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    Foreign investors are rejecting Indian stocks

    How to explain the disparity? India’s economy is growing astonishingly fast, Bangalore and Mumbai have become destinations for bosses of global financial firms and Narendra Modi trumpets the country’s appeal in his electoral campaign. Given the enthusiasm, surely foreign money is flooding into the country.Not quite. In April foreign investors dumped $1bn-worth of Indian shares. In May they dumped another $4.2bn. This is a sliver of the roughly $900bn of Indian shares in foreign hands, but it is a striking move given the mood music—and one that has pushed the share of the Indian stockmarket held by foreigners to just 18%, its lowest in a dozen years. More

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    Why any estimate of the cost of climate change will be flawed

    When William Nordhaus, who would later win a Nobel prize in economics, modelled the interaction between the economy and the atmosphere he represented the “damage function”—an estimate of harm done by an extra unit of warming—as a wiggly line. So little was known about the costs of climate change that he called it “terra incognita”, unknown land, compared with the “terra infirma”, shaky ground, of the costs of preventing it. Eventually, a rough calculation gave him an estimate that 1-2% of global GDP would be lost from a 3°C rise in temperature. This was no more than an “informed hunch”, he wrote in 1991.A new working paper puts the damage far higher. Diego Känzig of Northwestern University and Adrien Bilal of Harvard University use past changes in temperatures caused by volcanic eruptions, as well as El Niño, a years-long increase in heat released by the Pacific Ocean, to model the impact of a warmer planet. Employing long-term data on global economic growth and average annual temperature, they find that an additional 1°C of warming will lead to a 12% fall in GDP. A climate-change scenario with more than 3°C of warming would be, according to their estimates, an equivalent blow to fighting a permanent war. More

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    BlackRock-backed fintech Trustly says IPO still at least one year out even as profits jump 51%

    In an exclusive interview with CNBC, Johan Tjarnberg, CEO of Trustly, said that his firm still needs time to prove the value of its open banking technology to investors before going public.
    Trustly is holding out on an IPO even after reporting a strong set of financials, with results shared exclusively with CNBC showing the firm reported revenues of $265 million in 2023.
    Trustly increased operating profit by 51% in full-year 2023, with adjusted EBITDA climbing to $51 million from $33 million in 2022.

    Trustly CEO Johan Tjarnberg.

    The boss of Swedish financial technology startup Trustly says an initial public offering for the company is still a year or two away from happening, even after a 51% jump in operating profit.
    In an exclusive interview with CNBC, Johan Tjarnberg, CEO of Trustly, said that his firm still needs time to prove the value of its open banking technology to investors before going public.

    “We need another year or two to really demonstrate to the market that open banking is happening happening, it’s here,” Tjarnberg told CNBC.
    “For me, there is so much we want to demonstrate to the market in terms of user adoption, merchant adoption. We still need some time to execute on our existing playbook.”
    Trustly is holding out on an IPO even after reporting a strong set of financials. Results shared exclusively with CNBC show the firm reported revenues of $265 million in its 2023 full year.
    Growth accelerated significantly in the second half of the year, Trustly said, climbing 27% compared with the same period in 2022. That was as transaction volumes spiked 48% over the same period.
    Tjarnberg told CNBC that the company’s performance in 2023 was heavily driven by the growth at its U.S. business. Trustly merged with American rival PayWithMyBank in 2020.

    “We invested a lot into the U.S. market,” Tjarnberg said. “We were roughly 20 people there four years ago; we now have 500 supporting the U.S. market.”
    Tjarnberg said that, in the first quarter of this year, Trustly saw heightened growth in areas like utilities, retail, and travel, with 22% of volumes coming from those core verticals, up 44% over 12 months.

    Chipping away at Visa, Mastercard?

    Trustly increased operating profit by 51% in full-year 2023, with adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) climbing to $51 million from $33 million in 2022.
    That was as overall transaction value processed during 2023 climbed by 79%, to $58 billion.
    Trustly helps companies integrate the ability to accept payments via open banking technology.
    This tech lets consumers make payments directly to a merchant’s bank account without the need for an intermediary such as a card issuer.
    It provides an alternative to incumbent credit card programs such as Mastercard and Visa, which charge merchants high fees for transactions.

