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    Trade war could leave Europe in recession with high inflation, ECB policymaker warns

    Incoming U.S. President Donald Trump promised to impose tariffs on most imports and said Europe would pay a big price for having run a huge trade surplus for years.”Trade tensions are rising,” Patsalides told a conference. “If trade restrictions materialise, the outcome may be inflationary, recessionary or worse, stagflationary,” Patsalides said.Still, the ECB could for now continue to lower interest rates with the next move possibly coming in December, Patsalides added.”While growth in the euro area economy has been anaemic for some time now, the approach to rate cuts must be gradual and data driven,” Patsalides said. “If incoming data and new projections in December confirm our baseline scenario, there would be room to continue lowering rates at a steady pace and magnitude.” The ECB has cut rates by a combined 75 basis points to 3.25% this year and investors have fully priced in another move on Dec 12, with most also expecting cuts at each policy meeting through next June. But Patsalides also warned that inflationary pressures, particularly from potential supply shocks, still pose a risk as does the sticky nature of services price growth.Inflation has fallen rapidly in recent months and was now expected to oscillate around the 2% target in the coming months. It could then settle at the target in the first half of the 2025, earlier than the ECB last predicted. More

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    Column-You’ve got mail from Medicare Advantage, so be careful

    (Reuters) – I have been enrolled in traditional Medicare for a couple of years now, and one professional benefit is that I receive the same direct marketing pitches that my readers get every year from health insurance companies during the annual fall enrollment season.Much of it encourages me to enroll in Medicare Advantage – the commercially offered managed-care alternative to the traditional program. And this year, Advantage plan marketers have a new enticement: the changes that take effect next year in Medicare’s Part D prescription drug coverage. If you are enrolled in traditional Medicare, this pitch should throw up a big red flag, because shifting to Advantage is something you might later regret – and it can be difficult to reverse. The Part D reforms are important, and generally positive. The big change for 2025 is a hard cap on out-of-pocket prescription costs. This reform was phased in under the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 championed by the Biden administration and Democrats in Congress. Previously, there was no limit to what you might pay if you needed high-cost drugs for conditions like cancer and multiple sclerosis.This year, the cap is $3,300; the final step is a $2,000 cap in 2025. This will provide thousands of dollars in relief to seniors – about 4.6 million Medicare Part D enrollees had already reached $2,000 or more in out-of-pocket drug costs by the end of June this year, according to federal government data. It also will give seniors greater predictability in planning their healthcare spending.But health insurance companies are revising their offerings to a greater extent than usual for next year because of changes required by the Act. If you are enrolled in traditional Medicare with a standalone Part D plan, you may find your premium jumping, or changes in deductibles or cost-sharing arrangements. That means it is important to re-check your coverage this autumn if you are in a standalone plan. The same is true if you have a Medicare Advantage plan with drug coverage wrapped in with no extra premium – the terms of that drug coverage may be changing, too.Health insurance companies are using these changes to convince traditional Medicare enrollees to shift into Advantage. I received a letter recently from  my own current prescription drug plan provider, which I am dropping because the premium and projected total costs are jumping sharply. “Since your plan premiums are increasing in 2025, now is the time to explore your plan options,” the letter states. “(Our Medicare Advantage plan) may be a better fit for you. Plus, switching to (our Advantage plan) could lower what you pay for prescriptions and monthly premiums next year.” The letter goes on to pitch the usual Advantage enticements, such as dental coverage, gym membership and the like.This is a very compelling pitch – no wonder Medicare Advantage enrollment has been growing so quickly in recent years. More than half of eligible Medicare beneficiaries (54%) are enrolled in Medicare Advantage in 2024, a figure projected to hit 64% by 2034, according to KFF, a healthcare policy research organization. But here are a few things the letter does not say: – Instead of switching to Advantage, another option that I have is to simply search the Medicare Plan Finder for a less costly Part D plan. That is what I did – instead of a $35 increase, my premium actually will fall about $25 per month in 2025, as will total projected annual costs including the deductible and cost-sharing. – I might need to look for new doctors. If I join this Advantage plan, I will need to restrict myself to in-network healthcare providers in order to access the cost savings described in the letter, possibly causing disruption to my current healthcare.- I probably cannot go back later. Enrollees in traditional Medicare (such as myself) usually pair their Part A, B and D coverage with a Medigap supplemental policy. If I drop that now in order to join a Medicare Advantage plan, I may not be able to get a Medigap down the road if I decide to go back to traditional Medicare. Medigap insurance providers are required to sell me a policy when I first sign up for Medicare, but down the road they can use pre-existing conditions to turn me away, unless I live in one of four states that have some amount of protected access rights for this critical supplemental coverage (New York, Connecticut, Massachusetts and Maine).- The drug coverage might not fit my needs. The drug coverage wrapped into an Advantage plan may – or may not – be the best fit for me, depending on the medications I take. It is important to evaluate not only the healthcare provider network, but the drug coverage.- Here is the big thing the letter does not say. Medicare Advantage might work just fine for younger and healthier retirees. But the highest rates of dissatisfaction in Advantage are reported by the oldest and sickest enrollees in the program. Consumer advocates who work with Medicare enrollees often report that the highest rates of Advantage disenrollment are among the oldest and sickest patients, who encounter problems with denial of care or extra red tape in the form of requests for prior authorization. During annual enrollment, the ad blitz for Medicare Advantage is intense, and it lacks any context about what it can mean to give up your traditional Medicare coverage.Annual enrollment ends on Dec. 7. It is always a good idea to review your Part D or Advantage plan coverage, so start by consulting the federal government’s Medicare Plan Finder. If you need assistance help, consult your State Health Assistance Program. The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reuters. More

