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    Cramer’s week ahead: Own recession-proof names and have cash ready for when stocks ‘come roaring back’

    Monday – Friday, 6:00 – 7:00 PM ET

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Friday that enduring the current market is a waiting game for a rally — and investors need to be prepared for when that happens.
    “Your portfolio should be split among some cash and some stocks that can thrive in a recession,” the “Mad Money” host said. 

    CNBC’s Jim Cramer said Friday that enduring the current market is a waiting game for a rally — and investors need to be prepared for when that happens.
    “Your portfolio should be split among some cash and some stocks that can thrive in a recession. … You need to accept the fact that we’re simply trying to stay in the game until times get better,” the “Mad Money” host said. 

    “But when we do reach the promised land, it’ll be worth it, because that’s when stocks come roaring back,” he added.
    The market concluded a bumpy week of trading on Friday. While the market rallied on Wednesday afternoon following the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, losses on Thursday and Friday demolished those gains. A basis point equals 0.01%.
    Cramer said he will be watching for the April consumer price index release next week. “If we do get a weaker CPI figure, the market could rally,” he said.
    He also previewed next week’s earnings slate. All earnings and revenue estimates are courtesy of FactSet.
    Monday: Tyson Foods, BioNTech

    Tyson Foods

    Q2 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 9 a.m. ET
    Projected EPS: $1.89
    Projected revenue: $12.84 billion

    Cramer said he’s hoping for any news indicating that food prices are coming down.
    BioNTech

    Q1 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 8 a.m. ET
    Projected EPS: $9.65
    Projected revenue: $4.57 billion

    Insight into any developments regarding China’s Covid-19 vaccination plans would be helpful, Cramer said.
    Tuesday: Peloton, Roblox, RealReal
    Peloton

    Q3 2022 earnings release before the bell; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
    Projected loss: 84 cents per share
    Projected revenue: $969 million

    “I bet we’ll eventually see some sort of ‘WeCrashed’-like TV series about Peloton — if not ‘The Dropout’ — and I wonder who’s going to write the screenplay first,” ‘The Mad Money’ host said, referring to the television dramas detailing scandals at WeWork and Theranos, respectively.
    Roblox

    Q1 2022 earnings release after the close; conference call on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET
    Projected loss: 23 cents per share
    Projected sales: $659 million

    “Fantastic company, bad stock. … We keep it in the penalty box that all things [metaverse] belong in right now,” Cramer said.
    RealReal

    Q1 2022 earnings release after the close; conference call at 5 p.m. ET
    Projected loss: 54 cents per share
    Projected revenue: $136 million

    Cramer said he doesn’t understand why the stock is down.
    Wednesday: Wendy’s, Rivian
    Wendy’s

    Q1 2022 before the bell; conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET
    Projected EPS: 18 cents
    Projected revenue: $497 million

    Cramer said he’s interested in hearing whether the company is having staffing issues at its restaurants like others in the industry.
    Rivian 

    Q1 2022 earnings release after the close; conference call at 5 p.m. ET
    Projected loss: $1.41 per share
    Projected revenue: $133 million

    Cramer said he wants to know if Rivian will allow Ford to sell its stake in the electric vehicle maker.
    Thursday: Toast, Poshmark
    Toast 

    Q1 2022 earnings release after the close; conference call at 5 p.m. ET
    Projected loss: 13 cents per share
    Projected revenue: $487 million

    Cramer said that he is “anti-Toast” because there are too many players in the restaurant point-of-sale management space.
    Poshmark 

    Q1 2022 earnings release after the close; conference call at 4:45 p.m. ET
    Projected loss: 25 cents per share
    Projected revenue: $87.6 million

    Cramer said he’ll tune in to hear about the company, which he said hurt investors who bought its stock.
    Disclosure: Cramer’s Charitable Trust owns shares of Ford.

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    Judge dismisses Trump lawsuit seeking to lift Twitter ban

    A federal judge dismissed a lawsuit by former President Donald Trump seeking to lift his ban from Twitter.
    The social media giant had banned Trump in January 2021, citing the risk of the incitement of further violence on the heels of the Capitol riot by a mob of supporters of the then-president.
    Trump had been an avid user of Twitter before being barred by the app.

    Former President Donald Trump
    Tom Brenner | Reuters

    A judge on Friday dismissed a lawsuit by former President Donald Trump seeking to lift his ban from Twitter.
    But San Francisco federal district court Judge James Donato left the door open for Trump and other plaintiffs to file an amended complaint against Twitter that is consistent with his written decision Friday to toss the lawsuit in its entirety.

