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    Transcript: Climate change is coming for your Bordeaux

    This is an audio transcript of the FT News Briefing podcast episode: ‘Climate change is coming for your Bordeaux‘Sonja HutsonGood morning from the Financial Times. Today is Friday, January 3rd and this is your FT News Briefing. China’s best-selling carmaker is nipping at Tesla’s heels. And another crypto boss faces criminal charges. Plus, climate change is saying goodbye French Bordeaux, hello fine Danish White? I’m Sonja Hutson. And here’s the news you need to start your day.[MUSIC PLAYING]The electric vehicle race is cranking up a gear. Tesla — the world’s top EV maker — said yesterday that its annual sales had dropped for the first time since 2011. That same day, Tesla’s Chinese rival, BYD, reported its best year ever. China is actually expected to sell more EVs and hybrids than gas vehicles for the first time in 2025. Tesla and other western carmakers, meanwhile, will have to compete with China’s cheaper offerings, not to mention a global slowdown in demand for battery-only powered cars.[MUSIC PLAYING]A crypto mogul had his long-awaited day in court yesterday. Do Kwon is the disgraced co-founder of the bankrupt crypto firm Terraform. He’d been the subject of an international manhunt since fleeing South Korea in 2022. But he finally reached US soil this week after being extradited from Montenegro. The FT’s Will Schmitt has been following this case. He joins me now. Hi, Will.Will SchmittHey, Sonja.Sonja HutsonSo what happened this week for Do Kwon?Will SchmittSo Do Kwon started this week in Montenegro, where he’d been held for over a year. He had been trying to leave that country after fleeing South Korea. Montenegro and authorities had been detaining him while the justice ministry decided whether to send him for extradition to the US or South Korea. Both governments wanted Do Kwon on their soil so they could try him for various charges. Initially, there were eight charges for commodities fraud, wire fraud, securities fraud. Unsealed this week in a new indictment was an additional count of money laundering — all related to Terraform Labs and various platforms, coins and procedures that that company, which was co-founded by Do Kwon back in 2018, had carried out over the last several years.Sonja HutsonYeah. So can you go into some more detail about what actually happened in this whole Terraform saga?Will SchmittSo back in 2022, Terraform Labs had launched this token called terra. Terra was what we call a stablecoin, which means it’s supposed to be pegged to the US dollar. And there was also a kind of a sister coin called luna. And at the time, terra was one of the biggest stablecoins in the world. However, it was not backed by real assets. And as a result, in May 2022, terra lost its peg, luna fell to zero, they both collapsed and wiped out over $40bn worth of value, leading to the eventual declaration of bankruptcy for Terraform Labs in January 2024.Sonja HutsonSo what are prosecutors alleging was Kwon’s involvement in all of that?Will SchmittGenerally speaking, the gist of it is that whether making statements on social media, on podcasts, to investors directly or to government regulators, Kwon either outright lied or misled any of those parties about a variety of how the tokens worked, how they were allegedly backed, how they were traded to, you know, keep that peg intact in an attempt to prop them up and to make them more palatable and more attractive to investors and to placate regulators.Sonja HutsonYou know, Kwon’s name making headlines again during this moment of crypto euphoria. It feels a little ironic, right? Like we’re in this place where bitcoin is doing really well. There’s all this optimism because Donald Trump has signalled that he’s more pro-crypto. Do you think the darker days of fraud and scandal are coming to an end? I mean, has crypto finally cleaned up its image?Will SchmittI guess how clean it is, is remaining to be seen, especially depending on how Do Kwon’s case proceeds over the next, you know, months, potentially years. But yeah, you’re right. This has been a moment, these last few months since the November elections of really highly renewed optimism for the crypto industry. But there are cases like Do Kwon’s ongoing case, you have Sam Bankman-Fried, who’s appealing his, you know, conviction in his prison sentence that are just these kind of welcome or unwelcome reminders, rather, for those in the crypto industry who thought that this was all yesteryear’s problems.Sonja HutsonWill Schmitt is the FT’s acting US capital markets correspondent. Thanks, Will.Will SchmittThanks, Sonja.[MUSIC PLAYING]Sonja HutsonGlobal trade is in the middle of a major upset. There are a few things going on, like geopolitical tensions between the US and China, conflict in the Middle East. Plus, all the tariff talk from President-elect Donald Trump. And that has shipowners rethinking their traditional routes. Instead of just stopping in China to pick up goods, they might have to stop at several ports in places like India or Vietnam. So they’re going for smaller ships. That is a major turnaround. Not long ago, the bulkiest carriers were the vessels of choice. Remember the Ever Given that got stuck in the Suez Canal during the pandemic? Now, flexibility seems to be the name of the game for shipowners, and that means downsizing.