    In the U.S., Tjarnberg said, Trustly is seeing heightened demand from merchants “trying to take down costs,” as high card processing fees have made them more price-conscious.
    “There is no secret that our objectives and ambition is to bring a good alternative to other payment methods, including cards,” he told CNBC.
    Open banking is a trend which has gained significant momentum, particularly across Europe.
    That’s thanks to the introduction of regulations which require banks to open their clients’ account data and payment functionalities to third-party firms.
    It has paved the way for new entrants into finance including fintechs, startups and tech companies. Founded in 2008, Sweden’s Trustly competes with the likes of GoCardless, TrueLayer, Volt, Bud, and Yapily.

    Future product plans

    Trustly expects to launch a feature that allows its merchants to set up recurring payments for customers. That will be targeted at things like telecom packages and subscription-based music streaming services.
    Tjarnberg said Trustly is “bullish” on the mobile space, particularly in the U.S. after having seen early success in mobile billing partnerships with the likes of AT&T and T-Mobile.
    Trustly is used by more than 9,000 merchants worldwide including Facebook, Alibaba, PayPal, eBay, AT&T, Unicef, Dell, Lyft, DraftKings, Wise, and eToro.
    Trustly is majority-owned by venture capital firm Nordic Capital, which owns a 51.1% stake in the business. Alfven & Didrikson is its second-biggest backer, with a 11.1% stake, while BlackRock holds an 8.9% stake.
    Aberdeen Standard Investments and Neuberger Berman own 0.7% and 0.9% stakes in Trustly, respectively, while others including the Trustly management and employees own 27.4%. More

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    UBS overhauls wealth management leadership in wider board shake-up

    UBS on Thursday announced a shake-up of its executive board in the latest phase of a radical overhaul of the Swiss banking giant, following its takeover of fallen rival Credit Suisse.
    A newly split global wealth management division sees the bank double down across the two geographies as part of its “sustainable, strategic growth” strategy.
    The new appointments provide an important signal on the future direction of the bank as it tees up a replacement for outgoing CEO Sergio Ermotti, who is expected to step down by early 2027.

    The three keys USB logo is seen outside the London office of Swiss bank UBS in central London, on March 20, 2023.
    Daniel Leal | AFP | Getty Images

    LONDON — UBS on Thursday announced a shake-up of its executive board in the latest phase of a radical overhaul of the Swiss banking giant, following its takeover of fallen rival Credit Suisse.
    A newly split global wealth management division, led by co-presidents Iqbal Khan in Asia-Pacific and Rob Karofsky in the U.S., sees the bank double down across the two geographies as part of what it has dubbed its “sustainable, strategic growth” strategy.

    It marks the first time a divisional UBS president has been based in Asia-Pacific, the bank said.
    The new appointments provide an important signal on the future direction of the bank, as it tees up a replacement for outgoing CEO Sergio Ermotti, who is expected to step down by early 2027.
    “The appointments to the Group Executive Board we are announcing today will allow us to continue to progress on our integration journey and realize the expected synergies and efficiencies, while putting even more emphasis on our long-term priorities and growth prospects, particularly in the Americas and Asia-Pacific,” Ermotti said in a statement.
    George Athanasopoulos and Marco Valla also join the executive board as co-presidents of the investment bank, alongside Damian Vogel, incoming global chief risk officer.
    The trio replace outgoing board members Credit Suisse CEO Ulrich Korner, UBS Asia-Pacific President Edmund Koh, and UBS Americas Regional President Naureen Hassan.

    The reshuffle comes as part of a wider overhaul of the bank, following its emergency rescue last year of Credit Suisse — a shotgun marriage brokered by Swiss authorities to prevent the then 167-year-old institution’s collapse and protect the Swiss economy.
    The FT reported Monday that UBS had ruled out an outsider as successor to Ermotti, who returned last year to steer the bank through its mammoth takeover.
    The bank is said to be choosing from a shortlist of three internal candidates to assume the CEO role when Ermotti steps down in around three years’ time. A name could be announced as early as next year, sources told the FT.
    UBS did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment on the reports. More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Salesforce, UiPath, Capri, Pure Storage and more

    The logo for Salesforce is displayed on the Salesforce Tower in New York City on March 7, 2019.
    Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters

    Check out the companies making headlines in extended trading:
    Salesforce — Shares plunged more than 14% after first-quarter revenue of $9.13 billion missed consensus estimates of $9.17 billion, according to LSEG. Adjusted earnings of $2.44 per share beat a consensus estimate of $2.38, but current-quarter guidance fell below estimates on both top and bottom lines. 

