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4 legislative predictions for crypto in 2023

A few minor victories will logroll small legislative fixes into “must pass” bills like the defense authorization or omnibus spending bills. The top candidate would be a de minimis exemption for smaller crypto transactions to exempt users from capital gains tax liability every time they purchase a coffee with crypto. The protection for noncustodial crypto providers in Republican Representative Tom Emmer’s bill might make it in as well. On the outside, a bipartisan stablecoin bill may be possible, though Senate Democrats are still a steep climb. But do not expect major bills — such as Lummis-Gillibrand or Boozman-Stabenow — to pass during the next Congress.

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