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FirstFT: Russia’s exit from Ukraine grain deal ‘catastrophic’ for poor nations

Good morning. President Vladimir Putin’s decision to pull the plug on the wartime deal that unblocked the passage of millions of tonnes of grain via southern Ukraine will lead to a fresh jump in price, experts warned, with “catastrophic consequences” for poorer nations already facing acute food shortages.

The US called Moscow’s suspension on Saturday of its participation in the UN-backed deal with Kyiv an “outrageous” action that risked fuelling starvation. Moscow linked its decision to a weekend attack on ships in the port of Sevastopol, part of the territory Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014, which Ukraine called a “false pretext”.

The Kremlin’s announcement surprised grain traders and analysts who, while doubtful that the deal would have endured beyond its mid-November deadline, had not expected a sudden termination.

“We’ll see a substantial spike in prices” as a result, said Andrey Sizov, managing director of Black Sea grain consultancy SovEcon, adding that Russia’s move was its “worst-case scenario”.

Arif Husain, chief economist at the UN World Food Programme, said “dozens of countries” would be affected by new disruption to supply from Ukraine, a leading global exporter of grain and other food products. “In the good times [this] would be bad, but in the current state of the world, it’s something that needs to be resolved as soon as possible,” he said.

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The day ahead

Space launch China’s National Space Administration will launch the last of three modules today that comprise the Tiangong Space Station.

Military drills Starting today, South Korea and the US will conduct military drills for the next five days.

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What else we’re reading

How Russia secretly takes grain from occupied Ukraine An investigation by the Financial Times into the illicit grain trade out of occupied Ukraine reveals a complex shadow operation managed by private companies and arms of the Russian state itself. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, one of the world’s biggest grain exporters, has caused global food shortages and sent prices for grain soaring.

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Xi blindsides investors with no ‘adults in the room’ When China’s president Xi Jinping moved to tighten his grip on power earlier this month, analysts expected him to include at least a couple of moderates in his leadership team. The absence of even one such figure, combined with the late release of disappointing economic data, sparked record selling of Chinese stocks by foreign investors.

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© Brittany Hosea-Small/AFP/Getty Images


Source: Economy - ft.com

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