week.
    On top of that, the home goods sector is under pressure, lapping a period of unusually strong demand during the peak of the pandemic. It is also a discretionary category that is more vulnerable as shoppers spend more on food and other necessities because of inflation. Those cooling sales have left many blenders, toaster ovens and coffee makers on deep discount at big-box and specialty stores alike.
    Bed Bath said in June that its first-quarter net sales were down 25% year over year, resulting in a net loss of $358 million. It did not give a forecast, but said at the time that it expected sales to recover in the second half of the fiscal year.

    The economic backdrop compounds Bed Bath’s troubles, said Neil Saunders, managing director of GlobalData Retail.
    “If you are running up a down escalator, internally, with the external environment, you’re running up the down escalator that’s on superspeed,” he said. “It’s a really difficult, if not impossible, task because this is not the best of environments to be trying to recreate your business.”
    It is reportedly seeking a lifeline from lenders. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the company is close to finalizing a $400 million loan to give it cash to pay the bills and build credibility with suppliers. The report cites people familiar with the matter. The company is finalizing negotiations with Sixth Street Partners, which has lent money to other troubled retailers including J.C. Penney, the Journal said.
    Bed Bath has made other changes, along with ousting its CEO. Former merchandising chief Joe Hartsig, one of the architects of its private label strategy, has left the company along with Tritton. It has a new chief accounting officer. It launched a new loyalty program and has axed at least one of its private brands, Wild Sage.
    As of Thursday’s close, shares are down about 31% so far this year. Shares closed on Thursday at $10.10, down about 2.5%. The company’s market value is $807.6 million.

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    Qantas CEO blames 'little government support' and Covid for lagging some of its peers

    Qantas CEO Alan Joyce said the airline was not able to return to profit as quickly as other carriers like those in Singapore because it did not receive as much government support and faced a “massive wave of Covid … nobody was planning for.”
    Australia’s national carrier posted its third consecutive year of losses before tax of $1.19 billion Australian dollars ($830.67 million).
    “We’re very different from different airlines because within Singapore, there wasn’t a need to sack, stand down people that we had to do,” the CEO told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia.”

    Qantas CEO Alan Joyce told CNBC the airline was not able to return to profit as quickly as other carriers like those in Singapore because it did not receive as much government support and faced a “massive wave of Covid … nobody was planning for.”
    Australia’s national carrier has posted its third consecutive year of statutory losses before tax of $1.19 billion Australian dollars ($830.67 million), attributing the performance to the delta and omicron outbreaks in Australia and upfront costs from restarting the airline after lockdowns ended.

    Qantas made losses of A$2.35 billion in 2021 and and A$2.7 billion in 2020.
    Asked about how Qantas compared to Singapore Airlines, which returned to a net profit in the first quarter of the financial year 2022/2023, the CEO answered: “We’re very different from different airlines because within Singapore, there wasn’t a need to sack, stand down people that we had to do.”
    “Because we ended up getting very little government support, the government rented some of the aircraft and gave our people that were stood their money but with people being stood out or not having employment from the airlines, a lot of people left the industry,” he told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia.”
    “Secondly, we’ve had this massive wave of Covid here in Australia that nobody was planning for.”

    Under pressure

    The loss announcements come as Qantas workers begin strike action on Thursday to protest inaction over pay negotiations.

    On Monday, Qantas started sending out emails to its frequent flyers apologizing for not meeting the standards they had expected from the company while offering every customer a A$50 discount on a return flight.

    Australia’s Transport Workers’ Union have asked Qantas’ CEO to resign over for “empty promises to frustrated passengers” and “announcing more tactics to silence workers and suppress wages.”
    Phil Noble | Reuters

    Joyce also told CNBC that schedules that were in place six months in advance during the pandemic were upended and said staff absences from Covid infections also unraveled its recovery plans.
    Worker absences triggered operational problems — in particular, in the running of domestic flights, which is “more complicated” and different than international routes, Joyce added.
    “It’s a lot more complicated, with some aircraft doing eight sectors a day, when you get a problem in the morning with somebody not turning up that impacts all eight sectors during the day,” he said, noting the differences between markets.
    “The markets that are similar to us, like Europe like North America, you see similar issues occurring because people didn’t expect this this big wave of Covid.”
    In North America, however, American Airlines returned to profit in its second quarter, as did Singapore Airlines, which the CEO compared Qantas with.