    The social media giant had banned Trump on Jan. 8, 2021, citing the risk of the incitement of further violence on the heels of the Capitol riot by a mob of supporters of the then-president two days earlier.
    Trump, the American Conservative Union, and five individuals had sued Twitter and its co-founder Jack Dorsey last year on behalf of themselves and a class of other Twitter users who had been booted from the app.
    Donato’s ruling comes nearly two weeks after Trump told CNBC he had no interest in returning to Twitter even if his ban were to be lifted by Elon Musk, the Tesla chief whose $44 billion offer to buy Twitter has been accepted by the company’s board.
    Before the ban, Trump was an avid Twitter user, tweeting an average of more than 30 posts per day toward the end of his presidency. At the time of the ban, Trump had nearly 90 million followers on Twitter.
    His suit alleged that Twitter violated the plaintiffs’ First Amendment rights to free speech, arguing that the bans were due to pressure on the company by Democratic members of Congress.

    But in his 17-page ruling, Donato wrote that Trump and the other plaintiffs “are not starting from a position of strength” with their First Amendment claim.
    The judge noted, citing federal case law, that, “Twitter is a private company, and ‘the First Amendment applies only to governmental abridgements of speech, and not to alleged abridgements by private companies.’ ”
    Donato rejected the notion that Twitter’s ban of Trump and the others was attributable to the government’s actions, which would be the only way to uphold the claim of a violation of the First Amendment.
    “Overall, the amended complaint does not plausibly allege that Twitter acted as a government entity when it closed plaintiffs’ accounts,” Donato wrote.
    The suit also asked the judge to rule that the federal Communications Decency Act was unconstitutional.
    The CDA says online service providers such as Twitter cannot be held responsible for content posted by others.
    Donato dismissed that claim after finding that the plaintiffs did not have legal standing to challenge the CDA. The judge said the only way they could have such standing was to show that Twitter “would not have de-platformed the plaintiff” or others but for the legal immunity conferred by the CDA when it came to content.
    Donato dismissed a third claim, that Twitter had violated the Florida Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices again because Trump and the other plaintiffs agreed that California law would govern disputes between Twitter and its users, as Twitter’s terms of service states.
    The lawsuit had originally been filed in federal court in Florida, where Trump lives, and then was transferred to California at the request of Twitter, which is headquartered there.
    Lastly, the judge dismissed a fourth claim of the suit, made under Florida’s Stop Social Media Censorship Act.
    The judge said that only one named plaintiff in the case, Dominick Latella, had an active Twitter account at the time Florida’s law took effect on July 1, 2021, and so is the only plaintiff who could conceivably have a claim under the law.
    “There is also a major concern about the enforceability of the SSMCA,” Donato wrote.
    “Florida government officials were enjoined from enforcing the SSMCA on June 30, 2021, the day before the law was to take effect, in a well-reasoned decision issued by the Northern District of Florida,” which found the law violated the First Amendment, the judge wrote.

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    Peloton shares hit all-time low as pressure mounts under new CEO Barry McCarthy

    Peloton shares tumbled to an all-time low Friday as investors lose hope that the company can turn itself around.
    The company is set to report its quarterly results, now with Chief Executive Barry McCarthy at the helm, on Tuesday morning.
    The Wall Street Journal reported that Peloton is targeting potential investors, including industry players and private equity firms, to take a stake in its business of around 15% to 20%.

    In this photo illustration the Peloton Interactive logo seen displayed on a smartphone screen.
    Rafael Henrique | LightRocket | Getty Images

    Peloton Interactive shares tumbled to an all-time low Friday as investors lose hope that the connected fitness equipment maker can turn itself around and post a profit, even under a new chief executive officer.
    The stock at one point dropped more than 13%, amid a broader sell-off, to touch an all-time low of $14.70. That’s also well below Peloton’s IPO price of $29. Shares later recouped some of those losses to end trading down 8%.

    Peloton is set to report its quarterly results, now with Chief Executive Barry McCarthy at the helm, on Tuesday morning.
    Its market capitalization has tumbled from roughly $50 billion early last year to under $5 billion by Friday morning.
    On Thursday evening, The Wall Street Journal reported that Peloton is targeting potential investors, including industry players and private equity firms, to take a stake in its business of around 15% to 20%. The fresh capital could help Peloton as it attempts a turnaround, but there is no guarantee that such a transaction will be successful, the Journal said.
    A spokesperson for Peloton declined to comment.
    “Though it might be nice to get a vote a confidence … we don’t see this being too encouraging for those who own the stock,” said Gordon Haskett analyst Don Bilson, regarding the Journal report. “Moves like this are rarely made from positions of strength. Desperation is more like it.”