    UiPath — The software company tanked 30% after saying its CEO Rob Enslin will resign, effective June 1. He will also be stepping down from the board of directors. Daniel Dines, former CEO of UiPath and current chief innovation officer, will return to the helm.
    HP Inc. — The manufacturer of personal computers rose 3%. HP posted adjusted earnings of 82 cents per share on revenue of $12.8 billion in its fiscal second quarter, above analysts’ estimates of 81 cents a share and revenue of $12.6 billion, according to LSEG.
    Pure Storage — The software company rose 1% on better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter earnings. Pure Storage posted 32 cents a share in adjusted earnings on $693.5 million in revenue. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had forecast 21 cents a share on revenue of $681 million. 
    Okta — The digital identity verification company added nearly 2% after top- and bottom-line numbers topped analysts’ estimates in the first quarter. Okta’s second-quarter revenue guidance range of $631 million to $633 million also beat the consensus estimate for $616 million, according to LSEG data. 
    Capri — The Versace and Jimmy Choo fashion group shed 3% after fiscal fourth-quarter results missed analysts’ estimates. Capri reported adjusted earnings of 42 cents a share, while analysts had estimated 65 cents, according to LSEG. Revenue of $1.22 billion also missed forecasts of $1.30 billion. Management cited softening demand for luxury goods and a slowdown in Asia. 

    C3.ai — Shares of the artificial intelligence software company climbed more than 8% after reporting quarterly results above estimates. C3.ai lost an adjusted 11 cents per share on $86.6 million in revenue. Consensus estimates had called for a loss of 30 cents on revenue of $84.4 million, according to LSEG. Full-year revenue forecasts also beat estimates. 
    American Eagle Outfitters — Shares pulled back nearly 6% after the clothing retailer’s first-quarter revenue missed estimates and it issued weak forward guidance. American Eagle Outfitters reported $1.14 billion in revenue, lower than the average analyst estimate of $1.15 billion, according to LSEG data. Earnings beat estimates, but full-year revenue guidance was in a range of 2% to 4%, compared to forecasts for 3.4%. 
    Agilent Technologies — The life sciences company tumbled 14% after lowering full-year earnings and revenue guidance. Agilent guided for earnings per share between $5.15 and $5.25 versus previous guidance of $5.44 to $5.55, according to FactSet. Revenue guidance was also pulled back to between $6.42 billion and $6.50 billion, compared to prior guidance in a range of $6.71 billion to $6.81 billion. Meanwhile, fiscal second-quarter earnings topped estimates, while revenue narrowly fell below the consensus estimate.
    Nutanix — The cloud computing company tumbled 14% after issuing its fiscal fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $530 million to $540 million that missed analysts’ estimates of $546 million. Full-year revenue guidance of $2.13 billion to $2.14 billion compared to prior forecasts of $2.12 billion to $2.15 billion, and consensus estimates of $2.14 billion, per FactSet.
    — CNBC’s Darla Mercado contributed reporting. More

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    Nissan issues ‘do not drive’ alert for nearly 84,000 older models with recalled airbags

    Nissan warned owners of nearly 84,000 older vehicles to stop driving them, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.
    The warning covers certain 2002-2006 Nissan Sentra, 2002-2004 Nissan Pathfinder and 2002-2003 Infiniti QX4 vehicles that may have Takata airbags that were recalled in 2020.
    The NHTSA said the agency has confirmed that a defective Takada airbag that exploded killed 27 people and allegedly injured at least 400 others in the U.S.

    A Nissan Sentra sits on the lot of a dealership in Evanston, Illinois, on Nov. 12, 2010.
    Scott Olson | Getty Images

    Nissan has warned owners of older vehicles to drop driving cars equipped with recalled, unrepaired Takata airbags the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration announced Wednesday.
    The NHTSA said the Japanese carmaker’s “Do Not Drive” alert applies to 83,920 cars. The affected cars include 2002-2006 Nissan Sentra, 2002-2004 Nissan Pathfinder and 2002-2003 Infiniti QX4 vehicles that may have Takata airbags that were recalled in 2020.

    Nissan’s stock closed Wednesday’s session down around 3% following the warning.
    “NHTSA is urging all vehicle owners to immediately check to see if their vehicle has an open Takata airbag recall,” the NHTSA said in a statement. “If you have one of these vehicles, do not drive it until the repair is completed and the defective airbag is replaced.”