    Singapore Airlines doesn’t have a domestic market. All its revenue is derived from international flights that were shut down during the pandemic.
    By July 2020, it had lost nearly all its passenger carriage and grounded many of its aircrafts and staff, a company statement said at that time.
    It posted a loss of $4.3 billion Singapore dollars ($3.09 billion) for the 2020/2021 financial year.
    SIA cut its losses in 2021/2022 to S$1 billion and has since posted a first quarter net profit for the 2022/2023 year.
    It has raised S$22.4 billion since April 2020, including S$15 billion from shareholders through the sales of shares and convertible bonds. Singapore sovereign wealth fund Temasek is the majority shareholder and holds 55% of the airline.
    Qantas received about A$2 billion in government support, including A$850 million in wage subsidies for those who lost their jobs.
    The Australian airliner has been under pressure over poor performance including canceled flights and lost luggage. Unions have called for Joyce’s resignation.

    Qantas still has a halo as one of the best employers in Australia. People want to get into aviation.

    Alan Joyce
    CEO, Qantas

    Australia’s Transport Workers’ Union asked Joyce to resign over for “empty promises to frustrated passengers” and announcing “tactics to silence workers and suppress wages.”
    But things are improving, Joyce told CNBC, adding that nearly 25,000 applicants applied for the recently advertised 2,500 new jobs at the carrier.
    “So, Qantas still has a halo as one of the best employers in Australia. People want to get into aviation,” he said.
    Since the start of the pandemic, the company has shed nearly 9,000 jobs from its workforce of nearly 30,000, the company said in an email response. It has since replaced only about a third of those employees and contractors it let go.
    However, Qantas isn’t the only airline in the region that has posted losses on Thursday.
    Competitor Air New Zealand posted a loss of $725 million New Zealand dollars ($452.1 million) in the 2022 financial year, before significant items and taxation.
    In June, the International Air Transport Association forecast that the North American airline industry would be back in the black by the end of 2022, while the rest of the world would continue to face losses.

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    Here's how Peloton CEO Barry McCarthy's turnaround plan is going

    Peloton investors are fleeing after the company’s discouraging fourth quarter. But CEO Barry McCarthy is trying to convince them to stick around.
    “We happen to sit right smack of the middle of the pivot,” the former Netflix and Spotify executive told analysts on Thursday.
    Peloton is testing a rental option, new pricing tiers within its digital app, and the ability to play its content on competitors’ hardware.

    Barry McCarthy speaks during an interview with CNBC on floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), October 28, 2019.
    Brendan McDermid | Reuters

    Peloton investors are fleeing after the company’s discouraging fourth quarter. But CEO Barry McCarthy is trying to convince them to stick around for what he says will be a comeback story.
    Shares fell nearly 20% on Thursday, erasing gains the company saw on Wednesday after it announced a tie-up with Amazon to sell some of its equipment.

    Peloton reported Thursday morning that its losses in the three-month period ended June 30 amounted to $1.2 billion, and sales fell roughly 28% from year-ago levels. Its connected fitness gross margins eroded as inventories piled up, and transportation and storage expenses mounted.
    Peloton managed to moderate its cash burn, but it doesn’t expect to reach break-even cash flow on a quarterly basis until at least the second half of fiscal 2023.
    Peloton’s bleak outlook for the current period and its lack of full-year guidance prompted Jefferies analyst Randy Konik to declare in a note to clients Thursday that “gyms are back in a big way.”
    “There are many Peloton members that are no longer using the bike yet still paying the monthly membership,” Konik said. “Those fringe users are likely to cut the cord in coming months and years ahead, especially as monthly sub prices are increased by the company.”
    When McCarthy took over the CEO role from the company’s founder, John Foley, he has said he didn’t realize how deep some issues ran. Now, McCarthy is slashing costs and trying to grow higher-margin subscription revenue so that it outpaces hardware sales.