[MUSIC PLAYING]Climate change is shaking up the European wine industry. French and Italian grape growers are struggling to adapt to warmer and drier weather, which means that the Bordeauxs of the past probably won’t taste like the Bordeauxs of the future. But this has also opened up an opportunity for northern European countries to compete. I’m joined now by the FT’s Susannah Savage to explain. Hi, Susannah.Susannah SavageHi, Sonja.Sonja HutsonSo tell me about some of these Scandinavian wines. What does the industry look like there?Susannah SavageSo we’ve really seen a boom in Scandinavian wine over the last couple of decades, but particularly the last decade. The number of vineyards in Denmark, for example, has doubled. And this is mainly because of the climate is just changing and becoming more like it was in more southern parts of Europe, say, 40, 50 years ago. And also there’s a bit of an improvement in viticulture. There’s a development of hybrid varieties of grape which grow more easily in these types of terrains.Sonja HutsonAnd going down south now to France and Italy, how is the warmer weather there gonna impact the wine industry?Susannah SavageIt’s already having a massive impact because the weather has meant that grapes are ripening quicker and in hotter conditions, which it means that the wines are stronger, more alcoholic and often sweeter. And so generally it’s seen as a lower quality if it’s too strong, too sweet, if it’s ripened too quickly. This is a problem going forward, which is only going to get worse. So the University of Palermo has looked at this and found that in some, you know, particular regions of Spain, Italy and Greece — coastal and lowland regions where at the moment they grow grapes for wine — droughts and heatwaves could leave 90 per cent of these areas unsuitable for winemaking by the end of the century.Sonja HutsonWow. So what are these traditional wine producers doing to adapt to that?Susannah SavageThere are a few things that you can do to try and get around it. One of them would be changing the variety of grape. Another might be irrigating the land. Now, generally, grapes to make wine should grow on land that’s a little bit deprived of water, but that’s only up until a certain point, then it becomes detrimental. So quite controversially, some of the regions in Italy, in France and Spain have allowed irrigation. Or you can also plant so-called cover crops which compete with the vines for water and nutrients, which slows down the ripening of the fruits to prevent what I described about excessive alcohol and too much sugar.Sonja HutsonOK, so irrigation is controversial in the wine world. What about the rest of those strategies? Are they raising eyebrows, too?Susannah SavageYes, because they interfere with the notion of terroir, which is, you know, the interplay of soil and climate and the culture in that particular part of the world where those grapes are grown. And also with the legislation that’s developed around this. You know, appellation legislation whereby to be called champagne it has to be grown in the region of Champagne, etc. And so some winemakers, they’re really against the idea of changing these things. One person I spoke to said it was like a face with too much Botox. It might look nice from far away, but it loses its character and its interest when you get up close. Others say that these are absolutely necessary in order for these regions to continue to produce wine and, you know, for the business to survive.Sonja HutsonWhat do you think the European wine industry is gonna look like in the next few decades?Susannah SavageI think we’re going to see a huge growth in northern European wines from countries like England, but also increasingly from Scandinavia or Poland, the Baltics. And that’s gonna come into competition with the more traditional wine-growing regions. I also think, you know, these regions are going to have to work really hard to survive and to adapt and to persuade consumers to buy into that adaptation. So consumers are gonna have to get used to the idea that a burgundy grown in Burgundy won’t taste like they’re used to it tasting. And that will be the challenge. Can you convince them to buy into that idea? And will the brand still survive?Sonja HutsonSusannah Savage is the FT’s commodities correspondent. Thanks, Susannah.Susannah SavageThanks very much.[MUSIC PLAYING]Sonja HutsonYou can read more on all of these stories for free when you click the links in our show notes. This has been your daily FT News Briefing. Check back next week for the latest business news.The FT News Briefing is produced by Niamh Rowe, Fiona Symon, Marc Filippino, Kasia Broussalian and me, Sonja Hutson. Our engineer is Joseph Salcedo. We had help this week from Sam Giovinco, Breen Turner, David da Silva, Michael Lello, Peter Barber and Gavin Kallmann. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Cheryl Brumley is the FT’s global head of audio. And our theme song is by Metaphor Music. More