    Read more CNBC auto news

    Nissan and Infiniti will offer affected owners free towing and mobile repair, as well as loaner cars in select locations. Infiniti is a division of Nissan.
    “Due to the age of the vehicles equipped with defective Takata airbag inflators, there is an increased risk the inflator could explode during an airbag deployment, propelling sharp metal fragments which can cause serious injury or death,” a Nissan spokesperson told CNBC in a statement.
    According to the NHTSA, 27 people in the United States were confirmed to have been killed by a defective Takata airbag that exploded. At least 400 others have allegedly sustained injuries, according to the NHTSA.

    At least 67 million Takata airbag inflators have been recalled in the country, and more than 100 million have been recalled worldwide, making it one of the largest auto safety callbacks in history.
    In 2017, Takata filed for bankruptcy protection in Japan and the U.S. after agreeing to pay $1 billion in criminal penalties tied to its allegedly fraudulent conduct in the sales of its defective airbag inflators.

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    This retirement planning gap is ‘hidden in plain sight,’ Harvard professor says

    Planning for retirement often focuses on one’s finances: When to claim Social Security and how much to save in a 401(k) plan, for example.
    Investing in strong social connections, whether with a partner, friends, family or others, is arguably just as important.
    The Harvard Study of Adult Development shows that having meaningful relationships is the strongest predictor of living a long, happy and healthy life.
    It’s never too late to improve yours.

    Jose Luis Pelaez | Stone | Getty Images

    For many people, retirement planning is all about money: how to invest, how much to save, when to claim Social Security, how to best withdraw from accounts.
    Finances in retirement are an acute fear. About 2 in 3 people worry more about running out of money than about death, according to a recent poll by Allianz Life.

    Yet, there’s a notable lack of attention and concern given to the social aspect of retirement, experts said.
    It’s a facet of retirement planning that’s almost “hidden in plain sight,” said Robert Waldinger, a clinical professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School.
    Waldinger is the fourth director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development, which began in 1938. The study, the longest-running of its kind, has tracked thousands of Americans throughout their lives and across different generations for the past 86 years.
    A core, and perhaps surprising, finding: Having good relationships — whether with partners, friends, family or others — is the “strongest predictor” of living a long, healthy and happy life into old age, more so than health factors such as high blood pressure and cholesterol, Waldinger said.
    Money is the “obvious” focus when it comes to retirement planning, Waldinger said.

    “[But] if you want to be happy, it’s mostly not about the money,” he added.
    Put another way: “Social connections are really good for us” and “loneliness kills,” Waldinger said in a 2015 TED Talk titled “What makes a good life?” It’s one of the most-viewed TED Talks.

    How stress affects our health

    Relationships play a big role in preventing and relieving stress.
    When someone is stressed, their body revs up into a fight-or-flight mode, triggering reactions such as an increased heart rate, Waldinger said.
    Having someone to talk to or even complain to at the end of the day about a particular stressor helps the body calm down and return to equilibrium, he said.
    Someone who’s unable to do that stays in a low-level fight-or-flight mode. Higher levels of stress hormones such as cortisol build up, breaking down body systems, increasing inflammation and contributing to health issues such as arthritis, diabetes, heart disease and weakened immune function, Waldinger said.
    Loneliness and isolation are stressors in and of themselves, he said.

    The mortality impact of being socially disconnected is like smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day, the U.S. Surgeon General said in a 2023 report on the nation’s loneliness “epidemic.”
    Stressors “break down our bodies in all kinds of ways,” said David Sbarra, a psychology professor and director of the Laboratory for Social Connectedness and Health at the University of Arizona.
    People also often try to regulate the negative effects of stress via drinking, smoking or doing drugs, which are other pathways to adverse health impacts, Sbarra said.
    By contrast, having broader social networks and more social activity delays and slows cognitive decline, for example, Waldinger said. The Harvard study found that married people also lived longer than their single counterparts — five to 12 years longer for women and seven to 17 years longer for men, on average.

    Why retirement can be stressful

    The transition into retirement “is a period of stress,” Sbarra said.
    For one, there’s an “upheaval” associated with identity transition. Retirees close one chapter of their lives and must choose the contours of their next chapter, he said.
    That stress can become chronic if people don’t manage the transition well, and physical health may suffer as a result, he added.
    More from Personal Finance:Why people don’t wait to claim Social SecurityYou may be saving more in your 401(k) and not even know itWhy not to tap into retirement savings to buy a home
    Relationships and the quality of those connections “play a key role” in helping regulate stress, Sbarra said. However, the bulk of many people’s close relationship needs may be met at work, he said. In such cases, retirement strips away those interactions.
    “Some people say, ‘It’s too late for me'” to make new social connections, Waldinger said.
    “One of the things we know from study: It isn’t too late. People make all kinds of new connections and friendships when they’re older, in all phases of life,” he added.