    “We happen to sit right smack of the middle of the pivot,” the former Netflix and Spotify executive told analysts on a conference call. “We’ve made substantial progress addressing all of the infrastructure-related headwinds of the business, and now it’s time to get back to the business.”

    Here are three things Peloton is testing to win new users and boost sales:

    1. ‘Fitness as a service’

    Peloton’s so-called fitness as a service strategy is still in its early stages. This is McCarthy’s idea to drive more subscription growth, and lower the barrier to entry for people who are afraid to commit to buying one of Peloton’s products outright.
    Currently, customers can pay $89 per month to rent Peloton’s original Bike and also receive access to its live and on-demand workout classes. These customers are then able to return their Bikes whenever they’re done using them.
    McCarthy told analysts Thursday that Peloton has yet to fully market this option to the masses, as it has been gradually rolling it out in the United States and also testing it with its more expensive Bike+ for a fee of $119 per month. He said Peloton is on pace to have between 30,000 to 40,000 of these rental customers each year. A win, he said, would be to get closer to 125,000 to 150,000.
    While he’s encouraged by the early usage statistics, McCarthy said he needs to figure out whether or not he “created a nuclear bomb” or is putting Peloton “on the path to the promised land.”
    Peloton has also been toying with selling pre-owned Bikes, which management said sold like hotcakes in trial runs earlier this year.

    2. Growing the Peloton digital app

    Following Foley’s lead, McCarthy has said he believes that one day Peloton can count 100 million members. It’s a massive leap from the roughly 6.9 million that it has today. The company’s mobile app is going to be key to this growth.
    Peloton said Thursday that awareness for its digital app is around just 4% today, leaving it with plenty potential upside. It ended the latest quarter with 980,000 app-only subscribers, up 12% from a year earlier.
    McCarthy teased that Peloton is now interested in creating tiered price offerings within the app, so that users can pay extra money for access to more content and other special features. Currently, all users who don’t own a Peloton product at home pay $12.99 a month for access to everything in the company’s app.
    The CEO drew an example to his time at Netflix. McCarthy said that Netflix was able to outlast Blockbuster in the movie rental wars because it offered customers a slew of options.
    “We have substantially picked up the pace of innovation and testing and risk taking,” McCarthy said.

    3. ‘Freemium’ model?

    Peloton is also preparing to test something that it calls a “freemium” strategy, which is also going to be tied back to the app. The company said it wants people to be able to access Peloton’s classes from anywhere.
    That would mean users could pair their smartphone with a third-party piece of workout equipment via Bluetooth and then access Peloton’s library of content from there. Even if it’s a competitor’s device.
    “We will be delighted for people to use our content on someone else’s hardware,” McCarthy said on Thursday’s conference call. Ultimately, this is another way that Peloton could keep growing its member base, he said.
    But, like some of Peloton’s other ideas, this is still in early stages. Piper Sandler analyst Ed Yruma said it’s not clear what will help Peloton return to sustainable growth.
    “Barry McCarthy has quickly shored up the balance sheet … but a return to predictable growth remains TBD,” he said in a note to clients.

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    IRS to refund a 'very welcome' $1.2 billion in late-filing fees for nearly 1.6 million taxpayers

    The IRS on Wednesday announced it will waive penalties for many Americans who late-filed tax returns during the pandemic.
    Nearly 1.6 million filers will automatically receive more than $1.2 billion in penalty refunds or credits, with many payments expected to come by the end of September.  

    Ekaterina Goncharova | Moment | Getty Images

    The IRS on Wednesday announced it will waive penalties for many Americans who late-filed tax returns during the pandemic.
    Nearly 1.6 million filers will automatically receive a collective $1.2 billion-plus in penalty refunds or credits, according to the federal agency, with many payments expected to come by the end of September.  