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    A new Monroe doctrine is unlikely to work for the US in South America

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    China’s central bank might cut interest rates from current level of 1.5% in 2025, FT reports

    The People’s Bank of China said that it would prioritise “the role of interest rate adjustments” and move away from “quantitative objectives” for loan growth, as it embarks on a programme of interest rate reform that government advisors have called “an arduous task.”China’s main rate is its seven-day reverse repo rate, which it last cut from 1.7% to 1.5% in late September. During a high-level economic agenda-setting meeting in December, China’s top leaders vowed to cut interest rates “in a timely manner” and reduce the amount of capital banks must hold in reserve, as part of a broader effort to spur lending and investment in the ailing economy.The country’s top policymakers also pledged at the Central Economic and Work Conference to increase the budget deficit and loosen monetary policy, as the world’s second-largest economy braces for more trade tensions with the United States as Donald Trump returns to the White House.China’s economy showed an over-reliance on manufacturing and exports last year, with household demand disappointing as a severe property market crisis erodes consumer wealth and most government stimulus goes to producers and infrastructure.Government advisers are recommending Beijing keeps its growth target unchanged this year, but have also called for more forceful fiscal stimulus to bolster depressed domestic demand.Chinese President Xi Jinping said on Tuesday that China’s 2024 gross domestic product is expected to exceed 130 trillion yuan ($17.81 trillion), and added that policymakers would implement more proactive policies to promote growth over 2025. ($1 = 7.2994 Chinese yuan renminbi) More

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    China’s central bank to cut interest rates from current level of 1.5% in 2025- FT

    The PBOC said it will cut interest rates from the current level of 1.5% “at an appropriate time” in 2025, the FT reported. The central bank will also streamline its monetary policy in adopting a more singular means of adjusting interest rates over its current practice of setting multiple rates for different sectors. A shift in the PBOC’s policy stance comes as China grapples with sluggish economic growth, with lower interest rates and steady liquidity measures having so far provided little support to the economy. Slowing growth has also furthered the case for monetary policy reform in the country, especially as credit demand slumped amid a property market slowdown over the past three years. The PBOC steadily trimmed its bank reserve requirement ratio and its loan prime rates over the past two years. But the moves provided limited support to the economy. This trend is also expected to drive the PBOC’s policy shift towards a more streamlined, market-centric approach to interest rates.The central bank had signaled last year that its main policy instrument will be the seven-day reverse repo rate. More

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    UK heading for tax rises despite return to growth, economists say

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    Hedge funds deliver double-digit returns in 2024

    LONDON/NEW YORK (Reuters) -Some of the world’s largest hedge funds finished 2024 with comfortable double-digit returns, benefiting from chaotic markets, central bank policy changes and a tight U.S. presidential election race. Hedge funds, which trade several different asset classes from stocks to commodities, navigated volatile markets with some degree of success. Macro (BCBA:BMAm) hedge fund Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) Capital ended 2024 up 52%, after gains across equities, currencies, rates and credit, a source familiar with the performance said, with trades in both emerging and developed countries. In terms of sectors, the fund led by Rob Citrone, had profitable bets in financials and technology, media and telecom (TMT) for instance. British hedge fund Marshall Wace, which manages almost $71 billion, returned double-digit gains in several of its funds, a source close to the matter told Reuters on Thursday. Co-founded by British financier Paul Marshall, the firm returned around 14% in its Eureka fund, a source said. Hedge fund manager Bridgewater Associates’ flagship Pure Alpha 18% volatility fund gained just over 11% in 2024 through Dec. 27, a source familiar with the matter said on Thursday.Large U.S. multi-strategy firms also posted double-digit gains.Schonfeld’s flagship hedge fund Strategic Partners was up 19.7% in 2024.Citadel’s flagship fund Wellington posted a 15.1% gain, while Millennium Management returned 15% in 2024, according to people familiar with the results. Citadel offered clients the option to cash out Wellington’s profits. Very few clients took up the offer, with redemptions totaling only roughly $300 million out of billions in profit.Two of D.E. Shaw’s multi-strategy funds posted double-digit returns including its flagship Composite fund, which gained 18% in 2024 and its more macro-oriented fund Oculus, which posted a 36% return in the same period, its best-ever annual performance, said another person close to the matter. Millennium and D.E. Shaw’s results were first reported by the Financial Times and Bloomberg, respectively.Jon Caplis, CEO of hedge fund research firm PivotalPath, said there was “a resurgence of the multi-strat space across 2024,” and he expects to see more inflows to the strategy.Last year’s gains came as rate cuts from the likes of the U.S. Federal Reserve helped push stocks higher, while a decisive presidential election win for Donald Trump and Bank of Japan rate hikes were other catalysts for big market swings.Hedge funds in 2023 averaged a 5.7% return in the year through November, according to PivotalPath.TRACKING TRENDSQuantitative hedge funds, which use algorithms and coding to track markets, benefited from big moves in several markets including equities, currencies, grains and soft commodities such as cocoa and coffee, which both surged last year.For the $728-million Dunn Capital Management, these were all positive drivers for the Dunn WMA trading program, which returned 7.28% for the year despite negative drivers in energies, metals and European equities, said a source with knowledge of the matter. Hedge fund CFM (Capital Fund Management), also a quantitative investment manager, returned 12.01% in its Discus Fund and 14.22% in its Stratus Fund, another source with knowledge of the matter told Reuters. British fund Winton saw a roughly 10% return on investment in its multi-strategy systematic fund. Overall, the hedge fund manages around $13 billion. Transtrend’s Diversified Trend Program returned 5.90% for 2024. Fund name Percentage rise in 2024 Marshall Wace – Eureka 14.32* Marshall Wace – Market Neutral Tops 22.59* Marshall Wace – Alpha Plus 15.86* Winton – Multi-strategy systematic fund 10.3 Bridgewater Associates* – Pure Alpha 18% 11.2 vol Bridgewater Associates* – China Total (EPA:TTEF) 35 Return D.E. Shaw – Oculus 36.1 D.E. Shaw – Composite 18 Millennium Management 15 CFM Discus 12.01 CFM Stratus 14.22 CFM Systematic Global Macro 13.32 CFM Cumulus 14.12 CFM IS Trends 18.94 CFM IS Trends Equity Capped 12.42 DUNN WMA program 7.28 Transtrend 5.9 Citadel Wellington 15.1 Citadel Tactical 22.3 Citadel Equities 18 Citadel Global Fixed Income 9.7 Schonfeld Strategic Partners 19.7 Schonfeld Fundamental Equity 21.1 Discovery Capital 52 * result as of Dec. 27Sourcing: several people with knowledge of the matter. Firms declined to comment on the matter. More