    Activist firm Blackwells Capital has been ramping up pressure on Peloton to sell itself, recently contending that the changes put into place so far under McCarthy aren’t enough. Blackwells has argued that a better owner might be Amazon or Netflix.
    In a bid to win new customers and make more money from existing ones, Peloton recently dropped the prices of its Bike, Bike+ and Tread machines, while it plans to raise its monthly all-access subscription fee next month.
    BMO Capital Markets analyst Simeon Siegel said turbulence has been the “one true constant” at Peloton in recent months.
    “From its initial success to its ongoing strategic tests, the company has yet to find a sense of normalcy that can smooth out the recurring volatility,” he said.
    Peloton shares have fallen more than 55% so far this year.

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    Starbucks criticizes Biden's visit with union leaders, requests White House meeting

    Starbucks is asking the White House for a meeting after President Joe Biden met with an organizer who is helping its coffee shops unionize.
    Biden met with 39 national labor leaders on Thursday.
    Starbucks, which criticized Biden’s meeting with the union representatives, is waging a campaign to curb the spread of unionization across its coffee shops.

    US President Joe Biden delivers remarks on economic growth, jobs, and deficit reduction in the Roosevelt Room on Wednesday May 4, 2022.
    Demetrius Freeman | The Washington Post | Getty Images

    Starbucks is asking the White House for a meeting after President Joe Biden met with an organizer who is helping its coffee shops unionize.
    The president met with 39 national labor leaders on Thursday, including Christian Smalls, who heads the Amazon Labor Union, and Laura Garza, a union leader at Starbucks’ New York City Roastery. Biden has been a vocal supporter of unions, from the campaign trail to his time in the Oval Office, during a time when high-profile labor drives at companies such as Amazon, Apple and Conde Nast are making headlines.

    A.J. Jones, Starbucks’ head of global communications and public affairs, wrote in a letter Thursday that the decision to not invite any representatives from the company was deeply concerning.
    “We believe this lack of representation discounts the reality that the majority of our partners oppose being members of a union and the unionization tactics being deployed by Workers United,” Jones wrote in the letter to Steve Ricchetti, one of Biden’s closest advisors. “As you know, American workers have the absolute right to decide for themselves to unionize, or not to unionize, without any undue influences.”
    As of Wednesday, six Starbucks locations have voted against unionizing. But baristas at more than 50 Starbucks cafes across the U.S. have voted in favor of unionizing under Workers United over the last six months. Roughly 200 cafes are still waiting for their elections or to hear their votes counted.
    Jones requested a meeting at the White House for the opportunity to introduce Biden’s administration to workers who have different perspectives than the union. The White House declined to comment.
    Starbucks is waging a campaign to curb the spread of unionization across its coffee shops. Workers United has filed more than 100 unfair labor practices complaints against the company, alleging illegal retaliation and harassment. The National Labor Relations Board has filed at least three lawsuits against Starbucks. The company has denied those claims but has filed two of its own complaints against Workers United.

    On Tuesday, Starbucks said it would spend $1 billion in fiscal 2022 on investments in its stores and workers. Those investments include another wage hike for tenured employees, doubling training for new workers and plans to add tipping for debit and credit card users.
    “These benefits, including ones we’ve demanded since the beginning of our campaign, are a response to our organizing efforts and we should celebrate the hard work that partners who stood up to [CEO] Howard Schultz’s bullying put in to make this happen,” the Starbucks Workers United Organizing Committee said in a statement to CNBC on Tuesday. “Many of the proposed benefits have been proposed at the bargaining table in Buffalo.”
    Schultz himself publicly flirted with running for president as an independent during the run-up to the 2020 election.

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    Over 60 million tax returns could be completed automatically, study shows

    The IRS may have the ability to automate nearly half of tax returns, according to a paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research.
    The findings show the agency could correctly auto-fill an estimated 62 million to 73 million returns with information it already has, covering 41% to 48% of taxpayers.

    Tom Werner | DigitalVision | Getty Images

    The IRS may have the ability to automate nearly half of tax returns, according to a working paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research.
    The agency could correctly auto-fill an estimated 62 million to 73 million returns with information it already has, covering 41% to 48% of taxpayers, researchers from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the Minneapolis Federal Reserve and Dartmouth College found.

