More stories

  • in

    China’s data-security laws rattle Western business executives

    AS CHRISTOPHER WAS preparing to board a flight from New York to Singapore in February 2019, he was pulled aside by local authorities and told to stay put. An Interpol “red notice”, a request for local law enforcement to make an arrest on behalf of another government, had been issued on his name, he would soon learn. The executive, who has asked that his real name not be used because his case is ongoing, was the founder of an international advertising group that a few years earlier had got into big trouble in China over data security. Listen to this story. Enjoy more audio and podcasts on More

  • in

    Artificial intelligence is remixing journalism into a “soup” of language

    A sensational scoop was tweeted last month by America’s National Public Radio: Elon Musk’s “massive space sex rocket” had exploded on launch. Alas, it turned out to be an automated mistranscription of SpaceX, the billionaire’s rocketry firm. The error may be a taste of what is to come as artificial intelligence (AI) plays a bigger role in newsrooms.Listen to this story. Enjoy more audio and podcasts on More

  • in

    How to two-time your employer: a tech worker’s guide

    Two work laptops, two work calendars, two bosses and two pay-cheques. So far, neither of Matt’s employers is any the wiser. The tech worker (who, for obvious reasons, asked The Economist not to use his real name) meets deadlines and does what is requested, though not more. He is not the only one.People working several jobs is nothing new. Low earners have long had to juggle shifts to make ends meet. At the other end of the pay scale, directors often sit on a few corporate boards. According to America’s Bureau of Labour Statistics, at any given point in the past 30 years, between 4% and 6.5% of the American workforce was working more than one job. Estimates from the Census Bureau put that share even higher, going from 6.8% in 1996 to 7.8% in 2018. What is novel, as Matt’s example illustrates, is the rise of the job-juggling white-collar type, especially in the technology industry. Thank—or blame—remote work. Despite efforts by bosses to lure or coerce people back to their desks, the share of techies working fully remotely remains 60% higher than in other sectors (see chart). Without managers physically looking over their shoulders, some of them are two-timing their employers. Mid-career software engineers report applying for more junior positions so that they can “underpromise and overdeliver”, with minimal effort. Matt took a second job, or “J2” as he calls it, for two main reasons: boredom and concerns over job security. The tasks required by his first job, working remotely as a data scientist for a medium-sized tech firm, were not particularly challenging, taking him only eight hours a week. He had no inclination to “play office politics and move up the corporate ladder”. He did, though, covet cash. He reckoned he could take on a second job, double his pay and gain a safety-net were he to be laid off.After interviewing for a few weeks, Matt found a promising J2: data engineering at a startup. He suspected that demands on his time would be as low as they were at his first job. He was mostly right, though striking a balance required some footwork. In his first week a rare J1 meeting was scheduled at the same time as one of his J2 “onboarding” sessions. Some fellow members of an online forum for the overemployed on Reddit, a social-media site, claim to have taken two meetings at once, with video off. If called on to speak at the same time, they feign connectivity problems or play a pre-recorded audio clip of a dog barking. Matt decided to tune in to the J1 call and reschedule his onboarding, blaming a doctor’s appointment.The rise of generative artificial intelligence like ChatGPT may in time make double-jobbing harder by replacing some menial tech tasks. Until then, coasters can themselves use clever chatbots to help structure computer code, write documents and even conduct preliminary research. ChatGPT cannot replace the work of a software engineer, says one overemployee, but it gets you 90% of the way there. The employee-employer relationship has historically favoured the employers, who wield more clout because they can typically choose from more workers than workers can among companies. Matt thinks of his ruse as taking back some control. Two decently paying jobs afford him flexibility. And, he says, flexibility is power. If he were to get laid off, or if one job were to become unreasonably demanding, he could go and find another. For now, he thinks he is safe. So safe, in fact, that he is starting his search for a third job. ■To stay on top of the biggest stories in business and technology, sign up to the Bottom Line, our weekly subscriber-only newsletter. More