    Does money play a role in retirement happiness?

    Portra Images | Getty Images

    Experts say finances do have a bearing on happiness in retirement, to a point.
    “You need to have your [financial needs] met,” Waldinger said.
    Just as the lack of strong social connections is a cause of stress, so is the lack, or perceived lack, of financial resources, said Yochai Shavit, director of research at the Stanford University Center on Longevity.
    However, if the goal of retirement is to live a happy, healthy and fulfilling life, social capital is as important as financial capital, he said.
    “We are very strategic when it comes to our money and planning for retirement, and perhaps not strategic in the same way … when it comes to planning our social and emotional capital,” Shavit said.

    3 steps to strengthen your relationships

    The Harvard study shows it’s not just the quantity of social connections that’s important; it’s the quality of your close relationships that matters, Waldinger said.
    For example, living amid conflict is “really bad” for our health, he said in his TED Talk. A “high-conflict” marriage without much affection is perhaps worse for health than getting a divorce, for example, he said.
    Further, loneliness is a subjective experience, he told CNBC. Some people are introverts who may only need one or two meaningful relationships, for example.
    “You can be lonely and have a ton of people around you, or not be lonely and be a hermit on a mountain,” he said.
    Near-retirees or retirees who want to assess the quality of their relationships and/or strengthen their existing connections can take three steps, Waldinger said.
    First, ask: Do I have enough people I feel connected to in my life? Am I connected to others in the way I want to be?
    “It’s really [about] checking in with yourself,” Waldinger said.  

    Second, assess whether you can improve relationships with the people already in your life whom you value and enjoy spending time with. Can you do more with what you already have?
    This could be anyone: perhaps a sibling, friends or romantic partner. For example, you could replace screen time with people time, liven up a relationship by doing something new together, such as long walks or date nights, reach out to a family member you haven’t spoken to in years. Even talking to someone on the phone, or sending a text or e-mail, can help.
    “It doesn’t have to be heavy lifting,” Waldinger said.
    Third, assess whether you can form new connections.
    Among the easiest and quickest ways to do this is by doing something you enjoy or care about alongside people you don’t know yet, Waldinger said.
    For example, join a gardening club, political campaign, church group or a campaign to prevent climate change, he said.
    It becomes easier to start conversations with new people because you have this thing in common, he added.
    The people in the Harvard study who were happiest in retirement were the ones who actively worked “to replace workmates with new playmates,” Waldinger said in his TED Talk.
    “Relationships are messy and they’re complicated, and the hard work of tending to family and friends, it’s not sexy or glamorous,” he said during that TED Talk. “It’s also lifelong. It never ends.” More

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    Jim Chanos calls suit accusing him of embezzling funds ‘baseless and defamatory’

    Jim Chanos was sued by a former partner accusing him of using his firm as a “piggy bank” with $10 million of outstanding loans that he borrowed from his company over more than a decade.
    Conlon Holdings, a Chicago-based firm run by Sean Conlon, filed the suit in New York State court Friday.

    Jim Chanos
    Scott Mlyn | CNBC

    Famed short seller Jim Chanos called a lawsuit accusing him of embezzling funds for personal use, “false, baseless and defamatory.”Chanos gave the statement to CNBC’s Scott Wapner in response to allegations made by a former investor in Chanos & Co.Conlon Holdings, a Chicago-based firm run by Sean Conlon, filed the suit in New York state court Friday, alleging that Chanos used his firm as a “piggy bank” with $10 million of outstanding loans that he borrowed from his company over more than a decade.
    “As Mr. Conlon knows, the internal loan was paid off in 2021, and since 2019 I have put over $30 million into my company,” Chanos said in the statement. “Indeed, all of my fellow management company partners have lost money over the past few years, none more than me. Mr. Conlon is simply trying to mitigate his losses by this crude shakedown attempt.”

    Conlon didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
    Chanos, best known for calling the collapse of energy trading company Enron, closed his hedge fund late last year and converted it to a family office and advisory business. His decision came after years of underperformance where short bets including Tesla didn’t work.
    The lawsuit also alleged that Chanos sold his Miami apartment that was formally owned by Chanos & Co. for $17.8 million earlier this month without giving his partners advance notice. Meanwhile, the suit said Chanos’ girlfriend, Crystal Conners, was the sales agent on the transaction, which would have made $540,000 at standard commission rates.
    The suit was first reported by Bloomberg News.

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