    The relief applies to many individuals and businesses that filed tax returns for 2019 and 2020 late, the IRS said. 
    More from Personal Finance:What Biden’s student loan forgiveness means for your taxesStudent loan payment pause extended through DecemberBiden student loan forgiveness plan: Who’s eligible, how it works, when to apply
    “Throughout the pandemic, the IRS has worked hard to support the nation and provide relief to people in many different ways,” said IRS Commissioner Chuck Rettig.
    “The penalty relief issued today is yet another way the agency is supporting people during this unprecedented time,” he said.
    The waiver applies to the agency’s late filing penalty of 5% of your unpaid balance per month, capped at 25%. Late payment penalties of 0.5% per month may still apply.

    Eligible tax returns include individual, corporate, estates and trusts and more, according to an IRS notice. However, you must file the tax returns by Sept. 30 to qualify, the IRS said.

    Tax pros say IRS penalty relief is ‘very welcome’

    Covid-19 has “greatly impacted” the agency’s ability to process paper, Campo explained, and missing returns have triggered notices, further adding to the pileup when filers respond.
    “With this broad relief, the burden on taxpayers, tax professionals and IRS staff should be alleviated to some extent,” he said.
    The IRS has been “working aggressively” to process backlogged returns and taxpayer correspondence, aiming to return to “normal operations” for the 2023 filing season, according to the notice. And the penalty relief will allow the agency to “focus its resources more effectively,” the agency said.

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    South-East Asia’s tech firms take a battering

    Investors couldn’t get enough of South-East Asia’s consumer-technology giants a year ago. This year, they have been unable to log off quickly enough. Tech firms across the region are suffering. They have been buffeted by the same forces that have sent tech stocks globally tumbling by more than 20% this year. On top of this, surging inflation and the expectation of higher interest rates have diminished the appeal of companies which aim for rapid growth in the present with reliable profits only arriving sometime in the future.South-East Asia’s giants not only have to cope with the ills besetting tech firms worldwide, but also face a “last-in-first-out” problem. The region is not a large part of the allocation of many global portfolios, and investors who piled in at the later stages of the boom may have lost their appetite. This has pushed down valuations further than the global slump. Sea, the region’s largest listed tech firm, is a case in point.Sea’s market capitalisation is now $36bn, down from over $200bn late last year. The firm’s share price recorded another steep decline after it released quarterly results on August 16th. Revenues, mostly generated by Shopee, its e-commerce subsidiary, and Garena, its video-gaming arm, rose more slowly than expected, up by 29% year-on-year to $2.9bn. Tech companies globally are being punished for an inability to produce reliable income by investors now monomaniacally focused on cash generation. Sea’s free cashflow in the second quarter ran to minus $607m, the largest negative figure on record. Sea is not alone in its struggles. Grab, a Singaporean superapp offering deliveries, ride hailing, financial services and more, listed publicly in December. Its shares have since tumbled. Bukalapak, an Indonesian e-commerce firm which also listed last year, has seen its valuation drop by two-thirds over the past 12 months. GoTo, the Indonesian holding company that owns Gojek and Tokopedia after their merger in 2021, avoided the rout but its shares have languished in recent months.Grab’s second-quarter results, due after The Economist is published, and GoTo’s, unveiled on August 30th could bring better news, but Sea’s recent experience shows that the three firms’ ambitious plans for payments and financial technology, which require big investments and many years to grow, do not suit impatient investors.Amid the gloom there are some reasons for cheer. Emerging-market equity-fund allocations to the region have risen slightly this year, notes Steven Holden of Copley Fund Research, as fund managers have looked for alternatives to Russian equities. China’s crackdown on its tech companies also leaves investors looking for other places to park their money. Beyond listed firms, venture-capital activity has slowed but not collapsed. Capital raised for funds focused on the region this year stood at $8.3bn on August 22nd, compared to $13.2bn for all of last year, according to Preqin, a data provider. The sum invested in vc deals this year runs to $10.7bn, already more than the total for all but two previous years—2018 and 2021. Sustained interest in smaller, private companies is good news for South-East Asia but does little for the pain of the larger listed ones. ■For more expert analysis of the biggest stories in economics, business and markets, sign up to Money Talks, our weekly newsletter. More