  • in

    Why MercadoLibre keeps soaring as other e-emporiums sink

    IN MARCH AMAZON announced it would fire 9,000 workers—bringing to 27,000 the total number it has laid off this year. The e-commerce giant’s share price is down by a third since 2021. Other online-shopping darlings, from Shopify in Canada to Coupang in South Korea and Grab in South-East Asia, have suffered a similar fate (see chart). With one exception. At $64bn, the market value of MercadoLibre, an Argentine firm listed in New York with operations across Latin America, has been rising lately and is back roughly to where it was at the start of 2022—and twice that before covid-19. In April, as the world’s tech firms were sacking workers en masse, it said it would hire 13,000, mainly in Brazil and Mexico, raising its workforce by a third. MercadoLibre needs more workers. On May 3rd it reported that revenues grew by 35% in the first quarter of 2023, to $3bn. Last year goods worth $35bn changed hands on its platform, helping generate $1bn in pre-tax profits. How is it flourishing as similar firms elsewhere struggle?Its success is a mix of good management and good fortune. Early on it expanded from connecting buyers and sellers into payments, initially to allay users’ fear of fraud. Its payments system, MercadoPago, is now widely trusted and used beyond its platform; more than $100bn flowed through it in 2022. The company has also built its own logistics network to deliver packages quickly in a region where infrastructure can be patchy. In ten years it has gone from not touching parcels, all of which were handled by third-party shippers, to having a hand in ferrying 93% of its e-commerce packages. More recently it added a fast-growing advertising business. Unlike Amazon, which regularly receives complaints about working conditions, employees rank MercadoLibre among the best Latin American firms to work for. MercadoLibre also benefits from a deep understanding of local shopping habits, notes Ricardo Tapia of the University of Anáhuac in Mexico City. For instance, by accumulating points for purchases, its shoppers can gain benefits such as free delivery. What may seem gimmicky to Western shoppers, for whom a big benefit of buying online is that it saves time, is a big draw for game-loving Latin Americans. The resulting strength has allowed the firm to take advantage of fortuitous circumstances. As everywhere in the world, the pandemic accelerated the growth of e-commerce in its region. In Mexico, MercadoLibre’s third-biggest market after Brazil and Argentina, 63m people bought something online in 2022, up from 37m in 2018. In contrast to more mature markets such as Britain, the number of Latin Americans buying online did not drop back down after an initial boom in 2020. The region’s brick-and-mortar retailers, which are rapidly improving their own digital offerings, and online giants such as Amazon have cottoned on to this trend. To keep growing, MercadoLibre may need to boost penetration in less online countries such as Colombia, where Amazon is weaker, and perhaps move into new segments, such as groceries. But it does at least enjoy another advantage over foreign rivals, for which Latin America is a peripheral market—focus. Failure in its home region is simply not an option, says Agustin Gutierrez of McKinsey, a consultancy. Nothing concentrates the mind like survival. ■To stay on top of the biggest stories in business and technology, sign up to the Bottom Line, our weekly subscriber-only newsletter. More

  • in

    Paramount Global shares fall 17% premarket after revenue, earnings miss estimates

    Paramount Global missed analyst estimates for both first-quarter earnings and revenue.
    The company is cutting its quarterly dividend from 24 cents to 5 cents.
    Paramount Global has restarted the sale process of Simon & Schuster, CEO Bob Bakish said.

    In this photo illustration, the Paramount Global logo is displayed on a smartphone screen.
    Rafael Henrique | SOPA Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images

    Paramount Global fell as much as 17% premarket after it reported earnings and revenue that missed analyst estimates and cut its quarterly dividend.
    The company cut its dividend to 5 cents per share from 24 cents a share to “further enhance our ability to deliver long-term value for our shareholders as we move toward streaming profitability,” Chief Executive Officer Bob Bakish said in a statement. It is the first time since 2009 that Paramount reduced its dividend. Paramount expects annualized cash savings of $500 million from the dividend cut.

    Paramount Global’s traditional TV revenue, which consists of CBS and its cable networks such as MTV, Comedy Central and Nickelodeon, dropped 8% in the quarter to $5.2 billion. The company’s film studio division reported a 6% drop in revenue year-over-year.
    Media companies are struggling to replace traditional TV revenue, as customers cancel each quarter, with streaming revenue as they build out direct-to-consumer businesses. Bakish said the company plans to divest non-core assets as it aims to boost free cash flow and stop streaming losses by the end of 2024.
    This year will represent peak losses for Paramount Global’s streaming business, Bakish said.
    Streaming revenue from Paramount+ and Pluto TV, the company’s free advertising-supported service, rose 39% to $1.5 billion. But direct-to-consumer losses widened to $511 million from $456 million a year ago.
    Paramount also took an impairment charges of $1.67 billion in the first quarter from content removed as a result of combining Paramount+ with Showtime into a single U.S. streaming platform.

