U.S. Economy Grew at 2.8% Rate in Latest Quarter

Economic growth remained solid in the spring, as cooling inflation and a strong labor market allowed consumers to keep spending even as high interest rates weighed on their finances.

Gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, increased at a 2.8 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the Commerce Department said on Thursday. That was faster than both the 1.4 percent rate recorded in the first quarter and than forecasters’ expectations, but down from the unexpectedly strong growth in the second half of last year.

Consumer spending, the backbone of the U.S. economy, rose at a 2.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter — a solid pace, albeit much slower than in 2021, when businesses were reopening after pandemic-induced closings. Inflation, which picked up unexpectedly at the start of the year, eased in the second quarter.

The data is preliminary and will be revised at least twice.

Taken together, the data suggested that the economy remains on track for a rare “soft landing,” in which inflation cools without triggering a recession. That is something few forecasters considered likely when the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to combat inflation two years ago.

“The economy is in a transition, but it’s in a good place,” said Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. “The economy is slowing from very strong growth in the second half of last year. We’re just settling down into something that’s a little more sustainable.”

Fed officials will meet next week to weigh when to begin lowering interest rates, which they have held at their current level, the highest in decades, for the past year. Hardly anyone expects policymakers to cut rates next week, but they could signal that such a move could come as soon as September if inflation continues to cool.