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    Bybit Launches Gold & FX Treasure Hunt Competition: Embark on a Quest for Real Gold Rewards

    Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is excited to announce the Gold & FX Treasure Hunt — a unique competition tailored for crypto enthusiasts and traders of traditional assets. This event presents a rare opportunity to compete for high-value prizes, including real gold bars and coins, as part of an exciting trading journey. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin’s ascent and gold’s resurgence, the Treasure Hunt offers traders a golden chance to capitalize on global market dynamics.Discovering Real Gold Rewards in the Gold & FX Treasure HuntThe Gold & FX Treasure Hunt rewards traders with an array of coveted prizes, from gold bars and coins to significant USDT payouts. Participants can register and qualify by trading a minimum of 100 lots across supported contracts like Gold and Forex on Bybit’s MT5 platform.Bybit MT5: A Gateway to Diversified Global Trading for Forex ProfessionalsBybit MT5 empowers forex and commodity traders with direct access to markets such as Forex, Metals, Commodities, Oil, and Indices, all seamlessly traded with USDT. The platform offers a familiar and sophisticated trading environment for those transitioning to Bybit’s powerful interface, crafted to support both experienced and new forex traders.Key Details of Bybit’s Gold & FX Treasure HuntTwo Ways to Join the Hunt:1. Gold & FX PnL Battlefield:#Bybit / #TheCryptoArkAbout BybitBybit is the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, serving over 50 million users. Established in 2018, Bybit provides a professional platform where crypto investors and traders can find an ultra-fast matching engine, 24/7 customer service, and multilingual community support. Bybit is a proud partner of Formula One’s reigning Constructors’ and Drivers’ champions: the Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Red Bull Racing team.For more details about Bybit, please visit Bybit Press For media inquiries, please contact: media@bybit.comFor more information, please visit: https://www.bybit.comFor updates, please follow: Bybit’s Communities and Social MediaDiscord | Facebook (NASDAQ:META) | Instagram | LinkedIn | Reddit | Telegram | TikTok | X | YoutubeContactHead of PRTony AuBybittony.au@bybit.comThis article was originally published on Chainwire More

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    Bybit Launches bbSOL Virtual Card, Bridging Solana Ecosystem with Innovative Features

    Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has unveiled the bbSOL virtual card, offering Bybit Card holders a unique entry into the Solana ecosystem. Celebrating Bybit’s 6th anniversary, Bybit Card invites users to join the bbSOL evolution through a gamified experience designed for a dynamic growth journey and exclusive rewards.Marking both Bybit’s 6th anniversary and bbSOL’s debut year, the new bbSOL-themed virtual card expands the rewards options available to Bybit Card holders, including bbSOL perks and gaming points, enabling users to participate in the evolution of bbSOL financially and creatively.Registration is open to existing and new Bybit Card users. Once issued, the personalized virtual card can be added to Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) Pay or Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Wallet on their device in supported regions. And with each tap of the virtual card, the evolution begins. Card holders enjoy a refreshing Web3 experience, with exclusive and interactive features that enhance their journey. There are three main paths to tailor their spending and unlock unique benefits:#Bybit / #TheCryptoArk / #Super6BybitAbout BybitBybit is the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, serving over 50 million users. Established in 2018, Bybit provides a professional platform where crypto investors and traders can find an ultra-fast matching engine, 24/7 customer service, and multilingual community support. Bybit is a proud partner of Formula One’s reigning Constructors’ and Drivers’ champions: the Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) Red Bull Racing team.For more details about Bybit, please visit Bybit Press For media inquiries, please contact: media@bybit.comFor more information, please visit: https://www.bybit.comFor updates, please follow: Bybit’s Communities and Social MediaDiscord | Facebook (NASDAQ:META) | Instagram | LinkedIn | Reddit | Telegram | TikTok | X | YoutubeContactHead of PRTony AuBybittony.au@bybit.comThis article was originally published on Chainwire More