    Paramount Global is aiming to sell a majority stake in BET later this year. It attempted to divest and merge publishing company Simon & Schuster last year but the deal was blocked by U.S. regulators.
    The company has restarted the Simon & Schuster sale process, Bakish said on the earnings call. Paramount hopes to announce a deal to sell the publisher by the end of the year, Chief Financial Officer Naveen Chopra said on the call.
    Here are the quarterly results the company reported, versus analyst estimates, according to Refinitiv:

    Revenue: $7.27 billion vs. $7.42 billion expected
    Earnings per share: 9 cents vs. 17 cents expected

    WATCH: Paramount is well positioned with its balance sheet, says SVP of content strategy at Box Office Pro  More

  • in

    Ferrari profit jumps 24% as demand pushes waiting list into 2025

    Ferrari said on Thursday that its first-quarter profit jumped 24% to 297 million euros on a 10% increase in shipments.
    Ferrari’s EBIT profit margin, a widely-watched figure, increased a full percentage point to 26.9%.
    Ferrari has re-opened order books for its upcoming Purosangue, a V12-powered SUV-like model with a starting price of about $400,000.

    Ferrari Roma
    Source: Ferrari

    Ferrari said on Thursday that its first-quarter profit jumped 24% to 297 million euros ($328.8 million), on a 10% increase in shipments as huge demand for its latest models drove a surge in profitability.  
    “Our order book already extends into 2025,” said CEO Benedetto Vigna in a statement.

    Ferrari’s revenue and profit both solidly beat Wall Street’s estimates, and the company maintained its upbeat guidance for the full year. Shares were up over 3% in premarket trading following the news.
    Here are the key numbers from Ferrari’s first-quarter earnings report, compared with Wall Street analysts’ consensus expectations as reported by Refinitiv:

    Earnings per share: 1.63 euros, vs. 1.48 euros expected.
    Revenue: 1.43 billion euros, vs. 1.39 billion euros expected.

    Revenue increased 20% year over year, to 1.43 billion euros from 1.19 billion euros in the first quarter of 2022.
    That was due in large part to a richer mix of models sold and an increase in “personalizations,” the company’s term for its lengthy options lists that can add hundreds of thousands of dollars to a new Ferrari’s price. Ferrari has been encouraging more of its customers to take advantage of the extended options available as part of a broader effort to boost its profit margins.
    Those efforts are paying off: Ferrari’s EBIT (earnings before interest and tax) profit margin, a widely-watched figure, increased a full percentage point to 26.9% from 25.9% a year ago.

    Ferrari shipped 3,567 vehicles in the quarter, up 10% from a year ago. It said the increase in shipments was driven by high demand for its Portofino M convertible, the 296 GTB hybrid sports car, and the 812 Competizione, a limited-run even-faster version of its twelve-cylinder flagship, the 812 Superfast.
    Ferrari said that it began ramping up production of its latest seven-figure Icona model, the Daytona SP3, in the first quarter. It plans to make just 599 units of the Daytona SP3, which starts at just over $2.2 million. All 599 units are already sold.
    Despite the long waiting list, Vigna said that Ferrari has re-opened order books for its upcoming Purosangue, a V12-powered SUV-like model with a starting price of about $400,000. Ferrari had temporarily stopped taking orders for the Purosangue because of unexpectedly high early demand.
    Deliveries of the Purosangue will begin in Europe before the end of the second quarter, and in the United States in the third quarter.
    Ferrari revealed one new model during the first quarter, a convertible version of its V8-powered Roma coupe.
    Despite the better-than-expected quarter, Ferrari maintained its prior full-year guidance. It still expects revenue of about 5.7 billion euros in 2023, with adjusted earnings per share between 6 euros and 6.20 euros. It also expects a boost in full-year EBIT margin, to about 26%, powered by the Daytona SP3 and the Purosangue. More

  • in

    Budweiser-owner AB InBev reports profit hike as beer drinkers shoulder higher prices

    A customer passes by the brewery section at an H-E-B grocery store on March 02, 2023 in Austin, Texas. Budweiser owner AB InBev is the largest brewer in the world.
    Brandon Bell | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Budweiser-owner Anheuser-Busch InBev on Thursday reported a jump in profit for the first quarter, saying the beer industry had proved resilient despite inflationary pressures.
    The Belgium-based brewing giant — the biggest in the world — reported core profit of $4.76 billion, up by 13.6% from the first quarter of 2022. The rise compared to a 5.6% consensus estimate published by the company. Underlying profit attributable to shareholders came in at $1.3 billion, up from $1.2 billion during the same quarter last year.