    “Our results suggest that pre-populated returns would be accurate for a substantial share of U.S. taxpayers,” the authors wrote.
    More from Personal Finance:TurboTax owner Intuit to pay $141 million to customers ‘unfairly charged’Here’s what the Fed’s half-point rate hike means for your moneyNearly risk-free I bonds to deliver a record 9.62% interest for the next six monthsBased on a random sample of 344,400 individual returns from 2019, the paper says accuracy is “much higher for low- and moderate-income taxpayers,” with errors more likely to occur as itemized deductions increase.
    Former President Donald Trump’s signature tax overhaul nearly doubled the standard deduction, reducing the number of filers who itemize. In 2019, almost 90% of taxpayers used the standard deduction, according to the IRS.
    “I absolutely agree with these findings,” said Tommy Lucas, a certified financial planner and enrolled agent at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo in Orlando, Florida, pointing to other countries with automated tax filing systems.

    It would save so many people the stress and headache of figuring out what documents they need, or how they are going to pay for their return to be done.

    Tommy Lucas
    Financial advisor at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo

    “It would save so many people the stress and headache of figuring out what documents they need, or how they are going to pay for their return to be done,” he said.

    Indeed, 36 countries have return-free filing as of May 2020, including Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom, the Tax Policy Center estimates.
    Countries with return-free filing may use either “exact withholding,” where employers try to set aside precisely what employees owe, or “tax agency reconciliation,” involving a tentative pre-filled return for the taxpayer to approve, according to the Tax Foundation.
    However, it may be more difficult in the U.S., which relies on the tax code to deliver social programs, taxes households “as one unit” and charges regular income taxes on some investments that aren’t subject to withholding, the Tax Foundation argues.

    Still, the paper suggests automated returns may save time and money for those with simple filings.
    “Pre-population is particularly successful for taxpayers who are single, young and lack dependents,” the NBER authors wrote.
    What’s more, auto-filled returns may be helpful for non-filers, including those due to receive the earned income tax credit or child tax credit, “potentially nudging them into claiming refunds or paying taxes due.”
    “The first thing that stuck out to me was that $9 billion of refunds were due to 12 million Americans due to non-filing,” Lucas said.
    Some of those may include high school or college kids working a part-time job making less than the income threshold required to file, or low-income Americans without the resources to process returns, he said.
    Although roughly 70% of Americans — those with an adjusted gross income of $73,000 or less — are eligible for IRS Free File, only 2.6% used it in 2019, according to the IRS.

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    Kentucky Derby owner Churchill Downs moves away from online gambling, doubles down on horse betting

    Churchill Downs, which owns the Kentucky Derby, is moving away from online sports betting to focus on horse race betting.
    The company says it is switching its strategy because sports betting became too costly.
    Churchill Downs is also looking internationally for its next big growth area.

    Churchill Downs, which owns the Kentucky Derby, is changing its strategy when it comes to sports wagering.
    The company is doubling down on horse race betting and moving away from online sports betting and iGaming digital casino games, CEO Bill Carstanjen told CNBC.

    “We saw an environment for our company where we didn’t see positive margins on the horizon. So we switched strategies we we are focused on running our horse racing business,” Carstanjen tells CNBC.
    Following a Supreme Court decision in 2018 that allowed states to legalize sports betting, Churchill Downs entered the crowded and competitive field. Carstanjen said the company discovered online sports betting profit margins are unattractively small. Expenses too high, according to the CEO, especially the massive costs for the technical infrastructure and the costs to attract and retain players. Other sportsbook companies are dealing with similar issues.
    Churchill Downs, which is behind the Twinspires racing app, is looking for potential partners for its iGaming content and customer database, Carstanjen said.
    “Our approach is to to be in a position to partner with those long-term winners who are willing to spend the hundreds of millions of dollars to build out that business unprofitably in the in the near and midterm,” he said.
    Carstanjen said wagering on horse racing online has been great business for his company, with margins of around 30% historically. “We remain absolutely committed and excited about TwinSpires Horse Racing as its top line, bottom line and margins to continue to demonstrate that this is a special online business with a sustainable, scalable and unique business model,” he said during the company’s recent earnings call.

