BofA said it had set its Mexico growth forecast well below the 2.8% consensus due to a “conservative policy mix, high uncertainty and low growth expectations”, highlighting the COVID-19 situation in the country as well.
“Low growth is taking place despite strong US growth, which is helping the Mexican economy through trade and remittances,” said Carlos Capistran, Canada and Mexico Economist at BofA Securities.
The forecast compares with the 2.77% growth predicted by the Mexican central bank’s latest monthly poll of analysts.
Battered by the coronavirus pandemic, Mexico’s economy shrank by some 8.5% in 2020, and the latest estimates suggest it fell well short of recovering all the lost ground last year.
Separately, Mexico’s national statistics agency said Mexican industrial output fell 0.1% in November compared to the previous month and grew 1.6% in comparison with November 2020.
Source: Economy - investing.com