    Revenues rose 13.2% year-on-year to $14.2 billion, just ahead of a forecast of $14.1 billion, according to Refinitiv data.
    The company said this was achieved through “pricing actions” and nudging customers towards its premium products, as sales volumes rose by just 0.9% over the period. Own-beer volumes were 0.4% higher, and non-beer volumes were up 3.6%.
    Revenues from non-alcoholic beers were up by 30% in the quarter. The firm also said sales growth in its core beer portfolio was strong outside of the U.S., its biggest market, boosted by the return of consumer demand in China and continued growth in India.
    AB InBev also owns brands including Beck’s, Corona and Stella Artois.
    “The beer industry performance improved in 1Q23, demonstrating resilience even in the context of an ongoing inflationary environment,” the company said in its earnings statement.

    Earlier this week, AB InBev’s rival Molson Coors told a similar story with its first-quarter results, beating profit forecasts as customers continued to buy its products despite higher prices.  
    In April — following the reporting period — AB InBev faced online backlash against its Bud Light brand after a brief social media partnership with a transgender influencer. Online personalities called for a boycott of the beer, while others said AB InBev did not show enough subsequent support for the TikTok star, Dylan Mulvaney.
    Later in the month, the company said that it worked “with hundreds of influencers across our brands” as one of many ways to “authentically connect with audiences across various demographics.”
    Garrett Nelson, senior equity analyst at CFRA Research, said AB InBev’s reiteration of its full-year earnings growth forecast on Thursday should “reassure investors that financial concerns over the recent consumer backlash over the Bud Light brand are overblown, considering the company’s global portfolio of over 500 beer brands.”
    Nelson also noted the company was managing to pass higher input costs on to consumers through price increases.
    AB InBev Brussels-listed shares were up 0.6% in Thursday afternoon trade. More

  • in

    Macy’s opens more strip mall stores as expansion strategy faces pivotal test

    Macy’s will open five more stores in strip centers, as it shutters more of its giant mall anchors.
    CEO Jeff Gennette said it’s a pivotal time for the company’s off-mall push, as the retailer decides on expansion plans by year-end.
    Its 10 off-mall stores, called Market by Macy’s and Bloomie’s, have outperformed the rest of the company.

    Bloomie’s, the smaller version of Bloomingdale’s, features contemporary apparel brands. It has a slimmed down assortment and displays that are switched out frequently.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    FAIRFAX, Va. — Shoppers browse racks of clothing with a glass of wine in hand. A display of pet accessories and a water bowl greet four-legged visitors. Couples push strollers through a store on a neighborhood walk.
    It’s not a local boutique. It’s Bloomie’s, a new store from Macy’s.

    related investing news

    21 hours ago

    The department-store operator is thinking smaller and outside of the mall with its latest stores as it shutters more of its giant mall anchors. Macy’s has opened 10 locations in strip centers — mini-versions of its namesake stores and Bloomingdale’s — and plans to add five more this fiscal year. The shops, called Market by Macy’s and Bloomie’s, are about one-fifth of the size of the retailer’s typical Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s stores.
    It has not announced the locations of the four Market by Macy’s stores, but said the additional Bloomie’s store will be in Seattle.
    Macy’s off-mall expansion is part of its answer to investors who think of department stores as dusty and dull. The company is chasing customers in bustling shopping centers and fast-growing suburbs as it exits dying malls. Inside these new and smaller stores, it’s offering a slimmed-down assortment of popular brands with displays that rotate frequently to stay fresh and on-trend.
    This year will offer a pivotal test for the strategy, CEO Jeff Gennette said in a CNBC interview. The retailer will wrap up the test-and-learn phase of the stores and decide on expansion plans by year-end, he said.
    “The hope is that we’re going to have a model that we’re going to be able to scale more aggressively in 2024 and beyond,” Gennette said in a call in March. “We’re very bullish on the concept. We’re very bullish on the early learnings. The size, the locations are all working.”

    Early returns suggest a strong start for the strategy: Sales at the off-mall stores have outperformed the rest of the company. At Market by Macy’s and Bloomie’s, comparable sales at the stores open over a year grew 8% and 12% in the holiday quarter, respectively, including licensed departments. That compares with a decline of 3.3% at Macy’s and feeble growth of 0.6% at Bloomingdale’s during the same three-month period, including licensed departments and online sales.
    Off-mall stores also have drawn younger and more diverse customers, including some who are new to Macy’s, according to company leaders. Still, it is too soon to know if the experiment will pay off. Most of Macy’s roughly 700 store locations are still in enclosed malls. By opening the strip-mall shops, the retailer could steal business away from its larger namesake mall stores.