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    What economists say about the UK’s outlook for 2025

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    OpenAI outlines new for-profit structure in bid to stay ahead in costly AI race

    (Reuters) -OpenAI on Friday outlined plans to revamp its structure, saying it would create a public benefit corporation to make it easier to “raise more capital than we’d imagined,” and remove the restrictions imposed on the startup by its current nonprofit parent. The acknowledgement and detailed rationale behind its high-profile restructuring confirmed a Reuters report in September, which sparked debate among corporate watchdogs and tech moguls including Elon Musk. At issue were the implications such a move might have on whether OpenAI would allocate its assets to the nonprofit arm fairly, and how the company would strike a balance between making a profit and generating social and public good as it develops AI.Under the proposed plan, the ChatGPT maker’s existing for-profit arm would become a Delaware-based public benefit corporation (PBC) – a structure designed to consider the interests of society in addition to shareholder value.OpenAI has been looking to make changes to attract further investment, as the expensive pursuit of artificial general intelligence, or AI that surpasses human intelligence, heats up.Its latest $6.6 billion funding round at a valuation of $157 billion was contingent on whether the ChatGPT-maker could upend its corporate structure and remove a profit cap for investors within two years, Reuters reported in October. The nonprofit, meanwhile, will have a “significant interest” in the PBC in the form of shares as determined by independent financial advisers, OpenAI said in a blog post, adding that it would be one of the “best resourced nonprofits in history.” OpenAI started in 2015 as a research-focused nonprofit but created a for-profit unit four years later to secure funding for the high costs of AI development. Its unusual structure gave control of the for-profit unit to the nonprofit and was in focus last year when Sam Altman was fired as CEO only to return days later after employees rebelled. ‘CRITICAL STEP'”We once again need to raise more capital than we’d imagined. Investors want to back us but, at this scale of capital, need conventional equity and less structural bespokeness,” the Microsoft-backed startup said on Friday. “The hundreds of billions of dollars that major companies are now investing into AI development show what it will really take for OpenAI to continue pursuing the mission.”Its plans to create a PBC would align the startup with rivals such as Anthropic and the Musk-owned xAI, which use a similar structure and recently raised billions in funding. Anthropic garnered another $4 billion investment from existing investor Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) last month, while xAI raised around $6 billion in equity financing earlier in December.”The key to the announcement is that the for-profit side of OpenAI ‘will run and control OpenAI’s operations and business,'” DA Davidson & Co analyst Gil Luria said.”This is the critical step the company needs to make in order to continue fund raising,” Luria said, although he added that the move did “not necessitate OpenAI going public.”The startup could, however, face some hurdles in the plan.Musk, an OpenAI co-founder who later left and is now one of the startup’s most vocal critics, is trying to stop the plan and in August sued OpenAI and Altman. Musk alleges that OpenAI violated contract provisions by putting profit ahead of the public good in the push to advance AI.OpenAI earlier this month asked a federal judge to reject Musk’s request and published a trove of messages with Musk to argue that he initially backed for-profit status for OpenAI before walking away from the company after failing to gain a majority equity stake and full control.Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) is also urging California’s attorney general to block OpenAI’s conversion to a for-profit company, according to a copy of a letter seen by Reuters.Becoming a benefit corporation does not guarantee in and of itself that a company will put its stated mission above profit, as that status legally requires only that the company’s board “balance” its mission and profit-making concerns, said Ann Lipton, a corporate law professor at Tulane Law School.”The only reason to choose benefit form over any other corporate form is the declaration to the public,” she said. “It doesn’t actually have any real enforcement power behind it,” she said.In practice, it is the shareholders who own a controlling stake in the company who dictate how closely a public benefit company sticks to its mission, Lipton said. More