    Zandon during the morning training for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 04, 2022 in Louisville, Kentucky.
    Andy Lyons | Getty Images

    Nonetheless, the pandemic caused major disruption to the horse racing industry, exacerbating recent declines. This year’s “Run for the Roses” will be the first normal Derby with a full capacity crowd since 2019. Carstanjen said they are expecting record Derby results based on advance reserve-ticket sales.
    He expects this year’s Derby, which is scheduled for Saturday, could break records when it comes to the total amount wagered, also known as the handle, as long as the weather stays dry. Rainy weather often means horses get scratched from the race and bets get refunded.
    The Churchill Downs boss also shared with CNBC his strategy for international growth which is being helped in part by a horse from Japan, Crown Pride, running in this year’s Derby.
    Traditionally, Japanese laws prevent locals from placing bets on the Derby, but betting is permitted this year because a Japanese-bred horse is running.
    “The horse racing business in Japan is huge. It’s approximately three times the size of what it is in the United States,” Carstanjen says.
    He said connecting with the horse racing communities internationally helps Churchill Downs build new revenue streams through gambling, ticket sales, sponsorships and content deals.
    “It’s just building a specific connection to our race and to our brand and giving them access to come to our event,” the CEO said.

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    Nvidia didn't tell investors enough about effects of crypto mining on its business, SEC says

    Watch Daily: Monday – Friday, 3 PM ET

    Nvidia will pay $5.5 million as part of a settlement with the SEC that it did not properly inform investors about how cryptocurrency miners were stoking demand for its graphics cards.
    Graphics cards, like those Nvidia makes, are well-suited to mine ethereum.

    A sign is posted in front of the Nvidia headquarters on May 10, 2018 in Santa Clara, California.
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

    Nvidia will pay $5.5 million as part of a settlement with the SEC that it did not properly inform investors about how cryptocurrency miners were stoking demand for its graphics cards.
    Nvidia failed to disclose how cryptocurrency mining drove growth in the second and third fiscal quarters of 2018, which took place in 2017, the SEC said in a filing.

    The settlement represents the end to a saga in which Nvidia, best known for making graphics cards for gaming, found itself with a surprise revenue boost from cryptocurrency miners which later declined to become immaterial. Nvidia declined to comment.
    Graphics cards, like those Nvidia makes, are well-suited to mine ethereum. In 2017, ether prices rose from under $10 to over $800, prompting miners to buy new hardware to cash in.
    Nvidia’s gaming category, which is how the company reports those sales, rose 52% on an annual basis in the second quarter of its 2018 fiscal year (which ended June 30, 2017), and by 25% in the following quarter — but Nvidia failed to disclose cryptocurrency’s effect on that growth, the SEC says.

    Nvidia was aware that cryptocurrency mining was driving part of its business, according to the SEC filing.
    The company’s sales staff in China at the time believed the increase in demand for gaming GPUs was because of miners, and Nvidia’s senior management wanted to go after the crypto mining market, according to the SEC filing.

    But cryptocurrency may have ended up being a distraction for Nvidia as demand grew for its graphics cards for their intended uses, gaming and artificial intelligence.
    In 2021, Nvidia released new cards intended for mining called Cryptocurrency Mining Processor, and added software to its graphics cards to prevent them from being used for mining. Nvidia’s graphics cards were in extremely short supply in 2020 and 2021 as gaming demand driven by the pandemic prompted users to upgrade their home gaming PCs.
    However, CMP sales have declined sharply since their introduction. In the most recent quarter, CMP revenue was only $24 million, down from $266 million in the August 2021 quarter.
    “Our GPUs are capable of cryptocurrency mining, though we have limited visibility into how much this impacts our overall GPU demand,” Nvidia CFO Colette Kress said in earnings commentary in February. More

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    How college athletes line up tens of thousands of dollars in name, image and likeness deals

    The NCAA enacted an interim name, image and likeness policy almost a year ago, which allows athletes — many of whom have big social media followings — to make deals with local car dealerships, and in some instances, with major retail and media brands.
    Several states have written their own individual laws to regulate compensation in name, image and likeness, commonly known as NIL. Some states, though, have stayed on the proverbial sidelines. Meanwhile, the NCAA has asked Congress for federal legislation that lays out a framework that encompasses compensation for all college athletics.

    “It was either an economics rights issue, a civil rights issue, a racial justice issue and, for some, all of those, that it was just unfair that these student-athletes were generating so much money but unable to be compensated for it,” said Gabe Feldman, a sports law professor at Tulane University.
    Watch the video above to find out more about how college athletes have been using NIL deals to earn tens of thousands of dollars, the growing pushback against these policies, and what’s next for college athletes now that they can turn their fame into dollar signs.

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