    As Macy’s expands the concepts, the smaller locations could run into the same struggles its legacy stores are facing.
    Simeon Siegel, a retail analyst for BMO Capital Markets, said department stores have faced an existential crisis as e-commerce outmatches them on convenience and choice.
    “They don’t need the widest assortment,” he said. “But they do need a compelling assortment.”
    Siegel said that as retailers try new store formats, investors are forced to ask, “Are they just making a smaller version of the problem they’re already trying to solve?”
    The strip-mall experiment comes as shares of Macy’s have lagged behind both the S&P 500 and the retail-focused XRT. So far this year, Macy’s shares have dropped nearly 26%, underperforming the nearly 7% rise of the S&P 500 and the roughly flat year-to-date performance of the XRT.
    Investors have sought clarity on how the company will refresh its stores and lift sales as Gennette prepares to retire and pass the baton to incoming CEO Tony Spring, the current Bloomingdale’s CEO.

    Thinking outside the typical box

    Two new store concepts by Macy’s — Market by Macy’s and Bloomie’s
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    Macy’s has looked for growth in open-air shopping centers as it closes underperforming mall locations, reduces head count and tries to refresh its brand. 
    In February 2020, it announced plans to close 125 stores over three years and lay off about 2,000 corporate employees. The retailer has closed about 80 Macy’s locations and plans to shutter another five this year, Gennette said in March on an earnings call.
    The first Market by Macy’s location opened in the Dallas suburbs the same month the company announced the closures. A month later, the company temporarily shuttered stores and furloughed thousands of employees when the pandemic hit.
    The global health crisis accelerated existing trends, with more millennials moving to the suburbs, and customers seeking quick ways to pick up and return online purchases.
    Macy’s Chief Stores Officer Marc Mastronardi said mall stores still play an important role, but some customers prefer the shorter drive the new locations offer.
    “The Market by Macy’s really dial in more so to discovery and to convenience,” he said. “They’re local. They’re easy to get to. The format is simple to shop.”

    Macy’s has tinkered with the assortment at Market by Macy’s, based on customers’ response. The stores now carry fewer home goods and kids’ clothing, and more of what sells well, such as fragrances, dresses and men’s suits.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    Macy’s tinkered with the off-mall format as it opened other locations near Dallas and Atlanta, two parts of the country which have seen an influx of new residents. It replaced a shuttered mall location near St. Louis with a Market by Macy’s.
    And it opened its smaller Bloomingdale’s concept, Bloomie’s, in Fairfax, Virginia, in 2021 and in the Chicago area last year.

    Macy’s said an off-mall shop can fit one of three criteria: It could open near a mall store with high demand. It could replace a larger location at a struggling mall. Or it could help the company break into a brand-new market.
    Market by Macy’s stores have worked best in shopping centers with grocery anchors or stores such as off-mall retailers that draw traffic, Mastronardi said.

    Market by Macy’s takes a local bent

    Market by Macy’s has a Toys R Us branded toy department. It’s a mini version of what shoppers see at its larger stores.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    Inside of Market by Macy’s, shoppers find a narrower mix of merchandise than in the mall stores. It includes apparel, handbags, beauty and shoes from national brands like Michael Kors, Calvin Klein and Ralph Lauren, along with Macy’s private brands like women’s clothing line, INC. Stores have a mini-toy shop through a Macy’s deal with Toys R Us. They also host special events and feature local businesses.
    Technology has helped guide decisions about what to sell in the stores, which have flexible layouts and displays. Sensors from the tech firm Retail Next show traffic patterns similar to a heat map.
    For instance, the company now stocks fewer home goods and kids’ clothing, and more of what sells well, such as fragrances, dresses and men’s suits.

    Fitting rooms are centrally located inside of Market by Macy’s. They have colorful wallpaper and a cash register for sales associates.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    Fitting rooms are spacious and modern, and placed at the center of the store. They include a cash register where a sales associate can help find an item in another color, size or brand, including merchandise that may not be available in the smaller store.
    Joy Salvador, senior director of strategy and new store format for Macy’s, said the retailer has researched and tracked customers’ responses — down to the fitting-room wallpaper they favor in social media posts.
    Shoppers at Market by Macy’s skew more toward a customer looking for gifts, or shopping for occasions, than the mall stores, Salvador said. It also skews a little more toward men than other locations, perhaps because of the convenience factor, she added.
    Most customers come from a narrower radius —as little as 10 miles versus mall stores, which can draw from as many as 100 miles away.
    Merchandise has a local bent, too, she said. For example, the company carries Japanese beauty brand Shiseido in an Atlanta store with a larger proportion of shoppers of Asian descent, and more Black-owned beauty brands like Buttah Skin in another Atlanta area store.