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    Pope says Vatican’s pension fund faces ‘serious imbalance’

    VATICAN CITY (Reuters) – Pope Francis said on Thursday the Vatican’s pension fund is facing a “serious imbalance” that may require changes to its operating structure, and appointed a senior cardinal to take over the fund’s administration.In an unusual letter sent to all the world’s cardinals and to the leaders of the Vatican’s various offices, the pope did not quantify the scope of the issue. He said the changes would include “making difficult decisions that will require particular sensitivity, generosity, and willingness to sacrifice on the part of everyone”.Francis appointed Cardinal Kevin Farrell, an Irish-American prelate who has led the Vatican’s office for family issues since 2016, to take over as the fund’s administrator.The pope has expressed uncommon concern about the Vatican’s budget several times in recent months. In October, he ordered the third reduction in three years for the pay packages of the cardinals who lead the Vatican. He has also asked them to pursue a “zero deficit” agenda.The Vatican has not released a full budget statement in several years but is known to be facing a serious budget deficit.The Vatican’s finance czar estimated in 2022 that the net liability of the pension fund for post-employment benefits amounted to some 631 million euros ($664 million).The headquarters of the Catholic Church comprises two entities: the internationally recognised sovereign entity of the Holy See and the Vatican, a 108-acre city-state within Rome.They maintain separate budgets, and Vatican City income, including from the popular Vatican Museums, has often been used to plug the Holy See’s deficit, which according to Italian media stood at around 83 million euros ($87 million) last year. ($1 = 0.9505 euros) More

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    The global green transition will survive Trump

    $75 per monthComplete digital access to quality FT journalism with expert analysis from industry leaders. Pay a year upfront and save 20%.What’s included Global news & analysisExpert opinionFT App on Android & iOSFT Edit appFirstFT: the day’s biggest stories20+ curated newslettersFollow topics & set alerts with myFTFT Videos & Podcasts20 monthly gift articles to shareLex: FT’s flagship investment column15+ Premium newsletters by leading expertsFT Digital Edition: our digitised print edition More

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    Exclusive: BoxBet exits stealth mode after securing strategic financing

    CMCC, a $500 million venture capital firm backed by the Winklevoss twins and Richard Li’s Pacific Century Group, has previously funded key blockchain projects, including Solana. BoxBet plans to capitalize on Telegram’s vast user base of 900 million monthly active users, integrating its platform to offer a seamless gaming experience. Central to its ecosystem is the $BXBT token, a deflationary asset designed to align user participation with platform growth. As part of its launch strategy, the company is initiating a “Bet-to-Earn Airdrop,” giving users a stake in its operations from the start.The company said it intends to use the fresh funding to expand its presence in regulated markets by securing licenses and scaling operations. “The financing will support significant marketing initiatives, including partnerships with major sports franchises, to drive user acquisition and elevate brand visibility,” BoxBet said in a press release. Moreover, it will allow BoxBet to build out its team by recruiting talent from the iGaming and technology sectors to strengthen its execution capabilities.“We’re impressed by the BoxBet team’s expertise and their ability to execute,” said Martin Baumann, Managing Partner at CMCC Global. “They have the potential to transform the iGaming sector and build a globally recognized platform that changes how users engage with betting.”BoxBet has formed several strategic alliances, including a collaboration with a prominent privacy-focused browser in India and planned marketing initiatives with leading sports franchises across Latin America and Asia.  More

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    Bitcoin marches towards $100,000 on optimism over Trump crypto plans

    Bitcoin prices topped $98,000 for the first time during European trading, and were last up around 4% on the day.The cryptocurrency’s price has more than doubled this year and is up about 40% in the two weeks since Trump was voted in as the next U.S. president and a slew of pro-crypto lawmakers were elected to Congress.”While it’s now firmly into overbought territory, it is being drawn toward the $100k level,” said IG Markets analyst Tony Sycamore.Trump embraced digital assets during his campaign, promising to make the United States the “crypto capital of the planet” and to accumulate a national stockpile of bitcoin.More than $4 billion has streamed into U.S. listed bitcoin exchange-traded funds since the election. This week, there was a strong debut for options on BlackRock (NYSE:BLK)’s ETF, with call options – bets on the price going up – more popular than puts.Crypto-related stocks have soared along with the bitcoin price and shares in bitcoin miner MARA Holdings were up nearly 14% overnight, while MicroStrategy, a loss-making software company that has been buying bitcoin, rose 10% to take its market capitalisation beyond $100 billion.”Many are wondering if this administration will bring the regulatory clarity the crypto community has been waiting for. It’s likely too soon to say,” said Will Peck, head of digital assets at WisdomTree, a global exchange-traded fund issuer. “We see all of this excitement as bullish not only for bitcoin or crypto broadly, but the entire blockchain-enabled ecosystem that is growing today.” More