    Bloomie’s wants consumers to sip and shop

    Inside of the Bloomie’s store in Fairfax, Va., there’s a restaurant called Colada where shoppers can order mojitos, empanadas or other Cuban fare. Customers are encouraged to shop while sipping.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    Bloomie’s stores have resonated in shopping centers with hot and higher-end national nameplates, such as Williams-Sonoma, Sephora and Lululemon, said Charles Anderson, Bloomingdale’s director of stores.
    The shops feature contemporary brands like Theory, Ramy Brook, AllSaints and Bloomingdale’s own brand, Aqua. It has a concierge-like desk where customers can turn for services like tailoring, personal styling or help with an online order and return.
    A restaurant concept aims to draw customers and encourage them to linger: in the Fairfax location, shoppers can order a mojito, empanadas and other Cuban fare from an outpost of a Washington, D.C.-based restaurant, Colada Shop. It hosts a three-hour happy hour each day — and customers are encouraged to shop while sipping.

    Bloomie’s, the smaller version of Bloomingdale’s, features contemporary apparel brands. It has a slimmed down assortment and displays that are switched out frequently.
    Melissa Repko | CNBC

    For Bloomingdale’s, Bloomie’s is a way to bring its brand to untapped parts of the country. Bloomingdale’s had 55 locations as of late January, including its outlets and the two Bloomie’s stores. Many of its stores are in cosmopolitan areas on the coasts.
    Anderson said Bloomingdale’s has “a lot of run room — particularly with shifting customer demographics post-pandemic.” Its next Bloomie’s store will open in Seattle, where it doesn’t have a store but has a large online business, he confirmed. The location will be in the backyard of its rival, Nordstrom.

    New stores, lingering challenges

    Bloomie’s may have more growth opportunities because of the strength of the Bloomingdale’s brand, too. For eight straight quarters, it has outperformed Macy’s namesake stores. (The retailer did not separate the same-store sales of the two brands until 2021).

    It also caters to a more affluent shopper who may be more insulated from an economic downturn, as Macy’s and other retailers like Target warn of softer discretionary spending.
    Yet Anderson acknowledged there’s a learning curve. He said some shoppers in Chicago struggled to adjust to the limited selection when Bloomie’s replaced a nearby legacy store.
    The Bloomie’s in Fairfax is less than four miles from a full-sized Bloomingdale’s. Anderson said the company tweaked what it carried to make the stores complementary rather than competitive.
    He said no matter the size, Bloomingdale’s wants to stand out with superior customer service and an eye for unique merchandise. “Small doesn’t need to be less,” Anderson said. “And so we aspire to deliver a complete experience within Bloomie’s.”
    Macy’s, which draws a more middle-income shopper, is more vulnerable in a recession, and faces a squeeze if shoppers choose to shop online, at big-box stores or off-price players like T.J. Maxx instead.
    The retailer said in March that it expects net sales to decline by a range of 1% to 3% in the fiscal year 2023 compared with 2022, which would translate to revenue between $23.7 billion and $24.2 billion. It said it expects its adjusted diluted earnings per share will range from $3.67 to $4.11.
    Gennette told investors at the time that he expects discretionary spending to remain under pressure, as consumers pay higher prices for necessities.
    That tougher backdrop is a reality that the store model can’t necessarily solve.
    Neil Saunders, managing director of research firm GlobalData, has criticized Macy’s for having sloppy stores, bare displays and stale merchandise at its namesake mall stores. He said he’s intrigued by the off-mall stores, but thinks Macy’s must move faster.
    Saunders said the small number of Market by Macy’s and Bloomie’s locations are “just a drop in the ocean.”
    “Macy’s needs to have more courage in saying, ‘Look, we really need to shake up the model, and we need to make it work,'” he said.
    Part of their hesitance, Saunders added, may be taking away from their mall stores.
    “Those larger stores are very expensive to operate, so it could really push them down in terms of profitability,” he said. “But it’s almost like if you don’t cannibalize yourself and try this, someone eventually is going to come and cannibalize you anyway. So it might be better to throw caution to the wind.” More